225  
FNUS72 KFFC 130809  
FWSFFC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KEOWN FALLS RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA  
309 AM EST FRI FEB 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON FEBRUARY 13.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR FRIDAY AS A RESULT  
OF LOW RH VALUES. WHERE THIS BURN IS AND ACROSS FAR N GA, THE RH  
VALUES, WHILE STILL LOW, WILL BE HIGHER THAN ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE STATE.  
MEANING THE FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS ON THE MARGINAL SIDE FOR YOUR REGION.  
 
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT OVERALL AND HIGHEST THIS MORNING BEFORE  
WE SEE A DECREASING TREND THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. SIMILAR TO  
OTHER LOCATIONS BURNING, MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOWING A STRONG LOW LEVEL INVERSION SETTING UP  
AFTER SUNSET TODAY WHICH COMBINED WITH LIGHT WINDS WHICH COULD LEAD TO TRAPPING OF ANY SMOKE  
ONCE THE INVERSION SETS UP.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH  
2 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (13500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................5 TO 19.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......25.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 20 21 14 9 5 5 7 5 5 3 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 36 36 39 45 49 52 56 58 59 60 58  
RH..............58 58 58 52 44 38 34 29 30 28 27 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE E E E E E E NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 12 10 10 9 8 9 8 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.7 2.4 3.0 3.3 3.5 3.6 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NE NE E NE NE NE N NE N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 7 5 5 5 5 3 5 2 2  
LVORI...........2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............10 10 8 7 5 11 15 18 13 19 12 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 4 4 7 10 12 9 14 8 6  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
5 TO 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................1 TO 3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......25 IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 15 7 5 7 8 14 14 17 30 31 37  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 53 48 46 45 43 42 40 39 38 38 37  
RH..............33 36 44 48 49 48 56 59 62 65 66 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE E E SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 5 5 6 5 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E SE S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 6 6 6 5  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MIN HUMIDITY........36 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (26600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................6 TO 38.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......MISSING.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........25 31 42 56 71 75 78 82 85 88 91 89  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 37 37 41 47 51 55 58 60 61 61 60  
RH..............67 69 67 60 53 47 42 39 37 36 36 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.4 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 8 9 12 12 12 10 12 12 13 12  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............6 6 8 10 13 21 27 31 35 38 37 27  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 2 5 9 14 18 21 24 27 26 19  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
CEILING (KFT)...  
 
 
FORECASTER...STELLMAN  
REQUESTED BY...JAKE HAUSER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2602583.1/FFC  
.DELDT 02/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JEFFREY.SCHARDT@USDA.GOV,JAKE.HAUSER@USDA.GOV  
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