869
FXUS63 KPAH 240719
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
219 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THE WEEK WILL BEGIN ON A DRY NOTE WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES, AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO REMAIN OVERHEAD.
- THE NEXT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
ENTIRE REGION IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
- TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB THROUGH THE WEEK
EVENTUALLY REACHING THE LOW 90S BY THIS WEEKEND AS SOUTHERLY
WINDS RETURN, ALONG WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS BEGINNING
WEDNESDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 216 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
THE REGION CONTINUES TO SIT BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER
THE SOUTHWEST CONUS AND THE TROUGH OVER THE NE CONUS WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. RECENT MODEL GUIDANCE HAS
SHIFTED THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WEST, AND AS A RESULT, SHIFTED THE
SHORTWAVES AND SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS EXPECTED TODAY AND
TUESDAY WEST OF SEMO. THEREFORE, DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING, SMALL CHANCES (20-30%) FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXIST ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AS
ANOTHER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH. HOWEVER, FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THESE SHOWERS ARE LOW
DUE TO THE LACK OF AGREEMENT ACROSS MID AND LONG RANGE MODELS.
BEGINNING WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM, HIGHER DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S WILL RETURN RESULTING IN HIGHER HUMIDITY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE CLIMB AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES.
CURRENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT BY THE WEEKEND WE COULD SEE HIGHS
BACK INTO THE LOW 90S, AS SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1135 PM CDT SUN AUG 23 2026
LOOKING AT CROSSOVER TEMPERATURE POTENTIAL, MVN LOOKS TO HAVE
THE GREATEST CHANCE OF REACHING THEIR CROSSOVER TEMP TONIGHT
AND SEEING FOG FORMATION (AND BASED ON HOW THEY SAW FOG LAST
NIGHT). PAH MAY SEE SOME PATCHY FOG AS WELL BUT POSSIBLY NOT AS
GREAT OF A DROP IN VSBY AS MVN. HIGH CLOUDS STREAMING OVER THE
SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF THE AREA WILL LIKELY INHIBIT FOG
FORMATION AT CGI TONIGHT. EVV AND OWB MIXED FAIRLY DEEP TODAY
AND THEIR CROSSOVER TEMPS ARE MORE OUT OF REACH EVEN WITH CLEAR
SKIES AND CALM WINDS. HIGH CLOUDS RESUME TOMORROW ACROSS THE
AREA WITH LIGHT WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST BY SUNSET.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AZ
AVIATION...HICKFORD
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