784
FXUS63 KPAH 060728
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
228 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A ANOTHER SURGE OF COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE ARRIVES TONIGHT.
TUESDAY WILL BE AROUND 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL, THEN SOME LIGHT
FROST WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER MUCH OF THE QUAD STATE TUESDAY
NIGHT.
- WELL ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN WEDNESDAY AND
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND. DAILY CHANCES OF RAIN WILL
ENCROACH ON THE REGION FROM THE NORTH AND WEST BEGINNING
THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 228 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
WINDS WILL BRIEFLY PICK UP FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING AND THEN
SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BY MIDDAY, AS COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
BEGINS TO BUILD ACROSS THE QUAD STATE. TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL
CLIMB TO NORMAL LEVELS, THEN TREND ABOUT 5 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL
ON TUESDAY. WITH DEWPOINTS FORECAST TO BE AT OR BELOW FREEZING
ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT, WE ARE COUNTING ON
RELATIVELY LIGHT EAST WINDS TO KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM PLUMMETING
CLOSER TO THE FREEZING MARK. WITH THE CURRENT FORECAST IN THE
UPPER 30S OVER MUCH OF THE REGION, ANY MORE COOLING COULD RESULT
IN FROST FORMATION.
THE SURFACE HIGH QUICKLY SHIFTS EAST OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY,
ALLOWING SOUTH WINDS TO DEVELOP AND TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB ABOVE
NORMAL INTO THE 70S AT LEAST OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE
REGION. AS MID-LEVEL HEIGHTS CLIMB THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK
AND THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND, A PROLONGED PERIOD OF WELL ABOVE
NORMAL TEMPERATURES IS FORECAST. 80 DEGREE READINGS COULD
RETURN FOR NEXT WEEKEND, IF THE CONVECTION STAYS NORTH AND WEST
OF THE QUAD STATE.
SPEAKING OF CONVECTION, THE NBM HAS UP TO 45% POPS, MAINLY IN
OUR NORTHWEST, BEGINNING THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH NEXT
MONDAY. HOWEVER, SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND WHICH WILL SEVERELY
LIMIT MOISTURE RETURN AND CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL ACROSS THE QUAD
STATE. MEANWHILE, AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE WILL BE BUILDING
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE AND OHIO VALLEYS. AT THIS POINT,
ODDS ARE THAT MUCH, IF NOT ALL, OF THE QUAD STATE WILL REMAIN
DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND, ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB BACK TO
THE 80S POSSIBLY AS EARLY AS FRIDAY.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 611 PM CDT SUN APR 5 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. WINDS
WILL GO LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND POSSIBLY CALM AT TIMES.
SKIES SHOULD REMAIN CLEAR THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. WINDS
WILL BE MODEST TOMORROW OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 7-10
KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DRS
AVIATION...HICKFORD
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