265  
FNUS73 KPAH 170819  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GLENDALE CAMPGROUND...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
219 AM CST WED DEC 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CST ON DECEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SMOKE DISPERSION REMAINS POOR TODAY DUE TO LOW MIXING HEIGHTS AND  
LIGHT WINDS. SOME IMPROVEMENT IS EXPECTED ON THURSDAY AHEAD OF A  
COLD FRONT THAT WILL BRING NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS. WETTING RAINS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MOST OF THE  
REGION WITH WIND GUSTS BETWEEN 30 TO 40 MPH. DEEPER MIXING BECOMES  
MORE PROBABLE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEHIND THE COLD FRONT  
WITH DRY CONDITIONS TO END THE WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.  
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING,  
THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /3800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/15500 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 42 47 51 53 55 56 55 55 52  
RH..............67 67 58 54 54 53 51 55 57 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 5 5 5 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 10 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.9 1.9 1.7 0.6 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 9 7 8 9 10 8 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 6 11 10 8 13 16 15 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.  
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 28 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 50 49 49 49 49 50 50 50 51 51 51  
RH..............68 68 74 77 80 86 83 83 83 77 77 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 15 17 18 20 22 23 25 26 28 28  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 14 14 16 16 17 16 16 17 17 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 11 10 12  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CWR.................68 PERCENT INCREASING TO 88 PERCENT IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO  
45 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.  
RH..................MIN 76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8  
TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 36  
MPH DECREASING TO 23 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 29  
TO 31 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 16 TO 25  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (54800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY MC CDY MC CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............70 70 70 90 90 90 90 90 90 50 50 50  
TEMP............51 52 52 54 55 56 56 56 55 54 51 47  
RH..............89 89 93 90 90 90 93 93 90 86 86 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 14 14 15 16 16 16 16 15 13 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 30 32 36 35 36 36 33 30 30 23 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.0 1.7 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 21 22 24 29 31 31 29 25 22 20 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 18 25 32 47 55 55 53 47 38 27 18  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...WITTEN  
REQUESTED BY...WHITNEY JITER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2527832.0/PAH  
.DELDT 12/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WHITNEY.JITER@USDA.GOV  
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