444  
FNUS73 KLOT 172138  
FWSLOT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BAILEY DRIVE PILE...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL  
438 PM CDT WED SEP 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (815) 834-0666 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TOMORROW WILL BE SIMILAR TO THE PAST FEW DAYS. THE DAY WILL START  
COOL WITH TEMPERATURES AT IGNITION TIME IN THE MID 60S. WINDS MAY  
BE NEARLY CALM THROUGHOUT THE MORNING BEFORE BECOMING LIGHT AT 5  
MPH OUT OF THE SOUTH. TEMPERATURES WILL QUICKLY WARM TO AROUND  
80 DEGREES BY EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE A LAKE BREEZE SHIFTS INLAND  
DURING THE AFTERNOON. THE LAKE BREEZE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY A  
SHIFT IN WIND DIRECTION FROM THE NORTHEAST AND AN INCREASE IN  
WIND SPEEDS TO 5 TO 10 MPH. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL SLOWLY  
CREEP UPWARD IN THE WAKE OF THE LAKE BREEZE, AS WELL. NO RAIN IS  
EXPECTED TOMORROW.  
 
FRIDAY LOOKS SIMILAR TO TOMORROW.  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.  
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.  
RH..................74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NEARLY CALM THROUGH THE MORNING, BECOMING  
SOUTH AT AROUND 5 MPH BY NOON. THEN, BECOMING  
NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND  
9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1200 FT AGL.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /1300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/5000 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P  
SKY (%).........16 13 9 10 11 13 12 12 11 12  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............65 70 74 77 78 79 79 78 78 77  
RH..............74 65 61 56 54 51 52 53 54 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..140 150 170 190 300 330 000 020 030 040  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 3 5 6 7 7 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 8 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.7 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.180 200 220 280 340 000 010 020 020 020  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 3 3 5 6 7 8 9  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 3 5 2 2 3 3 3 3 4  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63.  
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING NEARLY CALM OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID  
SKY (%).........12 13 15 17 19 20 22 24 25 25 27 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............75 73 71 69 68 68 67 66 66 65 65 64  
RH..............60 66 71 73 75 76 77 78 78 79 80 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..050 050 050 060 060 060 070 070 080 090 100 100  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.030 030 030 030 040 040 040 050 050 060 060 070  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 3  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.  
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NEARLY CALM THROUGH THE MORNING, BECOMING  
EAST AT AROUND 5 MPH BY NOON. THEN, BECOMING  
NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THH AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10  
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P  
SKY (%).........24 23 23 23 23 25 26 28 30 32 34 36  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............63 64 67 71 75 78 79 80 81 81 80 79  
RH..............82 80 75 69 63 58 55 53 52 52 54 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..100 100 100 110 110 100 070 060 050 040 030 030  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8 9 10 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.080 080 080 080 090 080 060 050 040 030 020 020  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 9 10 12  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 4 5 7 7 10 10 10 10 9 9  
 

 
FORECASTER...BORCHARDT  
REQUESTED BY...MICHEAL BASCHEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2522108.0/LOT  
.DELDT 09/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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