265  
FNUS71 KAKQ 061109  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CA EAST UNITS...US ARMY, FORT AP HILL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
609 AM EST WED NOV 6 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EST ON NOVEMBER 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT, THEN SHIFTS  
OFFSHORE THURSDAY. A STRONG COLD FRONT CROSSES THE AREA THURSDAY  
NIGHT. COLD HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 2 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND 1 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (25100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................34 DECREASING TO 3.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 57 58 58 59 57 54  
RH..............46 40 37 37 37 40 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 5 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.5 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.3 1.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 8 5 2 1 1 1  
LVORI...........1 2 2 2 2 2 2  
ADI.............34 24 14 8 5 3 2  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..25 19 11 6 3 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 3 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT).  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................2.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........0 0 1 2 3 10 17 24 25 25 25 31  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 45 43 43 42 42 41 41 41 40 40 39  
RH..............56 65 70 67 70 70 76 76 76 82 82 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5  
ADI.............1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 16 TO  
23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (51400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
ADI.................7 INCREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 39 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 32.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........37 45 50 52 64 85  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 20  
TEMP............39 44 53 60 62 61  
RH..............89 76 61 49 48 53  
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST. 5 7 10 10 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 400 800 1900 2500 2700  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 3 S 7 S 13 SW 21 SW 23 SW 20  
LVORI...........6 4 3 1 1 1  
ADI.............4 7 10 39 51 44  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 3 9 34 51 46  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR FAIR  
 

 
FORECASTER...RUSNAK  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS MCCLELLAND  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1918508.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 11/06/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.S.MCCLELLAND.CIV@MAIL.MIL  
 
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