497  
FNUS75 KMSO 161328  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NW MT FAIR AM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
728 AM MDT SUN AUG 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 MDT ON AUGUST 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES THIS MORNING WITH LIGHT  
AND VARIABLE WINDS. CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON, AS  
WILL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THERE WILL BE ABOUT A  
30% CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS STARTING AT ABOUT 1600 MDT AND  
LASTING THROUGH ABOUT 2000 MDT. A DIRECT HIT FROM A  
THUNDERSTORM WILL MEAN GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS OF ABOUT 30-40 MPH,  
SMALL HAIL, HEAVY RAIN, AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THUNDERSTORM  
CHANCES WILL PERSIST ON MONDAY, THOUGH CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL  
ONLY BE ABOUT 10%. PHONE LINES AT NWS MISSOULA HAVE BEEN DOWN. FOR  
IMMEDIATE, WEATHER-RELATED CONCERNS, PLEASE CALL NWS GREAT FALLS  
AT 406-453-9642.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....30 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....25 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.08 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........34 43 49 62 41 50 55 77 61 60  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 20 20 30 30 20  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30  
TEMP............55 59 65 70 73 76 78 79 79 80  
RH..............89 77 68 61 55 51 47 44 43 43  
SURFACE WND DIR.NW N N SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.1 0 0 1 2 3 3 5 5 5  
SURFACE WND GST.5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....UP TO 10 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........55 37 42 13 18 19 13 25 35 42 50 50  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............78 78 75 69 65 62 60 58 57 56 54 52  
RH..............43 45 49 58 66 74 79 82 82 83 85 89  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE NE N N N N N N N N  
SURFACE WND SPD.3 2 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
SURFACE WND GST.10 5 5 5 5  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....10 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........56 71 61 69 70 80 79 79 79 67 67 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............52 51 55 59 65 70 73 76 78 80 81 81  
RH..............89 89 86 76 67 60 54 49 44 40 37 36  
SURFACE WND DIR.N N N N N E SE SE SE SE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 5 5 5  
SURFACE WND GST. 5 10 10 10 10 10 10  
 

 
FORECASTER...MESSINA  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL HINGISS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2619534.4/MSO  
.DELDT 08/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SNUNNALLY@FLATHEADCOUNTY.GOV,KHANSBERRY@FLATHEADCOUNTY.GOV,JNELSON@FLATHEADCOUNTY.GOV  
 
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