611  
FNUS73 KJKL 120922  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HURRICANE BRANCH RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
522 AM EDT SUN APR 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTHEAST ACROSS THE AREA  
THIS MORNING, WITH UNSEASONABLE WARMTH, LOW HUMIDITY, AND  
SOUTHWEST BREEZES BEHIND IT CAUSING ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER  
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURE AND HUMIDITY RECOVERY WILL  
ONLY BE MODERATE TONIGHT ON RIDGES, WHILE VALLEYS WILL SEE BETTER  
RECOVERIES. THE GREATEST FORECAST UNCERTAINTY ARRIVES MONDAY, WITH  
MODELS DIFFERING IN THE TIMING AND DEGREE OF MOISTENING OF THE  
ATMOSPHERE, IN ADDITION TO LOW RAIN SHOWER CHANCES WHICH ARRIVE  
MOSTLY IN THE AFTERNOON. TRENDED TOWARD THE DRIER/LOWER SIDE WITH  
REGARDS TO HUMIDITY FOR MONDAY AFTERNOON WITH THIS SPOT FORECAST.  
ANY RAIN AMOUNTS WOULD MOST LIKELY BE MEAGER AND INSIGNIFICANT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............44.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...82.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 24 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (150100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (181900 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................200.  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........25 26 26 25 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............82 84 84 84 85  
DEWPOINT........46 44 44 43 42  
RH..............28 25 25 24 22  
APARNT TMP (F)..80 82 82 81 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 17 17 17  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.9 8.6 8.9 9.0 8.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 23 23 24 24  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............200 200 200 200 200  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..150 172 179 188 182  
VENTRATE CAT....EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-50 PERCENT) BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.  
MAX HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............43.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...80.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 17  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (128700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(7100 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................178 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 5 LATE  
IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........29 34 38 43 52 68 46 49 63 55 65 66  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............82 81 77 73 70 68 67 67 66 64 64 62  
DEWPOINT........42 42 43 44 44 44 44 44 43 44 44 43  
RH..............24 25 30 35 39 42 43 43 43 48 48 50  
APARNT TMP (F)..80 79 77 73 70 68 67 67 66 64 64 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 16 16 16  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 15 13 13 12 13 14 15 16 16 17 17  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............178 7 6 6 5 6 9 10 11 11 12 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..129 12 9 7 7 8 9 10 12 13 15 14  
VENTRATE CAT....VGD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............44 INCREASING TO 46 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...80.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 25 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (14300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO MARGINAL  
(33500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO GOOD (62800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
MORNING INCREASING TO GOOD (70300 KNOT-FT) LATE  
IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (99300  
KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO GOOD (77000 KNOT-FT)  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................11 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 143 IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........81 73 55 63 70 76 76 75 75 69 62 56  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 30  
TEMP............62 62 61 64 68 70 72 74 76 78 79 81  
DEWPOINT........43 43 45 46 48 47 46 45 45 44 44 45  
RH..............50 50 56 52 49 44 39 35 33 30 29 28  
APARNT TMP (F)..62 62 61 64 68 70 72 74 76 78 79 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 17 17 18 20 20 20 20 20 20 18 17  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.0 1.1 2.0 3.0 3.8 3.7 4.0 4.5 4.9 4.8 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 20 24 25 22 23 25 25 24 21  
LVORI...........2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............11 22 21 49 90 115 98 110 134 143 135 80  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 14 15 34 63 83 70 80 99 107 101 77  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD VGD VGD GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...CMC  
REQUESTED BY...SANDOLVAL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2610067.0/JKL  
.DELDT 04/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID.DEGENNARO@USDA.GOV,KYKIC@FIRENET.GOV  
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