224
FXUS63 KPAH 251701
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1201 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- COMFORTABLY MILD AND PLEASANT TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST TO
CONTINUE THIS WEEK.
- DRY WEATHER CONTINUES THROUGH FRIDAY, WITH RAIN CHANCES
RETURNING TO THE FORECAST NEXT WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
HIGH PRESSURE MAINTAINS SOLID HOLD ON OUR WEATHER FOR NEARLY THE
ENTIRETY OF THIS WEEK. THE MODEL SIGNALS WE'VE BEEN DISCUSSING
OUR PAST FEW AFDS FOR RAIN CHANCES NEXT WEEKEND ARE INCREASING,
BUT THE DEVIL IS IN THE DETAILS, SPECIFICALLY WRT TO TIMING.
SOME DETERMINISTIC MODELLING SUGGESTS A DRY FIRST HALF WEEKEND
WITH BEST INCOMING RAIN CHANCES HOLDING OFF UNTIL SATURDAY
NIGHT-SUNDAY. THE BLEND PICKS UP ON THAT BUT MAY BE OVERLY
BROAD-BRUSHING WITH ITS PRECURSOR RAIN CHANCE SATURDAY. WE'LL
SEE HOW IT PLAYS OUT IN TIME BUT THAT'S SOMETHING THAT OFFERS A
WINDOW OF OPPORTUNITY FOR FINE-TUNING GIVEN THE OUTDOOR EVENTS
PLANNED AROUND THE AREA NEXT WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE SEASONALLY NEAR PERFECT WITH UPPER 70S FOR
HIGHS SAVE A FEW 80F READINGS THAT POP UP WED-FRI. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S/AROUND 50F PUSH TOWARD 60F NEXT WEEKEND AS DEWS RISE
WITH RAIN CHANCES APPEARING; THIS HERALDS A CONTINUED A/A
OUTLOOK IN OUR 6-10 AND 8-14 TEMP/PCPN PROJECTIONS.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT SUN OCT 25 2026
WITH A CONTINUED HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATED FORECAST, PERSISTENCE
STRATEGY WORKS BEST WITH ANOTHER DAY/NIGHT OF SKC OR FEW-SCT250
BASES WITH ANY PATCHY SHALLOW DAYBREAK FOG BURNING OFF QUICKLY.
WINDS WILL BE CALM AT NIGHT AND LIGHT DURING THE DAY AGAIN TOO.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
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