427  
FNUS73 KPAH 192051  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SCOTT SANDS...MDC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
251 PM CST THU FEB 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 CST ON FEBRUARY 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED FRIDAY WITH WEST WINDS GRADUALLY  
DECREASING THROUGH THE DAY. MINIMUM AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL FALL  
INTO THE 30-35% RANGE WITH MIXING HEIGHTS OF 3000-3500 FEET.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MIN 38.  
RH..................48 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 17 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
WEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 16 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /14200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MIN...POOR  
/14200 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 51 49 46 42 40  
RH..............48 54 52 53 60 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..14 12 12 12 12 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 26 25 24 23 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.0 0.9 1.5 1.7 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 21 21 17 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 19 17 27 26 23  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 54.  
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 8 TO 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7900 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 38 40 41 44 46 49 51 52 54 54 52  
RH..............62 62 55 50 47 43 39 37 36 34 34 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 9 9 9 8 7 7 6 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 18 18 20 17 17 15 15 13 10 9 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.6 2.2 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.4 2.7 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 20 18 18 16 15 14 13 12 10 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 19 37 36 40 38 37 36 34 34 24 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 37.  
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 5  
TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 49 47 45 45 44 43 42 41 39 38 38  
RH..............46 49 53 60 63 67 70 74 74 74 75 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N NE NE NE N N N NE NE NE N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NE NE NE NE NE N N NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 12 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 2 2 3 4 5 8 10 11 10 9  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 46.  
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8000 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 38 39 40 41 43 44 45 46 46 46 45  
RH..............71 70 65 62 58 53 50 49 48 48 48 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 15 16 16 17 17 17 17 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.0 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.5 2.1 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 14 15 15 14 13 14 15 15 13 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 11 15 20 23 25 25 29 33 32 23 14  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...TREVINO  
REQUESTED BY...STEVE SCHELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603222.0/PAH  
.DELDT 02/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROSS.GLENN@MDC.MO.GOV,STEVE.SCHELL@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
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