238
FNUS71 KAKQ 140811
FWSAKQ
SPOT FORECAST FOR MIDDLE MARSH...US WILDLAND FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
411 AM EDT SAT MAR 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EDT ON MARCH 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.
DISCUSSION
DRY WITH LESS WIND TODAY. MIXING WILL IMPROVE THROUGH THE MORNING
WITH WEST WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST BY EARLY AFTERNOON. LOW LEVEL
FLOW TURNS ONSHORE BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON WITH DECREASING MIXING
HEIGHTS. RH VALUES WILL NOT BE AS LOW AS WHAT IS EXPECTED INLAND
BUT SHOULD FALL INTO THE 35-40% RANGE FOR A FEW HOURS THIS
AFTERNOON BEFORE ONSHORE FLOW TAKES OVER AND RH INCREASES.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9890 MPH-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................9.
TIME (EDT) 5AM
SKY (%).........27
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0
TEMP............49
RH..............83
20 FT WIND DIR..SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8
20 FT WIND GUST.14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14
LVORI...........4
ADI.............9
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.9
VENTRATE CAT....PR
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8
TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE NORTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3909 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (20125 MPH-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 TO 26.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 10 6 16 18 20 10 16 29 34 35 36
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 48 48 51 55 58 59 60 61 60 59 58
RH..............80 83 80 68 59 51 44 39 35 37 40 45
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W NW NW NW N N NE E
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 12 12 12 12 12 11 9 9 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.6 1.9 1.2 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W NW NW NW N NE E
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 10 10 12 13 12 10 9 8 8 7
LVORI...........4 4 4 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
ADI.............8 11 11 15 20 26 22 17 13 10 8 7
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.7 5 7 11 15 20 17 13 10 7 5 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3909 MPH-FT).
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................3 TO 8.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........37 28 29 30 34 26 17 10 5 5 5 4
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 51 48 48 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47
RH..............51 61 71 71 76 74 76 76 76 79 79 79
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 8 9 9 9 11 11 12 12 13 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 12 13 13
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
ADI.............8 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 6
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 4 4 5 5 6 8 9 10 11 12 12
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13914 MPH-FT).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................9 TO 31.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........5 7 8 18 19 20 30 39 49 58 67 76
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20
TEMP............48 48 49 52 54 56 58 59 60 60 61 60
RH..............77 80 80 74 71 72 72 72 72 75 72 75
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 10 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 11
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 16 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 19
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 14 15 17 18 17 16 14 14 14 14
LVORI...........4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
ADI.............9 19 21 25 31 30 27 23 19 18 18 18
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.13 14 16 19 23 27 23 19 15 14 14 14
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...ROGERS
REQUESTED BY...SHAWN TURNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2605665.0/AKQ
.DELDT 03/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SHAWN_TURNER@FWS.GOV
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