116
FXUS63 KPAH 042309
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
609 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A COLD FRONT'S PASSAGE WILL BRING AN END TO LINGERING
SHOWER/STORM CHANCES AND COOL TEMPERATURES CLOSER TO SEASONAL
FOR THE FIRST HALF OF THE NEW WEEK.
- ANOTHER WARMUP TO ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED
OVER THE BACK HALF OF THE COMING WEEK, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING BY WEEK'S END.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
A COLD FRONT HAS ENTERED THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF THE CWA, AND
IS POISED TO MAKE PASSAGE THIS AFTERNOON. IT WILL DRAW DOWN ON
THE CHANCE OF RAIN, AS COOLER AND DRIER AIR BEGINS ITS SPREAD
INTO/ACROSS THE REGION. THIS COOLER AIR WILL SEE US RETURN
CLOSER TO SEASONAL NORMS FOR THE BEGINNING HALF OF THE NEW WEEK
AS HIGH PRESSURE BECOMES THE PREDOMINANT SYNOPTIC FEATURE OF
SENSIBLE WX INFLUENCE.
LOOKING AT THE THERMAL AND ISODROSOTHERMAL PARAMETERS EARLY IN
THE WEEK, WE SEE 30S DEW POINTS DOORSTEP US BY 00Z THIS EVENING,
WITH 30S ENSCONCED REGION-WIDE BY 12Z TMRW, WHERE THEY STAY TIL
MONDAY NIGHT. THAT'S WHEN WE SEE SOME 20S DEW POINTS SNEAK IN,
AND WITH LOWS IN THE 30S IN OUR NORTH AND WEST, MAY OFFER THE
BEST CHANCE OF FROST THERE MONDAY NIGHT. SOME COMBO OF
WIND/CLOUD MAY PRECLUDE ITS WIDER SPREAD POTENTIAL TIL THEN, AND
COULD DO SO MONDAY NIGHT AS WELL...SOMETHING TO TRACK WITH TIME.
THE HIGH SHIFTS EAST OVER THE BACK HALF OF THE WEEK, ALLOWING
FOR RETURN FLOW SOUTHERLIES TO DEVELOP. THIS WILL LEAD TO WARMER
TEMPERATURES GOING ABOVE SEASONAL AGAIN, AND EVENTUALLY BY
WEEK'S END, SEES THE CHANCE OF RAIN REENTER THE FORECAST.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 605 PM CDT SAT APR 4 2026
RAIN AND MVFR CLOUDS ARE SLOWLY MOVING OFF TO THE EAST THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT. SKIES WILL CLEAR OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.
WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT AT 3-5 KTS OVERNIGHT OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST. SOME LAST MINUTE FOG MAY DEVELOP NEAR SUNRISE AT CGI
AND MVN, BUT CONFIDENCE IS TOO LOW TO INCLUDE ANY AT THIS TIME.
WINDS WILL PICK UP TOMORROW OUT OF THE NORTHWEST AT AROUND 10-14
KTS WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS AROUND 18-23 KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...HICKFORD
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