219  
FNUS73 KPAH 191012  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BACON CREEK RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
512 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MARCH 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AREAS OF HIGH CLOUDS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY  
SKIES. RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 35-40% THIS AFTERNOON. MIXING  
HEIGHTS WILL RISE TO AROUND 5500FT THIS AFTERNOON, WITH THE 1700FT  
HEIGHT BEING REACHED BETWEEN 11 AM AND 12 PM.  
 
WINDS AT 20FT WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE S TO SW, BUT WILL LIKELY BECOME  
VARIABLE AT TIMES. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE FROM LIGHT FROM THE SW  
AROUND 5-10 MPH. OVERALL CONDITIONS FOR SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE POOR  
DUE TO LIGHT 20FT AND TRANSPORT WINDS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.  
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /5600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/38700 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............55 59 63 67 69 70 71 70  
RH..............59 53 48 43 39 39 38 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 10 10 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.1 2.0 2.6 4.4 5.3 5.5 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 8 9 8 8 8 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 7 14 21 31 37 39 24  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.  
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 66 62 60 58 57 56 55 55 54 54 54  
RH..............40 48 56 60 64 69 72 74 74 77 80 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 8 8 8 9 10 10 13 13 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.  
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 18  
TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (89300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 55 64 71 76 78  
RH..............83 83 67 57 50 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 13 14 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.4 2.8 4.2 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 17 23 23 23 21  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 29 57 83 82  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD  
 

 
FORECASTER...SNYDER  
REQUESTED BY...DOUG PHELPS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606470.0/PAH  
.DELDT 03/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DOUGLAS.PHELPS@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab KY Page
The Nexlab IL Page
The Nexlab IN Page
The Nexlab MO Page Main Text Page