921  
FNUS53 KJKL 160906  
FWFJKL  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN KENTUCKY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
506 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL THREATEN THE PORTIONS  
OF THE AREA THROUGH MUCH OF THE WEEK, WITH THE PRIMARY THREAT  
BEING HEAVY RAINFALL. THE CHANCES OF PRECIPITATION WILL PEAK  
WEDNESDAY, AS WHAT IS LEFT OF BARRY MOVES INTO THE OHIO VALLEY. BY  
THE END OF THE WEEK, WARM TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH INCREASING  
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL LEAD TO HEAT INDICES IN AND AROUND THE 100  
DEGREE MARK.  
 
KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-111-119-162115-  
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-  
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-LEE-MARTIN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF FLEMINGSBURG, CAMARGO, JEFFERSONVILLE,  
MOUNT STERLING, OWINGSVILLE, MOREHEAD, IRVINE, RAVENNA,  
CLAY CITY, STANTON, FRENCHBURG, SANDY HOOK, WEST LIBERTY,  
PAINTSVILLE, CAMPTON, SALYERSVILLE, BEATTYVILLE, AND INEZ  
506 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 50 80  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 86-89 (+1) 71-74 (+5) 80-83  
RH % (24H TREND) 51-56 (-4) 81-97 (-3) 67-74  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 2-6 G18 SW 4-8 G21  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) SW 4-8 G20 LGT/VAR SW 4-8 G21  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 4  
PRECIP BEGIN CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.57  
LAL 2 4 4  
HAINES INDEX (MID) 3 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7600 4800  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 18 SW 17  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 121451 74144  
ADI EARLY 54 GEN GOOD 4 VERY POOR 54 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 66 GOOD 9 POOR 53 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 5 4  
 
REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH  
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS  
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS  
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.  
 

 
 
KYZ079-083-162115-  
PULASKI-WAYNE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BURNSIDE, SOMERSET, AND MONTICELLO  
506 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 50 80  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 87-88 (+1) 70-72 (+3) 81-82  
RH % (24H TREND) 52-55 (-7) 87-100 (0) 70-75  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 3-7 G20 SW 5-9 G22  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) SW 5-9 G22 S 2-6 G14 SW 5-9 G19  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 4  
PRECIP BEGIN CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.05 0.70  
LAL 2 4 4  
HAINES INDEX (MID) 3 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7100 2300  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 21 SW 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 127253 37323  
ADI EARLY 88 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 27 FAIR  
ADI LATE 95 GOOD 9 POOR 39 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 5 6  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 6 4  
 
REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH  
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS  
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS  
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.  
 

 
 
KYZ068-069-080-084>088-114-116-162115-  
ROCKCASTLE-JACKSON-LAUREL-MCCREARY-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-  
OWSLEY-CLAY-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BRODHEAD, MOUNT VERNON, MCKEE, ANNVILLE,  
LONDON, STEARNS, WHITLEY CITY, CORBIN, WILLIAMSBURG,  
BARBOURVILLE, MIDDLESBORO, PINEVILLE, CUMBERLAND, HARLAN,  
BOONEVILLE, AND MANCHESTER  
506 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 80  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 85-88 (+2) 67-73 (+4) 79-82  
RH % (24H TREND) 51-56 (-5) 81-97 (-2) 66-73  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) S 2-6 G17 SW 4-8 G21  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) SW 4-8 G20 S 2-6 G13 SW 4-8 G21  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 3  
PRECIP BEGIN CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.01 0.56  
LAL 2 4 4  
HAINES INDEX (MID) 3 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7400 3900  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 20 SW 21  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 122842 71300  
ADI EARLY 66 GOOD 5 VERY POOR 56 GEN GOOD  
ADI LATE 68 GOOD 6 VERY POOR 39 FAIR  
MAX LVORI EARLY 8 5 5  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 5 4  
 
REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH  
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS  
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS  
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.  
 

 
 
KYZ110-112-113-115-117-118-120-162115-  
FLOYD-BREATHITT-KNOTT-PERRY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PRESTONSBURG, WHEELWRIGHT, JACKSON,  
HINDMAN, PIPPA PASSES, HAZARD, HYDEN, JENKINS, WHITESBURG,  
COAL RUN, ELKHORN CITY, PIKEVILLE, AND SOUTH WILLIAMSON  
506 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019  
 
TODAY TONIGHT WED  
 
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY  
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 80  
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS  
TEMP (24H TREND) 85-88 (-1) 69-74 (+6) 81-84  
RH % (24H TREND) 50-53 (-3) 76-90 (-10) 60-67  
20FTWND-AM(MPH) LGT/VAR SW 4-8 G22  
20FTWND-PM(MPH) SW 3-7 G17 LGT/VAR SW 4-8 G22  
PRECIP DURATION 1 1 3  
PRECIP BEGIN CONTINUING  
PRECIP END CONTINUING  
PRECIP AMOUNT 0.00 0.00 0.39  
LAL 2 3 4  
HAINES INDEX (MID) 3 3  
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7300 5100  
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 16 SW 20  
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 99583 90737  
ADI EARLY 47 GEN GOOD 5 VERY POOR 73 GOOD  
ADI LATE 55 GEN GOOD 5 VERY POOR 59 GEN GOOD  
MAX LVORI EARLY 9 4 4  
MAX LVORI LATE 3 5 4  
 
REMARKS...RANGES OF MIN T EXCEEDING 8 DEGREES & RANGES OF MAX RH  
EXCEEDING 10% INDICATE THE LIKELIHOOD OF THERMAL BELTS. ADI IS  
ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS. DISPERSION INDEX IS  
MAGNITUDE OF VENT RATE DIVIDED BY 1000.  
 

 
 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. PATCHY DENSE FOG. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN  
10 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST  
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS  
THAN 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS AROUND  
90. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. NORTHWEST WINDS  
LESS THAN 10 MPH.  
 

 
 
DJ  
 
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