379
FNUS53 KLMK 230807
FWFLMK
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTHERN INDIANA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
407 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 2021
DISCUSSION
A WARM FRONT WILL BRING A FEW SHOWERS TO THE REGION
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND A ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS LATE
TONIGHT. ADDITIONAL STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH MONDAY AS THE
PARENT SYSTEM GRADUALLY ROLLS ON THROUGH. AFTER A BRIEF BREAK ON
TUESDAY, MORE RAIN CHANCES ARE IN THE FORECAST FROM WEDNESDAY
THROUGH FRIDAY.
THE WINTER OUTLOOK WAS RELEASED THIS PAST THURSDAY, AND CALLS FOR
GREATER CHANCES OF A WARMER THAN NORMAL WINTER AND SLIGHTLY
GREATER CHANCES FOR A WETTER THAN NORMAL WINTER, DUE IN LARGE PART
TO THE INFLUENCE OF LA NINA.
INZ076-083-084-089-232130-
ORANGE-DUBOIS-CRAWFORD-PERRY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PAOLI, JASPER, ENGLISH, AND TELL CITY
407 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 2021 /307 AM CDT SAT OCT 23 2021/
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 60 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 63 (+4) 51 (+9) 77
RH % (24H TREND) 59 (-11) 100 (0) 60
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 5 G17
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 9 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.03 0.23 0.29
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3049 2530
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 8 SW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23456 63862
DISPERSION POOR GOOD
DSI SLGT UNSTBL STBL SLGT UNSTBL
LAL 1 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 2 3
ADI EARLY 9 POOR 4 VERY POOR 26 FAIR
ADI LATE 19 GEN POOR 7 POOR 58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 9 6
MAX LVORI LATE 5 9 4
REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
MONDAY
RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
KYZ023-024-026>028-053-061>063-070>074-232130-
HANCOCK-BRECKINRIDGE-OHIO-GRAYSON-HARDIN-LARUE-BUTLER-EDMONSON-
HART-LOGAN-WARREN-SIMPSON-ALLEN-BARREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LEWISPORT, HAWESVILLE, HARDINSBURG,
HARTFORD, LEITCHFIELD, ELIZABETHTOWN, HODGENVILLE, MORGANTOWN,
BROWNSVILLE, HORSE CAVE, RUSSELLVILLE, BOWLING GREEN, FRANKLIN,
PROVIDENCE, SCOTTSVILLE, AND GLASGOW
407 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 2021 /307 AM CDT SAT OCT 23 2021/
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 68 (+7) 54 (+10) 80
RH % (24H TREND) 54 (-11) 98 (-2) 50
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 6 G18
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 10 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.02 0.11 0.13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3049 2542
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SW 28
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24392 64888
DISPERSION POOR GOOD
DSI SLGT UNSTBL STBL SLGT UNSTBL
LAL 1 3 3
HAINES INDEX 3 3 3
ADI EARLY 13 GEN POOR 5 VERY POOR 30 FAIR
ADI LATE 15 GEN POOR 7 POOR 58 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 6 5
MAX LVORI LATE 3 6 2
REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
MONDAY
RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
INZ077>079-090>092-KYZ025-029>034-038-045-232130-
WASHINGTON-SCOTT-JEFFERSON-HARRISON-FLOYD-CLARK-MEADE-BULLITT-
OLDHAM-TRIMBLE-HENRY-SHELBY-SPENCER-NELSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF SALEM, SCOTTSBURG, MADISON, CORYDON,
NEW ALBANY, JEFFERSONVILLE, BRANDENBURG, SHEPHERDSVILLE,
LOUISVILLE, LA GRANGE, BEDFORD, MILTON, NEW CASTLE, SHELBYVILLE,
TAYLORSVILLE, AND BARDSTOWN
407 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 2021
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 50 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+6) 50 (+6) 77
RH % (24H TREND) 59 (-15) 100 (0) 59
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G17
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 9 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.13 0.28
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3049 2409
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 SW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24392 64689
DISPERSION POOR GOOD
DSI SLGT UNSTBL STBL SLGT UNSTBL
LAL 1 3 3
HAINES INDEX 4 2 3
ADI EARLY 11 POOR 4 VERY POOR 25 FAIR
ADI LATE 16 GEN POOR 6 VERY POOR 53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 9 7
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 4
REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
MONDAY
RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
KYZ035>037-039>043-046>049-232130-
FRANKLIN-SCOTT-HARRISON-ANDERSON-WOODFORD-FAYETTE-BOURBON-
NICHOLAS-WASHINGTON-MERCER-JESSAMINE-CLARK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FRANKFORT, GEORGETOWN, CYNTHIANA,
LAWRENCEBURG, VERSAILLES, LEXINGTON, PARIS, CARLISLE,
SPRINGFIELD, HARRODSBURG, NICHOLASVILLE, AND WINCHESTER
407 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 2021
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 64 (+6) 50 (+6) 76
RH % (24H TREND) 55 (-18) 100 (0) 55
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G17
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) SW 5 LGT/VAR S 10 G21
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.04 0.22
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3049 2512
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 9 SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30490 51518
DISPERSION MARGINAL GOOD
DSI SLGT UNSTBL STBL SLGT UNSTBL
LAL 1 2 3
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3
ADI EARLY 28 FAIR 3 VERY POOR 23 FAIR
ADI LATE 27 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 48 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 9 7
MAX LVORI LATE 3 9 3
REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP
TO 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
KYZ054>057-064>067-075>078-081-082-232130-
MARION-BOYLE-GARRARD-MADISON-GREEN-TAYLOR-CASEY-LINCOLN-MONROE-
METCALFE-ADAIR-RUSSELL-CUMBERLAND-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LEBANON, DANVILLE, LANCASTER, RICHMOND,
GREENSBURG, CAMPBELLSVILLE, LIBERTY, STANFORD, TOMPKINSVILLE,
EDMONTON, COLUMBIA, JAMESTOWN, BURKESVILLE, AND ALBANY
407 AM EDT SAT OCT 23 2021 /307 AM CDT SAT OCT 23 2021/
TODAY TONIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHOWERS SHOWERS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 67 (+8) 51 (+7) 79
RH % (24H TREND) 54 (-16) 100 (0) 50
20FTWND-VAL/AM(MPH) LGT/VAR S 5 G17
20FTWND-RDG/PM(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 9 G19
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.03 0.11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL/MSL)3049 2545
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 8 SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30490 62219
DISPERSION MARGINAL GOOD
DSI SLGT UNSTBL STBL SLGT UNSTBL
LAL 1 2 3
HAINES INDEX 4 3 3
ADI EARLY 20 GEN POOR 3 VERY POOR 27 FAIR
ADI LATE 26 FAIR 5 VERY POOR 53 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 7 6
MAX LVORI LATE 3 7 2
REMARKS...ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.
MONDAY
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. COOLER. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
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