716
FXUS62 KFFC 092335
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
735 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 731 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
- HIGH FIRE DANGER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND FOR AT LEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
- TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO WELL ABOVE AVERAGE THIS WEEKEND,
LINGERING INTO NEXT WEEK. SOME LOCATIONS MAY SEE THEIR FIRST 90
DEGREE DAY MIDWEEK.
- WITH NO CHANCES FOR APPRECIABLE RAINFALL OVER THE NEXT SEVEN
DAYS, DROUGHT IS EXPECTED TO WORSEN.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 224 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ACROSS THE AREA AS
HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER PATTERN. THE RIDGE
IS CURRENTLY CENTERED JUST OFF SHORE THE NEW ENGLAND STATES AND IS
EXPECTED TO STAY FAIRLY STATIONARY THROUGH THE SHORT TERM. THE RIDGE
AXIS CONTINUES TO NOSE DOWN THE EASTERN SEABOARD AND ACROSS INTO THE
GULF COAST STATES KEEPING THINGS DRY. THERE IS A ALSO A WAVE/LOW
PRESSURE CENTER JUST OFF THE EAST COAST OF FL CREATING A FAIRLY
STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS GA. THIS IS WHY WE ARE SEEING E TO
NE WINDS IN THE 8-12MPH RANGE GUSTING TO 20MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
EXPECTING THESE WINDS TO DIMINISH SOME OVERNIGHT AS THE WAVE MOVES
OUT TO SEA AND THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WEAKENS SUBSTANTIALLY THROUGH
FRIDAY. THESE WINDS COMBINED WITH THE VERY DRY CONDITIONS AND LOW RH
VALUES WILL ALSO KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONCERN ELEVATED ACROSS THE
REGION. AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL CONTINUE
EACH AFTERNOON IN THE 20% TO 30% RANGE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. PORTIONS
OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GA WILL LIKELY STAY UNDER A FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 224 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF DOMINANT AND PERSISTENT HIGH PRESSURE, THE
EXTENDED RANGE CAN BE SUMMARIZED IN TWO WORDS: WARM AND DRY. TO
ELUCIDATE, POPS ARE <5% AREAWIDE ALL THE WAY THROUGH NEXT
WEDNESDAY (DAY 7), AND THERE ARE SOME INDICATIONS (BY BOTH THE GFS
AND EURO) THAT THAT DRY PERIOD COULD EXTEND BEYOND THE SCOPE OF
THE OFFICIAL NWS FORECAST AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND. CONCURRENTLY,
TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY WARM EACH DAY, PEAKING
NEXT WEDNESDAY WHEN NEARLY THE ENTIRE AREA IS FORECAST TO BE IN
THE MID-TO-UPPER 80S, WITH THE 90S HANDILY IN REACH. NBM
PROBABILITIES OF TEMPERATURES GREATER THAN 90 ON WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON ARE BETWEEN 50 TO 80% ACROSS OUR FAR SOUTHEASTERN TIER,
AND BETWEEN 20 TO 40% FOR PORTIONS OF THE METRO. THIS CORRESPONDS
TO HIGHS AS MUCH AS 10 TO 17 DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME
OF YEAR. LOWS WILL FOLLOW A SIMILAR TREND: THOUGH INITIALLY IN
THE MID-40S TO LOWER 50S ON SATURDAY, YOU'LL LIKELY BE HEADING OFF
TO WORK ON WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH LOWS AROUND 60.
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL LINGER SATURDAY AND SUNDAY, AND FIRE
DANGER STATEMENT ISSUANCE IS POSSIBLE, WITH WEAK IMPROVEMENTS IN
RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED FROM MONDAY ON AS SURFACE WINDS SWING TO
MORE MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY FETCH OFF OF THE GULF. WITH OUR PROSPECTS
FOR RAIN LOOKING RATHER ABYSMAL, DROUGHT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
WORSEN OVER THE NEXT WEEK, PERHAPS APPRECIABLY UNDER WARMER-THAN-
AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. TODAY'S (THURSDAY'S) DROUGHT MONITOR UPDATE
HAS APPROXIMATELY 88% OF THE STATE UNDER SEVERE OR WORSE DROUGHT,
AND (EVEN MORE CONCERNINGLY) 68% OF THE STATE UNDER EXTREME TO
EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 731 PM EDT THU APR 9 2026
SMOKE FROM A PRESCRIBED FIRE NEAR AHN HAS PUSHED IN FROM THE EAST
AND SHOULD CONTINUE AFFECTING THE THE SOUTHERN METRO TAF SITES
(PARTICULARLY ATL) THROUGH THE NEXT HOUR. VSBYS TO 4-5SM ARE
POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME. ONCE THE SMOKE CLEARS OUT, SKC SHOULD
PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH LIGHT E WINDS ACROSS THE TAF
SITES. WINDS TOMORROW EVENING BEGIN TO TAKE A SW COMPONENT BUT
STILL AT 5KT OR LESS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE IN ALL ELEMENTS.
HERNANDEZ
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 44 78 49 84 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 49 78 54 84 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 40 75 46 81 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 45 79 48 85 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 50 80 51 84 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 45 77 51 84 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 47 79 50 84 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 45 80 49 85 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 45 78 49 84 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 50 81 52 86 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
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