319  
FNUS53 KGRR 150818  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
418 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2019  
   
..SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THE LATEST TREND MAY BE FOR THE SHOWERS AND STORMS IN THE FORECAST  
TODAY TO BE FURTHER EAST OVER SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN. WE WILL  
CONTINUE TO MAINTAIN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON  
HOWEVER. IT WILL BE ANOTHER WARM DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S IN  
MOST AREAS. SHOWERS AND STORMS REMAIN IN THE FORECAST FOR TUESDAY,  
WITH THE BEST CHANCES ACROSS SOUTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN. IT WILL BE WARM  
ALL WEEK, WITH 90S EXPECTED EACH DAY FROM THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-152030-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
418 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
6200-6700 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1300 (EXCELLENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0500.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1400-1900  
FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
5300-5800 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ040-046-152030-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
418 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1100 (EXCELLENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0500.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL  
OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100-6600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1300-1400 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-152030-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
418 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
7100-7600 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800-1200 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-2500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
5000-5500 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....700 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-152030-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
418 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900-7400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800-1200 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.19 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1000-1100 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-152030-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
418 AM EDT MON JUL 15 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1000.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200-7700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....700-1100 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.20 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-700 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT  
WINDS.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 7 TO  
12 MPH.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.    
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.  
 

 
 
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