021
FXUS62 KFFC 291054
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
654 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK.
- LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL REMAIN THE PRIMARY CONCERN IN ANY
THUNDERSTORMS GIVEN THE CONTINUED MOIST ENVIRONMENT IN PLACE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 314 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026
THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY CURRENTLY DRAPED OVER NORTHERN GEORGIA INTO
SOUTH CAROLINA WILL BE OUR MAIN EMPHASIS FOR ELEVATED PRECIP
CHANCES THROUGH SATURDAY. CAMS ARE INDICATING THAT FAIRLY
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF NORTH AND
CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY. EXPECTING SHOWERS TO
BEGIN AS EARLY AS 10-11AM TODAY IN THE WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE
AREA BEFORE PUSHING EASTWARD THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND BEGINNING
TO AFFECT EASTERN GEORGIA. WITH ELEVATED PWATS CONTINUING AND
OVERALL WEAK STORM MOTIONS EXPECTED, FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN
CONCERN. HEAVIER AXIS OF PRECIP IS EXPECTED OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA
WITH RAIN RATES ~1.5-2.5"/HOUR ANTICIPATED THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. FFGS IN THIS AREA ARE ~3"/3HR, SO WILL NEED TO MONITOR
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR TRAINING STORMS WHICH COULD LEAD TO
FLOODING CONDITIONS. THANKFULLY THIS AREA IS KNOWN FOR IT'S SANDY
SOILS SO CONFIDENCE IS LOW IN THE FLOODING POTENTIAL AT THIS TIME.
CAMS INDICATE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE INTO THE OVERNIGHT AND INTO
SATURDAY MORNING VS THE NORMAL DIMINISHING AROUND SUNSET WHICH
WILL ALSO INCREASE THE CHANCES FOR MORNING LOW CLOUDS AND PATCHY
FOG SATURDAY MORNING WITH INCREASED MOISTURE IN THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 314 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026
THE SAME FORECAST WILL PRETTY MUCH RUN THROUGH THE EARLY PART OF
NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOW 80S AND AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS FORMING BETWEEN 2-3PM AND FALLING APART AGAIN AFTER
10PM. NO SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED, AND THE ONLY REAL CONCERN WE
CONTINUE TO MONITOR IS THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING; PRIMARILY
IN THE URBAN AREAS.
FOR THE FIRST TIME IN A WHILE, WE'RE BEGINNING TO SEE A PRETTY GOOD
SIGN OF A PATTERN SHIFT COME TUESDAY AND INTO WEDNESDAY. A CUT OFF
LOW OUT OF NEW ENGLAND WILL MAKE IT'S WAY SOUTH INTO THE MID
ATLANTIC REGION, SETTING UP HIGH PRESSURE DOWN THE SPINE OF THE
APPALACHIANS AND INTO THE SE. THIS WILL HOLD OFF THE BERMUDA HIGH TO
THE EAST AND THE OMEGA BLOCK IN THE WEST UNTIL THE END OF NEXT WEEK,
WHEN THAT PATTERN STARTS TO BREAK DOWN.
IF YOU'RE HOLDING ON TO HOPE FOR SUNSHINE, HANG IN THERE. IT SHOULD
BE JUST LONG ENOUGH FOR THINGS TO DRY OUT AND FOR EVERYONE TO MOW
THEIR LAWN BEFORE WE DIVE BACK INTO THAT SUMMERTIME PATTERN.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 649 AM EDT FRI MAY 29 2026
STALLED FRONT WILL BE THE MAIN AXIS FOR SHRA/TSRA TODAY WITH
POTENTIAL PROLONGED ACTIVITY. BEST CHANCES FOR SHRA BEGINS CLOSER
TO ~14Z BEFORE TSRA BETWEEN 16-21Z AND SHRA CONTINUING INTO THE
EVENING. THERE IS A CHANCE THE TSRA LASTS LONGER THAN THE 16-21Z
WINDOW. FOR CIGS, EXPECTING SCT MVFR CIGS THIS MORNING WITH
SHOWERS BEGINNING AND THEN IFR OVERNIGHT FRIDAY INTO SAT MORNING
WITH BOUNDARY STILL IN THE AREA. E WINDS TURN W OVERNIGHT TONIGHT
BUT GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN TIMING OF TSRA.
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE IN IFR.
MEDIUM TO HIGH ON ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
HERNANDEZ
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 83 65 80 61 / 40 90 80 40
ATLANTA 81 67 81 65 / 80 70 80 40
BLAIRSVILLE 79 62 76 58 / 20 90 80 30
CARTERSVILLE 82 66 82 64 / 70 70 80 30
COLUMBUS 85 68 84 67 / 80 70 90 40
GAINESVILLE 80 66 79 62 / 40 90 90 40
MACON 82 66 83 64 / 90 70 80 40
ROME 81 66 82 64 / 70 80 80 30
PEACHTREE CITY 81 66 82 64 / 80 70 80 40
VIDALIA 84 68 85 66 / 90 70 80 70
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
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