664  
FNUS73 KPAH 131710  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ASHBY...USDA FS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
1110 AM CST THU NOV 13 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A MIX OF SUN AND CLOUDS IS EXPECTED TOMORROW, WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS  
USHERING IN HIGHER HUMIDITY LEVELS. MINIMUM RH'S WILL LIKELY  
REMAIN ABOVE 50%, AND MAY STRUGGLE TO FALL MUCH BELOW 60% DURING  
THE AFTERNOON. STRONG SOUTHWESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS WILL LEAD TO  
FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION BY AFTERNOON DESPITE RATHER LIMITED MIXING.  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........67 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.  
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3000 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /23700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/50100 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 70 72 73 73 71 68  
RH..............68 63 61 59 59 64 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 9 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 20 18 18 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.2 2.9 3.0 2.8 2.1 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 20 20 17 15 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..24 36 49 50 41 27 13  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR FR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 58.  
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 64 62 61 61 61 61 61 60 60 59 58  
RH..............75 81 87 90 90 87 87 87 87 87 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 16 16 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 14 15 15 15 15 14 14 14 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 2 3 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 5  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.  
RH..................MIN 57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 28  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (76500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 61 63 66 68 70 72 73 74 74 73 71  
RH..............90 87 81 75 70 66 61 59 57 57 59 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 13 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 20 21 22 22 23 24 24 24 23 21  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.0 2.2 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 17 20 22 24 25 26 28 26 24 22  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 10 19 29 41 54 64 73 77 69 48 24  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD FR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...POULOS  
REQUESTED BY...SHAWNEE NF  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2525844.0/PAH  
.DELDT 11/13/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WHITNEY.JITER@USDA.GOV  
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