997  
FNUS71 KAKQ 071307  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PARKER'S BRANCH SITE PREP...VA DGIF  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
807 AM EST FRI DEC 7 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON DECEMBER 07.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (8300-26800 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............1.  
ADI.................39.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 12 13 13 14 14 13 13 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 41 43 45 46 46 46 45 42  
RH..............62 55 51 47 45 45 43 45 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.1 1.6 2.1 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 12 9 7 6 6  
LVORI...........1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............35 42 42 43 43 42 41 41 36  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5  
VRATE KT-FT/10008 11 16 22 27 22 17 13 10  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................4.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........19 22 23 25 26 29 32 35 40 46 51 53  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............38 35 34 33 32 31 31 31 30 30 29 29  
RH..............59 66 66 69 69 72 72 72 75 75 78 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 2 2 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 2 2 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
ADI.............5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3 3 2 2  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/10008 5 4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 1800-2400 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1100-21500 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................6 INCREASING TO 25.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........54 55 54 53 58 69  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............28 31 37 41 43 43  
RH..............81 72 59 50 47 47  
20 FT WIND......N 2 N 2 N 3 N 3 N 3 N 2  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 700 1500 2100 2400 2300  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 6 NW 7 NW 8 NW 10 N 10 N 9  
LVORI...........5 3 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............3 4 14 22 26 26  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/10001 4 11 18 21 19  
 

 
FORECASTER...ORROCK  
REQUESTED BY...MATT KLINE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1818827.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 12/07/18  
.EMAIL MATT.KLINE@DGIF.VIRGINIA.GOV  
 
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