879
FNUS73 KLSX 101500
FWSLSX
SPOT FORECAST FOR STROTE CREEK...MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO
1000 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2020
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED
TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA ON SATURDAY WITH MUCH BETTER
SOAKING RAIN CHANCES IN STORE FOR SUNDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT FORECAST START...MAX 58.
RH..................37 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING
WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS NORTH AT 1 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT
FACTOR OF 0.2.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH AT FORECAST START...MAX 6.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE MAX
5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4050 M/S-M/ AT FORECAST START.
MAX...MARGINAL /5580 M/S-M/.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS NORTH AT 1 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT
FACTOR OF 0.2.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (5440 M/S-M) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR MIN (360 M/S-M) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS NORTH AT 1 TO 2 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT
FACTOR OF 0.2.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 24 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (770 M/S-M) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD MAX (10320 M/S-M) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...BSH
REQUESTED BY...ROMAN WATSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2005720.0/LSX
.DELDT 04/10/20
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26
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