879  
FNUS73 KLSX 101500  
FWSLSX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STROTE CREEK...MARK TWAIN NATIONAL FOREST  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO  
1000 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY WEATHER AND BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED  
TODAY WITH TEMPERATURES NEAR NORMAL FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.  
RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE AREA ON SATURDAY WITH MUCH BETTER  
SOAKING RAIN CHANCES IN STORE FOR SUNDAY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT FORECAST START...MAX 58.  
RH..................37 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING  
WEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS NORTH AT 1 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT  
FACTOR OF 0.2.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT FORECAST START...MAX 6.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE MAX  
5100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4050 M/S-M/ AT FORECAST START.  
MAX...MARGINAL /5580 M/S-M/.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.  
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS NORTH AT 1 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT  
FACTOR OF 0.2.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR LOW TO HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL (5440 M/S-M) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR MIN (360 M/S-M) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
LAL.................NO TSTMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 63.  
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDS NORTH AT 1 TO 2 MPH USING AN ADJUSTMENT  
FACTOR OF 0.2.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 24 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (770 M/S-M) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD MAX (10320 M/S-M) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...BSH  
REQUESTED BY...ROMAN WATSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2005720.0/LSX  
.DELDT 04/10/20  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
 
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