481  
FNUS73 KPAH 201940  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTT SANDS...MDC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
140 PM CST FRI FEB 20 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 CST ON FEBRUARY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT THIS EVENING WITH HUMIDITY RECOVERY OF  
AROUND 65%. ON SATURDAY, WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AT LESS THAN  
10MPH WITH A MINIMUM AFTERNOON HUMIDITY AROUND 45% AND A MIXING  
HEIGHT REACHING AROUND 2500 FEET. SUNDAY WILL SEE GUSTY NORTHWEST  
WINDS AND AFTERNOON HUMIDITY DOWN TO NEAR 30%.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MIN 35.  
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MIN...POOR  
/2200 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC MC PC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 46 43 43 42 42 40 39 38 37 36  
RH..............45 47 55 55 55 55 59 62 62 64 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE NE N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 9 10 12 12 13 13 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 3 5 6 8 6 7 9 10  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 44.  
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 35 36 37 40 41 42 42 43 43 44 42  
RH..............66 64 61 59 50 48 44 44 45 46 46 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 14 15 16 15 16 15 15 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.1 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 14 14 15 17 17 16 15 14 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 12 17 19 21 27 33 36 36 32 25 17  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 26.  
RH..................MAX 68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR PC PC MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............42 40 37 37 35 33 32 31 29 28 27 26  
RH..............51 52 59 59 61 63 63 64 64 64 66 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.2 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 14 15 16 17 17 16 15 14 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 10 11 13 15 18 20 20 19 18 15 13  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 40.  
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 31  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (15700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (106100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO GOOD (65800 KNOT-FT)  
EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(150800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............26 28 30 32 34 36 37 39 40 40 39 38  
RH..............64 59 53 47 42 39 36 33 32 32 33 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 10 12 12 13 14 15 15 14 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 18 21 23 24 25 26 26 26 25 23 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.6 4.2 4.7 5.2 5.5 5.4 4.5 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 20 24 29 30 29 29 30 31 31 28 23  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 27 48 73 92 106 117 137 151 147 108 66  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD EXL VGD VGD GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...TREVINO  
REQUESTED BY...STEVE SCHELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603222.1/PAH  
.DELDT 02/20/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROSS.GLENN@MDC.MO.GOV,STEVE.SCHELL@MDC.MO.GOV  
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