763  
FNUS71 KAKQ 120416  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DRAWBRIDGE ROAD FIRE...MD FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
1216 AM EDT SUN JUL 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 EDT ON JULY 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT THROUGH THE MORNING FROM  
A COLD FRONT JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA. THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS WILL  
DECREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY, BUT THE ENVIRONMENT WILL REMAIN MOIST,  
WITH MIN RHS AROUND 50-55%. RAIN CHANCES ON MONDAY ARE LOW, AS A  
DRIER AIR MASS MOVES IN FROM THE NORTH. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE  
WEST, LIGHT TONIGHT AND INCREASING TO AROUND 15-20 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. MONDAY, WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE WEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4485 MPH-FT).  
LVORI...............7.  
ADI.................5 TO 8.  
 
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........82 85 87 87 83 84  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............75 74 73 73 73 73  
RH..............90 93 97 97 97 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 12 13  
LVORI...........6 6 7 6 6 6  
ADI.............5 5 6 6 7 8  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 5 6 7 8  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11844 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (85560 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................8 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 78 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........83 81 80 83 82 83 82 77 78 85 84 79  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 30 20 20 30 20 10 10 0 0  
TEMP............74 74 75 76 77 79 80 81 83 82 81 80  
RH..............93 93 94 87 85 77 69 63 55 55 54 54  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 7 8 8 9 9 10 10 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 9 12 13 14 14 14 15 15 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.2 1.4 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.8 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 15 17 20 21 21 21 20 18 17  
LVORI...........6 5 4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............8 20 25 38 52 64 71 76 78 73 67 59  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 15 19 30 45 60 70 79 85 77 68 57  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR FR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (38525 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1954 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................44 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........80 75 80 79 72 66 57 52 59 53 47 42  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............79 78 77 75 74 72 71 71 70 70 70 69  
RH..............58 60 64 69 71 76 79 79 84 84 84 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 12 11 9 8 8 7 8 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.5 1.7 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 12 9 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5  
LVORI...........1 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6  
ADI.............44 15 10 6 5 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.38 21 9 6 4 2 2 2 2 1 1 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...CHILCOTE  
REQUESTED BY...L. CARROLL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617239.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 07/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LANCE.CARROLL@MARYLAND.GOV  
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