385
FXUS62 KFFC 011041
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
641 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2026
..NEW 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- ADDITIONAL ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE TODAY AND SATURDAY.
- TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN WITHIN A FEW DEGREES OF NORMAL TO ROUND
OFF THE WEEK, WITH A COOLDOWN (HIGHS IN THE 60S) THIS WEEKEND.
- SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN MID NEXT WEEK,THOUGH
EXACT LOCATION, TIMING AND INTENSITY REMAINS UNCERTAIN.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 324 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2026
SHOWERS MOVING BACK INTO THE AREA TODAY WITH THE 1ST ROUND MOVING
IN FROM AL WITHIN THE HOUR. THERE IS CURRENTLY A WAVE OF SHOWERS
OVER EAST CENTRAL AL THAT WILL PUSH INTO WEST CENTRAL GA (NEAR
CSG) TO BEGIN THE RETURN OF PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE AREA. THIS
WAVE IS ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY ORIENTED WEST TO EAST
FROM CENTRAL TX TO SOUTH GA. THIS BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO STAY
FAIRLY STATIONARY OVER THE NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS ALLOWING MOISTURE
TO CONTINUE TO PUMP INTO THE REGION. INSTABILITY WILL STAY WEAK
ACROSS THE AREA SO WILL SEE MAINLY SHOWERS TODAY AND SAT WITH
DIURNALLY DRIVEN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS NEAR THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY.
THESE SHOWERS WILL BRING SOME MUCH NEEDED PRECIPITATION TO THE
AREA WITH 1" TO 2" EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH GA THROUGH
SAT. NORTH GA WILL NOT SEE AS MUCH WITH AREAS ALONG AND NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 20 SEEING 0.5" OR LESS.
BY DAYBREAK SAT A CLOSED LOW WILL HAVE BEGUN TO DEVELOP ALONG THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY OVER CENTRAL GA. THIS LOW CENTER PUSHES OFF THE
GA/SC COAST BY SAT AFTERNOON ALLOWING THE STALLED FRONTAL
BOUNDARY TO BEGIN TO ROTATE SOUTH AND EAST OUT OF THE AREA. THE
LOW CENTER MOVES UP THE EAST COAST PULLING THE TAIL END OF THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SOUTH INTO FL AND OFF THE GA COAST BY 00Z SUN.
HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO BUILD IN DIRECTLY BEHIND THIS EXITING
FRONT FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE EXTENDED PERIODS.
WITH THE INCREASED PRECIP CHANCES TEMPS EXPECTED TO BE A BIT OF
THE COOL SIDE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. HIGH TEMPS TODAY AND SAT
EXPECTED IN THE 60S TO LOWER 70S WITH LOWS TEMPS TONIGHT IN THE
UPPER 40S TO 50S.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 324 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2026
THE LONG TERM OUTLOOK STARTS UP ON SUNDAY AS SHOWERS AND FULLY EXIT
THE AREA. THE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH PATTERN TRANSITIONS TO A BROAD
SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. UPPER LEVEL AND MID LEVEL HEIGHTS ARE NOT
SIGNIFICANT OUT OF THE NORTH, DUE TO POLAR TROUGHING TO THE NORTH,
HOWEVER THIS WILL RESULT IN A DRY AND WARM PATTERN TO START OFF THE
WEEK MONDAY AND TUESDAY. AN EJECTING SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH MIDWEEK
(WEDNESDAY), BRINGING OUR NEXT SHOT AT SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
THE RESULTANT SURFACE LOW WILL BE FAR ENOUGH SOUTH THAT CONVECTION
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY WILL LIKELY FORM ALONG THE WARM FRONT. THE
SEVERE PARAMETER SPACE IS HINTING AT STRONGER STORM POTENTIAL,
HOWEVER MODEL SPREAD OF TIMING REMAINS HIGH. THIS WOULD HAVE
SIGNIFICANT EFFECTS ON THE PARAMETER SPACE WITH INSTABILITY RELYING
ON DIURNAL HEATING GIVEN WEAK ENERGY TRANSPORT. WILL KEEP AN EYE ON
CONDITIONS UNTIL THEN.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 625 AM EDT FRI MAY 1 2026
MAINLY VFR CEILINGS WITH LIGHT SHOWERS BEGINNING TO MOVE INTO THE
AREA. THE ATL/AHN AREA TAF SITES WILL ONLY SEE A FEW LIGHT
SHOWERS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AS THE MAIN AXIS OF PRECIP IS
FURTHER SOUTH (CSG/MCN). THE NORTHERN TAF SITES WILL SEE LOWERED
CEILINGS AND PRECIP MOVING IN AROUND SUNSET. MCN/CSG AREAS
ALREADY SEEING SOME LIGHT SHOWERS WITH THE STRONGER SHOWERS
MOVING IN THIS AFTERNOON WITH THE LOWERED CEILINGS AS WELL.
PRECIP EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH SAT. WINDS
ARE LIGHT AND MAINLY OUT OF THE NE RIGHT NOW. WINDS WILL TURN TO
THE NW THIS AFTERNOON AND STAY 10KT OR LESS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...12Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 70 52 63 43 / 20 90 80 10
ATLANTA 72 52 65 46 / 30 90 70 10
BLAIRSVILLE 69 45 62 36 / 10 60 50 10
CARTERSVILLE 73 48 67 41 / 20 70 50 0
COLUMBUS 70 52 66 45 / 70 100 80 10
GAINESVILLE 70 52 65 44 / 20 80 70 10
MACON 71 52 64 43 / 60 90 90 10
ROME 73 49 68 42 / 10 70 40 0
PEACHTREE CITY 72 50 65 42 / 40 90 70 10
VIDALIA 74 57 65 48 / 70 90 100 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...01
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