650  
FNUS73 KLMK 241630  
FWSLMK  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BARFORD LANDING PRESCRIBED BURN...LLOYD A. FOE CONSUSLTING FORESTERS, LLC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE, KY  
1230 PM EDT WED APR 24 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON APRIL 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL SHIFT TO SOUTHWEST BY MID-AFTERNOON AS A  
WARM FRONT MOVES ACROSS THE AREA. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL REMAIN  
LIMITED BY WEAK TRANSPORT WINDS. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL  
ARRIVE SHORTLY BEFORE SUNSET. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS  
IS LIKELY THURSDAY MORNING.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........63 AT IGNITION...MAX 70.  
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAX 3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /13100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.  
MAX...POOR /20900 KNOT-FT/.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................16.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........69 67 74 80 86  
WEATHER COV..... SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
TEMP............63 66 68 69 69  
RH..............70 68 65 66 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.4 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 3.3 3.2 3.5 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 7  
DISPERSION......2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............13 14 17 18 18  
VRATE KT-FT/100013 16 20 21 21  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
MIDNIGHT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100-200 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (600-14500 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................15 DECREASING TO 3.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........90 98 98 99 99 99  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC  
TEMP............69 66 63 62 61 60  
RH..............68 78 84 87 90 93  
20 FT WIND......S 3 W 3 SE 2 SE 2 SE 2 S 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 200 200 100 200 200  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 NW 6 S 6 S 5 S 6 SW 6  
DISPERSION......2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6  
ADI.............15 4 3 2 3 4  
VRATE KT-FT/100015 1 1 1 1 1  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.  
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......MAX 4100 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 18  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX...GOOD (62100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............6.  
ADI.................MAX 48.  
DSI.................2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........99 99 92 90 88 91  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ CHANCE CHANCE  
TEMP............59 60 65 68 70 71  
RH..............100 93 84 76 71 66  
20 FT WIND......S 5 S 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 7 SW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 9 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 300 1200 2700 4100 2700  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 8 SW 14 SW 17 W 17 SW 16  
DISPERSION......2 2 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........9 6 4 3 3 3  
ADI.............4 9 19 39 48 36  
VRATE KT-FT/10001 2 14 41 62 38  
 

 
FORECASTER...RAS  
REQUESTED BY...LLOYD A. FOE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1907184.0/LMK  
.DELDT 04/24/19  
.EMAIL LLOYDFOE@TWC.COM  
 
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