276
FXUS63 KPAH 220739
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
239 AM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HAPPY ASTRONOMICAL FALL! COOLER, MORE SEASONABLE TEMPS ARE
EXPECTED TODAY WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO LOWER 80S. DRY
CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO THE WEEKEND.
- TEMPS WILL POTENTIALLY WARM UP AGAIN INTO THE MID-UPPER 80S TO
START NEXT WORK WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 238 AM CDT TUE SEP 22 2026
LOW PRESSURE ALOFT SLIDES THROUGH THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT AND
THEN PASSES EAST TOMORROW. SFC HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO BUILD WITH
COOL NE WINDS TODAY. HIGHS WILL BE MUCH COOLER AND MORE FALL LIKE
TODAY IN THE MID 70S TO LOW 80S. PLENTY OF CLOUD COVER WILL HANG
AROUND (ESPECIALLY UP NORTH) UNTIL THE LOW SHIFTS EAST TOMORROW.
THIS WILL HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES DOWN.
RIDGING ALOFT BUILDS OVER THE MIDWEST THURSDAY, FRIDAY, AND INTO THE
WEEKEND WITH A NOR'EASTER FORMING OFF THE COAST OF NEW ENGLAND AND
THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. THE EC AND GFS BOTH HINT AT SOME ENERGY
ROUNDING THE RIDGE AND BRINGING SOME PRECIP CHANCES TO SEMO AND
SOUTHERN IL ON SUNDAY. HOWEVER, NBM IS CURRENTLY ESSENTIALLY DRY
OVER THE WEEKEND FOR NOW. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO THEN WARM UP INTO THE
MID-UPPER 80S FOR THE START OF THE WORK WEEK, BUT THERE ARE
STILL SOME DECENT MODEL DISCREPANCIES TO WORK OUT.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1141 PM CDT MON SEP 21 2026
FOR THE 06Z TAF PACKAGE, TRENDED MORE AGGRESSIVE WITH AN
EARLIER ARRIVAL OF THE MVFR LOW STRATUS AND THE DURATION OF THE
LOW STRATUS. ALL TERMINALS WILL SEE PERIODS OF LOW MVFR
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT THROUGH MORNING HOURS. SOME BRIEF PERIODS
OF HIGHER MVFR BASES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT, ESPECIALLY AT MVN,
EVV, AND OWB. CIGS WILL LIFT TO VFR IN THE AFTERNOON HOURS WITH
DIURNAL HEATING, BUT SCT-BKN DECKS ARE EXPECTED UNTIL TUESDAY
NIGHT. WINDS WILL REMAIN STEADY FROM THE NE AROUND 5-10 KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...DWS
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