858
FXUS62 KFFC 030549
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
149 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- THE HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN EXTENDED THROUGH 8PM SATURDAY FOR
MOST OF NORTH GA. AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES MAY EXCEED 105
DEGREES WITH OVERNIGHT HEAT INDEX VALUES REMAINING NEAR OR
ABOVE 80 DEGREES.
- SEVERAL STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED IN PORTIONS OF
NORTH GEORGIA THIS EVENING. DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, LARGE HAIL,
FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND HEAVY RAIN ARE ALL POSSIBLE.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 209 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2026
HIGH PRESSURE ACROSS THE EASTERN CONUS. UPPER LEVEL RIDGING
CONTINUES INTO THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK NEAR SURFACE FLOW OUT OF THE E
TO SE. POPS REMAIN AT OR BELOW 30 PERCENT EACH AFTERNOON ACROSS
NORTH GA. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES REMAIN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED, AS CAPE
VALUES IN EXCESS OF 3000J/KG FIGHT THE SUPPRESSIVE NATURE OF THE
HIGH. GIVEN THE HIGH CAPE VALUES, ONCE A STORM GETS GOING (THE HARD
PART), A FEW UPDRAFTS MAY BECOME SUBSTANTIAL ENOUGH TO SUPPORT WET
MICROBURSTS AND POCKETS OF WINDS 40-60MPH. THE HAIL THREAT REMAINS
RELATIVELY LOW, BUT NOT ZERO, GIVEN THE WARM CONDITIONS.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT THROUGH THE PERIOD. HIGHS IN
THE MID TO UPPER 90S AND DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S WILL DRIVE HEAT INDEX
VALUES NEAR 105 ACROSS NORTH GA. DRIER CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL GA
MEAN HEAT INDICES WILL LIKELY REMAIN BELOW 105F. A HEAT ADVISORY HAS
BEEN EXTENDED ACROSS MUCH OF NORTH GA THROUGH 8PM SATURDAY, AND AN
EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR NORTHWEST GA UNTIL 8PM
TONIGHT (CONVERTING TO A HEAT ADVISORY THIS EVENING).
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 209 PM EDT THU JUL 2 2026
INDEPENDENCE DAY IS POISED TO BE UNSEASONABLY HOT AND MOSTLY DRY,
AS THE RIDGING THAT HAS SUPPORTED OUR MULTI-DAY HEAT WAVE BEGINS
TO BREAK DOWN. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE -- PRIMARILY
ACROSS FAR NORTHERN AND WESTERN GEORGIA ALONG THE ALABAMA STATE
LINE -- AS MOISTURE BEGINS TO INTRUDE UPON THE DETERIORATING HEAT
DOME, BUT COVERAGE IS UNLIKELY TO PROVIDE MUCH (IF ANY) RELIEF
FROM THE LINGERING HEAT. CONFIDENCE IN POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS HEAT
REMAINS HIGH, AND A HEAT ADVISORY HAS BEEN PROACTIVELY ISSUED TO
CARRY THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING. HIGHS AREAWIDE WILL BE IN THE MID-
TO-UPPER 90S, WITH HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS FOR ALL
BUT THE TERRAIN OF FAR NORTHEAST GEORGIA. OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES ARE
A HALLMARK OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND, AND WITH CONTINUED OPPRESSIVE
HEAT, PRECAUTIONS MUST BE TAKEN TO LESSEN LIKELIHOOD OF HEATED-
RELATED ILLNESSES. ENSURE THAT YOU ARE TAKING FREQUENT HYDRATION
BREAKS (IN THE SHADE IF AT ALL POSSIBLE), WEARING LOOSE, LIGHT-
COLORED CLOTHING, AND CHECKING IN ON YOUR PEOPLE. APPARENT/"FEELS
LIKE" TEMPERATURES WILL CROSS THE 90 DEGREE MARK BY 10AM, AND WILL
LIKELY NOT CROSS BELOW THAT THRESHOLD UNTIL 11PM, MEANING IT MAY
STILL BE UNCOMFORTABLY HOT EVEN AFTER THE SUN GOES DOWN.
SUNDAY AND BEYOND, MID-LEVEL FLOW BECOMES MORE NEBULOUS, WITH THE
SOUTHEAST BROADLY SITUATED WITH THE BASE OF TROUGHING TO THE NORTH
AND RIDGING ACROSS THE GULF TO THE SOUTH. AT THE SURFACE, THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE BERMUDA HIGH NUDGES ONSHORE, ALLOWING
DEWPOINTS TO SURGE BACK INTO THE LOW-TO-MID 70S WITH MOIST
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OFF OF THE GULF. CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS THROUGH MIDWEEK, OWING TO
ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND LACK OF INTERVENING/INHIBITING SUBSIDENCE AS
IN PREVIOUS DAYS. INCREASED CLOUD COVER CORRELATED TO HIGHER POPS
WILL SUPPORT AIR TEMPERATURES JUST A TICK LOWER EACH DAY --
GENERALLY IN THE LOW-TO-MID 90S -- HOWEVER, HIGHER DEWPOINTS WILL
KEEP HEAT INDEX VALUES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS FOR MOST THROUGH THE END
OF THE EXTENDED.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 140 AM EDT FRI JUL 3 2026
LOOKS LIKE WE ARE IN STORE FOR A FAIRLY TYPICAL SUMMERTIME
AVIATION DAY. MAINLY VFR CEILINGS WITH SOME MVFR CEILINGS IN AND
AROUND AFTERNOON/EVENING CONVECTION. LOOKS LIKE THE MAIN AREA OF
CONCERN FOR DIURNALLY DRIVEN STORMS WILL BE ACROSS N GA SO ONLY
LOOKING FOR ISOLATED STORMS ACROSS THE ATL/AHN AREAS AND NOTHING
FOR MCN/CSG. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING
BECOMING E TO SE IN THE 3-8KT RANGE BY 14Z-16Z. WINDS WILL STAY IN
THIS RANGE THROUGH SUNSET WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS TO 20KT
ASSOCIATED WITH AFTERNOON TSRA.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 75 99 75 99 / 0 0 0 30
ATLANTA 77 98 78 97 / 10 10 10 40
BLAIRSVILLE 70 91 70 90 / 10 20 10 60
CARTERSVILLE 75 97 75 97 / 10 20 20 40
COLUMBUS 76 97 76 96 / 0 10 10 30
GAINESVILLE 75 98 75 97 / 0 10 0 40
MACON 75 97 76 97 / 0 0 0 30
ROME 75 97 75 97 / 20 20 20 40
PEACHTREE CITY 74 96 75 95 / 0 10 10 40
VIDALIA 73 99 76 100 / 0 0 0 20
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT SATURDAY FOR GAZ001>007-011>014-
019>025-027-030>039-041>062.
SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...01
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