434  
FNUS73 KJKL 241809  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR POWDER MILL RX...USFS DANIEL BOONE NF CUMBERLAND RD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
209 PM EDT TUE MAR 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON MARCH 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A VERY DRY AIR MASS WILL BE IN PLACE TO BEGIN THE  
PERIOD WEDNESDAY MORNING, BUT HUMIDITY VALUES WILL MAKE A SLOW  
RECOVERY WEDNESDAY AS SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW DEVELOPS AHEAD OF THE  
NEXT COLD FRONT TO ARRIVE FRIDAY. HOWEVER, THE SPOT LOCATION STILL  
STANDS A GOOD CHANCE OF SEEING CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
LEVELS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AFTERNOON WHILE WINDS WILL INCREASE TO  
BETWEEN 5 AND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS APPROACHING 15 MPH. HUMIDITY WILL  
GRADUALLY INCREASE TOWARDS THURSDAY MORNING, WHEN A CLUSTER OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THROUGH THE GENERAL  
AREA. MEASURABLE RAIN CHANCES ARE AT AROUND 50 PERCENT RIGHT NOW,  
WITH WETTING RAIN CHANCES AT BETWEEN 15 AND 20 PERCENT. REGARDLESS  
OF IF RAIN REACHES THE AREA THURSDAY MORNING, THE DAY OVERALL  
WILL CONTINUE TO TREND WARMER, MORE HUMID, AND WITH INCREASING  
SOUTHWEST WINDS AHEAD OF FRIDAY'S COLD FRONT ARRIVAL.  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........24 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............20 INCREASING TO 33.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...69.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(95900 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 91 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........52 62 60 53 51 51 42 45 58 60 60 68  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 42 43 46 51 56 60 64 67 68 69 70  
DEWPOINT........19 19 21 26 28 30 31 32 33 33 33 35  
RH..............38 39 41 45 41 37 33 30 28 27 26 27  
APARNT TMP (F)..42 42 43 46 51 56 59 64 67 68 69 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 8 9 12 12 13 14 14 14 14  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SE S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.7 3.9 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 14 14 14 15 16 17 17 20  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............4 10 10 7 18 24 47 70 91 73 74 85  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 3 13 20 33 51 68 79 82 96  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD  
   
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............37 INCREASING TO 47.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...68.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (68000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (6400  
KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................71 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 6 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........67 64 62 66 61 55 55 54 54 55 56 57  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20  
TEMP............69 68 66 64 62 61 60 60 59 59 59 58  
DEWPOINT........35 36 38 39 40 40 41 41 42 43 44 47  
RH..............28 31 36 40 44 46 49 49 53 55 57 67  
APARNT TMP (F)..68 65 62 60 58 57 56 55 55 55 55 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 8 9 10 12 12 12 13 13 13 13  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 1.4 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 14 13 13 15 17 17 15 14 14 14 15  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3  
ADI.............71 6 6 6 7 12 12 10 9 9 9 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..68 17 7 6 8 9 9 8 8 8 9 10  
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH EARLY AFTERNOON.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF MORNING THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............50 INCREASING TO 56 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...77.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 26 TO 31  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (9100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(119500 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................11 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 125 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........61 64 68 64 59 55 47 40 32 27 21 16  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 58 58 60 62 65 68 72 75 76 77 78  
DEWPOINT........48 48 51 52 54 55 56 57 57 58 58 58  
RH..............69 69 77 75 75 70 65 59 54 54 52 50  
APARNT TMP (F)..54 54 55 56 59 62 66 69 73 75 76 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 9 9 10 13 10 10 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 16 18 21 22 24 24 24 24 23  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 8 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.8 1.2 1.8 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.6 4.2 4.7 4.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 17 18 22 24 25 26 28 30 31 30  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............11 18 19 27 40 51 78 87 98 115 125 119  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 9 12 20 35 50 62 73 87 110 127 120  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD VGD VGD VGD  
 
 
FORECASTER...CMC  
REQUESTED BY...BROCK CAMPBELL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607407.0/JKL  
.DELDT 03/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BROCK.CAMPBELL@USDA.GOV  
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