907  
FNUS73 KLMK 171001  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STOLER CREEK RX...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY  
501 AM EST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE REGION WILL RESULT IN VERY  
LIGHT WINDS TODAY. IT WILL BE QUITE CHILLY THIS MORNING, WITH LOWS  
AROUND FREEZING. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 50S THIS  
AFTERNOON. A COLD, VERY DRY AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE SO AFTERNOON  
RH VALUES WILL LIKELY BE AROUND 25 PERCENT. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM  
APPROACHING FROM THE WEST WILL BRING WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND A  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION ON TUESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 56.  
RH..................47 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 24 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 1 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2800 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 2 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /4000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/11000 KNOT-FT/.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................2 TO 16.  
 
TIME (EST) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........1 3 2 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 50 54 56  
RH..............47 31 27 25  
20 FT WIND......NE 1 S 1 S 1 S 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 4  
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 2000 2700 2600  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 5 W 3 W 5 SW 3  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2  
ADI.............6 9 16 11  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 6 11 8  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.  
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 13  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................2 TO 8.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........30 39 43 76 84 95  
WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD  
TEMP............51 44 42 42 43 42  
RH..............33 49 53 55 57 65  
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 SE 3 SE 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 4 5 6 8 9  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 300 300 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 3 SE 5 SE 8 SE 9 SE 10 SE 13  
LVORI...........2 2 2 3 3 3  
ADI.............2 2 4 4 7 8  
SDSPL KT-FT/10001 1 2 2 3 4  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.  
RH..................MIN 60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING  
LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................5 TO 19.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........95 93 92 89 85 84  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  
TEMP............43 44 48 52 56 57  
RH..............73 82 89 86 86 90  
20 FT WIND......SE 4 SE 4 SE 4 S 4 S 4 S 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 11 11 9 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 700 900 700 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 14 SE 15 S 15 S 15 S 10 SW 8  
LVORI...........3 4 4 4 5 5  
ADI.............11 11 16 19 11 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 6 10 12 7 4  
 
 
FORECASTER...EBW  
REQUESTED BY...JESSE MOORE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2526069.0/LMK  
.DELDT 11/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JESSE_MOORE@TNC.ORG  
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