536  
FNUS73 KLMK 291245  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ABBEY RX FIRE...KDFWR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY  
845 AM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TODAY, WINDS WILL VEER TOWARDS THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST  
BY LATE MORNING. THIS WILL HELP LIFT TEMPERATURES TO NEAR 70. WITH  
MIXING HEIGHTS CLIMBING TO NEARLY 5,500 FEET AND GOOD TRANSPORT WINDS  
OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST, DISPERSION WILL BECOME EXCELLENT. RH VALUES WILL  
RANGE FROM THE LOW TO MID 30S. ONE LIMITING FACTOR TODAY COULD BE  
PERIODS OF MID-LEVEL CLOUD COVER.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........61 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.  
RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 10 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 13  
MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 28 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /42200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/91800 KNOT-FT/.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................47 TO 75.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........68 68 66 65 63 60 56 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............61 64 66 68 70 72 73 75  
RH..............72 67 65 63 61 59 57 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 11 11 11 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 20 20 20 17 18 18 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.8 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 26 28 28 28 28 28 26  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............47 57 64 68 70 73 75 70  
SDSPL KT-FT/100042 57 68 76 81 88 92 84  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.  
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 24 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (60300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (11800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................57 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 12 LATE  
IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........48 44 39 26 25 23 24 24 25 30 35 40  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............74 73 74 72 71 69 68 67 66 66 66 66  
RH..............55 57 53 57 59 63 65 68 70 70 70 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 15 15 10 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 1.9 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 21 18 18 18 20 20 18 18 18 18 18  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............57 23 12 12 12 13 13 12 12 12 12 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/100060 34 16 12 12 14 13 12 13 16 19 22  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82.  
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 31  
TO 37 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (18500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (109000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (128300  
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................16 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 111 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........47 54 61 60 60 59 57 54 52 48 43 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............65 64 65 67 70 73 76 78 79 81 82 82  
RH..............73 75 75 73 71 66 62 58 56 53 49 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 12 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.2 1.3 1.9 2.7 3.5 4.0 4.4 4.6 5.0 5.2 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 20 24 31 36 37 37 36 36 36 35  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............16 26 32 45 94 93 102 106 105 109 111 105  
SDSPL KT-FT/100020 19 21 40 74 109 128 140 142 154 160 147  
 

 
FORECASTER...MCK  
REQUESTED BY...BRYAN COBBAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2608261.0/LMK  
.DELDT 03/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRYAN.COBBAN@KY.GOV  
 
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