054  
FNUS71 KLWX 211308  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIG LEVELS FIRE...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
808 AM EST SAT DEC 21 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0900 EST ON DECEMBER 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
STRONG NORTHWEST WINDS WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH WILL BE THE  
PRIMARY CONCERN TODAY. HUMIDITY COULD DROP BELOW 40 PERCENT  
DEPENDING ON THE AMOUNT OF DRY AIR THAT MIXES DOWN. WIND CHILL  
VALUES WILL BE IN THE TEENS TO PERHAPS LOW 20S MUCH OF THE DAY.  
AN ISOLATED SNOW SHOWER OR SOME FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY  
THIS MORNING, WITH LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATION EXPECTED. WINDS WILL  
DIMINISH TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN. IT WILL  
BE VERY COLD BUT DRY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW  
SHOWERS.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 16 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 32 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 28 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (54200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (107900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 19 MPH.  
 
TIME (EST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........54 43 37 31 23  
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD  
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............25 25 27 25 23  
RH..............62 55 46 48 52  
20 FT WIND......NW 18 NW 18 NW 16 NW 16 NW 16  
20 FT WIND GUST.32 31 29 28 28  
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 11 NW 11 NW 10 NW 10 NW 10  
EYE LVL WND GST.19 19 17 17 17  
MIX HGT (FT)....2700 4500 4800 4800 4200  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 23 NW 28 NW 22 NW 21 NW 20  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..54 108 91 86 72  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR VYGD GOOD GOOD GOOD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 13.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 8  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (59900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (10200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........18 22 37 37 28 13  
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD  
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............20 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............20 19 18 16 16 14  
RH..............59 61 61 64 64 70  
20 FT WIND......NW 15 NW 13 NW 9 NW 7 NW 7 NW 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.28 24 17 14 13 13  
EYE LEVEL WIND..NW 9 NW 8 NW 5 NW 4 NW 4 NW 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.17 14 10 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....3700 2600 1700 1900 2100 1800  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 18 NW 16 NW 13 NW 12 NW 10 NW 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..60 37 19 19 19 15  
VENTRATE CAT....FAIR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 25.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 1 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (15900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS UP TO 4 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........8 4 3 5 5 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............13 14 19 23 25 25  
RH..............73 67 51 43 38 40  
20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 N 5 N 3 N 2 E 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 10 9 8 7 7  
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4 N 4 N 3 N 2 N 1 E 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.8 6 5 5 4 4  
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 1400 2600 3200 3500 3200  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8 N 7 N 7 NW 6 NW 3 NW 1  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 8 15 16 11 3  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...SNYDER  
REQUESTED BY...MATHIAS CUISON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2428590.4/LWX  
.DELDT 12/21/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATHIAS.CUISON@USDA.GOV,MARCUS.SEWELL@USDA.GOV  
 
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