413
FXUS62 KFFC 152338
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
738 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE NEXT 7 DAYS WITH
TEMPERATURES WARMING TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL TODAY AND TOMORROW.
- A MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT MOVING THROUGH LATE FRIDAY WILL BRING
CRISP FALL TEMPERATURES TO THE AREA TO START OFF THE WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 214 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE AND MIDLEVEL RIDGING COVERING THE SE US KEEPS
US WARM AND DRY AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT TEMPERATURE
READINGS ARE IN THE 80S (UPPER 70S IN THE MOUNTAINS) UNDER MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES. HIGH TEMPERATURES MAY BREACH 90 IN OUR FAR SOUTHERN
COUNTIES BUT TEMPERATURES WILL BE SIMILAR TO THAT OF THIS TIME
YESTERDAY. A FEW OF OUR CLIMATE SITES COULD SEE SOME RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES AGAIN TODAY SO STAY TUNED. LOW POTENTIAL FOR PATCHY
FOG IN LOW-LYING AREAS AND VALLEYS EARLY FRIDAY WITH ANY
IMPROVEMENTS EXPECTED JUST AFTER SUNRISE. THOUGH THE MAIN STORY
FOR THE SHORT TERM WILL BE A SHARP COLD FRONT PUSHING THROUGH
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA ON FRIDAY BRINGING HIGHLY ANTICIPATED
FALL TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION. HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE OFF THE
MID-ATLANTIC AS A DEEPENING SHORTWAVE USHERS IN A MOSTLY DRY COLD
FRONT BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR NORTHWEST GA. LATEST HI-RES GUIDANCE
IS NOT TOO THRILLED ABOUT ANY PRECIP ACCOMPANYING THIS FRONT,
THIS WILL CONTINUE TO MESSAGE A VERY LOW POSSIBILITY (LESS THAN
15% CHANCE) OF AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR SOME SPRINKLES FRIDAY
AFTERNOON. IT WILL BE BREEZY THOUGH WITH GUSTS OF 20-30 MPH DURING
THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING ON FRIDAY. THOUGH THE HIGHEST GUSTS
LOOK TO BE AT THE HIGHEST ELEVATIONS IN NORTHEAST GA. HOLD ONTO
YOUR HATS, TEMPERATURES FALL INTO THE 40S AND 50S (PERHAPS UPPER
30S IN THE NORTHEAST) BY FRIDAY NIGHT/EARLY SATURDAY. THOUGH
CONTINUED ELEVATED WINDS DURING THIS PERIOD SHOULD INHIBIT ANY
FROST POTENTIAL.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 214 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
THE AXIS OF A DEEP MID-LEVEL TROUGH AND AN ASSOCIATED SHARP COLD
FRONT WILL BE QUICKLY ADVANCING THROUGH GEORGIA AS THE LONG TERM
PERIOD BEGINS, WHICH WILL CLEAR THE FORECAST AREA TO THE SOUTHEAST
BY MID-MORNING ON SATURDAY. THIS COLD FRONT WILL BE LARGELY DRY,
WITH RAIN CHANCES OF 10% OR LESS IN PORTIONS OF FAR NORTH AND EAST
GEORGIA. THERE WILL BE A STRONG PRESSURE GRADIENT IN PLACE BEHIND
THE FRONT AND AHEAD OF A SURFACE HIGH (1035+ MB) APPROACHING FROM
THE MID MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
CONTRIBUTE TO BREEZY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS BETWEEN 15-20 MPH AND GUSTS
UP TO 30 MPH THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY ON SATURDAY. A SIGNIFICANTLY
COOLER AIRMASS WILL ALSO SET UP OVER THE REGION IN THE WAKE OF THE
FRONT. LOW TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY MORNING ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN
THE MID TO UPPER 40S IN AREAS NORTH OF I-85 AND IN THE LOW TO MID
50S TO THE SOUTH. AS COOLER AIR BECOMES MORE ESTABLISHED, AFTERNOON
HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM NEAR 60 IN THE FAR NORTHERN TIER TO THE LOW
70S IN SOUTH-CENTRAL GEORGIA.
BROAD MID-LEVEL RIDGING WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED OVER THE EAST CONUS
SATURDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS THE AFOREMENTIONED SURFACE HIGH MOVES
EAST ACROSS THE APPALACHIANS. STRONG RADIATIONAL COOLING UNDER CLEAR
SKIES WILL LEAD TO THE COOLEST TEMPERATURES OF THE PERIOD EARLY
SUNDAY MORNING, WITH WIDESPREAD 40S AND EVEN SOME MID TO UPPER 30S
IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF FAR NORTHEAST GEORGIA. AS THE HIGH
CONTINUES EAST OF THE APPALACHIANS, A CAD WEDGE IS ANTICIPATED TO
SPREAD INTO NORTH GEORGIA, KEEPING HIGHS LIMITED TO THE LOW 60S IN
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST GEORGIA COMPARED TO MID TO UPPER 60S ELSEWHERE
ACROSS THE REGION. BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BE PRESENT WITHIN
THIS WEDGE. A GRADUAL WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN TO START NEXT WEEK AS
THE SURFACE HIGH MOVES INTO THE WEST ATLANTIC AND THE AFOREMENTIONED
RIDGE BECOMES CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHEAST AND MID-ATLANTIC COAST.
THIS HIGH PRESSURE REGIME WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP CONDITIONS DRY INTO
NEXT WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 654 PM EDT THU OCT 15 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS TAF PERIOD BUT
WE WILL SEE SOME INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND INCREASED WIND SPEEDS
WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING INTO THE AREA FRI. CLEAR SKIES
EXPECTED TONIGHT WITH CLOUDS BEGINNING TO INCREASE AROUND MIDDAY.
WINDS WILL ALSO STAY TO PICK UP OUT OF THE WEST INTO THE 8-12KT
RANGE WITH GUST TO 222KT BY 20Z-22Z FRIDAY. WIND SPEEDS CONTINUE
TO INCREASE THROUGH SUNSET GETTING UP INTO THE 10-15KT RANGE WITH
GUST TO 25KT BY 02-04Z SAT. NO PRECIPITATION OR RESTRICTIONS TO
VSBYS EXPECTED AT THE TAF SITES.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 63 86 51 66 / 0 0 0 10
ATLANTA 66 84 52 65 / 0 10 10 0
BLAIRSVILLE 59 80 42 59 / 0 10 10 0
CARTERSVILLE 63 85 48 64 / 0 10 10 0
COLUMBUS 63 86 53 70 / 0 0 10 0
GAINESVILLE 65 84 50 65 / 0 10 10 0
MACON 63 88 54 70 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 62 85 48 64 / 0 10 10 0
PEACHTREE CITY 61 85 48 66 / 0 10 10 0
VIDALIA 65 87 61 69 / 0 0 0 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....KING
AVIATION...01
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