615
FNUS75 KMSO 120931
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOOSE FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
331 AM MDT WED AUG 12 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MINOR CHANGES TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. NORTH-
NORTHWEST WINDS NOW EXPECTED THIS EVENING, SHIFTING TO NORTHEAST
BETWEEN 900PM AND MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS OF 12-18 MPH, BEFORE GUSTS
DECREASE NEAR 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
NORTHWEST WINDS ON TRACK THIS AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH.
UNSTABLE CONDITIONS EXPECTED. 30% CHANCE FOR HIGH-BASED SHOWERS
AND 20% CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS DURING LATE-AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING, WITH GUSTY ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS AND LIGHTNING. WETTING
RAINS PROBABILITY INCREASED FROM 40% TO 50% THURSDAY, WITH MOST
LIKELY PRECIPITATION BETWEEN 0.03-0.15 INCHES.
TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
* MIN HUMIDITY........22-27 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....15 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
* MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 5-10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
THURSDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...50 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....40 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
* MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........EAST 5-10 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.03-0.15 INCHES.
FORECASTER...LUKINBEAL
REQUESTED BY...JACK RINCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619412.1/MSO
.DELDT 08/12/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JULIA.GOAR@MT.GOV,RON_BRUNELL@FIRENET.GOV,2026_MTBDF_MOOSE@FIRENET.GOV,JACK_RINCK@FIRENET.GOV
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