039
FXUS63 KPAH 021827
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
127 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- LESS HUMID AIR WILL FILTER INTO THE REGION TODAY.
- DRY AND SEASONABLY WARM CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST THROUGH
FRIDAY.
- A DAILY CHANCE (25-50%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS RETURNS
TO THE FORECAST SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 127 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
LARGE SCALE FLOW ALOFT REMAINS HEAVILY BLOCKED TO OUR WEST
KEEPING SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO OUR NORTHEAST IN CONTROL AND
STEADILY SENDING DRIER AND SOMEWHAT COOLER AIR IN FROM THE
NORTHEAST. THIS SHOULD KEEP THINGS FAIRLY STABLE, SEASONABLE AND
DRY FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
BY THE WEEKEND THE BLOCK SLOWLY MOVES EASTWARD ENOUGH THAT WE
GET INTO TO SOME SOUTHWESTERLY RETURN FLOW SENDING LOW 70S
DEWPOINTS BACK INTO THE REGION. THE FRONT BETWEEN THE HUMID AIR
TO THE SOUTHWEST AND THE DRIER AIR TO THE NORTHEAST RETURNS AND
THERE APPEARS TO BE ENOUGH FRONTOGENETIC FORCING TO PRODUCE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. NORTHWESTERLY FLOW ALOFT IS
ADVERTISED FOR MUCH OF THE WEEKEND WITH WEAK PASSING WAVES. SUCH
A PATTERN WOULD GIVE US A GOOD CHANCE FOR AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND
STORMS, TO WHAT WE HAD OVER THIS PAST WEEKEND, ONLY PWAT
VALUES ARE ADVERTISED A LITTLE HIGHER.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1202 PM CDT TUE JUN 2 2026
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD WITH MODERATE
EAST-NORTHEAST WIND GUSTING UP TO ABOUT 15 KTS DURING THIS
AFTERNOON.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...JGG
AVIATION...JGG
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