796
FXUS62 KCHS 100029
AFDCHS
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
829 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
MINOR CHANGES TO KEY MESSAGE 2 FOR REMOVING HIGH RISK OF RIP
CURRENTS ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST. THE AVIATION SECTION
HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE. THE MARINE SECTION
HAS BEEN UPDATED FOR ONGOING TRENDS.
KEY MESSAGES
- 1) DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING TEMPERATURES LATE THIS WEEK
INTO NEXT WEEK.
- 2) THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT GEORGIA BEACHES
THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS AND WARMING TEMPERATURES LATE THIS
WEEK INTO NEXT WEEK.
QUIET AND DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS HIGH
PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD AND THEN EVENTUALLY SHIFTS OFFSHORE.
ALOFT, A STRONG MID LEVEL RIDGE (NAEFS INDICATING 500MB HEIGHTS
EXCEEDING 99TH PERCENTILE) WILL BUILD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST.
UNFORTUNATELY, THIS PATTERN MEANS NO RELIEF TO THE SEVERE AND
EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AS THE 7-DAY RAINFALL FORECAST IS EXPECTED TO
BE 0. OTHERWISE, WARMING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED. BY THE
WEEKEND AND FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK, HIGHS SHOULD PEAK A SOLID 5-10
DEGREES ABOVE EARLY/MID APRIL NORMALS WITH SOME 90S BACK IN THE
FORECAST TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
KEY MESSAGE 2: THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT GEORGIA
BEACHES THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING.
GUSTY NORTHEAST WINDS AND ELEVATED SEAS WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT
DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS THROUGH LATE WEEK. LOOKING TO FRIDAY,
WINDS AND SEAS START TO SETTLE. HOWEVER, CONDITIONS WILL STILL
SUPPORT A HIGH RISK AT GEORGIA BEACHES, WITH A MODERATE RISK
ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA BEACHES.
AVIATION /00Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT CHS/JZI/SAV TERMINALS THROUGH
00Z FRIDAY.
EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK: VFR.
MARINE
THROUGH TONIGHT: MARINE CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE THROUGH TONIGHT,
HOWEVER WINDS AND SEAS WILL MAINTAIN SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ACROSS
ALL WATERS OUTSIDE OF THE CHARLESTON HARBOR. WINDS GUSTING INTO
THE 20-30 KT RANGE EARLY EVENING WILL SETTLE INTO THE 15-20 KT
RANGE OVERNIGHT. SIMILARLY, SEAS WILL SUBSIDE, ENDING AROUND 5-8 FT
BY SUNRISE FRIDAY.
FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY: THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL CONTINUE TO RELAX
AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES OVERHEAD ON FRIDAY. THE SMALL CRAFT
ADVISORIES ARE SCHEDULED TO COME DOWN FRIDAY AFTERNOON, WITH THE
EXCEPTION OF THE OUTER GEORGIA WATERS WHICH WILL PERSIST INTO
SATURDAY DUE TO LINGERING 6 FT SEAS. NO ADDITIONAL MARINE
CONCERNS FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE ALLOWING EASTERLY WINDS TO
EVENTUALLY VEER MORE TO THE SOUTH. SPEEDS WILL AVERAGE 15 KT OR
LESS WITH SEAS 2-5 FEET.
CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...HIGH RISK FOR RIP CURRENTS THROUGH FRIDAY EVENING FOR GAZ117-119-
139-141.
SC...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR AMZ350-352.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 5 PM EDT FRIDAY FOR AMZ354.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR AMZ374.
DPB/ETM
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