802  
FNUS73 KLOT 231811  
FWSLOT  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHARLES NELSON...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL  
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL  
111 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (815) 834-0666 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
STIFF NORTH/NORTHWEST WINDS OFF THE LAKE DURING THE MORNING WILL  
BEGIN TO EASE BACK TOWARD MIDDAY, BUT WILL AVERAGE AROUND 10 MPH  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS WILL KEEP GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL DESPITE  
MIXING HEIGHTS ONLY AROUND 2600 FEET. ON THURSDAY, WINDS WILL  
BEGIN TO SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AS HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS BY.  
HOWEVER, A BIT OF A LAKE BREEZE WILL KICK IN AROUND MIDDAY, AND  
WINDS WILL SHIFT MORE TOWARD THE EAST. NO RAIN IS EXPECTED  
WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY.  
 
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.  
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 42.  
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 18 MPH AT IGNITION...  
DECREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 17 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION..  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /52100 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........73 72 64 57 49 46 43 40 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............40 40 41 42 42 42 42 42 41  
RH..............70 70 65 62 60 57 57 57 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000  
20 FT WIND SPD..18 18 18 17 17 16 15 14 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 26 26 25 24 23 21 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000 000  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 21 20 18 17 17 16 15 14  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..52 47 45 44 41 38 33 31 25  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 36.  
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING,  
THEN BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6  
TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3  
AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (20300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........17 5 12 18 25 35 44 54 55 56 57 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............41 41 40 39 38 38 37 37 37 37 37 36  
RH..............62 63 66 69 71 73 74 76 77 78 78 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..010 010 010 020 020 020 030 030 040 070 080 090  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 7 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.5 0.9 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.000 010 020 020 020 030 040 050 060 090 100 110  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 9 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..20 14 7 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 2 3  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.  
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (20200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........37 27 20 13 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 14  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............37 38 41 44 48 50 52 53 54 55 55 55  
RH..............76 72 66 60 55 52 51 50 48 47 47 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..110 120 130 140 140 140 130 120 120 110 100 100  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.4 2.1 1.7 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.120 130 130 140 140 130 130 130 130 120 110 110  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 8 12 17 18 19 20 17 15 13 11  
 

 
FORECASTER...GEELHART (WFO ILX)  
REQUESTED BY...KEVIN CHAJKA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2412017.0/LOT  
.DELDT 04/23/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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