373  
FNUS73 KJKL 191028  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ALUM FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
628 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
MUCH COOLER AND SOMEWHAT BRISK WEATHER IS IN STORE  
FOR TODAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. WINDS WILL GUST AROUND 20 MPH THIS  
AFTERNOON. HEATING OF THE NEW AIR MASS WILL RESULT IN LOW RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY EACH AFTERNOON THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH READINGS PROBABLY  
BELOW 25% TODAY. WARMER TEMPERATURES WILL MAKE A GRADUAL COMEBACK  
DURING THE WEEK. THE NEXT SHOT AT SIGNIFICANT RAIN DOESN'T COME  
UNTIL WE MOVE INTO NEXT WEEKEND.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 20  
TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (6200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(148100 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 177 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........66 43 21 14 8 2 3 4 5 6 8 9  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 42 42 46 49 51 55 57 58 61 61 62  
RH..............86 86 82 60 48 37 31 28 26 24 25 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 13 16 18 21 22 22 22 22  
RIDGE WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 8 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.1 1.4 2.3 3.2 4.1 5.0 6.0 6.9 7.2 7.5 7.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 13 16 20 22 22 22 21 21 22  
LVORI...........5 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............7 14 17 38 66 101 127 145 162 159 163 177  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 10 12 26 45 70 96 113 131 130 135 148  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5  
MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (110700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(300 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................143 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 2 LATE  
IN THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........6 3 1 2 2 1 1 2 3 15 29 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10  
TEMP............62 60 57 54 52 50 47 45 45 44 43 41  
RH..............26 28 33 38 43 48 53 58 58 60 62 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W SW SW SW SW W NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 13 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W SW SW SW SW W NW N  
RIDGE WIND SPD..8 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.8 3.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W W W W W W W NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 15 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 5  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............143 7 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..111 38 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 0 0 0  
VENTRATE CAT....VGD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 13  
TO 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (66100  
KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 103 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........51 60 69 67 64 61 49 37 25 22 19 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 39 41 44 47 52 54 56 58 61 62 62  
RH..............73 79 79 68 60 48 45 42 39 35 32 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 9 10 12 13 14 13 13 12  
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 2.8 3.5 4.3 5.0 5.2 5.3 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 6 8 10 13 15 16 16 15 14  
LVORI...........3 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............2 4 5 12 23 36 57 81 100 103 99 94  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 3 8 16 25 39 55 70 72 69 66  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...HAL  
REQUESTED BY...MARIAH HEYE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2610373.4/JKL  
.DELDT 04/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.TAPLEY@USDA.GOV,KYKIC@FIRENET.GOV,2026.ALUM@FIRENET.GOV,MARIAH.HEYE@USDA.GOV,ROBERT_VICK@NPS.GOV  
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