607  
FNUS75 KMSO 030141  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELDER FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
741 PM MDT SUN AUG 2 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON AUGUST 03.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
MAIN WEATHER IMPACT ON MONDAY IS FORECAST DECREASED  
VISIBILITY AND DEGRADATION OF AIR QUALITY DUE TO REGIONAL WILDFIRE  
SMOKE. A RELATIVELY COOL MORNING WILL BE FOLLOWED BY A WARM  
AFTERNOON WITH SIMILAR HIGH TEMPERATURES TO SUNDAY. WINDS WILL  
REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTHWEST BECOMING INCREASINGLY NORTHERLY BY  
LATE MONDAY NIGHT WITH A LIGHT EASTERLY GRADIENT POSSIBLE BY  
TUESDAY MORNING. VISIBILITY DUE TO SMOKE MAY DROP AS LOW AS 2-5  
MILES MONDAY MORNING WITH SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT INTO THE AFTERNOON  
AND EVEN FURTHER IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY  
MORNING. GRADUAL WARMING TREND INTO TUESDAY AND THE REST OF THE  
WEEK.  
 
   
MONDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY, INCREASED SMOKE FROM REGIONAL  
FIRES.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE/WEST 2-5 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 10  
MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHWEST 4-8 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO  
18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR 500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST-NORTHWEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR, SMOKE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 2-5 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING VARIABLE/EAST 1-5 MPH BY MORNING.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.  
* MIXING WINDS........VARIABLE/NORTHEAST 5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY, SMOKE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
 
 
FORECASTER...PARKER  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW BIDWELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2618254.11/MSO  
.DELDT 08/02/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GARY.MCLENDON@NCAGR.GOV,2026.ELDER.PLANS@FIRENET.GOV,ROBIN_JERMYN@FIRENET.GOV,2026.ELDER.SITUATION@FIRENET.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab MT Page
The Nexlab ID Page
Main Text Page