755
FXUS62 KFFC 141836
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
236 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 233 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2026
- SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING, WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AS THE PRIMARY THREAT.
- WARM MOIST AIR REMAIN IN PLACE TODAY WITH HEAT INDICES TO
REMAIN IN THE 90S THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK.
- ACTIVE WEATHER WITH DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH MUCH OF THE UPCOMING WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 233 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2026
CURRENT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE AREA HAS SET OFF SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGH PW/MOISTURE LEADING TO
ENHANCED DOWNDRAFTS DUE TO WATER LOADING WHICH RESULTED IN PEAK
WINDS 30-40 MPH ACROSS THE AREA. ACTUALLY SAW 45 MPH HERE AT THE
OFFICE (FFC ASOS) AROUND 1:20PM. LOOK FOR THIS ACTIVITY TO CONTINUE
TRACKING EAST OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH A FEW EMBEDDED STRONGER
STORMS LIKELY.
ANOTHER WAVE CURRENTLY MOVING OVER NE MISSISSIPPI/NW ALABAMA AND
SOUTHERN TN WILL TRACK E-SE, EVENTUALLY MOVING ACROSS NORTH GA THIS
EVENING. THIS SHOULD SET OFF ANOTHER ROUND/LINE OF STORMS, WHICH
COULD BE MORE ORGANIZED (THAN WHAT WE'RE SEEING RIGHT NOW OVER THE
AREA) AIDED BY DEEPER INSTABILITY AND ENHANCED LOW-LEVEL (850MB)
WINDS 30-40KTS. STRONG TO DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT
ALONG WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAINFALL.
GOOD NEWS, OVERNIGHT AND INTO TOMORROW MORNING, THINGS ARE EXPECTED
TO IMPROVE DRASTICALLY WITH DRIER AND COOLER AIR WORKING ACROSS MUCH
OF THE AREA. TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE AROUND 5F DEGREES COOLER WITH
LOWER HUMIDITY AS WELL. ANY ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND STORMS
(TOMORROW) WILL LIKELY REMAIN SOUTH OF THE AREA -- ACROSS SOUTH GA.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 233 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2026
BROAD UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING OVER THE WESTERN CONUS WILL HOLD
GENERALLY WEAK WNW UPPER LEVEL FLOW OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE
COMING WEEK. SURFACE FLOW WILL REMAIN MORE WSW THROUGH THE PERIOD,
HOLDING MOISTURE ACROSS THE AREA AND DELIVERING SEVERAL WEAK
SHORTWAVES JUST TO THE NORTH. DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL PEAK
ABOVE 30 PERCENT FOR MUCH OF THE AREA. THE NEXT MORE NOTABLE SYSTEM
IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE REGION HIGHLIGHTED BY THE NHC OFF THE TX
GULF. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF ANY SYSTEM, AND
ANY TROPICAL DEVELOPMENT WOULD INFLUENCE FORECAST OUTCOMES, HOWEVER
THE MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THIS REGION MAY DRIVE PWATS WELL OVER 2
INCHES THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY. CURRENT NBM PROBS OF PWATS > 2" ACROSS
NEARLY THE ENTIRE CWA SITS AT ~45%. THIS WOULD BE SIGNIFICANTLY
ABOVE CLIMATOLOGICAL 90TH PERCENTILE SO CAREFUL CONSIDERATION WILL
BE NECESSARY WHEN EVALUATING EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RISK.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE PERIOD WILL BE NEAR CLIMATOLOGY TO SLIGHTLY
COOL, DUE TO CLOUD COVERAGE AND CONTINUED RAIN CHANCES. THAT SAID,
HIGHS IN THE 80S TO LOW 90S AND SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE WILL RESULT IN
ELEVATED HEAT INDICES. THURSDAY LOOKS TO BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE
PERIOD.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 126 PM EDT SUN JUN 14 2026
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH ONE OF SEVERAL "WAVES"
EXPECTED TO KICK ACROSS THE REGION THROUGH THIS EVENING. HEAVY
RAINFALL HAS BRIEFLY REDUCED VSBYS TO IFR, ALONG WITH GUSTS IN
THE 25-35 MPH. ATHENS (KAHN) AND MACON (KMCN) LIKELY TO SEE THESE
CONDITIONS IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS IS
EXPECTED BETWEEN 23Z AND 05Z. THIS LINE COULD BE A BIT MORE
ORGANIZED WITH HIGHER WINDS AND HEAVIER RAINFALL POSSIBLE.
OVERNIGHT, THINGS SHOULD IMPROVE BUT WILL HAVE TO WATCH FOR LOW
CLOUDS/FOG DEVELOPMENT.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO HIGH WITH STORM TIMING AND THREATS.
LOW TO MEDIUM WITH LOW CLOUDS LATE TONIGHT/EARLY MONDAY.
DJN.83
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 72 88 67 84 / 50 10 20 20
ATLANTA 71 84 67 81 / 50 20 30 50
BLAIRSVILLE 64 78 57 78 / 60 10 10 0
CARTERSVILLE 69 82 63 82 / 60 20 20 20
COLUMBUS 73 88 69 80 / 30 70 70 90
GAINESVILLE 70 83 65 81 / 50 10 10 10
MACON 73 90 69 81 / 40 50 70 80
ROME 69 82 63 82 / 50 10 20 10
PEACHTREE CITY 71 84 66 80 / 50 30 40 60
VIDALIA 75 94 72 84 / 30 40 50 80
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...DJN.83
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...DJN.83
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