837  
FNUS74 KLIX 132004  
FWSLIX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR INCIDENT ROSELAND EVENT...TANGIPAHOA PARISH EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA  
204 PM CST SAT DEC 13 2025  
 
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS  
WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
MOISTURE CONTINUES TO FEED IN THANKS TO ONSHORE FLOW, KEEPING  
HIGHER RH VALUES AROUND TODAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL BRING A  
CHANCE OF RAIN TO THE AREA TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING. THIS WILL  
BE FOLLOWED BY A VERY DRY, COLD, AND BREEZY PERIOD OF WEATHER ON  
MONDAY. MINIMUM RH VALUES SHOULD FALL TO BETWEEN 25 AND  
35 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON. CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY MOISTEN AS  
WE MOVE INTO TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY AS WINDS TURN SOUTHERLY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.  
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...72.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...213-1158 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTHWEST 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.  
CEILING (KFT).......18 DECREASING TO 12 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
INCREASING TO 16 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........20 21 32  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10  
TEMP............72 68 63  
RH..............76 84 100  
APARNT TMP (F)..72 68 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..SSW SSW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 6  
SURFACE WND DIR.SSW SSW S  
SURFACE WND SPD.6 6 3  
SURFACE WND GST.9 8 6  
MIX HGT (KM)....1.2 0.7 0.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SSW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7  
TRANS WIND DIR..SW SW SSW  
TRANS SPD (M/S).4 4 3  
CEILING (KFT)...18 12 16  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
MAX APPARENT TEMP...59.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-518 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 6  
MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7 TO  
10 MPH OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 18 TO 22 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.SOUTH AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND BECOMING 2 TO 3  
METERS/SECOND IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO  
THE WEST AROUND 3 METERS/SECOND OVERNIGHT  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3 TO 4 METERS/SECOND  
OVERNIGHT INCREASING TO 8 TO 10 METERS/SECOND.  
CEILING (KFT).......17 DECREASING TO 11 EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN  
DECREASING TO 7.1 LATE IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO 5.9 LATE IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO 2.9 DECREASING TO 1.5 OVERNIGHT  
DECREASING TO 0.9 DECREASING TO 0.5 AFTER 3 AM  
INCREASING TO 0.7 INCREASING TO 0.8 EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........43 51 53 57 57 58 62 71 84 90 91 90  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 20 20 30 40 50 50 60 60 50 30  
TEMP............59 57 55 53 52 51 50 49 49 48 47 46  
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100  
APARNT TMP (F)..59 57 55 53 52 51 50 49 47 45 42 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SSE S SSE SSE SW WNW NNW N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 5 7 10 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 7 10 16 20  
SURFACE WND DIR.S SSE S SSE SSE SW WNW NNW N N N N  
SURFACE WND SPD.2 2 2 2 1 1 1 2 5 7 10 14  
SURFACE WND GST.3 3 7 10 16 20  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SSW S S SSE S SSW W N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 5 7 6 5 6 7 9 10 18 22  
TRANS WIND DIR..SSW S S SSE S SSW W N N N N N  
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 2 3 3 2 3 3 4 4 8 10  
CEILING (KFT)...17 11 11 7.1 5.9 2.9 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.8  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
MIN APPARENT TEMP...32.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).NORTH WINDS 15 TO 21 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...427-884 METERS AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 17 TO 25 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTH 8 TO 11 METERS/SECOND.  
CEILING (KFT).......1.0 INCREASING TO 23.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 14 TO 18 MPH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........89 86 70 66 45 28 19 12 7 3 3 4  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 45 46 48 49 50 50 50 50 49 45 41  
RH..............100 100 96 83 74 66 58 54 48 44 45 50  
APARNT TMP (F)..37 38 39 41 42 44 44 43 44 43 37 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N NNE N NNE N  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 17 18 18 20 20 18 21 20 18 18 17  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 25 26 26 30 30 28 31 30 26 26 25  
SURFACE WND DIR.N N N N N N N N NNE N NNE N  
SURFACE WND SPD.15 17 18 18 20 20 18 21 20 18 18 17  
SURFACE WND GST.23 25 26 26 30 30 28 31 30 26 26 25  
MIX HGT (KM)....0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NNE N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 22 24 24 23 24 24 25 23 23 22 17  
TRANS WIND DIR..N N N NNE N N N N N N N N  
TRANS SPD (M/S).10 10 11 11 10 11 11 11 10 10 10 8  
CEILING (KFT)...1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 2.2 6.2 11 14 16 18 21 23  
 

 
FORECASTER...SCHLOTZHAUER  
REQUESTED BY...DAWSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT  
.TAG 2527316.4/LIX  
.DELDT 12/13/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAWSON.PRIMES@TANGIPAHOA.ORG,VTRAVIS@TANGIPAHOA.ORG,SR-LIX.FORECASTERS@NOAA.GOV,SSRESPONSE@RESPONSEGROUPINC.COM  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab LA Page
The Nexlab MS Page Main Text Page