638
FXUS62 KFFC 250855
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
455 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
INTO THE EVENING. SOME STORMS COULD CONTAIN DAMAGING WINDS
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.
- THE THREAT FOR HEAVY RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOODING WILL
REMAIN ELEVATED ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA THROUGH SATURDAY IN THE
PRESENCE OF A STALLED FRONT.
- HEAT CONCERNS REBOUND IN EARNEST NEXT WEEK WITH AN UPWARD
TREND IN TEMPERATURES AND HEAT INDEX VALUES BY MONDAY.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 453 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
A STATIONARY FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE A BOUNDARY FOR LIFT
THROUGH THE REST OF THE DAY. ONCE DAYTIME HEATING GETS GOING,
SHOWERS WILL BECOME MORE NUMEROUS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20. BY
THIS AFTERNOON, THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AIDED BY NW FLOW.
THERE IS STILL SOME QUESTION AS TO HOW MUCH INSTABILITY WE'LL BE
ABLE TO GENERATE. THE PRESENCE OF THE STATIONARY FRONT AND A WEAK
WEDGE WILL KEEP CONDITIONS PRETTY CLOUDY THROUGH THE MORNING AND
INTO THE AFTERNOON. FORTUNATELY, A LOW WILL PUSH THIS WHOLE MESS
OUT COME SUNDAY AND WE SHOULD SEE SOME SUNSHINE AGAIN AS WE START
NEXT WORK WEEK.
ON THE BRIGHTER SIDE, TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TO RUN A FEW DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 80S AND LOW 90S AND LOWS IN THE
LOW 70S AND UPPER 60S ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATION OF NORTHERN
GEORGIA.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 453 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
DRY AND WARM START TO THE WEEK:
A DRY AIRMASS WILL SPREAD ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GA EARLY NEXT
WEEK WITHIN DEEP NORTHWEST FLOW ON THE BACKSIDE OF A MID-LEVEL
TROUGH. WITH PWAT VALUES DROPPING BELOW 1.5" AND A MID-LEVEL RIDGE
EXTENDING OVER THE AREA FROM THE SOUTHERN PLAINS, RAIN CHANCES WILL
BE HARD TO COME BY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WITH LIMITED CLOUD COVER AND A
WARM AIRMASS OVER THE REGION, HEAT CONCERNS WILL LIKELY RETURN. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL RISE TO THE LOW TO MID 90S EACH DAY, WITH HEAT
INDEX VALUES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS.
CONFIDENCE IN THE FORECAST DROPS OFF FROM MID TO LATE NEXT WEEK DUE
TO A SPREAD IN GUIDANCE ON HOW THE MID-LEVEL PATTERN EVOLVES. THE
SCENARIO MOST SUPPORTED BY THE LATEST GUIDANCE IS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
MOVING THROUGH THE AREA IN THE WEDNESDAY-THURSDAY TIMEFRAME, WITH AN
EVEN DRIER AIRMASS SPREADING OVER THE REGION IN ITS WAKE. A SMALLER
CAMP OF GUIDANCE HAS THE TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD BUILDING
BACK WEST, WHICH WOULD ALLOW A HUMID AIRMASS (AND RAIN CHANCES) TO
MOVE BACK IN ACROSS OUR AREA. FOR NOW, LEANING WITH THE FORMER
SOLUTION GIVEN THE GROWING NUMBER OF MODEL MEMBERS TRENDING THAT
WAY. IF THIS WERE TO COME TO FRUITION, IT WOULD BE A PRETTY DRY WEEK
FOR LATE JULY STANDARDS, BUT WITH TYPICAL SUMMER HEAT.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 147 AM EDT SAT JUL 25 2026
LOW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH BRIEF
PERIODS OF IFR AND PREVAILING MVFR. SHRA REMAINS POSSIBLE AFTER 07Z.
AFTERNOON TSRA REMAINS LOW CONFIDENCE, BUT THE BEST CHANCES COME
AFTER 18Z. WINDS WILL BE WNW AT 5-10KTS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO LOW ON IFR AND TSRA
HIGH ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
VAUGHN
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 88 72 89 71 / 20 30 20 10
ATLANTA 87 73 89 74 / 40 40 30 0
BLAIRSVILLE 82 66 84 65 / 20 30 20 0
CARTERSVILLE 86 72 89 72 / 40 50 30 10
COLUMBUS 92 75 92 75 / 50 20 50 10
GAINESVILLE 86 72 89 72 / 10 30 20 0
MACON 91 73 91 73 / 50 20 40 10
ROME 86 71 89 71 / 50 50 30 0
PEACHTREE CITY 88 72 89 72 / 50 40 40 10
VIDALIA 93 75 93 74 / 30 10 70 20
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...VAUGHN
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...VAUGHN
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