341
FXUS62 KFFC 090122 AAB
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
922 PM EDT SUN MAR 8 2026
..EVENING UPDATE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 910 PM EDT SUN MAR 8 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL (15-20+ DEGREES)
THROUGH MIDWEEK BEFORE COOLER TEMPERATURES ARRIVE IN THE WAKE OF
A COLD FRONT.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT
INTO THE FIRST HALF OF TUESDAY.
- THE DEVELOPMENT OF MORE WIDESPREAD THUNDERSTORMS IS POSSIBLE
BEGINNING WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, LINGERING OVERNIGHT INTO
THURSDAY. MONITORING THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STORMS TO BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 910 PM EDT SUN MAR 8 2026
ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL LIKELY PERSIST FOR ANOTHER COUPLE OF HOURS.
OTHERWISE, LOW CLOUDS (WITH BASES AROUND 500 FEET) AND AREAS OF
FOG (SOME DENSE) ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY TOMORROW
(MONDAY) MORNING. VISIBILITY AS LOW AS ONE-QUARTER MILE CAN BE
EXPECTED IN DENSE FOG. WILL BE MONITORING HOW MUCH THE CURRENT
CLOUD DECK CLEARS OUT OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO -- AS WELL AS
VISIBILITY OBSERVATIONS -- TO DETERMINE IF A DENSE FOG ADVISORY
WILL BE WARRANTED.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM EDT SUN MAR 8 2026
A WEAK COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY DRAPED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA WITH
AREAS OF MAINLY LIGHT RAIN SITUATED ACROSS THE AREA AHEAD OF IT.
WIDESPREAD AND PERSISTENT CLOUD COVER HAS KEPT A LID ON BOTH
TEMPERATURES AND INSTABILITY THIS AFTERNOON WITH ANALYZED SBCAPE
LARGELY UNDER 500 J/KG EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THE PRESENCE OF THE
FRONT WILL LEAD TO SOME ADDITIONAL SHOWER DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY, THOUGH WEAK INSTABILITY WILL KEEP ANY
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL AT A MINIMUM. THIS ACTIVITY WILL DIMINISH
AFTER SUNSET.
LOW CLOUDS AND AREAS OF FOG CAN BE EXPECTED MONDAY MORNING BEFORE
DISSIPATING BY MIDDAY, LEADING TO PARTLY CLOUDY AFTERNOON SKIES.
WITH MORE WIDESPREAD SUN ON MONDAY, HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN
REBOUND INTO THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S, THOUGH LIKELY WELL SHY OF
DAILY RECORD HIGHS. FOCUS THEN TURNS TO AN APPROACHING MIDLEVEL
SHORTWAVE RIDING EASTWARD ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY BY
MONDAY AFTERNOON. THIS WAVE WILL INITIATE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS TO
THE WEST THAT WILL PROGRESS EASTWARD THROUGH MONDAY EVENING,
LIKELY IN THE FORM OF ONE OR MORE ORGANIZED CLUSTERS. SOME OF THIS
ACTIVITY (LIKELY BEGINNING TO WEAKEN IN INTENSITY) COULD APPROACH
PORTIONS OF THE AREA HEADING INTO MONDAY NIGHT.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 230 PM EDT SUN MAR 8 2026
AT THE START OF THE EXTENDED RANGE ON TUESDAY, THE SOUTHEAST WILL
REMAIN ENTRENCHED WITHIN AN UNSEASONABLY WARM AND MOIST AIRMASS --
FUELED BY MULTIPLE DAYS OF SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ROUTED ALONG THE
WESTERN EDGE OF PERSISTENT SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE. DAILY CHANCES
FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK, WITH
ANY DISTURBANCES PASSING THROUGH THE QUASI-ZONAL FLOW AT THE MID-
LEVELS SERVING TO BOLSTER COVERAGE. WARM TEMPERATURES AND PWATS ON
THE ORDER OF 1.2-1.6" -- GENERALLY ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE, AND
POTENTIALLY APPROACHING DAILY MAXIMUM VALUES CLIMATOLOGICALLY --
WILL SUPPORT EFFICIENT RAINFALL PRODUCERS, THOUGH PATCHY NATURE OF
CONVECTION SHOULD HELP TO MITIGATE MORE THAN NUISANCE FLOODING
FROM OCCURRING.
