798  
FNUS73 KJKL 150926  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALUM FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
526 AM EDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TODAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
WARM, DRY, AND BREEZY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED  
TODAY, WITH MODERATING CONDITIONS THURSDAY AS A PAIR OF DISTURBANCES  
BRING SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BEGINNING LATE MORNING AND  
LASTING INTO THE OVERNIGHT. ANY STRONGER THUNDERSTORMS THAT CAN DEVELOP  
THURSDAY LATE AFTERNOON COULD PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS.  
 
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 17 TO  
20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (93300  
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (97300 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 126 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........32 45 46 22 31 34 44 41 43 46 44 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 59 60 64 70 75 78 79 82 84 85 86  
RH..............64 69 67 63 51 45 39 39 34 31 29 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 13 14 17 18 18 20 20 18 18  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 2.0 3.8 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 10 12 17 20 20 18 20 20 20 20  
LVORI...........3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............3 4 10 11 45 89 103 106 122 125 126 122  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 4 7 30 64 76 80 94 96 97 93  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (85300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (3800  
KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................112 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 5 LATE  
IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........36 31 45 33 33 32 37 42 47 49 51 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 83 79 74 71 69 67 65 63 62 61 60  
RH..............27 28 35 41 44 47 50 54 58 60 65 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 10 9 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 1.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 13 12 10 12 12 12 12 12 13 12 12  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............112 6 8 5 5 5 5 8 8 8 8 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..85 15 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 5  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 23  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (5300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO POOR (25700  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING  
TO FAIR (48200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (76100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (95200 KNOT-FT)  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (115500 KNOT-FT) EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (91700  
KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO GOOD (59500 KNOT-FT)  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 150 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 56 57 53 50 47 46 44 43 42 42 41  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 20 30 30 30 40 40 40  
TEMP............59 57 60 64 69 75 78 80 82 81 81 80  
RH..............72 80 75 67 59 48 43 39 34 34 33 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 15 17 20 21 22 22 22 23 22  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 1.6 2.8 4.2 4.4 5.0 5.8 5.8 5.1 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 18 20 21 21 22 23 23 21 17  
LVORI...........3 4 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............8 10 12 38 69 104 107 127 149 150 121 82  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 7 26 48 76 79 95 116 116 92 60  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD GD FR  
 
 
FORECASTER...CMC  
REQUESTED BY...MARIAH HEYE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2610373.0/JKL  
.DELDT 04/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBERT_VICK@NPS.GOV,KYKIC@FIRENET.GOV,MARIAH.HEYE@USDA.GOV,2026.ALUM@FIRENET.GOV,MICHAEL.TAPLEY@USDA.GOV  
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