202
FXUS62 KFFC 181034
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
634 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2026
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY WINDS WILL LINGER INTO THE EVENING.
- A FROST ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT FOR THE MOUNTAINS OF NORTHEAST
GEORGIA. NEAR-FREEZING TEMPERATURES AND THE FIRST FROST OF THE
SEASON ARE LIKELY ALONG RIDGELINES, IN VALLEYS, AND OTHER
SHELTERED AREAS.
- MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 7
DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 246 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2026
COOL AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BE REINFORCED BY NORTHEAST
FLOW AROUND THE COASTAL LOW TO THE NORTHEAST. WINDS WILL REMAIN
MODELS AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH, AT LEAST OUTSIDE
OF THE NORTHEAST MOUNTAINS WHERE THE SFC PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL BE
WEAKER. DRY AIR WILL HOLD THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH PWATS OF 0.4"
OR LESS. RH VALUES WILL FALL EACH DAY, HOWEVER COOLER TEMPERATURES
WILL KEEP THE FIRE DANGER FROM BEING TOO HIGH.
CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS, ESPECIALLY WITH LIGHT WINDS AT NIGHT, WILL
RESULT IN FROST FORMATION FOR THE NORTHEAST GA MOUNTAINS.
TEMPERATURES THERE WILL FALL INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S, WITH
POTENTIALLY THE FIRST FREEZING TEMPS FOR THE HIGHEST RIDGELINES.
ELSEWHERE, LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE UPPER 30S AND 40S SUNDAY MORNING
AND MONDAY MORNING. AMPLE SUN WILL MEAN HIGHS STILL CLIMB BACK INTO
THE MID TO UPPER 60S TO START THE WEEK. ENJOY THE BEAUTIFUL FALL
CONDITIONS WHILE YOU CAN!
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 246 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2026
THE LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS ON MONDAY NIGHT WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION, WITH AN ASSOCIATED BROAD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE POSITIONED
OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN CONUS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE REGIME WILL KEEP
A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM JUST EAST OF THE MID-
ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST. IT WILL ALSO KEEP CONDITIONS DRY, WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AT OR BELOW 0.5 INCHES AND RAIN CHANCES
NEAR 0% ACROSS GEORGIA FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE WEEK. STRONG
RADIATIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT WILL LEAD TO LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW TO MID 40S ON TUESDAY MORNING. WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND
INCREASING 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE RISE
THROUGH MIDWEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL RISE INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S MID 70S ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST
AREA. IN SPITE OF THE GRADUAL WARMING TREND, MORNING LOWS WILL
REMAIN BRISK EACH MORNING, IN THE 40S WITH SOME LOW 50S CREEPING IN
BY THE END OF THE WEEK. BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, HIGHS ARE FORECAST
TO BE IN THE UPPER 70S IN NORTH GEORGIA AND LOW 80S IN CENTRAL
GEORGIA. THE LACK OF RAIN AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL HELP DRY OUT
FINER FUELS, SO THE DEVELOPMENT OF FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL NEED TO
BE MONITORED AS THE WEEK GOES ON.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 246 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2026
THE LONG TERM PERIOD BEGINS ON MONDAY NIGHT WITH UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
EXTENDING FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST TOWARDS THE GREAT LAKES
REGION, WITH AN ASSOCIATED BROAD SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE POSITIONED
OVER MUCH OF THE EASTERN CONUS. THIS HIGH PRESSURE REGIME WILL KEEP
A VERTICALLY STACKED LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM JUST EAST OF THE MID-
ATLANTIC AND NORTHEAST COAST. IT WILL ALSO KEEP CONDITIONS DRY, WITH
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES AT OR BELOW 0.5 INCHES AND RAIN CHANCES
NEAR 0% ACROSS GEORGIA FOR THE MAJORITY OF THE WEEK. STRONG
RADIATIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT WILL LEAD TO LOW TEMPERATURES IN THE
LOW TO MID 40S ON TUESDAY MORNING. WITH PLENTY OF SUNSHINE AND
INCREASING 1000-500 MB THICKNESSES, TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE RISE
THROUGH MIDWEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON TUESDAY WILL RISE INTO THE
UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S MID 70S ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST
AREA. IN SPITE OF THE GRADUAL WARMING TREND, MORNING LOWS WILL
REMAIN BRISK EACH MORNING, IN THE 40S WITH SOME LOW 50S CREEPING IN
BY THE END OF THE WEEK. BY THURSDAY AND FRIDAY, HIGHS ARE FORECAST
TO BE IN THE UPPER 70S IN NORTH GEORGIA AND LOW 80S IN CENTRAL
GEORGIA. THE LACK OF RAIN AND PLENTY OF SUNSHINE WILL HELP DRY OUT
FINER FUELS, SO THE DEVELOPMENT OF FIRE DANGER CONCERNS WILL NEED TO
BE MONITORED AS THE WEEK GOES ON.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 633 AM EDT SUN OCT 18 2026
VFR THROUGH PERIOD. N TO NE WINDS AT 4-10KTS TNGT, GUSTING 18 TO
20KTS BEGINNING BY 14Z. WIND GUSTS SLACKEN AROUND SUNSET. NO
IMPACTS DUE TO WX, VSBY, OR CIGS EXPECTED.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.
SM
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 64 42 68 41 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 65 45 69 45 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 65 35 70 40 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 68 41 70 41 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 69 44 72 44 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 64 42 68 44 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 68 43 72 43 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 69 39 70 41 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 65 41 69 41 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 66 46 69 46 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR GAZ006>009-
014>016.
SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....KING
AVIATION...SM
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