167
FNUS74 KLIX 152211
FWSLIX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHADY PINE...USWFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
511 PM CDT WED APR 15 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS
WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SOUTH TO SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW WILL REMAIN PREVALENT ACROSS THE
REGION THROUGHOUT THE WEEK WITH WIND SPEEDS IN THE 10-15 MPH
RANGE DURING PEAK AFTERNOON HOURS. MOISTURE LEVELS WILL REMAIN
LARGELY UNCHANGED WITH MIN RH VALUES IN THE 40S ACROSS INLAND
AREAS AND CLOSER TO THE LOW 50S NEAR THE COAST. CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS WILL BE LIMITED DUE TO THESE MOISTURE LEVELS.
THE LACK OF STAGNANT NIGHTTIME AIR AND DAYTIME WARMTH SHOULD
MITIGATE DEVELOPMENT OF DENSE FOG IN MOST PLACES, BUT THERE WILL
BE CHANCES FOR LIGHT TO MODERATE FOG PARTICULARLY INLAND EACH
MORNING THIS WEEK.
..REMARKS
1. CHALLENGING FOG FORECAST AS SIMILAR CONDITIONS TO LAST NIGHT
APPEAR PROBABLE, MEANING DECENT CHANCE THAT FOG DEVELOPS NEAR THE
RIVER DRAINAGE BASINS. THIS WILDFIRE IS VERY NEAR TCHOUTACABOUFFA
RIVER BASIN VIA THE COSTAPIA BAYOU. UNCERTAINTY EXISTS IN TERMS
OF HOW FAR OUT FROM THE RIVER AND BAYOU THAT DENSE FOG SPREADS AND
IT THAT REACHES SHADY PINE AREA. IF HAD TO GO ONE WAY OR THE
OTHER, THINK THAT ITS MORE LIKELY THAN NOT THAT FOG WILL IMPACT
THE FIRE LOCATION AT SOME POINT TONIGHT.
2. 0% CHANCE OF RH DROPPING BELOW 28%
3. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE THIS EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. EXPECT THAT TO RESULT IN WIND DIRECTION COMMONLY
SHIFTING DRASTICALLY THROUGH THE NIGHT. THEY WILL NOT EXCEED 15
MPH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............62.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...79.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...975 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 13 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 6 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 5PM
SKY (%).........16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0
TEMP............79
DEWPOINT........62
RH..............56
APARNT TMP (F)..79
20 FT WIND DIR..S
20 FT WIND SPD..10
20 FT WIND GUST.17
EYE LVL WND DIR.S
EYE LVL WND SPD.6
EYE LVL WND GST.10
MIX HGT (KM)....1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13
TRANS WIND DIR..S
TRANS SPD (M/S).6
LVORI...........1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............65.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...78.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-701 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............5.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS UP TO 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........17 23 29 38 25 29 41 48 42 39 39 45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............78 74 71 69 69 68 68 67 67 66 66 65
DEWPOINT........63 65 66 66 67 67 66 66 66 66 65 65
RH..............60 74 84 90 93 97 93 97 97 100 97 100
APARNT TMP (F)..78 74 71 69 69 68 68 67 67 66 66 65
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 6 6 5 5 3 3 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 13 12 10 10 9 9 8 7 8 7
EYE LVL WND DIR.SSE SSE SSE SSE SSE S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 4 4 3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.9 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 4 5 4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SSE S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 12 12 10 12 9 9 8 7 7
TRANS WIND DIR..S S SSE S S S S S S S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).6 5 5 5 5 4 5 4 4 4 3 3
LVORI...........1 3 5 6 6 8 6 8 8 9 8 9
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............66.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...84.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1219 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 3 TO 6 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............5.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 6 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........45 49 39 37 44 37 29 15 9 8 13 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 66 68 72 77 79 80 80 82 80 80 80
DEWPOINT........65 65 66 68 67 67 67 66 66 66 65 66
RH..............100 97 93 87 71 67 65 62 58 62 60 62
APARNT TMP (F)..65 66 68 72 77 79 82 82 84 82 82 82
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 5 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 8 9 12 14 16 16 17 17 17 17
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 5 7 8 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 9 10 10 10 12 12 12 13 13
TRANS WIND DIR..S S S SSW SSW SSW SSW SSW S S S S
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 6 6
LVORI...........9 7 6 4 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...EFFERSON
REQUESTED BY...MELANIE DOLAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2610475.0/LIX
.DELDT 04/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DAVID_STOESZ@FWS.GOV,CHRISTOPHER_FOSTER@FWS.GOV,SAMI_GRAY@FWS.GOV
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