619
FXUS63 KPAH 300739
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
239 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE PROJECTED TO REMAIN THROUGH THE
WEEKEND WITH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AROUND 10 DEGREES BELOW
NORMAL; TEMPERATURES THEN MODERATE FOR THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT
WEEK.
- A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IS FORECAST IN THE NORTH TONIGHT,
ALONG WITH HIGHER CHANCES OF SHOWERS IN THE NORTH/EAST SUNDAY
NIGHT, BUT MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY HOLDS OFF
UNTIL TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 238 AM CDT THU APR 30 2026
A BROAD AREA OF TROUGHING ACROSS MOST OF THE COUNTRY WILL RESULT
IN CONTINUED BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THROUGH THE WEEKEND FOR
THE QUAD STATE. WINDS ARE GENERALLY LIGHT WITH NORTHERLY
COMPONENTS THROUGH SATURDAY. UPPER LOW PRESSURE IS POSITIONED IN
ONTARIO WITH SMALLER DISTURBANCES ROUNDING THE BASE. A FAIRLY
MOISTURE STARVED COLD FRONT TONIGHT BRINGS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS TO THE NORTH. A SECOND UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVING
THROUGH SATURDAY IS GENERALLY CONSIDERED DRY IN MOST MODELS.
A RETURN TO MORE SOUTHERLY FLOW AND THE BEGINNING OF A WARMING
TREND COMMENCES SUNDAY. THE NBM SEEMS TO BE OVERLY DISMISSIVE
OF RAINFALL POTENTIAL SUNDAY NIGHT (10-25%), SO POPS HAVE BEEN
ADJUSTED UPWARDS CLOSER TO THE LREF (20-50%), THOUGH QPF ONLY
RISES TO AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH IN THE FAR NORTH.
A PATTERN SHIFT EARLY NEXT WEEK PLACES HIGH PRESSURE IN THE
SOUTHEAST AND TRACKS IMPULSES THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY,
JOINED BY GULF MOISTURE, ALLOWING FOR MORE WIDESPREAD SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY DURING THE TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY TIMEFRAME.
TEMPERATURES RISE EARLY NEXT WEEK, ESPECIALLY THE LOWS, AS
BREEZES KEEP OVERNIGHT TEMPERATURES ELEVATED. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
AROUND AN INCH ARE FORECAST, THOUGH ADJUSTMENTS ARE POSSIBLE.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 517 PM CDT WED APR 29 2026
TRANQUIL FLIGHT WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
RIDGES OVERHEAD; WINDS/GUSTS RELAX TONIGHT IN RESPONSE. GRIDDED
TIME/HEIGHT CROSS SECTIONS SUGGEST SOME INCREASE IN MID-HIGH
BASES TMRW DURING THE PLANNING PHASE HOURS OF THE FORECAST, BUT
OFFERS NO IMPEDIMENT TO A CONTINUED VISUAL FLIGHT RULES ENVIRON.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page