804
FXUS65 KPIH 080815
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
115 AM MST SUN FEB 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN AND SNOW BEGINS THIS AFTERNOON AND CONTINUES THROUGH
MONDAY NIGHT
- THE FIRST ROUND OF PRECIPITATION MAINLY IMPACTS THE CENTRAL
MOUNTAINS AND EASTERN HIGHLANDS
- COOLER AND OCCASIONAL RAIN AND SNOW LASTS THROUGHOUT THE
UPCOMING WEEK
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 115 AM MST SUN FEB 8 2026
EARLY MORNING SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS WIDESPREAD MID TO HIGH
LEVEL CLOUD COVER OVER EASTERN IDAHO AS PACIFIC MOISTURE
INFILTRATES THE REGION. WHILE MOST AREAS REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE
EARLY AFTERNOON, SUFFICIENT OROGRAPHIC LIFT WILL GENERATE
SNOWFALL ACROSS THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF CENTRAL IDAHO,
SPECIFICALLY ALONG THE SPINE OF THE SAWTOOTHS AND AROUND GALENA
SUMMIT. ELSEWHERE, UNSEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS PERSIST FOR ONE
LAST DAY, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS CONTINUING AROUND 10 TO 15
DEGREES ABOVE SEASONAL NORMS. PRECIPITATION WILL OVERSPREAD THE
REMAINDER OF THE REGION LATER THIS EVENING AND ESPECIALLY
OVERNIGHT, GRADUALLY PUSHING INTO THE MAGIC VALLEY AND SNAKE
PLAIN BEFORE REACHING THE EASTERN HIGHLANDS BY DAYBREAK MONDAY.
WITH SNOW LEVELS PROGGED TO REMAIN ABOVE 6500-7000 FT FOR THE
INITIAL ONSET OF PRECIP TODAY, WINTER HEADLINES ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED, THOUGH SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS IN THE STANLEY
BASIN AND AROUND ISLAND PARK CAN BE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 24-36
HOURS. SNOW LEVELS GRADUALLY DROP AFTER DAYBREAK TOMORROW WHEN
THE BULK OF THE PRECIP WILL BE FOCUSED ACROSS THE EASTERN
HIGHLANDS WHERE SOME LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS ARE POSSIBLE BELOW 6KFT
BUT MOST THE SNOW WILL BE ABOVE THIS ELEVATION. SOUTH TO
SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BEGIN TO PICK UP LATER TODAY AND MORE
SO DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY, MAINLY IN THE MAGIC VALLEY AND
SNAKE PLAIN, AND WILL RUN AROUND 15 TO 20 MPH THROUGHOUT THE
LOWER ELEVATION VALLEYS.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1227 PM MST SAT FEB 7 2026
IT LOOKS LIKE ANOTHER STORM SLIDES THROUGH LATER TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY, WITH THE REST OF THE WEEK SEEING OCCASIONAL
PRECIPITATION AS GENERAL LOW PRESSURE SETTLES IN OVER THE WEST.
THERE IS REALLY NO SKILL IN THIS TYPE OF PATTERN AS SMALLER
EMBEDDED LOWS WILL DETERMINE WHEN AND WHERE WE SEE MORE RAIN AND
SNOW. THE BLEND OF MODELS IS TRENDING TOWARD MOST OF THE
MOISTURE ACROSS THE SOUTH HILLS/ALBION MOUNTAIN, SOUTHEAST AND
EASTERN HIGHLANDS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY IF THERE IS ANY KIND OF
TREND MIDWEEK. KEYES
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1031 PM MST SAT FEB 7 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE ACROSS EAST IDAHO THROUGH THE NEXT
18 TO 24 HOURS. HIGH PRESSURE WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN OVERNIGHT
AS THE NEXT SYSTEM APPROACHES. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS THE NEXT
SYSTEM JUST COMING ON-SHORE OVER WASHINGTON, AND THIS SYSTEM
WILL SPILL ANOTHER ROUND OF MID TO HIGH CLOUDS ACROSS EAST
IDAHO TONIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY. WINDS WILL DROP OFF SLIGHTLY
OVERNIGHT BUT BECOME SOUTHERLY BY MORNING AHEAD OF THE NEXT
SYSTEM. WINDS WILL GRADUALLY START PICKING UP BY TOMORROW
AFTERNOON (GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 KTS) WITH CLOUDS CONTINUING TO
DROP. DON'T EXPECT RAINSHOWERS UNTIL EARLY SUNDAY EVENING FOR
SUN WITH MVFR CIGS LIKELY. SHOWERS AND MVFR CONDITIONS ARE NOT
EXPECTED FOR OTHER TAF SITES UNTIL SUNDAY EVENING AROUND
MIDNIGHT, IF NOT SLIGHTLY LATER.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...MCKAUGHAN
LONG TERM...KEYES
AVIATION...TW
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