992
FXUS62 KFFC 072351
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
751 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- THE COLD FRONT WILL CLEAR THE AREA TO THE SOUTHEAST THIS
EVENING, WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COMING TO AN END.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES TONIGHT AND FRIDAY WILL GIVE WAY TO A
WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL RETURN ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY,
WITH ANOTHER 0.5-2 INCHES OF RAIN FORECAST THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 314 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2026
A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY STRETCHING FROM WSW TO ENE ACROSS CENTRAL
GEORGIA, AND WILL CONTINUE MOVING SOUTHWARD THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. HIGH TEMPERATURES IN AREAS AHEAD OF THE
FRONT WILL RISE INTO THE LOW 80S COMPARED TO LOW TO MID 70S BEHIND
THE FRONT (AND 60S IN THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF FAR NORTH GEORGIA).
FORCING AHEAD OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY HAS WEAKENED, WITH A LINE OF
LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWERS ONGOING AHEAD OF THE FRONT WITH SOME
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EMBEDDED WITHIN. THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP
COULD STILL BE ABLE TO TAP INTO SBCAPE VALUES OF 400-800 J/KG AND 0-
1 KM SHEAR BETWEEN 20-25 KT, BECOMING STRONG AND CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. PRECIPITATION IS
EXPECTED TO COME TO AN END BY THIS EVENING AS THE COLD FRONT CLEARS
THE FORECAST AREA TO THE SOUTHEAST. AS THE AXIS OF THE UPPER LEVEL
TROUGH DRIVING THE FRONT MOVES AWAY TO THE EAST, IT WILL BE REPLACED
WITH NEARLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT. THE FRONT ITSELF WILL BECOME ORIENTED
ROUGHLY PARALLEL TO THIS FLOW AND STALL NEAR THE NORTHERN GULF COAST
OVERNIGHT.
COOL AND DRY AIR WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE INTO THE FORECAST AREA IN
THE NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BEHIND THE FRONT. AS CLOUD COVER DIMINISHES
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, TEMPERATURES WILL DROP AS LOW AS THE MID
40S TO LOW 50S IN NORTH GEORGIA AND MID 50S IN CENTRAL GEORGIA ON
FRIDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE QUICKLY ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST
ON FRIDAY, WHICH WILL INHIBIT RAIN CHANCES. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE AREA, WITH THE
ONLY EXCEPTIONS BEING UPPER 60S IN THE MOUNTAINS AND UPPER 70S IN
EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA. BEHIND THE HIGH, TROUGHING EXTENDING TOWARDS
THE SOUTH TEXAS WILL DEVELOP ANOTHER WAVE ALONG THE NORTHWEST GULF
COAST ON FRIDAY. THIS SYSTEM WILL THEN PUSH NORTHEAST TOWARDS SOUTH
MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BY FRIDAY NIGHT. AS THIS OCCURS, THE PREVIOUSLY
STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL BE SLOWLY LIFTED BACK TO THE NORTH,
AND RAIN WILL SPREAD FROM WEST TO EAST BACK INTO THE FORECAST AREA
BY THE TIME THE LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 314 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2026
THE LONG TERM PICKS UP ON SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY AND ONGOING SHOWERS
WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM WILL CONTINUE
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE THREAT FOR SEVERE WEATHER WILL REMAIN LOW,
WITH INSUFFICIENT INSTABILITY OR UPPER LEVEL DYNAMICS NEEDED TO GET
STORMS GOING.
BUT WITH A STATIONARY FRONT IN PLACE AND PLENTY OF MOISTURE
AVAILABLE, WE COULD SEE A LOW END RISK FOR FLASH FLOODING;
ESPECIALLY IN THE METRO AREAS OF ATLANTA AND COLUMBUS WITH THE AMOUNT
OF RAIN RECEIVED EARLIER IN THE WEEK. WEEKEND RAINFALL TOTALS
BETWEEN SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WILL RANGE FROM 0.5-1.5" THOUGH SOME
ISOLATED AREAS COULD RECEIVE UPWARDS OF TWO INCHES. THE THREAT OF
RIVER FLOODING MAY INCREASE AS WELL TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEKEND.
RAIN SHOULD CLEAR THE AREA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SETTLE IN BEHIND IT. COOLER CONDITIONS WILL LINGER THROUGH NEXT
WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S WITH LOWS IN THE MID 40S AND LOW
50S. TEMPS WILL HEAT UP LATE NEXT WEEK AS TEMPS CLIMB BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID 80S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 737 PM EDT THU MAY 7 2026
VFR CONDS EXPECTED FOR NORTHERN TAF SITES THRU THE PD WITH
PRIMARILY A WIND FCST (MOSTLY 7KTS OR LESS) OVER THE NEXT 24
HOURS. CIGS WILL LARGELY REMAIN SCT-BKN AT 15-25KFT, WITH OCNL
CU/STRATUS AT 3-5KFT. WINDS INITIALLY NW/WNW AT 5-9KTS WILL GO
CALM/VRB AFT 06Z, PICKING UP OUT OF THE NE/ENE AT 4-6KTS BY
12-13Z. WINDS WILL THEN SHIFT BACK TO THE SW BY 18-19Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.
96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 51 73 55 75 / 0 0 40 50
ATLANTA 53 73 57 76 / 0 0 50 60
BLAIRSVILLE 42 69 48 74 / 0 0 20 30
CARTERSVILLE 46 74 53 78 / 0 0 40 40
COLUMBUS 55 76 58 77 / 0 0 60 80
GAINESVILLE 50 71 55 75 / 0 0 30 40
MACON 54 76 58 77 / 0 0 60 70
ROME 45 74 51 78 / 0 0 30 30
PEACHTREE CITY 50 74 55 76 / 0 0 60 60
VIDALIA 59 79 62 79 / 10 0 50 70
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...KING
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...96
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