422
FXUS62 KFFC 312326
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
726 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 723 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2026
- ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND AHEAD
OF A POTENTIAL COLD FRONT BY SUNDAY.
- DAILY CHANCES FOR SCATTERED RAINFALL WILL CONTINUE MOST DAYS
THROUGH SUNDAY WITH A MINIMUM IN COVERAGE ON THURSDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2026
A PATTERN MORE REPRESENTATIVE OF SUMMER WILL BE IN PLACE THROUGH THE
SHORT TERM AS THE FORECAST AREA REMAINS SITUATED ON THE WESTERN
PERIPHERY OF THE ATLANTIC RIDGE. THIS WILL BRING CONTINUED WELL-
ABOVE-NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH AN INCREASED RISK OF SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ON WEDNESDAY AMID INCREASED MOISTURE
BROUGHT UPON BY SOUTHERLY FLOW.
A FEW SHOWERS AND EVEN A BRIEF ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM CAN'T BE RULED
OUT THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THIS AFTERNOON, THOUGH THE VAST
MAJORITY OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY. AFTER A WARM NIGHT BRINGING
LOWS ONLY IN THE UPPER 50S TO LOW 60S, TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN
REBOUND WELL INTO THE 80S ON WEDNESDAY. DIURNAL SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE SHOULD BE HIGHER ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS A WEAK MIDLEVEL PERTURBATION LIFTS NORTHWARD AROUND THE
WESTERN PERIPHERY OF THE ATLANTIC RIDGE. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS
ANTICIPATED, THOUGH ANY STORM WILL BE CAPABLE OF LIGHTNING AND BRIEF
LOCALLY HEAVY (AND MUCH APPRECIATED) RAINFALL BEFORE DIMINISHING
LATE WEDNESDAY EVENING.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 223 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2026
NO MAJOR CHANGES MADE TO THE EXTENDED AS THE WEATHER PATTERN IS
EXPECTED TO BE FAIRLY CONSISTENT. MODELS ARE STILL IN GOOD AGREEMENT
SHOWING THE BERMUDA RIDGE JUST OFF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST KEEPING
NORTH AND CENTRAL GA IN MOIST SOUTHERLY FLOW THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL HELP WARM TEMPS THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 80S THROUGH DAY 7. THIS CONSISTENT
SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALSO LEAD TO INCREASED DIURNALLY DRIVEN PRECIP
CHANCES (SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS) FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. INSTABILITY INDICES REMAIN FAIRLY WEAK UNDER THIS BERMUDA
RIDGE SO NO WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS ANTICIPATED AT THIS
TIME. WE WILL SEE AN ISOLATED THREAT FOR STRONG STORMS AS SHORTWAVES
MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FROM THE ATLANTIC AND THE GULF UNDER THE WARM
SOUTHERLY FLOW.
THE MODELS ARE ALSO SHOWING A FRONTAL BOUNDARY DEVELOPING ACROSS
THE MID TO UPPER MS RIVER VALLEY SAT AND PUSHING INTO NW GA SUN
MORNING. THE BERMUDA RIDGE WILL STILL BE IN PLACE BUT THE MODELS
HAVE BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT SHOWING THIS FRONT SWEEPING THROUGH THE
AREA SUN INTO MON AND PUSHING THE RIDGE AXIS OUT TO SEA. THE MODELS
ARE ALSO SHOWING THIS FRONT LOOSING A LOT OF ITS STRENGTH AS IT
MOVES SE THROUGH THE AREA BUT THATS MOST LIKELY DUES TO IT TRYING TO
PUSH THE RIDGE OUT. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE SHOWING THE SAME
IDENTICAL PATTERN WITH TIMING AND INTENSITY SO STARTING TO DEVELOP A
BIT MORE CONFIDENCE IN THE SCENARIO ACTUALLY OCCURRING. AS THE FRONT
MOVES THROUGH IT APPEARS TO BE FAIRLY ORGANIZED SO WOULD NOT BE
SURPRISED TO SEE A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP ALONG
IT SUN AFTERNOON/EVENING, BUT STILL NOT EXPECTING MUCH IN THE WAY OF
SEVERE STORMS.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 723 PM EDT TUE MAR 31 2026
SCT SHRA AND TSRA REMAIN PSBL ACROSS SOUTHERN SITES THIS EVENING.
VFR OUTSIDE ANY PRECIP. WINDS SW THROUGH TOMORROW MORNING THEN
TURN SSE. SHRA AND TSRA ONCE AGAIN PSBL TMRW AFTER 18Z THROUGH
1Z. ANY STORMS SHOULD BE RELATIVELY SHORT LIVED.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON COVERAGE OF STORMS TOMORROW.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
SM
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 60 83 60 82 / 10 40 20 10
ATLANTA 62 83 61 83 / 10 30 20 10
BLAIRSVILLE 57 78 57 77 / 10 60 30 20
CARTERSVILLE 59 84 60 84 / 10 30 20 20
COLUMBUS 61 86 60 85 / 10 30 10 0
GAINESVILLE 61 81 60 81 / 10 40 30 10
MACON 62 84 60 84 / 10 30 10 0
ROME 61 85 61 87 / 10 40 20 20
PEACHTREE CITY 59 84 59 84 / 10 30 20 10
VIDALIA 62 86 60 86 / 0 10 0 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...SM
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