772  
FNUS73 KPAH 040101  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LIBO PILE BURN...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
701 PM CST TUE FEB 3 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CST ON FEBRUARY 04.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH  
DECENT AFTERNOON MIXING DESPITE THE COOLER TEMPERATURES. WHILE NO  
PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST, RHS ONLY DROP TO NEAR 60% DURING THE  
AFTERNOON HOURS.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........23 AT IGNITION...MAX 30.  
RH..................81 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2400 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 14 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /16000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/35100 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............23 23 24 25 27 28 29 29 29 29 27  
RH..............81 81 81 78 71 68 66 64 63 61 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.5 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.3 2.0 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 15 14 14 15 16 17 17 17 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 21 21 22 24 27 31 34 35 30 22  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 11.  
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 16 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 6 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............24 23 20 18 17 16 15 14 13 13 12 11  
RH..............70 74 84 88 88 88 92 92 91 87 87 91  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 9 9 8 7 6 5 5 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 15 14 13 10 9 8 7 6 5 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 15 16 16 13 10 7 5 4 3 2 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 30.  
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............11 13 15 17 20 23 25 27 29 29 29 28  
RH..............87 84 84 80 74 71 68 65 60 63 66 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 5 7 8 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.0 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.2 1.6 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW W W W W W W SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 6 7 9 10 12 14 14 13 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 2 4 7 11 17 22 26 28 26 18 10  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...LESAGE  
REQUESTED BY...ERIC ANDERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601629.0/PAH  
.DELDT 02/03/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ERIC_ANDERSON@NPS.GOV  
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