272
FXUS62 KFFC 111055
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
655 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 652 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
- HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND FOR AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS RISING
TO WELL ABOVE-NORMAL NEXT WEEK. A FEW LOCATIONS COULD APPROACH
DAILY RECORD HIGHS BY MID-WEEK.
- WITH LITTLE CHANCE OF APPRECIABLE RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT 5-7
DAYS DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY TO WORSEN.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
AS THE MORNING BEGINS, THE FORECAST AREA IS SITUATED UNDERNEATH TWO
500 MB RIDGES, WITH THE FIRST ONE EXTENDING FROM THE NORTHEAST GULF
COAST TOWARDS MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND THE SECOND ONE EXTENDING
THROUGH THE GREAT PLAINS. MEANWHILE, A SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS MOVING
ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION, WITH AN ASSOCIATED SURFACE LOW
LIFTING THROUGH MAINE TOWARDS THE NORTH ATLANTIC. A COLD FRONT
TRAILING FROM THE LOW IS MOVING THROUGH TENNESSEE VALLEY.
HOWEVER, AS THE PARENT LOW CONTINUES TO MOVE FURTHER WAY TO THE
NORTHEAST, THE FRONT WILL LOSE ITS SUPPORT AND PROGRESSIVELY
WEAKEN. THUS, PRECIPITATION IS NOT EXPECTED IN ASSOCIATION WITH
THIS FRONT, AND SENSIBLE IMPACTS WILL BE LIMITED TO INCREASED
UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER AND LIGHT WINDS SHIFTING TO NW THIS
MORNING. THE PATTERN WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE EASTWARD OVER THE
COURSE OF THE DAY, WITH THE RIDGE OVER THE GREAT PLAINS SETTING UP
OVER THE EASTERN CONUS ALONG WITH ANOTHER SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE.
THIS RIDGE AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE HIGH WILL PROMOTE DRY CONDITIONS
AND WARMING TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
LOW TEMPERATURES THIS MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE UPPER 40S
TO LOW 50S. HIGH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON WILL RISE TO BETWEEN
8-15 DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMALS, IN THE MID 80S ACROSS THE
MAJORITY OF THE AREA.
MINIMUM RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW 25%
ACROSS THE MAJORITY OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS AFTERNOON. EVEN IF RH
ONLY REACH THIS CRITICAL THRESHOLD FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS IN SOME
LOCATIONS, A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA UNTIL 8 PM EDT CONSIDERING ONGOING DROUGHT
CONDITIONS AND 10 HOUR FUEL MOISTURE VALUES AROUND 6-7%. ON SUNDAY,
LOW TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN IN THE MID TO UPPER 50S WITH HIGHS
RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 80S. DEWPOINTS WILL BEGIN TO RISE AS
SURFACE WINDS SHIFT TO SOUTHERLY, THOUGH LIKELY NOT QUICKLY ENOUGH
TO RULE OUT HAZARDOUS FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN GIVEN THE
CLIMBING TEMPERATURES.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
AS MENTIONED IN THE PAST FEW LONG TERM DISCUSSIONS, THE PATTERN WILL
CONTINUE TO SHOWCASE WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH THE END OF NEXT
WEEK. HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE AREA WITH MULTIPLE
IMPULSES ATTEMPTING TO PUSH INTO THE AREA TO THE WEST, BUT
ULTIMATELY FAILING TO PUSH PAST THE RIDGING AND HIGH PRESSURE OVER
OUR AREA. WITH THIS MODELS ARE INDICATED <10% CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH
THE NEXT SATURDAY WITH THE ONLY AREA THAT MAY SEE A SPRINKLE BEING
EXTREME NW GEORGIA BUT THAT REMAINS VERY UNLIKELY AT THIS TIME. HIGH
FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN A LITTLE MORE MARGINAL AS WE PUSH
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS WINDS COME IN MORE FROM THE S AND SW WHICH
SHOULD PUSH IN JUST ENOUGH MOISTURE TO KEEP RHS IN THE 30-35% RANGE
INSTEAD OF 20-25% RANGE LIKE THIS WEEKEND. EITHER WAY, WITH DRY
CONDITIONS AS WELL AS DROUGHT CONDITIONS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPROVE,
FIRE DANGER WILL STILL BE THE MAIN WEATHER CONCERN FOR THE NEXT 7
DAYS. TEMPERATURES WILL ALSO WARM TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR WITH HIGHS REACHING UP INTO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S FOR
MUCH OF THE AREA. THIS WILL BE 15-20 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL AND WILL
BE APPROACHING RECORD CRITERIA ESPECIALLY FOR THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY
NEXT WEEK. OUR CURRENT FORECAST HAS TEMPERATURES ABOVE RECORD TEMPS
WHICH COINCIDES WITH THE CPC OUTLOOK THAT HIGHLIGHTED OUR AREA IN
MUCH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 652 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH SOME PASSING
UPPER LEVEL CLOUDS IN THE EARLY MORNING GIVING WAY TO SKC BY MID-
MORNING. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS IN THE EARLY MORNING WILL
INCREASE SLIGHTLY OUT OF THE NW AT 4-6 KTS BY 14-15Z. WINDS WILL
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE ONCE AGAIN TONIGHT BEFORE BECOMING S/SE
AT 5-9 KTS ON SUNDAY MORNING.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
KING
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 85 54 85 57 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 85 58 85 59 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 80 52 80 54 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 84 54 86 58 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 86 56 87 57 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 84 56 84 57 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 85 55 86 56 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 86 53 87 57 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 85 54 85 56 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 86 55 87 57 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...KING
LONG TERM....HERNANDEZ
AVIATION...KING
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