494
FXUS63 KPAH 241745
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1245 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- RAIN CHANCES REAPPEAR HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH CHANCES
PEAKING AT 60% SATURDAY.
- HEAT HEADLINE NUMBERS EMERGE EARLY NEXT WEEK AS HOT AND HUMID
WEATHER GOES ON BLAST WITH 90+ HIGHS ALL WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 100 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
AS OUR COOL SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM SHIFTS FURTHER TO THE
EAST, WE'LL SEE ONE MORE DAY OF COOL TEMPS/LOW HUMIDITY PLEASANTRY
BEFORE STIFLING SUMMER HEAT RE-EMERGES. IN BETWEEN WILL BE A
CHANCE OF RAIN/STORMS HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND. NAEFS-ESAT
INDICATES PW'S INCREASING TO 2" WITH 2-5 YEAR RETURN INTERVALS,
SUGGESTING LOCALLY HEAVY/EFFICIENT DOWNPOURS WILL BE THE MAIN
STORM THREAT FOR PEAK POP TIMES LATE FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
THE STRONG WESTERN U.S. UPPER RIDGE PATTERN BECOMES MORE OF AN
INFLUENCE UPON OUR SENSIBLE WEATHER NEXT WEEK, RETURNING HIGHS
AOA 90F FOR THE ENTIRETY OF THE WEEK. MAX HIGH PRESSURE
INFLUENCE HERE IS EARLY IN THE WEEK, WITH HIGHS IN THE MID-UPPER
90S AND HI'S 100-110F. A SUBTLE RETROGRADE OF THE HIGH AS THE
WEEK WEARS ON SOFTENS THE HEAT'S BLOW TO LOWER HALF 90S OVER ITS
BACK HALF CLOSE-OUT.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1245 PM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS WILL OVERSPREAD THE ENTIRE REGION
OVERNIGHT, AND MAY LINGER THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. THE
GREATEST COVERAGE SHOULD BE IN THE 09Z-15Z TIME FRAME, BUT
IMPACTS WILL BE MINIMAL. A BRIEF MVFR VISIBILITY CANNOT BE RULED
OUT AT ALL SITES, AND AN MVFR CEILING WILL BE POSSIBLE AT THE
WESTERN SITES AFTER 15Z. SOME ISOLATED TSRA CANNOT BE RULED OUT,
BUT THE COVERAGE SHOULD BE TOO LIMITED TO MENTION IN THE TAFS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR ILZ075-
080-081-084-085-088>090-092>094.
MO...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR MOZ076-
086-087-100-107>112-114.
IN...NONE.
KY...HEAT ADVISORY FROM 11 AM SUNDAY TO 7 PM CDT TUESDAY FOR
KYZ001>009.
DISCUSSION...
AVIATION...DRS
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