469  
FNUS75 KMSO 050849  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHINGLE CREEK FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
249 AM MDT SUN JUL 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0743 MDT ON JULY 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS  
TODAY. WINDS WILL BE NORTHEASTERLY THROUGH THE DAY, STRENGTHENING  
AFTER NOON. APPROACHING MONSOON MOISTURE ON MONDAY WILL INCREASE  
CLOUD COVER AND BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS BY AFTERNOON. ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE WET.  
THUNDERSTORMS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON. A WARMING  
AND DRYING TREND WILL OCCUR LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND,  
BRINGING POTENTIALLY THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES OF THE SEASON SO  
FAR.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........21-26 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH. GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5000 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5-10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
VARIABLE 2-5 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
* MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
MONDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
AFTERNOON AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...15 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....15 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 6  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
TUESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF A THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LOWS 59-64. HIGHS 80-85. DIURNAL TERRAIN WINDS TO 10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-65. HIGHS 77-82. DIURNAL TERRAIN WINDS TO  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
 
CLEAR. LOWS 56-61. HIGHS 75-80. NORTHWEST WINDS 5-12 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
 
CLEAR. LOWS 57-62. HIGHS 81-86.    
SATURDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 59-64. HIGHS 81-86.  
 
 
FORECASTER...JENNK  
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD GRIFFIN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2616511.6/MSO  
.DELDT 07/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PAUL.BROUWER@USDA.GOV,GRAYDON.GALLOWAY@USDA.GOV,RICHARD.GRIFFIN@USDA.GOV  
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