104
FXUS62 KFFC 260800
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
400 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2026
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. DESPITE THIS,
LITTLE TO NO MEANINGFUL IMPROVEMENT TO ONGOING DROUGHT IS
ANTICIPATED.
- FAIRLY SEASONAL TEMPERATURES (70S & 80S) ARE EXPECTED THROUGH
AT LEAST MID-WEEK NEXT WEEK, WARMING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL BY
THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 346 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2026
FOLLOWING FLEETING, PATCHY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FOR SOME ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING (AMOUNTING TO GENERALLY LESS THAN A
QUARTER OF AN INCH OF RAINFALL FOR THE "WINNERS"), MUCH OF THE
AREA WILL BE POST-FRONTAL BY SUNRISE. THAT, COMBINED WITH WEAK,
LOW AMPLITUDE RIDGING IN THE MID-LEVELS, WILL SUPPORT RELATIVELY
TRANQUIL CONDITIONS TODAY AND TOMORROW.
AREAS THAT RECEIVED RAINFALL YESTERDAY ARE LIKELY TO SEE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING. FOG WILL LIFT AND
SCATTER THROUGH MID-MORNING, WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED THIS
AFTERNOON. LOW-END (15-20%) POPS HAVE BEEN MAINTAINED ACROSS OUR FAR
SOUTHEASTERN TIER THIS AFTERNOON, SUPPORTED BY THE COMBINATION OF
FORCING GENERATED BY A WEAK SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED OFF
THE CAROLINA COAST AND LIFT OFF OF THE FRONT. COVERAGE WILL BE
PATCHY IF ANYTHING MATERIALIZES, AND ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS WILL
BE MEAGER (A QUARTER OF AN INCH OR LESS).
MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO MONDAY. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE INTO PLACE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST DURING THE
MORNING, WITH THE U-SHAPED ISOBARS CHARACTERISTIC OF THE WEDGE
ADVANCING ALONG THE LEE SIDE OF THE APPALACHIANS. AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE AT LEAST A FEW DEGREES COOLER DUE TO THE EFFECTS OF WEAK
COLD AIR DAMMING, AND PERHAPS APPRECIABLY SO FOR THE TERRAIN OF
NORTHEAST GEORGIA (WHICH MAY REMAIN IN THE 60S ON MONDAY VS. THE 70S
TO NEAR 80 ON SUNDAY). EXPECT RAIN CHANCES TO BEGIN TO INCREASE
AFTER DARK AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE NORTHWEST.
HIGHS TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL BE A COUPLE OF DEGREES WARMER THAN
AVERAGE, IN THE LOW-TO-MID 80S TODAY, AND IN THE MID-70S TO LOWER
80S ON MONDAY. IF YOU'RE WALKING OUT THE DOOR TO WORK ON MONDAY
MORNING ACROSS EASTERN GEORGIA, YOU MAY WANT TO KEEP A LIGHT JACKET
HANDY AS LOWS WILL LIKELY BE IN THE LOWER 50S. ACROSS THE SOUTH AND
WEST, EXPECT TO BE JUST A FEW DEGREES WARMER, IN THE UPPER 50S TO
LOWER 60S.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 346 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2026
THE LONG TERM FORECAST FEATURES A WEAKENING POLAR JET AND A
RELATIVELY ZONAL SUBTROPICAL JET ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. THE MAIN
FEATURE OF THE REST OF THE WEEK WILL BE THE RETURN OF CONSISTENT
RAIN CHANCES NEARLY EVERYDAY NEXT WEEK. THE GREATEST CHANCES FOR
NOTABLE RAINFALL WILL BE TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY AS A STRONGER
SHORTWAVE MOVES ALONG THE SUBTROPICAL JET TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST
CONUS. SUBSEQUENT SURFACE LOW DEVELOPMENT WILL DRIVE STRONG MOISTURE
ADVECTION ACROSS THE STATE. WE COULD BE LOOKING AT A RETURN TO PWATS
OVER 1 INCH BY TUESDAY MORNING, SETTING US UP FOR MORE WIDESPREAD
RAIN COVERAGE. THAT SAID, CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS MAY BE UNDER-
REPRESENTED IN THE MODELS AND COULD EAT INTO ANY RAINFALL TOTALS.
WILL LIKELY NEED TO GET THE CAMS IN RANGE TO GET A BETTER LOCK ON
QPF. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME, BUT GIVEN THE
DYNAMICS WE WILL NEED TO KEEP AN EYE OUT FOR THE WEDNESDAY SYSTEM.
FURTHER RAINFALL CHANCES CONTINUE AS WE MOVE THROUGH THE END OF NEXT
WEEK, HOWEVER ANY CONFIDENCE IN A FORECAST WILL BE LOW/DEPENDENT ON
THE WEDNESDAY FEATURE.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE WARM, BUT COMFORTABLE, REACHING FROM THE
MID 70S TO THE UPPER 80S. LOOKING FURTHER OUT, TO THE END OF NEXT
WEEK. MODELS HAVE BEEN TRENDING TOWARDS THE DEVELOPMENT OF A
BLOCKING PATTERN OVER THE ATLANTIC, WHICH WOULD SUGGEST FURTHER
POTENTIAL COOLING FOR NEXT WEEKEND. AGAIN, THIS WILL LIKELY BE A
WAITING GAME.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 136 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2026
CONDITIONS INITIALLY VFR WITH DETERIORATE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. EXPECT SCT TO BKN MVFR BY 07-08Z, AND THEN BKN TO OVC IFR
BY 09Z, ACCOMPANIED BY IFR VSBYS IN BR. CANNOT RULE OUT BRIEF PDS
OF LIFR CIGS/VSBYS -- AND PERHAPS ISOLATED VLIFR VSBYS IN DENSE FG.
LIFTING AND SCATTERING WILL CONTINUE THRU MID-MORNING, WITH A
RETURN TO SCT VFR EXPECTED BY 15-16Z. WINDS INITIALLY FAVORING THE
W (AND CALM/VRB AT TIMES) WILL SWING TO THE NNE BY 19-20Z AT
4-7KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE MORNING CEILING PROGRESSION.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 83 55 77 54 / 0 0 0 10
ATLANTA 83 59 79 60 / 0 0 0 20
BLAIRSVILLE 79 50 73 51 / 10 0 0 40
CARTERSVILLE 83 57 80 57 / 0 0 0 30
COLUMBUS 86 61 83 60 / 0 0 0 10
GAINESVILLE 82 55 76 56 / 0 0 0 20
MACON 85 58 80 55 / 10 10 0 0
ROME 84 58 82 58 / 0 0 0 50
PEACHTREE CITY 84 58 80 57 / 0 0 0 20
VIDALIA 87 58 81 55 / 20 10 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...96
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