374
FXUS63 KPAH 082328
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
628 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING INTO THE WEEKEND. BEST CHANCE AT 80 IS IN SEMO ON
SATURDAY.
- COUPLE ROUNDS OF SHOWERS/STORMS POSSIBLE THIS EVENING/EARLY
OVERNIGHT AND AGAIN SUNDAY. LIMITED ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITH BOTH EVENTS.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 628 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
UPDATED THE AVIATION SECTION FOR THE 00Z TAF ISSUANCE.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 116 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
VERY LITTLE HAS CHANGE WITH THE GOING FORECAST. WITH SFC HIGH
PRESSURE TO THE EAST TODAY AND A TIGHTER PRESSURE GRADIENT WE HAVE
BREEZY SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW. WIND SPEEDS THIS AFTERNOON ARE AROUND
10-15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS TO AROUND 20-25 MPH. AFTERNOON HIGHS
ARE EXPECTED TO TOP OUT IN THE MID 70S ACROSS THE BOARD. THIS
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT A WEAK SHORT WAVE ALOFT ROLLS THROUGH AND
BRINGS A QUICK SHOT OF 40-80% POPS TO MAINLY SOUTHERN IL AND
SOUTHWEST IN. TOTAL RAINFALL WITH THIS SYSTEM LOOKS TO BE AROUND A
THIRD TO HALF AN INCH ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-64 CORRIDOR IN
SOUTHERN IL.
EXPECT A WARM AND DRY DAY ON SATURDAY WITH A 70-90% CHANCE OF
HITTING 80 IN SEMO. SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROF
ROLLS THROUGH AND BRINGS A QUICK HITTING FRONT WITH IT. POPS
HAVE SHIFTED SOUTH SOMEWHAT WITH A 30-50% CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
STORMS SOUTH OF IL ROUTE 13. RAINFALL TOTALS WITH THIS SECOND
SYSTEM CONTINUE TO BE LOW AND ARE ONLY UP TO A QUARTER OF AN
INCH.
AFTER A BRIEF COOL DOWN ON MONDAY TO MORE SEASONAL TEMPERATURES,
TEMPERATURES BEGIN TO REBOUND BACK TOWARDS 80S BY LATE WEEK. TUESDAY
ANOTHER QUICK SHORTWAVE LOOKS TO AT LEAST GRAZE THE AREA WITH SOME
SCATTERED 20% POPS TUESDAY EVENING. HIGHS WILL POTENTIALLY
REACH THE LOWER TO MID 80S ON FRIDAY. THE 8-14 DAY OUTLOOK
CONTINUES TO SHOW ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPS AND NEAR NORMAL
PRECIPITATION CHANCES.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 628 PM CDT FRI MAY 8 2026
A NARROW LINE OF SHOWERS WITH A FEW LIGHTNING STRIKES IS FORMING
ON THE NORTH END OF THE QUAD STATE EARLY THIS EVENING AND MAY
BRING THUNDER TO THE NORTHERNMOST TERMINALS. GREATER RAIN
CHANCES ENTER THE PICTURE LATER IN THE EVENING WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHWESTERN TWO-THIRDS, WITH THUNDER POTENTIAL
GREATEST IN THE NORTHWEST. BRIEF MVFR CIGS/VSBY ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE NORTH. AFTERWARDS, SKIES CLEAR AND WINDS REMAIN LIGHT OUT OF
THE WEST SATURDAY.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...ATL
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...ATL
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