524
FXUS63 KPAH 180500
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1200 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WIDESPREAD FROST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AS TEMPERATURES DROP INTO
THE LOWER TO MIDDLE 30S. PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS MAY BRIEFLY REACH THE FREEZING MARK.
- A WARMING TREND WILL BEGIN ON SUNDAY, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES
CLIMBING A FEW DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH
FRIDAY. NO RAIN AND FEW CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 AM CDT SUN OCT 18 2026
1034MB SURFACE RIDGE SITS JUST TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE AREA.
DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOW 40S WITH CLEAR SKIES AND
CALM WINDS. WE APPEAR ON TRACK FOR A VERY STRONG RADIATIONAL
COOLING EVENT THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS WHICH SHOULD LEAD TO
THE FIRST WIDESPREAD FROST OF THE SEASON.
ANOTHER STRONG UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN OVER THE CENTRAL PLAINS
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND KEEPS OUR PATTERN BLOCKED UP
THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK. WE STILL LOOK ON TRACK FOR DRY AND
PLEASANT CONDITIONS WITH SEASONABLE HIGHS IN THE 70S AND LOWS IN
THE 40S. GUIDANCE CONSENSUS IS STRONG IN KEEPING THAT PATTERN IN
PLACE AT LEAST INTO NEXT WEEKEND.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 502 PM CDT SAT OCT 17 2026
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST TO OUR NORTH MOVES EAST
ACROSS APPALACHIA THRU THIS TIME TMRW. SKIES WILL REMAIN CLEAR
IN THIS COOL/DRY AIR MASS. NORTHEAST WINDS DIMINISH TONIGHT AND
VEER TO LIGHT SOUTHEAST TMRW WITH THE HIGH'S MIGRATION.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114.
IN...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT /9 AM EDT/ SUNDAY FOR INZ081-082-
085>088.
KY...FROST ADVISORY UNTIL 8 AM CDT SUNDAY FOR KYZ001>022.
DISCUSSION...JGG
AVIATION...
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