492
FNUS73 KPAH 131805
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR STATE OF IL EAST...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
105 PM CDT FRI MAR 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
SOUTHEAST WINDS SHOULD BE GOING BY EARLY IN THE MORNING AND PICK UP
THROUGH THE DAY GUSTING 15-20 MPH. MIXING HEIGHTS SHOULD INCREASE
TO 4000 TO 4500 FT. DISPERSION SHOULD IMPROVE TO GOOD IN THE AFTERNOON.
AFTERNOON MINIMUM HUMIDITY WILL BE AROUND 45 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 65.
RH..................70 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS EAST AT 8 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH 9 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4300 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 18 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 20
TO 22 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /17900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/82300 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 46 51 55 58 61 63 65 65
RH..............70 60 54 53 51 51 51 53 55
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 17 17 17 17 18 18 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.3 1.8 2.3 2.8 3.1 3.8 4.3 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 18 18 20 21 22 20
VRATE KT-FT/1K..18 22 31 38 44 52 70 82 59
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD FR
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH
LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 28 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR MCR PC MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 63 61 60 59 58 58 57 57 57 57 57
RH..............57 63 64 67 69 72 74 76 77 77 77 79
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 9 9 10 12 12 13
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 17 18 20 20 21 22 23 25 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 0.7 0.4 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 14 15 16 18 20 21 22 23 25 26 28
VRATE KT-FT/1K..28 9 5 8 12 14 16 19 22 26 30 30
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 70 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 69.
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 38 MPH
INCREASING TO 44 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 28 TO 35 MPH INCREASING TO 39 TO 47 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 41 TO
49 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND 37
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (30100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (126600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (107300
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (191800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON
LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV..... LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 70 70
TEMP............58 59 61 65 68 68
RH..............79 81 78 70 64 65
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..14 16 17 20 20 17
20 FT WIND GUST.29 33 38 39 44 43
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.9 3.3 4.2 4.6 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.28 35 44 49 48 41
VRATE KT-FT/1K..30 58 127 181 192 148
VENTRATE CAT....POOR FAIR VYGD EXNT EXNT VYGD
FORECASTER...GIBBS
REQUESTED BY...BRICKNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605668.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BRICKNER@USDA.GOV
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