009
FXUS65 KBOI 201001
AFDBOI
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
401 AM MDT SAT JUN 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED SHOWERS TODAY WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING THIS AFTERNOON.
- DAYTIME TEMPERATURES COOLING TO 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
SUNDAY, THEN HOTTER AND DRIER MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH
TEMPERATURES AROUND 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
A WEAK SYSTEM IS MOVING NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE GREAT BASIN INTO
SOUTHWEST MT THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVING OVER THE
AREA TODAY WITH LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS THIS MORNING. AS THE SYSTEM
MOVES NORTHEAST, PARTIAL CLEARING WILL LEAD TO DESTABILIZATION
THIS AFTERNOON, WITH SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING DURING
THE AFTERNOON. BREEZY WEST-NORTHWEST WINDS THIS AFTERNOON,
STRONGEST IN THE MAGIC VALLEY. DRIER AIR MOVES INTO THE AREA ON
SUNDAY WITH AFTERNOON WEST-NORTHWEST BREEZES. A RIDGE
STRENGTHENS OVER THE AREA ON MONDAY WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH
SUNDAY BEFORE A SLIGHT WARMING TREND MONDAY.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
A RIDGE WILL STRENGTHEN AND REMAIN OVER THE AREA THROUGH AT
LEAST WEDNESDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL BE 10 TO 15 DEGREES ABOVE
NORMAL WITH VALUES 95-100F IN THE LOWEST VALLEYS TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. NEAR RECORD HIGHS POSSIBLE ON WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON,
WITH BOI FORECAST OF 98F TYING THE RECORD OF 98F SET IN 1992.
MODELS INDICATE AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH MOVING INTO THE PACIFIC
NORTHWEST SOMETIME BETWEEN THURSDAY AND SATURDAY. THIS SYSTEM
WILL BRING MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND UNSETTLED CONDITIONS BY
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/
ISSUED 1200 AM MDT SAT JUN 20 2026 GENERALLY VFR.
SCATTERED/NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT THROUGH SAT AFTERNOON. LOCALIZED MVFR IN RAIN, AND
MTNS OBSCURED IN PRECIP. ACTIVITY CAPABLE OF ERRATIC OUTFLOWS TO
25-45 KT, BRIEF HEAVY RAIN, SMALL HAIL, BLOWING DUST. SURFACE
WINDS OUTSIDE OF STORMS: VARIABLE 10 KT OR LESS, THEN W-NW 5- 15
KT WITH GUSTS TO 20-25 KT SAT PM. WINDS ALOFT AT 10KFT: W-NW
5-20 KT.
KBOI...VFR. VIRGA, WITH 10% CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN OVERNIGHT. THEN,
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY BETWEEN SAT/11Z-20Z. SURFACE WINDS: VARIABLE
LESS THAN 10 KT OVERNIGHT, THEN NW 5-10 KT AFTER SAT/12Z. POTENTIAL
FOR ERRATIC OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS TO 25-35 KT FROM SHOWERS, MAINLY
BETWEEN SAT/06Z-09Z.
SUNDAY OUTLOOK...VFR AND CLEARING SKIES SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY,
WITH BREEZY NW-W WINDS THROUGH THE SNAKE PLAIN SUNDAY AFTERNOON.
BOI WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
ID...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS EVENING FOR IDZ423-426.
OR...RED FLAG WARNING UNTIL 5 PM PDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR ORZ670-672.
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/BOISE
INTERACT WITH US VIA SOCIAL MEDIA:
WWW.FACEBOOK.COM/NWSBOISE
WWW.X.COM/NWSBOISE
SHORT TERM...KA
LONG TERM....KA
AVIATION.....SH
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