317
FXUS62 KFFC 161825
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
225 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 220 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
- SOME SNOW SHOWERS AND FLURRIES EXPECTED LATE THIS MORNING INTO
THIS AFTERNOON FOR AREAS ALONG/NORTH OF I-85, THOUGH IMPACTFUL
ACCUMULATIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED.
- WIDESPREAD SUB-FREEZING TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY NIGHT FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT.
- TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO CLIMB LATE THIS WEEK, WITH HIGHS RETURNING
TO THE 70S BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
STRONG MID LEVEL ENERGY ROTATING THROUGH THE BASE OF THE TROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON. IMPRESSIVE DYNAMIC COOLING UNDERWAY BEHIND THE
FRONT ALLOWING FOR PRECIP TO CHANGE OVER TO A WINTRY MIX TO ALL
SNOW ACROSS NORTH GA THIS AFTERNOON. PER HRRR INIT, 925 TMPS
FALLING TO -3C, 850 TEMPS TO -7C, AND 700 TEMPS FALLING TO -12 TO
-15C WITH STRONG ASCENT IN THE SATURATED 700 TO 500MB LAYER. HAVE
ISSUED A WWA FOR NORTH AND NW GA THIS AFTERNOON FOR THE BROAD
AREA OF SNOW. GROUND AND ROAD TEMPS WELL INTO THE UPPER 40S AND
50S SO WE ARE NOT EXPECTING WIDESPREAD IMPACTS ON ROAD SURFACES,
HOWEVER, GIVEN THE SNOW RATES, GRASSY OR ELEVATED SURFACES COULD
SEE SOME ACCUMS. ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE BROAD PRECIP SHIELD,
THERMAL PROFILES SUPPORT CONVECTIVE SNOW SHOWERS MUCH LIKE WHAT
WE GET IN WINTER NW FLOW SETUPS ON THE BACK SIDE OF THE TROF
SWINGING THROUGH. I.E. STEEP LOW LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND SATURATED
UP TO 850MB COMBINED WITH LOW SBCAPE VALUES. HI RES CAMS RUNS
ALL IN AGREEMENT OF SPOTTY SNOW SHOWERS LINGERING THROUGH THE
EVENING HOURS HENCE THE WWA AND SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT IN
EFFECT THROUGH 11PM.
BEYOND THE PRECIP... EXPECT FREEZING TEMPS AREA WIDE BY
MORNING..WITH LOW 20S IN THE NORTH GA MOUNTAINS. FREEZE WARNING IN
EFFECT AND MAY NEED ANOTHER ON WEDNESDAY MORNING. WIND ADVISORY
ALSO IN EFFECT FOR WINDS GUSTING TO 35MPH INTO THE EVENING. WINDS
SHOULD BEGIN TO RELAX BY LATE TONIGHT.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 208 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
COLD START TO THE LONG TERM WITH LOWS WEDNESDAY MORNING IN THE 20S
ACROSS THE CWA. TEMPS SLOWLY CLIMB THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH HIGHS
RETURNING TO THE 70S BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON. THE MAIN CAUSE FOR THE
RISING TEMPS END OF WEEK WILL BE AN EXPANSION OF THE HIGH AMPLITUDE
RIDGE OVER THE CENTRAL CONUS PUTTING US IN NW FLOW ALOFT.
THANKFULLY FLOW IS WEEK AND WILL KEEP THE STORM TRACK TO THE
NORTH... FOR NOW.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
STRONG COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED IN ALONG WITH STRONG AND GUSTY NW
WINDS. WINDS SHOULD CONTINUE TO REMAIN OUT OF THE NW THROUGH THE
PERIOD. CIGS WILL BE IN THE MVFR OR FLIRTING WITH IFR DURING THE
AFTERNOON TODAY WITH PRECIP BEFORE LIFTING INTO VFR RANGE BY THIS
EVENING. PRECIP COULD BE MIXED SLEET/SNOW/RAIN AT METRO ATL SITES
FOR A FEW HOURS AS THE COLD AIR SURGES IN. MAINTAIN A PROB30 GROUP
THROUGH 21Z. VFR CONDITIONS SHOULD PERSIST ONCE THE PRECIP ENDS
AND THE DRIER AIR PUSHES IN THIS EVENING THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
STELLMAN
CLIMATE
ISSUED AT 220 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
RECORD LOW TEMPS POSSIBLE AT CSG TUESDAY AM. MACON WILL BE
CLOSE TO A RECORD LOW.
ISSUED AT 220 PM EDT MON MAR 16 2026
RECORDS FOR 03-16
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 87 2015 37 1960 62 2002 19 1890
KATL 84 1945 34 1900 64 2002 18 1890
KCSG 87 1945 50 1916 68 1942 25 2017
KMCN 87 2016 42 1900 65 1942 26 2017
1955 1916
RECORDS FOR 03-17
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 85 1945 39 2005 62 1945 23 1924
KATL 86 1945 38 1892 65 2002 23 1895
KCSG 88 2002 45 2005 67 2002 30 1981
1908 1954
KMCN 88 1945 44 2005 65 1908 27 1988
RECORDS FOR 03-18
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 87 1921 45 1998 63 1908 23 1967
1941
1902
KATL 84 2012 30 1892 67 1908 20 1902
1982
KCSG 90 1945 49 1988 64 1982 29 1967
1941 1941
KMCN 88 1908 43 1902 67 1908 28 2007
1941
RECORDS FOR 03-19
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 86 2012 45 1947 60 2020 22 1892
1982 1963
1933
KATL 85 1982 44 1892 65 1927 17 1892
KCSG 88 1982 48 1947 67 1933 26 1892
1945
1908
KMCN 88 2011 49 1947 64 1982 26 1967
1963 1945 1902
1927
RECORDS FOR 03-20
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 86 2020 38 1906 62 1948 20 1923
1907
KATL 86 1907 36 1906 67 1948 17 1923
KCSG 87 1921 46 2001 68 1908 25 1923
1996
KMCN 90 1907 45 1906 67 1907 23 1923
RECORDS FOR 03-21
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 88 2017 41 1950 62 1994 21 1965
KATL 86 2017 37 1914 62 1994 21 1965
1907 1921
1907
KCSG 90 1907 48 1998 63 1907 25 1956
1906
KMCN 90 1907 45 1914 64 1921 27 1965
1907
RECORDS FOR 03-22
MAX TEMPERATURE MIN TEMPERATURE
STATION HIGH LOW HIGH LOW
------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
KAHN 87 1935 45 1908 63 1948 24 1965
KATL 87 1907 41 1915 67 1907 25 1986
1915
KCSG 91 1907 45 1914 67 1991 26 1965
1960
KMCN 91 1907 48 1915 64 1948 24 1965
1938
1907
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 28 48 28 53 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 29 48 31 56 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 19 40 20 51 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 27 47 26 57 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 30 52 30 59 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 28 46 28 53 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 30 52 30 56 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 29 50 30 60 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 27 49 28 56 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 34 54 32 58 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR GAZ001>009-011>016-
019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>084-089>096-102>107.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>021-030.
FREEZE WARNING FROM 11 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM EDT TUESDAY FOR
GAZ001>009-011>016-019>025-027-030>039-041>062-066>076-078>086-
089>098-102>113.
SHORT TERM...STELLMAN
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...30
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