583
FXUS62 KFFC 221932
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
332 PM EDT WED APR 22 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY AS WILDFIRE SMOKE FROM SOUTH
GEORGIA AND NORTH FLORIDA MOVES NORTHWARD.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY, LEADING TO FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS FOR MUCH OF THE AREA.
- SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA
SATURDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS
NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM EDT WED APR 22 2026
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE SOUTHEAST WILL MAINTAIN WARM, DRY
CONDITIONS THROUGH TOMORROW (THURSDAY). FAIR-WEATHER CUMULUS HAS
DEVELOPED THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL DEVELOP AGAIN TOMORROW
AFTERNOON. A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS
EVENING FOR ALL OF THE COUNTY WARNING AREA (CWA) DUE TO VERY DRY
VEGETATION AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY. ANOTHER FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT WILL BE NEEDED FOR TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
RESIDENTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO REFERENCE THEIR LOCAL SHERIFF OR FIRE
DEPARTMENTS FOR INFORMATION ON BURN RESTRICTIONS.
WEAK LOW-LEVEL/MID-LEVEL SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL BRING WILDFIRE SMOKE
NORTHWARD FROM SOUTH GEORGIA AND NORTH FLORIDA OVERNIGHT AND
TOMORROW. THE ADVECTION OF SMOKE COUPLED WITH THE LOW-LEVEL
INVERSION OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING WILL LIKELY LEAD TO
REDUCTIONS IN VISIBILITY. ONCE DAYTIME HEATING IS UNDERWAY, MIXING
MAY LEAD TO SOME IMPROVEMENT IN SMOKE CONCENTRATIONS AND
VISIBILITY. THAT SAID, THE SKY WILL LIKELY REMAIN AT LEAST HAZY
THROUGH THE DAY. THE EVENING/NIGHT SHIFT WILL LIKELY ISSUE A
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT (SPS) WITH INFORMATION REGARDING THE
ANTICIPATED SMOKE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 310 PM EDT WED APR 22 2026
TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID 80S WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF
THE LONG TERM. BY SATURDAY, A TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO PUSH THROUGH
THE SOUTH GIVING US THE FIRST CHANCE OF MEANINGFUL RAIN IN A LONG
TIME. IT WILL START A RAINY PERIOD THAT WILL TAKE US THROUGH THE
MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK AS A STATIONARY FRONT STALLS ACROSS THE SE.
THE FIRST ROUND OF RAIN IS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY AND COULD BE
ACCOMPANIED BY A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS NORTHWEST
GEORGIA, THOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED. TIMING
WILL BE THE REAL DETERMINING FACTOR IN THE SEVERE RISK. A LATE
AFTERNOON ARRIVAL TIME WILL ALLOW DECENT INSTABILITY TO BUILD AS
WINDS SHIFT TO THE SW AND PULL MOISTURE IN FROM THE GULF. STORM
MODE APPEARS TO BE LINEAR, AND WILL LIKELY PRESENT A WIND THREAT
IF IT MATERIALIZES.
AFTER SATURDAY, AN UNSETTLED PATTERN SETS UP WITH A CHANCE FOR
RAIN IN THE FORECAST EVERY DAY UNTIL TUESDAY WHEN RAIN CHANCES
BECOME LIKELY AGAIN AS THE FRONT FINALLY PUSHES OFF THE COAST.
TEMPS WILL REMAIN IN THE 80S THROUGH THIS PERIOD, SO AS LONG AS
THE LIFTING MECHANISM REMAINS IN PLACE THERE WILL BE THE
POSSIBILITY FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS, PRIMARILY IN THE
AFTERNOON, TO LINGER THROUGH THE START OF NEXT WEEK. RAINFALL
TOTALS FROM SATURDAY TO TUESDAY RANGE FROM HALF AN INCH ACROSS
CENTRAL GEORGIA TO POTENTIALLY TWO INCHES ACROSS NORTHERN GEORGIA,
WITH ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 120 PM EDT WED APR 22 2026
NO CIG RESTRICTIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD, BUT
PERIODS OF HZ/FU FROM WILDFIRES IN S GEORGIA AND N FLORIDA MAY
RESULT IN REDUCTIONS TO VIS OVERNIGHT AND TOMORROW (THURSDAY). FOR
NOW, HAVE 6SM AND HZ AT ALL TAF SITES STARTING AT 13Z OR 15Z
TOMORROW. LIKE TODAY, BRIEF PERIODS OF VIS DOWN TO 3SM WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN FU. OTHERWISE, JUST FEW/SCT CU AROUND 7 KFT AND CIRRUS
ARE EXPECTED. LIGHT SW WINDS COULD PIVOT TO SSE AT TIMES TOMORROW.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
MARTIN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 53 84 56 84 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 58 84 60 84 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 50 79 52 79 / 0 10 0 10
CARTERSVILLE 53 84 56 86 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 54 85 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 56 83 58 83 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 53 85 57 86 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 51 84 55 86 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 53 84 56 85 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 55 88 58 89 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MARTIN
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...MARTIN
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