510
FXUS63 KPAH 110745
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
245 AM CDT FRI OCT 11 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- SUNNY AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE.
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- COOL DOWN NEXT WEEK, POSSIBLE FIRST FROST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 244 AM CDT FRI OCT 11 2024
A VERY QUIET FORECAST CONTINUES WITH SFC HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATING
THROUGH TODAY THEN SHIFTING SOUTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
BRINGING BACK A SOUTHWEST WIND. WITH THE DRY AIR IN PLACE HIGHS
WILL CLIMB TO ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGHS TODAY
WILL BE IN THE LOWER TO MID 80S AND BASED ON YESTERDAY'S
OVER ACHIEVEMENT, MAY NOT BE HIGH ENOUGH. SATURDAY WILL BE EVEN
WARMER STILL THANKS TO THAT SOUTHWEST WIND, WITH HIGHS IN THE
MID 80S.
NW FLOW ALOFT STRENGTHENS THIS WEEKEND WITH AN UPPER TROF OVER THE
GREAT LAKES AND A SFC COLD FRONT WILL BE PUSHED THROUGH THE REGION
SUNDAY. SUNDAY'S HIGHS ARE NOT SET IN STONE AS THE TIMING OF THIS
FRONT IS STILL A LITTLE UNCERTAIN. NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA MAY
NOT HIT 80, WHILE SOUTHERN PORTIONS MAY REACH THE MID 80S AGAIN.
RIGHT NOW IT LOOKS TO BE A DRY COLD FRONT WITH THE BETTER MOISTURE
OFF TO OUR NORTH, BUT NOT BY MUCH, SO A STRAY SHOWER OR TWO IS NOT
ENTIRELY OUT OF THE QUESTION. HOWEVER, THE NBM HAS KEPT THINGS DRY
FOR NOW. SIGNIFICANTLY COOLER AIR WILL COME BEHIND THIS COLD FRONT.
HIGHS THROUGH MIDWEEK NEXT WEEK WILL BE WELL BELOW AVERAGE IN THE
UPPER 50S TO MID 60S. RIGHT NOW TUESDAY NIGHT LOOKS TO BE THE
COLDEST NIGHT WITH LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WITH CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT
WINDS, THIS COULD POTENTIALLY BE THE FIRST FROST OF THE SEASON.
TEMPERATURES MODERATE MORE ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WITH HIGHS BACK
INTO THE UPPER 60S AND LOWER 70S ON THURSDAY AND INTO THE 70S ON
FRIDAY.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1127 PM CDT THU OCT 10 2024
CLEAR SKIES AND LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT. FOG RESTRICTIONS LIKELY
AT CGI AND MVN THIS MORNING BEFORE SUNRISE. CLEAR SKIES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. SOUTHWEST WINDS BETWEEN 5-10 KTS
ARE EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...SHAWKEY
AVIATION...AD
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