752
FXUS62 KGSP 052346
AFDGSP
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
746 PM EDT FRI JUN 5 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
THE AVIATION DISCUSSION WAS UPDATED.
KEY MESSAGES
1. DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH SATURDAY. SHOWER
AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1: DRY CONDITIONS WITH A WARMING TREND THROUGH
SATURDAY. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES RETURN EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DEEP LAYER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN CONUS REMAINS IN PLACE
THROUGH SATURDAY. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES WITH PERIODS OF CIRRUS ARE
EXPECTED. MAX TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE NEAR NORMAL THIS
AFTERNOON AND NUDGING UP A FEW TICKS ON SATURDAY WITH WIDESPREAD
MID TO UPPER 80S OUTSIDE THE MOUNTAINS AND MAJOR MOUNTAIN VALLEYS,
WITH EVEN A FEW SPOTS FLIRTING WITH THE 90 DEGREE MARK ALONG AND
EAST OF I-77. DEWPOINTS ARE ON THE RISE, BUT STILL AT VALUES TO
MAKE CONDITIONS OUTSIDE FEEL FAIRLY COMFORTABLE FOR EARLY JUNE.
VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE WILL MOVE TOWARDS THE EASTERN CONUS AND ALLOW
FOR THE RIDGE TO GRADUALLY BREAKDOWN, WHILE A SURFACE HIGH SHIFTS
OFFSHORE THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST DURING THE EARLY PART OF NEXT
WEEK. A BACKDOOR FRONT SHOWN MOVING TOWARDS THE AREA AND COULD
ALLOW FOR WEAK CAD TO DEVELOP LATE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY. WITH THE
DAMMING HIGH IN PLACE WITH MORE CLOUDS AND HIGHER POPS, EXPECT
TEMPERATURES TO RETURN BACK TO NORMAL VALUES OR EVEN SLIGHTLY
BELOW. A WARMING TREND RETURNS LATER NEXT WEEK AFTER TUESDAY WITH
90S POSSIBLE BY THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD. CHANCES OF MAINLY
DIURNAL CONVECTION INCREASES NEXT WEEK AS WELL WITH BETTER MOISTURE
INFLUX FROM THE GULF AND A RELATIVELY ACTIVE SYNOPTIC SETUP.
AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
AT KCLT AND ELSEWHERE: EXPECT DRY, VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE
THRU THE 00Z TAF PERIOD. SCT TO BKN CIRRUS THIS EVENING WILL
DIMINISH LATER TONIGHT WITH MORE SCT CIRRUS EXPECTED AGAIN
TOMORROW AFTERNOON/EVENING. ANOTHER ROUND OF PATCHY MOUNTAIN
VALLEY FOG/LOW STRATUS IS LIKELY AROUND DAYBREAK SAT, BUT IT
IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH KAVL. SWLY WINDS WILL WEAKEN TONIGHT/
OVERNIGHT WITH SOME SITES LIKELY GOING CALM. WINDS PICK BACK UP
FROM THE SW AGAIN TOMORROW AFTERNOON WITH SPEEDS BETWEEN 5 AND
10 KTS.
OUTLOOK: EXPECT DRY, VFR CONDITIONS TO CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
THE POTENTIAL FOR MORNING MOUNTAIN VALLEY FOG/LOW STRATUS WILL
GRADUALLY INCREASE EACH DAY. DIURNAL CONVECTION RETURNS EARLY
NEXT WEEK.
GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.
CAC/JPT
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