800  
FNUS73 KPAH 231626  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOVEY RX FIRE...INDIANA DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
1026 AM CST WED NOV 23 2022  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH TO MID CLOUDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON  
BEFORE BECOMING COMPLETELY OVERCAST BY LATE EVENING. TEMPERATURES  
WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL WITH TEMPERATURES AT THE BURN SITE WARMING  
INTO THE LOW 60S. SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL ALLOW FOR A GRADUAL INCREASE  
IN MOISTURE WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES 35 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE  
DURING PEAK HEATING. WETTING RAIN POTENTIAL WILL INCREASE THURSDAY  
MORNING, WELL AFTER THE BURN HAS ENDED.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 61.  
RH..................46 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.  
 
TIME (CST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR MCR PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 57 60 61 61 59 54  
RH..............46 42 38 36 36 41 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S S S SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 8 8 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.8 2.4 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 5  
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 5 5 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...COOLEY  
REQUESTED BY...ZACH SCHOENHERR  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2221780.0/PAH  
.DELDT 11/23/22  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ZSCHOENHERR@DNR.IN.GOV  
 
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