145
FXUS63 KLMK 230717
AFDLMK
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
317 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 2026
KEY MESSAGES
* DRY AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR TODAY THROUGH
TUESDAY.
* WARMER TEMPERATURES (MID TO UPPER 80S) AND LOW CHANCES FOR SHOWERS
AND STORMS RETURN BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK.
SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 316 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 2026
LIGHT WINDS, CLEAR SKIES, AND RECENT PRECIP OVER EASTERN AREAS HAS
ALLOWED FOR RIVER VALLEY FOG TO DEVELOP. THIS FOG WILL BURN OFF BY
MID-MORNING.
HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT WILL BE
THE MAIN FEATURES OVER THE REGION THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND DRIER CONDITIONS. LOOKING TO SEE LOWS EACH
MORNING IN THE UPPER 50S AND LOW 60S AND HIGHS IN THE LOW-TO-MID
80S. DEW POINTS WILL REMAIN IN THE MID 50S THROUGH MOST OF THE DAY,
WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR VERY COMFORTABLE CONDITIONS.
GUIDANCE HAS TRENDED DRIER THROUGH THIS SHORT TERM, KEEPING THE WARM
FRONT TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE REGION.
LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 316 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL MOVE OFF TO THE EAST AND THE WARM FRONT WILL
PUSH NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL KENTUCKY ON WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL BRING
BETTER MOISTURE TO BROAD TROUGHING ALOFT. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
ADDITIONALLY, TEMPERATURES LOOK TO RETURN TO NORMAL IN THE UPPER 80S
FOR WEDNESDAY.
ON THURSDAY, AN AMPLIFYING TROUGH WILL MOVE THROUGH THE OHIO VALLEY
AND BRING A COLD FRONT WITH IT. THIS FRONT WILL BRING ANOTHER CHANCE
FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS ON THURSDAY AND INTO FRIDAY. AT THIS TIME,
FORECAST SOUNDINGS SHOW WEAK SHEAR AND AMPLE INSTABILITY. SO THERE
IS A POSSIBILITY THAT A FEW STORMS BECOME STRONG. THOUGH, SEVERE
WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
BEHIND THE COLD FRONT, DRIER AIR IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE
REGION. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY STAY AROUND NORMAL IN THE UPPER 80S
FOR HIGHS THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 134 AM EDT SUN AUG 23 2026
A SMALL AREA OF MID LEVEL CLOUDS IS CURRENTLY PUSHING SOUTHEAST
THROUGH THE REGION. WINDS WILL REMAIN CALM TO LIGHT THROUGH THE
EARLY MORNING. BRIEF FOG WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING, MAINLY AT
RGA AND HNB. NORTHWEST WINDS WILL PICK UP BY MID MORNING AROUND 6KTS
AND THEN GUST UP TO 19KTS IN THE AFTERNOON. A CU FIELD IS LIKELY IN
THE AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL REMAIN VFR THROUGH THIS FORECAST
PERIOD.
LMK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
KY...NONE.
IN...NONE.
SHORT TERM...SRW
LONG TERM...SRW
AVIATION...SRW
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