850  
FXUS65 KPIH 051947  
AFDPIH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE POCATELLO ID  
147 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS OUR NORTHERN AREAS  
TODAY.  
 
- COOLER TEMPERATURES SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN  
THE 70S AND 80S.  
 
- VERY DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RETURN BY SUNDAY AND  
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH AN OVERALL WARMING TREND AS  
WELL. TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO THE 90S AND EVEN APPROACHING  
100 FOR LOWER ELEVATIONS BY NEXT TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.  
 

 
   
SHORT TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 146 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025  
 
AFTERNOON SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME CU DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE  
EASTERN HIGHLANDS AND UP TOWARDS THE ISLAND PARK AREA. THESE HAVE  
BEEN PRODUCING SOME THUNDERSTORMS BUT GENERALLY AFTER THE ACTIVITY  
LEAVES IDAHO AND PUSHES INTO MONTANA AND WYOMING. THAT BEING SAID,  
CAN'T RULE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS IN THIS AREA OVER THE NEXT  
FEW HOURS WHILE THE REST OF THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN DRY AS  
A PROLONGED PERIOD OF HIGH PRESSURE BEGINS TO SETTLE OVER THE AREA.  
TEMPERATURES TODAY AND TOMORROW WILL CLIMB INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S  
ACROSS THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES EXPECTED FOR THE  
SECOND HALF OF THE WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 146 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025  
 
THE WORK WEEK STARTS OFF MUCH LIKE THE WEEKEND ENDED WITH HIGH  
PRESSURE IN FIRM CONTROL OF WEATHER ACROSS EASTERN IDAHO. AS H5  
HEIGHTS CONTINUE TO RISE FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK, SO DO THE  
TEMPERATURES WITH 90S EXPECTED TO RETURN AS EARLY AS MONDAY FOR SOME  
SPOTS, NAMELY THE LOWER SNAKE AND MAGIC VALLEY. TUESDAY AND  
WEDNESDAY WILL BE VERY HOT WITH MID TO UPPER 90S APPEARING LIKELY  
FOR THE LOWER ELEVATIONS WITH VERY FEW CLOUDS AND NO PRECIPITATION  
CHANCES EXPECTED. LATE WEDNESDAY, AND MORE SO ON THURSDAY, AN UPPER  
TROUGH LOOKS TO MOVE THROUGH THE REGION AND THIS WILL HELP LOWER OUR  
TEMPS A TOUCH, ALTHOUGH STILL ABOVE NORMAL, FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY  
AND MAYBE SPARK A VERY ISOLATED HIGH ELEVATION SHOWER/STORM BUT IT  
DOE S LOOK LIKE THINGS WILL REMAIN DRY. IT WILL HOWEVER INCREASE  
WINDS OVER THE AREA AS THE PRESSURE GRADIENT TIGHTENS THUS  
POTENTIALLY CREATING SOME FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS. THIS WILL BE  
SOMETHING TO MONITOR OVER THE DAYS AHEAD. OTHERWISE, THE PATTERN  
LOOKS PRETTY BLEAK FOR ANY RAIN MAKERS ACROSS THE REGION. SUMMER IS  
IN FULL SWING ACROSS THE GEM STATE.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 1110 AM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025  
 
RESIDUAL MOISTURE AND REMNANT SHORTWAVE TROUGHING WILL KEEP  
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE FORECAST, BUT OUTSIDE  
THE RANGE OF MOST PORTS ACROSS EASTERN IDAHO TODAY. WE'RE  
BEGINNING TO SEE SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS POP UP OVER  
THE YELLOWSTONE PLATEAU AS OF 11AM AND THIS ACTIVITY IS LIKELY  
TO EXTEND ALONG THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE AND SOUTH THROUGH THE  
EASTERN HIGHLANDS THIS AFTERNOON. DIJ COULD SEE A BRIEF, GUSTY  
SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM, SO WILL CONTINUE TO CARRY THE PROB30 FOR  
THIS FEATURE. ELSEWHERE, FAIR WEATHER CU MAY DEVELOP OVER SUN,  
BUT NOT EXPECTING ANY THREAT TO VFR CONDITIONS. BREEZY WINDS  
THROUGH THE SNAKE PLAIN WILL BRING OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO BYI, PIH,  
AND IDA THROUGH THIS EVENING BUT CALMING AFTER SUNSET.  
 
SUNDAY, HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO TAKE OVER THE AREA WITH  
CLEARING SKY CONDITIONS AND SLACKENING WINDS. VFR SHOULD REIGN.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
ISSUED AT 146 PM MDT SAT JUL 5 2025  
 
RESIDUAL MOISTURE FROM THE STORM ACTIVITY OVER THE LAST SEVERAL DAYS  
IS GENERATING ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS  
AFTERNOON/EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD REMAIN LARGELY ACROSS ZONE  
411 AND THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF ZONES 475, 476, 410 AND 413. AS  
WE'VE SEEN WITH THE LAST FEW DAYS, SOME OF THE STRONGER SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS COULD HAVE SOME BRIEF GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS. LATEST  
HREF AND HRRR GUIDANCE FAVORING THE BULK OF THE THUNDERSTORM  
ACTIVITY ALONG THE ID/MT DIVIDE NEAR I-15 THIS AFTERNOON, COINCIDENT  
WITH PEAK WIND GUSTS SWATHS OF 30-40 MPH EAST THROUGH THE TARGHEE  
PASS AREA. OUTSIDE OF ANY THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY, SOME ENHANCED WIND  
GUST OF 20-35 MPH COULD BE FELT THROUGH SNAKE PLAIN - ZONE 410 AND  
THE NORTHERN HALF OF ZONE 425. MIN RH VALUES LIKELY BOTTOM OUT IN  
THE UPPER TEENS THIS EVENING, BUT SHOULD REMAIN ISOLATED ENOUGH TO  
NOT NECESSITATE FIRE WEATHER HEADLINES.  
 
SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY, WE'LL BEGIN TO SEE TEMPERATURES CREEP HIGHER  
EACH DAY AS HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES INTO THE AREA. THE FORECAST IS DRY  
UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKY CONDITIONS. WITH DAILY HIGH TEMPERATURES  
INCREASING DAILY, WE'LL BEGIN TO SEE RH VALUES CRATER TO BELOW  
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS EACH AFTERNOON/EVENING. WINDS, HOWEVER, SHOULD  
REMAIN RATHER LIGHT - BELOW CRITICAL THRESHOLDS OVER THE NEXT THREE  
DAYS. THE NEXT FIRE WEATHER ISSUE COULD ARISE WEDNESDAY AS THE  
PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO TIGHTEN WITH A PACIFIC TROUGH NUDGING  
INLAND PULLING A LITTLE MOISTURE ALONG WITH IT. THIS WILL HELP KNOCK  
TEMPERATURES BACK A FEW DEGREES AND BUMP UP RHS SLIGHTLY.  
TAX  
 

 
   
PIH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...MCKAUGHAN  
LONG TERM...MCKAUGHAN  
AVIATION...TAX  
FIRE WEATHER...TAX  
 
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