257  
FNUS71 KAKQ 211013  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LIVE OAK POINT...ALLIGATOE RIVER NWR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
613 AM EDT TUE SEP 21 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST TODAY THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY. ONSHORE (EASTERLY) FLOW WILL LIMIT MIXING HEIGHTS  
THROUGH MIDDAY.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (33300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........51 51 47 47 47 54 54 54 57 57 61 59  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 17 17 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.0 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 16 18 18 17 15 13 13 13 15 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 15 22 30 33 31 27 23 24 23 26 26  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...MONTEFUSCO  
REQUESTED BY...DONNIE HARRIS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2118546.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 09/21/21  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL DONNIE_HARRIS@FWS.GOV  
 
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