875
FXUS62 KFFC 190525
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
125 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS LIKELY THE NEXT SEVERAL AFTERNOONS DUE
TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.
- MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 7
DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2026
THE COMBINATION OF LOW AMPLITUDE MID-LEVEL RIDGING, SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE, AND A SUPREMELY DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS (PWAT OF 0.36"
MEASURED ON THIS MORNING'S 12Z SOUNDING, WELL BELOW THE 10TH
PERCENTILE CLIMATOLOGICALLY) WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED CLEAR AND DRY
CONDITIONS TO ROUND OFF THE WEEKEND AND KICK START THE WEEK. HIGHS
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE 60S, JUST A TICK WARMER -- INTO THE
LOWER 70S -- ON MONDAY AS AIRMASS MODERATION BEGINS IN EARNEST.
MORNING LOWS WILL BE SIMILARLY CRISP, IN THE 40S FOR MOST, AND IN
THE MID-TO-UPPER 30S ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA.
WITH MINIMUM VALUES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS AND LINGERING BREEZY POST-FRONTAL WINDS, A FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA
THROUGH 8PM THIS EVENING. VERY LITTLE IN THE WAY OF A WHOLESALE
AIRMASS CHANGE IS EXPECTED FOR TOMORROW, AND AT LEAST A SUBSET OF
THE AREA IS LIKELY TO MEET OR EXCEED CRITICAL THRESHOLDS,
POTENTIALLY NECESSITATING FURTHER PRODUCT ISSUANCE. DEWPOINTS ARE
PROGGED TO REMAIN QUITE LOW INTO THE NIGHT TONIGHT (LOW-TO-MID
20S), SO CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD FROST DEVELOPMENT ACROSS NORTHEAST
GEORGIA APPEAR TO BE LOW -- CURRENTLY PRECLUDING THE ISSUANCE OF
ANOTHER FROST ADVISORY. THAT SAID, PATCHY FROST DEVELOPMENT IS
POSSIBLE FOR SHELTERED AREAS THAT SEE CALM WINDS AND MORNING
TEMPERATURES AROUND OR BELOW 36.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT SUN OCT 18 2026
OVERALL BENIGN WEATHER WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK. OUR
AREA WILL BE STUCK BETWEEN THE SLOWLY MEANDERING VERTICALLY STACKED
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OFF THE EAST COAST AND RIDGING TO OUR WEST. SFC
HIGH PRESSURE IS EXPECTED TO PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS AS A
RESULT WITH A DRY AIRMASS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE. PWATS AT OR BELOW
0.5" ARE FORECAST AS A RESULT WITH NEAR 0 RAIN CHANCES. PLENTY OF
SUNSHINE AND CLEAR SKIES ALONG WITH SUBSIDENCE WILL ALLOW FOR DAY
TIME HIGHS TO CREEP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S THROUGH THE WEEK BUT
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE LOW TO MID 40S ACROSS THE
REGION. THE ONLY CONCERN WILL BE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. WITH DRY
AIR IN PLACE THERE ARE CHANCES FOR INCREASED FIRE DANGER EACH DAY
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 122 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2026
VFR THRU PERIOD. WINDS NE AT 5 TO 10 KTS WITH GUSTS OF 12 TO
17KTS UNTIL EVENING. NO IMPACTS DUE TO WX, VSBYS, OR CIGS
EXPECTED.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.
SM
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 43 76 46 75 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 46 75 49 74 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 42 75 45 73 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 43 76 45 77 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 46 78 48 79 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 46 75 49 74 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 45 79 47 79 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 42 76 43 78 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 43 76 45 76 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 47 74 50 75 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....HERNANDEZ
AVIATION...SM
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