273
FNUS71 KAKQ 131517
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDFIRE - ACC...DOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1117 AM EDT THU AUG 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON AUGUST 13.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL TODAY, WITH JUST ISOLATED LATE DAY
SHOWER AND STORM CHANCES ACROSS SOUTHERN VIRGINIA AND NE NC.
HIGHER RAIN CHANCES, WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS, ARE
FORECAST FOR FRIDAY AFTERNOON INTO FRIDAY NIGHT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8280 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (27369 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................11 TO 34.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........11 11 22 32 30 27 27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............84 85 86 87 87 88 88
RH..............67 65 63 59 59 57 57
20 FT WIND DIR..N NW NW NW NW NW N
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 8 7 6 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 12 11 8 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.1 1.7 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 10 9 8 6
LVORI...........3 3 1 1 2 2 2
ADI.............34 34 33 31 24 17 11
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.27 27 26 25 18 12 8
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 3 TO 8
MPH IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE EAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2185 MPH-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 TO 7.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........27 26 27 35 43 50 49 48 47 45 44 43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............88 85 83 81 80 80 79 79 78 78 77 76
RH..............59 65 72 74 77 74 77 79 82 82 82 85
20 FT WIND DIR..N E S S S S S S S S S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 4 4 5 6 7 7 6 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 6 7 8 9 11 11 9 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W S S S S S S S S SE E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 5 7 8 8 8 7 7 6 6
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 5 5 5 5
ADI.............7 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 3 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2989 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (18170 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................3 TO 23.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........47 50 54 59 65 70 70 69 69 69 69 69
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 30
TEMP............75 77 79 81 83 84 85 86 86 86 85 84
RH..............87 82 77 74 72 74 70 68 68 68 67 70
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE E E E E E E E E NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE E E SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9
LVORI...........6 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............3 6 5 10 15 20 21 22 23 22 21 21
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.2 3 4 7 11 15 16 17 18 17 16 16
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...BARNHARDT
REQUESTED BY...CINDY BRONNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2619621.0/AKQ
.DELDT 08/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CINDY.BRONNER@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV
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