167  
FNUS73 KJKL 102203  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR KYS - STAR GAP...USFS - DBNF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
603 PM EDT MON AUG 10 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 EDT ON AUGUST 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
COMPLEXES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY  
AFFECT THE FIRE AREA AT TIMES THROUGH THE WEEK. HOWEVER, FORECASTER  
CONFIDENCE IN THE TIMING OF THE COMPLEXES IS LOW. THE FIRST ROUND  
OF STORMS COULD IMPACT THE FIRE AREA AS EARLY AS TONIGHT,  
BUT AT FORECAST ISSUANCE TIME IT WAS SLIGHTLY MORE FAVORED TO MISS  
THE FIRE AREA AND REMAIN FURTHER NORTHEAST. ADDITIONAL COMPLEXES OF  
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY. ANY DIRECT IMPACTS BY  
THESE CLUSTERS OF STORMS ARE LIKELY TO BRING STRONG AND ERRATIC  
WINDS FOLLOWED BY TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
EVENING, THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............71.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...96.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (38000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (300  
KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................53 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........13 18 22 23 23 24 33 43 52 55 57 60  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RNF RNF  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10 20 20 30 40 30 20 20  
TEMP............88 87 82 80 78 77 76 75 73 73 72 72  
DEWPOINT........73 73 73 72 72 72 71 71 71 71 70 70  
RH..............61 63 74 77 82 85 85 87 93 93 93 93  
APARNT TMP (F)..96 94 87 84 78 77 76 75 73 73 72 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 6 3 2 3 2 3 2 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 12 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..9 9 7 5 3 5 3 5 3 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 2.6 0.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5  
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
ADI.............53 14 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..38 24 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............71.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...96.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 14 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR (40400  
KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 63 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........58 56 69 69 54 45  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RN/FG RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 40 40 20 30  
TEMP............72 72 78 83 87 88  
DEWPOINT........70 70 72 73 73 73  
RH..............93 93 82 72 63 61  
APARNT TMP (F)..72 72 78 89 94 96  
20 FT WIND......SW 3 SW 3 W 7 W 6 W 6 SW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 16 14 9 16  
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 5 SW 5 W 8 W 7 W 7 SW 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 400 1500 2500 2800 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 SW 6 W 10 W 10 W 9 W 14  
LVORI...........6 6 3 3 1 1  
ADI.............2 6 20 33 33 63  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 2 13 23 22 45  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............72.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...94.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (37100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(300 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................43 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 2 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY (%).........51 78 85 86  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 60 50 50  
TEMP............86 78 75 72  
DEWPOINT........74 72 71 70  
RH..............68 82 87 93  
APARNT TMP (F)..94 78 75 72  
20 FT WIND......SW 8G16 SW 3G7 SW 3G7 SW 2G6  
RIDGETOP WIND...SW 9 SW 5 SW 5 SW 3  
MIX HGT (FT)....3400 100 100 100  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 NW 5 W 6 SW 6  
LVORI...........1 5 6 6  
ADI.............43 2 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..37 0 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING,  
THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............72 INCREASING TO 74 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...94.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO  
6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 14 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO MARGINAL  
(30700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO FAIR (40600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 57 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 88 66 64 62 59 57 55 52 52 52 51  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 40 40 40 30 30 30 40 40 40 40  
TEMP............70 70 70 71 74 77 80 82 83 85 86 86  
DEWPOINT........70 70 70 71 73 73 74 75 75 75 74 74  
RH..............100 100 100 100 97 87 82 79 77 72 68 68  
APARNT TMP (F)..70 70 70 71 74 77 84 89 90 94 94 94  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 13 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.2 3.0 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 8 10 12 14 14 14 14 14 13  
LVORI...........9 8 8 7 5 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............3 6 7 11 20 33 39 44 47 57 52 46  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 2 7 13 22 27 36 41 39 35 31  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...HAL  
REQUESTED BY...GARY CLARKE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2619370.1/JKL  
.DELDT 08/10/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRAVIS.GIBSON@USDA.GOV,KYKIC@FIRENET.GOV,KELLEY.CORBINE@USDA.GOV  
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