136
FXUS62 KCHS 041651
AFDCHS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1251 PM EDT THU JUN 4 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
ALL KEY MESSAGES AND SECTIONS HAVE BEEN UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH RAIN
CHANCES INCREASING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND
WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DEEP-LAYERED HIGH PRESSURE WILL MAINTAIN ITS INFLUENCE ACROSS
THE SOUTHEAST U.S. THROUGH THE WEEKEND YIELDING SEASONABLE
TEMPERATURES AND RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS. A MODEST SEA BREEZE IS
LIKELY EACH DAY, BUT WILL HAVE LITTLE IMPACT ON THE CONVECTIVE
ENVIRONMENT GIVEN THE SYNOPTIC SUBSIDENCE ALOFT. IT WILL ONLY
BRING AN INCREASE IN LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND A BIT OF GUSTINESS
EACH AFTERNOON. HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE UPPER 80S/LOWER 80S
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS, REACHING THE LOWER-MID 90S BY
SUNDAY. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DROP WELL INTO THE 60S AWAY FROM THE
IMMEDIATE COAST WITH 70S AT THE BEACHES AND DOWNTOWN
CHARLESTON.
RAIN CHANCES WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A BROAD
WEAKNESS DEVELOPS ALOFT AND LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE BEGINS TO
INCREASE. A WEAK COLD FRONT COUPLED WITH SOME SEA BREEZE
INFLUENCES COULD ENHANCE THE CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ON TUESDAY,
BUT THE PATTERN WILL MOSTLY FAVOR TYPICAL, DIURNALLY DRIVEN
SHOWERS/TSTMS FROM WEDNESDAY ON.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
04/18Z TAF DISCUSSION:
KCHS/KJZI/KSAV: VFR THROUGH 05/18Z. SOME GUSTINESS WILL
ACCOMPANY THE SEA BREEZE THIS AFTERNOON.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK: THERE ARE NO CONCERNS.
MARINE
SEAS HAVE DIMINISHED ENOUGH OVER THE GEORGIA OFFSHORE WATERS TO
END THE SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY.
THROUGH TONIGHT: SEA BREEZE INFLUENCES ALONG THE LAND/SEA
INTERFACE AND CHARLESTON HARBOR WILL DIMINISH AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES. OTHERWISE, SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BACK MORE NORTHERLY
OVERNIGHT IN RESPONSE TO INLAND COOLING. SPEEDS WILL REMAIN 10
KT OR LESS WITH SEAS 2-4 FT.
FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY: MARINE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN ON THE
QUITE SIDE AS HIGH PRESSURE PREVAILS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. EXPECT
A TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN WITH THE MODEST SURGE OF WINDS
ALONG THE COASTLINE AS THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE TRACKS INLAND.
RIP CURRENTS: A MODERATE RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS CONTINUES THROUGH
EARLY THIS EVENING. THERE IS A LOW RISK FOR ALL BEACHES ON
FRIDAY.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
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