538  
FXPQ50 PGUM 221959  
AFDGUM  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU  
559 AM CHST WED JUL 23 2025  
   
MARIANAS UPDATE
 
 
AS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE INVEST 98W CONTINUES TO CLOSE ITS GAP WITH  
THE MARIANAS, CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY HAS SPIKED AHEAD OF THE STORM  
CENTER, ALLOWING HEAVIER SHOWERS AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS TO BUILD IN.  
AS SUCH, HIGHER POPS WERE BROUGHT IN EARLIER TO TODAY AND TONIGHT,  
INTRODUCING FLASH FLOODING RISKS AS WELL. GENTLE TO MODERATE EAST TO  
SOUTHEAST WINDS LOOK TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT, BEFORE  
STRENGTHENING THEREAFTER AS 98W APPROACHES. THERE COULD BE TIMES WHEN  
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER GUAM AS A BRIEF COL SETTLES  
OVERHEAD, WHICH MAY INDUCE ISLAND CONVECTION AHEAD OF 98W'S APPROACH,  
BUT UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH FOR THIS DEVELOPMENT AT THIS TIME.  
 

 
   
TROPICAL SYSTEMS UPDATE
 
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION (TD) 10W HAS QUICKLY MOVED NORTH-NORTHWEST AND  
IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 20.1N, 131.3E. THE WIND FIELD IS STILL  
ASYMMETRICAL WITH MAX SUSTAINED WINDS OF 30 MPH WITHIN THE EASTERN  
PERIPHERY. 10W IS FORECAST TO INTENSIFY FURTHER POSSIBLY BECOMING A  
TROPICAL STORM TONIGHT, WHILE MOVING WEST OF THE AREA OF  
RESPONSIBILITY (AOR). FOR MORE INFORMATION ON TD 10W, PLEASE REFER TO  
BULLETINS ISSUED BY JTWC UNDER WMO HEADERS WTPN32 PGTW AND FROM THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ32 PGUM.  
 
A LOOSELY ORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE, KNOWN AS JTWC'S INVEST 98W,  
IS CENTERED NEAR 11N149E EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM WATERS. MODERATE TO  
OCCASIONALLY DEEP CONVECTION IS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS FEATURE,  
PRODUCING NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD HEAVY SHOWERS WITHIN THE EASTERN AND  
SOUTHERN PERIPHERIES, AS A LARGE CONVERGENCE ZONE SPANNING FROM  
EASTERN YAP STATE TO CHUUK STATE CONTINUES TO FUNNEL MOISTURE INTO  
THE FEATURE. EVEN SO, THE SYSTEM STRUGGLES TO CONSOLIDATE,  
OCCASIONALLY DETACHING FROM THE SURFACE AS AN OPEN WAVE TO THEN  
RE-SURFACE CLOSER TO THE MARIANAS IN THE LATTER HOURS OF THE NIGHT.  
98W WILL CONTINUE TO CONSOLIDATE IN THE GENERAL VICINITY, SLOWLY  
MOVING NORTH-NORTHWEST ACROSS THE MARIANAS OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY,  
POTENTIALLY BECOMING A TROPICAL DEPRESSION BY THEN. AT THIS TIME,  
MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO STRUGGLE WITH THE DEVELOPMENT OF SAID  
SYSTEM, SO STORM INTENSITY WILL CONTINUE TO BE HIGHLY UNCERTAIN UNTIL  
A MORE STABLE CIRCULATION IS OBSERVED.  
 
FOR MORE INFORMATION REGARDING INVEST 98W, SEE BULLETINS ISSUED BY  
JTWC UNDER WMO HEADER ABPW10 PGTW.  
 

 
   
HYDROLOGY UPDATE
 
 
A GENERALLY UNSETTLED PATTERN CAUSED BY LOCALIZED CONVERGENCE AND  
NEARBY TROPICAL DISTURBANCE INVEST 98W SOUTHEAST OF THE MARIANAS, IS  
LIKELY TO PRODUCE HEAVY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO BRING LOCALIZED  
FLASH FLOODING RISK TO THE REGION FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.  
AS SUCH, A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED, VALID THROUGH FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON. AS 98W CONTINUES TO CONSOLIDATE AND MOVE CLOSER TO THE  
MARIANAS, SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE,  
WITH RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 6 TO 10 INCHES POSSIBLE THROUGH LATE FRIDAY  
AFTERNOON. DUE TO THE LACKLUSTER NATURE IN 98W'S DEVELOPMENT CYCLE,  
HIGH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS FOR PROBABLE RAINFALL AMOUNTS, BUT WILL  
BECOME MORE CLEAR AS THE SYSTEM COMES CLOSER TO THE MARIANAS.  
 

