030
FXUS62 KFFC 231928
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
328 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A HAZY SKY WILL PERSIST ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA THROUGH FRIDAY
AS WILDFIRE SMOKE MOVES NORTHWARD FROM SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND
NORTHERN FLORIDA.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY, LEADING TO FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA
SATURDAY THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK. WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME, BUT DECENT RAINFALL MAY
IMPROVE DROUGHT CONDITIONS IN SOME AREAS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 308 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL MAINTAIN WARM, DRY
CONDITIONS THROUGH TOMORROW (FRIDAY). FAIR-WEATHER CUMULUS HAS
DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS
EVENING FOR ALL OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA (CWA) DUE TO VERY DRY
VEGETATION AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. ANOTHER FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT WILL BE NEEDED FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS
AT LEAST PARTS OF THE AREA. RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REFERENCE
THEIR LOCAL SHERIFF OR FIRE DEPARTMENTS FOR INFORMATION ON BURN
RESTRICTIONS OR BURN BANS.
WILDFIRE SMOKE HAS BEEN VISIBLE ON SATELLITE IMAGERY TODAY, BUT
HAS REMAINED ALOFT, EVIDENCED BY A LACK OF SURFACE VISIBILITY
REDUCTIONS AND REPORTS OF HAZE. WEAK LOW-LEVEL/MID-LEVEL
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST TOMORROW, SO A HAZY SKY WILL BE
POSSIBLE FOR PARTS OF THE AREA AS WILDFIRE SMOKE CONTINUES TO PUSH
NORTHWARD OUT OF SOUTHERN GEORGIA AND NORTHERN FLORIDA. SHOWERS
AND POTENTIALLY STORMS AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO
NORTHWEST GEORGIA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SATURDAY MORNING, WHICH
WILL BEGIN TO SCOUR OUT REMAINING SMOKE OVER THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 308 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
A MUCH NEEDED CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN IS ON THE HORIZON. BY
SAT MORNING A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL HAVE MOVED INTO NW GA
WITH SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS MOVING SE ACROSS THE AREA.
THE PARENT LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL WEAKEN AND FORCING AHEAD OF
THE FRONT WILL DIMINISH AS IT SINKS INTO CENTRAL GEORGIA, WITH
PRECIPITATION BECOMING MORE SCATTERED. HIGH TEMPS SAT AFTERNOON
WILL GET UP INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-85
CORRIDOR AND INTO THE 80S TO THE SOUTH. HOWEVER, WITH LOW LEVEL
SHEAR AHEAD OF THE FRONT PROGGED TO BE FAIRLY WEAK AND FORCING
DIMINISHING IN THE AFTERNOON, IT APPEARS THAT CONDITIONS WILL NOT
ALIGN FOR A WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT. WILL SEE MAINLY
GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO
DEVELOP.
ON SUNDAY, THE FRONT WILL STALL ACROSS SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA AND
A WEAK MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL QUICKLY PASS NORTH OF THE FORECAST
AREA, WHICH WILL ALLOW TEMPS TO REBOUND INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S
IN ALL BUT THE NORTHEAST GEORGIA MOUNTAINS. THE INFLUENCE OF THIS
RIDGE WILL ALSO HELP LIMIT POPS TO 20% OR LESS ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA, THOUGH POPS OF 25-40% WILL REMAIN FOR AREAS SOUTH OF
COLUMBUS AND MACON. AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL CONTINUE
MONDAY AS THE RIDGE IS DISPLACED FURTHER AWAY TO THE NORTH AND A
MID-LEVEL DISTURBANCE OVERRUNS THE STALLED FRONT. LATE MONDAY INTO
TUESDAY, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND STRENGTHENING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM
WILL ADVANCE FROM THE GREAT PLAINS THROUGH THE MIDWEST, WITH
ANOTHER COLD FRONT EXTENDING INTO THE SOUTHEAST. MORE WIDESPREAD
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO RETURN LATE MONDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY. WITH A WARM AND MOIST ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE, AND
MORE ROBUST SHEAR PROFILES COMPARED TO SATURDAY, THE POTENTIAL FOR
SEVERE WEATHER ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL NEED TO BE
MONITORED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS FROM FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY ARE
FORECAST TO BE BETWEEN 1.5-2.5" NORTH OF I-85, WITH PROGRESSIVELY
DIMINISHING AMOUNTS TO THE SOUTH AND EAST, DOWN TO ABOUT 0.5" IN
EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA. LOCALLY HIGHER TOTALS WILL BE POSSIBLE WHERE
STRONGER STORMS OCCUR.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 125 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
NO CIG RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. SMOKE
FROM WILDFIRES IN S GEORGIA AND N FLORIDA HAS REMAINED ALOFT THUS
FAR TODAY, SO NOT EXPECTING REDUCTIONS IN VIS DUE TO HZ AT THE TAF
SITES. DIURNALLY-DRIVEN SCT CU AROUND 7 KFT HAS DEVELOPED TODAY
AND WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TOMORROW (FRIDAY) AFTERNOON. LIGHT SW WINDS
(AROUND 3-6 KTS) WILL GIVE WAY TO LIGHT/VRB TO CALM WINDS OVERNIGHT.
WINDS WILL REMAIN SW AT 4-8 KTS TOMORROW.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
MARTIN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 56 83 60 80 / 0 0 10 70
ATLANTA 60 83 63 79 / 0 0 30 80
BLAIRSVILLE 52 78 55 74 / 0 10 40 80
CARTERSVILLE 56 85 60 80 / 0 10 50 80
COLUMBUS 57 86 61 83 / 0 0 20 80
GAINESVILLE 58 83 62 79 / 0 10 30 80
MACON 57 86 61 83 / 0 0 10 60
ROME 54 85 60 81 / 0 10 60 80
PEACHTREE CITY 56 84 60 81 / 0 0 30 80
VIDALIA 57 88 62 89 / 0 10 0 40
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MARTIN
LONG TERM....01/KING
AVIATION...MARTIN
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