332  
FNUS53 KGRR 032055  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
355 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2019  
   
..COLD WEEK AHEAD WITH PERIODIC RAIN AND SNOW
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A COLD WEEK IS EXPECTED WITH HIGHS MAINLY IN THE 30S. THE WARMEST DAY  
OF THE WEEK WILL BE MONDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S. OCCASIONAL CLIPPER  
SYSTEMS WILL MOVE THROUGH BRINGING SOME RAIN AND SNOW. THE FIRST WILL  
BRING MAINLY RAIN TONIGHT AND MONDAY. ANOTHER SYSTEM MIDWEEK WILL  
BRING RAIN AND SNOW ON WEDNESDAY. SOME SNOW ACCUMULATION IS POSSIBLE  
ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS CENTRAL LOWER MICHIGAN.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-040915-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
355 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2019  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 0100. RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
900-1400 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.16-0.31 IN.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL  
1300, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....700-800 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.18 IN.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 0600. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS  
AFTER 2000.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
2300-2800 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800-900 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ040-046-040915-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
355 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2019  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS WITH SNOW  
SHOWERS LIKELY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.21 IN.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL  
1300, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600-800 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.13 IN.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 0500. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS  
AFTER 2000.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600, THEN  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100-5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-040915-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
355 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2019  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AFTER 2300 UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 0600, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
800-1300 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.22 IN.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2300.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
2600-3100 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....900-1100 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200-5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-040915-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
355 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2019  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AFTER 2300 UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08-0.18 IN.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 1000, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-500 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2300.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1600 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-040915-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
355 PM EST SUN NOV 3 2019  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
AFTER 2300 UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 0200, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.14 IN.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 0400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
UNTIL MIDDAY, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
MID 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS  
IN THE LOWER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
9 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.    
SUNDAY
 
CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS  
AROUND 40.  
 

 
 
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