316  
FNUS73 KPAH 261438  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TURNER SOUTH RX...USFS MO-MTF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
838 AM CST FRI FEB 26 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON FEBRUARY 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER AND LIGHT RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE  
TODAY, WITH HIGHEST RAIN CHANCES FROM THE MO BOOTHEEL  
THROUGH WESTERN KY. MUCH OF THE DAYLIGHT HOURS COULD BE  
RAINFREE ON SATURDAY, BEFORE HEAVIER RAINS MOVE IN SATURDAY  
NIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........40 AT IGNITION...MAX 49.  
RH..................79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS EAST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND  
5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1500 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 2.  
 
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 41 42 45 47 48 49 49 49  
RH..............79 82 82 76 74 71 71 71 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 3 3 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 10 8 8 8 9 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.2 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE SE SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 10 10 9 9 8 8  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING. PATCHY FOG AFTER 3  
AM.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 38.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 2 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 1 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 48 47 46 44 43 43 42 42 41 40 38  
RH..............74 77 79 83 89 93 89 93 93 92 96 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S W W W W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 3 5 5 5 3 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW W W NW N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 1  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.  
RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 7 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 17 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....AREAS CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE RAIN RAIN RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 41 47 55 59 58  
RH..............100 96 89 69 62 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 6 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 500 1500 2800 3400 2300  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.0 0 3 10 16 15  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 3 4 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...TREVINO  
REQUESTED BY...MARK HOWELL, RXB3T  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2103164.0/PAH  
.DELDT 02/26/21  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL TIMOTHY.PERRIN@USDA.GOV.,MARK.HOWELL@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab KY Page
The Nexlab IL Page
The Nexlab IN Page
The Nexlab MO Page Main Text Page