576
FNUS73 KPAH 222107
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR STEGALL MOUNTAIN...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
407 PM CDT SUN MAR 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MARCH 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL RETURN BEHIND A COLD FRONT ON MONDAY.
MOST LOCATIONS WILL SEE MINIMUM RH VALUES OF 22-32% MONDAY AND
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. MIXING AND NE TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE
SUPPORTIVE OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION TO START OFF THE WEEK WHILE
TUESDAY WINDS ALOFT TURN LIGHTER FAVORING POOR CONDITIONS. THE
NEXT CHANCE OF WETTING RAINS DOES NOT ARRIVE UNTIL THURSDAY NIGHT
INTO FRIDAY WHEN ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE REGION.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3600 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /24400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/27800 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............47 49 53 57 61 63 65 67 66
RH..............50 49 42 36 32 30 29 27 28
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 13 13 13 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.7 2.1 2.5 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.6 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 16 14 12 9 8 7 7 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..24 28 28 26 23 23 23 22 20
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 45.
RH..................MAX 73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1900 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 63 60 57 54 53 51 50 49 48 47 46
RH..............31 32 36 40 45 46 52 54 56 60 63 68
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 8 7 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 8 4 3 3 3 4 5 4 4 3 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.
RH..................MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (75800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC MC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 45 49 54 58 63 69 74 76 78 80 79
RH..............68 73 68 64 60 54 49 44 42 39 36 38
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.5 1.9 2.5 3.1 4.4 5.5 5.8 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 9 12 13 13 13 14 15 15 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 4 8 15 20 27 35 53 70 76 61
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD
FORECASTER...WITTEN
REQUESTED BY...KEELEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2607099.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MIKE.KEELEY@MDC.MO.GOV
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