843
FXUS62 KFFC 270724
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
324 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE END OF THE WORK
WEEK.
- NEAR-SEASONAL TEMPERATURES EXPECTED WITH A SLIGHT WARM UP BY
THE END OF THE WEEK.
- PRECIPITATION CHANCES BEGIN TO INCREASE AS WE GET INTO THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
FOR TODAY EXPECTING MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AGAIN WITH THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGH PRESSURE STILL SOLIDLY IN PLACE. TOMORROW A SHORTWAVE PUSHES
INTO SOUTHERN TN, N AL, AND NW GA WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR CLOUDS TO
FILTER INTO THE AREA AS EARLY AS WEDNESDAY MORNING. SHOULD REMAIN
OVER NORTHERN GEORGIA WITH MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES OVER THE REMAINDER
OF THE AREA. DESPITE THE SHORTWAVE, THE DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE WILL
KEEP THE AREA FREE FROM RAIN CHANCES, AS IS EXPECTED THROUGH MUCH
OF THE WEEK. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHEAST THROUGH THE
NEXT TWO DAYS WITH SPEEDS AT 5-8MPH THROUGHOUT THE NEXT TWO DAYS.
TEMPERATURES ARE UNFORTUNATELY BEGINNING TO RISE WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES TODAY IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S ACROSS THE AREA WHICH
IS 5-7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HIGH TEMPS TOMORROW WILL BE CLOSER TO
THE LOW TO MID 70S ACROSS THE AREA WITH THE INFLUENCE OF CLOUD
COVER. LOWS WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S. WITH
THE DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE, WILL BE KEEPING AN EYE ON RH VALUES IN
CENTRAL GEORGIA ALTHOUGH THEY CURRENTLY REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 315 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
THE LONG TERM DISCUSSION REMAINS MOSTLY THE SAME WITH LITTLE TO TALK
ABOUT ON THE FRONT END OTHER THAN SOME LOVELY FALL WEATHER UNTIL WE
GET TO HALLOWEEN, WHERE RAIN CHANCES WILL START TO INCREASE A BIT.
THERE DOES SEEM TO BE SOME INCREASING PROBABILITIES THAT EVERYONE
WILL SEE SOME RAIN THAT IS MORE THAN JUST A FEW SPRINKLES WITH THE
WEEKEND SYSTEM.
GOING INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST
WILL MOVE OFF THE EAST COAST INTO THE ATLANTIC. TEMPS WILL WARM A
BIT, INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S FOR HIGHS ON THURSDAY, BUT HIGH
PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP US DRY. A VERY QUICK MOVING CLIPPER-
LIKE SYSTEM WILL MOVE ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST ON
THURSDAY, SQUEEZING OUR CURRENT AIRMASS BETWEEN DRY, COLD AIR TO THE
NORTH AND THE MORE SUBTROPICAL AIR WELL TO OUR SOUTH. THIS AIR MASS
WILL MODIFY, WARMING A BIT MORE THROUGH MIXING PROCESS ON FRIDAY AND
BRINGING TEMPERATURES AT OR ABOVE 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL IN SOME
LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. INCREASING CLOUD COVER
INTO FRIDAY NIGHT WILL MEAN TEMPERATURES ONLY GET DOWN INTO THE MID
TO UPPER 50S, COMPARED TO THE WIDESPREAD 40S WE'VE BEEN EXPERIENCING.
SOME UNCERTAINTY STILL REMAINS AROUND TIMING FOR RAINFALL MOVING
INTO SATURDAY AND SUNDAY. STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF
THE NORTHEAST, DRIVING ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH ALONG THE APPALACHIANS
THAT SHOULD BRING ANOTHER WEDGE/CAD EVENT INTO THE CWA. MACHINE
LEARNING GUIDANCE DEFINITELY LEANS INTO A PRETTY DECENT WEDGE,
PERHAPS SHOWING SOME NEEDED BIAS CORRECTION FOR THE CURRENT MODELS.
EITHER WAY, RAIN CHANCES START TO SHOW UP BETWEEN 18Z AND 00Z,
PICKING UP EVEN MORE OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY. THE GFS ENSEMBLE SEEMS A
BIT OF AN OUTLIER IN TERMS OF A FASTER TIMING FOR THE RAIN, BUT WE
SHALL SEE. STILL WORTH PREPARING FOR SOME POTENTIAL SHOWERS DURING
TRICK-OR-TREAT, ESPECIALLY IN PARTS OF WESTERN GEORGIA. ONCE RAIN
DOES MOVE THROUGH INTO SUNDAY, PROBABILITIES OF GREATER THAN 0.1"
ARE STARTING TO MOVE UP, SHOWING WIDESPREAD 70+% ACROSS GEORGIA.
CURRENT FORECAST WOULD BRING A QUARTER TO HALF AN INCH OF RAIN TO
SOME AREAS BY THE TIME THE SYSTEM MOVES OUT SUNDAY EVENING.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 127 AM EDT TUE OCT 27 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH SCT TO BKN HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS AT 25K FEET THROUGH MORNING BEFORE CLEARING OUT. NE WINDS
CONTINUE AT 4-7KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
HERNANDEZ
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 75 46 73 52 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 74 51 73 54 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 73 45 70 44 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 76 46 74 48 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 78 49 77 54 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 73 50 71 53 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 77 45 77 53 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 76 43 74 44 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 75 45 73 50 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 79 49 79 59 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....LUSK
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
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