753
FXUS62 KFFC 190658
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
258 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026
..MORNING AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- A FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL LATE TONIGHT FOR
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GA WHERE AN ADDITIONAL 1-2" OF RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS CENTRAL
GA, A FEW MAY BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS.
- WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WITH DAILY CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL CONTINUE FROM SUNDAY INTO NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 252 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026
LINGERING FLOOD CONCERNS THIS MORNING:
THE BULK OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS ASSOCIATED WITH REMNANTS OF
ARTHUR HAS PASSED THROUGH NORTH GA, BUT WILL STILL IMPACT CENTRAL
AND SOUTHERN GA THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. THE PRIMARY CONCERN
WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALIZED FLASH FLOODING, AS
THESE SHOWERS AND STORMS WITH HIGH RAINFALL RATES REPEATEDLY MOVE
OVER THE AREA.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THROUGH SATURDAY:
THROUGHOUT TODAY, A FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL
DROP INTO NORTH GA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL GA ON THE BACKSIDE OF
THE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM SLIDING OFF TO THE EAST. THERE WILL STILL
BE ENOUGH MOISTURE ON THE SOUTHERN SIDE OF THE INCOMING FRONT TO
SUPPORT ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EARLY EVENING. THIS LOOKS TO PRIMARILY BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM LAGRANGE TO MACON TO SWAINSBORO, BUT CANNOT BE RULED
OUT FURTHER NORTH IF THE FRONT IS SLOW TO MOVE IN. WITH HIGH
MOISTURE CONTENT AND INSTABILITY PEAKING AROUND 2000 J/KG, A FEW
OF THESE STORMS COULD BE STRONG TO SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS
AS THE MAIN THREAT. DESPITE THE DRIER AIR STARTING TO MOVE IN,
DEWPOINTS WILL REMAIN HIGH, CONTRIBUTING TO HEAT INDEX VALUES
PEAKING AROUND 90-95 THIS AFTERNOON.
TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY, THE FRONT IS EXPECTED TO STALL OUT
SOMEWHERE ACROSS CENTRAL/SOUTHERN GA. THIS WILL CREATE A SHARP
MOISTURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 60S ACROSS NORTH GA, AND LOW TO MID
70S TO THE SOUTH. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
FOCUS ALONG THE STALLED FRONT WHERE THERE IS HIGHER MOISTURE
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW STORMS COULD AGAIN BE
STRONG TO NEAR SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AS THE MAIN THREAT. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S, WITH HEAT INDEX
VALUES IN THE LOW TO MID 90S ACROSS CENTRAL GA.
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 252 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026
UPPER LEVEL FLOW REMAINS MOSTLY ZONAL THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH
OCCASIONAL WEAK SUBTROPICAL SHORTWAVES MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN
CONUS. THE SFC BOUNDARY LEFT BEHIND THE REMNANTS OF ARTHUR WILL
CONTINUE TO DRAPE ACROSS THE AREA, ACTING AS A GUIDE FOR ANY
SYSTEM TO LATCH ONTO. THIS RESULTS IN DAILY LOW TO MODERATE SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. A FEW STORMS THROUGH THE WEEK MAY
BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE DEPENDENT ON DIURNAL DESTABILIZATION. NO
WIDESPREAD SEVERE IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
A SLIGHTLY STRONGER SHORTWAVE ON MONDAY MAY BRING GUSTIER
CONDITIONS, EVEN OUTSIDE THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS OF 10 TO 15 MPH MAY
GUST OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST TO 20 TO 25 MPH.
TEMPERATURES TO REMAIN SEASONABLE WITH THE MINIMALLY AMPLITUDINAL
FLOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S TO LOW 90S CAN BE EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 134 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026
IFR TO LIFR CIGS ONGOING ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA AND WILL BE SLOW
TO LIFT AND SCATTER BACK TO VFR THROUGH AROUND 16Z FRIDAY. SCT
SHRA/TSRA AT AHN, CSG, AND MCN WILL CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT FEW
HOURS BEFORE MOVING OUT, WITH PROB30S RETURNING AT MCN AND CSG
AFTER 18Z FRIDAY. CHANCES ARE TOO LOW TO INCLUDE FOR ATL AREA
SITES, BUT CANNOT BE RULED OUT FRI AFTERNOON. GUSTY SOUTHERLY
WINDS OVERNIGHT TURN OUT OF THE WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 6-10 KTS
DURING THE DAY FRIDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM FOR CIG/VIS THROUGH FRIDAY AM.
HIGH ON OTHER ELEMENTS.
CULVER
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 88 65 87 66 / 10 0 0 0
ATLANTA 86 69 86 70 / 20 10 10 10
BLAIRSVILLE 81 57 82 62 / 10 0 0 0
CARTERSVILLE 86 64 87 68 / 20 10 10 10
COLUMBUS 86 71 87 71 / 40 20 40 10
GAINESVILLE 86 64 85 67 / 10 0 0 0
MACON 87 70 87 68 / 40 20 30 10
ROME 87 64 86 67 / 20 10 0 10
PEACHTREE CITY 86 67 87 68 / 30 20 20 10
VIDALIA 87 73 90 71 / 80 10 30 10
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FLOOD WATCH THROUGH LATE TONIGHT FOR GAZ069-078>085-089>097-
102>109.
SHORT TERM...CULVER
LONG TERM....SM
AVIATION...CULVER
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