098
FNUS71 KAKQ 201604
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR POGO...VDOF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1204 PM EDT FRI MAR 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON MARCH 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA TONIGHT BRINGING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND PERHAPS
A RUMBLE OF THUNDER. HOWEVER, NOT MUCH RAIN IS EXPECTED AS RAIN TOTALS ARE FORECASTED TO
REMAIN BELOW .1 OF AN INCH. BY SATURDAY AM THE SHOWERS WILL BE OUT OF THE AREA AND DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL
THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE NORTH THROUGH THE DAY SATURDAY AROUND 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS NEARING 15 MPH.
WITH DRY CONDITIONS PREVAILING AND SKIES REMAINING CLEAR THIS WILL ALLOW FOR TEMPERATURES TO WARM INTO
THE LOW TO MIDDLE 70S AND MIXING WILL OCCUR ALLOWING FOR RH VALUES TO BE BETWEEN 35-45% THROUGH THE DAY.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (28634 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (39100 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 31 31 29 28 26
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............68 70 71 73 73 71
RH..............51 50 45 42 43 43
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 6 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 11 8 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.1 3.7 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 8 7 7 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.39 38 34 30 28 30
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN
THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 13
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (27369 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (4255 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........28 29 31 26 22 17 22 27 32 35 37 40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............68 63 58 55 53 52 51 50 50 49 49 49
RH..............47 58 67 72 76 80 83 86 88 90 91 92
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE S S
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 1.9 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 10 10
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.27 20 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 17
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4485 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (87055 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........42 44 46 47 47 48 43 37 32 27 22 17
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 49 50 54 59 65 70 74 77 79 81 80
RH..............93 92 89 83 76 68 60 52 47 43 41 41
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 5 5 6 6 8 8 8 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.6 3.4 4.3 4.5 4.8 5.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 9 8 8 9 10 12 14 16 17
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.4 4 4 8 11 14 22 33 48 63 78 87
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD
FORECASTER...THOMAS
REQUESTED BY...SCOTT BACHMAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606791.0/AKQ
.DELDT 03/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SCOTT.BACHMAN@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV
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