749  
FNUS73 KPAH 061522  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AREA 13 PILES...U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
922 AM CST FRI MAR 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON MARCH 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.  
THERE IS SLIGHT CHANCE OF A STRAY SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM EARLY THIS  
AFTERNOON. MIXING WILL BE VERY GOOD TODAY, WITH MIXING HEIGHTS REACHING  
AROUND 4700FT. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AROUND 20-30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSION CONDITIONS WILL BE GOOD TO VERY GOOD.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........71 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.  
RH..................79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4700 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 21 TO 28 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /49600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...VERY  
GOOD /112800 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 75 76 77 77 77 78 77  
RH..............79 74 69 69 67 67 67 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 12 12 12 12 12 10 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.26 26 26 28 26 29 28 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.6 4.5 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.2 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 22 24 28 28 28 24 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..50 68 95 112 113 112 88 55  
VENTRATE CAT....FR GD GD VGD VGD VGD GD FR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 59 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 63.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 21  
TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (58400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (22100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 40 40 60  
TEMP............74 73 72 71 70 70 68 68 67 67 66 65  
RH..............76 76 78 78 81 81 81 81 81 87 87 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 20 21 22 23 23 24 24 24 25 24  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.8 1.5 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 17 17 21 23 25 22 21 23 23 24  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..27 22 23 26 35 40 44 46 48 55 53 58  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
DAY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................68 PERCENT INCREASING TO 82 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 95 PERCENT  
EARLY IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 57 PERCENT  
LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 31 PERCENT  
DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.  
RH..................MIN 70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 26 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 18 TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (37500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (67600 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............70 80 100 90 60 30 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 63 64 66 68 70 71 72 72 71 69 67  
RH..............93 93 100 90 90 84 81 76 76 73 70 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 22 21 21 21 21 21 20 18 17 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.1 2.7 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 21 22 23 25 26 26 23 22 18 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..52 51 47 48 52 60 65 68 60 59 43 38  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR FR FR FR FR GD GD GD FR FR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...SNYDER  
REQUESTED BY...BEN SCHMALL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604951.0/PAH  
.DELDT 03/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BENJAMIN_SCHMALL@FWS.GOV,BENJAMIN_SCHMALL@FWSW.GOV  
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