801
FNUS73 KPAH 101127
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR STONEFACE MILKWEED RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
627 AM CDT TUE MAR 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MARCH 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
CLOUDS WILL LINGER ACROSS THE BURN SITE THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY
WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY OVER THEN NEXT TWO DAYS. WINDS WILL BE
OUT OF THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS REACHING 20 TO 25 MPH. A
COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE VERY LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING,
WHICH WILL RESULT IN A WIND SHIFT TO THE WEST, THEN NORTHWEST
EARLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A CHANCE OF
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING, WITH DAMAGING WIND GUSTS, HAIL AND A COUPLE TORNADOES
POSSIBLE. RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE 0.50 TO 0.75
INCH RANGE THROUGH WEDNESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................92 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10
MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /8900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/61500 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 65 67 69 71 73 75 76 76 77 76
RH..............92 93 90 87 84 79 74 74 74 71 71
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 18 20 21 21 21 22 23 24 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.0 3.2 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 17 20 21 22 22 23 23 22 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 11 20 30 39 47 53 62 61 61 47
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 45 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (51400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (31500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CDY MC MC CDY CDY MC CDY MC MC CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40 40 40 40 50
TEMP............75 74 72 72 72 72 71 71 70 70 70 69
RH..............74 74 79 79 79 79 79 79 81 81 78 81
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 23 24 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.6 2.1 1.7 1.4 1.4 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 23 24 25 26 24 26 28 25 26 26
VRATE KT-FT/1K..43 49 41 36 32 33 32 42 49 50 51 49
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................68 PERCENT INCREASING TO 98 PERCENT EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 81 PERCENT
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 72.
RH..................MIN 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 37
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 24 TO 30 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (33000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (114000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............70 70 60 70 60 60 60 100 90 90 80 80
TEMP............69 69 68 67 70 71 71 70 68 64 61 58
RH..............78 78 81 87 78 76 73 76 73 75 75 75
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 13 13 14 12 13 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.25 26 28 29 30 31 31 31 29 28 25 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.7 2.3 3.0 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.1 2.6 2.3 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 22 25 30 36 35 36 37 35 30 26 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..42 33 50 77 114 107 109 109 92 70 54 51
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR FR GD VGD VGD VGD VGD GD GD FR FR
FORECASTER...COOLEY
REQUESTED BY...SHANE CAMPBELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605267.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHANE.CAMPBELL@USDA.GOV
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