564
FNUS73 KPAH 131336
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR FRALICK HOLLOW...KENTUCKY DIVISION OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
836 AM CDT MON APR 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SUNSHINE WILL BE INCREASING AS CLOUDS START TO BREAK, HELPING SOUTH
WINDS WARM TEMPERATURES. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL ALREADY HAVE REACHED
THE CRITICAL 1700 FT AGL THRESHOLD BY THE PLANNED BURN IGNITION TIME
AND ARE FORECAST TO CONTINUE RISING TO AROUND 4000 FT AGL BY MID AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........72 AT FORECAST START...MAX 81.
RH..................64 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AROUND MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IF THEY OCCUR
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /47700 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.
MAX...GOOD /96400 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC PC MC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............72 73 74 76 79 79 80 80 81
RH..............64 63 62 60 56 56 54 54 53
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 9 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.29 26 25 24 25 26 26 25 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..48 72 83 74 89 96 94 95 89
VENTRATE CAT....FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 68.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
26 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (64000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (9100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............79 78 76 73 72 72 71 71 71 70 70 69
RH..............56 58 60 66 68 68 71 71 71 71 71 73
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 20 22 26 24 21 26 25 25 25 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..64 11 10 9 10 12 12 11 11 11 11 10
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 85.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (107300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO GOOD (80300 KNOT-FT)
EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
(132400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............69 68 70 73 76 79 81 83 84 85 85 84
RH..............73 78 73 68 64 58 54 51 48 46 45 44
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.25 18 20 21 22 22 22 22 22 22 22 21
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 14 29 53 80 97 107 113 126 132 122 80
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD GD
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...STEPHEN HAMMOND
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2610170.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL STEPHEND.HAMMOND@KY.GOV,WESLEY.DEMENT@KY.GOV,MATTHEW.STRONG@KY.GOV,ANDREW.LEONARD@KY.GOV
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