387  
FNUS72 KFFC 161123  
FWSFFC  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR IA 154...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA  
623 AM EST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EST ON NOVEMBER 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
GOOD MORNING!  
 
LOW CLOUDS BLANKET MUCH OF THE AREA THIS MORNING INCLUDING THE  
WILDFIRE SITE AND ARE EXPECTED TO STICK AROUND THROUGH AT LEAST  
10-11AM. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED. A COLD FRONT CURRENTLY SITUATED  
ACROSS MIDDLE TN WILL PUSH THROUGH NORTH GA (AND THE BURN SITE),  
LATE THIS MORNING (10-11AM) SHIFTING SW TO W WINDS TO THE  
NW AND CLEARING SKIES. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO PICK UP OVER THE NEXT  
HOUR OR TWO FROM 4-6 MPH TO 6-12 MPH WITH ISOLATED GUSTS UP TO 18  
MPH ASSOCIATED WITH AND BEHIND THE FRONT. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL  
FOLLOW SUIT THOUGH SHIFTING MORE TO THE N. NO PRECIPITATION IS  
EXPECTED WITH THIS FRONT. CONDITIONS WILL QUICKLY DRY OUT  
FOLLOWING THE FRONT WITH RH VALUES DROPPING TO 28-35% BETWEEN  
1-5PM. RH VALUES ARE LIKELY TO DROP WELL BELOW CRITICAL  
THRESHOLDS (<25%) ON MONDAY. PLEASE LET US KNOW IF YOU NEED ANY  
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION OR HAVE ANY ADDITIONAL CONCERNS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............56 DECREASING TO 37.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 14  
TO 22 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 89 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......4.0 INCREASING TO 25.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 53 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 70 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 86  
DECREASING TO 70 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 20.  
 
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........63 58 54 42 22 8 5 3 3 3 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 57 62 65 68 69 70 71 70 69 67  
DEWPOINT........54 56 58 58 54 49 45 42 39 38 37  
RH..............91 94 88 78 59 48 40 35 33 32 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 14 17 18 20 20 20 18 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 1.5 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.1 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW N N NW N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 17 20 20 21 22 21 18 14  
DISPERSION IDX..9 8 20 53 67 73 83 89 85 70 20  
LVORI...........5 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............9 8 20 53 67 73 83 89 85 70 20  
CEILING (KFT)...4.0 4.0 4.0 5.0 15 25 25 25 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............34 DECREASING TO 25.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3  
AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................4 TO 8.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......25.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........3 4 3 6 7 9 9 5 4 5 6 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 56 53 51 50 48 47 45 43 43 41 40  
DEWPOINT........36 33 32 32 31 31 30 29 27 26 25 24  
RH..............40 42 44 47 49 50 51 52 52 52 52 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 10 10 8 7 7 6 6 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 10 12 10 10 9 10 9 10 9  
DISPERSION IDX..8 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 4  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............8 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 5 4  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........18 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............21.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 14 MPH.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................11 TO 43.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
CEILING (KFT).......25.  
DISPERSION INDEX....15 INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 42 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 23.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 4 2 3 3 8 12 16 15 15 15 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 39 41 45 51 56 59 61 63 63 63 60  
DEWPOINT........23 22 23 22 23 21 20 19 19 20 20 22  
RH..............51 50 50 40 32 26 22 20 19 18 19 23  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.8 2.5 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 12 13 14 13 13 12 12 10 9  
DISPERSION IDX..11 11 11 18 29 37 42 43 43 40 33 23  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
ADI.............11 11 11 18 29 37 42 43 43 40 33 23  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
 
 
FORECASTER...WYATT  
REQUESTED BY...MIKE DAVIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2526028.0/FFC  
.DELDT 11/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHARLES.O.GRAY@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.DAVIS1@USDA.GOV  
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