265
FXUS63 KPAH 211125
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
525 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- MORE BENEFICIAL RAIN IS EXPECTED TODAY, ADDITIONAL RAINFALL
AROUND 0.25-1" EXPECTED BY SATURDAY MORNING.
- DRY WEATHER EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND BEFORE MORE RAIN RETURNS
MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
- TEMPERATURES COOL DOWN FOR THANKSGIVING NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 143 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
A WEAK WARM FRONT IS CURRENTLY STALLED OUT ACROSS THE AREA AS A SFC
LOW TRACKS THROUGH THE REGION TODAY. THIS WILL BRING MORE CHANCES
FOR SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY. SOME DRIER MID-
LEVEL AIR COULD BRING A LULL IN ACTIVITY IN THE AFTERNOON BEFORE
ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN PASSES THROUGH DURING THE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. SEVERE THREAT IS VERY LIMITED DUE TO THE LACK OF
INSTABILITY AND WEAK LAPSE RATES. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND
0.25-1" ARE POSSIBLE.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN THIS WEEKEND AND HELPS US TO DRY OUT
WITH HIGHS IN THE 50S AND 60S. EARLY NEXT WEEK ANOTHER TROF
ALOFT EJECTS INTO THE PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM BRINGS ANOTHER ROUND
OF WET WEATHER FOR MONDAY INTO TUESDAY AS A SFC LOW TRACKS
THROUGH THE MIDWEST. THIS SFC LOW WILL BRING A COLD FRONT
THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY. BEHIND THE FRONT COLDER AND DRIER AIR
FILLS IN. BY WEDNESDAY NIGHT, BROAD, LONGWAVE TROUGHING ALOFT
TAKES OVER PULLING DOWN MUCH COOLER AIR INTO THE REGION IN TIME
FOR THANKSGIVING AND BEYOND. EXPECT TEMPERATURES FOR
THANKSGIVING TO BE BELOW NORMAL.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 523 AM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
SHOWERS CONTINUE TO PROGRESS THROUGH THE AREA WITH A LULL
EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE SCATTERED SHOWERS RESUME THIS
EVENING AND THEN TAPER OFF BY MIDNIGHT. LOW CIGS WILL REMAIN
THROUGHOUT THE DAY, IMPROVING AT BEST TO MVFR BRIEFLY. TONIGHT
FOG IS POSSIBLE AT THE TERMINALS ONCE AGAIN DUE TO THE ABUNDANCE
OF MOISTURE AROUND.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR ILZ075-
080>082-084>086-088>090-092>094.
MO...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR MOZ076-086-
087-100-107>112-114.
IN...NONE.
KY...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 9 AM CST THIS MORNING FOR KYZ001>013-
016-017-021-022.
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...HICKFORD
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