739  
FXUS64 KLIX 240911  
AFDLIX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA  
411 AM CDT FRI MAY 24 2019  
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST WIND DIRECTION WILL REMAIN THROUGH THE ENTIRE  
FCAST. WIND SPEEDS WILL LOWER SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY WHICH SHOULD  
BRING ABOUT THE WARMEST TEMPS SO FAR THIS SEASON. NO RECORDS  
EXPECTED TO BE TAKEN DOWN BUT SUMMER WILL BEGIN TO MAKES ITS MARK.  
THE STACKED HIGH IS BEGINNING TO COME TOGETHER AND THIS CAN BE  
SEEN VERY WELL IN WV IMAGERY THIS MORNING. IT SHOWS UP AS AN  
ALMOST STAGNANT VERY DEEP DRY LAYER OVER THE GULF JUST SOUTH OF  
THE COAST. THIS DEEP DRY LAYER IS THE DRIEST AREA OVER AT LEAST  
THE AMERICA'S PORTION OF THE NORTHERN HEMISPHERE. THIS AREA WILL  
SLOWLY MOVE NORTH AND WEST. MORE DRY AIR IS MOVING IN BEHIND THIS  
AS WELL SO WE SHOULD REMAIN ON THE DRY SIDE OF THINGS UNTIL IT  
PASSES WHICH MAY BE MID NEXT WEEK WHEN A COLD FRONT MOVES NEAR THE  
AREA BEFORE STALLING. WIND SPEEDS SHOULD BEGIN TO PICK UP NEXT  
WEEK DUE TO THE FRONT MOVING CLOSER AND THE HIGH BACKING OFF A BIT  
HELPING TO BRING TEMPS BACK DOWN A FEW DEGREES.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
AS WAS THE CASE 24 HOURS AGO, BRIEF FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS CAN BE  
EXPECTED THIS MORNING AT SEVERAL TERMINALS. THESE RESTRICTIONS WILL  
GENERALLY BE IN THE MVFR RANGE DUE TO OCCASIONAL CEILINGS FL010-020  
AND/OR 3-5SM IN FOG/MIST. CAN'T RULE OUT IFR, PARTICULARLY AT KMCB  
AND KHUM. ANY RESTRICTIONS SHOULD IMPROVE TO VFR AROUND 14Z. THE  
REMAINDER OF THE DAYTIME HOURS WILL BE VFR. AGAIN OVERNIGHT,  
PRIMARILY IN THE 07-14Z SATURDAY WINDOW, BRIEF FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS  
WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE. 35  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
UPPER RIDGING OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN US WILL KEEP A PERSISTENT WIND  
FLOW IN THE EAST TO SOUTH QUADRANT THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD. DO  
NOT EXPECT WINDS TO GET MUCH ABOVE 15 KNOTS THROUGH THE FORECAST  
PERIOD, AND DO NOT ANTICIPATE ANY LENGTHY PERIODS OF EXERCISE  
CAUTION CONDITIONS, IF THEY OCCUR AT ALL. 35  
 

 
   
DECISION SUPPORT
 
 
DSS CODE: BLUE.  
DEPLOYED: NONE.  
ACTIVATION: NONE.  
ACTIVITIES: RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS.  
 
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES (DSS) CODE LEGEND  
GREEN = NO WEATHER IMPACTS THAT REQUIRE ACTION.  
BLUE = LONG-FUSED WATCH, WARNING, OR ADVISORY IN EFFECT OR HIGH  
VISIBILITY EVENT; MARGINAL RISK SEVERE OR EXCESSIVE RAIN.  
YELLOW = HEIGHTENED IMPACTS WITH SHORT-FUSED WATCH, WARNING OR  
ADVISORY ISSUANCES; RADAR SUPPORT FOR SLIGHT RISK SEVERE  
OR EXCESSIVE RAIN.  
ORANGE = HIGH IMPACTS; ENHANCED RISK SEVERE; NEARBY TROPICAL EVENTS;  
HAZMAT OR OTHER LARGE EPISODES.  
RED = FULL ENGAGEMENT FOR MODERATE TO HIGH RISK OF SEVERE AND/OR  
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL, OR DIRECT TROPICAL THREATS; EVENTS OF  
NATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
MCB 92 69 93 69 / 0 0 0 0  
BTR 93 70 93 70 / 0 0 0 0  
ASD 91 71 91 72 / 0 0 0 0  
MSY 91 73 91 74 / 10 0 0 0  
GPT 89 73 88 74 / 0 0 0 0  
PQL 91 70 92 71 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
LA...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab LA Page
The Nexlab MS Page Main Text Page