325  
FNUS72 KGSP 021615  
FWSGSP  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG CREEK DOVE FIELD...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC  
1215 PM EDT TUE SEP 2 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO INFLUENCE OUR WEATHER  
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON. SHOWER ACTIVITY  
ON RADAR IN EAST TN MAY SPILL OVER THE MTNS INTO WESTERN OCONEE COUNTY  
LATE THIS AFTERNOON, BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW. RAIN CHANCES WILL BE  
BETTER ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AS MOISTURE INCREASES AHEAD OF AN  
APPROACHING COLD FRONT.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9437 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (31879 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................12 TO 40.  
STABILITY CLASS.....1.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........7000 DECREASING TO 100 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...0.0.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........43 45 46 50 52 55 57  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 20 20 30 30 30 40  
TEMP............70 73 75 76 76 76 74  
DEWPOINT........59 59 59 60 60 60 61  
RH..............67 62 59 57 57 59 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 3 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 9 10 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.4 4.0 4.6 4.3 4.1 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 7 7 7 7  
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............12 19 29 40 38 36 31  
VRATE MPH-FT/10009 15 23 32 32 30 26  
CEILING (HFT)...70 80 80 80 1.0 1.0 1.0  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 3 TO  
5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (15536 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1726 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................1 TO 19.  
STABILITY CLASS.....4.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........100.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...0.0.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........55 54 53 52 51 48 48 48 48 48 48 48  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF THDR (%).30 30 20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............73 70 68 66 65 64 63 62 61 61 60 60  
DEWPOINT........61 61 61 61 61 60 60 60 60 59 59 59  
RH..............67 73 79 83 86 89 91 92 94 95 96 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW W NW NW NW W W W W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 3 3 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 8  
ADI.............19 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2  
VRATE MPH-FT/100016 7 2 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
CEILING (HFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10  
SFC PRES (IN)...-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 10 TO  
15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2071 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (70663 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 75 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
STABILITY CLASS.....3.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08 INCHES.  
CEILING (FT)........100.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....MISSING.  
SFC PRESSURE (IN)...0.0.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........45 45 38 33 29 24 30 38 55 58 61 64  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 30 40 40 40  
TEMP............60 59 61 64 68 72 74 76 77 78 78 77  
DEWPOINT........59 59 60 61 63 64 64 64 64 64 64 64  
RH..............98 99 97 90 82 75 71 67 65 64 64 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NW W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 1 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 5 7 9 10 13 14 14 15 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.7 4.4 4.1 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 8 10 13 14 15 15 15 15 14  
LVORI...........10 9 7 5 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............2 4 6 12 26 42 59 75 60 59 56 50  
VRATE MPH-FT/10002 2 3 10 20 32 46 59 71 67 61 52  
CEILING (HFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
VISIBILITY (SM).  
SFC PRES (IN)...-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000-2000  
 

 
FORECASTER...PAT MOORE  
REQUESTED BY...WESLEY BENTLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2521120.0/GSP  
.DELDT 09/02/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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