529
FXUS62 KFFC 071033
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
633 AM EDT TUE APR 7 2026
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 610 AM EDT TUE APR 7 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS AND NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH MUCH OF
THIS WEEK.
- HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY DUE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND INCREASINGLY BREEZY WINDS.
- TEMPERATURES WARM BACK UP TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL THIS WEEKEND
WITH CONTINUED LOW RAIN CHANCES WORSENING DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 237 AM EDT TUE APR 7 2026
OVERALL, A VERY PLEASANT SPRING DAY IS ON TAP ACROSS NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA, WITH OUR MAIN CONCERN BEING FIRE WEATHER WHICH IS
DISCUSSED IN A SEPARATE SECTION BELOW. TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING
WILL START OUT ON THE COOL SIDE IN THE MID 40S TO LOW 50S, BUT
WILL WARM UP INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S BY MID-DAY UNDER MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT NORTHEAST WINDS. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE GREAT LAKES TODAY WILL SLIDE EAST AND STRENGTHEN TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY, WHILE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC.
IN RESPONSE, WINDS OVER OUR AREA WILL BECOME INCREASINGLY BREEZY
AND ALSO USHER IN A WEDGE OF COOLER AIR THAT WILL KEEP HIGH
TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 237 AM EDT TUE APR 7 2026
THE SUBTROPICAL AND POLAR JETS WILL SPLIT THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THURSDAY. WITH THE POLAR JET IN A BROAD RIDGING PATTERN, THE
SURFACE HIGH WILL BE POSITION SUCH THAT THE REGION REMAINS IN E TO
SE FLOW THROUGH THURSDAY. THIS FLOW WILL BE FURTHER SUPPORTED BY
PERSISTENT UPPER-LEVEL SUBTROPICAL TROUGHING OVER THE SOUTHEAST
LEADING TO CYCLOGENESIS OFF THE FL/GA/SC COAST. AS THE
SUBTROPICAL JET SURGES AND BUILDS RIDGING ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AS
WELL, THE SFC HIGH WILL EXPAND ACROSS THE STATE AND OVER TO THE
GULF COAST. WEAKENING EAST FLOW AND INCREASING SINKING AIR WILL
BRING TEMPERATURES UP TO ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE WEEKEND. HIGHS BY
SATURDAY WILL SEE A RETURN TO THE MID 80S FOR ALL BUT THE HIGHER
ELEVATIONS OF NORTH GEORGIA.
THE ONLY REAL CHANCE AT PRECIP WILL BE ACROSS THE FAR SOUTHERN
CWA AS THE SUBTROPICAL JET SURGES ON THURSDAY. SINKING AIR QUICKLY
MOVES IN AS THE SUBTROPICAL AND POLAR RIDGES COME PARTLY INTO
PHASE WHICH MEANS EVEN THESE THURSDAY POPS REMAIN AT OR BELOW 20%.
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY EVERYWHERE ELSE. THE LONG TERM
OUTLOOK EVEN BEYOND THE NEXT 7-DAYS CONTINUES TO LOOK HOTTER THAN
NORMAL AND LIKELY DRIER TOO.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 610 AM EDT TUE APR 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD
WITH ONLY SOME PASSING HIGH CLOUDS (ABOVE 20KFT) AT TIMES. LIGHT
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NNE TO NE BY MID-MORNING, AND
THEN INCREASE TO 5-10 KTS IN THE AFTERNOON. WINDS TURN ENE
TONIGHT, THEN INCREASE TO AROUND 10-13 KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20-25
KTS ON WEDNESDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
HIGH IN ALL ELEMENTS.
CULVER
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 237 AM EDT TUE APR 7 2026
HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH AT LEAST
WEDNESDAY AS A DRY AIRMASS SETTLES OVER THE REGION AND DROPS RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES INTO THE 20S EACH AFTERNOON. FUELS AND VEGETATION
REMAIN DRY DUE TO THE ONGOING DROUGHT IMPACTING MOST OF THE
SOUTHEAST US, WHICH CONTINUES TO RESULT IN INCREASED FIRE WEATHER
SENSITIVITY FOR THE AREA. EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS WILL BE AROUND 10
MPH OR LESS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA TODAY, BUT THERE WILL BE A
CORRIDOR OF STRONGER WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN
SOUTH- CENTRAL GA. THIS AREA HAS BEEN PLACED IN A RED FLAG WARNING
DUE TO THE COMBINATION OF LOW RH AND BREEZY WINDS, WHILE MUCH OF
THE REST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GA IS IN A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT DUE
TO LOW RH. TOMORROW, WINDS WILL STRENGTHEN ACROSS THE AREA,
BECOMING 12-18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
WILL AGAIN FALL INTO THE 20S DURING THE AFTERNOON, SO ANOTHER FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT WILL BE LIKELY, AND A RED FLAG WARNING MAY BE
NECESSARY IN SOME AREAS. OVERALL, RESIDENTS SHOULD BE ESPECIALLY
CAUTIOUS WITH ANY OUTDOOR BURNING OR OPEN FLAMES OVER THE NEXT
FEW DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 73 46 65 43 / 0 0 0 10
ATLANTA 75 50 67 46 / 0 0 0 10
BLAIRSVILLE 70 42 63 38 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 75 47 70 45 / 0 0 0 10
COLUMBUS 77 50 71 47 / 0 0 0 10
GAINESVILLE 73 47 64 44 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 75 50 69 47 / 0 0 0 10
ROME 75 47 71 44 / 0 0 0 10
PEACHTREE CITY 75 47 69 44 / 0 0 0 10
VIDALIA 75 51 70 49 / 0 0 10 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR GAZ106-108>111.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...CULVER
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