138
FNUS73 KPAH 221253
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR WOLF CREEK...USFS SHAWNEE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
653 AM CST SUN FEB 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
VERY GOOD DISPERSION EXPECTED TODAY WITH NORTHWESTERLY 20FT WINDS
SUSTAINED AT 12-14 MPH AND MIXING HEIGHTS 4000-4500' AGL THROUGH
THE DAY. GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH WILL COMMON IN LESS SHELTERED AREAS.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT NEAR 35%.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL ONLY RECOVER TO AROUND 60% TONIGHT. MIXING
WILL DROP FOR THE EVENING, THEN INCREASE OVERNIGHT WITH GOOD
DISPERSION RETURNING. FOR MONDAY, WEAKER WINDS AND MIXING WILL
LEAD TO ONLY FAIR DISPERSION. RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL AGAIN DROP TO
NEAR 35%.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........31 AT IGNITION...MAX 35.
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 14 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4500 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 28 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /99200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...VERY
GOOD /114200 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............31 32 33 33 34 35 35 34
RH..............46 41 38 37 36 35 34 36
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..14 14 14 14 13 14 13 12
20 FT WIND GUST.30 29 29 28 28 28 26 24
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.7 4.0 4.1 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.2 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 30 30 29 29 29 29 28
VRATE KT-FT/1K..99 106 111 107 112 114 113 94
VENTRATE CAT....GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 18.
RH..................MAX 58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 24
TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (89400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (11600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............32 30 28 27 25 24 23 22 21 20 19 19
RH..............40 42 45 45 49 49 51 53 53 55 53 55
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21 21
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.8 0.7 1.0 1.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 21 25 26 30 28 28 26 25 24 24
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 14 13 25 38 89 84 83 78 75 65 63
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 34.
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (59300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............18 19 24 30 33 33
RH..............55 56 44 36 34 36
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 7 5
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 18 17 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.5 2.9 3.3 3.6 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 22 21 20 18 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..56 49 53 56 59 32
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR FAIR FAIR FAIR FAIR POOR
FORECASTER...SPAETH
REQUESTED BY...BRICKNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603422.1/PAH
.DELDT 02/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BRICKNER@USDA.GOV
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