025  
FNUS73 KPAH 091434  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RED SHALE G...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
934 AM CDT THU APR 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MINIMUM HUMIDITY THIS AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 35% WITH SOUTHWEST  
WINDS GUSTING UP TO NEAR 25 MPH. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL REACH 1700 FEET BEFORE  
IGNITION TIME, WITH AFTERNOON HEIGHTS CLIMBING ABOVE 5000 FEET. DISPERSION  
WILL BE FAIR TO GOOD.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.  
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 12 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 8  
MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5900 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /52000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/93700 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 72 75 76 77 77 77  
RH..............44 41 37 36 35 35 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 23 22 21 18 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.2 4.4 5.1 5.6 5.9 5.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 21 20 18 18 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..52 61 79 87 90 94 90  
VENTRATE CAT....FR GD GD GD GD GD GD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.  
RH..................MAX 69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4900 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 73 68 66 64 64 62 62 61 60 58 58  
RH..............36 41 49 50 54 54 56 58 60 60 67 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 13 13 13 13 14 15 15 15 15 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 14 13 15 16 15 17 18 18 17 16 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..35 6 5 6 6 6 7 8 8 7 7 7  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.  
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9  
TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (84600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 57 59 64 69 72 75 77 78 79 79 78  
RH..............67 69 67 58 53 49 45 43 43 42 44 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 16 17 18 20 20 20 18 16 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.7 3.7 4.7 5.3 5.3 4.9 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 18 20 23 25 24 23 21 17 15 12 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 8 11 28 45 56 73 85 81 67 49 29  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD FR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...TREVINO  
REQUESTED BY...BEN SCHMALL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2609803.0/PAH  
.DELDT 04/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID_JONES@FWS.GOV,BENJAMIN_SCHMALL@FWS.GOV  
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