729  
FNUS73 KJKL 250950 AAB  
FWSJKL  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRADLE BOW FIRE...UPDATED  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY  
550 AM EDT SAT APR 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
A WEAKENING COLD FRONT AND A COUPLE OF MINOR WAVES  
WILL CROSS THE BURN AREA TODAY. THIS WILL BRING SHOWERS AND THE  
POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STORMS. RAINFALL OF AT LEAST A TENTH OF AN  
INCH LOOKS LIKELY FOR THE CRADLE BOW FIRE AND IF A THUNDERSTORM  
HITS THE BURN WILL RECEIVE HIGHER AMOUNTS. AFTER A DRY SUNDAY  
AND START TO THE NEW WORK WEEK, ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE  
ACROSS THE AREA LATER MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY, BRINGING  
ADDITIONAL SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............58 DECREASING TO 53 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...77.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO MARGINAL  
(32700 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................2 EARLY INCREASING TO 50 IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 96 93 85 80 68 78 63 58 48  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY DEF CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 60 80 40 40 30 20 10 40 30 20 20  
TEMP............60 59 60 62 65 67 69 71 73 74 76 77  
DEWPOINT........59 59 59 59 60 59 58 57 55 53 52 51  
RH..............96 100 96 90 84 75 68 61 53 48 43 40  
APARNT TMP (F)..60 59 60 62 65 67 69 71 73 74 76 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 7 8 8 9 9 8 8  
RIDGE WIND DIR..S SW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 1.1 2.6 3.4 3.6 4.1 4.3 4.7 5.5 5.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.2 2 3 5 7 8 8 8 7 7 7 7  
LVORI...........8 9 8 5 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............2 3 4 8 22 33 35 37 35 38 43 50  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 5 16 24 25 27 26 28 33 35  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE  
OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............52.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...76.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTH 2 TO 3 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 1 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 7 TO  
9 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
VENT RATE...........MARGINAL (30800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (100 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................44 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 1 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........41 45 24 22 24 20 19 21 23 25 23 35  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 50 10 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 73 70 66 63 62 60 59 57 56 53 53  
DEWPOINT........52 51 52 53 53 52 53 53 52 53 52 52  
RH..............43 46 53 63 70 70 78 80 83 90 96 96  
APARNT TMP (F)..76 73 70 66 63 62 60 59 57 56 53 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7  
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
RIDGE WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 3.1 2.2 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N NW NW NW N N N NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 6 3 2 1 1 2 5 7 9  
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 4 6 5 7 8 7  
ADI.............44 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 3 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..31 20 13 8 2 0 0 0 0 1 2 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............50 DECREASING TO 46 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...76.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHEAST 2 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (4700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO POOR (18600  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................4 TO 28.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........55 67 63 56 46 44 34 22 11 11 11 11  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............52 51 54 56 60 63 67 70 73 74 75 76  
DEWPOINT........52 51 51 52 51 51 51 50 48 47 46 46  
RH..............100 100 90 86 72 65 56 49 41 38 36 34  
APARNT TMP (F)..52 51 54 56 60 63 67 70 73 74 75 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 8 8 9 10 12 12 12 12 10  
RIDGE WIND DIR..N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
RIDGE WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 9 8 8 7 6 6 6 7 8  
LVORI...........9 7 5 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............4 10 10 10 12 12 13 15 16 18 23 28  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 6 6 7 8 8 9 10 11 12 16 19  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...GREIF  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID DEGENNARO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2611559.1/JKL  
.DELDT 04/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID.DEGENNARO@USDA.GOV  
 
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