769
FNUS73 KJKL 292149
FWSJKL
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAR CREEK UNIT 4 RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
549 PM EDT SUN MAR 29 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 EDT ON MARCH 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN WELL WEST OF THE AREA, BUT
KEEP THE SPOT AREA IN SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT THROUGH THE PERIOD.
ANY PASSING DISTURBANCE(S) WILL BE CAPABLE OF FIRING OFF SHOWER
ACTIVITY, AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE. DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON PERIODS, WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY WITH
STRONG SURFACE HEATING PRODUCING GOOD MIXING. HUMIDITY WILL BE
MODERATED DUE TO THE SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT USHERING INCREASING
MOISTURE INTO THE AREA.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............50.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...54.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 17 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (11300 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................6 TO 8.
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........14 14 15 20 25 30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............54 52 52 52 51 50
DEWPOINT........51 51 51 51 51 50
RH..............90 96 96 96 100 100
APARNT TMP (F)..54 52 52 52 51 48
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 14 14 15 15
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 15 16 16 17
LVORI...........5 6 6 6 8 8
ADI.............6 6 7 7 7 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 11 12 13 13 14
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............50 INCREASING TO 54 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...80.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 24 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 28
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
VENT RATE...........POOR (12900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(98900 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 109 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........31 33 35 37 40 42 39 37 34 35 36 37
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20
TEMP............49 49 51 55 60 65 69 72 75 78 80 80
DEWPOINT........49 49 51 54 54 55 55 54 54 53 53 53
RH..............100 100 100 96 81 70 61 53 48 42 39 39
APARNT TMP (F)..47 47 51 55 60 65 69 72 75 78 80 80
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 8 10 10 9 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 15 17 21 24 24 24 24 23 23 22
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 9 12 12 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.7 3.2 3.5 4.1 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 15 15 18 22 25 26 28 28 28 26 25
LVORI...........8 5 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............7 20 20 37 73 85 93 104 108 109 106 102
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 13 13 25 51 71 81 99 106 108 106 103
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD
TUESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN AGAIN AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............54.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...78.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 8 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO 13 TO 15
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (73400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (5700
KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............2 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
ADI.................102 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 7 LATE
IN THE NIGHT EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........36 35 34 32 31 29 29 30 30 37 43 50
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............78 75 72 71 68 65 64 63 62 61 60 59
DEWPOINT........53 53 54 54 55 55 55 55 55 55 56 56
RH..............42 46 53 55 63 70 73 75 78 81 87 90
APARNT TMP (F)..78 75 72 71 68 65 64 63 62 61 60 59
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.20 17 16 16 17 18 18 18 18 17 17 16
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S S
RIDGE WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 20 16 14 13 13 13 14 15 15 14 13
LVORI...........1 2 2 M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............102 13 7 M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..73 28 8 7 7 8 7 8 8 8 7 6
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN
THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............57.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...79.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 17 TO 22
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........POOR (5400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO MARGINAL
(32300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO FAIR (48000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
MORNING INCREASING TO GOOD (65400 KNOT-FT)
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO GOOD
(94400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO EXCELLENT (103700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO GOOD (73900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............N/A.
ADI.................N/A.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........55 60 65 65 66 66 64 62 80 80 80 80
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 40 40 40 40 40 40 80 80 80 80
TEMP............58 57 56 59 63 66 69 72 74 76 77 79
DEWPOINT........57 57 56 59 59 59 59 58 58 58 57 57
RH..............96 100 100 100 87 78 70 61 57 54 50 47
APARNT TMP (F)..58 57 56 59 63 66 69 72 74 76 77 79
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 16 17 17 17 17 16 16 15 14
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 1.1 2.2 2.7 3.4 5.0 5.8 5.6 5.1 4.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 14 17 21 22 22 21 20 18 17
LVORI...........M M M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 6 14 32 48 65 95 104 94 82 74
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD GD GD GD
FORECASTER...CMC
REQUESTED BY...CHAD CORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608395.0/JKL
.DELDT 03/29/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHAD.CORE@USDA.GOV
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