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FXUS62 KFFC 031809
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
209 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE
THIS AFTERNOON.
- DIURNALLY-ENHANCED STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
END OF THE WEEK.
- AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL REMAIN WITHIN A DEGREE OR TWO OF SEASONAL
NORMS (MID-80S TO LOWER 90S) THROUGH THE WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 206 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
OWING TO THE INFLUENCE OF A CLOSED LOW ALOFT, WE'LL START THE WEEK
ON THE COOLER (AND RAINIER) SIDE. THE AFOREMENTIONED FEATURE WILL
SET UP SHOP ATOP THE SOUTHEAST OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY TODAY, AND
PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL INITIALLY BE FAVORABLY PLACED WITHIN A DRY
SLOT THAT WILL HELP SUPPRESS CONVECTION ALONG THE COLUMBUS TO ATHENS
CORRIDOR (POPS IN GENERAL ARE BETWEEN 20-40% ELSEWHERE, FOR ALL
EXCEPT FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA THAT ARE LIKELY TO SEE
TERRAIN ENHANCEMENT). BY TUESDAY, THE CLOSED LOW WILL BE SITUATED
OVER GEORGIA PROPER, SERVING TO SUPPORT DIURNALLY-ENHANCED
CONVECTION THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. COLD CORE SYSTEMS HAVE THE
POTENTIAL TO LOCALLY INCREASE CHANCES FOR ERRANT SEVERE CONCERNS AS
LAPSE RATES STEEPEN, BUT CURRENT THINKING IS THAT ANYTHING MORE THAN
AN OUTSIDE CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG STORM SHOULD BE PRECLUDED
BY PROGGED "COOLER" SURFACE TEMPERATURES. HOWEVER, WILL NEED TO KEEP
AN EYE ON THIS MOVING INTO TOMORROW BASED ON WHERE CORRIDORS FOR
STRONGER HEATING PRESENT THEMSELVES.
HIGHS WILL REMAIN IN THE MID-80S TO LOWER 90S THROUGH TOMORROW, WITH
OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 206 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
OUR AREA IS SANDWICHED BETWEEN TWO HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS WITH A
CUTOFF MID-LEVEL LOW SPINNING OVER THE REGION. THIS SETUP WILL
SUPPORT A GENERAL SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW AND DECENT MOISTURE PROFILE
WITH PWATS RANGING FROM 1.5-2" EACH DAY. EXPECT MOSTLY DIURNAL
DRIVEN SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS THUNDERSTORMS FAVORING THE NORTH AND
EAST CWA EACH DAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WHILE NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER IS EXPECTED, A FEW STRONG STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING
THE PERIOD, WITH STRONG WINDS AS THE PRIMARY THREAT, IN ADDITION
TO LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING FROM THE HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT. MODEL
GUIDANCE REMAINS IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON THIS TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
PATTERN PERSISTING INTO NEXT WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE
SUPPRESSED SLIGHTLY DUE TO THE INCREASED AFTERNOON CLOUD COVER
THROUGH THE WEEK RANGING FROM THE 80S TO LOW 90S AND INCREASING TO
THE LOW TO MID 90S INTO THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 135 PM EDT MON AUG 3 2026
PRIMARILY VFR CONDS THIS AFTN, WITH PATCHY SCT MVFR. LOW-END CHCS
FOR ISOLD -SHRA THIS AFTN FOR NORTHERN TAF SITES (BETWEEN
18-24Z), WITH CHCS FOR TSRA LARGELY RELEGATED TO CSG/MCN. CANNOT
RULE OUT AN ISOLD IMPACT FROM TSRA FURTHER NORTH, BUT LOW CONF.
WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE W SIDE AT 5-7KTS, BEFORE GOING
CALM/VRB OVERNIGHT. VRB WINDS ARE LIKELY TO LINGER INTO THE AFTN
TOMORROW, AT SPEEDS OF 3-4KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE AFTERNOON PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 70 86 69 87 / 10 70 50 80
ATLANTA 71 87 72 88 / 10 60 30 80
BLAIRSVILLE 66 81 66 81 / 20 70 50 90
CARTERSVILLE 69 87 70 88 / 10 60 30 80
COLUMBUS 72 91 73 92 / 10 50 20 50
GAINESVILLE 70 84 70 85 / 10 70 50 90
MACON 71 90 71 91 / 10 50 20 50
ROME 68 88 69 88 / 10 60 30 80
PEACHTREE CITY 69 87 70 89 / 10 70 40 80
VIDALIA 72 91 72 93 / 20 60 20 40
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....82
AVIATION...96
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