194
FXUS63 KPAH 191128
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
628 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE INTO TONIGHT
ACROSS OUR ENTIRE AREA, AND INTO MONDAY ACROSS SOUTHWEST
INDIANA AND ADJACENT AREAS OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND NORTHWEST
KENTUCKY.
- A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN MONDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT, WITH TEMPERATURES
10+ DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL BY THURSDAY INTO THURSDAY NIGHT.
- CHANCES (20-40%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURN LATE
THURSDAY NIGHT, INCREASING TO 60-75% BY FRIDAY AFTERNOON
THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
UPDATED AVIATION SECTION FOR 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1254 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CURRENTLY OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. WILL
SLIDE EAST, BECOMING CENTERED EAST OF THE PAH FORECAST AREA BY
EARLY MONDAY. WINDS OUT OF THE WEST TODAY AND NORTH TONIGHT WILL
HELP KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL THROUGH TONIGHT, WITH HIGHS
TODAY IN THE MIDDLE 60S TO AROUND 70 DEGREES, AND LOWS TONIGHT
FROM AROUND 40 TO THE MIDDLE 40S. WITH THE HIGH CENTERED TO OUR
EAST MONDAY, WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT TO THE SOUTH, AND THIS
WILL RESULT IN A WARMING TREND THROUGH THURSDAY. AFTER HIGHS
MONDAY FROM THE LOWER 60S IN SOUTHWEST INDIANA TO THE LOWER 70S
IN THE OZARK FOOTHILLS, TUESDAY HIGHS WILL BE 75 TO 80 AREAWIDE.
TUESDAY WILL ALSO BE BREEZY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS AT 10-20MPH
AND GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH.
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL RETURN THURSDAY AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE AHEAD
OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THESE WINDS WILL HELP TEMPERATURES
CLIMB INTO THE 80 TO 85 DEGREE RANGE.
MODELS BRING THE COLD FRONT JUST NORTHWEST OF THE PAH FA BY 12Z
FRIDAY, PUSHING IT EAST OF OUR AREA BY 12Z SATURDAY. THE BEST
PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL BE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE
MODEL BLEND SPREADS 20-40% CHANCES OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE PAH FA LATE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH CHANCES INCREASING
TO 60-75% FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT. BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT, 25-50% CHANCES WILL LINGER INTO SATURDAY, WITH
TEMPERATURES 5-10 DEGREES COOLER.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 628 AM CDT SUN APR 19 2026
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH SKC-FEW050
SKIES. LIGHT TO CALM WINDS WILL BECOME WEST AT 6-12KTS BY 16Z,
WITH SOME GUSTS NEAR 20KTS POSSIBLE MAINLY AT KMVN/KEVV/KOWB.
WINDS WILL BECOME VARIABLE AROUND 5KTS OR LESS AFTER 00Z.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...RST
AVIATION...RST
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