858
FNUS73 KPAH 221101
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR BAT CAVE RIDGE...MISSOURI DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
501 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON FEBRUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
VERY GOOD DISPERSION IS EXPECTED TODAY WITH DECENT MIXING AND
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT IN THE
25-30% RANGE, WHILE SUSTAINED 20FT WINDS WILL BE AT 10-15 MPH
THROUGH THE DAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL CLIMB ABOVE 1700' AGL BY 8
AM AND RANGE FROM 3000-3500' AGL ALL AFTERNOON.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO 65-70% TONIGHT, WHILE WINDS
DROP WELL BELOW 10 MPH. WINDS AND MIXING DEPTH WILL EACH DECREASE
SUBSTANTIALLY FOR MONDAY, WHEN DISPERSION WILL BE FAIR AT BEST AND
THEN ONLY IN THE MORNING. WINDS IN THE AFTERNOON WILL BECOME
NEARLY CALM. IT WILL REMAIN DRY WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AROUND 25%.
SOUTHWESTERLY 20FT WINDS SHOULD REMAIN UNDER 10 MPH TUESDAY WITH
RELATIVE HUMIDITY DIPPING TO AROUND 25% AGAIN. DECENT MIXING DEPTH
SHOULD ALLOW FOR GOOD DISPERSION TUESDAY.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........25 AT IGNITION...MAX 37.
RH..................52 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 31 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 23 TO 32 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /25300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...VERY
GOOD /102100 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............25 24 24 24 27 30 33 35 37 37 36 35
RH..............52 52 52 52 46 41 34 32 29 29 30 30
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 9 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 8
20 FT WIND GUST.26 28 30 31 31 30 29 30 30 30 29 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.2 2.8 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.7 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 25 31 32 31 32 31 31 31 31 30 31
VRATE KT-FT/1K..25 26 76 88 88 99 96 101 100 102 97 100
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR GD GD GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD GD VGD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 13.
RH..................MAX 61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (65500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (24100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 30 28 26 24 23 21 19 18 16 15 14
RH..............34 37 40 44 48 50 54 56 56 61 61 61
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.21 22 23 22 23 23 23 23 22 22 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.6 1.3 1.2 2.1 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 21 21 23 28 30 30 28 28 26 25 25
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 29 24 25 51 66 65 60 61 57 57 60
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD FR GD FR FR FR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 39.
RH..................MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
20 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 13 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (55700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............13 13 22 31 38 38
RH..............61 58 45 32 26 26
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 3 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 17 15 13 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.5 2.6 2.8 3.0 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 21 18 16 13 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..56 45 41 39 32 14
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR FAIR FAIR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...SPAETH
REQUESTED BY...HARLEE SCHERRER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603214.3/PAH
.DELDT 02/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL HARLEE.SCHERRER@DNR.MO.GOV,HARLEEJOSEPH@GMAIL.COM
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