966
FXUS63 KPAH 250600
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
100 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HEADLINE HEAT SETS IN TO START THE NEW WEEK.
- RAIN CHANCES ARE SPORADIC AFTER TODAY, WITH ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED STORMS POSSIBLE EARLY IN THE WEEK, AND AGAIN LATE IN
THE WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
THOUGH SHOWERS HAVE DWINDLED FOR THE TIME BEING, SOME ENERGY
WITHIN THE NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL INITIATE ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS/POTENTIAL THUNDERSTORMS LATE TONIGHT INTO SATURDAY. POPS
STILL LOOK TO PEAK AROUND 60% WITH PW'S PUSHING 2", SO
LOCALLY/EFFICIENT RAIN PRODUCERS WILL BE THE MOST LIKELY STORM
HAZARD, SHOULD ONE OCCUR.
THE STRENGTH OF THE BROAD WESTERN U.S. RIDGE ALOFT FURTHER
ENVELOPS ITS GRIP EASTWARD/ACROSS OUR FA DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF THE WEEK. AS A RESULT, OUR TEMPS/HUMIDITY WILL BUILD AS WELL,
WITH PEAK HEADLINE HEAT INDICES UP TO AROUND 110 DEGREES
POSSIBLE, PARTICULARLY MONDAY-TUESDAY. ISOLATED STORM CHANCES
WITHIN THIS TIME PERIOD WILL SERVE ONLY TO REINFORCE THE STICKY
HIGH HUMIDITY, OFFERING LITTLE RELIEF.
THE HIGH RETROGRADES OVER THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK, BACKING
OFF ITS PEAK INTENSITY HERE BUT REMAINING WARM WITH HIGHS IN THE
LOWER HALF 90S. WHILE MUCH OF THIS TIME PERIOD LOOKS DRY, SOME
MODELING SUGGESTS A MORE ROBUST WAVE DIVES SOUTH AND PUSHES A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY NEXT WEEKEND; EXPECT STORM
CHANCES THEN TO BE ON THE INCREASE IF THIS MODEL SIGNAL HOLDS.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT SAT JUL 25 2026
MID-HIGH LEVEL VFR BASES WILL PERSIST TODAY, BUT SCATTERING
THESE OUT TONIGHT WILL OCCUR, WHICH MAY LEAVE SOME FOG
POTENTIAL. SOME LINGERING SHOWER/STORM ACTIVITY IS POSSIBLE
UNTIL THEN, ESPECIALLY TODAY DURING THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. THOUGH
A POSSIBLE STORM THAT MIGHT OFFER OTHERWISE, IT WOULD APPEAR
THE BULK FLIGHT TRANSIT WILL OPERATE WITH VISUAL FLIGHT RULES IN
EFFECT, EXCEPTING IF FOG RESTRICTS VSBYS TOWARD THE END OF THE
PLANNING PHASE HOURS OF THE FORECAST.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR ILZ075-
080-081-084-085-088>090-092>094.
MO...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR MOZ076-
086-087-100-107>112-114.
IN...NONE.
KY...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR
KYZ001>009.
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