206
FNUS73 KJKL 211239
FWSJKL
SPOT FORECAST FOR BRIER HOLLOW 3...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
739 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 EST ON DECEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
PASSING DISTURBANCES WILL BRING ISOLATED SNOW SHOWERS OR
FLURRIES TO THE FIRE AREA TODAY, THOUGH THESE SHOULD DISSIPATE BY MID
AFTERNOON. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FOR TONIGHT AND SUNDAY LEADING
TO PRECIPITATION FREE WEATHER, BUT BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL
PERSIST.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW
SHOWERS EARLY, THEN SCATTERED FLURRIES BEFORE 1400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 49 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............AROUND 25 DECREASING TO AROUND 17.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...23.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21800 KNOT-FT) EARLY INCREASING TO MARGINAL
(34700 KNOT-FT) TO FAIR (45900 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............4 EARLY, 1 LATE.
ADI.................25 TO 38.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........96 91 88 87 87 85 77 67 58 51
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT
WEATHER TYPE....SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............29 29 30 32 33 33 34 34 34 31
DEWPOINT........27 27 26 25 23 22 21 19 18 17
RH..............92 92 85 75 66 63 58 54 51 56
APARNT TMP (F)..23 23 24 26 28 28 29 30 30 28
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 10 10
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.7 2.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 15 13 14 14 14 13 12 10
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............25 29 33 31 37 37 38 35 31 30
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 27 35 35 44 45 46 43 37 26
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR MG MG FR FR FR FR MG PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 19.
MAX HUMIDITY........AROUND 92 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............AROUND 17.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...NORTH TO NORTHEAST 1 TO 4 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH TO NORTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (7000
KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............3 EARLY, 5 TO 6 LATE.
ADI.................5 EARLY, 2 LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........46 36 24 14 13 18
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............29 25 23 22 21 20
DEWPOINT........17 18 17 17 18 18
RH..............60 74 77 81 88 92
APARNT TMP (F)..29 25 23 22 21 20
20 FT WIND......N 2 N 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2 NE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 6 6 6
RIDGETOP WIND...N 3 N 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3 NE 3
MIX HGT (FT)....2500 1900 1800 1900 1900 1700
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 N 9 N 8 NE 6 NE 5 NE 5
LVORI...........3 3 4 5 6 6
ADI.............5 4 4 3 2 2
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..23 16 12 9 7 7
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.
MIN HUMIDITY........AROUND 35 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............AROUND 16.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...AROUND 19.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST TO EAST 1 TO 4 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST TO EAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST TO EAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (4600 KNOT-FT) TO POOR (10600 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............5 EARLY, 2 LATE.
ADI.................7 TO 15.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........19 21 18 8
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1
TEMP............20 21 34 39
DEWPOINT........17 18 16 15
RH..............88 88 47 37
APARNT TMP (F)..20 21 34 39
20 FT WIND......NE 2G6 NE 2G5 E 2G5 E 2G5
RIDGETOP WIND...NE 3 NE 3 E 3 E 3
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1900 2500 2300
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 6 NE 6 E 3 E 2
LVORI...........5 4 2 2
ADI.............11 14 11 7
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 10 8 5
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...JP
REQUESTED BY...DAVE KANNAS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2428643.4/JKL
.DELDT 12/21/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL PAUL.LEMMON@USDA.GOV,DAVID.KANNAS@USDA.GOV
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