913
FXUS63 KPAH 131700
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1200 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RECORD OR NEAR RECORD WARM TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TUESDAY,
WEDNESDAY, AND FRIDAY...WITH HIGHS IN THE 80S AND LOWS IN THE
60S PRETTY MUCH ALL WEEK.
- BEST RAIN CHANCES COME WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURSDAY AND AGAIN NEXT
WEEKEND. STORM TOTAL AVERAGE RAINFALL AMOUNTS WITH EACH ROUND
AGGREGATE IN THE 0.25-0.75" RANGE.
- A MARKED COOLDOWN CLOSER TO SEASONAL AVERAGES WITH HIGH TEMPS
IN THE 60S AND LOW TEMPS IN THE 40S WILL SETTLE IN FOR NEXT
SUNDAY-MONDAY, AFTER THE STORM SYSTEM COMPLETES ITS PASSAGE
THIS WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026
THERE ARE TWO PRIMARY TARGETS OF OPPORTUNITY WITH OUR HIGH
PRESSURE RIDGE DOMINATED FORECAST. THE FIRST IS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT-THURSDAY, WHEN RIPPLES IN THE STEERING FLOW PASS OVERHEAD
AND INTRODUCE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS/STORMS. THEN AGAIN THE COMING
WEEKEND, AS THE MAIN SYNOPTIC BODY MAKES PASSAGE. THESE WILL
OFFER BEST STORM AND HEAVIER RAIN CHANCES, THOUGH AT THIS
WRITING, SEVERE STORMS ARE NOT IN THE OUTLOOK. AVERAGE STORM
TOTAL QPF FOR WEDNESDAY NIGHT-THURDSAY IS IN THE 0.25-0.75"
RANGE FOR MOST OF OUR CWA.
THE MAIN NEAR TERM FOCUS IS ON RECORD OR NEAR RECORD HIGH
TEMPERATURES THE NEXT TWO DAYS, WITH OUR HIGHS FORECAST IN THE
MID 80S. RECORDS ARE:
TUESDAYWEDNESDAY
PAH 87 (2006)88 (1977)
EVV 86 (2010)86 (2024)
CGI 86 (1992)87 (1992)
POF 89 (1925)88 (1936)
MDH 85 (2010)87 (2024)
EACH DAY WILL FEATURE WARM/BREEZY SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS THAT
ASSIST IN THE WARM RUN. AFTER A TRANSITIONAL THURSDAY, WE'RE
RIGHT BACK TO RECORD WARMTH FRIDAY, WHICH MAY OFFER OUR EARLIEST
90F MAX TEMP ON RECORD, IF WE CAN OVER-ACHIEVE JUST A LITTLE ON
OUR FORECAST MID-UPPER 80S HIGHS. ANOTHER 0.25-0.75" QPF
FORECAST IS IN STORE FOR THE WEEKEND STORM SYSTEM PASSAGE AS
WELL, AND AFTER ITS PASSAGE, MUCH COOLER AND SEASONAL AIR WILL
ARRIVE TO BEGIN THE NEW WEEK.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT MON APR 13 2026
SCT-BKN HIGH END MVFR/LOW END VFR BASES REMAIN POSSIBLE THE
ENTIRE FORECAST, WITH SOME MID-HIGH LEVEL BASES AS WELL. SOUTH
WINDS PREVAIL IN A STRICTLY WARM SECTOR ENVIRON., WITH PEAK
DAYTIME GUSTS IN THE MID-UPR 20S KTS. RAIN CHANCES ARE SCANT
ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE THEIR MENTION AT THE TERMINALS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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