421
FXUS62 KFFC 280542
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
142 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED AGAIN
THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
- AN UNSETTLED PATTERN WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES ELEVATED THROUGH THE
BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
- LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONGSIDE THE RISK
FOR A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF GUSTY WINDS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 242 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2026
CLOUD COVER REMAINS SCATTERED TO BROKEN ACROSS THE AREA. NORTHWEST
GA HAS SEEN THE GREATEST CLEARING AS CONVECTIVE MIXING DEVELOPS A
MORE DEFINED CU FIELDS. THE I85 CORRIDOR HAS SEEN UPPER LEVEL STRATUS
PROTECT US FROM CONVECTION THROUGH MUCH OF THE MORNING, HOWEVER
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SIGNIFICANTLY INCREASE LOW LEVEL CU
DEVELOPMENT. THIS LIKELY REPRESENTS THE FIRST CORRIDOR WE WILL SEE
CONVECTION, FURTHER BACKED BY SPORADIC RADAR RETURNS ACROSS NORTH
GEORGIA. WE WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO SEE THESE DEVELOP THROUGH THE
DAY. WHILE THE SEVERE THREAT IS ALSO LOWER THAN YESTERDAY, A FEW
STRONG STORMS MAY STILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WITH
RAIN RATES OVER 2"+ ARE ALL POSSIBLE.
CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE SUMMERLIKE, HOWEVER POPS WILL BE LOWER
THAN PREVIOUS DAYS AS THE BERMUDA HIGH IS SHOVED SOUTH VIA AN UPPER
LEVEL TROUGH DESCENDING THE OMEGA BLOCK OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS.
WEAKENED SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL REDUCE THUNDERSTORMS COVERAGE PARTLY
THIS AFTERNOON BUT MOSTLY THURSDAY. THAT SAID, WE WILL STILL SEE
POPS OF 20-40 PERCENT ACROSS EVEN THE LOWEST AREAS TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS REBOUND BACK TO A WET PATTERN AS WE ENTER THE
END OF THE SHORT-TERM AND BEGINNING OF THE LONG-TERM OUTLOOKS.
RIDGING TO THE WEST DEVELOPING ON THE UPSTREAM SIDE OF THE BLOCK
WILL LIKELY BRING A RETURN OF WEAK LOW LEVEL SOUTHWEST FLOW TO THE
AREA, WHILE NORTH FLOW BRINGS A FRONTAL FEATURE DOWN ACROSS THE
AREA. TEMPS WILL REMAIN FAIRLY CONSISTENT TO PAST DAYS, WITH A
SLIGHT COOL DOWN AS WE ENTER THE WEEKEND. HIGHS ON FRIDAY MAY ONLY
REACH THE LOW 80S OR EVEN UPPER 70S ACROSS THE METRO.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 242 PM EDT WED MAY 27 2026
CONTINUED DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED TO
CONTINUE INTO THE EXTENDED PERIODS. SOUTH TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW IS
STILL FLOWING ACROSS THE AREA AS A BERMUDA HAS STAYED STEADFAST OFF
THE SE ATLANTIC COAST. THE MODELS ARE STATING TO INDICATE THAT THIS
RIDGE WILL FINALLY MOVE EAST AS WE GET INTO THE WEEKEND ALLOWING THE
OVERALL UPPER LEVEL FLOW TO TURN MORE WEST TO NORTHWESTERLY THROUGH
MONDAY. THIS TURN IN THE OVERALL FLOW DOESN'T CHANGE MUCH FOR THE
ACTUAL FORECAST AS WAVES BEGIN MOVING ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE
CENTRAL PLAINS VERSUS THE GULF. THE MODELS KEEP US IN A VERY WET
PATTERN THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER A LARGE PERCENTAGE OF
THE CWA EVERY DAY WITH POPS EACH AFTERNOON IN THE 40% TO 80% RANGE.
WITH THIS TREND COUNTING, IT WILL TAKE LESS RAIN TO CAUSE FLASH
FLOODING CONCERNS. TRAINING THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON WILL
CONTINUE TO POSE THE BIGGEST THREAT WITH RAIN RATES RANGING FROM 2-
3" PER HOUR.
THERE IS A BIT OF GOOD NEWS POSSIBLY AS BOTH THE GFE AND ECMWF ARE
SHOWING A HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE BUILD SOUTH OUT OF THE GREAT LAKE
STATES TUE AFTERNOON BRINGING IN A MUCH DRIER AIRMASS ACROSS THE
STATE FOR NEXT WED. THIS IS GETTING INTO DAY 8 SO I DO NOT HAVE A
LOT OF CONFIDENCE IN THIS YET BUT IT IS ENCOURAGING THAT MORE THAN
ONE MODEL IS SHOWING THIS SCENARIO.
TEMPS STAY FAIRLY STEADY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MIDDLE 80S
AND LOWS IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 135 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2026
VFR CIGS PREVAIL WITH PROBABILITIES FOR WIDESPREAD LOW CIGS THIS
MORNING DECREASING. STILL, PATCHY AREAS OF LOW CIGS AND/OR FOG ARE
POSSIBLE, MAINLY 10-13Z, WITH LARGELY VFR CONDITIONS PROBABLE
OTHERWISE. VFR CONDITIONS WILL CERTAINLY PREVAIL BY LATE MORNING
AND THROUGH THIS EVENING BEFORE SOME POTENTIAL OF MVFR TO IFR CIGS
RETURNS BY FRIDAY MORNING. SCT SHRA/TSRA ARE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON, MAINLY 20-00Z. WINDS WILL BE ON THE WEST SIDE BEFORE A
WIND SHIFT TO THE NE/E BY 07-09Z FRIDAY WITH SPEEDS 3-6 KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON MORNING CIGS.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON OTHER ELEMENTS.
RW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 65 79 63 80 / 30 40 70 70
ATLANTA 68 79 66 80 / 30 60 80 70
BLAIRSVILLE 61 76 59 77 / 10 30 70 80
CARTERSVILLE 66 80 64 81 / 20 40 70 80
COLUMBUS 67 83 66 84 / 30 80 80 70
GAINESVILLE 66 77 64 79 / 30 40 70 70
MACON 66 81 65 82 / 40 70 70 80
ROME 65 80 63 81 / 10 50 70 80
PEACHTREE CITY 66 80 64 81 / 40 60 80 80
VIDALIA 68 82 67 83 / 30 70 70 80
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...RW
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page