592
FXUS62 KFFC 020935
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
435 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 332 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
- CLOUDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS, PARTICULARLY ACROSS NORTHEAST GA,
WILL BE FELT TODAY AND TUESDAY DUE TO A BUILDING CAD WEDGE.
- RISING TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES RETURN FROM
MID WEEK THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING WITH SOME HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING
ACROSS NORTH GA. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES ACROSS THE REGION
ALONG WITH A CAD (COLD AIR DAMMING) WEDGE EXPECTED TO PUSH INTO
NE GA TODAY AS IT BUILDS DOWN THE EASTERN SEABOARD. THIS WEDGE
FRONT IS FORECAST TO BEGIN PUSHING INTO THE STATE OVER THE NEXT
FEW HOURS BRINGING CLOUDY SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES
PARTICULARLY TO NE GA. LATEST HI-RES MODELS DO HIGHLIGHT A
POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA THIS MORNING
BUT GIVEN HOW DRY WE ARE ONLY EXPECTING ISOLATED SHOWERS AT BEST.
THERE IS GOOD AGREEMENT AMONG MODELS THAT THE WEDGE WILL BE FAIRLY
STRONG, GOING WITH LOWERED HIGH TEMPS ACROSS NE GA INCLUDING MOST
OF THE ATL AREA. THE BIGGEST QUESTION WITH THIS WEDGE IS JUST HOW
FAR SOUTH AND WEST IT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA. FORECAST HIGHS
TODAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE 50S OVER NE GA TO THE MIDDLE 70S
ACROSS CENTRAL GA. THE WEDGE IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY
BUT IT WEAKENS SUBSTANTIALLY ALLOWING DAYTIME HIGHS TO GET UP A
FEW DEGREES HIGHER ACROSS NE GA.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 332 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
AFTER A DRY AND WARM WEDNESDAY, THE CWA WILL BECOME SITUATED BETWEEN
A RIDGE TO THE EAST AND A BROAD, LARGE-SCALE TROUGH TO THE WEST.
THIS WILL SUPPORT DEEP-LAYER WARM, HUMID SOUTHERLY FLOW ACROSS THE
AREA. WIDESPREAD HIGHS IN THE 80S ARE EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY, WITH
SOME LOWER 90S LIKELY MIXED IN. THESE TEMPERATURES ARE SOME 15-20
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR EARLY MARCH, SO RECORD DAILY HIGHS COULD
BE ON THE TABLE. THE ONLY FLY IN THE OINTMENT FOR THESE TEMPERATURES
BEING REALIZED AREA-WIDE WOULD BE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
PRECIPITATION AMID MOISTURE ADVECTION.
THE EPS MAINTAINS STRONGER RIDGING OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND
WESTERN ATLANTIC AT THE END OF THE WEEK AND OVER THE WEEKEND, WHILE
THE GEFS FAVORS MORE EASTWARD MIGRATION OF THE RIDGE OVER THE
WESTERN ATLANTIC. THE LATTER WOULD FAVOR INCREASED MOISTURE FLUX
ACROSS THE CWA, WHILE THE FORMER WOULD MEAN LESS MOISTURE ADVECTION
AND MORE SUBSIDENCE. AS A RESULT, THE SYNOPTIC SETUP WILL LARGELY
DICTATE POTENTIAL FOR AND COVERAGE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. IN EITHER
SCENARIO, STRONG WINDS ALOFT ARE PROGGED TO REMAIN WELL NORTH OF THE
CWA, SO KINEMATICS WILL BE LACKING FOR STORM ORGANIZATION/LONGEVITY.
THAT SAID, AMPLE GULF MOISTURE SHOULD LEAD TO AT LEAST MARGINAL
INSTABILITY EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING, SO AN EXPECTATION FOR ISOLATED
STORMS SEEMS REASONABLE. THIS IS SOMETHING OF A SPRING/SUMMER
PATTERN THAT COULD SUPPORT A FEW STRONG STORMS EACH DAY, BUT A
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT DOES NOT APPEAR LIKELY AT THIS
TIME.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1245 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
MOSTLY HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH LOW CEILINGS
EXPECTED TO MOVE IN TODAY AS THE WEDGE BUILDS IN. THE LOWER
CEILINGS SHOULD BUILD INTO THE ATL/AHN AREAS BUT NOT SURE HOW FAR
WEST IT WILL PUSH INTO THE STATE. LOOKS LIKE THE EDGE OF THE
LOWER CEILINGS WILL BE SOMEWHERE IN THE ATL AREA SO THINKING ATL,
FTY, AND PDK WILL SEE CEILINGS IN HE MVFR RANGE BUT NOT SURE
ABOUT RYY. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE NOW BUT THEY WILL TURN TO
THE NE/E WITH SPEEDS INCREASING INTO THE 8-12KT RANGE. NO
PRECIPITATION EXPECTED AT THE TAF SITES.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS EXCEPT CEILINGS
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON CEILINGS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 60 46 64 49 / 0 10 0 0
ATLANTA 64 48 66 52 / 0 10 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 57 43 62 46 / 10 10 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 67 48 69 51 / 10 10 0 0
COLUMBUS 76 54 75 54 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 58 45 62 49 / 0 10 0 0
MACON 74 52 72 53 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 73 52 73 53 / 10 10 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 72 50 70 51 / 0 10 0 0
VIDALIA 74 52 75 55 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...01
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