280
FXUS62 KFFC 032330
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
730 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON.
- DIURNALLY-ENHANCED STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK.
- AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REMAIN WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF SEASONAL
NORMS (MID-80S TO LOWER 90S) THROUGH THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 206 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
OWING TO THE INFLUENCE OF A CLOSED LOW ALOFT, WE'LL START THE WEEK
ON THE COOLER (AND RAINIER) SIDE. THE AFOREMENTIONED FEATURE WILL
SET UP SHOP ATOP THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY TODAY, AND
PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL INITIALLY BE FAVORABLY PLACED WITHIN A DRY
SLOT THAT WILL HELP SUPPRESS CONVECTION ALONG THE COLUMBUS TO ATHENS
CORRIDOR (POPS IN GENERAL ARE BETWEEN 20-40% ELSEWHERE, FOR ALL
EXCEPT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA THAT ARE LIKELY TO SEE
TERRAIN ENHANCEMENT). BY TUESDAY, THE CLOSED LOW WILL BE SITUATED
OVER GEORGIA PROPER, SERVING TO SUPPORT DIURNALLY-ENHANCED
CONVECTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. COLD CORE SYSTEMS HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO LOCALLY INCREASE CHANCES FOR ERRANT SEVERE CONCERNS AS
LAPSE RATES STEEPEN, BUT CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ANYTHING MORE THAN
AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM SHOULD BE PRECLUDED
BY PROGGED "COOLER" SURFACE TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER, WILL NEED TO KEEP
AN EYE ON THIS MOVING INTO TOMORROW BASED ON WHERE CORRIDORS FOR
STRONGER HEATING PRESENT THEMSELVES.
HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE MID-80S TO LOWER 90S THROUGH TOMORROW, WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 206 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
OUR AREA IS SANDWICHED BETWEEN TWO HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS WITH A
CUTOFF MID-LEVEL LOW SPINNING OVER THE REGION. THIS SETUP WILL
SUPPORT A GENERAL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND DECENT MOISTURE PROFILE
WITH PWATS RANGING FROM 1.5-2" EACH DAY. EXPECT MOSTLY DIURNAL
DRIVEN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS FAVORING THE NORTH AND
EAST CWA EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WHILE NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED, A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE PERIOD, WITH STRONG WINDS AS THE PRIMARY THREAT, IN ADDITION
TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING FROM THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT. MODEL
GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
PATTERN PERSISTING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SUPPRESSED SLIGHTLY DUE TO THE INCREASED AFTERNOON CLOUD COVER
THROUGH THE WEEK RANGING FROM THE 80S TO LOW 90S AND INCREASING TO
THE LOW TO MID 90S INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 723 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
MOSTLY VFR THRU THE PERIOD. SHRA WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH IN
COVERAGE AFTER 00Z. CSG MAY SEE MVFR CIGS OVERNIGHT GIVEN RECENT
RAIN. OTHERWISE, MVFR CIGS WILL BE PATCHY IN NATURE AT THE
REMAINING SITES PRIMARILY FROM 10-18Z. SCT SHRA AND ISO TSRA ONCE
AGAIN ON TUESDAY. ONCE WINDS CALM TONIGHT, WILL LIKELY BE VRB
3-6KTS THROUGH THE BETTER PART OF THE AFTERNOON TUESDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE ON WIND DIRECTION TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL REMAINING ELEMENTS.
07
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 70 85 69 86 / 10 70 50 80
ATLANTA 72 87 72 86 / 10 60 30 80
BLAIRSVILLE 65 81 66 80 / 20 70 50 90
CARTERSVILLE 70 88 71 87 / 10 60 30 80
COLUMBUS 72 91 73 91 / 10 50 20 50
GAINESVILLE 70 83 70 83 / 10 70 50 90
MACON 71 90 71 90 / 10 50 20 50
ROME 68 88 69 87 / 10 60 30 80
PEACHTREE CITY 70 87 70 87 / 10 70 40 80
VIDALIA 72 91 72 92 / 20 60 20 40
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....82
AVIATION...07
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