532
FXUS62 KFFC 241031
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
631 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2026
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK AHEAD.
- LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED EACH DAY, SUPPORTING ISOLATED
FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL.
- A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE, CAPABLE
OF PRODUCING LOCALIZED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 308 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2026
IT'S A MURKY START TO THE DAY WITH WIDESPREAD LOW CLOUDS IN THE WAKE
OF YESTERDAY'S RAINFALL. EXPECT LITTLE IN THE WAY OF FORECAST
CHANGES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE HOLIDAY WEEKEND AS THE OVERALL
PATTERN CHARACTERIZED BY DEEP SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL REMAIN ENTRENCHED.
THE LINGERING SURFACE CAD WEDGE ACROSS NORTHEAST GEORGIA WILL
CONTINUE TO ERODE TODAY AS THE SOURCE SURFACE HIGH SLIPS EASTWARD
ACROSS THE CANADIAN MARITIMES.
OTHERWISE, EXPECT SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO
AGAIN INCREASE IN COVERAGE AMID DAYTIME HEATING, ESPECIALLY BY MID-
TO-LATE AFTERNOON AND PERSISTING INTO THE EVENING. COVERAGE TODAY
LOOKS TO BE EVEN HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY AS AN MCV CURRENTLY SITUATED
ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF COAST LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE AREA BY
THIS AFTERNOON. CAMS ARE SUPPORTIVE OF THIS OUTCOME AS WELL,
BLOSSOMING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION THAT LIFTS NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE
CWA THROUGH THIS EVENING.
AS HAS BEEN THE CASE THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS, THE VERY MOIST
ENVIRONMENT CHARACTERIZED BY 70S DEWPOINTS AND PWATS NEAR 2" WOULD
BE SUPPORTIVE OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND AN ATTENDANT LOCALIZED
FLASH FLOODING RISK, PARTICULARLY WHERE STORMS TRAIN OR ANCHOR.
WATER-LOADED DOWNBURSTS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE, LEADING TO THE RISK
FOR A FEW STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF GUSTY
WINDS, ESPECIALLY IN ANY SLIGHTLY MORE ORGANIZED STORM CLUSTERS
ASSOCIATED WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED MCV. COVERAGE SHOULD AGAIN SLOWLY
DIMINISH TONIGHT, THOUGH SOME LINGERING CONVECTION WILL REMAIN
POSSIBLE.
MEMORIAL DAY WILL BRING MORE WIDESPREAD DIURNALLY-ENHANCED
CONVECTION WITH CONTINUED RISKS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL/LOCALIZED FLASH
FLOODING AS WELL AS LOCALLY STRONG WIND GUSTS. AS IS THE CASE TODAY,
THE LOCALIZED STRONG/SEVERE THUNDERSTORM THREAT COULD BE ENHANCED BY
ANY MESOSCALE FEATURE, THOUGH PLACEMENT REMAINS NEBULOUS AT THIS
JUNCTURE. REGARDLESS, ANY OUTDOOR MEMORIAL DAY PLANS SHOULD HAVE AN
INDOOR BACKUP, PARTICULARLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 308 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2026
WET CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS WEEK:
RINSE AND REPEAT, SUMMER-LIKE CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
MOST OF THE UPCOMING WEEK COURTESY OF A STUBBORN/BLOCKY SYNOPTIC
PATTERN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST US. MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL
CONSISTENTLY SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION EACH DAY, IN BETWEEN A
RIDGE OFF TO THE EAST OVER THE ATLANTIC, AND TROUGHING TO THE
WEST. PWAT VALUES WILL BE IN THE 1.5-2" RANGE EACH DAY, WHICH IS
WELL ABOVE NORMAL AND WILL SUPPORT WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS,
AS WELL AS A DAILY RISK FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING IN THE AREA.
THE COMBINATION OF HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT AND EARLY SUMMER SUN
(HEATING) WILL ALSO PROVIDE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STORMS TO BECOME
STRONG TO SEVERE EACH DAY, WITH DOWNBURST WINDS BEING THE PRIMARY
THREAT. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE 80S EACH DAY,
WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS ONLY FALLING AS LOW AS THE DEWPOINTS, WHICH
WILL BE IN THE 60S TO LOW 70S. MODEL GUIDANCE IS STARTING TO COME
INTO A LITTLE BIT BETTER OF AGREEMENT ON THE BLOCKY PATTERN
POTENTIALLY BREAKING NEXT WEEKEND, BUT CONFIDENCE IN THIS IS
STILL LOW.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 626 AM EDT SUN MAY 24 2026
IFR TO LIFR CIGS THIS MORNING WILL SLOWLY IMPROVE TOWARD MVFR BY
15-17Z WITH A RETURN TO AREAS OF VFR MORE PROBABLE AFTER 18-20Z.
WIDESPREAD SHRA/TSRA IS ALSO EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON,
ESPECIALLY 18-02Z, WITH A GRADUAL TAPERING OF COVERAGE THEREAFTER.
IFR TO LIFR CIGS ARE AGAIN LIKELY AFTER 03-06Z MONDAY. WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO BE SE TO SSE THROUGH THE PERIOD AT 4-8 KTS, THOUGH
BRIEF BOUTS OF SSW ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE.
RW
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 81 64 81 65 / 70 70 90 100
ATLANTA 81 67 81 66 / 80 80 90 90
BLAIRSVILLE 75 61 77 61 / 90 60 90 100
CARTERSVILLE 81 65 82 65 / 80 70 90 90
COLUMBUS 87 67 84 67 / 90 60 80 80
GAINESVILLE 77 66 79 66 / 80 70 90 100
MACON 85 66 84 66 / 70 60 80 80
ROME 81 64 81 64 / 90 60 80 90
PEACHTREE CITY 83 65 82 65 / 80 70 90 90
VIDALIA 87 69 87 69 / 80 70 70 70
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...RW
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...RW
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