019
FXUS62 KFFC 090554
AFDFFC
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
154 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2026
..NEW 06Z AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
- AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY.
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED STORMS ON THURSDAY WILL BECOME INCREASE IN
COVERAGE, BECOMING NUMEROUS OVER THE WEEKEND.
- A FEW STORMS THIS WEEKEND MAY BECOME STRONG WITH WIND GUSTS UP
TO 40-50MPH AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.
- HEAT INDEX VALUES PEAK EACH AFTERNOON BETWEEN 95 AND 105. HEAT
ADVISORY FOR PORTIONS OF EAST-CENTRAL GA ON THURSDAY AFTERNOON.
SHORT TERM
(THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT WED JUL 8 2026
ANOTHER HOT AND DRY ONCE AGAIN TODAY DESPITE THE MODEST LOW LEVEL
AND DEEPER MOISTURE IN PLACE. SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY, SOUNDING DATA
SHOWING 500 AND 700 MB TEMPS RUNNING WARM AND IN THE 90TH
PERCENTILE CLIMO RANGE. COMBINED WITH A SMALL CAP JUST ABOVE THE
FREEZING LEVEL AND CLOUDS WILL STRUGGLE TO GAIN ANY VERTICAL
GROWTH AND MOMENTUM.
CHANGES BEGIN TO HAPPEN TONIGHT INTO TOMORROW AS THE MID LEVEL
RIDGE ANCHORED OVER FL BEGINS TO BREAK DOWN AND SHIFT EAST AS A
RIDGING DEVELOPS OVER THE WESTERN US. ADDITIONAL MOISTURE AND
LESS INHIBITION WILL BECOME MORE AVAILABLE THURSDAY AFTERNOON THUS
POPS BEGIN TO CREEP BACK UP TO NEAR NORMAL STARTING THURSDAY PM.
TEMPS AND DPTS ON THU WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY THUS HAVE CONTINUED
THE HEAT ADV. FOR PORTIONS OF MIDDLE GA ON THURSDAY. LOOKING
AHEAD, IT IS LIKELY NECESSARY AGAIN ON FRIDAY.
LONG TERM
(FRIDAY MORNING THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)
ISSUED AT 200 PM EDT WED JUL 8 2026
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES DURING THE AFTERNOON ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE
AS WE APPROACH THE WEEKEND, ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF
THE STATE. A SLOW MOVING FRONT ACROSS THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS WILL
EVENTUALLY STALL OUT OVER THE SOUTHEAST AS THE LONG TERM PICKS UP
BRINGING UNSETTLED WEATHER ALONG AND NORTH OF I-20 THIS WEEKEND. BY
MONDAY, THE FRONT WILL BEGIN TO MOVE OFF INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FOR
THE ENTIRE CWA. THE MODELS INDICATE COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE AS WE START NEXT WEEK, BUT THE TIMING HASN'T BEEN
CONSISTENT BETWEEN THE RUNS. WHAT THAT LOOKS LIKE WILL ULTIMATELY
COME DOWN TO HOW QUICKLY THE WEEKEND'S STATIONARY FRONT LEAVES THE
AREA.
WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER ISN'T TOO MUCH OF A CONCERN LATER THIS
WEEKEND. THE SPC HAS US IN A MARGINAL RISK ON SATURDAY FOR FAR NE
GEORGIA. THE THREAT IS MAINLY CONDITIONAL TO DISCREET AFTERNOON
CONVECTION AND THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE THE POSSIBILITY FOR
DAMAGING WINDS.
THE APPROACHING FRONT AND AFTERNOON CONVECTION SHOULD BRING US SOME
RELIEF FROM THE HEAT THOUGH. HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 90S WITH
APPARENT TEMPS IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY
BEFORE FALLING BACK INTO THE 80S BY THE END OF THE WEEKEND. THE ONE
SAVING GRACE HERE IS THAT AS STORMS BECOME MORE NUMEROUS IN THE
AFTERNOON, RADIATION COOLING WILL HELP PREVENT A NUMBER OF SITES
ACROSS THE CWA FROM SEEING PEAK HEAT DURING THE AFTERNOON AND TEMPS
MAY NOT RISE AS HIGH AS THEY WOULD WITHOUT THEM.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 122 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2026
SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS LEFT OVER FROM YESTERDAYS CONVECTION ARE
SLOWLY DIMINISHING THIS MORNING. EXPECTING MAINLY VFR CEILINGS
TODAY WITH SOME MVFR CEILINGS AND VSBYS IN AND AROUND AFTERNOON
CONVECTION. WITH CONTINUED MOIST WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL
SEE DIURNALLY DRIVEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE EVENING
HOURS. WINDS ARE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS MORNING BUT WILL SEE
WINDS INCREASE INTO THE 5-10KT RANGE OUT OF THE W TO SW JUST AFTER
SUNRISE AND STAY THERE THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.
//ATL CONFIDENCE...06Z UPDATE...
CONFIDENCE HIGH ON ALL ELEMENTS.
01
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
ATHENS 74 94 74 93 / 20 30 20 60
ATLANTA 75 92 75 91 / 10 40 20 70
BLAIRSVILLE 66 84 66 83 / 20 50 50 80
CARTERSVILLE 73 92 73 90 / 10 30 40 80
COLUMBUS 75 93 75 93 / 20 20 10 30
GAINESVILLE 73 92 73 91 / 10 30 20 60
MACON 75 94 74 94 / 20 20 10 30
ROME 72 91 72 90 / 10 40 40 80
PEACHTREE CITY 73 91 73 91 / 10 30 20 60
VIDALIA 78 98 77 98 / 10 10 10 20
FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
HEAT ADVISORY FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS EVENING FOR
GAZ085-086-097-098-106-108>113.
SHORT TERM...30
LONG TERM....VAUGHN
AVIATION...01
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