079
FXUS63 KPAH 222218
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
518 PM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER AND DRIER THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING AS HIGH PRESSURE
PASSES BY TO THE NORTH.
- RAIN CHANCES (30-50%) RETURN FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING
WITH HEAVY DOWNPOURS POSSIBLE.
- A RETURN TO HOT AND HUMID WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR SUNDAY
THROUGH THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH HIGHS IN THE MID 90S
AND HEAT INDEX VALUES PUSHING INTO THE 100-105 RANGE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1248 PM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
HIGH PRESSURE WILL LINGER ACROSS THE QUAD STATE THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING, BRINGING A BREAK IN THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY AS WELL AS THE
PRECIPITATION.
THE NEXT CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION (30-50$) WILL ARRIVE FRIDAY INTO
SATURDAY AS A SHORTWAVE AND DEEPER MOISTURE APPROACHES FROM THE
PLAINS. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE STILL FORECAST TO JUMP UP TO
AROUND 2 INCHES, WHICH AGAIN, SUPPORTS VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. THE
SHORTWAVE WILL THEN PUSH EAST OF THE AREA SATURDAY MORNING, WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND.
UPPER-LEVEL RIDING WILL BUILD INTO THE QUAD STATE OVER THE WEEKEND
AND FOR AT LEAST THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK, BRINGING HOT
TEMPERATURES (IN THE MID 90S) AND INCREASED HUMIDITY (DEWPOINTS
CLIMBING INTO THE 70S.) THE COMBINATION OF THE TWO, WILL LEAD TO
HEAT INDEX VALUES PUSHING BACK UP INTO THE 100-105 DEGREE RANGE WITH
ONLY LIMITED CHANCES FOR AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 518 PM CDT WED JUL 22 2026
VFR CONDITIONS APPEAR LIKELY THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. CONDITIONS
DO NOT CURRENTLY APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR FOG FORMATION OVERNIGHT.
A LIGHT NORTHERLY BREEZE WILL BECOME LIGHTER OVERNIGHT AND PICK
UP SLIGHTLY BY MID MORNING TOMORROW.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...KC
AVIATION...JGG
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