804
FXUS65 KPIH 011717
AFDPIH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID
1117 AM MDT SAT NOV 1 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TREND CONTINUES.
- A FEW SHOWERS OR SPRINKLES EXPECTED IN THE MOUNTAINS LATE THIS
EVENING INTO EARLY SUNDAY.
- BETTER CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION RETURNS TOWARD THE MIDDLE TO
END OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/
ISSUED AT 152 AM MDT SAT NOV 1 2025
ANOTHER OVERNIGHT ROUND OF CLOUD COVER IS MOVING THROUGH
EASTERN IDAHO EARLY THIS MORNING. RADAR IS PICKING UP ON A FEW
RETURNS, THOUGH NONE OF IT IS ACTUALLY MAKING IT TO THE GROUND.
THIS ROUND OF CLOUD COVER WILL MOVE OUT LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND
HIGHS TODAY WILL WARM INTO THE MID AND UPPER 50S IN THE UPPER
SNAKE RIVER PLAIN AND LOW TO MID 60S IN THE LOWER SNAKE RIVER
PLAIN AND EASTERN MAGIC VALLEY. WINDS WILL BE MORE NOTICEABLE
TODAY WITH GUSTS RANGING FROM 15 TO 20 MPH FOR MANY, BUT EXPECT
STRONGER GUSTS CLOSER TO 20 TO 25 MPH FARTHER NORTH AROUND
STANLEY, CHALLIS, SPENCER, AND ISLAND PARK AS A COLD FRONT
APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS EVENING. THIS COLD FRONT GETS
HELD UP A BIT IN THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS AND ALONG THE
MONTANA/IDAHO STATE LINE TONIGHT, WHICH IS WHERE WE WILL SEE THE
MOST IMPACTS. GRANTED, IMPACTS WILL STILL BE QUITE LIMITED.
WIND GUSTS IN THESE AREAS OVERNIGHT WILL INCREASE TO 20 TO 30
MPH AND THERE WILL BE ABOUT A 20-30 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HOWEVER, ACTUAL QPF IS QUITE LIMITED WITH ONLY UP TO AN INCH OF
SNOW IN THE MOUNTAINS.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 130 PM MDT FRI OCT 31 2025
VERY SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE MOUNTAINS EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING AND SATURDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHS REMAIN IN THE 50S AND 60S.
WELL ABOVE NORMAL HIGH TEMPERATURES CONTINUE MONDAY REMAINING
IN THE 50S MOUNTAINS TO 60S VALLEYS WITH NO PRECIPITATION
EXPECTED. PATTERN BEGINS TO CHANGE TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS
PACIFIC MOISTURE ON WESTERLY FLOW ALOFT BEGINS TO MOVE INTO
SOUTHERN IDAHO TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND GRIDS HAVE AT LEAST A
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY AS UPPER TROF
MOVES THROUGH IDAHO. SNOW LEVELS NEAR 9 THOUSAND FEET TUESDAY
DROPPING TO 6 TO 7 THOUSAND FEET BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON SO WILL
SEE LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS AT OR ABOVE PASS LEVEL WITH THE MULTI
DAY SYSTEM. A SECOND SYSTEM KEEPS PRECIPITATION GOING FRIDAY.
WILL CONTINUE TO SEE MILD TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE 50S AND 60S WITH COOLING TO CLOSER TO NORMAL CONDITIONS
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHS 30S TO 40S MOUNTAINS AND 40S TO
LOWER 50S VALLEYS. SNOW LEVELS BACK TO 7 TO 8 THOUSAND FEET
FRIDAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1117 AM MDT SAT NOV 1 2025
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MID AND UPPER LEVEL CLOUD COVER IS
SLOWLY SHIFTING OUT OF EAST IDAHO LATE THIS MORNING. BRIEF
CLEARING THIS AFTERNOON WILL GIVE WAY TO ANOTHER ROUND OF CLOUD
COVER TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY. BYI, PIH, AND IDA REMAIN DRY THROUGH
THE FORECAST PERIOD. THE HIGHEST CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION TONIGHT
OCCURS AT SUN BETWEEN 09Z AND 15Z, BUT THE PROBABILITY IS LESS
THAN 15% SO WILL LEAVE FORECAST DRY. SHOWERS SHIFT EAST TO DIJ
AFTER 15Z SUNDAY, BUT THE BEST CHANCES OCCUR AFTER 18Z SO WILL
LEAVE VCSH OUT FOR NOW. WINDS DO INCREASE SLIGHTLY TO AROUND
10KTS SUSTAINED FOR ALL TERMINALS WITH PASSAGE OF THIS FEATURE.
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
NONE.
SHORT TERM...AMM
LONG TERM...GK
AVIATION...DMH
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