759
FXUS62 KFFC 102331
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
731 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026
..NEW 00Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- POST TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAIAS CONTINUES TO BRING ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED IMPACTS TO THE AREA THROUGH EARLY SUNDAY, WITH GUSTY
WINDS, HEAVY RAIN WITH ISOLATED FLOODING, AND THE POTENTIAL
FOR A BRIEF SPIN-UP TORNADO OR TWO.
- WITH WET SOILS AND HIGH WINDS, FALLING TREES AND POWER OUTAGES
WILL CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT THROUGH THE DAY AND INTO THE
OVERNIGHT.
- MORE TRANQUIL WEATHER WILL RETURN BY MONDAY.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026
POST TROPICAL CYCLONE ISAIAS CONTINUES TO PUSH NORTHWARD INTO
NORTHERN ALABAMA AND TENNESSEE WITH LINGERING EFFECTS CONTINUING
OVER PORTIONS OF GEORGIA. THE MAIN AREA WE ARE WATCHING IS THE
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AREA WHERE THERE IS A TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR
EMMANUEL, TOOMBS, AND JEFFERSON COUNTIES. THERE IS A LINGERING BAND
ORIENTED FROM NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH THIS AREA INTO SOUTH GEORGIA
THAT IS AN AREA OF ENHANCED CAPE (3000J/KG) AND SHEAR SOUTH OF THE
WARM FRONT. THERE ARE MULTIPLE CIRCULATIONS WE WILL CONTINUE TO
WATCH ALONG THIS BAND FOR TORNADO POTENTIAL THROUGH THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS. FURTHER WEST AND NORTH, WE CAN SEE THE WARM FRONT BOUNDARY
DRAPED ALONG I-20 THAT HAS STEADILY PUSHED NORTH THROUGH THE LATE
MORNING/EARLY AFTERNOON. AREAS EAST OF I-75 AND SOUTH OF I-20 WILL
BE WHERE WE WILL BE WATCHING FOR THE POTENTIAL REDEVELOPMENT OF
BANDING. ALL THE INGREDIENTS ARE THERE TO GIVE US AN ELEVATED
TORNADO AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT BUT IT WILL BE A MATTER OF IF THIS
BAND CAN REDEVELOP. WITH CLEARING ONGOING, LEANING TOWARDS AT LEAST
SOME REDEVELOPMENT HERE IN THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS AND LASTING
THROUGH LATE EVENING.
WINDS HAVE BEGUN TO DIMINISH AS ISAIAS HAS MOVED NORTHWARD WHICH HAS
RESULTED IN THE CANCELLATION OF PORTIONS OF THE HIGH WIND WARNING
AND AREAS OF THE WIND ADVISORY. WIND GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN IN THE 20-
30MPH RANGE THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE EVENING WITH GUSTS IN THE
HIGHER ELEVATIONS UP TO 40 TO 50MPH STILL POSSIBLE.
WILL CONTINUE TO EVALUATE AND POTENTIALLY CANCEL EARLY IF NEEDED.
THE FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH 8AM TOMORROW FOR EASTERN
GEORGIA BUT WILL ALSO LIKELY BE CANCELLED EARLY. AREAS SOUTH AND
EAST OF I-85 IN THE SOUTH METRO DID RECEIVE ANYWHERE FROM 2-4INCHES
OF RAINFALL THROUGH THIS MORNING AND AREAS OF EAST GEORGIA WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE HEAVY RAINFALL WITHIN THESE BANDS THAT COULD PRODUCE
ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS OF 1-3".
ISAIAS QUICKLY MOVES NORTHWARD WITH RAIN BANDS EXITING THE AREA
AROUND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT WITH CLEARING SKIES BY TOMORROW.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 243 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE LONGTERM FORECAST.
THE LONG TERM PICKS UP AFTER THE REMNANTS OF ISAIAS ARE NOT BUT A
MEMORY. DRY AIR WILL SETTLE IN ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST AND BRING BACK A
LITTLE BIT OF SUMMER ON THE BACKSIDE. HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 80S
ARE EXPECTED AS HIGH PRESSURE KEEPS WINDS OUT OF THE WEST. DRIER
CONDITIONS WILL START OFF THE LONG TERM, BUT AS THE HIGH SLOWLY
MEANDERS TO THE EAST, WE'LL START TO SEE A MOISTURE RETURN BY THE
MIDDLE PART OF THE WORK WEEK BRINING AFTERNOON HEAT INDEX VALUES
BACK INTO THE 90S.
EXPECT OVERNIGHT LOWS TO BE COMFORTABLY IN THE 50S AND 60S FOR MUCH
OF THE AREA WITH WINDS BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS. BY NEXT WEEKEND, SOME OF THE MODEL RUNS ARE
BEGINNING TO INDICATE THE POSSIBILITY FOR A STRONG COLD FRONT TO
PUSH DOWN FROM THE NORTH THAT WILL BRING FALL BACK INTO THE REGION.
BUT FOR THE MEANTIME, ENJOY A LITTLE BIT MORE LATE SUMMER AND PLENTY
OF SUNSHINE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 725 PM EDT SAT OCT 10 2026
BKN TO OVC IFR CONDS ABOUND ACROSS NORTHERN TAF SITES. ISOLD TO
SCT -SHRA WILL BE PSBL FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS, OCNL
ACCOMPANIED BY LOW-VFR VSBYS IN BR. CANNOT RULE OUT A PD OF
TWRINC POST-SHRA ACTIVITY, BUT LOW CONF. GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT BACK
TO MVFR EXP BY 18Z, AND TO VFR BY 21-22Z TMRW. WINDS INITIALLY
BREEZY OUT OF THE E WILL SHIFT TO THE W BY 04-05Z. EXPECT
SUSTAINED WINDS TO REMAIN AT 7-12KTS WITH GUSTS TO 20-22KTS
DROPPING OFF OVERNIGHT, RETURNING BY MID- MORNING SUNDAY.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...00Z UPDATE...
MEDIUM CONFIDENCE ALL ELEMENTS.
96
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 63 72 62 84 / 90 10 0 0
ATLANTA 61 72 63 83 / 70 10 0 0
BLAIRSVILLE 57 66 56 77 / 90 60 10 0
CARTERSVILLE 60 73 59 84 / 70 20 0 0
COLUMBUS 60 78 61 87 / 20 0 0 0
GAINESVILLE 62 69 62 82 / 90 30 0 0
MACON 62 77 61 86 / 70 0 0 0
ROME 58 73 56 85 / 70 30 0 0
PEACHTREE CITY 59 73 59 85 / 50 10 0 0
VIDALIA 69 79 64 85 / 60 10 0 0
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FLOOD WATCH UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR GAZ008-009-015-016-
023>025-027-034>039-046>051-059>062-072>076-082>086-095>098-
107>113.
SHORT TERM...HERNANDEZ
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...96
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