122
FXUS63 KPAH 031711
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1211 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DANGEROUSLY HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY CONTINUES INTO THE HOLIDAY
WEEKEND, WITH A WARNING TRANSITIONING TO AN ADVISORY THIS
EVENING, AND CONTINUING THRU THE INDENDENCE DAY FESTIVITIES.
- MAJOR RIVER FLOODING AT PRINCETON IS CRESTING THIS EVENING,
THEN FALLING BACK INTO MODERATE FLOOD LEVELS THIS WEEKEND.
- STORM CHANCES INCREASE DAILY INTO NEXT WEEK, EVENTUALLY MUTING
THE EXTREMETIES OF HIGH TEMPERATURES AND HEAT INDICES BACK
CLOSER TO NORMAL LEVELS FOR THE BEGINNING OF THE NEW WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2026
HIGHS IN THE MID 90S AND DEW POINTS IN THE MID 70S COMBINES FOR
HI'S TO MAX OUT CLOSE TO 110 DEGREES AGAIN TODAY, WITH THE
PROLONGED DURATION OF DANGEROUSLY HIGH HEAT AND HUMIDITY KEEPING
THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING IN EFFECT ONE MORE DAY. WE
TRANSITION TO A HEAT ADVISORY FOR INDEPENDENCE DAY, AS HIGHS ARE
GENERALLY EXPECTED IN THE LOWER HALF 90S SO HI'S TOP OFF CLOSER
TO AROUND 105 DEGREES. BY THE BEGINNING OF THE NEW WEEK,
THEY'VE BACKED OFF ENOUGH TO RETURN TEMPS/HUMIDITY LEVELS CLOSER
TO OUR SEASONAL NORMS FOR MID SUMMER.
DAILY PCPN CHANCES INCREASE WITH TIME AND MOSTLY MAXIMIZE
DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS OF THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING. THIS HELPS WITH THE RIDGE'S BREAKDOWN, AND WITH
ADDITIONAL CLOUD/DEBRIS FROM DAILY RISING POPS, THE COMBO SHOULD
ASSIST TEMPS TO RETURN TO MORE COMMON/SEASONAL AVERAGES FOR
THIS TIME OF YEAR. OF COURSE STILL HIGH PW'S MEANS LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS ARE POSSIBLE, IN ADDITION TO LIGHTNING AND BRIEF GUSTY
WINDS, WITH ANY STRONGER STORMS THAT ARISE.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/
ISSUED AT 1210 PM CDT FRI JUL 3 2026
DIURNAL CU BASES FEW-SCT TODAY COULD YIELD ISOLATED STORMS
DURING PEAK HEATING, BUT THE CHANCE IS LOW ENOUGH TO PRECLUDE
FROM TERMINAL MENTION AT THIS WRITING. OVERNIGHT, PATCHY FOG
COULD DEVELOP AND IF SO, RESTRICT VSBYS AT TIMES. TMRW IS
ANOTHER DAY LIKE TODAY WITH DIURNAL CU FIRING AND ASSOCIATED
PCPN CHANCES PICKING UP, ESP JUST AFTER PACKAGE EXPIRATION
TIME.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
ILZ075>078-080>094.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR
ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR MOZ076-
086-087-100-107>112-114.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR
MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114.
IN...EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ THIS EVENING
FOR INZ081-082-085>088.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ THIS EVENING TO 8 PM
CDT /9 PM EDT/ SATURDAY FOR INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...EXTREME HEAT WARNING UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING FOR
KYZ001>022.
HEAT ADVISORY FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO 8 PM CDT SATURDAY FOR
KYZ001>022.
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