537
FXUS63 KPAH 220344
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
944 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- A FEW CHANCES OF RAIN REMAIN THIS EVENING BUT CONDITIONS WILL
BEGIN TO DRY OUT TONIGHT.
- DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE WEEKEND BEFORE MORE RAIN
RETURNS MONDAY INTO TUESDAY.
- TEMPERATURES COOL DOWN FOR THANKSGIVING NEXT WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 943 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
UPDATED AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR THE 06Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
A SURFACE WAVE MOVING THROUGH THE CENTRAL PLAINS HAS LIFTED A
WARM FRONT NORTH THROUGH THE AREA TODAY. SOUTH OF THIS FRONT,
CONDITIONS HAVE DRIED WITH SOUTHERLY LOW LEVEL FLOW ALLOWING
TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO THE 60S. NEAR OR NORTH OF THE FRONT,
TEMPERATURES REMAIN IN THE 50S. INCREASED CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SURFACE WAVE AND INCREASED ASCENT FROM THE SHORTWAVE
ALOFT IS EXPECTED TO BRING PRECIPITATION CHANCES BACK THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HIGH PRESSURE FILTERS IN BEHIND THE EXITING SURFACE WAVE
BRINGING DRIER CONDITIONS TO THE REGION BOTH SATURDAY AND
SUNDAY. TEMPERATURES WILL COOL INTO THE 50S FOR HIGHS ON
SATURDAY AND LOW TO MID 60S ON SUNDAY. CLOUD COVER INCREASES
SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY AHEAD OF A DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH
THE PLAINS. THIS SYSTEM WILL TRACK EASTWARD EARLY NEXT WEEK
BRINGING INCREASING PRECIPITATION CHANCES AS EARLY AS MONDAY
AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY. HIGH TEMPERATURES WARM INTO THE MID TO
UPPER 60S BY TUESDAY.
BEHIND THIS SYSTEM, LONGWAVE TROUGHING BECOMES ESTABLISHED
ACROSS CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE COUNTRY REINFORCING SURFACE HIGH
PRESSURE ACROSS THE PLAINS. A DRY AND COOLER AIRMASS ARRIVES BY
MID TO LATE WEEK WITH THANKSGIVING CONTINUING TO LOOK DRY WITH
HIGHS IN THE 40S.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 943 PM CST FRI NOV 21 2025
AS SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EXIT THE REGION,
LINGERING LIFR/IFR CIGS AND VSBY RESTRICTIONS WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH EARLY MORNING HOURS. AS DRIER AIR ARRIVES BEHIND A
PASSING COLD FRONT, CLOUD BASES WILL LIFT AND CLEAR FROM NORTH
TO SOUTH, AND VFR CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST AT ALL TERMINALS BY
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AT THE LATEST. VARIABLE WINDS WILL PICK UP
FROM THE N TO NW BY 12Z AROUND 5-10 KTS THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF
THE FORECAST PERIOD.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...DWS
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