287
FNUS73 KPAH 141205
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR PISTOL BARREL RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
705 AM CDT SAT MAR 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SOUTH WINDS INCREASE TODAY, BECOMING SOUTHEAST WITH GUSTS UP TO
20 MPH BY THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHTS INCREASE TO 4000-5000FT
LEADING TO FAIR TO GOOD DISPERSION. ON SUNDAY WINDS WILL BECOME
VERY STRONG WITH GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH POSSIBLE. A COLD FRONT WILL
BRING RAIN AND STORMS, WITH SOME STORMS BECOMING SEVERE IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS EAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 14 TO
20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /6000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/70500 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............40 41 43 49 54 59 63 68 70 71 72
RH..............67 65 62 56 52 49 46 42 41 41 39
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 15 17 17 18 18 20 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.2 3.7 4.1 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 17 16 14 14 14 16 17 20 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 7 19 24 25 28 33 45 55 71 67
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 54.
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
20 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT,
THEN BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 30 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 68 66 62 61 60 57 56 56 55 56 56
RH..............42 47 48 60 60 62 72 74 77 80 80 80
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20 17 18 20 21 21 22 23 24 26 28 30
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 1.6 1.4 1.3 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 14 15 15 16 18 18 18 18 20 22 22
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 19 19 17 15 19 19 21 20 21 26 28
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 89 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 37
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 30 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND
30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (29900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (94400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV..... SCH DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 90 90 90 90 90
TEMP............55 55 55 56 59 61 63 65 66 67 66 64
RH..............86 90 86 86 83 78 75 73 68 65 68 67
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 9 9 9 8 8 8 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.32 35 35 37 37 35 32 30 29 29 29 30
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.6 2.0 2.6 3.0 3.3 3.3 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 26 30 32 33 33 31 28 26 28 29 30
VRATE KT-FT/1K..30 37 53 74 87 94 88 77 72 69 70 75
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
FORECASTER...DIEGAN
REQUESTED BY...KRYSTEN BAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605767.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KRYSTEN_BAUER@NPS.GOV,ANDREASSEN53@YAHOO.COM,ERIK_ANDREASSEN@NPS.GOV,RICHARD_HANDLEY@BLM.GOV
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