823
FNUS73 KPAH 172312
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR SUTTON CREEK...MDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
512 PM CST TUE FEB 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 CST ON FEBRUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
FAIR OR GOOD DISPERSION IS FORECAST FROM NOON TO 5 PM. RELATIVE
HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO AROUND 25% AT 3 PM, COINCIDING WITH THE
STRONGEST AND DEEPEST MIXING/INSTABILITY AND THE BEST DISPERSION.
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 7 MPH, BUT IN LESS
SHELTERED AREAS IN THE AFTERNOON THEY COULD CLIMB UP TO 10 MPH
WITH SOME GUSTINESS UP TO 15 MPH. CLEAR AND CALM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT, AND RELATIVE HUMIDITY SHOULD RECOVER TO
NEAR 90%.
WE ASSUMED THIS WAS FOR A DAYTIME BURN WEDNESDAY. PLEASE GIVE US
A CALL IF THIS ISN'T THE CASE. WE WILL HAVE UPDATED FORECAST
INFORMATION OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. PLEASE RESUBMIT THE REQUEST IF YOU
WANT TO SEE THAT UPDATED FORECAST.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MIN 56.
RH..................83 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1400 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 13
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /33600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MIN...POOR
/15300 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CDY MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............57 57 57 57 57 57
RH..............83 80 83 83 86 86
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 25 24 22 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 20 18 16 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..34 34 32 29 24 15
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST
5 TO 7 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 9
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (79100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC PC PC PC PC PC MC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 56 57 60 63 67 71 73 74 75 74 70
RH..............90 83 77 67 56 43 33 28 26 25 27 34
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 5 6 5 5 6 6 7 6 3
20 FT WIND GUST.18 17 16 15 15 14 14 14 15 15 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.2 2.5 3.1 3.9 4.7 5.3 4.1 1.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 14 14 12 9 10 13 16 17 15 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 13 16 19 22 20 28 43 65 79 54 9
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD FR PR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............67 62 60 58 58 57 56 55 54 53 53 53
RH..............39 48 55 64 69 75 80 83 83 86 86 86
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 12 13 14 14 13 12 9 9 10 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 4 6 8 10 10 9 7 4 3 4 6
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...SPAETH
REQUESTED BY...KEELEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2602989.0/PAH
.DELDT 02/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MIKE.KEELEY@MDC.MO.GOV
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