654
FXUS62 KFFC 271832
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
232 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED EACH DAY
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL MAY LEAD TO ISOLATED INSTANCES OF FLASH
FLOODING ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA TODAY AND FRIDAY.
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES ARE LARGELY EXPECTED THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 228 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2026
THE EARLY MORNING PRECIPITATION OVER THE METRO WILL LIKELY PLAY
HAVOC ON THE FORECAST TODAY.SHOWERS AND A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD FROM THE METRO LEAVING HIGH AND MID
LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS THE SAME REGION. TEMPS ARE ALREADY SEVERAL
DEGREES BELOW THE PRIOR FORECAST DUE TO THE CLOUD COVERAGE AND WE
ADJUSTMENTS WILL NEED TO BE MADE. FURTHERMORE, THE COOLER TEMPS
WILL LIKELY INHIBIT SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM FORMATION THIS
AFTERNOON. IF THE CLOUDS CLEAR OUT OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO, AS
SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING, WE COULD STILL DESTABILIZE ENOUGH TO
TRIGGER SOME ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS/TSTORMS A LITTLE LATER
THIS AFTERNOON (ESPECIALLY WITH THE APPROACHING FRONT.
AS WE GET INTO THE FRIDAY TIMEFRAME, THE CURRENT BOUNDARY OVER THE
CWA SHIFT SOUTHWARD AS WEAK CYCLOGENESIS CONCENTRATES MOISTURE
FURTHER TOWARDS THE GULF THAN PRIOR FORECASTS. THIS SOUTHWARD SHIFT,
COMBINED WITH THE INCOMING SHORTWAVE AND SECONDARY FRONT, HAS
RESULTED IN A DECREASE IN THE EXCESSIVE RAINFALL RISK FROM PRIOR
DAYS' OUTLOOKS. WE STILL HAVE A MARGINAL RISK (LEVEL 1 OF 4) FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL, WHICH WILL LIKELY BE FOCUSED NEAR WHEREVER THE
CURRENT BOUNDARY SETS UP TOMORROW. ISOLATED POCKETS OF 3"+ FROM
INDIVIDUAL SLOW MOVING THUNDERSTORMS MAY BE POSSIBLE. WITH THE
SOUTHWARD SHIFT, THIS IS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR SOUTH OF THE FALL LINE
WHERE SOILS CAN MORE READILY HANDLE HEAVY RAINFALL.
TEMPERATURE WISE, THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER OVER THE COMING DAYS
ALONG WITH THE INCOMING COOLER AIR WILL PROVIDE SOME TEMPORARY HEAT
RELIEF (RELATIVELY SPEAKING) INTO THE WEEKEND.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 228 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2026
THE LONG TERM BEGINS AS THE LONGWAVE UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH RETREATS
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST, LEAVING THE REGION IN A GENERAL RIDGING
PATTERN THROUGH THE EXTENDED PERIOD. THIS WILL REINVIGORATE OUR
SUMMERTIME CONDITIONS, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING BACK INTO THE
LOW TO MID-90S FOR MOST OF OUR CWA BY MIDWEEK. THESE RISING
TEMPERATURES, COMBINED WITH AN ONGOING INFLUX OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE
FROM THE GULF, WILL KEEP DEWPOINT TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW TO MID-70S
MAKING IT FEEL DOWNRIGHT UNPLEASANT DURING THE AFTERNOONS. FOR THE
TIME BEING, THIS COMBINATION WILL REMAIN BELOW HEAT ADVISORY LEVELS,
BUT WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THE TRENDS INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS
THINGS HEAT UP.
THIS PATTERN WILL PROVIDE FOR DIURNALLY DRIVEN ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY. HOWEVER, THE PROSPECT OF SEVERE WEATHER
REMAINS LOW IN THE ABSENCE OF NOTEWORTHY SHEAR OR MORE SUPPORTIVE
DYNAMICS. REGARDLESS, DAILY AFTERNOON INSTABILITY WILL PROVIDE THE
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS TO BRIEFLY BECOME SEVERE, WITH
STRONG GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND HEAVY RAINFALL. THE
BOTTOM LINE IS TO EXPECT MORE OF THE SAME AUGUST WEATHER, WITH NO
REAL CHANGE IN THE PATTERN THROUGH AT LEAST THE END OF NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 128 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2026
VARIABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH PERIOD. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 5KTS
OUT OF SOUTHWEST TO VRB THROUGH PERIOD. SCT TO WIDESPREAD SHRA
AND TSRA THIS AFTERNOON LINGERING SHRA OVERNIGHT IN CENTRAL GA,
THEN SCT TO WIDESPREAD SHRA TO TSRA FRI AFTN. CIGS AND VSBYS MAY
TEMPO FALL TO MVFR TO IFR FRI MORN, CLEARING BY 15Z.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM TO LOW CONFIDENCE PRECIPITATION COVERAGE AND TIMING.
MEDIUM TO LOW CONFIDENCE CIGS AND VSBY EARLY FRI MORNING.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
SM
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 70 90 69 89 / 40 40 40 30
ATLANTA 72 90 72 89 / 40 40 30 20
BLAIRSVILLE 64 85 64 84 / 20 50 20 50
CARTERSVILLE 70 91 70 91 / 20 30 10 20
COLUMBUS 73 91 72 91 / 50 40 30 40
GAINESVILLE 69 89 69 87 / 30 50 40 40
MACON 70 88 70 89 / 50 40 40 40
ROME 70 91 69 91 / 20 20 10 20
PEACHTREE CITY 70 90 70 89 / 40 40 20 30
VIDALIA 72 88 72 88 / 40 60 50 70
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....82
AVIATION...SM
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