175
FXUS63 KPAH 081807
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
107 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN CHANCES COME BACK INTO THE FORECAST FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
OVERNIGHT AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. HOWEVER
BENEFICIAL RAIN LOOKS TO ELUDE US UNTIL MAYBE TUESDAY NIGHT
INTO WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 106 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
SFC HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEAST TODAY BRINGS US SOUTHERLY
RETURN FLOW AND WARMING TEMPERATURES. HIGHS ON TRACK FOR THE LOWER
TO MID 70S TODAY AND MID TO UPPER 70S TOMORROW. WE TRANSITION TO
MORE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT AS AN UPPER LEVEL LOW MOVES NORTHEAST INTO
CENTRAL AND EASTERN CANADA TOMORROW. THE ATTENDANT COLD FRONT
STRETCHES NORTHEAST TO SOUTHWEST THROUGH NORTHERN IL AND NORTHERN MO
TOMORROW MORNING, THEN BECOMES MORE EAST TO WEST ORIENTED AND STALLS
OUT THERE BY FRIDAY MORNING.
AS A SECONDARY BROAD TROF ALOFT PUSHES EAST THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES,
THE FRONT IS PUSHED DOWN INTO OUR AREA FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY
MORNING. THIS WILL SERVE AS THE FOCUS FOR SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS
FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT (20-40% CHANCE) MAINLY NORTH AND WEST
OF THE OHIO RIVER. NBM CHANCE OF GREATER THAN 0.1" OF PRECIP IS 30-
40% NORTHWEST OF A LINE FROM EVANSVILLE, IN TO CAPE GIRARDEAU, MO.
THE LREF CHANCE OF >0.1" OF PRECIP IS ALSO 30-40% NORTHWEST OF A
LINE FROM EVANSVILLE, IN TO CARBONDALE, IL. LINGERING SMALL CHANCES
(15-20%) FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS EXIST ON SATURDAY. THE STALLED FRONT
LIFTS BACK NORTH ON SUNDAY.
RISING HEIGHTS AND RIDGING ALOFT FOR SUNDAY KEEPS US DRY AND WARMS
THE TEMPERATURES UP INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S. TEMPERATURES STAY IN
THE 80S THROUGH EARLY WEEK AS WE TRANSITION TO MORE ACTIVE SOUTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT. WITH THE RETURN OF MOISTURE, A FEW POCKETS OF ENERGY
BRING BACK RAIN CHANCES (30-50%) SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY MORNING
AND AGAIN MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY (30-50%). WHILE IT IS STILL
TOO EARLY FOR SPECIFICS, PORTIONS OF SEMO ARE OUTLOOKED IN THE 15%
REGION FOR DAY 7 (TUESDAY) BY SPC. THE CSU MLP DEPICTS A BROAD 5%
AREA THROUGH MOST OF THE CWA WITH A SPOTTY 15% AREA NOT TOO FAR
AWAY. THIS WILL BE SOMETHING TO KEEP AN EYE ON AS IT GETS CLOSER.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1223 PM CDT WED APR 8 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. ON
SATELLITE, SOME VERY THIN HIGH CIRRUS STREAMING ACROSS THE AREA
TODAY. WINDS ARE MODEST OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST AT AROUND 6-10 KTS.
SKIES WILL CLEAR OVERNIGHT AND WINDS WILL TURN MORE SOUTHERLY
FOR TOMORROW. WINDS WILL PICK UP TOMORROW AT AROUND 8-12 KTS
WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 20 KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...HICKFORD
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