190
FNUS74 KLIX 161449
FWSLIX
SPOT FORECAST FOR BOGUE CHITTO B/MCGEE CEMETARY...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
949 AM CDT MON MAY 16 2022
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS
WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
ONCE AGAIN, THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN
THE DAY ACROSS THE AREA, ESPECIALLY EAST OF INTERSTATE 55.
THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE VERY LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL OVER
SMALL AREAS. OUTFLOW FROM THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE
SIGNIFICANT WIND SHIFTS FOR SEVERAL HOURS.
A DRIER PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO BUILD INTO THE AREA FOR
TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
REMARKS
1. THE DIFFERENCES CAN BE ATTRIBUTTED TO THE NORMAL FORECAST UNCERTAINTY
AND SPATIAL ERRORS. BUT LOOKING AT IT THIS MORNING FOR TUESDAY, TRANSPORT
WINDS AT THE SITE LOCATION SPECIFICALLY ARE FORECAST TO BE 2 M/S IN THE MORNING
FROM DAYBREAK UNTIL NOON. THEN AFTER NOON THE TRANSPORT WINDS ARE FORECAST TO BE
4 M/S, SUBSIDING TO 3 M/S IN THE LATE AFTERNOON (AFTER 3PM) AND HOLDING 3 M/S
THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS, BASED ON WHAT WE ARE SEEING IN THE MODELS.
2. AFTER TONIGHT, THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR MEASURABLE PRECIPIATION
WILL BE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY WITH 1 INCH OR LESS EXPECTED EACH DAY (1-2
INCHES TOTAL FOR THE WEEKEND).
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............71.
HEAT INDEX..........96.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...853-1829 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST 4 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............2.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.11 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........18 11 14 20 33 34 42 36
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 20 30
TEMP............82 86 88 90 91 91 89 89
DEWPOINT........73 73 72 71 70 70 69 69
RH..............74 65 59 54 50 50 52 52
HEAT INDEX (F)..85 90 93 95 95 96 96 94
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW WNW WNW W W WNW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 12 10 10 13 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.8 2.8 6.0 6.0 6.0 4.6 4.6
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 0.9 0.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.4 1.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW WNW WNW WNW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8 12 12
TRANS WIND DIR..NW NW NW WNW WNW WNW W W
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5
LVORI...........3 3 2 2 2 2 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............69.
HEAT INDEX..........95.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1402 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 1 TO 5 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............5.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.04 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........49 71 79 80 81 59 60 52 44 26 29 26
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............86 84 79 77 75 74 73 72 71 70 70 69
DEWPOINT........68 70 71 71 71 70 70 69 69 69 69 68
RH..............55 63 77 82 87 87 90 90 93 97 97 97
HEAT INDEX (F)..93 91 88 83 78 76 75 74 72 71 69 68
20 FT WIND DIR..WNW W WSW SW W WNW W W WNW NW NW NNW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 8 8 9 10 9 9 9 8 10 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
MIX HGT (KM)....1.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 7 7 7 6 6 6 3 3 3 5 5
TRANS WIND DIR..W W W W W W W WNW WNW WNW WNW WNW
TRANS SPD (M/S).5 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 2 2
LVORI...........1 3 3 5 6 6 6 7 7 8 8 8
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........49 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............69.
HEAT INDEX..........94.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1798 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 2
TO 3 MPH IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 3 TO 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHWEST AROUND 2 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND IN THE
MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 1 TO 2
METERS/SECOND IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........42 34 14 11 13 17 17 18 22 18 17 23
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............69 70 73 79 82 86 88 90 90 90 90 89
DEWPOINT........68 69 70 71 71 70 69 69 69 68 68 68
RH..............97 97 90 77 69 59 54 50 50 49 49 50
HEAT INDEX (F)..68 69 73 78 86 89 91 92 93 93 94 92
20 FT WIND DIR..NNW NNE NE ENE ENE NNE N N N N N NW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 7 6 9 8 7 8 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 2.7 2.7 2.7 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.3 5.3
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.6 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.WNW N N N NW NW NW W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 3 2 2 2 5 5 5 3 3
TRANS WIND DIR..WNW N N N NW NW NW W W W W W
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 1 1
LVORI...........8 7 6 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
FORECASTER...WILLIAMS
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS LE ROUGE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2212122.0/LIX
.DELDT 05/16/22
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CHRIS_LEROUGE@FWS.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page