694  
FNUS73 KLSX 212235  
FWSLSX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PLANK HOLLOW RXB...MISSOURI DEPT OF CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO  
435 PM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CST ON JANUARY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SOUTHWESTERLY SURFACE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO VEER OUT OF THE NORTHWEST  
THIS EVENING BY 9 P.M. TEMPERATURES START OUT IN THE LOW TO MID-40S,  
COOLING TO THE 20S BY MIDNIGHT. INVERSION HEIGHTS WILL REMAIN VERY LOW  
(500-1000 FEET OR LOWER) THIS EVENING AND STRENGTHENS WITH THE LOSS OF  
SURFACE HEATING. THIS WILL COUPLE WITH POOR VENTILATION RATES, RESULTING  
IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSION THAT REMAINS SLIGHTLY OFF THE SURFACE AND  
CONTINUES TO LOWER THROUGH LATE EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY INCREASES  
FROM AROUND 40 PERCENT NEAR SUNSET TO 60-70% THROUGH MIDNIGHT. MINIMUM  
RH VALUES DROP TO AROUND 30 PERCENT THURSDAY WITH MIXING HEIGHT PEAKING  
AROUND 3,000 FEET, BUT VENTILATION RATES REMAIN FAIR TO POOR WITH LIMITED  
TIME FOR OPTIMAL BURNING FROM LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.  
RH..................36 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS 2-3 MPH. 0.4 FACTOR USED.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /600 M/S-M/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR /600  
M/S-M/.  
 
TIME (CST) 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM  
SKY (%).........2 2 2 2 5 10 6 13 18 20 26 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............43 39 38 36 35 35 33 32 30 28 27 25  
RH..............36 40 42 45 47 49 53 56 58 58 57 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW W W W W NW NW NW N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 5 5 5 5 6 6 5 4 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 11 13 13 14 14 17 17 15 12 11 10  
EYE LVL WND DIR.W SW W W W W NW NW NW N N N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 2 2 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.6 5 6 6 6 6 8 8 7 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW NW N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 13 14 14 16 17 15 12 10 9 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 3 4 4 6 7 8 7 7 5 4 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 24.  
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS INCREASING, BECOMING NORTHWESTERLY  
AT 2-4 MPH, OCCASIONALLY GUSTING AROUND 15 MPH.  
0.4 FACTOR USED.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING WEST  
AROUND 5 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5  
TO 6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN  
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND  
7 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (380 M/S-M).  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 42.  
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (200 M/S-M).  
 
 
FORECASTER...MAPLES  
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW PETER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2600831.0/LSX  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
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