994
FXUS63 KPAH 260658
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
158 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COMFORTABLY MILD AND PLEASANT TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
CONTINUE THIS WEEK.
- DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 157 AM CDT MON OCT 26 2026
THE FORECAST REMAINS FAIRLY STEADY THROUGH THE WORKWEEK AHEAD
WITH MULTIPLE WAVES OF UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE QUAD STATE,
SLIGHTLY INTERRUPTED BY A TUESDAY IMPULSE WHICH HAS
PRECIPITATION FURTHER NORTHWEST. SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS
DOMINANT OVER THE NORTHEAST, AND LATER MID-ATLANTIC, KEEPING
WINDS LIGHT AND WEATHER CONDITIONS DRY. TEMPERATURES REMAIN
ABOVE NORMAL WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER HALF OF THE 70S TO NEAR 80,
AND LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S, RISING SOME LATE WEEK AS FLOW
BECOMES MORE SOUTHERLY.
OVER THE WEEKEND, RIDGING BREAKS DOWN AND THE EASTERN HIGH
SHIFTS OUT TO SEA, PROVIDING A CHANCE OF RAIN. A SYSTEM TRACKING
NORTHEASTWARD FROM MEXICO INTO TEXAS PROVIDES WEEKEND RAINFALL.
MODELS DIFFER AS TO WHETHER THIS SYSTEM PROVIDES RAIN SATURDAY
OR DELAYS INTO SATURDAY NIGHT-SUNDAY. WHILE POPS ONLY PEAK
AROUND 40-60% SATURDAY NIGHT, IT GENERALLY SHOULD BE CONSIDERED
THAT THERE WILL MOST LIKELY BE SOME PRECIPITATION OVER THE
WEEKEND AT SOME POINT, AND FUTURE RUNS WILL HELP DIAL IN THE
TIMING BETTER. STRONG TROUGHING EARLY NEXT WEEK OUT WEST SHOULD
BRING ANOTHER SYSTEM TO THE REGION EARLY WEEK, WITH THE 6-10 DAY
PRECIPITATION OUTLOOK LEANING ABOVE NORMAL FOR MOST OF THE
COUNTRY (BUT ESPECIALLY THE DESERT SOUTHWEST). THE 6-10 DAY
TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK IS STRONGEST OVER THE OHIO VALLEY. HIGHS IN
THE 70S AND LOWS IN THE 50S OVER THE WEEKEND WOULD LEND SUPPORT
TO THAT, BEING AROUND 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1143 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
HIGH BROKEN TO OVERCAST SKIES WILL PROBABLY DIMINISH ANY
POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD FOG TONIGHT. AREAS OF GROUND FOG WILL
STILL BE POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY AROUND WARMER BODIES OF WATER
BUT THE LARGE SCALE CONDITIONS LOOK EVEN LESS FAVORABLE FOR FOG
THAN THEY DID 6 HOURS AGO. VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING
THE DAYTIME HOURS MONDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...JGG
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