424
FXUS63 KPAH 221836
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1236 PM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A WARMING TREND COMMENCES THIS WEEKEND AND LASTS INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK, FOLLOWED BY A CHANCE OF RAIN COMING BY MID WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
AN UPPER LEVEL WAVE THAT IS DRY BUT PRODUCING A BLANKET MID DECK
OF CLOUDINESS WILL SOON DEPART TO THE EAST, EVENTUALLY DRAGGING
ITS CLOUDS WITH IT. THAT'LL CLEAR SKIES FOR OUR OVERNIGHT AS
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES ACROSS THE TN VALLEY. RETURN FLOW
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE OUR WARMING TREND TMRW,
BUMPING US INTO MORE SEASONAL 40S FOR HIGHS.
HEIGHT REBOUNDS OCCUR WITH MORE EARNEST STARTING MONDAY, AFTER
ANOTHER SYNOPTIC WAVE MAKES PASSAGE ALONG THE GULF COAST. THIS
RESULTS IN 50S RETURNING FOR HIGHS MONDAY, WHILE SOME 60 DEGREE
READINGS ENTER THE PICTURE FOR THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. THAT'S
WHEN ANOTHER FRONT APPROACHES AND INTRODUCES OUR NEXT CHANCE OF
RAIN. THIS SYSTEM TRACKS ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES, WHILE THE COLD
FRONT TRAILS ACROSS THE OHIO RIVER VALLEY, COMPLETING ITS
PASSAGE HERE WEDNESDAY EVENING. IT IS MARGINAL BUT STILL LOOKS A
LITTLE TOO STABLE, WITH THE PARENT WAVE A LITTLE TOO FAR AWAY,
TO SUPPORT THUNDER IN OUR FORECAST HERE, AT LEAST AT THIS
WRITING.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CST SAT FEB 22 2025
VISUAL FLIGHT RULES BASES RUN BKN-OVC CIGS AT 6-8K FT AGL, AT
LEAST UNTIL A MID LEVEL WAVE COMPLETES ITS PASSAGE THIS
AFTERNOON. IT'LL DRAG THESE CLOUDS ON OUT OF THE FLIGHT
TERMINALS BY AND THRU THE OVERNIGHT. RETURN FLOW SOUTH TO
SOUTHWEST WINDS DEVELOP IN ITS WAKE TMRW AS SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGES ACROSS THE TN VALLEY.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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