060
FNUS73 KPAH 151555
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR ESSMAN RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1055 AM CDT SUN MAR 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT MONDAY
DISCUSSION
WINDS WILL BE STRONG AND GUSTY TODAY AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT IS
FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN CHANCES WILL
INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED WITH THE FRONTAL PASSAGE. STRONG
TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE STORMS MAY ALSO ACCOMPANY THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 35 PERCENT EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 45 PERCENT EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 68 PERCENT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 89 PERCENT
DECREASING TO 75 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
43 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 30 TO 38 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 26
TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /88300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/96800 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC CDY MC MC MC CDY CDY
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC LKY DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 40 50 70 90 80
TEMP............62 62 64 65 65 66 67 65
RH..............80 80 75 75 75 74 73 72
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 12 12 12 12 12 13
20 FT WIND GUST.37 43 41 40 39 39 38 38
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.6 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.38 36 35 30 28 26 28 26
VRATE KT-FT/1K..88 97 96 76 66 61 64 70
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN
SHOWERS LIKELY EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
CWR.................65 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 23.
RH..................MAX 76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 40 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 35 TO 44 MPH DECREASING TO 32 TO 33
MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (149600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO FAIR (57500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC
CWR.............70 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 55 48 44 40 38 35 33 32 31 29 28
RH..............76 72 75 72 67 67 66 66 66 65 66 67
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14 15 16 16 15 15 15 14 14 14 14 13
20 FT WIND GUST.39 40 40 40 40 39 38 36 35 33 38 38
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.9 2.2 3.7 3.7 3.9 3.6 4.1 4.2 4.1 4.2 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.36 35 37 43 44 40 36 35 33 32 32 33
VRATE KT-FT/1K..87 61 86 144 150 142 118 126 128 119 124 124
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 38.
RH..................MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 37 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 32 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (96300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (154300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............26 25 24 25 27 30 33 34 36 37 36 37
RH..............68 68 68 67 57 52 45 42 39 35 34 32
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..13 12 12 12 12 12 10 10 10 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.37 37 37 37 37 36 36 33 33 32 31 31
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 3.9 3.7 3.7 4.1 4.4 4.9 5.4 5.9 6.3 6.3 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.32 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 29 28 25 23
VRATE KT-FT/1K..118 106 100 100 110 118 132 145 154 154 141 113
VENTRATE CAT....VGD VGD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD EXL EXL VGD VGD
FORECASTER...DIEGAN
REQUESTED BY...FRANCIS MOLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605690.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL FRANCIS.MOLL@USDA.GOV
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