748
FXUS62 KFFC 151851
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
251 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 206 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2026
- COOLER TEMPS EXPECTED TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPS SLOWLY
REBOUNDING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- ACTIVE WEATHER WITH DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES ALSO EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- WITH INCREASED TROPICAL MOISTURE EXPECTED TO MOVE ACROSS THE
REGION BY THU/FRI WE COULD SEE SOME FAIRLY AGGRESSIVE
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 206 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2026
NOT MUCH GOING ON AT THE MOMENT AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT WENT
THROUGH THE AREA YESTERDAY HAS STALLED ACROSS SOUTH GA. THIS OLD
BOUNDARY WILL BEGIN TO MAKE ITS WAY BACK NORTHWARD TONIGHT WITH
PRECIP CHANCES INCREASING AFTER SUNSET. CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH GA MOVING SLOWLY
NE. THE HI-RESS MODELS SHOW THIS LINE STAYING SOUTH OF THE AREA
THROUGH SUNSET BUT STILL MAKING ITS WAY INTO OUR AREA OVERNIGHT.
PRECIP CHANCES INCREASE OVERNIGHT FROM SW TO NE WITH SHOWERS
EXPECTED INTO THE CSG/MCN AREAS BY 4AM AND PUSH INTO THE ATL AREA
JUST AFTER SUNRISE. INSTABILITY INDICES ARE VERY WEAK OVERNIGHT SO
SHOULD JUST SEE SHOWERS IN THE MORNING WITH THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING BY LATE MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. THE BOUNDARY APPEARS
TO STALL AGAIN SOMEWHERE BETWEEN ATL AND MCN TUE INTO WED ACTING
AS A GUIDE FOR INCREASED MOISTURE RETURN ACROSS THE STATE INTO THE
EXTENDED PERIODS. NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS (AROUND 1 INCH OVER THE NEXT 1 TO 2 DAYS) THE BETTER
PRECIP AMOUNTS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA LATER THIS WEEK.
LOW TEMPS TONIGHT AND TUE NIGHT WILL DIP DOWN INTO THE MIDDLE 50S
TO MIDDLE 60S. HIGHS TUE WILL BE MAINLY IN THE 70S WITH SOME
LOWER 80S ACROSS EAST CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE STATE.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 206 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2026
TO BEGIN THE PERIOD, ALL EYES WILL BE ON AN AREA OF INTEREST IN THE
GULF BY LATE WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO
DIVERGE ON WHETHER THE SYSTEM DEVELOPS OR NOT. WITH THAT SAID, THE
POTENTIAL FOR TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVING OVER THE STATE IS INCREASING.
PW VALUES OF TWO INCHES OR GREATER APPEARS POSSIBLE BY THURSDAY AS A
SWATH OF TROPICAL MOISTURE MOVES OVER THE REGION. WHILE WE ARE STILL
A FEW DAYS AWAY, IT IS IMPORTANT TO UNDERSTAND THAT REGARDLESS OF
ANY TROPICAL STORM DEVELOPMENT, HEAVY RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE TO
INCREASE ACROSS MUCH OF THE STATE FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
AS ADDITIONAL DATA BECOME AVAILABLE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS,
PLEASE CONTINUE TO CHECK BACK FOR THE LATEST INFORMATION.
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECT TO REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THROUGH MUCH OF THE
PERIOD GIVEN THE INCREASE IN POPS AND CLOUD COVER. SOME DAYS,
TEMPERATURES COULD EVEN BE BELOW AVERAGE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 110 PM EDT MON JUN 15 2026
NOT MUCH GOING ON TODAY BUT PRECIP BEGINS PUSHING BACK INTO THE
AREA TONIGHT AND SHOULD SEE SHRA/TSRA TUE. VFR CEILINGS EXPECTED
TO CONTINUE THROUGH DAYBREAK TUE BUT WILL BEGIN TO SEE
PRECIP/MVFR CEILINGS PUSH INTO THE ATL AREA TAF SITES JUST AFTER
SUNRISE. WILL SEE THE SAME THING FOR CSG/MCN JUST BEFORE SUNRISE.
WINDS EXPECTED TO BE MAINLY OUT OF THE W TO NW TODAY TURNING TO
THE SW TUE. WINDS SPEEDS WILL STAY IN THE 5-10KT RANGE BUT COULD
SEE SOME GUST 15-25KT IN AND AROUND ANY CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY TUE.
VSBYS EXPECTED TO STAY IN THE VFR AND EXCEPT WILL SEE SOME MVFR
VSBYS WITH SHRA/TSRA TUE.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 66 82 66 87 / 0 40 70 30
ATLANTA 67 80 68 85 / 10 80 70 40
BLAIRSVILLE 56 77 59 81 / 0 10 40 20
CARTERSVILLE 63 81 65 86 / 0 50 50 40
COLUMBUS 69 78 68 85 / 60 90 80 80
GAINESVILLE 65 80 66 85 / 0 40 50 30
MACON 68 80 67 85 / 30 90 70 70
ROME 62 81 65 86 / 10 40 40 30
PEACHTREE CITY 66 79 66 85 / 20 80 70 50
VIDALIA 72 82 70 85 / 40 80 70 80
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....JBC
AVIATION...01
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