008  
FNUS71 KAKQ 271212  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WARE CREEK DOVE FIELD BURNS...VA DEPARTMENT OF GAME AND INLAND FISHERIES  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
812 AM EDT MON AUG 27 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BERMUDA HIGH PRESSURE DOMINATES THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT, BRINGING BACK THE  
HEAT AND HUMIDITY BUT KEEPING IT DRY. A FRONTAL BOUNDARY APPROACHES FROM  
THE NORTH LATE IN THE WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-3100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3900-4900 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 3 MPH BECOMING 1 TO 5 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2700-21000 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................6 INCREASING TO 27.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........14 19 23 30 37 44 45 45 46  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............77 81 84 86 88 90 92 92 91  
RH..............82 72 67 63 61 58 54 54 56  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 2 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST. 2 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.8 2.3 3.1 3.9 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW N NW W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 2 1 2 3 5 5 5 5  
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............5 4 4 8 16 25 28 28 26  
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/10003 3 3 6 12 19 21 21 20  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-900 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 1 TO 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................15 DECREASING TO 2.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........42 39 35 31 27 24 20 16 12 14 16 19  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............90 87 84 82 81 79 78 78 77 76 76 75  
RH..............58 65 72 77 79 85 88 88 90 94 94 97  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 1 1 0 1 1 2 2 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 2 2 2 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 2.2 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 2 1 1 2 3 5 6 6 6 5 5  
LVORI...........2 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 8  
ADI.............15 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 2 2  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE KT-FT/100011 4 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300-5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1800-39300 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................6 INCREASING TO 32.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........21 25 26 27 28 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............75 78 85 91 93 94  
RH..............97 88 70 56 52 51  
20 FT WIND......S 1 S 2 SW 4 SW 5 SW 5 SW 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 6 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 900 1900 3400 5300 5500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 SW 5 W 7 W 8 W 8 SW 8  
LVORI...........8 5 3 2 1 1  
ADI.............2 5 17 29 34 35  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/10002 4 12 25 37 39  
 

 
FORECASTER...RUSNAK  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID GARST  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1815046.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 08/27/18  
.EMAIL DAVID.GARST@DGIF.VIRGINA.GOV  
 
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