074
FXUS62 KFFC 170623
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
223 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2026
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT AGAIN ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL GA. FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL PERSIST
THROUGH SATURDAY GIVEN THE ONGOING LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITIES,
DRY VEGETATION, AND WARM TEMPERATURES.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH SATURDAY.
SOME DAILY RECORD HIGHS MAY BE BROKEN EACH DAY.
- A COLD FRONT WILL SUPPORT SHOWERS AND STORMS ACROSS PARTS OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA LATE SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY, BUT
MEAGER RAINFALL TOTALS WILL NOT IMPROVE DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2026
VERY WARM AND DRY WEATHER CONTINUES:
A ROBUST MID-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE GULF WILL REBUILD OVER THE
SOUTHEAST US TODAY INTO SATURDAY, SUPPORTING CONTINUED VERY WARM
AND DRY WEATHER. WITH THE CENTER OF THE RIDGE AXIS AND WARMEST
AIRMASS SET UP OVER GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON, HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S, WITH A VERY HIGH CHANCE
FOR THE EARLIEST 90 DEGREE DAY ON RECORD FOR ATLANTA. OVERNIGHT
LOWS TONIGHT WILL ONLY FALL TO THE LOW TO MID 60S, WITH
TEMPERATURES AGAIN CLIMBING TO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S ON
SATURDAY AFTERNOON. THE COMBINATION OF INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS AND
RIDGE AXIS SLIDING OFF TO OUR EAST WILL LIKELY KEEP HIGH TEMPS A
FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN TODAY. INCREASINGLY BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS
DURING THE AFTERNOON WILL PROVIDE SOME RELIEF, UNLIKE TODAY WHEN
WINDS WILL BE VERY LIGHT. DAILY TEMPERATURE RECORDS WILL BE
THREATENED BOTH DAYS ACROSS THE AREA.
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS PERSIST:
THE WARM AND DRY AIRMASS OVER THE REGION WILL CONTINUE TO CREATE
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WHEN COMBINED WITH THE VERY DRY VEGETATION
FROM THE ONGOING DROUGHT. HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO AROUND 25-30%
ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA TODAY, PROMPTING THE FIRE DANGER STATEMENT
THAT WILL BE IN EFFECT FOR THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ANOTHER
ISSUANCE WILL BE NEEDED ON SATURDAY, ESPECIALLY WHEN FACTORING THE
INCREASINGLY BREEZY SOUTHWEST WINDS. WE WILL CONTINUE TO URGE
PEOPLE TO USE EXTRA CAUTION WITH ANY OUTDOOR FLAMES OR BURNING AS
THESE CONDITIONS PERSIST.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2026
WEEKEND RAIN FOR SOME:
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE REMAINS ALIGNED ON THE PASSAGE OF A STOUT
LONGWAVE TROUGH ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS LATE SATURDAY THROUGH
LATE SUNDAY. AN ASSOCIATED EXPANSIVE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL
DRIVE MOISTURE ADVECTION ACROSS THE SOUTHERN U.S. ALONG THE
SYSTEM'S COLD FRONT AS IT PUSHES EASTWARD. THE RESULT WILL BE
SHOWERS AND POTENTIALLY THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS AT LEAST PARTS OF
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA SATURDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING.
STRONG MID-/UPPER-LEVEL WINDS WILL ACCOMPANY THE BASE OF THE
TROUGH SWINGING THROUGH, BUT GIVEN SUCH A DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE
BEFOREHAND, THE INSTABILITY/BUOYANCY NECESSARY FOR
ORGANIZED/WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER WILL BE LACKING. THAT SAID,
GIVEN THE SHARP FRONTAL FORCING EVIDENT IN PROGGED SURFACE
PRESSURE + PRECIPITABLE WATER (PWAT) FIELDS, WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED IF A FEW GUSTY SHOWERS/STORMS MADE IT INTO NORTH GEORGIA
BEFORE CONVECTION WEAKENS AS IT CONTINUES EASTWARD. GIVEN THAT
THIS WEEK'S U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR UPDATE SHOWS THAT CONDITIONS ARE
THE WORST THUS FAR SINCE THE ONSET OF THE DROUGHT LAST FALL,
APPRECIABLE RAINFALL IS DESPERATELY NEEDED. UNFORTUNATELY,
RAINFALL WITH THE WEEKEND COLD FRONT IS UNLIKELY TO EXCEED AROUND
0.25 INCHES (EXCEPT FOR PERHAPS FAR NORTHWEST GEORGIA)
-- NOT NEARLY ENOUGH TO PUT A DENT IN THE DROUGHT.
COLD FRONT AND STILL DRY EARLY NEXT WEEK:
THE COLD FRONT PASSAGE WILL BE NOTICEABLE SUNDAY MORNING AND
AFTERNOON FOR MUCH OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA (CWA) AS
TEMPERATURES DROP FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. FOR PARTS OF THE
CWA, SUNDAY MORNING LOWS AND SUNDAY AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE SOME
10-20 DEGREES COOLER THAN THOSE ON SATURDAY. MONDAY MORNING LOWS
COULD BE AS CHILLY AS THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 40S ACROSS PARTS OF
THE CWA. WIDESPREAD LOWS IN THE 40S ARE CURRENTLY FORECAST FOR
EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES WILL MODERATE BY
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. EVEN AMID THE WEEKEND RAIN CHANCES, FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE TO BEAR WATCHING. THE POST-FRONT
ENVIRONMENT SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK IS EXPECTED TO BRING A
VERY DRY AIRMASS, WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY CURRENTLY PROGGED TO
BOTTOM OUT IN THE TEENS-TO-20S PERCENT RANGE (ESPECIALLY ON MONDAY
AND TUESDAY) -- PLENTY DRY ENOUGH FOR CONTINUED ISSUANCES OF FIRE
WEATHER PRODUCTS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 106 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH CLEAR SKIES ASIDE
FROM SOME AFTERNOON CU AT 4-6KFT. LIGHT WEST TO NORTHWEST FLOW
THROUGHOUT TODAY, TURNING SOUTHWEST AFTER 00Z SATURDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH IN ALL ELEMENTS.
CULVER
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 150 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2026
RECORDS FOR 04-17
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 90 1955 55 1949 63 2006 30 1949
1905 1982
1939
KATL 89 1896 44 1904 66 2024 31 1905
1896
KCSG 91 1955 58 1923 69 2006 32 1949
1925
1922
KMCN 92 1955 52 1904 69 2006 34 1949
RECORDS FOR 04-18
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 90 1942 54 1902 64 1969 32 1936
1927
KATL 87 2002 50 1983 69 1927 33 1997
1937
1896
KCSG 91 2002 60 2014 69 2006 37 1962
1930 1956
1927
KMCN 90 1967 55 1921 66 1922 33 2001
1955
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 62 89 59 73 / 0 0 10 20
ATLANTA 65 88 55 70 / 0 0 30 20
BLAIRSVILLE 58 84 47 63 / 0 10 50 20
CARTERSVILLE 62 88 49 69 / 0 0 40 20
COLUMBUS 61 86 57 74 / 0 0 20 20
GAINESVILLE 63 88 56 70 / 0 0 30 20
MACON 62 89 60 76 / 0 0 0 20
ROME 62 88 50 69 / 0 0 60 20
PEACHTREE CITY 61 87 52 71 / 0 0 20 20
VIDALIA 65 93 65 82 / 0 0 0 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....MARTIN
AVIATION...CULVER
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