207  
FNUS75 KMSO 050017  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK BEAR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
617 PM MDT TUE AUG 4 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON AUGUST 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
ANTICIPATE STRONG THERMAL BELTS DEVELOPING OVER THE  
NEXT 48 HOURS WITH VERY POOR RH RECOVERIES ON THE MIDSLOPES AND  
RIDGES. WEDNESDAY WILL BRING WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS WITH  
LIGHT WEST-NORTHWEST BREEZES BY MID-AFTERNOON. THURSDAY WILL TREND  
EVEN WARMER AND DRIER, WITH RHS DROPPING INTO THE LOW TEENS AND  
WEST-NORTHWEST GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH BY MID-AFTERNOON.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 3-7 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 10-15  
MPH BY MID-AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........24-29 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 4-7 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST 4-7 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 4-7  
MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
 
 
FORECASTER...LUKINBEAL  
REQUESTED BY...ZACH LEE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2618935.1/MSO  
.DELDT 08/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL 2026.NORTHFORKLOSTHORSE.PLANS@FIRENET.GOV,ZACHARY.LEE@USDA.GOV,CLINT.MENDENHALL@USDA.GOV,DAVID.HOOD@USDA.GOV  
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