181
FNUS73 KPAH 211446
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR RED SHALE G...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
946 AM CDT SAT MAR 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TODAY WILL SEE RH VALUES DROP TO AROUND 30-35% THIS AFTERNOON.
HOWEVER, MIXING WILL BE MORE LIMITED WITH LIGHTER TRANSPORT WINDS.
THIS WILL RESULT IN SMOKE DISPERSION CONDITIONS ONLY BEING POOR
OR FAIR THIS AFTERNOON. RH VALUES WILL CREEP UP A BIT ON SUNDAY,
BUT MIXING AND WINDS WILL BE A BIT MORE ROBUST, SO SMOKE
DISPERSION SHOULD BE GOOD.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 85.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 10
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/31000 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............69 73 77 81 83 85 85 84
RH..............59 51 45 39 36 32 31 32
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 8 9 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.4 1.9 2.5 3.2 3.8 3.9 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 5 5 7 7 9 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 5 8 10 19 23 31 30
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62.
RH..................MAX 84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 18
MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............83 78 74 72 69 69 68 67 67 66 63 63
RH..............34 42 50 53 59 61 61 63 65 68 75 78
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 13 15 16 18 18 20 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 12 14 15 17 17 18 18 18 17 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 4 3 4 5 6 6 8 7 7 6 7
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 29
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (65200 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............63 62 63 67 71 77 81 83 85 85 85 83
RH..............78 84 78 70 64 52 46 43 40 40 40 41
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 10 12 12 13 14 13 13 12 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 22 23 25 26 26 26 26 26 26 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 20 23 25 24 25 28 29 28 26 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 8 11 18 27 32 40 53 60 65 65 45
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD FR
FORECASTER...WITTEN
REQUESTED BY...DAVID JONES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606989.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID_JONES@FWS.GOV
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