 
   
EASTERN MICRONESIA UPDATE
 
 
INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOW PATCHY SHOWERS OVER ACROSS THE REGION  
AND SHOWERS TRENDING DOWN OVER THE NORTHERN MARSHALLS FROM A  
WEAKENING CONVERGENCE ZONE. SHOWERS NEAR KOSRAE DID INCREASE TO  
SCATTERED OVERNIGHT, BUT KEPT THE TREND FOR ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS  
TODAY. NO MAJOR CHANGES FOR POHNPEI AND MAJURO, WHERE FAIRLY QUIET  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED AS WELL TODAY.  
 

 
   
WESTERN MICRONESIA UPDATE
 
 
A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE, REFERRED TO AS INVEST 98W, REMAINS POORLY  
ORGANIZED, BUT IS SLOWLY DEVELOPING NORTHWEST OF CHUUK, NEAR  
11N149E. THE BULK OF DEEPER CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH 98W REMAINS TO  
THE NORTH AND EAST OF CHUUK AS THIS DISTURBANCE CONTINUES TO MOVE  
NORTHWEST TOWARDS THE MARIANAS. HOWEVER, SCATTERED SHOWERS AND  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH  
UPPER-LEVEL CLOUD LAYERS TRAVELING FROM UNSETTLED WEATHER TO THE  
NORTH.  
 
YAP AND PALAU REMAIN UNDER A REGION OF RELATIVELY QUIET CONDITIONS,  
BETWEEN THE TWO MAJOR WEATHER PATTERNS IN THE REGION, THE MONSOON  
PATTERN TO THE NORTHWEST, FEEDING INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION 10W AND  
98W TO THE NORTHEAST. NO MAJOR CHANGES IN THE FORECAST. KEPT  
SCATTERED SHOWERS IN FOR PALAU DUE TO AN AREA OF WEAK CONVERGENCE IN  
THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW. SCATTERED SHOWERS MAY BUILD IN FOR YAP  
THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT, DEPENDING ON THE DEVELOPMENT OF 98W AND  
CONVERGENT FLOW OVER YAP STATE.  
 

 
   
PREV DISCUSSION
 
/ISSUED 1122 PM CHST TUE JUL 22 2025/  
 
UPDATE...  
THE TROPICAL DISTURBANCE, FORMERLY KNOWN AS JOINT TYPHOON WARNING  
CENTER'S (JTWC) INVEST 97W, HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL  
DEPRESSION (TD) 10W. 10W HAS CONTINUED TO MOVE NORTHWEST AND IS NOW  
LOCATED NEAR 18.8N, 132.3E. ALTHOUGH SLOW TO DEVELOP AND AN  
ASYMMETRICAL WIND FIELD REMAINS, 10W HAS BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED  
TODAY WITH A LOW TO MID LEVEL CIRCULATION PRESENT AND CONVECTION  
INCREASING AROUND ITS EASTERN AND NORTHERN FLANKS. MAX SUSTAINED  
WINDS ARE 25 KT AROUND THE EASTERN PERIPHERY. 10W LOOKS TO REMAIN IN  
OUR AREA OF RESPONSIBILITY (AOR) FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES  
NORTHWEST OUT OF OUR REGION.  
 
FOR MORE INFORMATION ON TD 10W, PLEASE REFER TO BULLETINS ISSUED BY  
JTWC UNDER WMO HEADERS WTPN32 PGTW AND FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE UNDER WMO HEADER WTPQ32 PGUM.  
 
PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 635 PM CHST TUE JUL 22 2025/  
 
MARIANAS SYNOPSIS...  
SATELLITE AND RADAR OBSERVATIONS SHOW MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND  
SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS THE MARIANAS. RITIDIAN AND IPAN BUOYS SHOW  
COMBINED SEAS BETWEEN 3 AND 5 FEET, WITH SEA HEIGHTS PEAKING NEAR 7  
FEET EAST OF THE MARIANAS ACCORDING TO ALTIMETRY AND SOFAR DRIFTING  
BUOY DATA.  
 
