731  
FNUS71 KAKQ 100840  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BELLE ISLE STATE PARK RX BURN...DCR - STATE PARKS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
440 AM EDT FRI APR 10 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON APRIL 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MOSTLY SUNNY SKIES, LIGHT WINDS, AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED  
TODAY. SOME AREAS OF PATCHY FOG MAY DEVELOP EARLY THIS MORNING, BUT  
WILL BURN OFF AROUND OF JUST AFTER SUNRISE. RH VALUES WILL DROP TO  
35-40% THIS AFTERNOON. A FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TOMORROW,  
BRINGING A BRIEF INCREASE IN CLOUDINESS BUT NO RAINFALL.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (804 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (30819 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
ADI.................1 TO 39.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........47 54 59 47 38 20 8 6 3 3 3 4  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............43 44 45 49 54 59 63 66 69 71 72 71  
RH..............96 96 100 89 77 64 56 50 45 41 39 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 2 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.1 1 1 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 9 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.5 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S S SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.1 2 2 3 3 5 6 7 8 9 10 12  
LVORI...........9 8 9 6 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............1 2 2 3 6 10 16 23 32 35 38 39  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.0 0 1 2 4 7 12 17 24 28 30 30  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (21160 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2530 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................3 TO 27.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........3 2 2 2 3 5 7 13 11 15 20 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 65 60 57 56 55 56 55 56 55 54 54  
RH..............44 50 62 69 72 77 72 72 69 69 69 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 6 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 9 9 9 8 11 9 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.2 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6  
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............27 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.21 11 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 8 TO  
17 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3564 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60029 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 60 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........33 37 37 37 30 22 18 13 9 7 6 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 54 57 60 63 65 67 68 68 69 69 68  
RH..............69 74 72 67 62 60 52 49 45 40 39 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW N N N N N N N N N NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 7 8 10 10 10 10 9 9 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 11 14 15 15 15 15 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.8 0.9 1.7 2.4 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW N N N N N N N N N NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 12 15 17 17 15 13 12 10 9  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............3 6 9 25 46 58 60 56 49 56 48 42  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.3 5 7 19 36 55 60 58 54 47 40 34  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...BARNHARDT  
REQUESTED BY...ERIK MOLLEEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2609908.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 04/10/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ERIK.MOLLEEN@DCR.VIRGINIA.GOV  
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