547
FXUS62 KFFC 212356
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
656 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2025
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2025
500MB ANALYSIS SHOWS JUST SLIGHTLY NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT ACROSS THE
STATE. FURTHER WEST, A MID LEVEL WAY IS EJECTING OUT OF THE FOUR
CORNERS REGION. THIS LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST THROUGH
SATURDAY AND FILL. THE REMAINING TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH
ON SATURDAY. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE IS CURRENTLY CENTERED
ACROSS THE CENTRAL PART OF THE COUNTY. THIS HIGH CENTER WILL SHIFT
EASTWARD THROUGH THE PERIOD. BY THE END OF THE PERIOD, A LOW PRESSURE
SYSTEM MAY BEGIN TO DEVELOP IN THE WESTERN GULF.
TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO MODERATE OVERNIGHT AND SATURDAY BUT
REMAIN BELOW NORMAL THROUGH THE PERIOD.
NLISTEMAA
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 255 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2025
KEY MESSAGES:
- GENERAL WARMING TREND THROUGH MID NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS CLIMBING
BACK TOWARD THE 70S.
- MOSTLY DRY PATTERN WITH LIMITED POPS UNTIL THE LATER HALF OF NEXT
WEEK. LIMITED TO NO THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL AT THIS TIME.
GENERALLY NORTHWEST FLOW AND HIGH PRESSURE EXPECTED THROUGH MID NEXT
WEEK. HIGH TEMPS MOVE TO MORE SPRINGLIKE CONDITIONS OF AROUND 70
DEGREES. MOSTLY DRY THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH PWATS STRUGGLING TO CLIMB
ABOVE 0.70" AT ANY TIME. A QUICK CLIP BY A PASSING GULF LOW MAY
BRING SOME SHOWERS TO SOUTHERN GA EARLY NEXT WEEK, HOWEVER THIS WILL
LIKELY AVOID THE CWA ENTIRELY. POPS IN THE MOST SOUTHERN COUNTIES OF
THE WARNING AREA REMAIN AT OR BLOW 10% SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY
MORNING. OUR NEXT CHANCE FOR PRECIP COMES ALONGSIDE A DESCENDING COLD
FRONT AND UPPER LEVEL TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKE REGION. OVERALL
DYNAMICS LOOK UNIMPRESSIVE OR WELL TO THE NORTH AND ENSEMBLE CAPE
PROBS OF >100 J/KG REMAIN <10%. ANTICIPATE A LINE OF SHOWERS MOVING
ACROSS THE AREA LATE WEDNESDAY TO EARLY THURSDAY. WHILE GENERALLY
UNLIKELY, A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER MAY ALSO BE POSSIBLE.
GIVEN THE WEAK NATURE OF THE FRONT, TEMPERATURES MAY DIP A LITTLE
BIT BUT NOT EXPECTING A SIGNIFICANT TEMPERATURE SWING GOING INTO NEXT
WEEKEND.
SM
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 647 PM EST FRI FEB 21 2025
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE LIGHT
AND VARIABLE THIS AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT. S-SW WINDS ARE FORECAST
FOR SAT, BUT SPEEDS WILL CONTINUE VERY LIGHT. SOME 6KFT-8KFT CIGS MAY
MAKE IT TO THE ATLANTA METRO AREA AND CSG BY MIDDAY SAT, BUT FEEL
THAT THEY MAY BE BREAKING UP TO MORE SCATTERED CLOUDINESS BY THAT
TIME.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ON WIND DIRECTION AND COVERAGE OF 6KFT-8KFT CLOUDS
ON SAT, HIGH FOR OTHER ELEMENTS.
SEC
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 26 55 29 58 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 29 53 31 56 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 23 49 24 54 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 24 53 26 55 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 29 56 31 60 / 0 0 0 10
GAINESVILLE 27 52 30 57 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 26 57 30 60 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 22 53 25 56 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 25 54 27 57 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 30 60 35 63 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...NLISTEMAA
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...SEC
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page