538
FXUS62 KFFC 080546
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
146 AM EDT WED JUL 8 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED (15-30%) SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
EACH EVENING, INCREASING THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A FEW STORMS MAY
BECOME STRONG WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 40-50MPH.
- LOW CHANCES (15-25%) FOR DAILY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AND WARM
TEMPERATURES REMAIN THE MAIN FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS THROUGH THIS WEEK.
- HEAT INDEX VALUES PEAK EACH AFTERNOON BETWEEN 95 AND 105. HEAT
ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST GA ON WEDNESDAY
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 214 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026
TYPICAL SUMMERTIME PATTERN IN STORE THE NEXT 48 HOURS WITH
LOWER THAN CLIMO POP CHANCES, DESPITE THERE BEING A MID AND UPPER
LEVEL LOW SITUATED OVER THE TN VALLEY AND GA SITTING IN A WHAT
SHOULD BE A GOOD LOCATION FOR HIGHER COVERAGE. THE LOWER COVERAGE
CAN LARGELY BE ATTRIBUTED TO THE WARMER VALUES IN THE MID LEVELS
WITH 500 AND 700MB TEMPS RUNNING AROUND THE 90TH PERCENTILE
COMBINED WITH LOWER THAN AVERAGE MID LEVEL DEWPOINTS. REGARDLESS,
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWER AND TS WILL BE POSSIBLE COINCIDING WITH MAX
HEATING IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVE TODAY AND AGAIN ON
WEDNESDAY. WITH A SLIGHT SW FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE AREA ON
WEDNESDAY, WILL BE LOOKING FOR POCKETS OF MID AND UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE ROTATING NORTHEAST AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE WHICH
COULD HELP LOCALLY ENHANCE SHOWER AND TS COVERAGE. OTHERWISE, THE
RANDOM ISOLATED TO SCATTERED DEVELOPMENT IS IN STORE.
ON THE TEMP SIDE, HAVE ISSUED A HEAT ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF
MIDDLE GA FOR WEDNESDAY. MAX TEMPS ARE SLIGHTLY HIGHER ON
WEDNESDAY IN COMBINATION WITH A SLIGHT INCREASE IN TD VALUES BRING
HI VALUES UP TO AS HIGH AS 108. AS A RESULT, HAVE INCLUDED MANY OF
THE COUNTIES THAT REACH 104 TO 108 ACROSS THAT REGION. PEAKING
AHEAD TO THURSDAY, AND A HEAT ADVISORY MAY BE NEEDED AGAIN FOR A
SIMILAR LOCATION.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 214 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2026
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO LINGER IN THE LONG TERM,
AND THEIR CHANCES WILL SLOWLY INCREASE THROUGH THE SECOND HALF OF
THE WORK WEEK AS A STATIONARY FRONT SLIDES DOWN ACROSS THE
SOUTHEAST. THIS SHOULD PROVIDE THE REGION WITH A SOURCE OF LIFT AND
AS A RESULT STORMS WILL INCREASE IN COVERAGE FROM SCATTERED CHANCES
TO LIKELY ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF THE STATE ON
FRIDAY.
THE APPROACHING FRONT AND AFTERNOON CONVECTION SHOULD BRING US SOME
RELIEF FROM THE HEAT THOUGH. HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S WITH
APPARENT TEMPS IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
BEFORE FALLING BACK INTO THE 80S BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. THE ONE
SAVING GRACE HERE IS THAT AS STORMS BECOME MORE NUMEROUS IN THE
AFTERNOON, RADIATION COOLING WILL HELP PREVENT A NUMBER OF SITES
ACROSS THE CWA FROM SEEING PEAK HEAT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND TEMPS
MAY NOT RISE AS HIGH AS THEY WOULD WITHOUT THEM.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER ISN'T TOO MUCH OF A CONCERN LATER THIS
WEEK, THOUGH PLENTY OF INSTABILITY WILL MEAN THAT AT LEAST A FEW
STORMS WILL LIKELY OVER ACHIEVE.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 141 AM EDT WED JUL 8 2026
SOME SCT HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING ACROSS THE AREA BUT MAINLY CLR
SKIES THIS MORNING. CEILINGS AND VSBYS SHOULD STAY VFR EXCEPT IN
AND AROUND ANY AFTERNOON CONVECTION. WITH A BIT DRIER AIRMASS
ACROSS THE REGION, DIURNALLY DRIVEN CONVECTION SHOULD BE VERY
ISOLATED SO HAVE DECIDED TO KEEP PRECIP OUT OF THE TAF SITES
TODAY. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING BUT WILL SEE
WINDS INCREASE INTO THE 3-8KT RANGE OUT OF THE W TO SW JUST AFTER
SUNRISE.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 74 94 74 94 / 10 20 20 30
ATLANTA 75 92 75 92 / 10 30 30 40
BLAIRSVILLE 66 84 66 85 / 10 40 20 60
CARTERSVILLE 73 91 73 92 / 20 30 30 50
COLUMBUS 75 93 75 93 / 10 30 20 20
GAINESVILLE 73 91 73 92 / 10 20 20 20
MACON 75 94 75 94 / 0 20 10 20
ROME 72 91 72 91 / 20 40 20 50
PEACHTREE CITY 73 91 73 91 / 10 30 20 30
VIDALIA 77 98 77 98 / 10 10 10 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
GAZ074-084>086-096>098-104>113.
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...01
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