428
FXUS62 KFFC 281036
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
636 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2026
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 633 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2026
- A RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GA TODAY DUE TO DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
- DRY WEATHER AND UNSEASONABLE WARMTH TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY
WITH ANY RAIN POTENTIAL HOLDING OFF UNTIL NEXT WEDNESDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 225 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2026
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES THE COLD FRONT IS ROUGHLY TWO-
THIRDS OF THE WAY THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA -- CURRENTLY PUSHING
THROUGH COLUMBUS/MACON AREAS AT THE TIME OF THIS WRITING. NW WINDS
BEHIND THE FRONT HAVE ALREADY BEGUN TO USHER IN DRIER AIR AND CLOUD
COVER ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONT HAVE LARGELY SCATTERED OUT. NW WINDS
WILL REMAIN BREEZY THIS MORNING, EVENTUALLY SHIFTING TO THE NE THEN
E FROM SUNRISE THROUGH MID-DAY WITH GUSTS BECOMING LESS FREQUENT.
THE MAIN STORY FOR TODAY IS THE DANGEROUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS
ACROSS ALL OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. RAPIDLY FALLING DEWPOINTS
ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE MORNING WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY(RH) VALUES
PLUMMETING INTO THE TEENS BY THE AFTERNOON AREAWIDE. THUS A RED FLAG
WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ENTIRE FORECAST AREA FROM 8 AM
THROUGH 8 PM GIVEN VERY LOW RH VALUES, GUSTY WINDS AND ONGOING
WIDESPREAD DROUGHT CONDITIONS. PLEASE SEE THE FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION FOR ADDITIONAL DETAILS.
FIRE WEATHER ASIDE, DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
'COOLER' DAYTIME HIGHS ARE FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON WITH VALUES
IN THE 60S (50S IN THE MOUNTAINS). TONIGHT LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL INTO THE 40S (30S IN THE MOUNTAINS). SUNDAY WILL FAVOR SIMILAR
TEMPERATURES PERHAPS 3-5 DEGREES WARMER.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 225 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2026
DRY AND WARMER EARLY NEXT WEEK:
A STRONG RIDGE THAT HAS BEEN OVER THE SOUTHWEST US FOR A WHILE
WILL FINALLY SHIFT EAST AND CENTER OVER THE SOUTHEAST US EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL LEAD TO A STRONG WARMING TREND WITH HIGHS
CLIMBING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S ON MONDAY, AND THEN INTO THE
80S FOR TUESDAY. WITH A RELATIVELY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE, AND
SUBSIDENCE FROM THE STRONG RIDGE, RAIN CHANCES WILL BE NEAR ZERO
DURING THIS PERIOD.
RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN MID-WEEK ON:
FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE START OF NEXT WEEKEND, MODEL GUIDANCE
REMAINS IN RELATIVELY GOOD AGREEMENT ON THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN,
WITH THE RIDGE AXIS SLIDING OFF TO OUR EAST, AND TROUGHING
FILLING IN OVER THE CENTRAL US. THIS WILL PUT GEORGIA UNDER DEEP
SOUTHWEST FLOW, WHICH WOULD KEEP TEMPERATURES WARM AND BRING IN
MORE MOISTURE. WITH SUBSIDENCE FROM THE RIDGE WANING, THERE WILL
LIKELY BE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE AND DIURNAL INSTABILITY TO SUPPORT
DAILY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. WHILE NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME, IT IS SOMETHING WE
WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON DEPENDING ON HOW THE PATTERN EVOLVES.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO LOW 80S
DURING THIS PERIOD, WITH LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 633 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2026
VFR AT ALL SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD. ANY LINGERING CLOUD COVER WILL
SCATTER OUT WITH SKC EXPECTED BY 14Z. WINDS ARE ACTIVELY SHIFTING
TO THE NE THEN E BETWEEN 14-17Z AT 7-10KTS WITH GUSTS BECOMING
LESS FREQUENT. WINDS QUICKLY DIMINISH AFTER 00Z AT 3-6KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
07
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 633 AM EDT SAT MAR 28 2026
A RED FLAG WARNING WILL GO INTO EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FIRE ZONES IN
OUR CWA BEGINNING AT 0800 THIS MORNING. A COLD FRONT IS CURRENTLY
PUSHING THROUGH THE OCONEE DISTRICTS TURNING WINDS TO THE
NORTHWEST.
DEWPOINTS ARE EXPECTED TO RAPIDLY FALL THROUGH THE MORNING AS EXTREMELY
DRY AIR IS DRAGGED DOWN FROM THE NORTHERN GREAT PLAINS. DEWPOINTS
ACROSS NORTHERN GEORGIA WILL FALL INTO THE 20S BY 0800 AND
OVERTAKE THE REST OF THE FIRE ZONES BY 1200. MINIMUM RH VALUES
DURING THE AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO CRASH INTO THE LOW TEENS, AND
A FEW OBS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS MAY BE POSSIBLE.
NORTHWEST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NE BY 0800 THEN TO THE E BY
1400 THROUGH THE EVENING. WINDS SPEEDS WILL LARGELY BE AT THEIR
HIGHEST NOW THROUGH 1400. GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH
GUSTS OF 35+ MPH MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN
GEORGIA.
TO MAKE THE WHOLE SITUATION THAT MUCH MORE COMPLICATED, WIDESPREAD
DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO PLAGUE MUCH OF THE SOUTHEAST. THOUSAND
HOUR FUELS, MADE MORE PREVALENT FROM THE LINGERING STORM DAMAGE
BROUGHT ON BY HURRICANE HELENE, CONTINUE TO DRY OUT AS SEVERE
DROUGHT (D2) GRIPS THE AREA. ANY FIRE THAT DOES START IN THIS
ENVIRONMENT COULD QUICKLY GROW OUT OF CONTROL. PLEASE EXERCISE
EXTREME CAUTION AND FOLLOW THE GUIDANCE IN PLACE FROM GEORGIA
FORESTRY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 65 39 67 49 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 68 42 67 53 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 65 36 62 45 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 69 42 70 52 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 71 45 72 53 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 65 39 65 51 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 69 43 72 51 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 68 41 71 53 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 68 41 69 51 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 68 45 73 52 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GAZ001>009-
011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-
102>113.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...07
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