304  
FNUS75 KMSO 070402  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK BEAR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
1002 PM MDT THU AUG 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 MDT ON AUGUST 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON FRIDAY TO 9 PM MDT  
SATURDAY...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
UPDATED FROM PREVIOUS SPOT WEATHER FORECAST TO  
INCLUDE THE RED FLAG WARNING.  
 
INCREASINGLY HOT, EXTREMELY DRY, AND WEST WINDS  
INCREASING IN THE AFTERNOONS THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. PERIODS  
OF SMOKE WILL CONTINUE TO IMPACT VISIBILITY IN THE REGION AT 5 TO  
8 MILES. WESTERLY WINDS GUSTING TOWARD 30-35 MPH FRIDAY AND  
SATURDAY AFTERNOONS AND INTO THE EVENINGS. VERY POOR RECOVERIES  
EXPECTED WITH WARM AND VERY DRY CONDITIONS INTO THE OVERNIGHT.  
MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITIES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE SINGLE DIGITS AND  
LOW-TEENS.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY, SMOKE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE/SOUTH 2-4 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 10  
MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 6-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR 500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 20 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR, SMOKE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 6-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
30 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE/SOUTH 1-5 MPH WITH GUSTS  
UP TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY, SMOKE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........6-11 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE/SOUTH 2-5 MPH IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING WEST 8-15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10000 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  

 
FORECASTER...JENNK  
REQUESTED BY...ZACH LEE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2618935.3/MSO  
.DELDT 08/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID.HOOD@USDA.GOV,ZACHARY.LEE@USDA.GOV,CLINT.MENDENHALL@USDA.GOV,2026.NORTHFORKLOSTHORSE.PLANS@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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