178
FXUS62 KFFC 021840
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
240 PM EDT THU APR 2 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 234 PM EDT THU APR 2 2026
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY BEFORE A COLD
FRONT ON SUNDAY BRINGS TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL NEXT WEEK.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MAINLY IN CENTRAL AND EAST GEORGIA.
- A COLD FRONT WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD RAINFALL BETWEEN
SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, THOUGH FORECAST RAINFALL TOTALS WILL BE
INSUFFICIENT FOR SUBSTANTIAL DROUGHT IMPROVEMENT.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 234 PM EDT THU APR 2 2026
THE "SUMMER-IN-APRIL" PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY AS THE
FORECAST AREA WILL REMAIN ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE BERMUDA
HIGH. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN STUBBORNLY AT MID-MAY NORMALS WITH
HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE 60S, THOUGH DAILY RECORD HIGHS LOOK
TO REMAIN SAFE BOTH TODAY AND FRIDAY.
AS FAR AS ANY POTENTIAL FOR MUCH-NEEDED RAINFALL AMID THE ONGOING
(AND WORSENING) DROUGHT, THERE WILL BE NO REAL PROSPECT FOR
IMPROVEMENT THROUGH FRIDAY. THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON WILL
STAY HIGH AND DRY UNLESS A BRIEF DIURNAL SHOWER CAN BE EKED OUT IN
NORTH GEORGIA. FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING SHOULD BRING A BETTER
CHANCE OF SCATTERED DIURNALLY-ENHANCED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS,
PARTICULARLY ACROSS THE SOUTHERN AND EASTERN COUNTIES, AS A WEAK
INVERTED TROUGH LIFTS MOISTURE NORTHWARD. STILL, QPF WILL BE LIMITED
AND LOCALIZED, THOUGH A LUCKY FEW COULD GET A DECENT DOWNPOUR.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 234 PM EDT THU APR 2 2026
THE EXTENDED PERIODS BEGIN STILL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE BERMUDA
RIDGE BUT THINGS CHANGE QUICKLY AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES SOUTH
THROUGH THE AREA SAT NIGHT INTO SUN. THE FORECAST MODELS (GFS AND
ECMWF) HAVE BEEN VERY CONSISTENT WITH DEVELOPING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN PLAINS FRI NIGHT AND IT PUSHING INTO
THE MID TO LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY SAT MORNING/AFTERNOON. THE COLD
FRONT MOVES SOUTH AND EAST PUSHING INTO NW GA RIGHT AROUND 03-06Z
SUN. ITS EASTERLY PROGRESSION SLOWS DOWN A BIT AS IT PUSHES INTO
THE BERMUDA RIDGE BUT THE MODELS HAVE BEEN IN GREAT AGREEMENT SHOWING
THIS FRONT MOVING SE THROUGH GA SUNDAY AND STALLING SOMEWHERE ACROSS
S GA/N FL MONDAY. EXPECTING DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION AHEAD OF
THE FRONT SAT WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS THE
AREA AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. PRECIP CHANCES WILL BE ENDING FROM
NW TO SE SUN AFTERNOON/EVENING. UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT WITH THIS
FRONTAL PASSAGE IS MEAGER AT THIS TIME SO NOT EXPECTING A WIDESPREAD
SEVERE THREAT. MOSTLY LOOKING FOR EMBEDDED LIGHTNING AND SUB SEVERE
GUSTY WINDS POSSIBLE. MOST MODELS ARE INDICATING LESS THAN 200 J/KG
OF CAPE AS THIS SYSTEM PUSHES THROUGH FURTHER BACKING UP THE THOUGHT
PROCESS THAT THIS WILL STAY MOSTLY SHOWERS WITH A COUPLE OF EMBEDDED
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. RAINFALL TOTALS DURING THIS PERIOD REMAIN
BETWEEN 0.5-1". SO WE WILL NOT BE SEEING ANY DROUGHT BUSTING PRECIP
TOTALS.
AFTER THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH ANOTHER RIDGE BUILDS INTO THE REGION
FROM THE NE DRYING THINGS OUT AGAIN. THIS SECOND RIDGE SETS UP JUST
OFF THE NEW ENGLAND COAST AND STAYS FAIRLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE
END OF NEXT WEEK. THIS RIDGE KEEPS NORTH AND CENTRAL GA IN DRY NE
FLOW KEEPING THE AREA MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH DAY 7. WITH THE NE FLOW
TEMPS STAY NEAR SEASONAL NORMS TUE THROUGH THU. LOWS EXPECTED IN THE
MID TO UPPER 40S ACROSS THE AREA.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 111 PM EDT THU APR 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL INTO TONIGHT AMID CU IN THE 4-7 KFT
RANGE. MVFR CIGS BECOME MORE LIKELY BY 10-12Z AT AHN AND 13-15Z AT
ATL AREA SITES. IMPROVEMENT BACK TO VFR CIGS IS EXPECTED BY
16-18Z FRIDAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN SE 6-10 KTS THIS AFTERNOON, 5 KTS
OR LESS OVERNIGHT, AND 4-8 KTS ON FRIDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON FRIDAY MORNINGS CIGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON OTHER ELEMENTS.
RW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 60 82 63 81 / 0 20 30 60
ATLANTA 62 82 64 81 / 0 20 20 50
BLAIRSVILLE 56 76 58 75 / 10 10 30 70
CARTERSVILLE 62 84 63 83 / 10 10 20 50
COLUMBUS 62 84 63 85 / 0 20 20 40
GAINESVILLE 61 80 64 79 / 0 20 30 60
MACON 62 83 64 84 / 0 40 30 30
ROME 63 85 64 85 / 10 10 20 50
PEACHTREE CITY 60 83 62 83 / 0 10 20 40
VIDALIA 62 84 64 87 / 10 60 10 20
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...RW
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