498  
FNUS71 KAKQ 141527  
FWSAKQ  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MONIE FIRE...MD FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA  
1127 AM EDT TUE JUL 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE AT 757-899-5734.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION TODAY, WITH LIGHT WINDS, GENERALLY  
BECOMING SW, ALONG WITH MODERATE HUMIDITY LEVELS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (0-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (11844 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (26794 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
ADI.................15 TO 33.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........15 20 15 10 4 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............83 84 85 86 86 85  
RH..............58 55 52 49 46 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 6 7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 9 12 12 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.3 3.3 3.1 3.0 2.7 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 6 8 10 12  
LVORI...........2 2 2 2 1 1  
ADI.............15 19 22 29 33 33  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.11 14 18 23 26 25  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (19320 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3679 MPH-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................5 TO 25.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........2 4 6 2 2 2 1 1 1 4 2 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............85 83 80 78 77 76 76 76 76 76 75 75  
RH..............47 53 59 64 69 71 73 72 72 74 75 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.7 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 8 8  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4  
ADI.............25 5 5 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.19 11 4 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5175 MPH-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (44275 MPH-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
ADI.................7 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 56 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........6 7 8 11 13 11 17 13 14 16 11 6  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 77 78 83 85 88 90 91 92 93 94 94  
RH..............79 75 76 63 59 54 50 50 49 47 46 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 11 11 13 13 13 13 13 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 15 15 14 14 14 15 16 17 18 17  
LVORI...........4 4 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
ADI.............7 14 21 25 28 32 38 43 51 56 56 47  
VRATE MPH-FT/1K.5 9 15 19 21 25 29 34 40 44 44 37  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...BROWN  
REQUESTED BY...LANCE CARROLL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617359.0/AKQ  
.DELDT 07/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL LANCE.CARROLL@MARYLAND.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab VA Page
The Nexlab NC Page
The Nexlab MD Page Main Text Page