493
FXUS62 KFFC 112324
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
624 PM EST SUN JAN 11 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 622 PM EST SUN JAN 11 2026
- DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH TUESDAY WITH A POTENTIAL FOR
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS EARLY IN THE WORK WEEK.
- COOLER WEATHER WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE COMING WEEK WITH
REINFORCING SHOTS OF COLDER AIR BY LATE WEEK.
- A COUPLE OF OPPORTUNITIES FOR LIGHT PRECIPITATION RETURN
WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND NEXT WEEKEND. CONFIDENCE IN
ANY WINTRY PRECIPITATION POTENTIAL REMAINS LOW AT THIS TIME.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 228 PM EST SUN JAN 11 2026
THE BASE OF A SHARP TROUGH HAS CLEARED NORTH GEORGIA TO THE EAST AND
IS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO THE CAROLINAS. THE MOVEMENT OF THIS TROUGH
TROUGH HAS PUSHED A SECONDARY DRY COLD FRONT INTO NORTH GEORGIA.
WITH A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT BETWEEN THIS FRONT AND STRONG
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE (1035+ MB) BUILDING INTO THE REGION FROM THE
SOUTHERN GREAT PLAINS, BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS HAVE OVERSPREAD
THE FORECAST AREA. WIND GUSTS WILL RANGE FROM 30-35 MPH IN THE
EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON HOURS, WITH ISOLATED WIND GUSTS REACHING AS
HIGH AS 40 MPH AT TIMES. WINDS WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT AS THE SURFACE HIGH APPROACHES AND THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT LOOSENS UP. THE STRONG NORTHWESTERLY FLOW BEHIND
THE FRONT IS ALSO PROVIDING A REINFORCING SHOT OF COLD AIR TO
NORTH GEORGIA, WHERE HIGHS WILL ONLY BE IN THE 40S THIS AFTERNOON.
FURTHERMORE, HIGHS IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET
OUT OF THE 30S. HIGHS IN CENTRAL GEORGIA WILL REMAIN SLIGHTLY
WARMER, LARGELY IN THE LOW TO MID 50S.
BY MONDAY MORNING, THE SURFACE HIGH WILL BE CENTERED OVER THE
SOUTHEAST. EARLY MORNING LOWS WILL LARGELY RANGE FROM THE MID 20S TO
LOW 30S AREAWIDE. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY WILL BE CLOSE TO DAILY
NORMALS, IN THE UPPER 40S TO MID 50S. WITH SUBSIDENCE UNDER THE HIGH
LEADING TO CONTINUED DRY WEATHER AND GUSTY WINDS FROM TODAY SERVING
TO DRY OUT FINER FUELS, IT WILL BE POSSIBLE TO SEE FIRE DANGER
CONDITIONS DEVELOP IN SOME LOCATIONS TOMORROW AFTERNOON. THIS WILL
BE MOST LIKELY IN PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA WHERE RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST TO DROP BELOW 25% FOR A FEW
HOURS IN THE AFTERNOON. FORTUNATELY, LIGHT WINDS OF 5 MPH OR LESS
UNDER THE HIGH SHOULD PREVENT RED FLAG CONDITIONS FROM BEING MET.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 228 PM EST SUN JAN 11 2026
A BRIEF WARMING TREND AT THE START OF THE LONG-TERM FORECAST PERIOD
BRINGS TEMPERATURES NEAR TO SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL TUESDAY INTO
WEDNESDAY. BY LATE WEDNESDAY INTO EARLY THURSDAY, THE FOCUS TURNS TO
AN INITIAL DEEP TROUGH THAT DIVES SOUTHWARD INTO THE AREA, BRINGING
A RETURN TO MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AS WELL AS THE THREAT FOR SOME
LIGHT PRECIPITATION. AT THIS JUNCTURE, MOISTURE RETURN APPEARS
MEAGER, SO ONLY VERY LIGHT QPF IS EXPECTED. STILL, WITH COLDER
TEMPERATURES SPILLING INTO THE AREA BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT, SOME OVERLAP
IN LIGHT PRECIPITATION AND FREEZING TEMPERATURES COULD OCCUR. AS
SUCH, A BRIEF PERIOD OF RAIN/SNOW MIX OR LIGHT SNOW SHOWERS IS
ADVERTISED DURING THIS TIME FRAME FOR PARTS OF NORTH GEORGIA. STILL,
LITTLE SUBSTANTIAL ACCUMULATION POTENTIAL IS EXPECTED WITH HIGHEST
ENSEMBLE PROBABILITIES OF LIGHT ACCUMULATION (~1") LIMITED TO THE
TYPICAL HIGHER ELEVATIONS IN NORTH GEORGIA WHICH WOULD BE EXPECTED
FROM A NORTHWEST FLOW EVENT OF THIS NATURE. HIGHS THURSDAY WILL
STRUGGLE TO REACH 40 DEGREES FOR MUCH OF NORTH GEORGIA AMID STRONG
COLD AIR ADVECTION WITH MANY AREAS LIKELY REMAINING IN THE 30S.
MODEL GUIDANCE THEN DIVERGES SUBSTANTIALLY BY LATE WEEK INTO NEXT
WEEKEND AS THEY STRUGGLE TO HANDLE THE TIMING AND PHASING OF THE
NEXT DEEP TROUGH. AS SUCH, WE CONTINUE TO RELY LARGELY ON ENSEMBLE
GUIDANCE AND PROBABILITIES AT THIS TIME AS OPERATIONAL SOLUTIONS
CONTINUE TO WAFFLE (INCLUDING THE ONGOING OUTLIER GFS). GIVEN
CONTINUED RELIANCE ON THE MEAN, THE FORECAST TILTS TOWARD THE DRIER
SIDE OF THINGS BY THE TIME THE COLDEST AIR ARRIVES. ULTIMATELY,
IT'LL STILL BE A FEW DAYS BEFORE CONFIDENCE INCREASES IN THIS TIME
FRAME, SO STAY TUNED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 622 PM EST SUN JAN 11 2026
IFR THROUGH PERIOD. WINDS GENERALLY N TO NW WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS
THROUGH ROUGHLY 3Z. GUSTS COULD BE BETWEEN 20 TO 30KTS. WINDS
TAPER OFF OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT TO VARIABLE BY MORNING AND
GENERALLY TURNING OUT OF THE WEST.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.
SM
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 27 50 30 59 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 28 48 32 57 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 20 48 26 57 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 24 48 26 56 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 28 51 29 58 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 28 48 32 56 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 28 51 27 60 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 28 53 29 60 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 25 50 27 58 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 30 53 30 61 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...KING
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...SM
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page