306
FNUS73 KLMK 271535
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR HENDERSON TRACT...KDF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1135 AM EDT FRI MAR 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT HAS MOVED THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING AND BROUGHT
A NORTHERLY WIND SHIFT, LOW CLOUDS, COOLING TEMPERATURES, AND
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN. LIGHT RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER THE FIRE
SITE EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AS SHOWERS PUSH SOUTH THROUGH THE
REGION. NOT LOOKING AT MUCH PRECIPITATION, AROUND 0.05 INCHES. LOW
CLOUDS WILL STICK AROUND THROUGH MOST OF THE AFTERNOON, BEFORE
STEADILY LIFTING AND CLEARING IN THE EVENING. TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO COOL THROUGH THE DAY TODAY. TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY
AROUND 60 DEGREES AND WILL FALL TO THE LOW 50S BY THE LATE
AFTERNOON. BREEZY N/NNE WINDS AROUND 10-14MPH AND GUSTS UP TO
25MPH WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
WE WILL CLEAR OUT AND DRY TONIGHT. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO
COOL OVERNIGHT, AS WE SEE LOWS AROUND 30 DEGREES. ON SATURDAY,
EXPECTING COOLER TEMPERATURES, MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, AND DRY
CONDITIONS. TRANSPORT WINDS FROM THE NORTH IN THE MORNING WILL
WEAKEN THROUGH THE DAY AND SHIFT FROM THE EAST. DRIER DEW POINTS
AND GOOD MIXING WILL HELP RH IN THE AFTERNOON TO DIP INTO THE
23-29% RANGE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SCATTERED
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................77 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
NORTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2800 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /43700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/50500 KNOT-FT/.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................41 TO 48.
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........84 82 87 88 67 62
WEATHER COV.....NUM NUM SCT SCT ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............54 52 51 51 51 52
RH..............77 80 86 86 80 71
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 13 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 2.3 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 21 20 20 21 21
LVORI...........3 3 4 4 3 3
ADI.............47 43 41 43 47 48
SDSPL KT-FT/100044 41 40 44 50 51
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER 3
AM.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO 9 TO 10 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (43400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (5000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 TO 43.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........65 52 33 33 32 39 36 19 3 3 4 5
WEATHER COV..... WID WID WID
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST
TSTM COV........
TEMP............51 51 49 47 44 43 41 38 36 34 33 32
RH..............68 63 63 63 68 65 65 67 67 69 69 69
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 7 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 17 18 20 21 20 17 15 13 10 9
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............43 25 12 8 9 9 9 8 7 6 5 4
SDSPL KT-FT/100043 35 27 27 27 27 22 15 11 8 6 5
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 55.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 8 TO
9 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (47100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 66 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........8 6 7 7 6 4 4 3 3 3 2 2
WEATHER COV.....WID WID WID
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST FST
TSTM COV........
TEMP............32 31 30 34 38 43 46 49 51 53 54 55
RH..............69 69 72 66 57 45 40 37 34 32 31 30
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.4 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE NE NE NE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 12 15 16 15 13 10 9 8 8
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............4 8 10 20 45 64 66 57 47 44 39 36
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 2 4 13 31 46 47 41 34 32 28 26
FORECASTER...SRW
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SHEPHERD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608149.0/LMK
.DELDT 03/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DWAYNE.ANDERSON@KY.GOV,SCOTT.SHEPHERD@KY.GOV,SAMANTHA.ROSE@KY.GOV,CHRISTOPHERC.SCOTT@KY.GOV
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