209
FXUS62 KFFC 051842
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
242 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
..AFTERNOON AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A DRIER AND SLIGHTLY COOLER AIRMASS IN THE WAKE OF A COLD
FRONT WILL FILTER INTO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO TUESDAY,
RESULTING IN MORE SEASONAL EARLY-OCTOBER CONDITIONS.
- RAIN CHANCES TREND UPWARD BY THE WEEKEND AS A MORE UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN RETURNS.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 158 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
EXPECTING THINGS TO IMPROVE IN THE SHORT TERM WITH CLEAR SKIES AND
COOLER TEMPS. CURRENT SATELLITE LOOP SHOWS MOSTLY OVERCAST SKIES
ACROSS THE STATE WITH CLEARING CONDITIONS MOVING INTO NW GA. THE
FRONTAL BOUNDARY THAT BOUGHT RAIN TO THE AREA OVER THE WEEKEND IS
MOVING SLOWLY SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE WITH A DRIER/COOLER AIRMASS
MOVING INTO NW GA BEHIND IT. HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE NEW
ENGLAND/MID ATLANTIC STATES IS BEGINNING TO BUILD DOWN THE EASTERN
SEABOARD BECOMING ALMOST WEDGE LIKE TUE/WED. COOLER E TO NE FLOW SETS
UP CLEARING THINGS OUT WITH HIGH TEMPS TUE EXPECTED MAINLY IN THE
70S TO NEAR 80. LOW TEMPS TONIGHT WILL DIP DOWN INTO THE 60S WITH
LOWS TUE NIGHT DON INTO THE 50S WITH SOME 40S ACROSS NE GA.
LONG TERM
(WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 158 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WILL START OFF THE LONG
TERM. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL FALL INTO THE 50S WITH 40'S LIKELY IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF NORTHERN GEORGIA. BY THE TIME WE GET TO
THURSDAY, RAIN CHANCES FOR THE CWA DROP TO NEARLY ZERO AS THE
STATIONARY FRONT SINKS INTO FLORIDA.
AS OF THE TIME WRITING THIS, THE NHC IS KEEPING AN EYE ON A
DISTURBANCE OFF THE YUCATAN THAT THEY'RE GIVING A 80% CHANCE OF
DEVELOPMENT IN THE NEXT 7 DAYS. ALL OF THE MAJOR MODELS ARE
DEVELOPING IT INTO SOME KIND OF TROPICAL SYSTEM WITH LANDFALL
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE ALONG THE GULF COAST EAST OF NOLA. THIS WOULD
BRING ANOTHER ROUND OF WET WEATHER TO THE AREA BY NEXT WEEKEND.
THE EXTENT AND INTENSITY OF THIS SYSTEM IS CURRENTLY ONLY
SPECULATION AND THERE IS STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHAT AND
WHERE THIS SYSTEM WILL DO. IT'S PRESENCE THOUGH WILL FORCE THE
STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS NORTHERN FLORIDA BACK NORTH AND IT SEEMS
LIKELY THAT REGARDLESS OF THE TRACK THE STORM TAKES, WE'LL LIKELY
HAVE ANOTHER WET WEEKEND. ALL INTERESTED PARTIES SHOULD CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE FORECAST AS IT EVOLVES.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1227 PM EDT MON OCT 5 2026
OVERCAST SKIES BEGINNING TO CLEAR BEHIND THE SLOW MOVING FRONTAL
BOUNDARY PUSHING SOUTH THROUGH THE STATE. BEGINNING TO SEE SOME
CLEAR SKIES ACROSS NORTH GA AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO SEE CEILINGS
LIFT AND SCATTERED OUT THROUGH SUNSET. CURRENTLY MOST TAF SITES
ARE STILL IN THE IFR TO MVFR RANGE WITH THINGS EXPECTED TO BE
MAINLY MVFR BY 18Z-19Z. WILL SEE CEILINGS CONTINUE TO LIFT INTO
THE VFR RANGE BY 21Z-23Z AND SCT/CLR OUT OVERNIGHT. WINDS
EXPECTED TO STAY OUT OF THE E TO NE. WIND SPEEDS EXPECTED TO STAY
8MPH OR LESS TODAY/TONIGHT WITH SOME SLIGHTLY INCREASED SPEEDS IN
THE 8-12MPH RANGE TUE.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...18Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 57 76 52 78 / 0 0 0 0
ATLANTA 62 77 57 79 / 0 0 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 52 75 46 78 / 10 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 58 80 53 82 / 0 0 0 0
COLUMBUS 64 81 60 82 / 10 10 0 0
GAINESVILLE 58 75 54 78 / 0 0 0 0
MACON 61 79 57 81 / 0 0 0 0
ROME 57 81 51 83 / 0 0 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 59 78 53 80 / 0 0 0 0
VIDALIA 64 76 61 79 / 10 10 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...01
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...01
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