888
FXUS62 KFFC 121726
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
126 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
..NEW 18Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS FOR MUCH OF THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES WARMING
UP TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL.
- CONFIDENCE IS INCREASING THAT A MUCH COOLER AIRMASS WILL MOVE
IN FOR NEXT WEEKEND BEHIND A STRONG COLD FRONT.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 454 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
CLEAR AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY, AND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WORK WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL RISE INTO THE
LOW 80S BY EARLY AFTERNOON, BUT WITH NW WINDS WE'LL KEEP OUR
HUMIDITY DOWN. TEMPS WILL FALL INTO THE LOW 60S TONIGHT BEFORE
HEATING INTO THE MID 80S TOMORROW.
GRADIENT WINDS HAVE EASED, THOUGH WE MAY SEE A FEW GUSTS TO 20 MPH
THIS AFTERNOON. THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NE GEORGIA COULD SEE GUSTS
AS HIGH AS 30 MPH AS WE HEAT UP AND MIX INTO A LINGERING JET AT
850MB.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 454 AM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
THE EXTENDED PERIODS BEGIN TUE NIGHT WITH A LARGE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGE CENTERED OVER WESTERN NC WITH ITS RIDGE AXIS EXTENDING FROM
THE MID-ATLANTIC DOWN TO THE MS/AL GULF COAST. THIS RIDGE STAYS
FAIRLY STATIONARY THROUGH THU KEEPING THINGS WARM AND DRY BUT IT
DOES WEAKEN SLOWLY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. TEMPERATURES WED,
THU, AND FRI WILL BE IN THE 80S TO NEAR 90S WITH LOWS MAINLY IN THE
60S. AS THIS RIDGE BEGINS TO WEAKEN THU, A FAIRLY ORGANIZED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY BEGINS TO MOVE SE OUT OF THE UPPER TO MIDDLE MS RIVER
VALLEY. IT MAKES ITS WAY SE THU NIGHT TO JUST NW OF THE AL/GA/TN
BORDER BY DAYBREAK FRI. AS THIS FRONT MOVES SE BOTH THE ECMWF AND
THE GFS SHOW IT LOOSING STRENGTH AS A LOT OF ITS DYNAMICS AND
MOISTURE MOVING NE CLOSER TO THE PARENT LOW CENTER WHICH WILL BE
OVER THE NEW ENGLAND STATES BY THIS TIME. JUST THE SOUTHERN TAIL END
OF THIS FRONT SWINGS SE THROUGH THE STATE FRI/FRI NIGHT WITH THE
MODELS SHOWING IT MOVING INTO N FL BY DAYBREAK SAT. IF THIS HOLDS
TRUE ALL WE SHOULD SEE FROM THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE IS MAYBE SOME
INCREASED CLOUD COVER BUT THE BIGGEST THINGS WE WILL SEE IS VERY
FALL LIKE TEMPS MOVING INTO THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND.
THE MODELS SHOW A VERY STRONG HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE PUSHING INTO THE
AREA FROM THE NORTHERN/CENTRAL PLAINS BEHIND THE EXITING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY FRI. THIS RIDGE WILL BRING A COOLER/DRIER AIRMASS WITH IT
COOLING THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. OFF SUBSTANTIALLY. WE COULD SEE HIGHS
TEMPS IN THE 60S AND 70S SAT WITH LOWS IN THE 40S SAT NIGHT. MAY
EVEN SEE SOME UPPER 30S ACROSS THE NE GA MOUNTAINS. SUNDAYS HIGH
TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 60S. WE COULD LITERALLY GO FROM WEARING
SHORTS AND SHORT SLEEVES FRI...TO SWEATERS AND JACKETS SUN MORNING.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 124 PM EDT MON OCT 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH MOSTLY SKC OUTSIDE OF
PATCHY FOG TUES AM ACROSS FAR NORTH GA. WINDS OUT OF THE NNW AT
8-12 KTS GUSTING TO 18-20 KTS THIS AFTERNOON, WEAKENING TO 5 KTS
OR LESS THIS EVENING AND STAYING THAT WAY THROUGH THE REST OF THE
PERIOD.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH FOR ALL ELEMENTS.
CULVER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 85 57 86 59 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 83 61 86 62 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 79 54 82 56 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 84 57 87 58 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 87 59 89 61 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 83 60 85 61 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 86 57 88 59 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 85 55 87 56 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 84 56 87 57 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 84 61 86 62 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...VAUGHN
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...CULVER
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