338  
FNUS71 KAKQ 300810  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MCR - KITCHEN MARSH...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
310 AM EST FRI JAN 30 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON JANUARY 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
VERY COLD CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL TODAY, WITH INCREASING CLOUDS  
AND A NE WIND. LOW PRESSURE IS FORECAST TO RAPIDLY INTENSIFY WHILE  
LIFTING NORTHEAST OFF THE ATLANTIC COAST SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT,  
BRINGING STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY SNOW TO PORTIONS OF THE AREA.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-95 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT NORTH WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16099 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (39790 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................21 TO 42.  
 
TIME (EST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........40 50 55 70 80 80 85 90 90 90 95  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............22 23 26 28 29 30 31 31 30 29 28  
RH..............84 84 74 68 63 62 60 58 63 63 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NNE NNE NE NE NE NE NE N  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 9 10 10 10 11 10 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.8 2.3 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.4 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12  
LVORI...........4 4 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 2 2  
ADI.............21 29 36 42 38 39 40 38 36 34 32  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.16 22 28 34 35 37 39 36 33 30 28  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SNOW OVERNIGHT. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 22  
TO 23 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (59684 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (25644 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................8 TO 31.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........96 95 87 88 88 90 90 90 90 90 90 90  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 20 30 30 40  
TEMP............26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26 26  
RH..............68 71 74 74 74 71 74 74 74 74 78 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 8 8 9 10 11 12 13 13 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 12 13 13 14 15 16 18 20 20 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 15 16 17 18 20 21 21 22 23  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
ADI.............8 17 18 20 22 24 25 26 27 28 29 31  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.26 25 29 34 40 43 46 49 51 53 56 59  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SNOW LIKELY LATE IN THE  
MORNING. SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MIN HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 15 TO 22 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH  
INCREASING TO 36 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 24 TO 32 MPH INCREASING TO 35 TO 37 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (63134 MPH-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................54 TO 79.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........86 86 94 93 91 92 93 94 99 99 99 99  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 40 40 60 60 60 80 80 80 90 90  
TEMP............26 26 26 26 27 27 28 28 28 28 27 27  
RH..............74 78 81 85 85 85 81 81 81 81 85 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..16 16 17 18 19 19 20 20 21 21 22 23  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 25 26 27 27 28 29 30 30 32 32  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 26 26 26 26 28 29 30 31 32 35 37  
LVORI...........3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4  
ADI.............54 57 59 60 62 63 65 67 69 72 75 79  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.63 65 69 71 74 75 77 79 81 83 86 90  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...BROWN  
REQUESTED BY...CALEB JONES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2601341.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 01/30/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CALEB_JONES@FWS.GOV  
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