055
FXUS62 KFFC 311852
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
252 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- THE CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN THE FORECAST
THROUGH TUESDAY WITH DRIER WEATHER SLATED FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
THE WEEK.
- LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND A POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING REMAINS
THE PRIMARY CONCERN BUT A LOW-END CHANCE FOR STRONG GUSTY WINDS
ACROSS NORTH GA IS A POSSIBILITY ON MONDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 249 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026
CURRENT RADAR LOOP SHOWS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS FIRING
ALONG THE NEARLY STATIONARY BOUNDARY LAYING ACROSS CENTRAL GA.
THESE STORMS ARE VERY EFFICIENT RAIN MAKES WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER
VALUES IN THE 2" TO 2.5" RANGE THIS AFTERNOON. RIGHT NOW THE BASINS
ARE HANDLING THE RAIN RATES AND WE ARE NOT SEEING ANY FLOODING AS OF
YET BUT THIS IS DEFINITELY GOING TO BE A BIG CONCERN GOING INTO
THE EVENING HOURS.OR MOST OF CENTRAL AND SOUTH GA HAS BEEN ISSUED
FOR THIS VERY REASON. NORTH GA IS STILL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF THE
WEDGE/RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES NOSING DOWN THE
EASTERN SEABOARD AND INTO NORTH GA. THIS WEDGE IS KEEPING MOST
EASTERLY FLOW OVER THE STATE WITH LOW CLOUDS AND STEADY EAST WINDS.
BY MONDAY THE WEDGE WILL LOOSE ITS GRIP ON NORTH GA AS THE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE GETS PUSHED OFF SHORE BY AN INCOMING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY FROM THE NW THIS WILL TURN WINDS MORE NORTHWESTERLY AND
SCATTER THE LOW CEILINGS OUT THROUGH MID MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON.
CURRENTLY THERE IS A DAY 2 MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS FROM THE
SPC DUE TO A FEW WAVES PUSHING SE INTO THE AREA IN THE NWLY FLOW.
THERE DOES REMAIN A LOW CHANCE THAT A CLUSTER OF STORMS COULD DIVE
INTO NW GA MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THAT COULD LEAD TO A LOW END
DAMAGING WIND CONCERN ESPECIALLY IN AREAS THAT HAVE LOOSER SOILS DUE
TO THE RAINFALL THIS PAST WEEK. OTHER PARTS OF THE AREA MAY SEE
ISOLATED STORMS THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING BUT OVERALL A
DRIER PATTERN SHIFT IS BEGINNING TO TAKE PLACE AS WE MOVE INTO THE
EXTENDED PERIODS.
LOW TEMPS WILL MAINLY BE IN THE 60S TONIGHT AND MONDAY NIGHT WITH
HIGHS IN THE 80S MONDAY.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 249 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026
AT THE START OF THE LONG TERM PERIOD (TUESDAY), ANOTHER BACK DOOR
FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA FROM THE NORTH EVENTUALLY FOLLOWED BY
AN UPPER TROUGH. EXACTLY WHERE AND HOW FAR SOUTH THE FRONTAL
BOUNDARY ENDS UP IS STILL IN QUESTION AS WELL AS INTERACTIONS WITH A
DEPARTING LOW OFF THE ATLANTIC. THE LOCATION OF THE FRONT WILL
ULTIMATELY DETERMINE THE PLACES THAT ARE MORE LIKELY TO SEE SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ON TUESDAY. LATEST ENSEMBLES CONTINUE TO REFLECT
THESE PLACEMENT UNCERTAINTIES, THUS ELECTED TO LOWER RAIN CHANCES
SLIGHTLY ON TUESDAY. THE HIGHEST CHANCES ARE FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH-
CENTRAL GEORGIA AND AT THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.
UPPER RIDGING DRAPED SW/NE UP THE MS VALLEY REGION AND SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE EXTENDING SOUTHWARD FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE SOUTHEAST
LOOKS TO REMAIN IN PLACE FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF
THE WEEK. THIS WILL PROMOTE DRIER AND MORE COMFORTABLE TEMPERATURES
(AT LEAST FOR WEDNESDAY/THURSDAY) TO START OFF THE MONTH OF JUNE.
TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE IN THE 70S AREAWIDE WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE 50S (*CHEFS KISS*) ON WEDNESDAY. THURSDAY MORNING LOWS ARE
FORECAST TO BE IN THE 50S AREAWIDE. AS UPPER RIDGING AND THE SURFACE
HIGH SLIDES EASTWARD THROUGH THE WEEK, EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO
GRADUALLY TREND UPWARD EACH DAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1240 PM EDT SUN MAY 31 2026
WEDGE KEEPING EASTERLY WINDS AND LOW CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS WEDGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH MIDNIGHT
THEN LOOSEN ITS GRIP ON NE GA THROUGH MON MORNING. WILL STILL SEE
MVFR TO IFR CEILINGS OVER NIGHT BUT CEILINGS WILL LIFT INTO THE
VFR RANGE BY LATE MORNING.WINDS ARE OUT OF THE EAST AND WILL STAY
THERE THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL TURN TO THE NW BY DAYBREAK AS
THE WEDGE MOVES OUT. WIND SPEEDS IN THE 8-12KT RANGE WITH GUST TO
20KT THROUGH SUNSET. WIND SPEEDS DIMINISH TO 5KT OR LESS OVER
NIGHT PICKING BACK UP INTO THE 8-12KT RANGE MON.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 63 86 63 77 / 60 20 20 30
ATLANTA 66 85 67 81 / 40 10 30 40
BLAIRSVILLE 60 80 59 75 / 40 30 20 60
CARTERSVILLE 64 85 64 81 / 30 30 30 30
COLUMBUS 68 90 68 87 / 30 10 20 40
GAINESVILLE 63 84 64 76 / 50 20 20 30
MACON 66 87 66 83 / 40 10 30 60
ROME 64 85 64 81 / 30 30 30 20
PEACHTREE CITY 65 86 66 82 / 30 10 20 40
VIDALIA 68 86 68 84 / 50 20 30 80
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....07
AVIATION...01
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