045
FXUS62 KFFC 021046
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
646 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2026
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH SUNDAY ARE
EXPECTED.
- A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE IN EAST CENTRAL
GEORGIA TODAY WITH GUSTY WINDS, FREQUENT LIGHTNING, AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.
- DIURNALLY ENHANCED STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE END
OF NEXT WEEK AS TEMPERATURES ALSO BEGIN CLIMBING BACK INTO THE
MID 90S.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 444 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2026
WHILE HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA AT THIS TIME,
INSTABILITY IS ON THE DOWNTREND AND THE FRONT IS PROGRESSIVE. THE
FLASH FLOOD THREAT HAS NOT ENDED AND RAINFALL RATES REMAIN ABOVE 1
TO 2 INCHES PER HOUR IN SOME SPOTS. MRMS SUGGESTS TOTAL RAINFALL
OVER THE LAST 3 TO 6 HRS IN EXCESS OF 5 INCHES. RAINFALL SHOULD
BEGIN TO TAPER OFF, HOWEVER DEFINITELY GOING TO KEEP AN EYE ON
THINGS OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.
THE SLOWING COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO DRIFT ACROSS THE AREA
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INTERMITTENT
ALONG ITS LENGTH. PWATS REMAIN HIGH AND SLOW MOVING/TRAINING
THUNDERSTORMS HAVE RESULTED IN SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL OVER HIGHLY
LOCALIZED AREAS. THE GREATEST RATES SO FAR HAVE REACH UPWARDS OF 3
TO 4 INCHES PER HOUR. INSTABILITY WILL REBOUND ACROSS EAST CENTRAL
GA THIS AFTERNOON, AND COULD PRIME THE AREA FOR ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. FURTHERMORE, AREAS OF EAST-CENTRAL
GEORGIA ALSO SAY HEAVY RAINFALL YESTERDAY AND MAY BE PRIMED FOR
FLASH FLOODING CONDITIONS.
ONCE THE COLD FRONT CLEARS THE AREA (MODEL UNCERTAINTY OF TIMING IS
HIGH) CONDITIONS WILL TRANSITION TO A DIRTY SUMMERTIME RIDGE PATTERN
WITH DIURNALLY DRIVEN THUNDERSTORMS. LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING AND
GUSTY WINDS ARE, AS USUAL, SOMETHING TO WATCH OUT FOR.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE SHORT TERM WILL BE MOSTLY COOL AND POST-
FRONTAL, BEFORE BEGINNING TO CLIMB EARLY INTO THE WEEK.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 444 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2026
DAILY STORM CHANCES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND:
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA WILL REMAIN IN MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW
THROUGH MID-WEEK AS A CUTOFF MID-LEVEL LOW SITS OVER THE TN VALLEY.
FROM LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND, MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THE PATTERN SLIGHTLY SHIFTING AS THE LOW GETS KICKED
OUT BY A RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM OVER THE ATLANTIC. OVERALL, THIS
PATTERN WILL SUPPORT FAIRLY TYPICAL SUMMER WEATHER, WITH SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL INITIALLY BE IN THE 80S TO LOW 90S MID-
WEEK DUE TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND PROXIMITY OF THE MID-LEVEL
LOW, BUT WILL GRADUALLY WARM UP TO THE LOW TO MID 90S BY THE WEEKEND
AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 444 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2026
DAILY STORM CHANCES AND A GRADUAL WARMING TREND:
NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA WILL REMAIN IN MOIST SOUTHWEST FLOW
THROUGH MID-WEEK AS A CUTOFF MID-LEVEL LOW SITS OVER THE TN VALLEY.
FROM LATE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND, MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN PRETTY GOOD
AGREEMENT ON THE PATTERN SLIGHTLY SHIFTING AS THE LOW GETS KICKED
OUT BY A RIDGE BUILDING IN FROM OVER THE ATLANTIC. OVERALL, THIS
PATTERN WILL SUPPORT FAIRLY TYPICAL SUMMER WEATHER, WITH SCATTERED
TO NUMEROUS AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS EACH DAY OF THE UPCOMING
WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL INITIALLY BE IN THE 80S TO LOW 90S MID-
WEEK DUE TO INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND PROXIMITY OF THE MID-LEVEL
LOW, BUT WILL GRADUALLY WARM UP TO THE LOW TO MID 90S BY THE WEEKEND
AS THE RIDGE BUILDS IN.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 642 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2026
CIGS ACROSS THE AREA IFR WITH PATCHY MVFR TO LIFT THROUGH MORN.
PATCHY SHRA BECOMES TSRA GENERALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF 85 CORRIDOR.
ISO PRECIP PSBL NEAR EASTERN METRO SITES THIS AFTERNOON. CIGS LIFT
FOR MUCH OF TONIGHT, BEFORE BRIEF RETURN TO IFR TO MVFR MON MORN.
WINDS GENERALLY STICK TO W SIDE AROUND 190 TO 240 AT 5 TO 10 KTS,
THOUGH THEY MAY BRIEFLY TURN SSE AT TIMES. WINDS BECOME LIGHT AND
VRB OVERNIGHT.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE PRECIP TIMING AND COVERAGE.
HIGH CONFIDENCE ALL OTHER ELEMENTS.
SM
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 86 70 87 70 / 70 30 40 20
ATLANTA 88 71 87 71 / 30 10 40 10
BLAIRSVILLE 81 65 81 65 / 40 10 50 20
CARTERSVILLE 88 69 87 70 / 20 0 50 10
COLUMBUS 91 72 90 72 / 40 20 30 20
GAINESVILLE 85 69 85 70 / 40 10 40 20
MACON 88 72 89 71 / 80 40 40 10
ROME 87 68 86 68 / 20 10 50 10
PEACHTREE CITY 89 69 87 70 / 30 10 40 10
VIDALIA 91 73 90 72 / 80 40 60 20
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...SM
LONG TERM....CULVER
AVIATION...SM
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