959
FXUS62 KFFC 060009
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
809 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE A THREAT WITH ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP THROUGH THIS EVENING. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE THREATS.
- ELEVATED TEMPERATURES, HUMIDITY AND DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT WEEK FOR NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 213 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
CONVECTION IS LIKELY TO LINGER AFTER THE SUN GOES DOWN BUT
FORECASTER CONFIDENCE REMAINS LOW ON EXACTLY WHERE AND FOR HOW LONG.
IT WILL LARGELY DEPEND ON HOW CONVECTION EVOLVES THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON. FOR NOW MAINTAIN LOWER CHANCES (15-20%)
THROUGH 11PM. PATCHY FOG IS LIKELY TO DEVELOP EARLY MONDAY MORNING
PARTICULARLY IN LOCATIONS THAT SAW ANY HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
ASIDE FROM THUNDERSTORMS, HEAT WILL CONTINUE TO REMAIN A THREAT
THROUGH MONDAY. A HEAT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MOST OF EAST-
CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH 8 PM THIS EVENING. TEMPERATURES HAVE RISEN
INTO THE MID TO UPPER 90S WITH HEAT INDICES HOVERING RIGHT AROUND
104-106F. A MUCH SMALLER HEAT ADVISORY FOR MONDAY GIVEN HIGHER
COVERAGE OF STORMS AND CLOUD COVER, CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST
PORTION OF THE AREA FROM 12 PM TO 8 PM. REGARDLESS IT WILL BE HOT
AND QUITE UNCOMFORTABLE.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 213 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
SUMMER-LIKE HEAT AND DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
PREVAIL THROUGH THE REST OF THIS WEEK.
BROAD TROUGHING CONTINUES OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION THROUGH THE
LONG TERM PERIOD. THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE REMAINS ADJACENT TO OUR CWA,
BUT MOSTLY TO OUR SOUTH THIS WEEK. RECENT 00Z AND 06Z MODEL DATA
SHOWS A WEAK, CLOSED UPPER LEVEL LOW THAT SETS UP JUST SOUTH OF THE
OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND REMAINS ANCHORED THERE FOR THE FIRST SEVERAL
DAYS OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THIS H250 LOW SHOULD EVENTUALLY BE
PULLED BACK INTO THE JETSTREAM AND THE UPPER LEVEL PATTERN SHOULD
STAY ZONAL THROUGH THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL STILL BE NEAR OR JUST ABOVE ADVISORY
CRITERIA FOR US THIS WEEK. THE LOCATIONS MOST FAVORED TO MEET OR
EXCEED 105 DEGREES ARE STILL ACROSS SOUTHEAST GEORGIA. POPS TOWARDS
THE MID-WEEK HAVE TRENDED DOWNWARD DUE TO THE NEW POSITIONS OF THE
UPPER LEVEL LOW. THOUGH THE BETTER FORCING FOR THUNDERSTORMS HAS
SHIFTED NORTH, ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
AREA EACH DAY AS LONG AS CONVECTIVE TEMPERATURES ARE BEING MET.
DAMAGING WINDS, HEAVY RAINFALL, AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING PERSIST AS
THE MAIN HAZARDS FROM THIS PULSE-TYPE CONVECTION.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 807 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD. VCSH AT
ALL TAF SITES THROUGH 01-03Z AS TSRA CHANCES DECREASE AND LINGERING
SHOWERS DIMINISH. THERE COULD BE ANOTHER POP UP STORM BUT CONFIDENCE
IS LOW ON THE EXACT LOCATIONS. SHOULD DIMINISH BY MIDNIGHT. LIGHT TO
VRB WINDS OVERNIGHT. WINDS PICK UP MONDAY MORNING OUT OF THE W/SW
WITH SCT/FEW040-060 AS CU RETURNS ONCE AGAIN. ANOTHER ROUND OF
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSRA DURING THE AFTERNOON SO A PROB30 AT ALL
SITES.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
LOW TO MEDIUM ON TSRA.
HIGH CONFIDENCE REMAINING ELEMENTS.
PATTERSON
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 73 93 73 92 / 30 60 20 30
ATLANTA 75 91 74 91 / 30 70 30 30
BLAIRSVILLE 67 85 66 84 / 30 80 30 40
CARTERSVILLE 73 90 72 90 / 40 70 40 30
COLUMBUS 75 92 75 92 / 30 50 40 30
GAINESVILLE 73 91 73 91 / 30 60 30 20
MACON 74 93 74 92 / 20 30 20 30
ROME 72 90 72 90 / 40 70 30 30
PEACHTREE CITY 73 90 72 90 / 30 60 30 30
VIDALIA 77 97 76 96 / 30 20 20 30
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TO 8 PM EDT MONDAY FOR GAZ074-076-
084>086-097-098-111>113.
SHORT TERM...07/PATTERSON
LONG TERM....RANGEL
AVIATION...PATTERSON
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