748
FNUS73 KPAH 101400
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR HERRIN FLATS A...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
900 AM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 20 MPH THIS MORNING BEFORE
DECREASING. THEY WILL BECOME NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND A FRONTAL
PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN NORTHEASTERLY TONIGHT. WITH DEEPER
MIXING AND STRONG TRANSPORT WINDS, DISPERSION WILL BE GOOD BY
MIDDAY INTO THE AFTERNOON. RH'S ARE FORECAST TO FALL INTO THE 40
TO 45% RANGE. CHANCES FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM SHOULD HOLD OFF UNTIL AFTER 3 PM. CHANCES
FOR WETTING RAINS ARE STILL LESS THAN 50% LATE THIS AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 47 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5000 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12
TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /38800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/87200 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 10 20 30 40 50
TEMP............70 73 76 77 77 78 76 75
RH..............49 47 44 44 45 45 48 51
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 7 7 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.23 21 21 18 17 15 14 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.7 3.7 5.0 4.9 3.9 3.4 2.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 23 21 18 16 13 12 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..39 59 73 87 79 47 38 19
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR GD GD GD FR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................47 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 6 TO
10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............50 30 40 30 20 20 20 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 71 68 67 65 63 62 61 61 60 58 58
RH..............55 66 72 75 78 84 86 84 87 89 90 89
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N NE NE NE NE NE E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 6 7 6 6 8 8 10 10 10 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 8 8 8 8
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 21 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 79.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 7
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............57 56 58 60 64 67 71 74 76 78 78 78
RH..............90 93 88 86 77 71 62 57 54 51 51 51
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.0 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 9 9 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 9 10 9 10 10 12 14 17 19 20 14
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...POULOS
REQUESTED BY...BEN SCHMALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2609958.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID_JONES@FWS.GOV,BENJAMIN_SCHMALL@FWS.GOV
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