614  
FNUS73 KPAH 221755 CCA  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GIBBONS CREEK...CORRECTED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
1155 AM CST SAT FEB 22 2020  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON FEBRUARY 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP DRY CONDITIONS IN PLACE TODAY. EXPECT GOOD  
PARTICULATE DISPERSION THIS AFTERNOON WITH 10 TO 15 KNOT TRANSPORT  
WINDS WITHIN A 2000-3000 FT MIXING LAYER. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
IS STILL FORECAST BETWEEN 25 AND 30 PERCENT AROUND MID AFTERNOON.  
A SOAKING RAIN WILL SPREAD WEST TO EAST ACROSS THE REGION SUNDAY  
AND CONTINUE THROUGH MONDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.  
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 46 49 52 51 49 45  
RH..............40 35 31 29 30 34 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 9 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 13 13 14 14 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.2 2.4 2.4 2.2 1.5 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 14 14 13 10  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.  
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 39 37 36 35 35 34 35 35 34 34 34  
RH..............46 52 59 61 66 66 72 72 72 78 78 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 2  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 25 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 50.  
RH..................MIN 56 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 30 30 30  
TEMP............34 38 43 48 50 49  
RH..............82 76 67 60 58 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 9 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 13 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 200 800 1500 1900 1500  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 12 16 17  
HAINES INDEX....2 3 4 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...PRESLEY  
REQUESTED BY...SHAWNEE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2002730.0/PAH  
.DELDT 02/22/20  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL WHITNEY.JITER@USDA.GOV  
 
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