104  
FXUS63 KPAH 162322  
AFDPAH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
622 PM CDT MON SEP 16 2024  
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST  
MISSOURI THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON.  
 
- WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK  
INTO NEXT WEEKEND.  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 233 PM CDT MON SEP 16 2024  
 
CLOUDS HAVE BROKEN UP OVER ALL SOUTHEAST MISSOURI THIS  
AFTERNOON, WHICH SHOULD ALLOW FOR SOME DECENT HEATING TO GO WITH  
UPPER 60 DEWPOINTS. THIS AIR MASS MAY BE JUST JUICY ENOUGH TO  
SQUEEZE OUT A COUPLE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS LATE THIS  
AFTERNOON. SHEAR IS WEAK, SO BRIEF HEAVY DOWNPOURS AND LIGHTNING  
WILL BE THE PRIMARY CONCERNS.  
 
HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT WILL BUILD OVER THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY,  
AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE BRINGS DRIER AND SLIGHTLY LESS HOT AIR  
TO THE REGION. THE RIDGE WILL GET PINCHED BETWEEN A CUT OFF LOW  
OVER THE APPALACHIANS AND SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW OVER THE PLAINS  
OVER THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. EVENTUALLY, THAT SOUTHWESTERLY  
FLOW WILL ATTEMPT TO PUSH EASTWARD THIS WEEKEND, AND TRY TO PUSH  
SOME SHOWERS INTO SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN ILLINOIS. THE  
NBM POPS (20-30%) BEGIN ON SUNDAY AND CONTINUE INTO NEXT MONDAY,  
BUT SEEM OVERDONE AT THIS TIME. THERE CERTAINLY AREN'T ANY SIGNS  
OF DROUGHT BUSTING RAINS IN THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE.  
 
AS FOR TEMPERATURES, IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THE COOLEST AIR WILL BE  
TUESDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHT AND THAT WILL STILL BE NEAR, IF NOT  
SLIGHTLY ABOVE NORMAL. THEN, TEMPERATURES WARM SLIGHTLY HEADING  
INTO NEXT WEEKEND. WINDS WILL REMAIN LIGHT, AS THE SURFACE HIGH  
PROVES DIFFICULT TO MOVE, SO NO MAJOR INCREASE IN HUMIDITY IS  
EXPECTED.  
 

 
   
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
 
 
ISSUED AT 620 PM CDT MON SEP 16 2024  
 
MAIN AVIATION CONCERN TONIGHT WILL BE FOG POTENTIAL AT CGI AND  
POTENTIALLY MVN. OTHERWISE, WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE SHORTLY AND  
REMAIN LIGHT TONIGHT. VFR EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.  
 

 
   
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
IL...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
IN...NONE.  
KY...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION...DRS  
AVIATION...AD  
 
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