195
FNUS73 KPAH 051255
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR PENNYRILE STATE FOREST...KY DIVISION OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
755 AM CDT SUN APR 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL PROVIDE ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND DRY CONDITIONS
FOR THE PLANNED BURN TIME. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE WELL ABOVE
THE MINIMAL THRESHOLD BY IGNITION, AND MAINTAIN THAT THRU THE
AFTERNOON. RH WILL BE DROPPING INTO THE 30S PERCENTILE IN THE
AFTERNOON HOURS BUT WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AROUND 5 MPH AT 20 FEET
WHILE INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH AT THE TRANSPORT LEVEL, UNIFORM
NORTHWEST AT ALL LEVELS OVER THE COURSE OF THE DAY.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 36 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT
IGNITION...MAINTAINING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6000 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /33900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/77700 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............59 62 64 66 67 67 66
RH..............47 43 40 37 36 36 37
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 13 14 14 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.4 4.4 5.2 5.8 6.0 5.5 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 15 15 15 14 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 51 68 78 77 66 42
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR GD GD GD GD FR
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3
AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 62 59 56 53 51 50 49 48 46 45 44
RH..............40 43 47 53 57 59 58 58 58 63 62 62
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 7 7 7 7 8 9 10 10 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 3 0 2 5 4 3 3 3 3 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 43 45 47 49 51 54 56 57 58 59 58
RH..............65 62 58 53 50 46 40 37 35 33 32 33
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 14 14 14 14 14 13 13 12 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.2 2.0 2.7 3.2 3.6 3.8 4.2 4.3 4.0 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 16 16 15 14 12 10 9 9 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 8 17 27 35 38 37 35 35 35 32 23
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...CHANCE COATES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2609007.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/05/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHANCE.COATES@KY.GOV,STEPHEND.HAMMOND@KY.GOV,SAMANTHA.ROSE@KY.GOV,SCOTT.SHEPHERD@KY.GOV
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