634
FXUS63 KPAH 292018
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
318 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A PROLONGED HEAT WAVE THIS WEEK WILL SEE HIGH TEMPERATURES IN
THE MID 90S WITH HEAT INDICES GENERALLY 105+ THROUGH AT LEAST
FRIDAY POSSIBLY INTO SATURDAY. AN EXTREME HEAT WARNING IS IN
EFFECT THROUGH FRIDAY.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED (20-30%) SHOWER/STORM CHANCES RE-ENTER
THE FORECAST LATE WEEK AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 316 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 114 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
THE POTENT UPPER LEVEL RIDGE CONTINUES TO LOCK INTO PLACE OVER THE
REGION TODAY. HIGHS EXPECTED IN THE MID 90S WITH DEW POINTS IN THE
UPPER 70S. THIS WILL LEAD TO HEAT INDICES GENERALLY IN THE 105+
RANGE. THE RIDGE IS EXPECTED TO STAY IN PLACE THROUGH LATE WEEK,
POSSIBLY INTO THE WEEKEND. AN EXTREME HEAT WARNING IS IN EFFECT AS
HEAT INDICES REMAIN IN THE 105+ RANGE THROUGH FRIDAY AND POSSIBLY
INTO SATURDAY.
BY THURSDAY THE RIDGE AXIS SHIFTS MORE EAST AND BEGINS TO
POTENTIALLY RELAX A BIT. THIS INTRODUCES THE CHANCE FOR SOME
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED (20-30%) SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER PORTIONS OF
THE AREA DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. CHANCES CONTINUE INTO THE
WEEKEND AS THE RIDGE BREAKS DOWN. POPS PICK UP TO AROUND 30-40%
SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A SHORTWAVE MOVES THROUGH MAINLY TO OUR
NORTH.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 316 PM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE CONTROLS FLIGHT WEATHER. SCT-BKN DIURNALLY
FUELED BASES EXPIRE TONIGHT, WITH FEW-SCT EXPECTED TMRW TO BE IN
THE LOWER VFR RANGE BY/THRU THE PLANNING PHASE HOURS OF THE
FORECAST.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR ILZ075>078-
080>094.
MO...EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR MOZ076-086-087-
100-107>112-114.
IN...EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ FRIDAY FOR
INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT FRIDAY FOR KYZ001>022.
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