655
FXUS62 KFFC 191022
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
622 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 620 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
- TEMPERATURES WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE EACH DAY THIS WEEK,
REACHING MORE THAN 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE THIS WEEKEND.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH ANY
POTENTIAL LOW RAIN CHANCES HOLDING OFF UNTIL AT LEAST MONDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 233 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
NOT MUCH TO WRITE HOME ABOUT IN THE SHORT TERM. DRY WEATHER WILL
CONTINUE AMID A RAPID WARMING TREND. AFTER OUR BRIEF BOUT OF CHILLY
WEATHER THE LAST COUPLE OF DAYS AND THIS MORNING'S FROSTY
TEMPERATURES, WE'LL REBOUND BACK TO NEAR NORMAL THIS AFTERNOON WITH
HIGHS FROM THE MID 60S TO AROUND 70. NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK, THOUGH ANY MOISTURE-STARVED
DISTURBANCE WILL ONLY BRING INTERMITTENT INCREASED MIDLEVEL CLOUDS.
IN KEEPING WITH THIS MARCH'S THEME OF ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES, MID
70S RETURN TO MOST SPOTS ON FRIDAY, SOME 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 233 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
DRY AND WARMER THIS WEEKEND:
OVER THE WEEKEND, A VERY STRONG RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHWEST
US WILL CONTINUE TO REACH OVER OUR AREA, PROVIDING A WARMING
TREND AND CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN
TO THE 80S ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND. AT THIS
TIME, SUNDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE NEXT 7, WITH
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S, WHICH WOULD BE NEAR DAILY RECORDS.
MORNING LOWS WILL CLIMB TO THE MID TO UPPER 50S. BETWEEN THE DRY
NORTHWEST MID-LEVEL FLOW, SUBSIDENCE FROM THE RIDGE, AND THE
SYNOPTIC STORM TRACK REMAINING OFF TO THE NORTH, RAIN CHANCES
WILL REMAIN BELOW 10% THROUGH AT LEAST SUNDAY.
COOLER WITH LOW END RAIN CHANCES EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK:
FOR EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK, MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO HAVE
QUITE A BIT OF SPREAD, WITH ABOUT 33% OF THE ENSEMBLES SHOWING
THE RIDGE CONTINUING TO HOLD STRONG, AND ABOUT 50% HAVING THE
RIDGE WEAKENING AS TROUGHING DROPS INTO THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
US. THERE HAS BEEN A GROWING NUMBER OF ENSEMBLE MEMBERS SHOWING
THE LATTER, WHICH WOULD START TO BRING SOME LOW END RAIN CHANCES
(10-20%) BACK INTO OUR AREA, AS WELL AS COOLING TEMPERATURES DOWN
A BIT. OUR CONFIDENCE IN THE DETAILS OF THE FORECAST FOR THIS
TIME PERIOD IS LOW, BUT OUR CONFIDENCE IN RELATIVELY HAZARD-FREE
CONDITIONS IS MEDIUM TO HIGH. THE DETAILS ON THE FORECAST FOR
EARLY TO MID NEXT WEEK WILL BECOME CLEARER IN THE NEXT DAY OR
TWO.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 620 AM EDT THU MAR 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH ONLY INTERMITTENT HIGH
CLOUDS. INITIAL CALM TO LIGHT SE/E WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BE SW
BY 13-15Z WITH SPEEDS LARGELY 5 KTS OR LESS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE.
RW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 65 40 73 52 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 67 46 74 55 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 63 38 71 48 / 0 0 0 10
CARTERSVILLE 68 41 76 52 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 70 43 77 51 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 65 42 73 53 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 68 40 75 50 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 71 42 79 53 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 68 42 75 52 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 68 42 76 50 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM EDT THIS MORNING FOR GAZ001>009-
011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-089>098-
102>113.
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...RW
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