889
FNUS73 KLMK 311245
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR GABBARD BRACH...KY. DEPT OF FISH AND WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
845 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
ANOTHER WARM AND BREEZY DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY, WITH A MIX
OF SUN AND CLOUDS EXPECTED OVER THE FORECAST SITE. TEMPERATURES SHOULD
WARM INTO THE LOW-TO-MID 80S THIS AFTERNOON, WITH WELL-MIXED CONDITIONS
EXPECTED AS MIXING HEIGHTS INCREASE TO AROUND 5000 FEET. AS WE START TO MIX OUT
LATER THIS MORNING, STRONGER WIND GUSTS SHOULD BE ABLE TO MAKE IT TO THE GROUND.
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH, WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH ARE EXPECTED LATE
THIS MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THERE IS A 30-40% CHANCE OF GREATER THAN 30 MPH
GUSTS LATER TODAY, WITH WINDS EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS GUSTY AFTER SUNSET TONIGHT.
AS WE MIX OUT THIS AFTERNOON, RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO
THE UPPER 30S AND LOW 40S, PARTICULARLY ON SOUTH AND WEST-FACING SLOPES.
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND STORMS EXPECTED ON WEDNESDAY. OTHERWISE, TOMORROW SHOULD BE ANOTHER WARM
AND BREEZY DAY, WITH MORE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE LIMITING RELATIVE HUMIDITY FALLS
DURING THE DAYTIME HOURS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........74 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 15
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5300 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 28 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /76200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...EXCELLENT /132600 KNOT-FT/.
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................68 TO 91.
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)......... 47 43 39 39 40 40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............ 74 77 79 79 81 82
RH.............. 60 56 51 44 41 40
20 FT WIND DIR.. SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD.. 12 13 13 13 13 12
20 FT WIND GUST. 20 20 20 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)... 3.2 3.9 4.8 5.0 5.3 5.3
TRANSP WIND DIR. SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD. 28 29 30 30 29 29
LVORI........... 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............. 68 79 90 91 90 90
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 76 98 124 129 131 133
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.
RH..................MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 18 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO 16 TO 18
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (114000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (8300 KNOT-FT) BY AROUND
MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................83 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 12 LATE
IN THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)......... 36 33 29 30 30 31 34 37 40 48 55 63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............ 80 80 77 75 73 71 70 69 67 66 66 65
RH.............. 38 41 45 54 56 62 67 67 72 75 77 84
20 FT WIND DIR.. SW SW S S S S S S S S SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD.. 11 10 7 7 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST. 18 18 15 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)... 4.7 1.6 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR. SW SW S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD. 28 22 20 20 18 17 18 17 17 17 16 16
LVORI........... 1 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
ADI............. 83 24 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 15 14 14
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 114 30 14 11 10 10 10 8 9 9 9 9
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 83.
RH..................MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH IN
THE MORNING THEN 21 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,
THEN THEN 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (95800 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................11 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 91 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)......... 59 54 50 53 55 58 61 64 67 68 70 71
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............ 65 64 64 67 70 74 76 79 81 81 81 80
RH.............. 87 87 86 83 76 69 64 58 54 54 54 56
20 FT WIND DIR.. S S S SW S S S SW SW S S S
20 FT WIND SPD.. 6 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST. 15 15 14 14 15 13 15 15 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)... 0.7 0.7 0.7 1.1 1.8 2.2 3.1 4.0 4.7 5.0 4.9 4.4
TRANSP WIND DIR. SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW S S
TRANSP WIND SPD. 16 15 15 20 21 20 21 22 22 22 22 21
LVORI........... 4 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............. 14 11 16 28 47 52 68 80 88 91 66 60
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 9 9 9 19 32 38 56 75 89 96 93 79
FORECASTER...CSG
REQUESTED BY...DIRK STEENBERGEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608520.0/LMK
.DELDT 03/31/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DIRK.STEENBERGEN@KY.GOV
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