971
FNUS73 KPAH 312133
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR TURPEN RX...FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
433 PM CDT MON MAR 31 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE ABOUT 700 FEET SHY OF THE CRITICAL 1700 FT
AGL THRESHOLD AT THE RESUBMITTED IGNITION TIME OF 8 AM...WHICH WILL
RESULT IN POOR INITIAL SMOKE DISPERSAL. AS THE TEMPERATURE RISES, SO TOO
WILL MIXING HEIGHTS...SO A RECOVERY ABOVE THE CRITICAL 1700 FT AGL
THRESHOLD WILL OCCUR BY MID MORNING. TUESDAY WILL BE THE LAST DRY
WEATHER DAY, PRECEDING AN HISTORIC STORM SYSTEM FORECAST TO PRODUCE
WETTING RAINS DAILY BEGINNING WEDNESDAY.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........39 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................85 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS EAST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /10200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
/48400 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR PC MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 45 49 54 56 59 62 64 65 65
RH..............85 68 58 50 49 44 43 40 40 41
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 13 14 14 15 16 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.2 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 15 15 14 13 14 14 15 17 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 24 28 29 30 35 38 42 48 47
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...KYLE OSBORNE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2508536.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/01/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHANE.CAMPBELL@USDA.GOV,KOSBORNE@BLM.GOV
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