688
FXUS63 KPAH 041127
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
627 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DRY CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TODAY THROUGH THE WEEK AHEAD.
- NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY AND EARLY WEEK WILL SLOWLY WARM
FOR LATER IN THE WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 627 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
UPDATED THE AVIATION SECTION FOR THE 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 130 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
DRY CONDITIONS AND SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE TODAY. A DRY
COLD FRONT PROVIDES REINFORCING NORTHERLY FLOW AND SOME HIGH
CLOUDS THIS MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES EASTWARD THROUGH THE
MIDWEST EARLY WEEK, WITH A RIDGE AXIS MOVING THROUGH TUESDAY.
THE HIGH EVENTUALLY SETS UP TO OUR EAST MID-LATE WEEK, WHICH
WILL ALLOW FOR A MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TO WINDS LOCALLY.
TEMPERATURES SLOWLY WARM MID TO LATE WEEK WITH SOUTHERLY FLOW
WITH LATE WEEK HIGHS INTO THE 80S.
MODELS ARE IN STRONG ALIGNMENT ON DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH AT
LEAST FRIDAY. PRECIPITATION CHANCES ONLY RETURN NEXT WEEKEND,
WITH MODELS FAVORING THE DEEP SOUTH FOR RAIN CHANCES BUT
DIFFERING STRONGLY ON THE TYPE OF SYSTEM, SO CONTINUED
MONITORING WILL BE NEEDED.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 627 AM CDT SUN OCT 4 2026
A FEW LOCALIZED VSBY DROPS SHOULD IMPROVE SHORTLY WITH VFR
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE QUAD STATE THROUGH THE DURATION OF THE TAF
PERIOD. HIGH CLOUDS DECREASE LATER IN THE DAY. NORTHERLY WINDS
OF 5-7KTS DURING THE DAY BECOME LIGHT TONIGHT.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...ATL
DISCUSSION...ATL
AVIATION...ATL
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