757  
FNUS74 KLIX 162153  
FWSLIX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSELAND EVENT...TANGIPAHOA PARISH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA  
353 PM CST SUN NOV 16 2025  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS  
WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED JUST TO THE EAST WILL REMAIN IN PLACE  
THROUGH THE START OF THE NEW WORKWEEK. SURFACE WINDS WILL REMAIN  
FROM A SOUTHERLY DIRECTION, WHICH IS HELPING KEEP LOW LEVEL  
MOISTURE LEVELS ELEVATED. THESE HIGHER RH VALUES AND LIGHT  
SURFACE FLOW WILL LIMIT FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS FROM THAT STAND  
POINT AS MIN RH'S SHOULD BE AROUND 50%. CONDITIONS ONCE AGAIN  
LOOK FAVORABLE FOR PATCHY FOG TO DEVELOP TONIGHT. IN THESE PATCHY  
AREAS, FOG COULD BE MODERATE TO DENSE TOWARD SUNRISE OVER  
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA. IF THERE  
ARE ANY ACTIVE FIRES NEAR FOG DEVELOPMENT, VERY DENSE FOG IS  
LIKELY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...82.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...853-1250 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.WEST 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
CEILING (KFT).......25.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........4 7 3 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............81 80 79 77  
RH..............54 56 58 62  
APARNT TMP (F)..82 81 79 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W WNW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 6 6  
SURFACE WND DIR.W W W WNW  
SURFACE WND SPD.6 5 3 2  
SURFACE WND GST.9 8 6 6  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.9 1.2 1.2 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 5 5 5  
TRANS WIND DIR..W W W W  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 2 2 2  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...70.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 1 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 2 TO 5  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 1 MPH AFTER 3  
AM.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST AROUND 0 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 1 TO 2 METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 0 METERS/SECOND AFTER 3 AM.  
CEILING (KFT).......25 DECREASING TO 0.2 AFTER 3 AM.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........8 9 11 13 10 7 4 19 11 19 36 34  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 68 65 64 63 62 61 60 59 59 59 58  
RH..............78 84 90 90 93 97 100 100 100 100 100 100  
APARNT TMP (F)..70 68 65 64 63 62 61 60 59 59 59 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE SE SE S WNW NNE NE NE ENE ENE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 3 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3  
SURFACE WND DIR.E E SE SE SE S WNW NNE NE NE ENE ENE  
SURFACE WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
SURFACE WND GST.5 5 3 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E S S S SSW SSW SSW WNW WNW WNW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.1 1 1 5 5 5 2 2 2 1 1 1  
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E S S S SSW SSW SSW WNW WNW WNW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).0 0 0 2 2 2 1 1 1 0 0 0  
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 0.2 0.2  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...82.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 6 TO 8  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-1250 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.EAST AROUND 1 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
CEILING (KFT).......0.2 INCREASING TO 25 EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........31 30 17 23 29 28 27 41 46 53 45 22  
WEATHER COV.....PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 59 62 69 73 78 79 80 81 79 79 76  
RH..............100 96 97 81 73 62 58 56 53 56 56 62  
APARNT TMP (F)..57 59 62 69 73 78 79 81 82 79 79 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE ENE E E ESE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 6 7 8 8 9 10 12 12 13 13  
SURFACE WND DIR.ENE ENE E E ESE SE SE SE SSE SSE SSE SSE  
SURFACE WND SPD.1 1 2 2 3 5 6 6 7 8 8 8  
SURFACE WND GST.3 5 6 7 8 8 9 10 12 12 13 13  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..E E E SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4  
CEILING (KFT)...0.2 0.2 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
 

 
FORECASTER...BANNAN  
REQUESTED BY...DAWSON PRIMES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT  
.TAG 2524890.10/LIX  
.DELDT 11/16/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAWSON.PRIMES@TANGIPAHOA.ORG,SR-LIX.FORECASTERS@NOAA.GOV,VTRAVIS@TANGIPAHOA.ORG,SSRESPONSE@RESPONSEGROUPINC.COM  
 
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