112
FXUS62 KFFC 102319
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
719 PM EDT FRI APR 10 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 717 PM EDT FRI APR 10 2026
- HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND FOR AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS RISING
TO WELL ABOVE-NORMAL NEXT WEEK.
- WITH LITTLE CHANCE OF APPRECIABLE RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 5-7
DAYS DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO WORSEN.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM EDT FRI APR 10 2026
CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE REGION AS
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN. THE RIDGE
IS CURRENTLY CENTERED JUST OFF THE MID ATLANTIC/CAROLINA COAST AND
IS EXPECTED TO STAY FAIRLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. THE
RIDGE AXIS CONTINUES ACROSS GA BUT THE RIDGE IS BEGINNING TO WEAKEN A
BIT. THE TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT WE HAVE HAD OVER THE PAST FEW DAY
CREATING VERY GUSTY WIND CONDITIONS HAS WEAKENED. SEEING VARIABLE
WINDS AT 8MPH OR LESS ACROSS THE STATE WITH WINDS TURNING TO THE
WEST TO NORTHWEST SAT. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH THE VERY DRY
CONDITIONS AND LOW RH VALUES WILL ALSO KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
ELEVATED ACROSS THE REGION. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES WILL CONTINUE EACH AFTERNOON IN THE 20% TO 30% RANGE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GA WILL LIKELY STAY UNDER
A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM EDT FRI APR 10 2026
VERY WARM AND DRY PATTERN PERSISTS:
MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS IN STRONG AGREEMENT ON THE OVERALL
SYNOPTIC PATTERN THROUGH MOST OF NEXT WEEK, WITH VERY WARM AND
DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUING. A TEXTBOOK OMEGA BLOCK PATTERN WILL
SET UP DURING THIS PERIOD AND KEEP THINGS STAGNANT, WITH A STRONG
MID-LEVEL RIDGE DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF AND UP ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST US, AND TROUGHING ON BOTH SIDES OF THE RIDGE. DRY AIR
FROM THE MID TO HIGH LATITUDES WILL WRAP AROUND THE EAST SIDE OF
THE RIDGE AND KEEP PWAT VALUES OVER GEORGIA GENERALLY UNDER 0.5"
THROUGH AT LEAST THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, RESULTING IN NEAR ZERO
RAINFALL CHANCES. THIS WILL ONLY WORSEN OUR ONGOING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS, AND THE LOW MOISTURE WILL LIKELY LEAD TO DAILY FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS, EVEN IF IT ISN'T WINDY. AS THE RIDGE GRADUALLY
BUILDS AND THE AIRMASS WARMS NEXT WEEK, BOTH HIGH AND LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY END UP AROUND 12-20 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL. THIS WILL TRANSLATE TO HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING FROM
THE LOW TO MID 80S ON SUN-MON, TO THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S THE
REST OF NEXT WEEK. DAILY RECORDS WOULD BE IN JEOPARDY WITH THOSE
TEMPS. OVERNIGHT LOWS WOULD LIKELY ONLY DROP TO THE LOW TO MID
60S. THE ONE BENEFIT OF THE LOWER MOISTURE/HUMIDITY IS THAT HEAT
INDEX VALUES WOULD NOT BE A CONCERN DURING THIS PERIOD.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 717 PM EDT FRI APR 10 2026
VFR AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD. LIGHT/VRB WINDS TONIGHT,
PICKING UP SLIGHTLY AFTER 16Z SAT AT NORTH SITES 4-6KTS, THOUGH
STILL MAY BE VRB AT TIMES. PASSING HIGH CIRRUS ABOVE 20KFT,
OTHERWISE SKC.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
07
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 50 85 54 85 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 55 85 58 84 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 47 80 52 80 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 50 84 53 87 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 52 86 55 86 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 52 84 56 83 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 51 85 54 86 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 50 86 52 87 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 50 85 53 85 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 53 86 55 87 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...07
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