046
FXUS62 KFFC 261850
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
250 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH SATURDAY. A FEW STORMS ACROSS FAR NORTH GEORGIA MAY
BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE AND CAPABLE OF PRODUCING AN ISOLATED
DAMAGING WIND GUST ON SATURDAY.
- HEAT WILL BUILD THIS WEEKEND INTO NEXT WEEK, WITH AFTERNOON
HIGHS CLIMBING INTO THE 90S AND HEAT INDEX VALUES OVER 100
FROM SUNDAY ON.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE EACH AFTERNOON
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS MAINLY MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS ACROSS
THE AREA WITH SOME STORMS POPPING UP ACROSS EAST AND CENTRAL GA.
THERE IS A WEAK PLUME OF MOISTURE ACROSS EAST AND CENTRAL GA LEFT
OVER FROM THE WAVE THAT MOVED THROUGH THE STATE YESTERDAY THAT
THE STORMS ARE FIRING ALONG. THESE STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE ACROSS
CENTRAL AND EAST GA THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS THEN DIMINISH BY
MIDNIGHT.
ALSO SEEING ON THE SATELLITE LOOP A BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE GREAT
LAKE STATES TO THE MID-ATLANTIC. THERE IS ALSO A DEVELOPING LOW
CENTER ACROSS KS/MO THAT WILL MOVE E TO SE AND PULL THE WESTERN END
OF THIS BORDER SOUTH INTO KY/TN. THIS BOUNDARY DOES NOT MOVE SOUTH
INTO GA AS THE STRONG BERMUDA RIDGE AXIS IS STILL ACROSS SOUTH GA
AND STAYING FAIRLY STATIONARY. THERE WILL BE A FEW WAVES THAT MOVE
EAST ALONG THIS BOUNDARY WITH A WAVE MOVING ACROSS TN SAT
AFTERNOON/EVENING. THE PROXIMITY OF THIS WAVE WILL SPARK SOME
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS NORTH AND EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE
STATE SAT. THIS IS VERY MUCH IN LINE WITH WHERE SPC CURRENTLY HAS A
MARGINAL RISK OF STORMS SAT. THESE STORMS WILL ALSO DIMINISH OVER
NIGHT INTO SUN.
TEMPS WILL ALSO CONTINUE TO WARM SLOWLY WITH HIGHS SAT AND SUN MAINLY
IN THE 90 TO 98 DEG RANGE. WITH THE INCREASED HUMIDITY, PORTIONS OF
EAST CENTRAL GA WILL BE CLOSE TO HEAT ADVISORY CRITERIA SUN SO WILL
NEED TO KEEP A CLOSE EYE ON THINGS AS THEY PROGRESS.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 235 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
AT THE START OF THE EXTENDED RANGE ON SUNDAY, MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL
BEGIN TO BUILD IN ACROSS THE MIDSECTION OF THE COUNTRY, SETTLING
ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY AND SETTING THE STAGE FOR A MULTI-DAY
HEAT EVENT TO CARRY US THROUGH THE WORK WEEK. AT ITS STRONGEST, THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIDGE IS PROGGED TO BE CLOSE TO 600DAM, ROUGHLY 2
STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. TEMPERATURES
WILL SOAR AS IT STAGNATES, WITH HIGHS EACH DAY THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY
PROGGED TO BE IN THE 90S AREAWIDE. CARE WILL NEED TO BE TAKEN TO
MONITOR TRENDS IN INTENSITY AND PLACEMENT OF THE RIDGE, BECAUSE
THERE ARE SIGNALS THAT LOCALES ACROSS THE EAST CENTRAL PORTION OF
OUR FORECAST AREA MAY APPROACH 100 DEGREE AIR TEMPERATURES LATE NEXT
WEEK. HEAT INDEX VALUES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOWER 100S
(EASTERLY COMPONENT TO SURFACE WINDS WILL PRECLUDE HUMIDITY FROM
BEING AS OPPRESSIVE AS IT COULD BE) EVERY DAY -- GIVEN EXPECTED
OVERLAP WITH OUTDOOR COMPONENTS OF MAJOR SPORTS EVENTS IN THE METRO
AND THE UPCOMING HOLIDAY WEEKEND, EXTREME CARE WILL NEED TO BE TAKEN
IF SPENDING EXTENDED PERIODS OF TIME OUTDOORS.
THE ONLY SOURCE OF A BRIEF REPRIEVE FROM DANGEROUS HEAT WILL BE
CONTINUED CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. GIVEN WEAK FLOW ALOFT, THE PRIMARY
CATALYST WILL BE INTRUSIONS OF MOISTURE AND WEAK FORCING ALONG THE
SOUTHERN AND EASTERN PERIPHERY OF PRESIDING RIDGE. CHANCES WILL BE
HIGHEST (40-50%) ON MONDAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA,
ARE RELATIVELY SCANT (15-25%) THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE LONG
TERM. KINEMATICS WILL BE EXTREMELY LIMITED, SO CHANCES FOR SEVERE
WEATHER APPEAR TO BE LOW AT THIS TIME, AND ANY QUASI-ORGANIZATION OF
STORMS WOULD BE RELIANT ON RESIDUAL OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES OR
DIFFERENTIAL HEATING GRADIENTS.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1235 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
SCT TO BKN VFR CEILINGS ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON WITH
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA. THE STORMS ARE
MAINLY ACROSS EAST AND CENTRAL GA BUT STILL COULD SEE SOME POP
ACROSS NORTH AND WEST GA. MCN AND CSG HAVE THE BEST CHANCES THIS
AFTERNOON OF SEEING MVFR CEILINGS WITH ANY STORMS THAT MOVE ACROSS
THE AIRFIELDS. WILL SEE THESE STORMS DIMINISH OVERNIGHT WITH
ANOTHER ROUND OF STORMS POPPING BACK UP SAT AFTERNOON. W TO SW
WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD IN THE 3-8KT RANGE. WILL SEE
SOME VARIABLE GUST IN AND AROUND CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 72 94 74 94 / 0 20 10 20
ATLANTA 74 92 75 93 / 0 20 10 20
BLAIRSVILLE 66 84 67 85 / 10 60 30 40
CARTERSVILLE 74 91 74 92 / 0 20 10 30
COLUMBUS 73 93 74 94 / 0 10 0 10
GAINESVILLE 72 91 73 91 / 10 30 10 20
MACON 72 93 74 94 / 0 10 10 10
ROME 73 90 73 91 / 0 30 10 30
PEACHTREE CITY 72 92 73 92 / 0 10 10 10
VIDALIA 73 95 75 96 / 20 10 10 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....96
AVIATION...01
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page