359  
FNUS73 KLSX 262002  
FWSLSX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRUSH FIRE / 1ST ALARM 26-8300456...FRANKLIN COUNTY EMA  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO  
302 PM CDT THU MAR 26 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 CDT ON MARCH 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MODERATE TO LOW HUMIDITY AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PERSIST  
THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON, WITH DEEP MIXING AND VERY WARM  
TEMPERATURES. WHILE WIND SPEEDS WILL WEAKEN BRIEFLY NEAR SUNSET, A  
VERY SHARP COLD FRONT WILL BRING AN ABRUPT WIND SHIFT TO THE  
NORTH-NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT, AND EVEN STRONGER WIND SPEEDS, LIKELY  
BETWEEN 11 PM AND 1 AM. HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE BEHIND THIS FRONT,  
BUT THE RAPIDLY CHANGING WIND SPEED AND DIRECTION MAY CAUSE ISSUES  
WITH ANY FIRE THAT IS STILL ONGOING. HOWEVER, SHOWERS AND WETTING  
RAIN ARE VERY LIKELY BEHIND THIS FRONT, AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS  
WITH BURSTS OF HEAVY RAIN AND HAIL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE LATE  
TONIGHT AND VERY EARLY TOMORROW MORNING.  
 
RAIN WILL LARGELY END BY SUNRISE, AND A MUCH COOLER AND DRY DAY  
CAN BE EXPECTED THE REST OF THE AFTERNOON. EXPECT TEMPERATURES TO  
BE 30-40 DEGREES COOLER TOMORROW, BUT HUMIDITY WILL ONCE AGAIN BE  
RELATIVELY LOW.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................1 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........90 AT FORECAST START...MAX 92.  
RH..................34 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 32 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 15 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 26 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE MAX  
4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 31 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT /18450 M/S-M/ AT FORECAST START.  
MAX...EXCELLENT /19390 M/S-M/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM  
SKY (%).........7 29 76 35 47 72  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............0 0 70 70 70 70  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 40 40  
TEMP............90 91 87 82 77 65  
RH..............34 32 36 44 50 70  
20 FT WIND......SW 11 SW 14 SW 9 SW 7 W 9 N 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 19 16 20 20  
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 5 SW 6 SW 4 SW 3 W 4 N 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.12 12 9 7 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.2 0.8 0.7 0.7 1.7  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 30 SW 30 SW 18 SW 16 W 15 N 21  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..117 109 12 10 10 30  
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD VYGD POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................72 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...40 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.  
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 10 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 15 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 30 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MIN 700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 21  
TO 26 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (7780 M/S-M) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR MIN (1510 M/S-M) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 

 
FORECASTER...19  
REQUESTED BY...ABE COOK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2608048.0/LSX  
.DELDT 03/26/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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