948
FNUS71 KAKQ 181337
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR ANCIENT ACRES BURN...VIRGINIA DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
937 AM EDT WED MAR 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 EDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
LIGHT EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS VEER TO THE SOUTH FROM NOW THROUGH
THIS AFTERNOON WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS
EXPECTED.
PARTLY TO MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ON THURSDAY WITH SOUTH WINDS OF 5 TO 10 MPH, OCCASIONALLY
GUSTING TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL TO 30-35% THURSDAY
AFTERNOON WITH GOOD MIXING.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1265 MPH-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 TO 4.
TIME (EDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........39 39 38 31 24 20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............31 30 30 29 27 28
RH..............61 66 69 75 81 81
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 5 5 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 5 6 8 9
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 5 4
ADI.............2 2 2 3 3 4
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.1 1 1 2 2 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3679 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (41285 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 49 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........14 14 29 36 36 35 41 46 52 49 46 43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............28 28 29 34 40 45 48 51 54 55 56 57
RH..............81 85 81 66 52 43 40 37 35 34 34 33
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 3
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 9 11 11 11 11 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 10 9 8 8 8 9 9
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 1 1 1
ADI.............4 11 11 15 24 31 35 37 22 42 46 49
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 3 4 11 18 24 27 30 32 35 39 41
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (26334 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1380 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 TO 32.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........48 53 58 60 63 65 61 56 52 45 37 30
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............55 52 50 48 46 44 43 41 40 39 39 38
RH..............38 44 50 56 60 68 70 79 82 85 89 92
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 2.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SE SE SE SE S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 7 8 9 9 9 8 7 6 5
LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6
ADI.............32 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.26 13 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 1 1
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...IYER
REQUESTED BY...ALANNA OSTROWSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606279.0/AKQ
.DELDT 03/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALANNA.OSTROWSKI@DOF.VIRGINIA.GOV
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