714  
FNUS53 KGRR 180755  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
355 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2018  
   
..CONTINUED COOL AND UNSETTLED
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND SLIGHTLY TODAY AND FRIDAY BUT ANOTHER  
COLD FRONT WILL USHER IN MORE BLUSTERY WEATHER FOR THE WEEKEND.  
SUNNY SKIES TODAY WILL GIVE WAY TO INCREASING CLOUDS AND RAIN  
SHOWERS ON FRIDAY, FOLLOWED BY MIXED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ON  
SATURDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL NEXT WEEK, ALTHOUGH  
MOSTLY DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-182015-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
355 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2018  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN  
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
AFTER 1400.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 28 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
1500-2000 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600-700 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ040-046-182015-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
355 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2018  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800-3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600-700 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 29 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600-700 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-182015-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
355 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2018  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 27 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-182015-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
355 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2018  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.  
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 28 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-182015-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
355 AM EDT THU OCT 18 2018  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST UNTIL  
1000.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-3700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1400.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN A  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST  
WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE  
EVENING. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 6 TO  
11 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO  
12 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.    
TUESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 50.  
 

 
 
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