291  
FNUS73 KJKL 151045  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR POND RIDGE WILDLIFE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
645 AM EDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON OCTOBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
A COLD FRONT WILL STALL EAST-WEST ACROSS  
KENTUCKY TODAY, AND THEN TURN AROUND AND HEAD BACK NORTH AS  
A WARM FRONT TONIGHT. IT IS NOT EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH  
THE BURN SITE, BUT WILL BE CLOSE ENOUGH TO GIVE A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS THIS MORNING. SHOWER, AND POSSIBLY  
THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT SHOULD BE FOCUSED SLIGHTLY FURTHER  
NORTH THIS AFTERNOON.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (12100 KNOT-FT), INCREASING TO  
MARGINAL (36600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO FAIR  
(43700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........65 61 57 52 47 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............80 82 85 86 87 86  
RH..............69 63 57 53 50 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.9 3.7 4.0 4.3 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 13 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 27 37 44 47 33  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT, THEN BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT  
BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (5800 KNOT-FT, DECREASING TO 400  
KNOT-FT EARLY IN THE EVENING).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........37 32 27 26 26 25 25 24 23 19 16 12  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............83 80 78 77 75 74 73 73 72 72 71 71  
RH..............57 60 64 67 71 74 73 71 71 68 71 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 3 5 5 5 6 5 5 5 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 6 7 7 7 8 7 7 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 7 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 6 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING CLOUDY  
(90-100 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON RAIN  
SHOWERS, ESPECIALLY LATE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
16 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (500 KNOT-FT), INCREASING TO MARGINAL  
(33200 KNOT-FT) IN THE MORNING, INCREASING  
TO FAIR (39600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........8 4 0 11 22 33 53 74 94 95 95 96  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............70 70 69 71 72 74 70 67 63 60 57 55  
RH..............68 68 73 68 68 66 76 81 90 93 93 90  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 12 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 12 15 17 18 21 23 23 23 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.7 1.7 1.5 1.4 1.7 2.2 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 10 14 16 16 16 17 17 17 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 5 16 24 23 21 22 26 33 40  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...HAL  
REQUESTED BY...EDDIE WALDEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623773.0/JKL  
.DELDT 10/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL EDDIE.WALDEN@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab KY Page
Main Text Page