071  
FNUS75 KMSO 031249  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHINGLE CREEK FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
649 AM MDT FRI JUL 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0743 MDT ON JULY 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
GENERAL UPSLOPE WINDS TODAY WITH MILD AND DRY  
CONDITIONS EXPECTED. BECOMING MUCH WARMER AND DRIER ON SATURDAY.  
WINDS MAY STAY NORTHEAST BUT COULD SWITCH TO THE SOUTHWEST AT  
TIMES SATURDAY AFTERNOON. NORTHERLY WINDS RETURN BY EVENING.  
STRONG THERMAL BELT SUNDAY NIGHT AS A THERMAL TROUGH WILL BE  
SITUATED OVER THE REGION.  
 
MONSOON MOISTURE WILL BRING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS  
ON MONDAY. THESE COULD BRING HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS. SHOWER  
ACTIVITY MAY CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY DEPENDING ON TIMING OF THE  
WAVE. GENERALLY WARM AND DRY THEREAFTER. NO MAJOR WETTING RAIN  
EVENTS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH NEXT WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-77.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........26-30 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST 6-7 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN  
THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
* MIXING WINDS........NORTH 15 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
INDEPENDENCE DAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-86.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........18-22 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 8-10  
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. BECOMING NORTH  
7 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH IN THE EVENING.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
   
SUNDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. STRONG THERMAL BELT. LOWS 60-65. HIGHS 76-81. WINDS  
NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH GUSTS TO 18 MPH.   
MONDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS OR  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS 60-65. HIGHS 80-85. EAST WINDS 4 TO 7 MPH  
BECOMING NORTH 5-15 MPH.   
TUESDAY
 
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 60-65. HIGHS 80-85. DIURNAL TERRAIN WINDS TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-65. HIGHS 77-82.    
THURSDAY
 
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-62. HIGHS 75-80.  
 

 
FORECASTER...LEACH  
REQUESTED BY...RICHARD GRIFFIN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2616511.4/MSO  
.DELDT 07/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL RICHARD.GRIFFIN@USDA.GOV,PAUL.BROUWER@USDA.GOV,GRAYDON.GALLOWAY@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MT Page
The Nexlab ID Page Main Text Page