868
FNUS75 KMSO 040054
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR CH-PAA-QN FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
654 PM MDT THU JUL 3 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 MDT ON JULY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THERMAL BELTS WILL DEVELOP TONIGHT UNDER A RIDGE OF
HIGH PRESSURE, WITH RECOVERIES IN THE MID-40S. A TROUGH OF LOW
PRESSURE WILL BRING WAVES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY. THE FIRST ROUND OF RAIN WILL ARRIVE BY LATE MORNING
FRIDAY, WITH AN HOUR OR TWO OF PRECIPITATION. THE ATMOSPHERE WILL
DESTABILIZE IN THE AFTERNOON, WITH THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING IN THE
AREA BY EARLY AFTERNOON. STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN AND OUTFLOW WINDS NEAR 30 MPH THROUGH THE EVENING.
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TOMORROW NIGHT INTO SATURDAY AS THE TROUGH
MOVES INTO NORTHWEST MONTANA AND STALLS. THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING,
CONFIDENCE IS HIGH (>90% PROBABILITY) FOR WETTING RAINS, WITH A
55% CHANCE FOR 0.25 INCHES AND 36% CHANCE FOR 0.50 INCHES OF RAIN.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* LAL.................
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
* MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........WEST 5-6 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING
VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 100 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
INDEPENDENCE DAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...40 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.
* LAL.................
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
* MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 5 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.05-0.20 INCHES.
FRIDAY NIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
OVERNIGHT.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...40 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....20 PERCENT.
* LAL.................
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
* MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 3-5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
VARIABLE 2-4 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 100 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 5 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.05-0.20 INCHES.
FORECASTER...LUKINBEAL
REQUESTED BY...MISSOULA DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2500000.0/MSO
.DELDT 07/03/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MTMDC@FIRENET.GOV, ALEX.LUKINBEAL@NOAA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page