640  
FNUS73 KLMK 181443  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BARFORD LANDING PRESCRIBED BURN...LLOYD A. FOE CONSUSLTING FORESTERS, LLC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY  
1043 AM EDT THU APR 18 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON APRIL 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SOME SPRINKLES OR LIGHT RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MID AFTERNOON  
HOURS. BETTER RAIN CHANCES ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT, WITH A RUMBLE OF  
THUNDER POSSIBLE AS WELL. WINDS WILL GUST FROM THE SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST  
THROUGH THE DAY BEFORE A COLD FRONT SWITCHES US AROUND TO NORTHWEST WINDS  
LATE TONIGHT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN  
THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
THIS AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
18 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 AT IGNITION TIME, PEAKING AT 4000 FT AGL IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 35 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (100000 KNOT-FT) AT IGNITION BECOMING  
GOOD (79100 KNOT-FT) LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................89 DECREASING TO 66.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........71 78 89 89  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC  
TEMP............69 71 72 72  
RH..............66 63 64 66  
20 FT WIND......S 15 S 16 S 14 S 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 3700 4000 3600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 37 SW 33 SW 29 S 25  
DISPERSION......2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1  
ADI.............90 88 80 66  
VRATE KT-FT/1000100 106 100 79  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO  
12 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO 10  
MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO MARGINAL (1500-37100 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................41 DECREASING TO 10.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........87 93 94 98 98 99  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC S CHC  
TEMP............71 69 65 62 59 54  
RH..............68 73 81 87 90 96  
20 FT WIND......S 12 S 9 SW 7 S 7 NE 8 NW 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 11 8 10 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 200 200 200 300 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 21 S 10 SW 9 W 9 NE 9 N 15  
DISPERSION......2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 5 5  
ADI.............41 9 8 8 8 13  
VRATE KT-FT/100037 2 2 2 2 5  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO MARGINAL (8400-30600 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................17 INCREASING TO 34.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........98 95 96 97 99 99  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............50 48 47 49 50 52  
RH..............96 89 86 74 71 66  
20 FT WIND......NW 12 NW 10 NW 9 NW 9 NW 10 N 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 900 1300 1600 1800 1700  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 14 N 18 NW 20 NW 20 NW 18 NW 20  
DISPERSION......2 1 1 1 1 1  
LVORI...........5 4 4 3 3 3  
ADI.............12 21 30 33 34 35  
VRATE KT-FT/10008 14 23 28 29 29  
 

 
FORECASTER...RJS  
REQUESTED BY...LLOYD A. FOE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1906521.0/LMK  
.DELDT 04/18/19  
.EMAIL LLOYDFOE@TWC.COM  
 
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