767
FNUS73 KLSX 101659
FWSLSX
SPOT FORECAST FOR NEW HAVEN FIRE...WASHINGTON EM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO
1159 AM CDT THU OCT 10 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 CDT ON OCTOBER 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT AND EITHER
SOUTH-SOUTHEASTERLY OR VARIABLE. MIXING HEIGHTS THIS AFTERNOON WILL
BE AROUND 4000 FT AGL, BEFORE FALLING QUICKLY TO AROUND 500 FT AGL
AROUND SUNSET (7 PM). ON FRIDAY MORNING, WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT
TO THE SOUTHWEST AND INCREASE TO BETWEEN 4 AND 8 MPH BY MIDDAY.
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL ALSO RISE AGAIN AFTER SUNRISE, REACHING AROUND
4000 FT AGL DURING THE AFTERNOON. NO PRECIP IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS ALONG WITH CLEAR SKIES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT FORECAST START...MAX 81.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 1 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT FORECAST START...MAX
6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE MAX
4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 3 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /1010 M/S-M/ AT FORECAST START. MAX...POOR
/2000 M/S-M/.
TIME (CDT) NOON 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM
SKY (%).........5 4 3 2 2 1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............71 78 81 75 65 58
RH..............46 37 34 42 59 75
20 FT WIND......SE 1 SE 2 SE 2 E 2 SE 2 SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 5 5 5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 0 SE 1 SE 1 E 1 SE 1 SE 1
EYE LVL WND GST.2 2 2 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 3.7 4.1 0.7 0.5 0.5
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3 SE 2 SE 3 E 5 E 6 SE 7
HAINES INDEX....5 5 6 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 7 13 3 3 4
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO
8 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (380 M/S-M).
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON, USING A 0.4 ADJUSTMENT FACTOR.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR MODERATE TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (420 M/S-M) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO MARGINAL MAX (5640 M/S-M) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...PFAHLER
REQUESTED BY...EMA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2424003.0/LSX
.DELDT 10/10/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
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