649  
FNUS73 KPAH 101312  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CASTOR RIVER HWY 34 BURN...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
812 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL DROP INTO THE 20 TO 25  
PERCENT RANGE ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA TODAY, BUT ISOLATED LOCATIONS  
THE OZARK FOOTHILLS REGION MAY SEE RH VALUES FALL TO NEAR 15 PERCENT.  
WINDS WILL BE LIGHTER, BUT WE STILL ANTICIPATE NORTHERLY WINDS  
GUSTING CLOSE TO 20 MPH THIS MORNING BEFORE GRADUALLY DECREASING  
BY THE AFTERNOON HOURS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 57.  
RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6100 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 45 48 51 53 55 56 57 57  
RH..............39 33 31 27 24 21 22 27 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NW NW NW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 3 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 12 9 9 8 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 3.5 4.2 4.8 5.1 5.8 6.1 5.7 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.  
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR MCR MCR PC MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............56 54 51 48 46 45 44 44 43 42 40 39  
RH..............27 34 39 47 53 55 60 60 62 62 67 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S SW SW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 3  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...SNYDER  
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN GREFFE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2005710.0/PAH  
.DELDT 04/10/20  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL NATHAN.GREFFE@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
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