761
FXUS63 KPAH 012318
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
618 PM CDT WED APR 1 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL HIGHS RANGING THROUGH THE 70S TO LOWER 80S
CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY. A MARKED COOL DOWN FOLLOWS BY
SUNDAY WITH TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL FOR EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
- GUSTY WINDS AGAIN THURSDAY WILL PUSH ADVISORY LEVEL THRESHOLDS
AS 30-40 MPH GUSTS WILL BE COMMONPLACE.
- STORM CHANCES WILL BE SCATTERED TIL THE APPROACHING STORM
SYSTEM MAKES PASSAGE THIS WEEKEND; BEST CHANCE OF STRONGER
STORMS APPEARS THURSDAY AND SATURDAY. RAIN TOTALS THRU THE
WEEKEND STILL LOOK TO BE IN THE 1-2" RANGE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1215 PM CDT WED APR 1 2026
NEAR TERM STORM CHANCES WILL BE TIED TO THE SURFACE BOUNDARY
WOBBLING JUST TO OUR NORTH AND WEST. AS IMPLULSES OF ENERGY
PERTURBATE ALONG IT, WE'LL SEE A SIMILAR TO CURRENT MIGRATION OF
SHOWERS/EMBEDDED STORMS RIDGE THE BOUNDARY. WE FULLY WARM SECTOR
WITH TIME, SHIFTING CHANCES LARGELY NORTH (AND WEST) OF US.
STILL, THERE'S ENOUGH BLEED-OVER TO CONTINUE A SMALL CHANCE
ACROSS MAINLY OUR NORTH, WHERE SPC NOW OUTLOOKS MRGL RISK SVR
FOR AN ISOLATED STRONGER/SVR STORM POSSIBLE MAINLY ALONG/NORTH
OF I-64.
PERHAPS SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES, ALBEIT STILL MRGL RISK SVR,
OCCUR THURSDAY AFTERNOON-EVENING, BUT EVEN THEN WE ARE STILL
FULLY WARM SECTORED AND BEST CHANCES LOOK TO REMAIN TO OUR NORTH
AS THE FIRST WAVE LIFTS ALONG/OVER THE BOUNDARY. ALL SVR HAZARDS
ARE IN PLAY, HOWEVER, SHOULD WE HAVE ONE GO ROGUE. THE MORE
COMMONPLACE HAZARD WILL BE GUSTY WINDS 30-40 MPH THAT MAY PUSH
ADVISORY LEVELS AT TIMES WITH HIGHER GUST POTENTIAL OUTSIDE OF
STORMS; A WIND ADVISORY MAY BE CONSIDERED.
AFTER 1ST WAVE PASSAGE AND A PAUSE, NEXT BEST CHANCES PICKUP
WITH THE PRIMARY/MORE ROBUST WAVE'S APPROACH/PASSAGE THIS
WEEKEND, SPECIFICALLY SATURDAY. AVERAGE STORM TOTAL QPF NOW THRU
THE WEEKEND REMAINS IN THE 1-2" FORECAST RANGE.
THE STRONG COLD FROPA THAT OCCURS THIS WEEKEND WILL COOL US BACK
TOWARD SEASONAL NUMBERS, EVEN JUST SHY, THRU THE EARLY HALF OF
THE NEW WEEK. SUNDAY NIGHT LOOKS COOLEST WITH 30S ENTERING THE
FORECAST, SO IF CLOUDS CLEAR/WINDS DIMINISH AND THE TIMING IS
RIGHT, PATCHY FROST POTENTIAL IS BEST THEN.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 618 PM CDT WED APR 1 2026
AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM MAY LINGER ACROSS PARTS OF NORTHWEST
KENTUCKY THROUGH 01Z BUT PREVAILING VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
ACROSS THE AREA OVENRIGHT. WINDS WILL PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTH
TO SOUTHWEST LATE TONIGHT AND BECOME STRONG AND GUSTY FROM THE
SOUTHWEST DURING THE DAY ON THURSDAY. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL
BECOME POSSIBLE AS A FRONT BEGINS AN APPROACH FROM THE WEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...JGG
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