993
FXUS62 KFFC 230612
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
212 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS OVERNIGHT AND EARLY THIS MORNING
ACROSS CENTRAL GA AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH.
- DRY CONDITIONS AND SLIGHTLY COOLER TEMPERATURES THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY, WITH RAIN CHANCES INCREASING BY LATE WEEK.
- TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON THE INCREASE BY THE WEEKEND WITH HEAT
INDEX VALUES RETURNING TO THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 301 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2026
LOW CLOUDS HAVE CLEARED, REPLACED BY THE DEVELOPMENT OF A CU FIELD.
WITH THIS CLEARING, EXPEDITIOUS WARMING HAS OCCURRED. COMBINED WITH
THE ABUNDANT AVAILABLE MOISTURE (THE 12Z SOUNDING SHOWS PRECIPITABLE
WATER OF 1.87 INCHES, ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE), THIS HAS PRODUCED
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POPUP SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS, PARTICULARLY
OVER NORTH GEORGIA AND THE ATLANTA METRO, WHICH WILL LIKELY CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE AFTERNOON, AND POSSIBLY INTO THE EVENING.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY, AND GUSTY WINDS. A LINE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IS FORECAST TO PUSH OVER NORTH GEORGIA FROM THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 23-00Z/7-8 PM EDT. IT IS EXPECTED TO DECAY AS IT
APPROACHES AND MOVES OVER THE ATLANTA METRO, THEN LIKELY DISSIPATING
OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA, BECOMING MORE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AFTER 12-2 AM EDT. TIMING DOES REMAIN LOW CONFIDENCE WITH THE
ARRIVAL OF THE LINE OF CONVECTION. EARLIEST REASONABLE ARRIVAL TIME
WOULD BE AROUND 6-7 PM EDT AT THE NORTHWEST CORNER OF GA AND 8-10 PM
EDT FOR THE ATLANTA METRO, BUT COULD BE AS LATE AS 9-10 PM EDT TO NW
GA AND 11 PM-1 AM EDT FOR ATLANTA. CURRENT TRENDS ON RADAR AND FROM
MODEL GUIDANCE DO SEEM TO POINT TOWARDS A SCENARIO MORE ON THE EARLY
SIDE, THOUGH. THERE REMAINS SOME UNCERTAINTY, AS WELL, WITH RESPECT
TO THE SPEED OF THE WEAKENING AND DISSIPATION OF THE LINE OVER
CENTRAL GEORGIA, WHICH WILL INFLUENCE HOW MUCH THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY
THAT AREA SEES. MOST LIKELY, THERE WILL BE A FEW ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS FOR CENTRAL GEORGIA, WITH THE HIGHEST RISK ON THE
WESTERN SIDE OF THE STATE, WITH LINGERING RAIN SHOWERS BEHIND.
THERE REMAINS A SLIGHT RISK (2/5) FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER
NORTH GEORGIA INTO THE ATLANTA METRO, MOSTLY AROUND I-20 AND NORTH.
THE GREATEST THREATS ARE DAMAGING WINDS AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
CLOUDY SKIES ARE FORECAST TO BUILD IN BEHIND THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS, LASTING AT LEAST INTO MIDDAY TOMORROW ACROSS NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. THEN, SUNNY SKIES ARE LIKELY BY AROUND MID-
AFTERNOON. MOISTURE DECREASES ACROSS GEORGIA, RESULTING IN
SIGNIFICANTLY LOWER RISK FOR PRECIPITATION TOMORROW. THAT BEING
SAID, SOME LINGERING MOISTURE COULD RESULT IN A FEW SHOWERS, MOSTLY
OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA, DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 301 PM EDT MON JUN 22 2026
DRY WEATHER IS FAVORED AT THE ONSET OF THE LONG TERM ON WEDNESDAY IN
THE WAKE OF TUESDAY'S COLD FRONT AMID WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. AT
LEAST ISOLATED TO SCATTERED "SUMMER-LIKE" CONVECTION LOOKS TO RETURN
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY AS DEEPER MOISTURE RETURNS WITH SOME SUBTLE
MIDLEVEL SHORTWAVES IN THE WEST-NORTHWEST FLOW PROVIDING SOME
ENHANCEMENT.
BY THE WEEKEND, A STOUT SUBTROPICAL RIDGE LOOKS TO ESTABLISH OVER
THE EASTERN PART OF THE COUNTRY, LIKELY PERSISTING INTO NEXT WEEK.
THIS WILL SERVE TO BOTH REDUCE POPS OVERALL AS WELL AS LEAD TO AN
UPWARD TREND IN TEMPERATURES, WITH HIGHS RETURNING INTO THE 90S FOR
MOST. WITH HUMID CONDITIONS REMAINING IN PLACE, TRIPLE-DIGIT HEAT
INDEX VALUES LOOK LIKELY TO RETURN DURING THIS TIME FRAME AS WELL.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 208 AM EDT TUE JUN 23 2026
ISO SHRA AND MVFR TO IFR CIGS THROUGH EARLY THIS MORNING AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. CIGS THEN SCATTER OUT
TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AND VFR CONDITIONS BY 15-16Z. WINDS TURNING
OUT OF THE NW AND BECOMING BREEZY DURING THE DAY AT 9-13KTS WITH
GUSTS 20-25KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM IN CIGS THROUGH THIS MORNING. HIGH ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
CULVER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 88 66 89 68 / 10 0 0 10
ATLANTA 86 68 87 71 / 10 0 0 10
BLAIRSVILLE 79 58 82 63 / 10 0 10 10
CARTERSVILLE 85 64 87 68 / 10 0 0 20
COLUMBUS 90 70 91 72 / 20 0 10 10
GAINESVILLE 85 65 85 68 / 0 0 0 10
MACON 89 68 90 70 / 20 0 10 10
ROME 85 64 87 68 / 10 0 0 20
PEACHTREE CITY 87 66 88 69 / 10 0 0 10
VIDALIA 91 72 91 72 / 30 10 10 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CRS
LONG TERM....RW
AVIATION...CULVER
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