DISCUSSION...  
THERE WAS LITTLE CHANGE TO THE FORECAST IN THE SHORT TERM. THE  
MARIANAS ARE LOCATED BETWEEN A BROAD DEVELOPING MONSOON DISTURBANCE,  
JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER'S (JTWC) INVEST 97W OVER THE PHILIPPINE  
SEA, AND A DISORGANIZED TROPICAL DISTURBANCE TO THE NORTH OF CHUUK,  
JTWC'S INVEST 98W. CONVERGENCE BETWEEN THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST TRADE  
WINDS AND THE MONSOON PATTERN TO THE WEST WILL MAINTAIN SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AREA THROUGH TOMORROW, AS  
98W MOVES NORTH-NORTHWEST AND BEGINS TO CONSOLIDATE SOUTHEAST OF THE  
ISLANDS. CURRENTLY, INVEST 98W REMAINS HIGHLY DISORGANIZED WITH  
ALMOST NO SIGN OF A SURFACE CIRCULATION SEEN IN THE ASCAT PASS FROM  
THIS MORNING. HOWEVER, THERE IS A DISTINCT MID-LEVEL CIRCULATION  
SEEN ON VISIBLE SATELLITE CO-LOCATED WITH A MAXIMUM IN 850-700 MB-  
LEVEL VORTICITY, CENTERED NEAR 10.7N 151.1E. THE MAIN WEATHER  
CONCERN REMAINS IN THE POSSIBILITY FOR HEAVY RAIN OVER THE ISLANDS  
AS 98W MOVES INTO THE AREA, FROM THURSDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH  
LESS CERTAINTY AS TO THE STRENGTH OF 98W. PLEASE SEE THE HYDROLOGY  
AND TROPICAL SYSTEMS SECTIONS FOR MORE DETAILS.  
 
MARINE...  
GENTLE TO MODERATE EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS LOOK TO PERSIST THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY. WINDS THEN LOOK TO STRENGTHEN THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF  
THE WEEK AS TROPICAL DISTURBANCE INVEST 98W APPROACHES THE REGION.  
COMBINED SEAS OF 4 TO 6 FEET, COMPRISED MAINLY OF A PRIMARY EASTERLY  
SWELL AND SECONDARY WESTERLY SWELL, ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE THROUGH  
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK AS 98W DEVELOPS NEAR THE REGION, LEADING  
TO HAZARDOUS SEA CONDITIONS. UNCERTAINTY REMAINS HIGH AT THIS TIME  
REGARDING WINDS AND SEA STATE DEVELOPMENT TOWARD THE WEEKEND, AS  
CONDITIONS MAY CHANGE SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE COMING DAYS.  
 
HYDROLOGY...  
A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE, JOINT TYPHOON WARNING CENTER'S INVEST 98W,  
IS CENTERED SOUTHEAST OF GUAM NEAR 10.7N 151.1E. THIS SYSTEM REMAINS  
HIGHLY DISORGANIZED, BUT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE TOWARD THE MARIANAS OVER  
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT CONSOLIDATES. 98W IS EXPECTED TO BRING  
HEAVY RAINFALL TO THE MARIANAS THURSDAY EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY WITH  
AN EXPECTED PEAK ON FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY. MODELS DIFFER ON  
LOCATION AND STRENGTH OF 98W AS IT MOVES NEAR THE MARIANAS, HOWEVER,  
THERE IS STRONG AGREEMENT THAT HEAVY RAINFALL IS LIKELY AS EARLY AS  
THURSDAY, CONTINUING THROUGH THE WEEKEND.  
 
THERE WAS STRONG CONSIDERATION TO ISSUE A FLASH FLOOD WATCH THIS  
FORECAST CYCLE, CONSIDERING THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING WITHIN  
THE NEXT 48 HOURS, BUT THE TIMING AND PROBABILITY REMAINS UNCERTAIN.  
LATEST ENSEMBLE MODEL GUIDANCE SHOWS BETTER AGREEMENT FOR HEAVY RAIN  
POTENTIAL FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY, AND GIVEN THE CURRENT POOR  
ORGANIZATION OF 98W AND WIDE RANGE OF POSSIBLE MODEL OUTCOMES, THERE  
IS SUFFICIENT UNCERTAINTY IN THE 48-HOUR FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL TO  
MAINTAIN THE HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK THIS FORECAST CYCLE. THERE IS LITTLE  
UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHETHER HEAVY RAIN WILL OCCUR OVER THE MARIANAS,  
WITH MORE UNCERTAINTY AS TO WHERE AND WHEN.  
 
THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR GUAM AND THE CNMI TO SEE RAINFALL AMOUNTS  
OF 5 TO 10 INCHES BY SUNDAY, THOUGH LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS ARE  
POSSIBLE. MODEL ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE INDICATES A 10 PERCENT PROBABILITY  
SOME LOCATIONS COULD SEE ACCUMULATIONS AS HIGH AS 10 TO 15 INCHES BY  
12Z SUNDAY. THIS RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE MINOR FLOODING  
ACROSS THE ISLANDS, WITH FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE IN AREAS OF HEAVIER  
RAINFALL, ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN GUAM.  
 
RESIDENTS ON THE MARIANAS NEED TO CLOSELY MONITOR THIS DEVELOPING  
SITUATION AS WATCHES, ADVISORIES AND WARNINGS COULD BE ISSUED LATER.  
 
IF LIVING NEAR STREAMS AND RIVERS, PREPARE TO MOVE ITEMS AWAY FROM  
STREAM AND RIVER BANKS. MAKE SURE STORM DRAINS NEARBY ARE NOT  
CLOGGED, ESPECIALLY IF LIVING IN LOW-LYING AREAS.  
 
TROPICAL SYSTEMS...  
INVEST 98W REMAINS NNW OF CHUUK, CURRENTLY NEAR 10.7N 151.1E. WHILE A  
LARGE CLUSTER OF CLOUDS HAS BEEN PERSISTENT NEAR THIS AREA, DEEP  
CONVECTION HAS BEEN MORE CYCLICAL THE PAST 24 HRS. JTWC HAS RAISED  
ITS DEVELOPMENT POTENTIAL TO MEDIUM, MEANING DEVELOPMENT INTO A TC  
IS LIKELY, BUT BEYOND 24 HRS. SCATTEROMETRY DATA TODAY FAILED TO  
DEPICT A COHERENT, WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION, BUT CIMSS  
VORTICITY FIELDS REVEALED A VORTICITY MAXIMA AT 850MB, 700MB, AND  
500MB JUST SOUTH OF THE LOW-LEVEL POSITION. ADDITIONALLY, UPPER-LEVEL  
HIMAWARI DERIVED MOTION WINDS SHOW A POCKET OF WEAKER WINDS ALOFT  
THAT WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF IMPROVED ORGANIZATION OF 98W IN THE  
COMING DAY OR TWO. MODEL GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO SHOW A QUICK  
CONSOLIDATION OF 98W WED-THU AS IT HEADS TOWARD THE MARIANAS. THE  
UPCOMING OVERNIGHT AND NOON PASSES OF SCATTEROMETRY IN THE NEXT 24 HR  
WILL BE CRUCIAL IN DISCERNING ORGANIZATIONAL CHANGE IN SUPPORT OF  
CURRENT MODELED IMPROVEMENT. FOR LATER WEEK, ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE STILL  
SUPPORTS A DEVELOPING CIRCULATION TO APPROACH AND PASS OVER OR ALONG  
THE MARIANAS ISLAND CHAIN ON A NNW-NNE HEADING AS EARLY AS THURSDAY.  
WHILE A VERY WET PERIOD IS MORE CERTAIN, LESS CERTAIN IS THE OVERALL  
WIND THREAT TO THE ISLANDS. ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE LENDS STRONG SUPPORT  
TOWARD A TROPICAL DEPRESSION (SUSTAINED WINDS UP TO 38 MPH). HOWEVER,  
THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR TROPICAL STORM WINDS (AT LEAST 39 MPH),  
ABOUT 10-20 PERCENT FOR GUAM AND THE LOWER CNMI AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER  
FOR THE FAR NORTHERN ISLANDS. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON 98W, SEE  
BULLETINS ISSUED BY THE JTWC UNDER WMO HEADER ABPW10 PGTW.  
 
INVEST 97W IS LOCATED NEAR 17N133E, WELL WEST OF THE MARIANAS AND  
HAS BEEN UPGRADED TO A TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION ALERT (TCFA). THIS  
MEANS THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL  
CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 12-24 HOURS. 97W IS HEADING IN A NORTH-  
NORTHWEST DIRECTION. THIS SYSTEM POSES NO DIRECT THREAT TO PALAU,  
YAP, AND THE MARIANAS, BUT WILL GENERATE A WESTERLY SWELL THROUGH THE  
REGION. FOR MORE INFORMATION ON 97W, SEE BULLETINS ISSUED BY THE  
JTWC UNDER WMO HEADER ABPW10 PGTW.  
 
