375
FXUS63 KPAH 201015
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
515 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES TREND AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DURING
THE LATTER HALF OF THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND.
- DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS WITH NO
PRECIPITATION.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1250 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
AN OMEGA BLOCK WILL CONTINUE TO PROVIDE TRANQUIL WEATHER CONDITIONS
WITH SEASONABLE TEMPERATURES AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN
CONTROL OVER THE GREAT LAKES REGION. WHILE THE RIDGE AXIS BEGINS
TO SHIFT MORE EAST FROM THE PLAINS INTO THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY
DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK, THE ONLY NOTEWORTHY CHANGE
WILL BE TEMPERATURES WARMING AROUND 5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL DUE
TO SOUTHERLY RETURN FLOW. HIGHS WILL RANGE FROM THE MID TO
UPPER 70S WITH LOWS STRUGGLING TO DIP BELOW 50 DEGREES BY THE
WEEKEND. THERE ARE SIGNS ON SOME OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE THAT A
COLD FRONT WILL EVENTUALLY IMPACT THE FA TOWARDS THE MIDDLE OF
NEXT WEEK AS A POTENT TROUGH EJECTS ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS.
FOR THE FORESEEABLE FUTURE, NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED OVER
THE NEXT 7 DAYS THAT WOULD PROVIDE RELIEF FROM THE ABNORMALLY
DRY TO MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS.
AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 515 AM CDT TUE OCT 20 2026
HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS WILL CLEAR TO THE EAST TODAY, GIVING WAY TO
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE NORTHEAST AROUND 4
KTS, FOLLOWED BY CALM TONIGHT AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER QUICKLY
DECOUPLES AFTER SUNSET. THERE IS A 30% CHANCE OF PATCHY FOG
WEDNESDAY MORNING, BUT CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH TO INCLUDE
MENTION AT THE TERMINALS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DW
AVIATION...DW
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