216
FXUS62 KFFC 162336
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
736 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- MOSTLY DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS.
- A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT THROUGH NOON SATURDAY FOR
PORTIONS OF NORTH AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA. GUSTS UP TO 35-40 MPH
ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONTAL PASSAGE.
- THE FIRST NEAR-FREEZING TEMPERATURES (<35F) OF THE SEASON ARE
POSSIBLE FOR THE TERRAIN OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA SUNDAY MORNING.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
A BROAD, STRONG COLD FRONT SITUATED ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF A
DIGGING MID-LEVEL TROUGH IS PROGGED TO SWEEP ACROSS THE STATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING. AT THE TIME OF WRITING OF THIS
AFD, TEMPERATURES IN NORTHWEST GEORGIA ARE IN THE LOW-TO-MID 80S,
AND 3 COUNTIES TO THE NORTHWEST -- JUST ACROSS THE GA/TN BORDER IN
BEDFORD COUNTY, TN -- TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE UPPER 50S (!). PATCHY
LIGHT SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE HAVE DEVELOPED WITHIN THE CLOUD SHIELD ON
THE BACKSIDE OF THE FRONT, AND LOW-END (15-25%) CHANCES FOR AN
ISOLATED SHOWER WILL FILTER ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA THIS
AFTERNOON. MOST WILL REMAIN DRY. A STOUT SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT
WILL DEVELOP IN RESPONSE TO THE ENHANCED FORCING, SUPPORTING THE
DEVELOPMENT OF BREEZY CONDITIONS AREAWIDE. WIDESPREAD GUSTS UP TO 25
TO 30 MPH ARE POSSIBLE, WITH A WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS
OF NORTH AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA TO HIGHLIGHT INCREASED CHANCES FOR
GUSTS UP TO 35 TO 40 MPH FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. AN IMPORTANT CONSIDERATION AS WINDS TICK UPWARD:
FOR AREAS THAT EXPERIENCED INCREASED TREE DAMAGE FROM THE GLANCING
BLOW FROM ISAIAS LAST WEEK, ANY PARTIALLY-DOWNED TREES OR LOOSENED
LIMBS WILL BE MORE EASILY DISLODGED AT LOWER-THAN-NORMAL WIND
SPEEDS. BE MINDFUL, AND BE SURE TO SECURE ANY LOOSE OUTDOOR
FURNITURE OR HOLIDAY DECORATIONS.
PWATS WILL PLUMMET POST-FRONT (<0.5", SUB-25TH PERCENTILE
CLIMATOLOGICALLY), WITH CLEAR AND DRY AND MARKEDLY COOLER CONDITIONS
EXPECTED ON SATURDAY. MORNING LOWS WILL BE CRISP IF NOT CHILLY FOR
SOME, IN THE 40S TO 50S. HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET OUT OF THE 50S
FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA, STAYING SOLIDLY IN THE 60S TO
NEAR 70 ELSEWHERE.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
CRISP START TO SUNDAY:
A DRY AND RELATIVELY COOL AIRMASS WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE AREA ON
SUNDAY, COURTESY OF STOUT N/NE FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF A STACKED LOW
OVER THE CAROLINA COAST. LOW TEMPERATURES SUNDAY MORNING WILL BE THE
COOLEST SO FAR THIS SEASON, WITH WIDESPREAD LOW TO MID 40S. ONE
EXCEPTION WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS, WHICH COULD FALL TO
THE MID 30S OR EVEN NEAR FREEZING IN THE COLDEST SPOTS. TEMPERATURES
WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY UNDER SUNNY SKIES, BUT WILL
STRUGGLE TO CLIMB OUT OF THE MID TO UPPER 60S. BETWEEN THE COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND SLIGHTLY BREEZY NORTHEAST WINDS (10MPH GUSTING TO
20MPH), THE FEELING OF FALL WILL BE IN FULL EFFECT.
DRY WITH GRADUAL WARMING NEXT WEEK:
GUIDANCE REMAINS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE FORECAST FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK, WITH A CLOSED MID-LEVEL LOW PARKED OVER THE
CAROLINAS. NORTH AND CENTRAL GA WILL REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE OF THIS
SYSTEM, WITH RAIN CHANCES NEAR ZERO. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY WARM
EACH DAY, BUT REMAIN RIGHT AROUND NORMAL, WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN
THE LOW TO MID 70S, AND OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S TO LOW 50S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 646 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
VFR CEILINGS WITH GUSTY NW WINDS. THERE ARE A FEW SHOWERS OUT
THERE NOW BUT THEY ARE DISSIPATING AND NOT EXPECTING THEM TO HIT
ANY OF THE TAF SITES. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE OVERNIGHT
WITH SPEEDS GETTING UP INTO THE 14-18KT RANGE AND GUST TO 30KT.
THESE WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY SAT THEN DIMINISH TO
10KT OR LESS JUST AFTER SUNSET SAT NIGHT. WE WILL SEE SOME OVC
SKIES OVERNIGHT BUT THEY SHOULD STAY IN THE VFR RANGE. CLOUDS WILL
CLEAR OUT AROUND SUNRISE.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 52 66 43 63 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 51 66 46 64 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 42 58 33 65 / 20 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 47 64 41 67 / 10 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 52 70 48 68 / 10 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 50 65 43 63 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 53 70 47 66 / 10 0 0 0
ROME 47 64 40 68 / 40 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 48 66 44 65 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 60 68 48 64 / 10 10 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL NOON EDT SATURDAY FOR GAZ005>009-012>016-020-
021.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...01
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