076
FXUS62 KFFC 240530
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
130 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE EVENING.
- RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS AND NEAR-SEASONAL TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN FOR THE NEXT 7 DAYS, WITH A SLIGHT COOL-DOWN SATURDAY
THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 153 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026
A HIGH PRESSURE REGIME OVER THE REGION WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS IN
PLACE THROUGH THE SHORT TERM PERIOD, WITH RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED TO
BE NEAR 0% THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGH TEMPERATURES
THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE IN THE UPPER 60S IN PORTIONS OF FAR NORTHEAST
GEORGIA AND LOW TO MID 70S ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE AREA. STRONG MIXING
AND SUBSIDENCE UNDER THE HIGH HAS CONTRIBUTED TO QUICKLY DROPPING
DEWPOINTS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. HI-RES GUIDANCE,
CONSSHORT, AND NBM 10TH PERCENTILE WERE BLENDED INTO THE DEWPOINT
FORECAST TO CAPTURE THIS TREND. WITH THE RESULTING RELATIVE HUMIDITY
VALUES UNDER 25% FOR A FEW HOURS THIS AFTERNOON COMBINED WITH DRY
FINER FUELS, A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL GEORGIA UNTIL 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING.
AS THE AXIS OF STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGING MOVES EAST TOWARDS THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY, THE ASSOCIATED SURFACE HIGH WILL APPROACH
NEW ENGLAND AND A CAD WEDGE WILL DEVELOP ALONG THE LEE SIDE OF THE
APPALACHIANS AND SPREAD ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA ON SATURDAY. LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL START THE MORNING IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S ACROSS
THE AREA ONCE AGAIN, WHILE THE COOLER AIR IN THE WEDGE LARGELY
LIMITS HIGH TEMPERATURES TO THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S. THE SLIGHTLY
LOWER TEMPERATURES AND INCREASE OF LOW-LEVEL ATLANTIC MOISTURE IN
THE EASTERLY FLOW SHOULD KEEP FIRE DANGER CRITERIA FROM BEING
REACHED ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON.
LONG TERM
(SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 153 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026
A QUIET LONG-TERM FORECAST IS IN STORE WITH DOMINANT SURFACE HIGH-
PRESSURE CONDITIONS KEEPING THE SENSIBLE WEATHER DRY AND COOL
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AT THE MID-UPPER LEVELS, OUR REGION IS BETWEEN
A WEAK LOW TRANSITING ALONG THE CAROLINA COAST AND AN AMPLIFIED
RIDGE BUILDING IN TOWARD THE ARKLATEX REGION. THE PRIMARY EFFECT OF
THIS WILL BE A RENEWED DEVELOPMENT OF THE CAD PATTERN AND A
STRENGTHENING OF THE NORTHEAST WINDS OVER THE AREA THROUGH EARLY
NEXT WEEK. AS A RESULT, SOME GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
THE WEEKEND, PEAKING IN THE AFTERNOON--PARTICULARLY SOUTH OF THE I-
85 INTERCHANGE AROUND 15-20MPH EACH DAY. OTHERWISE, A FEW MORE
CLOUDS MAY BE AROUND, BUT THINGS WILL REMAIN VERY DRY WITH NO CHANCE
OF RAIN THROUGH THE END OF NEXT WEEK. ALONG WITH THESE DRY
CONDITIONS, WE WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP AN EYE ON OUR RH VALUES THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD IN CASE A FIRE DANGER STATEMENT IS WARRANTED.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR SEASONAL AVERAGES TO SLIGHTLY BELOW FOR
THE WEEKEND BEFORE A GRADUAL WARMING TREND BEGINS AS WE MOVE INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK, WITH DAYTIME HIGHS RISING INTO THE MID TO UPPER 70S
RANGE BY MID-WEEK. ADDITIONALLY, MODELS ARE IN AGREEMENT BEYOND MID-
WEEK FOR THE UPPER-LEVEL PATTERN TO BECOME MORE ZONAL, SETTING UP
THE POTENTIAL FOR A REINTRODUCTION OF SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE
REGION. THE JURY IS STILL OUT, HOWEVER, ON WHETHER THIS TRANSLATES
INTO ANY MEANINGFUL RAINFALL, AS MODELS ARE CURRENTLY SPLIT ON THE
EXTENT OF GULF MOISTURE INFLUX AS WE TRANSITION INTO LATE NEXT
WEEK.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 128 AM EDT SAT OCT 24 2026
SKC THROUGH MUCH OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS POSSIBLE
TOWARDS THE END OF THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL BE NE TO E AT 5-10KT
WITH GUSTS TO 20KT POSSIBLE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
HERNANDEZ
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 46 70 45 72 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 50 70 50 71 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 41 68 40 72 / 0 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 47 72 45 73 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 50 74 50 75 / 0 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 47 67 46 71 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 49 74 49 75 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 44 73 43 74 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 46 70 46 72 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 52 75 53 75 / 0 0 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...KING
LONG TERM....82
AVIATION...HERNANDEZ
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