538
WWPQ82 PGUM 120738
SPSPQ2
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU
538 PM CHST MON JAN 12 2026
PMZ161-171-130900-
KOROR PALAU-YAP-
538 PM CHST MON JAN 12 2026
...HEAVY RAINFALL, GUSTY WINDS AND CHOPPY SEAS WILL CONTINUE AS A
DEVELOPING DISTURBANCE PASSES NEARBY THROUGH TUESDAY...
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AS A DEVELOPING TROPICAL DISTURBANCE, JTWC INVEST
91W, WITHIN THE NEAR-EQUATORIAL TROUGH (NET), CURRENTLY SOUTH OF YAP
PROPER AND NGULU IN YAP STATE, GRADUALLY BECOMES BETTER ORGANIZED AS
IT MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 91W IS CURRENTLY
CENTERED NEAR 4N138E. THIS IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN AS A BROAD,
ELONGATED CIRCULATION FOR THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS, WITH CONVERGENCE
NORTH OF THE DISTURBANCE REMAINING OVER YAP AND PALAU THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY NIGHT. NUMEROUS TO WIDESPREAD, LOCALLY HEAVY SHOWERS
AND ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO
DEVELOP EAST OF PALAU AND EAST-SOUTHEAST OF YAP AND MOVE INTO BOTH
LOCATIONS. WITH THIS, NORTHEAST WINDS OF 15 TO 25 KT AND GUSTS TO 35
KT REMAIN POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY WITH HEAVIER SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THEN BECOME EAST TO SOUTHEAST AROUND MIDWEEK AS THE
CIRCULATION PASSES NEAR KOROR. ELEVATED, CHOPPY SEAS ALSO REMAIN
POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. AS 91W MOVES WEST-NORTHWEST OF
PALAU IN THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK, TRAILING SHOWERS WITHIN THE
SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW MAY CONTINUE TO IMPACT PALAU, AND TO A
LESSER EXTENT, YAP, THROUGH LATE WEEK. FURTHER UPDATES WILL BE
PROVIDED AS WE MONITOR TRENDS IN SATELLITE OBSERVATIONS AND MODEL
GUIDANCE. IF RAINFALL REMAINS HEAVY, MUDSLIDES MAY BECOME A CONCERN.
RESIDENTS AND MARINERS SHOULD MONITOR THE LATEST FORECASTS FOR THE
REGION AT WEATHER.GOV/GUM/PUBLICFORECASTS AND ANY INFORMATION SHARED
BY WSO PALAU AND WSO YAP FOR THEIR LOCAL REGIONS.
KLEESCHULTE
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