595
FXUS62 KFFC 012352
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
652 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 640 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2026
- DRY CONDITIONS AND WARM TEMPERATURES TODAY TO CLOSE OUT THE
WEEKEND.
- CLOUDY AND COOLER CONDITIONS, PARTICULARLY IN NORTHEAST GA,
WILL BE FELT MONDAY AND TUESDAY DUE TO A BUILDING CAD WEDGE.
- RISING TEMPERATURES AND INCREASING RAIN CHANCES RETURN FROM
MID WEEK THROUGH THE UPCOMING WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 215 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2026
MOSTLY DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE AFTERNOON
ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA. CURRENT TEMPERATURES ARE IN THE
70S AREAWIDE (UPPER 60S IN THE MOUNTAINS) AND DAYTIME HIGHS
SHOULD BE WITHIN A FEW DEGREES (1-3) THAN WHAT TEMPERATURES ARE
CURRENTLY. HIGH CIRRUS WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST WITH THE COVERAGE OF CLOUDS STARTING TO INCREASE
OVERNIGHT. THE EXTENT OF CIRRUS SHOULD BE LOWER IN OUR FAR
SOUTHEAST COUNTIES, WHERE ADDITIONAL PATCHY FOG WILL ONCE AGAIN
REMAIN A POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.
A WEDGE FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE IN EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS
OVERNIGHT BRINGING CLOUDY SKIES AND COOLER TEMPERATURES
PARTICULARLY TO NORTHEAST GEORGIA ON MONDAY. LATEST HI-RES MODELS
DO HIGHLIGHT A POTENTIAL FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA
ON MONDAY BUT GIVEN HOW DRY WE ARE (PER LATEST FFC SOUNDING), PUT
CAPPED RAIN CHANCES AT 25% OR LESS. THERE IS DECENT AGREEMENT
AMONG MODELS THAT THE WEDGE WILL BE FAIRLY STRONG, SO ELECTED TO
LOWER DAYTIME HIGHS, ESPECIALLY IN THE NORTHEAST LOWER THAN
OVERALL GUIDANCE (NBM). THE BIGGEST QUESTION, PER USUAL, WILL BE
THE MAGNITUDE AND EXTENT OF THE WEDGE. FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURES
FOR MONDAY WILL RANGE FROM MID 50S WITHIN THE WEDGE TO UPPER 70S
OUTSIDE THE WEDGE. MONDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES WILL RANGE FROM THE
40S WITHIN THE WEDGE TO MID 50S.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 215 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2026
DRY AND WARMING UP THROUGH WEDNESDAY:
THE WEDGE OF COOL AIR WILL START TO ERODE ON TUESDAY AS THE
STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS EAST OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
AND THE BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS START TO SLACKEN. HIGH TEMPERATURES
WILL START HAVE A LARGE SPREAD OVER THE AREA, WITH UPPER 50S TO
MID 60S IN THE ERODING WEDGE, AND UPPER 60S TO MID 70S OUTSIDE IT.
A MID-LEVEL RIDGE WILL START TO SLIDE OVER THE AREA ON WEDNESDAY,
AND START TO BRING IN A WARMER AIRMASS WITHIN SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
FLOW. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY BE IN THE 70S ACROSS THE AREA,
WITH 80S POSSIBLE ACROSS CENTRAL GA.
INCREASING RAIN CHANCES AND WARMER THROUGH THE WEEKEND:
FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK, THE SYNOPTIC WEATHER PATTERN
OVER THE CONUS WILL SHIFT, AS THE STRONG MID-LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS
OVER THE EAST COAST, AND TROUGHING SETS UP OVER THE CENTRAL AND
WESTERN US. THIS PATTERN WILL RESULT IN DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER
GEORGIA, WHICH WILL BRING IN AN INCREASINGLY WARM AND HUMID
AIRMASS FROM THURSDAY THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL
LIKELY BE IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S EACH DAY, WITH LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. THE WARMEST DAYS ARE LOOKING LIKE FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY, WITH TEMPS REACHING THE 80S ACROSS THE AREA AND DAILY
RECORDS POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON CLOUD COVER. MODEL GUIDANCE REMAINS
IN GOOD AGREEMENT ON RAIN CHANCES STARTING TO PICK UP ON THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY, BEFORE RAMPING UP EVEN MORE OVER THE WEEKEND. IT'S TOO
EARLY TO DETERMINE WHETHER A SEVERE THREAT WILL MATERIALIZE
DURING THIS TIME PERIOD, BUT THIS TYPE OF PATTERN IN MARCH
TYPICALLY HAS AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL. BE SURE TO STAY TUNED FOR
FORECAST UPDATES!
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 640 PM EST SUN MAR 1 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA TONIGHT, WITH GRADUALLY INCREASING CIRRUS CLOUDS. WINDS
WILL BE VARIABLE AT 3 KTS OR LESS THROUGH 09Z, AT WHICH POINT A
CAD WEDGE WILL BUILD INTO NORTH AND EAST GEORGIA. WINDS WILL SHIFT
TO NE AT 4-7 KTS BY 09-10Z AND TO E AT 7-10 KTS BY 15-16Z. THE
WEDGE IS ALSO ANTICIPATED TO LOWER CEILINGS IN NORTH AND
NORTHEAST GEORGIA. SCATTERED MVFR LEVEL CLOUDS APPEAR TO BE MOST
LIKELY AT AHN, PDK, AND ATL BY 12Z, WITH MVFR CEILINGS DEVELOPING
AT THESE SITES BY THE EARLY AFTERNOON. PATCHY FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE
AROUND MCN IN THE EARLY MORNING AT MCN, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS
LOWER GIVEN THE INCREASING CIRRUS CLOUDS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON TIMING/EXTENT OF MVFR CEILINGS AND PATCHY FOG
IN EAST-CENTRAL GEORGIA.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
KING
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 49 58 47 64 / 10 10 10 10
ATLANTA 52 64 49 68 / 10 10 10 0
BLAIRSVILLE 47 56 43 61 / 10 20 10 0
CARTERSVILLE 50 64 50 70 / 10 10 0 0
COLUMBUS 50 75 54 74 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 50 56 46 63 / 10 10 10 0
MACON 48 72 53 73 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 53 67 52 74 / 10 10 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 49 68 50 70 / 10 10 10 0
VIDALIA 48 72 53 76 / 0 10 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...KING
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