500  
FNUS74 KLIX 211901  
FWSLIX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSELAND EVENT...TANGIPAHOA PARISH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA  
101 PM CST WED JAN 21 2026  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS  
WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THROUGH FRIDAY, WARM AND HUMID WEATHER IS EXPECTED AS ONSHORE  
WINDS PUSH GULF MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED  
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL DEVELOP THROUGH FRIDAY, BUT RAINFALL  
TOTALS WILL REMAIN VERY LIGHT. ANOTHER STRONGER STORM SYSTEM WILL  
THEN MOVE IN FOR THE WEEKEND WITH RAIN OVER MOST OF THE REGION  
SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY. HOWEVER, IN SOUTHWEST MISSISSIPPI AND  
PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA NORTH OF A BATON ROUGE TO  
BOGALUSA LINE, SOME FREEZING RAIN COULD DEVELOP SATURDAY NIGHT  
INTO SUNDAY MORNING AS TEMPERATURES FALL BELOW FREEZING. DRY AND  
COLD CONDITIONS WILL RETURN ON MONDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY OF NEXT  
WEEK.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...67.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...183-579 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 METERS/SECOND.  
CEILING (KFT).......7.3 DECREASING TO 5.8 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........89 89 89 92  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40  
TEMP............67 67 65 63  
RH..............61 63 68 72  
APARNT TMP (F)..67 67 65 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSE SSE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 13 9  
SURFACE WND DIR.SSE SSE SE SE  
SURFACE WND SPD.10 9 8 6  
SURFACE WND GST.16 14 13 9  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSE SSE SE ESE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 8  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSE SSE SE ESE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4  
CEILING (KFT)...7.3 5.8 5.8 5.8  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...61.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-152 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
CEILING (KFT).......5.8 DECREASING TO 4.5 LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 0.7 OVERNIGHT DECREASING TO 0.4  
OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 1.5 DECREASING TO 0.8  
AFTER 3 AM DECREASING TO 0.5.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........91 91 91 91 90 87 88 81 82 82 81 77  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RNF RNF  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 60 60 50 50 40 40 30 30 20 20  
TEMP............61 60 59 59 58 58 57 57 57 56 56 56  
RH..............81 84 87 90 93 90 96 100 96 100 100 100  
APARNT TMP (F)..61 60 59 59 58 58 57 57 57 56 56 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE S S SSE NE ENE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SSE SSE S S SSE NE ENE  
SURFACE WND SPD.5 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 2 2  
SURFACE WND GST.7 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 3 3  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SSE S S SSE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 8 7 8 8 8 5 5 6 5  
TRANS WIND DIR..SE SE SE SSE S S SSE S S S S S  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 4 4 3 4 4 4 2 2 3 2  
CEILING (KFT)...5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 4.5 4.5 0.7 0.4 1.5 0.8 0.5  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. PATCHY FOG  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...70.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...152-701 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 6 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 1 TO 3 METERS/SECOND SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AROUND 2 METERS/SECOND IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND.  
CEILING (KFT).......0.4 DECREASING TO 0.3 EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN INCREASING TO 0.4 LATE IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO 0.5 LATE IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO 1.1 INCREASING TO 1.8 EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 2.4.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........78 80 63 67 66 66 67 73 68 59 64 70  
WEATHER COV.....SCH PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNF FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............56 57 59 62 65 67 69 70 70 70 68 65  
RH..............100 96 93 93 87 81 76 73 73 71 78 84  
APARNT TMP (F)..56 57 59 62 65 67 69 70 70 70 68 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NE NE NE ENE ENE NE E NE N N NNE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 5  
SURFACE WND DIR.NNE NE NE NE ENE ENE NE E NE N N NNE  
SURFACE WND SPD.2 2 2 2 3 5 5 5 5 5 3 3  
SURFACE WND GST.3 3 3 3 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 5  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N SW SW SW WSW NW WSW NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 3 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6  
TRANS WIND DIR..N N N N SW SW SW WSW NW WSW NE NE  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 2 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3  
CEILING (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 1.1 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.4  
 

 
FORECASTER...GILMORE  
REQUESTED BY...DAWSON PRIMES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT  
.TAG 2600281.5/LIX  
.DELDT 01/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SR-LIX.FORECASTERS@NOAA.GOV,SSRESPONSE@RESPONSEGROUPINC.COM,DAWSON.PRIMES@TANGIPAHOA.ORG,VTRAVIS@TANGIPAHOA.ORG  
 
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