815
FNUS73 KPAH 231946
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR 2 MULES WILDFIRE...FS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
246 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1500 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLOUDS WILL GENERALLY BE ON THE UPTICK OVER THE WILDFIRE AREA AS A
FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTH. THIS WILL ULTIMATELY BRING RAIN
CHANCES IN THROUGH TONIGHT. WINDS WILL BE GUSTY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AHEAD
OF THE FRONT BEFORE SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AND DIMINISHING OVERNIGHT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT FORECAST START...MAX 77.
RH..................39 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD /109000 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.
MAX...VERY GOOD /116000 KNOT-FT/.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH AT FORECAST START...MAX 4.
TIME (CDT) 3 PM 5 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0
TEMP............75 76
RH..............39 40
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21
HAINES INDEX....4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..109 95
VENTRATE CAT....VYGD GOOD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 42 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 57 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE EVENING DECREASING TO 44 PERCENT LATE IN
THE EVENING DECREASING TO 28 PERCENT DECREASING
TO 12 PERCENT OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 0
PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN
THE EVENING BECOMING 6 TO 7 MPH OVERNIGHT.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (74900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........ S CHC
CWR.............0 60 40 10 0 0
TEMP............75 69 64 61 57 54
RH..............43 59 75 84 93 96
20 FT WIND DIR..SW NW N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 10 9 8 10
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..75 5 4 5 3 4
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (40300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............52 53 63 71 74 75
RH..............93 83 52 35 29 28
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 12 12 10 8
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 9 29 38 40 32
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...SUEANNE CMEHIL-WARN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412037.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MOMOC.DISPATCH@USDA.GOV
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