838
FXUS62 KFFC 200004
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
804 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GA WHERE AN ADDITIONAL 1-2" OF RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS CENTRAL
GA, A FEW MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
- WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL CONTINUE FROM SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 210 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026
ABOVE-NORMAL MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE OVER NORTHERN AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA. THE 12Z UPPER AIR OBSERVATION SHOWED PRECIPITABLE WATER AT
1.90 INCHES, WHICH IS ABOVE THE 90TH PERCENTILE FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR. HOWEVER, MOISTURE IS BEING ERODED ALOFT, WITH A DRY LAYER
VISIBLE ON THE SOUNDING BETWEEN 450 HPA AND 300 HPA (AROUND 21K-31K
FT). THIS WILL INHIBIT, SOMEWHAT, THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION
THROUGH THAT LAYER, AND THREBY INHIBIT THE POTENTIAL FOR
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THAT BEING SAID, SCATTERED POPUP SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING,
MOSTLY OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA, WHERE LESS MOISTURE EROSION HAS
OCCURRED; OVER THE ATLANTA METRO, ISOLATED POPUP SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE. THERE REMAINS A FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT
FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GEORGIA THROUGH 2 AM EST TONIGHT, ASSOCIATED
WITH THE THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN CONVECTION,
PARTICULARLY WITH HIGH SATURATION LEVELS FROM THE PREVIOUS RAINFALL.
POPS DECREASE QUICKLY AFTER 02Z/10 PM AST TONIGHT.
ADDITIONAL DRYING IS FORECAST FOR TOMORROW, MOSTLY VIA THE EROSION
OF MOISTURE FROM NORTH TO SOUTH. CLOUDY CONDITIONS OVER CENTRAL
GEORGIA IN THE MORNING, PARTICULARLY IN LOCATIONS THAT SEE
SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL THIS EVENING, WILL LIKELY SLOW DAYTIME HEATING
AND DELAY CONVECTIVE INITIATION TOMORROW AFTERNOON. OVERALL, LESS
ACTIVE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR TOMORROW, WITH THE GREATEST RISK
OVER CENTRAL/WESTERN CENTRAL GA, WHERE THE COLUMNAR MOISTURE WILL BE
THE GREATEST. THAT BEING SAID, A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OR
THUNDERSTORMS CANNOT BE RULED OUT FOR THE ATLANTA METRO AFTER MID-
AFTERNOON TOMORROW AS WELL.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 210 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026
AS THE LONG TERM PICKS UP, THE FORECAST WILL CONTINUE TO BE
UNSETTLED WITH AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST THROUGH THE
REST OF THE WEEK. NOTHING JUMPS OUT AS PARTICULARLY THREATENING AND
AS A RESULT, THE SEVERE RISK WILL REMAIN ON THE LOW SIDE. THOUGH A
FEW AFTERNOON STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH THE POSSIBILITY
FOR DAMAGING WINDS. ADDITIONALLY, THE DAY 1-7 QPF TOTALS PUT OUR
CWA IN A BIT OF A HOLE WITH LESS THAN AN INCH EXPECTED ACROSS THE
STATE. AGAIN, SOME ISOLATED AFTERNOON STORMS MAY BE CAPABLE OF
OVERPRODUCING AND CAUSING SOME LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, BUT THE
REGIONAL RISK SHOULD BE LIMITED AS WELL.
TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN ON THE COOLER SIDE OF SEASONAL, ASSISTED IN
PART BY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AND CLOUD COVERAGE DURING TIMES OF
PEAK HEATING. WE'RE EXPECTING HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOWER 90S
THROUGH THE WEEK, THOUGH CONDITIONS WILL LIKELY FEEL PRETTY MUGGY AS
SW FLOW PROVIDES A NEAR CONTINUOUS STREAM OF MOISTURE OUT OF THE
GULF.
OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL LIKELY REMAIN MUGGY AS WELL, WITH LOWS IN THE
UPPER 60S AND LOW 70S. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WON'T DO US ANY
FAVORS AND TEMPS DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS ARE EXPECTED TO RUN
ANYWHERE FROM 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE WHAT WE'D EXPECT FOR THIS TIME OF
YEAR.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 729 PM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026
A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS NEAR THE CSG AND MCN TAF SITES THIS
EVENING. IF ANY LOCATION SEES SOME PRECIP TONIGHT IT WILL BE CSG
OR MCN. CEILINGS WILL BE VFR OVERNIGHT AND INTO SAT BUT WILL SEE
SOME INCREASE CLOUD COVER MOVE IN FROM THE SW SAT AFTERNOON.
PRECIP CHANCES ALSO INCREASE FROM THE SW SAT WITH CSG AND MCN
AGAIN BEING THE BEST LOCATIONS FOR PRECIP. PUT IN A PROB30 FOR THE
ATL AREA TAF SITES FROM 20Z-24Z SAT BUT THINKING ANY STORMS THAT
DEVELOP SHOULD STAY SOUTH OF THE ATL TAF SITES.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 66 87 67 88 / 10 0 10 40
ATLANTA 70 86 70 87 / 20 10 10 60
BLAIRSVILLE 58 82 62 82 / 10 0 10 50
CARTERSVILLE 65 87 68 87 / 10 10 10 60
COLUMBUS 72 86 71 88 / 30 70 20 70
GAINESVILLE 65 85 67 86 / 10 0 10 40
MACON 70 87 69 88 / 30 30 10 50
ROME 65 87 68 86 / 10 10 10 60
PEACHTREE CITY 68 86 68 87 / 20 30 10 60
VIDALIA 73 90 71 91 / 10 30 20 30
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 2 AM EDT SATURDAY FOR GAZ069-078>085-089>097-
102>109.
SHORT TERM...CRS
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...01
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