751
FXUS63 KPAH 250647
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
147 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COMFORTABLY MILD AND PLEASANT CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST FOR THE
NEXT 7 DAYS.
- DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH THE WORKWEEK, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST FOR HALLOWEEN WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 147 AM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
UPPER-LEVEL RIDGING REMAINS CENTERED OVER THE QUAD STATE REGION
TODAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK, WHILE A LARGE AREA OF SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE HAS FIRM CONTROL OVER THE NORTHEAST. HIGHS WILL
CONTINUE TO BE IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S WITH LOWS AROUND THE
MID-40S. SOME EARLY MORNING FOG IS POSSIBLE NEAR RIVERS AND
LAKES.
EARLY WEEK, A DISTURBANCE MOVING FROM THE FRONT RANGE TO THE
NORTHERN GREAT LAKES WILL BE WELL NORTH OF THE QUAD STATE
REGION. A SECOND LARGE SURFACE HIGH MIGRATES FROM ITS CURRENT
POSITION NEAR MANITOBA TOWARDS NEW ENGLAND, REASSERTING HIGH
PRESSURE TO OUR EAST MIDWEEK. SURFACE WINDS LOCALLY WILL BE
LIGHT AND GENERALLY OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST, HEAVILY INFLUENCED BY
THE EASTERN HIGH. A MIDWEEK DISTURBANCE IS LIKELY TO INCREASE
HIGH CLOUD COVERAGE LOCALLY BUT KEEP PRECIPITATION NORTHWEST OF
THE CWA. TEMPORARILY SLIGHTLY DISRUPTING THE RIDGE LOCALLY,
RIDGING REFORMS FOR LATE WEEK, KEEPING DRY CONDITIONS FORECAST.
A TROUGH DIGS INTO THE WESTERN U.S. LATE WEEK INTO NEXT
WEEKEND. WHILE THE MAIN TROUGH AXIS IS CENTERED FURTHER WEST, A
SMALLER SCALE NEGATIVELY TILTED TROUGH CROSSING THE CENTRAL
PLAINS SATURDAY IS LIKELY TO ADVANCE CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE QUAD
STATE TO FINALLY BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE REGION.
INCONVENIENTLY, THIS WOULD BE HALLOWEEN WEEKEND SO, ONCE WE MOVE
CLOSER, WE WILL NEED TO MONITOR THIS SYSTEM FOR TIMING ISSUES.
TEMPERATURES, FORECAST TO BE SEVERAL DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL
THROUGH THE SEVEN DAY FORECAST PERIOD, ARE ALSO FAVORED TO BE
ABOVE NORMAL IN THE 6-10 AND 8-14 DAY OUTLOOKS. COMPLETELY DRY
CONDITIONS TODAY THROUGH THE WORKWEEK WILL GIVE WAY TO ABOVE
NORMAL PRECIPITATION BEING FAVORED IN THE 6-10 DAY OUTLOOK.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1045 PM CDT SAT OCT 24 2026
SATELLITE TRENDS SUGGEST A LITTLE BETTER POTENTIAL FOR FOG
FORMATION ACROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND WESTERN KENTUCKY
TONIGHT. WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG APPEARS UNLIKELY BUT GROUND FOG,
PARTICULARLY NEAR BODIES OF WATER APPEARS LIKELY THROUGH EARLY
THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS REMAINS
ANTICIPATED.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...JGG
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