612  
FNUS75 KMSO 052304  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELDER FIRE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
504 PM MDT WED AUG 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON AUGUST 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER IS EXPECTED  
THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY FROM HOT, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS. WEST  
WINDS WILL DEVELOP EACH AFTERNOON, WITH GUSTS TRENDING HIGHER  
THURSDAY (15-20 MPH) INTO FRIDAY AFTERNOON (20-25 MPH). STRONG  
THERMAL BELTS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY NIGHT, LEADING TO POOR  
RECOVERIES HEADING INTO FRIDAY.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........11-16 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST 5-7 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 5-8 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15 MPH  
IN THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 2-5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST 6-10 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9500 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
 
 
FORECASTER...LUKINBEAL  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW BIDWELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2618254.14/MSO  
.DELDT 08/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL 2026.ELDER.SITUATION@FIRENET.GOV,GARY.MCLENDON@NCAGR.GOV,2026.ELDER.PLANS@FIRENET.GOV,ROBIN_JERMYN@FIRENET.GOV  
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