540
FNUS75 KMSO 302313
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELDER FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
513 PM MDT THU JUL 30 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 MDT ON JULY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SATURDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
THE RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE TO BE THE
DOMINANT FEATURE TODAY CAUSING WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS, VERY
SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO WHAT WAS EXPERIENCED ON THE FIRE YESTERDAY.
A STRONG DRY COLD FRONT IS STILL ON TRACK TO PUSH THROUGH THE
FIRE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON. ELEVATED WINDS AND LIMITED HUMIDITY
RECOVERY IS EXPECTED SATURDAY NIGHT. THE ATMOSPHERE APPEARS TO
BECOME FAIRLY UNSTABLE DURING THE FRONTAL PASSAGE, BUT NO STORMS
ARE EXPECTED. THE FRONT WILL MAINLY BRING MID TO HIGH LEVEL
CLOUDS. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SATURDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-7 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
FRIDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
* MAX HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 5 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 3-6 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5-13 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10500 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
FORECASTER...SMITH
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW BIDWELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2618254.7/MSO
.DELDT 07/30/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL 2026.ELDER.SITUATION@FIRENET.GOV,JOHN.DIGIANDO@USDA.GOV,CLINT.MENDENHALL@USDA.GOV,ROBIN_JERMYN@FIRENET.GOV
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