502
FNUS73 KLMK 040938
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR HENDERSON TRACT...KDF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
538 AM EDT SAT APR 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
WE'LL START THE DAY OFF MILD AND DRY WITH SCATTERED
UPPER SKY COVER AND TEMPERATURES WARMING TOWARD THE MID AND UPPER 70S
BY EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
LATER THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT. THE BEST
TIMING LOOKS TO BE BETWEEN 2 AND 4 PM EDT FOR SHOWER AND STORM ARRIVAL.
LOOK FOR GUSTY SSW TO NNE GRADIENT WINDS FROM LATE MORNING INTO EARLY
AFTERNOON AHEAD OF SHOWERS AND STORMS. SUSTAINED 10 TO 15 MPH, WITH
SOME GUSTS IN THE 20 TO 25 MPH RANGE ARE POSSIBLE. OVERALL, EXPECTING
BETWEEN .5" AND 1" OF RAINFALL WITH THIS SYSTEM. DRIER AND COOLER
WEATHER TAKES HOLD SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY. DRY WEATHER LOOKS LIKELY
INTO LATE NEXT WEEK WITH MILD WEATHER RETURNING.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 23
TO 31 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /5300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/85000 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO MARGINAL (36200
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (136000 KNOT-FT IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 97 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........48 37 38 32 45 40 46 67 72 68 68 66
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............67 67 67 69 73 76 78 79 79 77 77 76
RH..............73 73 75 76 68 64 60 58 56 60 62 62
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 8 10 10 10 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 13 14 14 15 16 15 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.4 5.0 5.0 4.2 2.9 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 15 18 23 28 30 31 31 29 26 23
LVORI...........3 3 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............9 14 16 35 67 97 87 95 95 81 62 42
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 5 9 24 51 85 115 135 136 104 67 36
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 17
TO 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20900 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................12 TO 35.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........83 91 90 89 91 93 92 86 88 76 74 52
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............73 69 66 64 61 58 56 54 52 51 49 45
RH..............71 78 84 78 81 87 86 86 86 80 80 86
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W NW NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 11 11 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 21 20 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 18 17
LVORI...........3 3 4 3 4 5 5 4 4 4 4 5
ADI.............35 23 22 21 12 12 12 13 13 13 12 12
SDSPL KT-FT/100028 26 26 24 24 25 25 28 28 27 24 21
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (81300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 109 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........46 37 42 38 36 34 32 29 27 21 14 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44 44 42 44 46 49 52 54 56 57 58 58
RH..............86 79 82 76 71 66 59 57 53 51 49 49
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 7 8 8 9 10 11 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.0 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.3 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.5 4.8 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW W W W W NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 12 12 14 15 16 17 18 20 20 18
LVORI...........5 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............10 17 17 26 45 61 72 81 90 104 109 99
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 12 12 18 31 43 52 59 66 77 81 74
FORECASTER...BJS
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SHEPHERD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608810.2/LMK
.DELDT 04/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DWAYNE.ANDERSON@KY.GOV,SAMANTHA.ROSE@KY.GOV,SCOTT.SHEPHERD@KY.GOV
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