378
FNUS73 KLMK 180228
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR GREEN RIVER LAKE WMA - CASEY CREEK...KDFWR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1028 PM EDT TUE MAR 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AFTER A SMALL CHANCE OF FLURRIES IN THE MORNING, AND A
FEW SPRINKLES IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON, SKIES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY
CLEAR THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON ON WEDNESDAY. AFTERNOON MIXING HEIGHTS
DO LOOK TO REACH A FAVORABLE LEVEL, AND THIS COMBINED WITH GOOD TRANSPORT
WINDS SHOULD YIELD GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL INTO THE AFTERNOON. COULD TAKE
A LITTLE WHILE FOR THE BEST BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING, AND GOOD SMOKE
DISPERSAL AS HEAVY CLOUD COVER SHOULD BE AROUND IN THE MORNING. IN OTHER
WORDS, THE LATE MORNING TIME FRAME FOR IGNITION COULD STRUGGLE FOR A WHILE
BEFORE CONDITIONS FOR BURNING IMPROVE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
FLURRIES LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........35 AT IGNITION...MAX 50.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3700 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MARGINAL /31500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...GOOD /66800 KNOT-FT/.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................35 TO 57.
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........79 81 80 78 77 74 70 67
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RS RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............35 38 40 42 43 45 46 47
RH..............56 52 52 55 57 55 58 58
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 8 8 9 9 9 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.13 15 15 15 15 15 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.5 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 21 23 22 22 22 22 20
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............35 43 51 50 52 54 57 52
SDSPL KT-FT/100032 42 52 51 55 61 67 63
FORECASTER...BJS
REQUESTED BY...CODY STEPHENS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606219.0/LMK
.DELDT 03/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CODY.STEPHENS@KY.GOV,JUSTIN.TUCKER@KY.GOV
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