349
FXUS62 KFFC 091023
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
623 AM EDT SUN AUG 9 2026
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WIND
GUSTS ARE POSSIBLE OVER FAR NORTH GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING ALTHOUGH THE RISK FOR WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
LOW.
- SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE WEEK AHEAD WITH GUSTY WINDS AS THE MAIN THREAT.
- HEAT INDEX VALUES APPROACH TRIPLE DIGITS BY MID WEEK AS TEMPS
WARM INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM EDT SUN AUG 9 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES CURRENTLY SHOWN ON SATELLITE SHOULD CONTINUE
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE LOW CLOUDS FILTER IN IN THE
MORNING HOURS AROUND SUNRISE. AREAS OF PATCHY FOG ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY OVER THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WHERE WE
SAW MOST OF THE RAIN FALL THROUGH YESTERDAY EVENING. PUSHING INTO
THE AFTERNOON, THE ENVIRONMENT MOISTENS UP A BIT WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE MID 70S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS ALONG WITH CAPE
VALUES CLOSER TO 2000-2500 J/KG WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF MORE OF A
SEVERE THREAT OVER FAR NORTHERN GEORGIA. CURRENT SPC OUTLOOK HAS
NORTHEAST GEORGIA WITHIN A MARGINAL RISK FOR SEVERE STORMS BUT
OVERALL THERE ISN'T TOO MUCH OF A DIFFERENCE IN ENVIRONMENT FROM
THAT AREA TO FURTHER WEST. WITH THIS IN MIND, STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. WITH SLIGHTLY
HIGHER PWATS, WATERLOGGED DOWNDRAFTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LIKE
WE'VE SEEN IN WEEKS PAST. SHOULD SEE STORMS BEGIN TO DISSIPATE
AFTER SUNSET FOR THE MOST PART. EXPECTING SIMILAR CONDITIONS ON
MONDAY ALTHOUGH STORMS MAY BE A BIT MORE ISOLATED IN NATURE.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 245 AM EDT SUN AUG 9 2026
OVER THE COURSE OF THE LONG TERM, MID-LEVEL RIDGING SET UP ACROSS
THE DESERT SOUTHWEST WILL GRADUALLY TRANSLATE EASTWARD -- SUPPORTING
A TRANSITION FROM NORTHWESTERLY FLOW TO SOMETHING MORE NEARLY WEAK
AND QUASI-ZONAL. IN THE ABSENCE OF STRONGER KINEMATICS, ANY
DISTURBANCES TRAVERSING MID-UPPER FLOW MAY HELP TO LOCALLY BOLSTER
CONVECTIVE COVERAGE (OR PERHAPS INTENSITY) BUT BY AND LARGE,
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS GARDEN VARIETY SUMMERTIME THUNDERSTORMS ARE
EXPECTED EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EXTENDED RANGE.
MOISTURE STREAMING OFF OF THE GULF WILL SUPPORT DEWPOINTS IN THE MID-
TO-UPPER 70S AND PWATS GENERALLY 1.7" OR HIGHER. ABUNDANT MOISTURE
COMBINED WITH SEASONABLE AFTERNOON HIGHS (IN THE UPPER 80S TO 90S)
WILL SUPPORT A RETURN TO HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS.
HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA IS LIKELY TO BE MET FOR AT LEAST SUBSETS OF
THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE AREA, AND SUBSEQUENT PRODUCT ISSUANCE IS
POSSIBLE ASSUMING TRENDS CONTINUE. CONVERSELY, THE AFOREMENTIONED
CONDITIONS SET THE STAGE FOR CONTINUED CHANCES FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IN ANY STORMS THAT FORM, ALONG WITH ISOLATED FLASH FLOODING
CONCERNS.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 AM EDT SUN AUG 9 2026
IFR CIGS AFFECTING MCN AND PUSHING NORTH MAY AFFECT THE NORTHERN
TAF SITES. SHOULD SEE THESE SCATTER OUT ~14-15Z BEFORE AN
AFTERNOON CU FIELD FORMS ~3-4KFT AGAIN. CHANCE FOR TSRA FROM
18-24Z TODAY. WINDS MAINLY OUT OF THE SSE BEFORE SWITCHING TO THE
SSW BY TOMORROW MORNING.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE ON IFR CIGS PUSHING INTO ATL.
MEDIUM TO HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
HERNANDEZ
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 93 72 92 72 / 20 10 40 10
ATLANTA 91 74 91 74 / 30 20 50 10
BLAIRSVILLE 85 67 85 68 / 70 10 50 0
CARTERSVILLE 92 73 91 73 / 40 10 50 10
COLUMBUS 93 75 93 76 / 30 20 20 10
GAINESVILLE 91 73 90 73 / 40 20 40 0
MACON 93 74 93 74 / 30 20 20 10
ROME 92 72 91 72 / 40 10 50 10
PEACHTREE CITY 91 73 91 73 / 30 20 50 10
VIDALIA 93 74 95 75 / 30 20 10 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
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