EASTERN MICRONESIA...  
SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS SHOW ISOLATED SHOWERS ACROSS KOSRAE WITH  
SCATTERED SHOWERS ACROSS POHNPEI AND THE RMI. BUOY AND ALTIMETRY  
DATA SHOW COMBINED SEAS BETWEEN 5 AND 7 FEET ACROSS EASTERN  
MICRONESIA.  
 
THE ACTIVE ITCZ AND TRADE-WIND CONVERGENCE PATTERN HAS SHIFTED NORTH  
OF POHNPEI, KOSRAE, AND MAJURO, LEADING TO A DECREASE IN SHOWER  
ACTIVITY. GUIDANCE CONTINUES TO TREND SHOWER COVERAGE DOWNWARD  
TOMORROW WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS EXPECTED ACROSS POHNPEI, KOSRAE, AND  
MAJURO. THIS TEMPORARY DECREASE IN SHOWERS LOOKS TO CONTINUE THROUGH  
THURSDAY FOR KOSRAE AND MAJURO AND FRIDAY FOR POHNPEI. TOWARDS THE  
END OF THE WEEK, THE ITCZ WILL FRAGMENT AND ALLOW FOR TRADE-WIND  
CONVERGENCE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR THE  
RETURN OF SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS BY THIS  
WEEKEND.  
 
LITTLE TO NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE MARINE FORECAST. BENIGN SEAS  
OF 5 TO 7 FEET LOOK TO DECREASE TO 4 TO 6 FEET FOR MAJURO AND 3 TO 5  
FEET FOR KOSRAE AND POHNPEI. WE MAY SEE ANOTHER INCREASE IN SEAS  
ACROSS THE RMI LATE THIS WEEKEND AS TRADE-WINDS BEGIN TO INCREASE.  
 
WESTERN MICRONESIA...  
THERE ARE TWO INVEST AREAS IN THE REGION, 97W AND 98W (MORE ON THESE  
IN THE TROPICAL SYSTEMS SECTION). THESE TWO SYSTEMS ARE THE MAJOR  
FEATURES PROVIDING WEATHER ACROSS THE AREA. BOTH ARE GENERALLY  
MOVING AWAY FROM WESTERN MICRONESIA. OVER THE NEXT 24 HOURS, THE  
REMAINING SHOWERS OVER PALAU AND YAP ARE EXPECTED TO DIMINISH,  
LEADING TO A DRIER PATTERN FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.  
THIS DRIER PATTERN IS DUE TO 97W MOVING FURTHER AWAY, AND A  
STABILIZING HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF YAP  
STATE AND PALAU.  
 
NEAR CHUUK, 98W IS ALSO MOVING NORTHWEST, AWAY FROM WENO. THE  
SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL ALSO BEGIN TO DIMINISH OVER  
CHUUK WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS OR SO. DURING THIS TIME, WINDS ARE  
EXPECTED BE LIGHT TO MODERATE DROPPING TO LIGHT TO GENTLE. FOR  
TONIGHT, THOUGH, SOME SHORT-LIVED GUSTS COULD APPROACH 20 KT. BY  
FRIDAY, PLEASANT WEATHER IS ANTICIPATED TO RETURN.  
 
ALTIMETRY SHOWS COMBINED SEAS OVER THE REGION OF 3 TO 4 FEET. SEAS  
EXPECTED FOR WEDNESDAY AT CHUUK WILL BE 3 TO 5 FEET. WINDS OVER  
PALAU AND YAP ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT TO MODERATE, FALLING TO  
LIGHT TO GENTLE BY THE WEEKEND. OVERALL SEAS ARE EXPECTED BECOME  
MORE PLEASANT AS THE FORECAST PERIOD PROGRESSES.  
 

 
   
GUM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
GU...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR GUZ001.  
 
MP...FLOOD WATCH THROUGH FRIDAY AFTERNOON FOR MPZ001>003.  
 
MARIANAS WATERS...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
MARIANAS/TROPICAL/HYDROLOGY UPDATE: MONTVILA  
EAST/WEST MICRONESIA/TROPICAL UPDATE: CRUZ  
MARIANAS: DECOU  
TROPICAL SYSTEMS: AYDLETT/BOWSHER  
EAST MICRONESIA: WILLIAMS  
WEST MICRONESIA: BOWSHER  
 
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