567
FXUS62 KFFC 070001
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
801 PM EDT MON JUL 6 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THRU THE EVENING WITH WINDS
OF 40-50MPH ARE POSSIBLE.
- LOW CHANCES (15-25%) FOR DAILY AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS AND WARM
TEMPERATURES REMAIN THE MAIN FORECAST HIGHLIGHTS THROUGH THIS WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 202 PM EDT MON JUL 6 2026
A WARM AND HUMID AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WITH HEAT AND THE CHANCE FOR
THUNDERSTORMS AS THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERNS. CONVECTION IS
LIKELY TO LINGER AFTER THE SUN GOES DOWN BUT FORECASTER CONFIDENCE
REMAINS LOW ON EXACTLY WHERE AND FOR HOW LONG. FOR NOW MAINTAIN
LOWER CHANCES (10-20%) THROUGH 11PM. PATCHY FOG AND LOW CLOUDS ARE
LIKELY TO DEVELOP EARLY TUESDAY MORNING PARTICULARLY IN LOCATIONS
THAT SEE ANY DECENT RAINFALL THIS AFTERNOON.
WE ARE IN THE THICK OF SUMMER THUS TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
TREND AT OR SLIGHTLY ABOVE AVERAGE. TUESDAY WILL FAVOR SIMILAR
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 80S NORTH OF I-85 AND MID 90S FURTHER
SOUTH.
A LITTLE BIT MORE MIDLEVEL DRIER AIR START TO WORK ITS WAY INTO THE
REGION BY TUESDAY. BETTER SUPPORT ALOFT MOVES OUT OF THE AREA AND
THE SURFACE LOW/FRONT MOVES NORTHEAST. THUS, STORM COVERAGE HAS
TRENDED DOWNWARD OVERALL WITH ONLY ISOLATED TO WIDELY SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS EXPECTED MAINLY AFTER 1-2PM.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 202 PM EDT MON JUL 6 2026
NO MAJOR CHANGES WERE MADE TO KEY MESSAGES IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD.
IMPACTFUL TEMPERATURES BASED OFF HEAT INDICES WILL CONTINUE, AT
LEAST THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. LOW TO MEDIUM POPS ALSO PREVAIL
ACROSS THE CWA FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW REMAINS CENTERED BETWEEN THE MID-MISSISSIPI AND
OHIO RIVER VALLEYS AT THE START OF THE EXTENDED, BUT WILL TRANSITION
NORTHEASTWARD TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK. BY THEN, DETERMINISTIC
GUIDANCE SUGGEST ZONAL FLOW WILL ONLY LAST FOR A FEW DAYS BEFORE A
STRONG UPPER TROUGH MOVES THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST AT THE END OF THE
PERIOD. GIVEN HOW FAR OUT THESE OUTPUTS ARE, POSITIONING AND TIMING
OF THIS PATTERN CHANGE WILL HAVE TO BE MONITORED SO THAT FINE TUNED
DETAILS CAN BE RESOLVED.
IN THE MEANTIME, HOT SUMMER TIME HIGH TEMPERATURES PERSIST ACROSS
THE FA. HIGH SHOULD HOLD ONTO THEIR NW/SE GRADIENT THEY HAVE ACROSS
GEORGIA FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK, WHERE COOLER 80S ARE EXPECTED FOR
NW ZONES AND HOTTER UPPER 90S ARE FORECAST FOR THE SE. GIVEN THESE
TRENDS, HEAT PRODUCTS MAY BE NECESSARY IN THE COMING DAYS FOR OUR SE
WHERE HEAT INDICES OF 105 DEGREES SHOULD BE MORE EASILY MET.
TEMPERATURES COULD FINALLY DECREASE NEXT WEEK IF MODEL TRENDS HOLD;
BUT AS MENTIONED, THIS WILL DEPEND ON FRONTAL STRENGTH AND
POSITIONING WHICH IS TOO FAR OUT TO DETERMINE ACCURATELY.
WEAK MID TO UPPER LEVEL FORCING COUPLED WITH DIURNAL HEATING
CONTINUE TO BE THE DRIVING MECHANISM FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT
FOR THE COMING DAYS. NBM POPS MAY BE MORE NORTHERN FOCUSED DUE TO
THE POSITION OF THE UPPER LOW THIS WEEK, BUT SLIGHT CHANCES (15-25%)
FOR PRECIPITATION ARE STILL PRESENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE CWA DUE TO
OUR FAVORABLE MOISTURE PROFILES. LIGHT 700-500 MB WIND PROFILES WILL
LIKELY KEEP CONVECTION ISOLATED MOST DAYS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 751 PM EDT MON JUL 6 2026
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL TAF SITES THROUGH THE PERIOD. ANY
LINGERING SHOWERS OR TSRA CHANCES DECREASE AFTER SUNSET AND MUCH
LESS COVERAGE TONIGHT. LIGHT TO VRB WINDS OVERNIGHT. PATCHY BR AND
LOWER CIGS POSSIBLE BETWEEN 08-13Z TUES MAINLY IN LOCATIONS WHERE
RAIN OCCURRED. WINDS PICK UP MONDAY MORNING OUT OF THE W/SW WITH
SCT/FEW040-060 AS CU RETURNS ONCE AGAIN. LOWER CHANCES, BUT
ANOTHER ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSRA DURING THE AFTERNOON
SO A PROB30 AT ALL SITES.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
LOW CONFIDENCE ON TSRA OCCURRENCE/TIMING.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON REMAINING ELEMENTS.
PATTERSON
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 73 92 74 94 / 20 20 10 10
ATLANTA 74 91 75 93 / 20 20 20 20
BLAIRSVILLE 66 84 66 86 / 20 30 10 30
CARTERSVILLE 72 91 72 92 / 20 20 20 20
COLUMBUS 75 94 76 94 / 20 20 10 20
GAINESVILLE 73 91 73 92 / 20 20 10 10
MACON 74 93 75 94 / 20 20 10 20
ROME 71 90 72 91 / 20 30 10 20
PEACHTREE CITY 72 91 73 92 / 20 20 20 20
VIDALIA 76 96 77 98 / 20 10 20 20
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...07
LONG TERM....RANGEL
AVIATION...PATTERSON
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