715
FXUS65 KBOI 012018
AFDBOI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
218 PM MDT THU OCT 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY WITH TEMPERATURES AVERAGING 10-15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
- MINOR DISTURBANCE ON MONDAY COULD BRING SHOWERS TO HIGHER
TERRAIN ALONG THE NV BORDER AND SOUTH-CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/
DRY WESTERLY FLOW REMAINS IN PLACE ON FRIDAY. THERE WILL BE AN
INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUDS AS MOISTURE OFF THE CA COAST IS PICKED
UP BY THE FLOW ALOFT. AN UPPER RIDGE EXPANDS OVER THE REGION ON
SATURDAY WHICH WILL RESULT IN LIGHTER WINDS AND CONTINUED
WARMING. HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH DAYS TOP OUT BETWEEN 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. HAZY CONDITIONS DUE TO SMOKE WILL BE SEEN
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SE OREGON AND THE WEST-CENTRAL ID MOUNTAINS.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/
THE TREND OF WARMER AND DRIER THAN NORMAL IS SET TO CONTINUE
THROUGH THE PERIOD, WITH TEMPERATURES STAYING 10 TO 15 DEGREES
ABOVE NORMAL. SUNDAY IS FORECAST TO BE THE WARMEST DAY WITH THE
FURTHEST NORTH AMPLIFICATION OF THE UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE OVER THE
AREA AND SOUTHERLY FLOW ALOFT. TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO BE
NEAR RECORD HIGHS FOR THE DAY ACROSS THE REGION. ON MONDAY, A
WEAK UPPER-LEVEL SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA,
SUPPRESSING THE RIDGE FURTHER SOUTH. THIS SYSTEM WILL INCREASE
CLOUD COVER AND SUPPORT A LOW CHANCE (5-10%) OF SHOWERS NEAR THE
NV BORDER AND SOUTH-CENTRAL IDAHO MOUNTAINS. TEMPERATURES WILL
COOL BY A COUPLE OF DEGREES MON/TUE, BEFORE THE UPPER RIDGE
REBOUNDS AND WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL.
AVIATION /18Z THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED 1120 AM MDT THU OCT 1 2026
VFR. AREAS OF THIN SMOKE LAYERS ALOFT/HAZE AT THE SURFACE,
ESPECIALLY NORTH OF KBNO AND NEAR KMYL. PATCHY FOG IN SHELTERED
MOUNTAIN VALLEYS FRIDAY MORNING. SURFACE WINDS: VARIABLE UP TO
12 KT. WINDS ALOFT AT 10KFT MSL: W-SW 10-20 KT.
KBOI...VFR AND MOSTLY CLEAR. SURFACE WINDS: LIGHT AND VARIABLE
THROUGH MORNING, THEN NW 3-8 KT IN THE AFTERNOON. TRANSITIONING TO
SE 3-8 KT LATE TONIGHT.
WEEKEND OUTLOOK...VFR FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY. POTENTIAL FOR THIN
SMOKE LAYERS ALOFT AND HAZE AT THE SURFACE DUE TO PRESCRIBED BURNS
IN THE REGION. SURFACE WINDS: SW-NW 5-15 KT FRIDAY, WITH AFTERNOON
GUSTS AROUND 20 KT NEAR NV BORDER. THEN, VARIABLE UP TO 10 KT
SAT/SUN.
BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ID...NONE.
OR...NONE.
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOISE
INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOISE
WWW.X.COM/NWSBOISE
SHORT TERM...DG
LONG TERM....CH
AVIATION.....CH
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