756
FXUS62 KFFC 120548
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
148 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SOME PATCHY DENSE FOG IS POSSIBLE IN NORTHERN GEORGIA THIS
MORNING.
- DRY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING
UP TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL.
- CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS WILL MOVE
IN FOR NEXT WEEKEND BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS CONTINUE TO SHIFT UP ACROSS THE MID-
ATLANTIC, BUT NOT BEFORE LEAVING MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GA WITH
A RATHER DREARY START TO THE DAY. LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TRAPPED
BENEATH DRY AIR ALOFT RESULTED IN WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS AND AREAS
OF LIGHT RAIN THIS MORNING. THROUGHOUT THIS AFTERNOON, DAYTIME
HEATING AND BREEZY WINDS GUSTING TO 20-25 MPH WILL HELP MIX OUT
THE MOISTURE AND LEAD TO MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES BY THE EVENING HOURS.
TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOW TO MID 70S FOR
MOST.
OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY, A MID-LEVEL RIDGE AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE GULF WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US, KICKSTARTING A
WEEK OF DRY AND INCREASINGLY WARM WEATHER. MONDAY WILL LIKELY BE
THE COOLEST DAY OF THE WEEK, WITH MORNING LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER
50S WARMING TO THE MID TO UPPER 80S ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. THE
EXCEPTION TO THESE WARMER TEMPERATURES IS IN THE MOUNTAINS OF
NORTHEAST GA WHERE MORNING FOG AND CLOUDS WILL BE SLOW TO CLEAR
AND HIGHS WILL BE IN THE 70S. WITH A MODERATE PRESSURE GRADIENT
BETWEEN THE BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE TO THE WEST AND LOW PRESSURE TO
THE EAST, WINDS WILL AGAIN BE A LITTLE GUSTY (UP TO 20 MPH) OUT OF
THE NORTHWEST. ALL IN ALL, A PLEASANT DAY OF WEATHER TO START THE
WORK WEEK.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 226 PM EDT SUN OCT 11 2026
A TALE OF TWO AIR MASSES FOR THE LONG TERM FORECAST. THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF THE WEEK INTO FRIDAY, SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WILL BUILD IN
OVER THE CWA THAT WILL BRING VERY WARM AND (FOR OCTOBER)
RELATIVELY MOIST AIR MASS TO THE SOUTHEAST. HIGHS TUESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY WILL BE WELL INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S AND A FEW 90S MAY
EVEN CREEP INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA. DEWPOINTS WILL BE WELL
INTO THE 60S AREA-WIDE. THESE HIGHS WILL BE 10 TO AS MUCH AS 20
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE. DEPENDING ON THE DAY, WE MIGHT APPROACH
RECORD HIGHS AT A FEW SITES. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER
50S TO LOW 60S. THESE ARE UNLIKELY TO APPROACH RECORD MINIMUM
HIGHS, BUT WILL STILL BE 5-15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR OCTOBER.
RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO BE NEAR ZERO THROUGH THIS TIME PERIOD.
INTO FRIDAY, SOME SIGNIFICANT CHANGES LOOK TO TAKE PLACE OVER THE
CWA. BACKING UP A TOUCH TO THURSDAY, POTENT SYSTEM OVER THE 4
CORNERS REGION SHOULD EJECT INTO THE GREAT PLAINS AND MERGE WITH A
POTENT WAVE DIGGING INTO THE AREA WITHIN THE MAIN POLAR JET. THIS
BECOMES A POTENT WAVE ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS, DRIVING A COLD
FRONT THROUGH THE AREA INTO SATURDAY. SOME TIMING DIFFERENCES
EXIST ACROSS ENSEMBLES AND THE VARIOUS DETERMINISTIC/AI GUIDANCE,
BUT THE GENERAL CONSENSUS SEEMS TO HAVE THIS FRONT THROUGH THE
AREA BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH MAYBE THE EXCEPTION OF FAR EAST
CENTRAL GEORGIA. THIS BRINGS IN MUCH MORE SEASONABLE AIR WITH
HIGHS FORECAST IN THE 60S AND 70S SATURDAY, AND MAYBE EVEN COOLER
ON SUNDAY AS THE COOLER AIR MASS CONTINUE TO PUSH INTO THE REGION.
GIVEN STRONG MOISTURE CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT, CURRENT PRECIP
CHANCES MAY BE A BIT UNDERDONE ACROSS ESPECIALLY NORTH GEORGIA,
THOUGH TIMING FOR SOMETHING LIKE THIS WILL BE CRUCIAL. AN
OVERNIGHT FRONTAL PASSAGE WILL BE MUCH MORE LIKELY TO BE PRECIP
FREE, FOR INSTANCE. THIS IS STILL A WEEK OUT, SO WORTH KEEPING AN
EYE ON.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 146 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
CLEAR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE NW
AT 8-12KTS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20KTS THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE EASING
AFTER 20Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
VAUGHN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 58 86 60 88 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 62 86 63 87 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 55 82 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 58 87 58 88 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 61 88 62 89 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 60 84 62 86 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 59 88 61 89 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 55 87 56 88 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 58 87 58 89 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 62 86 62 87 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....LUSK
AVIATION...VAUGHN
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