739
FXUS64 KLIX 240911
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
411 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019
SHORT TERM
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND DIRECTION WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE ENTIRE
FCAST. WIND SPEEDS WILL LOWER SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY WHICH SHOULD
BRING ABOUT THE WARMEST TEMPS SO FAR THIS SEASON. NO RECORDS
EXPECTED TO BE TAKEN DOWN BUT SUMMER WILL BEGIN TO MAKES ITS MARK.
THE STACKED HIGH IS BEGINNING TO COME TOGETHER AND THIS CAN BE
SEEN VERY WELL IN WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING. IT SHOWS UP AS AN
ALMOST STAGNANT VERY DEEP DRY LAYER OVER THE GULF JUST SOUTH OF
THE COAST. THIS DEEP DRY LAYER IS THE DRIEST AREA OVER AT LEAST
THE AMERICA'S PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE. THIS AREA WILL
SLOWLY MOVE NORTH AND WEST. MORE DRY AIR IS MOVING IN BEHIND THIS
AS WELL SO WE SHOULD REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE OF THINGS UNTIL IT
PASSES WHICH MAY BE MID NEXT WEEK WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES NEAR THE
AREA BEFORE STALLING. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD BEGIN TO PICK UP NEXT
WEEK DUE TO THE FRONT MOVING CLOSER AND THE HIGH BACKING OFF A BIT
HELPING TO BRING TEMPS BACK DOWN A FEW DEGREES.
AVIATION
AS WAS THE CASE 24 HOURS AGO, BRIEF FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS CAN BE
EXPECTED THIS MORNING AT SEVERAL TERMINALS. THESE RESTRICTIONS WILL
GENERALLY BE IN THE MVFR RANGE DUE TO OCCASIONAL CEILINGS FL010-020
AND/OR 3-5SM IN FOG/MIST. CAN'T RULE OUT IFR, PARTICULARLY AT KMCB
AND KHUM. ANY RESTRICTIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR AROUND 14Z. THE
REMAINDER OF THE DAYTIME HOURS WILL BE VFR. AGAIN OVERNIGHT,
PRIMARILY IN THE 07-14Z SATURDAY WINDOW, BRIEF FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS
WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE. 35
MARINE
UPPER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN US WILL KEEP A PERSISTENT WIND
FLOW IN THE EAST TO SOUTH QUADRANT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. DO
NOT EXPECT WINDS TO GET MUCH ABOVE 15 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST
PERIOD, AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY LENGTHY PERIODS OF EXERCISE
CAUTION CONDITIONS, IF THEY OCCUR AT ALL. 35
DECISION SUPPORT
DSS CODE: BLUE.
DEPLOYED: NONE.
ACTIVATION: NONE.
ACTIVITIES: RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS.
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND
GREEN = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION.
BLUE = LONG-FUSED WATCH, WARNING, OR ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH
VISIBILITY EVENT; MARGINAL RISK SEVERE OR EXCESSIVE RAIN.
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT-FUSED WATCH, WARNING OR
ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT FOR SLIGHT RISK SEVERE
OR EXCESSIVE RAIN.
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS; ENHANCED RISK SEVERE; NEARBY TROPICAL EVENTS;
HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES.
RED = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF SEVERE AND/OR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL, OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF
NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 92 69 93 69 / 0 0 0 0
BTR 93 70 93 70 / 0 0 0 0
ASD 91 71 91 72 / 0 0 0 0
MSY 91 73 91 74 / 10 0 0 0
GPT 89 73 88 74 / 0 0 0 0
PQL 91 70 92 71 / 0 0 0 0
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
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