596
FNUS73 KJKL 272208
FWSJKL
SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTON PATCH...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
508 PM EST FRI FEB 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON MARCH 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION.
A MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT IS FORECAST TO MOVE ACROSS
THE FIRE AREA LATE SATURDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY SUNDAY MORNING WITH
NOTHING MORE THAN AN ISOLATED SPRINKLE. DRY WEATHER CONTINUES FOR
SUNDAY BEHIND THE PASSING COLD FRONT; HOWEVER, BETTER CHANCES FOR
WETTING RAIN ARRIVE LATE SUNDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY MORNING MONDAY
WHICH WILL USHER AN ACTIVE PATTERN WITH MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............42 DECREASING TO 38 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...56.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO
7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10
TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........POOR (2500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR (38600
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON THEN DECREASING TO
POOR (16400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................8 TO 42.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........35 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 66 67 69 71
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 46 49 53 54 54 55 55 56 56 56 53
DEWPOINT........42 42 42 43 43 43 43 44 42 41 40 38
RH..............86 86 77 69 66 66 64 66 59 57 55 57
APARNT TMP (F)..45 45 47 53 54 54 55 55 56 56 56 53
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W NW NW NW N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 6 7 9 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 10
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW W W NW NW NW N N N N N
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.4 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 9 10 13 14 14 14 15 14 13 12 10
LVORI...........5 5 4 3 3 3 1 3 1 1 1 2
ADI.............8 10 11 20 29 36 30 36 42 37 32 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 7 13 19 25 30 39 33 29 24 16
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............35 DECREASING TO 31 OVERNIGHT.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...32.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 12
TO 13 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
VENT RATE...........POOR (5300 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 TO 9.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........72 74 75 75 76 77 77 78 80 82 84 86
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20
TEMP............50 47 46 45 43 42 40 39 38 38 37 36
DEWPOINT........37 35 35 34 34 33 32 32 31 31 31 31
RH..............61 63 65 65 70 70 73 76 76 76 79 82
APARNT TMP (F)..48 46 45 44 41 40 38 37 36 34 33 32
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N NE NE NE NE E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 10 12 13 13 14 13 13 12 13
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4
ADI.............6 4 8 5 4 4 5 5 6 9 9 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 5 6 8 10 10 10 11 9 9 7 8
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............32 INCREASING TO 37 IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIN APPARENT TEMP...31.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......EAST 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10
TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........POOR (7600 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............4 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
ADI.................13 TO 14 EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........88 90 90 91 91 92 93 93 91 88 85 82
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 40 30
TEMP............35 35 36 39 42 44 47 50 51 53 54 53
DEWPOINT........31 30 31 32 33 34 35 37 37 38 38 39
RH..............85 82 82 76 70 68 63 61 59 57 54 59
APARNT TMP (F)..31 31 32 35 38 41 44 48 51 53 54 53
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 9 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 9
RIDGE WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N NW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 13 12 12 10 10 9 10 10 12 10
LVORI...........4 4 M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............14 13 M M M M M M M M M M
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 8 8 9 10 11 14 14 15 14 15 13
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...GEERTSON
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL TAPLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2604270.0/JKL
.DELDT 02/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.TAPLEY@USDA.GOV
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