797
FNUS73 KLMK 060107
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR KESSLER...KENTUCKY DEPARTMENT OF FISH AND WILDLIFE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
907 PM EDT SUN APR 5 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 EDT ON APRIL 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TONIGHT, HIGH PRESSURE WILL TRY TO PUSH INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST, ALLOWING
WINDS TO SLACKEN DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. UNDER MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES, TEMPERATURES
ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE MID-TO-UPPER 30S MONDAY MORNING, LEADING TO PATCHY
FROST DEVELOPMENT. DURING THE DAY ON MONDAY, A DRY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO
PASS THROUGH THE REGION, CAUSING WINDS TO SHIFT FROM THE WEST-SOUTHWEST IN THE
MORNING TO THE NORTHWEST BY MONDAY EVENING. THE FRONT SHOULD ALLOW FOR ENOUGH
WINDS WHEN COMBINED WITH DEEP MIXING HEIGHTS AROUND 6.5 KFT FOR GOOD TO EXCELLENT
SMOKE DISPERSION IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES SHOULD
FALL INTO THE MID-30S IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING, THOUGH THIS FORECAST MAY BE TOO
HIGH GIVEN MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND THE SOUTHWEST ASPECT OF THE FORECAST SITE.
COOLER TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED ON TUESDAY, WITH LIGHTER NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS
EXPECTED DURING THE DAY. DISPERSION PARAMETERS WILL NOT BE AS SUPPORTIVE ON TUESDAY,
BUT SHOULD STILL RISE INTO THE FAIR CATEGORY, AS BOTH LIGHTER TRANSPORT WINDS AND
SHALLOWER MIXING HEIGHTS ARE EXPECTED. DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH MOST IF NOT
ALL OF THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........46 AT IGNITION...MIN 36.
RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 2 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /5100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MIN...POOR
/2100 KNOT-FT/.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 TO 4.
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)......... 3 2 7 11 17 16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............ 46 45 42 41 40 38
RH.............. 63 65 73 76 79 82
20 FT WIND DIR.. NW NW NW NW W W
20 FT WIND SPD.. 2 2 2 2 2 1
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 4 4 4 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)... 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR. N N N N NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD. 9 9 8 7 6 5
LVORI........... 3 3 3 4 4 5
ADI............. 4 4 4 3 3 2
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 5 5 4 3 3 2
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN
THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 17 TO
22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (73400 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (103900
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 157 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)......... 26 22 17 26 21 15 12 4 3 2 2 5
WEATHER COV..... ARS ARS
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST
TSTM COV........
TEMP............ 36 36 38 42 49 54 58 62 64 65 66 65
RH.............. 89 85 82 70 56 50 44 38 35 35 34 37
20 FT WIND DIR.. W W SW W W W W W W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD.. 1 1 1 1 1 2 3 5 6 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST. 4 4 4 4 6 7 9 11 11 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)... 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.6 3.8 4.9 5.8 6.4 6.6 6.1
TRANSP WIND DIR. NW W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD. 5 5 5 5 6 8 13 17 21 22 22 21
LVORI........... 7 5 5 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............. 2 4 4 5 13 27 61 98 134 154 157 140
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 2 1 2 4 8 18 41 73 104 122 125 110
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 40.
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 9 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (70900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................96 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%)......... 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 10 11 13
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............ 65 64 59 57 55 52 50 48 47 46 44 43
RH.............. 35 37 42 43 47 52 54 56 58 60 62 65
20 FT WIND DIR.. NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N
20 FT WIND SPD.. 6 5 4 2 2 1 1 2 2 2 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST. 11 9 7 6 5 4 4 4 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)... 4.4 2.3 0.6 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR. NW NW NW NW N N N N N N NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD. 18 15 12 10 9 9 8 8 8 8 9 9
LVORI........... 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
ADI............. 96 7 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 71 30 6 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 5 5
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (42600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 57 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%)......... 15 16 18 17 17 16 17 17 18 15 12 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............ 42 41 41 43 47 50 52 54 56 57 58 58
RH.............. 67 67 67 62 53 48 43 40 35 33 30 29
20 FT WIND DIR.. N N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD.. 1 1 2 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 6 7 9 11 11 11 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)... 0.6 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.2 3.0 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.6 4.7 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR. NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD. 9 9 9 10 10 12 12 10 10 10 10 10
LVORI........... 3 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI............. 4 9 9 18 29 43 49 49 51 55 57 54
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 5 4 6 12 20 30 35 35 38 41 43 40
FORECASTER...CSG
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MASON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2609039.0/LMK
.DELDT 04/05/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.MASON@KY.GOV
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