419
FXUS62 KFFC 200008
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
808 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- WARM TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S
TO LOW 90S.
- INCREASED RAIN CHANCES RETURN TOMORROW THROUGH THE WEEKEND,
ESPECIALLY ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN GEORGIA.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH WEDNESDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2026
WARM AND DRY TODAY:
ANOTHER PLEASANT WEATHER AFTERNOON ACROSS NORTH AND CENTRAL
GEORGIA WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING TO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW
90S, AND SOME FAIR WEATHER CUMULUS CLOUDS. A LINGERING DRY
AIRMASS WITH PWAT VALUES UNDER 1" ACROSS THE AREA WILL PREVENT
THE CUMULUS FROM HAVING MUCH VERTICAL GROWTH.
RAIN CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY:
WINDS TURN OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, BRINGING
MOISTURE BACK INTO THE REGION AND LEADING TO A RETURN OF RAIN
CHANCES. SKIES WILL START OFF MOSTLY CLEAR, WITH CUMULUS BUILDING
AND BECOMING WIDESPREAD DURING THE AFTERNOON AS PWAT VALUES CLIMB
TO AROUND 1.2-1.4" IN WEST/NORTHWEST GA. THIS AREA WILL LIKELY
SEE ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS DEVELOPING DURING
THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS INSTABILITY PEAKS. ELSEWHERE,
INSTABILITY AND MOISTURE WILL BE TOO LOW TO RESULT IN ANYTHING
MORE THAN BRIEF ISOLATED SHOWERS. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP ACROSS
NORTHWEST GA WILL BE GARDEN-VARIETY DUE TO LOW SHEAR (<20KTS) AND
MEAGER INSTABILITY (<1000 J/KG), WITH BRIEF GUSTY WINDS AND
LIGHTNING BEING THE PRIMARY THREATS. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL AGAIN
CLIMB TO THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S ACROSS THE AREA.
LONG TERM
(THURSDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 241 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2026
NOT MUCH CHANGE IN THE EXTENDED PERIODS. A WEAKENING COLD FRONT WILL
HAVE ENTERED THE FAR NORTHERN TIER BY THE TIME THE LONG TERM PERIOD
PICKS UP ON THURSDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
WILL LINGER ACROSS NORTH AND WEST GEORGIA FROM WED NIGHT WITH PRECIP
SPREADING FURTHER SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY THU. AS RIDGING OVER THE
ATLANTIC COAST AND WEST ATLANTIC CONTINUES TO FLATTEN, THE FRONT
WILL MAKE SLOW PROGRESS SOUTHWARD THU, EVENTUALLY STALLING NORTH OF
I-20 AMID SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES AND DEWPOINTS WILL
START THE MORNING ON THURSDAY IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S ACROSS THE
AREA. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY COOLER ACROSS FAR NORTH
GEORGIA (IN THE LOW TO MID 80S) BEHIND THE FRONT COMPARED TO UPPER
80S ELSEWHERE ACROSS NORTH GEORGIA AND LOW 90S OVER CENTRAL GEORGIA.
HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL SUPPORT DIURNALLY ENHANCED CONVECTION,
WITH POPS OF 60-80% FOR NORTH GA, AND 20-40% ACROSS CENTRAL GA.
THE FRONT WILL BECOME LESS DEFINED AND BEGIN TO LIFT BACK NORTHWARD
FRIDAY WITHIN SOUTHWEST MID-LEVEL FLOW ALONG THE WESTERN PERIPHERY
OF THE ATLANTIC RIDGE. THIS SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL INTENSIFY AS A
SECOND RIDGE APPROACHES FROM THE GREAT PLAINS, GIVING THE FRONT AN
ADDITIONAL PUSH AWAY TO THE NORTH. WHILE THIS RIDGE SETS UP OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS DURING THE WEEKEND, THE AFOREMENTIONED SOUTHWESTERLY
FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD AMPLE MOISTURE INTO THE FORECAST AREA.
TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE 80S AND LOW 90S EACH DAY ALONG WITH
AMPLE MOISTURE WILL LEAD TO SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS DIURNAL CONVECTION
EACH DAY THROUGH THE BEGINNING OF NEXT WEEK. COVERAGE OF STORMS WILL
BE GREATEST DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. AT THIS TIME, THE
DEEPEST MOISTURE AND HIGHEST PWATS ACROSS OUR AREA WILL REMAIN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF NORTH AND WEST GA. WILL KEEP THE MOST CONSISTENT
HEAVY RAINFALL WEST OF GEORGIA. SOME LOCATIONS ACROSS NORTH GA COULD
SEE 2 TO 3 INCH 7 DAY TOTALS. THIS WILL BE VERY WELCOMED PRECIP TO
HELP WITH OUR CURRENT DROUGHT SITUATION.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 803 PM EDT TUE MAY 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE IN PLACE AT ALL TAF SITES, WITH SCATTERED CU
AROUND 060-070 EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE BY 02Z, GIVING WAY TO MOSTLY
SKC OVERNIGHT. AREAS OF PATCHY FOG AND LOW CEILINGS WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN AREAS SOUTH/EAST OF MCN IN THE EARLY MORNING, WITH
FEW005 BEING POSSIBLE AS FAR AS MCN BETWEEN 10-14Z. ANOTHER CU
FIELD BETWEEN 040-050 IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP BY 15Z. AS A COLD
FRONT DRAWS CLOSER TO THE AREA, SCATTERED SHRA/TSRA WILL BE
POSSIBLE IN THE MID AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING, WARRANTING PROB30
FOR TSRA AT THE ATL METRO SITES AND CSG FROM 19-23Z. WINDS WILL BE
SE AT 3-6 KTS THIS EVENING, GOING LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER 02Z,
AND SHIFTING TO SW BY 14-15Z ON WEDNESDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
HIGH CONFIDENCE ON ALL ELEMENTS.
KING
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 67 91 67 91 / 0 10 10 50
ATLANTA 70 89 69 88 / 0 30 20 60
BLAIRSVILLE 63 85 63 82 / 0 30 20 80
CARTERSVILLE 67 90 65 87 / 0 40 30 80
COLUMBUS 69 92 68 92 / 0 20 20 20
GAINESVILLE 67 89 67 87 / 0 20 20 70
MACON 67 92 68 92 / 0 10 0 20
ROME 65 88 63 86 / 0 40 30 80
PEACHTREE CITY 67 90 66 89 / 0 30 20 50
VIDALIA 65 92 67 93 / 0 0 0 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...KING
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page