204
FNUS73 KLMK 030917
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR HENDERSON TRACT...KDF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
517 AM EDT FRI APR 3 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AFTER A MORNING ROUND OF SCATTERED SHOWERS EXPECT DRY
CONDITIONS UNTIL LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON, WHERE ANOTHER ROUND
OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A STORM ARE POSSIBLE. THE FORECAST SHOULD THEN
TREND DRY BETWEEN 2 AND 5 PM EDT. OUTSIDE OF THE SCATTERED SHOWER
AND STORM CHANCES, A WARM AND GUSTY DAY SHOULD CONTRIBUTE TO GOOD
BOUNDARY LAYER MIXING DEPTH AND GOOD TRANSPORT WINDS. THIS WILL YIELD
DISPERSION IN THE EXCELLENT RANGE BY AFTERNOON. ANOTHER ROUND OF
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS ARRIVES SATURDAY WITH EXPECTED
RAINFALL BETWEEN .75" AND 1.25" TOTAL.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........VARIABLE MID AND UPPER CLOUDS (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
0DAY.
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................78 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /6800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...EXCELLENT /98100 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO
GOOD (90700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (106700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................10 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 98 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........74 78 72 70 71 59 50 48 53 56 51 49
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
TEMP............67 66 65 67 70 73 75 77 79 80 81 81
RH..............78 81 84 84 76 71 69 64 60 58 53 51
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 10 11 11 11 12 12 13 12 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.0 3.8 4.4 4.9 5.3 5.4 5.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 17 22 24 24 24 23 23 22 21
LVORI...........4 4 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............10 11 11 30 57 78 88 95 70 98 94 86
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 6 9 20 41 64 80 93 98 107 104 91
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 66.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (58900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (2900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................82 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........36 41 27 30 22 34 45 45 33 38 37 38
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............82 81 77 74 73 71 70 70 69 69 68 67
RH..............49 49 54 57 57 61 63 63 68 66 70 75
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.11 9 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 2.0 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 15 14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4
ADI.............82 12 7 6 6 6 9 10 7 7 7 7
SDSPL KT-FT/100059 30 8 3 4 7 7 7 8 8 8 9
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 24
TO 32 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON,
THEN DECREASING TO AROUND 21 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (90700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO GOOD (57200 KNOT-FT)
EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(126100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 121 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........39 44 34 28 41 54 59 63 68 72 75 79
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC
TEMP............67 66 67 68 72 76 79 80 81 80 79 76
RH..............73 78 75 76 71 64 58 56 53 54 56 62
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 7 8 8 9 10 10 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 13 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.8 1.5 2.5 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.6 4.4 3.8 3.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 17 22 26 31 32 32 31 28 24 21
LVORI...........3 4 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............7 16 18 43 75 106 121 94 92 80 65 51
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 7 12 29 57 91 113 126 125 105 81 57
FORECASTER...BJS
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT SHEPHERD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608810.1/LMK
.DELDT 04/03/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SAMANTHA.ROSE@KY.GOV,SCOTT.SHEPHERD@KY.GOV,DWAYNE.ANDERSON@KY.GOV
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