892
FNUS73 KPAH 201539
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR APPLE CREEK CA WOODLAND UNIT 4...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
939 AM CST TUE JAN 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON JANUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING WILL INCREASE TO 6-10MPH OUT OF THE SOUTH
AROUND MIDDAY. DESPITE THE SOUTHERLY FLOW, MOISTURE ADVECTION WILL
BE DELAYED, WITH VERY DRY CONDITIONS TODAY AS RHS BOTTOM OUT NEAR
25-30%. THE BOUNDARY LAYER MIXES OUT BY LATE MORNING WITH
DISPERSAL MAXING OUT NEAR THE FAIR CONDITION LEVEL.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........21 AT IGNITION...MAX 35.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2500 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /13700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
/44000 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............21 25 27 31 33 35 35 33
RH..............48 40 38 32 30 28 30 35
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 9 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 14 16 16 17 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 17 20 20 21 21 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 24 34 41 42 44 41 7
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27.
RH..................MAX 85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR PC PC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 32 30 29 30 28 30 30 31 32 32 33
RH..............40 43 49 51 49 55 51 55 56 61 66 69
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 10 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 18 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 17 17 18 20 21 23 21 21 22 23
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 7 7 8 6 7 9 10 9 10 10 13
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.
RH..................MIN 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 12
TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (41300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC MCR
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............33 33 34 36 38 40 43 45 46 46 45 43
RH..............78 82 85 85 82 82 76 70 68 65 65 70
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 12 12 11 11 10 9 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 21 20 20 20 19 18 17 15 13 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.7 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.5 2.8 2.1 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 24 23 23 21 21 20 21 20 16 14 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 14 18 23 31 36 40 39 41 39 26 12
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...LESAGE
REQUESTED BY...ANTHONY B KING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600629.0/PAH
.DELDT 01/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANTHONY.KING@MDC.MO.GOV
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