016
FXUS63 KPAH 231119
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
619 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- ANOTHER COOL DAY IS IN STORE WITH HIGHS IN THE 70S.
- TEMPS WILL POTENTIALLY WARM UP AGAIN INTO THE MID-UPPER 80S TO
START NEXT WORK WEEK.
- NEXT SYSTEM COULD BE MID WEEK NEXT WEEK WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR
WIDESPREAD RAIN CHANCES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 234 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2026
LOWERED HIGHS FOR TODAY AS NBM LOOKS TO BE TOO WARM AGAIN GIVEN THE
EXPECTED CLOUD COVER TODAY AND YESTERDAY'S OUTCOME. THE UPPER LOW
DRIFTS SOUTHEAST TODAY AND CLOUD COVER SHOULD DIMINISH ACCORDINGLY
LATER ON. UPPER RIDGING BUILDS OVER THE MIDWEST THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A SHORTWAVE TO SQUASH THE RIDGE
TEMPORARILY THIS WEEKEND WHICH COULD LEAD TO SOME PRECIP CHANCES ON
SUNDAY. CONFIDENCE ISN'T HIGH AT THIS TIME THOUGH DUE TO MODEL
DISCREPANCIES. NBM IS MAINLY DRY AT THIS POINT EXCEPT FOR A SMALL
AREA IN SEMO WITH 20% POPS ON SUNDAY.
THE NEXT MAIN SYSTEM LOOKS TO COME THROUGH AROUND MID-WEEK WITH A
LONGWAVE TROF ALOFT. TIMING IS LOW CONFIDENCE AT THIS POINT. NBM
BRINGS IN WIDESPREAD POPS FROM THE WEST BY TUESDAY EVENING AND THEY
RAMP UP INTO WEDNESDAY. ALL OF THIS IS STILL A WAYS OUT AND SUBJECT
TO CHANGE OF COURSE.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 617 AM CDT WED SEP 23 2026
MVFR AND SOME IFR CIGS ARE SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING.
IT WILL TAKE A WHILE FOR CIGS TO LIFT TO VFR THIS AFTERNOON.
CLOUD COVER WILL REMAIN BKN TO OVC THROUGHOUT MOST OF THE DAY
AND WILL ONLY START TO SCATTER OUT LATER THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AT AROUND 5-8 KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...HICKFORD
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