049  
FNUS75 KMSO 170920  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR POST MALONE STADIUM CONCERT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
320 AM MDT FRI JUL 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 MDT ON JULY 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
THE PRIMARY WEATHER CONCERN TODAY IS THE THREAT FOR  
STRONG TO ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. SUBTROPICAL MOISTURE  
ASSOCIATED WITH THE NORTH AMERICAN MONSOON CONTINUES TO SURGE  
INTO THE REGION, WITH HIGH ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE PROVIDING PLENTY  
OF FUEL FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT. THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE  
SOUTH TO NORTH, WITH THE HIGHEST LIGHTNING RISK BETWEEN 500-900PM  
MDT. THERE IS A 70% CHANCE FOR WIND GUSTS OF 35 MPH OR GREATER  
WITH STORMS THIS EVENING AND A 5% CHANCE FOR GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR  
HIGHER. LOOKING AHEAD TO THIS WEEKEND, SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM  
ACTIVITY WILL DECREASE TO ISOLATED COVERAGE ON SATURDAY. DRIER AIR  
MOVES IN SUNDAY INTO MONDAY, LEADING TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES.  
 
HEAT REMAINS A CONCERN EACH DAY THROUGH JUNE 21ST AS TEMPERATURES  
RUN 5-10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REACH INTO  
THE MID-UPPER 90S EACH AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....60 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....30 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-99.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........EAST 2-5 MPH BECOMING NORTH 3-6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.04 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MDT) NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........19 57  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 40  
CHC OF LTNG (%).10 30  
TEMP............87 94  
RH..............43 32  
SURFACE WIND....SE 1G5 N 2G10  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR OVERNIGHT.  
LIKELY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....40 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....60 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.01 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........86 88 19 5  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 10 0 0  
CHC OF LTNG (%).20 10 0 0  
TEMP............87 79 70 67  
RH..............42 54 78 83  
SURFACE WIND....S 5G10 E 5 E 3G5 E 1G5  
   
SATURDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CHANCE OF PRECIP....20 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....94-99.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING WEST 4-7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS OF 10-15 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........6 8 45 40  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 20  
CHC OF LTNG (%).0 0 0 20  
TEMP............63 68 83 93  
RH..............93 76 49 32  
SURFACE WIND....N 0 SW 1G5 W 1G10 W 5G15  
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
   
SUNDAY  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-62. HIGHS 93-98. WEST-NORTHWEST 5-15 MPH.    
MONDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 57-62. HIGHS 92-97. WEST-NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH.   
TUESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 60-65. HIGHS 92-97. VARIABLE WINDS UP TO  
10 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS  
60-65. HIGHS 93-98.    
THURSDAY  
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS 60-65. HIGHS 93-98.  
 
 
FORECASTER...LUKINBEAL  
REQUESTED BY...TIA MEEGAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2617539.0/MSO  
.DELDT 07/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TIA.MEEGAN@MSO.UMT.EDU  
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