224
FXUS62 KFFC 062325
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
725 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WEATHER AND FAIRLY SEASONAL TEMPERATURES PREVAIL THROUGH FRIDAY.
- TD9 HAS FORMED IN THE GULF. WHILE UNCERTAINTY AROUND THE EXTEND
OF IMPACTS REMAINS HIGH, THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SEEING
IMPACTS FROM HEAVY RAIN, GUSTY WINDS, AND TORNADOES ACROSS NORTH
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 234 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
IT'S A BEAUTIFUL AFTERNOON OUT THERE WITH CURRENT TEMPERATURE
READINGS IN THE 70S AREAWIDE (60S IN THE MOUNTAINS) UNDER MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES -- IF YOU CAN, GET OUTSIDE AND ENJOY THE DAY! SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES
RESULTING IN MOSTLY DRY AND FAIRLY SEASONAL TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE
FORECAST AREA THROUGH THE SHORT-TERM PERIOD (THRU EARLY THURSDAY).
TONIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL DROP PRIMARILY IN THE 50S (40S IN THE
MOUNTAINS) UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES. VERY SIMILAR TRENDS ON
WEDNESDAY WITH DAYTIME TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOW 80S AND SUNNY
SKIES FOR MOST WITH LINGERING CLOUDINESS ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN
TIER OF COUNTIES.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 234 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
THE EXTENDED PERIODS BEGIN DRY WITH HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE
CAROLINAS AND NORTH GA. NEAR-SEASONAL/SLIGHTLY-ABOVE-SEASONAL
TEMPERATURES, THANKS TO A MID-UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN THAT FAVORS
SUBSIDENCE AND HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. THIS RIDGE BEGINS
TO BREAK DOWN FRIDAY ALLOWING THEW OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY ACROSS
CENTRAL FL TO BEGIN MOVING BACK NORTH.
SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY:
OUR EYES WILL BE ON THE GULF OVER THE COMING DAYS REGARDING THE
DEVELOPMENT AND EVOLUTION OF AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CURRENTLY IN
THE SOUTHWESTERN GULF. AT THIS TIME, THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
(NHC) HAS AN ALMOST 100% CHANCE OF TROPICAL FORMATION OVER THE NEXT
48 HOURS. FEATURES THAT WILL IMPACT THE TRACK OF THIS SYSTEM
INCLUDE: THE HIGH HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD (WHICH
COULD INDUCE COLD AIR DAMMING OR THE "WEDGE" ACROSS GA AND A
LONGWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE WESTERN CONUS. STEERING FLOW BETWEEN
THESE TWO FEATURES SHOULD BRING WHATEVER COMES OF THE SYSTEM
NORTHWARD INTO THE NORTHERN GULF AND SOMEWHERE ALONG THE GULF COAST
REGION. AS FAR AS POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA --
IT IS MUCH TOO EARLY TO SAY. RIGHT NOW THE BIGGEST IMPACT WILL BE
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION BUT EXACTLY WHERE AN D HOW
MUCH IS STILL UP IN THE AIR. CURRENT QPF PREDICTIONS FROM WPC
SHOWING AROUND 1 TO 3 INCHES ACROSS THE CWA. WE SHOULD ALSO SEE SOME
BREEZY CONDITIONS BUT LIKE THE PRECIPITATION, JUST HOW STRONG WILL
BE HIGHLY DEPENDENT ON THE EVENTUAL TRACK OF THE STORM. AT THIS TIME,
SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 15 MPH AND GUSTS UP TO 25-30 MPH ARE ON THE
TABLE. FLASH FLOODING AND/OR RISES ON RIVERS, CREEKS, AND STREAMS
WOULD ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
THE CURRENT MODELS DO SHOW THIS TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MAKING
LANDFALL THIS WEEKEND AND MAKING ITS WAY NORTHWARD INTO THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. THE DIFFERENCES IN TIMING, LOCATION, AND
INTENSITY VARY GREATLY BUT THEY ALL DO SHOW IT WEAKENING
SUBSTANTIALLY WITH A DRIER AIRMASS MOVING INTO THE REGION BY
MON/TUE. AS WE GET INTO NEXT WEEK THIS SHOULD BRING COOLER DAYTIME
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 70S TO LOWER 80S.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 723 PM EDT TUE OCT 6 2026
VFR THROUGH TAF PERIOD. NO IMPACTS FROM CIGS, VSBY, OR WX
EXPECTED. WINDS REMAIN ON EAST SIDE AT 4-9 KTS THROUGH PERIOD.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH ALL ELEMENTS.
LUSK
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 52 81 54 85 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 56 81 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 46 79 50 82 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 53 84 54 87 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 60 84 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 54 80 57 85 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 57 84 54 85 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 51 84 52 87 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 53 82 53 86 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 62 81 59 82 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...LUSK
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