498
FXUS63 KPAH 241123
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
623 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- THE WEEK WILL BEGIN ON A DRY NOTE WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES, AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO REMAIN OVERHEAD.
- THE NEXT CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
ENTIRE REGION IS FORECAST WEDNESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
- TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB THROUGH THE WEEK
EVENTUALLY REACHING THE LOW 90S BY THIS WEEKEND AS SOUTHERLY
WINDS RETURN, ALONG WITH INCREASING HUMIDITY LEVELS BEGINNING
WEDNESDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 216 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
THE REGION CONTINUES TO SIT BETWEEN THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OVER
THE SOUTHWEST CONUS AND THE TROUGH OVER THE NE CONUS WITH
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVERHEAD. RECENT MODEL GUIDANCE HAS
SHIFTED THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WEST, AND AS A RESULT, SHIFTED THE
SHORTWAVES AND SMALL CHANCE FOR SHOWERS EXPECTED TODAY AND
TUESDAY WEST OF SEMO. THEREFORE, DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST
WITH CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY AND
TUESDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW TO MID 80S.
WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING, SMALL CHANCES (20-30%) FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EXIST ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AS
ANOTHER TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE
THROUGH. HOWEVER, FORECAST CONFIDENCE IN THESE SHOWERS ARE LOW
DUE TO THE LACK OF AGREEMENT ACROSS MID AND LONG RANGE MODELS.
BEGINNING WEDNESDAY WITH THIS SYSTEM, HIGHER DEWPOINTS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 60S WILL RETURN RESULTING IN HIGHER HUMIDITY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE CLIMB AS THE WEEK PROGRESSES.
CURRENT GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT BY THE WEEKEND WE COULD SEE HIGHS
BACK INTO THE LOW 90S, AS SOUTHERLY WINDS RETURN.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
FOG IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT HOUR FOR MVN BUT IS
EXPECTED TO CLEAR AFTERWARD WITH VISIBILTY CLEARING. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF THE DAY WITH FEW TO
SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS WITH LOW NORTHEASTERLY WINDS. THERE IS
AGAIN THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME FOG ACROSS MVN, CGI, AND PAH
TUESDAY MORNING BUT CONFIDENCE IS LOW SO IT HAS BEEN LEFT OUT
FOR NOW.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...AZ/DWS
DISCUSSION...AZ
AVIATION...AZ
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page