716
FXUS63 KLMK 170534
AFDLMK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
134 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2026
..UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGES
* BREEZY WINDS AND SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THIS EVENING.
* COOL TEMPERATURES LINGER THROUGHOUT THE WEEKEND, WITH FROST AND
POSSIBLY SOME FREEZING TEMPERATURES (OVER THE BLUEGRASS REGION) ON
SUNDAY MORNING.
* AFTER TODAY'S LIGHT RAIN, DRY AND SEASONABLE WEATHER IS EXPECTED
OVER THE WEEKEND AND NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 237 PM EDT FRI OCT 16 2026
********BREEZY AND COOL TODAY*********
WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE THIS MORNING, WINDS HAVE BEEN BREEZY OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST. WE HIT OUR MAX TEMPS THIS MORNING RIGHT BEFORE FRONTAL
PASSAGE, AND WILL HIT OUR MINS CLOSE TO MIDNIGHT. OVERNIGHT LOWS
WILL BE AROUND 40. EXPECT SPOTTY, LIGHT SHOWERS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAY.
A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION ON SATURDAY AND
THE LOW PRESSURE CONTINUE OFF TO THE NORTHEAST. THIS TIGHT PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL KEEP BREEZY CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY AFTERNOON
BEFORE WEAKENING. SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON
FROM NORTHWEST TO SOUTHEAST. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE IN THE MID-
UPPER 50S.
***********THIS WEEKEND'S CHILL***********
SUNDAY MORNING, TEMPERATURES WILL DIP INTO THE LOW TO MID 30S, WHICH
WILL BRING FROST AND A CHANCE FOR FREEZING TEMPERATURES. A FREEZE
WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR BLUEGRASS COUNTIES. THIS MAY BE UPGRADED
TO A FREEZE WARNING OR A FROST ADVISORY IN SUBSEQUENT FORECASTS.
AREAS SOUTHWEST OF THIS FREEZE WATCH MAY BE ADDED TO THE POTENTIAL
FROST ADVISORY. IN THE AFTERNOON, HIGHS WILL WARM INTO THE LOW-MID
60S.
*****************NEXT WEEK******************
WE WILL REMAIN UNDER LOOSE RIDGING AND SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE FOR
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK. THIS MEANS LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND HIGHS
CREEPING UP INTO THE UPPER 60S ON MONDAY, 70S THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK, AND POTENTIALLY SCRAPING 80 IN A FEW SOUTHWESTERN SPOTS
BY THE END OF NEXT WEEK. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL REMAIN IN THE 40S FOR
NEXT WEEK. NORTHEASTERLY FLOW AND DRY AIR ALOFT MAY BRING SOME
CHANCES FOR DRY AIR MIX DOWN NEXT WEEK. IF THIS IS THE CASE, WE WILL
SEE DRIER AFTERNOON RHS IN THE UPPER TEENS AND LOW 20S. SHOULD BE A
SEASONABLE FALL WEEK AHEAD.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 133 AM EDT SAT OCT 17 2026
A MIX OF VFR AND MVFR CIGS WILL CONTINUE FOR SEVERAL MORE HOURS THIS
MORNING. CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TO EVENTUALLY CLEAR OUT LATER THIS
MORNING, RETURNING ALL TERMINALS TO VFR FOR THE DAYLIGHT HOURS.
WINDS WILL REMAIN FROM THE NORTH TODAY, AND SHOULD REMAIN SOMEWHAT
BREEZY. VFR CONTINUES FOR TONIGHT WITH SKC AND LIGHTER WINDS.
LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KY...FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM EDT /MIDNIGHT CDT/ TO 9 AM EDT /8 AM
CDT/ SUNDAY FOR KYZ023>035-038>040-045>048-053>057-
061>067-070>078-081-082.
FREEZE WARNING FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM EDT SUNDAY FOR KYZ036-037-
041>043-049.
IN...FROST ADVISORY FROM 1 AM EDT /MIDNIGHT CDT/ TO 9 AM EDT /8 AM
CDT/ SUNDAY FOR INZ076>079-083-084-089>092.
DISCUSSION...SRW/JPH
AVIATION...CJP
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