612
FXUS63 KLMK 020538
AFDLMK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
138 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DAILY SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES WILL CONTINUE INTO THE MIDDLE OF
THE WEEK, BUT THE SEVERE WEATHER RISK APPEARS LOW.
* TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND LATE THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND WITH
NEAR NORMAL HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/
ISSUED AT 138 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2026
*** TODAY - MONDAY NIGHT ***
PATCHY FOG AND DRIZZLE WILL BE POSSIBLE IN AREAS THIS MORNING WITH
THE WRAP AROUND MOISTURE FROM THE LOW PRESSURE. SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON AS THE LOW
BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY OVERHEAD. THE COMBINATION OF OVERCAST
SKIES AND POST FRONTAL AIRMASS WILL KEEP MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES
SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. THERE IS A CHANCE
AREAS COULD SEE SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES TODAY IF THE CLOUD
COVER BEGINS TO SUBSIDE. RAIN CHANCES (20-40%) CONTINUE FOR MONDAY
MOSTLY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL KY AND THE BLUE GRASS AREA. A FEW RUMBLES
OF THUNDER WILL BE POSSISLIGHTLYBLE (20% CHANCE) TOMORROW
AFTERNOON WITH ANY DIURNALLY DRIVEN INSTABILITY, BUT NO SEVERE
THREAT IS EXPECTED. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE TOMORROW NIGHT
LEADING TO ANOTHER POTENTIAL FOG IN AREAS WITH THE ADDED
MOISTURE FROM THE DAYS RAIN SHOWERS.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 138 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2026
*** TUESDAY - SATURDAY NIGHT ***
DAILY RAIN CHANCES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY AS THE CUTOFF LOW
REMAINS. THE NORTHERN JET STREAM WILL EVENTUALLY LIFT THE LOW OUT OF
THE AREA WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR A MORE ZONAL
FLOW ALOFT AND A WARMER AIRMASS TO BUILD INTO THE REGION.
TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO NEAR NORMAL BY THURSDAY WITH HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 80S AND LOW 90S HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. FLOW ALOFT KEEPS
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AROUND FOR THE WEEKEND, LEADING TO HUMID
CONDITIONS WITH DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW TO MID 70S. A SHORTWAVE TROUGH
DISTURBANCE IS EXPECTED TO KEEP RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AREA THROUGH THE
WEEKEND.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 138 AM EDT SUN AUG 2 2026
A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL SPIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE CURRENT
FORECAST PERIOD, WITH AMPLE LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE BRINGING ROUNDS OF
LOW CLOUDS, PATCHY DRIZZLE/MIST, AND SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS. TIMING
OUT FLUCTUATIONS IN CATEGORIES IS FAIRLY LOW CONFIDENCE OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS, THOUGH A GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND TOWARD LOW MVFR/IFR
CIGS IS EXPECTED BETWEEN NOW AND 10-12Z. MVFR VIS IS ALSO EXPECTED
NEAR AREA TERMINALS, ESPECIALLY HNB, LATER THIS MORNING, AS PATCHES
OF MIST SETTLE INTO THE AREA. BY MID-MORNING, A GRADUAL IMPROVEMENT
IN CATEGORIES IS EXPECTED AS MOISTURE MIXES UPWARD; HOWEVER, THIS
WILL ALSO CAUSE SCATTERED SHOWERS TO DEVELOP. A BRIEF WINDOW FOR VFR
CONDITIONS IS POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS SUNDAY
BEFORE CIGS FALL AGAIN SUNDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL BE RELATIVELY LIGHT
THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, VEERING FROM SOUTHERLY TO NORTHWESTERLY
AT SDF/BWG/HNB.
LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SHORT TERM...CAL
LONG TERM...CAL
AVIATION...CSG
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