829
FNUS73 KLMK 210927
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR LICK RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
527 AM EDT SAT MAR 21 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SFC BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE TO WORK SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE KY/TN
BORDER THIS MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. UNLIKE THE PAST FEW DAYS, WINDS WILL
BE LIGHTER AND MORE VARIABLE LIMITING SMOKE DISPERSION. WE COULD SEE WINDS
INCREASE SOME THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE THERE WAS A BOUNDARY THAT MOVED THROUGH
I DON'T THINK WE SEE MUCH CHANGE IN RH VALUES THIS AFTERNOON. COULD SEE THEM
RANGE FROM THE MID 30S TO MID 40S.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 3 TO
7 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO
THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /0 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR /23500
KNOT-FT/.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 TO 32.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........67 69 62 59 48 39 32 9 5 2 5 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............54 52 51 53 58 62 67 71 75 77 78 79
RH..............74 80 83 80 69 65 56 49 43 40 40 38
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E SE SE S S SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.7 3.2 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE S SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 9 9 8 7 5 3 3 6 7
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 1
ADI.............4 6 7 7 11 12 12 10 10 11 23 32
SDSPL KT-FT/10000 2 3 3 8 8 8 7 7 8 16 24
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 TO 30.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........1 2 3 1 2 8 8 16 3 4 26 21
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............77 77 73 69 67 66 65 65 65 64 64 63
RH..............42 45 51 61 65 68 70 73 70 75 75 78
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 7 7 9 9 12 13 15 16 17 16
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4
ADI.............30 3 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 7 8 7
SDSPL KT-FT/100021 4 2 2 3 2 3 4 6 6 7 7
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83.
RH..................MIN 46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 25
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (80500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 111 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........18 22 43 29 18 34 29 36 43 41 38 36
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH
TEMP............63 62 61 63 67 70 74 77 80 82 83 83
RH..............78 81 87 84 75 73 64 60 54 51 48 46
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 10 11 12 13 13 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 1.2 1.3 1.8 2.4 3.1 3.2 3.6 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 17 21 22 22 23 23 24 25 24
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............7 16 16 18 31 36 50 69 87 94 111 111
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 7 7 10 21 24 34 47 61 67 78 81
FORECASTER...BTN
REQUESTED BY...PAUL FOUNTAIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606843.0/LMK
.DELDT 03/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PAUL.FOUNTAIN@USDA.GOV,CHRISTOPHER.THORNTON@USDA.GOV
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