170
FXUS62 KFFC 191753
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
153 PM EDT MON OCT 19 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- ELEVATED FIRE DANGER IS LIKELY THE NEXT SEVERAL AFTERNOONS DUE
TO LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY.
- MOSTLY CLEAR AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST FOR THE NEXT 7
DAYS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 151 PM EDT MON OCT 19 2026
THE COMBINATION OF LOW AMPLITUDE MID-LEVEL RIDGING, SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE, AND A SUPREMELY DRY CONTINENTAL AIRMASS (PWAT OF 0.34"
MEASURED ON THIS MORNING'S 12Z SOUNDING, WELL BELOW THE 10TH
PERCENTILE CLIMATOLOGICALLY) WILL SUPPORT CONTINUED CLEAR AND DRY
CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. HIGHS THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S, JUST A TICK WARMER -- IN THE 70S TO
NEAR 80 -- ON TUESDAY AS AIRMASS MODERATION CONTINUES. MORNING LOWS
WILL BE SIMILARLY CRISP BUT WARMER THAN TODAY, IN THE 40S FOR
MOST. WITH MINIMUM VALUES OF RELATIVE HUMIDITY AT OR BELOW
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS, A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR
PORTIONS OF OF NORTH AND NORTH CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH 8PM THIS
EVENING. GRADUAL MOISTURE RETURN BEGINS TOMORROW, BUT AT LEAST A
SUBSET OF THE AREA IS LIKELY TO MEET OR EXCEED CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS, POTENTIALLY NECESSITATING FURTHER PRODUCT ISSUANCE.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 151 PM EDT MON OCT 19 2026
AUTUMN, IT WOULD APPEAR, IS HERE TO STAY FOR A WHILE. HIGH PRESSURE
OVER THE SOUTHEAST IS EXPECTED TO SPIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE REST OF
THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. NO SIGN OF PRECIPITATION IN ANY
OF THE MODELS ISN'T EXPECTED TO DO US ANY FAVORS WHEN IT COMES TO
THE DROUGHT MONITOR GOING FORWARDS. AS THE DAYS GROW SHORTER AND THE
LEAVES DROP, WE'LL NEED TO BE MINDFUL OF THE COMBINATION OF DRY
FUELS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AS WE BEING OUR FALL FIRE SEASON.
TEMPERATURES DURING THE DAYTIME WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 70S
ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA WITH WINDS OUT OF THE ENE. GUSTY CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN THIS WEEKEND WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AROUND 10-
15 MPH GUSTING UP TO 20 MPH. OVERNIGHT LOWS ARE EXPECTED TO FALL
INTO THE MID TO LOW 40S FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, MAKING THE
MORNINGS FEEL ESPECIALLY CRISP.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 118 PM EDT MON OCT 19 2026
VFR AND SKC TO PREVAIL. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NE AT
5-12KTS, OCNL CALM/VRB OVERNIGHT.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.
96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 42 75 45 74 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 44 74 48 74 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 40 73 44 73 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 40 75 43 77 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 44 76 47 79 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 45 74 48 73 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 43 77 45 79 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 40 75 42 77 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 40 75 44 76 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 45 73 49 75 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...96
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...96
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