000
FNUS73 KPAH 200705
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR PINEKNOT NORTH RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
105 AM CST FRI FEB 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE ESTABLISHED ABOVE THE CRITICAL 1700 FOOT AGL
THRESHOLD BY MID MORNING, EVEN AS COOLER AIR ARRIVES. BRISK WEST TO
NORTHWEST WINDS AND DRY AFTERNOON RH LEVELS BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 20S
PERCENTILE WILL OFFER HEIGHTENED FIRE DANGER AMIDST THE STILL DRY
ENVIRONMENT.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........42 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................39 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5
MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE
MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3200 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /32700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/36700 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR PC MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............42 46 48 52 54 55 54 53
RH..............39 34 31 28 26 25 26 27
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.20 17 15 14 13 12 10 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.0 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW W W NW NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 16 14 13 12 10 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..33 35 37 34 34 32 27 14
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 34.
RH..................MAX 64 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 49 47 46 45 44 42 40 39 37 37 35
RH..............33 36 40 42 45 47 50 55 57 61 59 64
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 12 12 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE N N N N N N NE N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 7 8 8 8 9 10 9 10
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 3 2 3 5 5 5 5 6 5 8
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 48.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8500 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC MC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 36 36 39 41 44 45 47 48 48 47 46
RH..............61 56 56 52 48 43 43 40 39 39 40 40
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE N N N N N N N N NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 15 15 15 15 15 16 16 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.3 2.6 3.0 3.4 3.6 3.3 2.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 12 14 16 19 24 28 33 38 39 36 31
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH
REQUESTED BY...FRANCIS MOLL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2603215.0/PAH
.DELDT 02/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL FRANCIS.MOLL@USDA.GOV
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