A BRIEF BUT MEANINGFUL PATTERN CHANGE LOOKS TO COME WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY, WHEN A STRONGER COLD FRONT RIDING ALONG THE LEADING
EDGE OF A BROADER MID-LEVEL TROUGH SWEEPS EASTWARD. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TO BE MORE WIDESPREAD AND PERHAPS QUASI-
ORGANIZED ALONG THE FRONT, AND THE HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES IN THE
LONG TERM LOOK TO COME ON THURSDAY AS THE BULK OF THE FRONTAL
FORCING PASSES THROUGH. KEEPING AN EYE ON THE POTENTIAL FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WITH
THE ARRIVAL OF FRONTAL FORCING (THIS ONE IS PROGGED TO BE MUCH
STRONGER, SUFFICIENT TO CAUSE A NEARLY 20 DEGREE DROP IN
TEMPERATURES). A DAY 4 15% (EQUIVALENT TO A SLIGHT RISK) CONTOUR
HAS BEEN ANALYZED RIGHT UP TO OUR FAR NORTHWEST COUNTIES BY THE
SPC -- BEST CHANCES LIKELY REMAIN OFF TO OUR WEST, BUT CERTAINLY
BEARS WATCHING ON THE FRINGE.
POST-FRONT, WE RETURN TO A REGIME OF SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND
ABUNDANT WARMTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND -- AND MORE NOTABLY, A LACK OF
DIURNAL RAIN CHANCES TO ROUND OUT THE WORK WEEK.
HIGHS THROUGH WEDNESDAY WILL BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO UPPER 80S,
WITH LOWS IN THE MID-50S TO LOWER 60S EACH NIGHT. ON THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY, HIGHS WILL BE IN THE MORE SEASONABLE UPPER 50S TO 60S (FAR
SOUTHEAST CENTRAL GEORGIA MAY STILL RISE INTO THE UPPER 70S ON
THURSDAY PRE-FRONTAL PASSAGE). LOWS ON THURSDAY MORNING WILL DIP
INTO THE MID-40S TO NEAR 60, AND COOLER STILL ON FRIDAY MORNING
POST-FRONT: IN THE MID-30S TO LOWER 40S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 737 PM EDT SUN MAR 8 2026
SHRA ARE NOW VERY ISOLATED ACROSS N AND CNTRL GEORGIA. CIGS WILL
TANK OVERNIGHT WITH WIDESPREAD IFR/LIFR EXPECTED THROUGH EARLY
MONDAY MORNING. AREAS OF FG/BR WILL ALSO BE LIKELY DURING THIS
TIME FRAME. LOW CLOUDS SHOULD SCATTER/LIFT BY 16Z-17Z. WINDS HAVE
ALREADY BEGUN SLACKENING THIS EVENING AND WILL BE LIGHT TO CALM
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY MONDAY MORNING. THEREAFTER, WINDS WILL BE
WEST AT 3-7 KTS. THE POTENTIAL FOR SHRA WILL RESUME AT/NEAR ATL
AFTER ~02Z TUESDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON CIGS AND VIS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
MARTIN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 58 77 59 80 / 20 0 40 40
ATLANTA 59 78 61 79 / 20 10 60 40
BLAIRSVILLE 52 73 53 74 / 20 0 50 50
CARTERSVILLE 57 78 60 79 / 20 10 60 40
COLUMBUS 61 80 63 82 / 30 20 40 10
GAINESVILLE 58 76 60 77 / 20 0 50 40
MACON 61 81 61 83 / 30 10 40 20
ROME 58 82 63 82 / 20 10 60 40
PEACHTREE CITY 58 79 60 79 / 20 10 60 30
VIDALIA 63 83 63 86 / 40 10 30 20
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...MARTIN
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