560
FNUS73 KLMK 151236
FWSLMK
SPOT FORECAST FOR UNIT 8...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
836 AM EDT SUN MAR 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON MARCH 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
..WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT MONDAY
DISCUSSION
WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY
THROUGH THE MID TO LATE MORNING HOURS TODAY AHEAD OF A DEEPENING
AREA OF LOW PRESSURE. GUSTS OVER 40 MPH ARE LIKELY AFTER 10 AM
EDT. THESE STRONG WINDS FROM THE SOUTH WILL BOOST TEMPERATURES
INTO THE LOWER 70S THIS AFTERNOON. WE WILL ALSO SEE LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE ADVECTION, WITH DEWPOINTS GRADUALLY RISING THROUGH THE
DAY. MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES ARE FORECAST FOR TODAY, THOUGH BREAKS IN
THE HIGH LEVEL CIRRUS CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING.
TONIGHT, A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE WEST TO EAST BRINGING
DAMAGING WINDS AND A CHANCE FOR TORNADOES. WE WILL LIKELY SEE A
WIDESPREAD 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM. TEMPERATURES
WILL RAPIDLY FALL BEHIND THE COLD FRONT EARLY MONDAY MORNING. LINGERING
RAIN SHOWERS WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW SHOWERS MONDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES
WILL REMAIN COLD THROUGH TUESDAY, WITH TUESDAY MORNING LOWS IN THE
TEENS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 72.
RH..................55 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH.
GUSTS UP TO 44 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5600 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 44 TO 48 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /13300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/87200 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (143700
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................20 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 153 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........53 67 77 67 81 71 61 64 67
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............54 59 63 66 68 70 71 72 72
RH..............55 54 56 54 54 54 55 53 53
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 10 12 14 14 14 15 15 16
20 FT WIND GUST.10 13 28 31 31 29 29 29 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.5 2.2 3.1 4.1 4.9 5.4 5.6 5.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 20 24 32 40 47 48 47 44
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............20 32 49 79 113 143 153 152 139
SDSPL KT-FT/100013 25 46 87 144 201 227 230 208
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 30.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 12 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH
DECREASING TO 30 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING
AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 33 TO 39 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 28 TO
32 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (168800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO GOOD (68900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT DECREASING TO GOOD (87500 KNOT-FT) EARLY
IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO FAIR (49800
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE NIGHT LATE IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................119 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 37 LATE
IN THE NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........67 73 68 78 81 88 92 93 96 89 86 87
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP............71 70 69 68 67 66 62 58 52 48 43 39
RH..............53 57 59 61 63 68 72 83 86 86 86 82
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..15 14 13 13 13 13 13 12 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.27 25 25 23 25 26 28 25 22 22 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 4.2 3.4 2.9 2.6 2.3 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.4 2.7 3.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.39 33 29 29 31 33 32 29 28 29 30 32
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 3 4 4 4 4 3
ADI.............119 45 39 39 42 45 43 39 37 39 40 43
SDSPL KT-FT/1000169 122 86 74 69 66 58 50 50 59 71 88
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
SNOW SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 32.
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 32 TO 36 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (96100 KNOT-FT).
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................45 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 119 IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........81 82 83 87 86 84 84 85 85 85 86 86
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............36 35 32 30 30 30 31 31 31 30 30 29
RH..............82 82 78 81 78 75 69 69 66 66 63 63
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.22 21 21 21 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.5 3.7 4.1 4.6 5.0 5.3 5.6 5.8 6.0 6.2 6.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.33 33 33 33 32 32 32 32 32 33 35 36
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1
ADI.............45 86 89 93 95 99 101 103 105 110 115 119
SDSPL KT-FT/100096 101 107 119 128 140 149 156 162 175 185 190
FORECASTER...EBW
REQUESTED BY...CASEY MEFFORD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605839.0/LMK
.DELDT 03/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CASEY_MEFFORD@FWS.GOV
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