596
FXUS63 KPAH 201132
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
632 AM CDT MON APR 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR TO A LITTLE BELOW NORMAL TODAY, THEN
READINGS WILL BE 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL THROUGH FRIDAY.
- UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL RETURN LATE THURSDAY NIGHT, WITH THE
BEST CHANCES (70-85%) OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY NIGHT.
- A LITTLE COOLER TEMPERATURES AND 20 TO 45% CHANCES OF SHOWERS
WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH ISOLATED STORMS
POSSIBLE.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 632 AM CDT MON APR 20 2026
UPDATED AVIATION SECTION FOR 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 148 AM CDT MON APR 20 2026
HIGH PRESSURE SLIDING EAST OF THE REGION WILL KEEP CONDITIONS
DRY AND SHIFT WINDS TO THE SOUTH LATE TODAY. AFTER NEAR TO A
LITTLE BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES TODAY IN THE MIDDLE 60S TO
LOWER 70S, READINGS TUESDAY THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK WILL BE
5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. THE WARMEST DAY WILL BE THURSDAY
AS SOUTH WINDS INCREASE OUT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT,
WITH HIGHS REACHING AROUND 80 DEGREES.
MODELS TAKE THE COLD FRONT THROUGH THE PAH FORECAST AREA FRIDAY
NIGHT, WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ALONG
AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. THE MODEL BLEND PRODUCES 70-85% CHANCES
FRIDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. ALTHOUGH BEST POTENTIAL FOR SOME
SEVERE STORMS IS CURRENTLY TO OUR SOUTHWEST, TIMING OF THE
FRONT AND HEATING AHEAD OF IT WILL PLAY A PART IN THE STRENGTH
OF STORMS IN SOUTHWEST PORTIONS OF OUR REGION LATE FRIDAY INTO
FRIDAY EVENING.
BEHIND THE FRONT, SHOWERS CHANCES DROP TO UNDER 50% ON SATURDAY,
AND UNDER 40% SUNDAY, WITH JUST ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE
AS A COUPLE OF WEAK UPPER LEVEL WAVES FOLLOW THE COLD FRONT.
RAINFALL TOTALS FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY RANGE FROM THREE QUARTERS
TO AROUND 1 INCH ACROSS SOUTHWEST INDIANA, TO AN INCH AND A
QUARTER TO AN INCH AND THREE QUARTERS IN SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS,
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND MOST OF WEST KENTUCKY. TEMPERATURES OVER
THE WEEKEND WILL DROP BACK CLOSER TO SEASONABLE READINGS.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 632 AM CDT MON APR 20 2026
CLEAR SKIES AND NO VSBYS RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF
PERIOD. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TODAY WILL BECOME SOUTH AROUND
5KTS BETWEEN 02Z-08Z.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...RST
AVIATION...RST
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