669
FNUS71 KLWX 041207
FWSLWX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHEN BIG MEADOWS BONEYARD PILE RX...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
707 AM EST WED FEB 4 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON FEBRUARY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TODAY THROUGH TOMORROW AT THE BURN
SITE WITH A STEADY LIGHT NORTH WIND AROUND 5-10 MPH. THERE WILL BE
STRONGER WINDS UP NEAR THE RIDGETOP/SKYLINE DRIVE AT AROUND 15-20
MPH. THE MAIN ISSUE IS GOING TO BE THE PERSISTENT LAYER OF CLOUDS
AROUND 2000-3000 FEET THAT ARE EXPECTED TO STICK AROUND THE ENTIRE
DAY INTO TONIGHT. CLOUDS BREAK OUT THURSDAY MORNING, WITH MORE
SUNSHINE TOMORROW. GIVEN THE COLD TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS, NO
CONCERNS FOR RAPID FIRE SPREAD AS DISPERSIONS WILL BE POOR TO FAIR.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........71 64 67 64 64 71 76 82 84
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 M M M M M
TEMP............22 23 25 26 27 29 28 27 26
RH..............96 92 84 85 78 75 71 74 74
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.18 9 8 7 7 7 8 8 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 8 7 7 7 8 8 7
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 5 5 6 6 7 6 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 13.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........89 90 95 73 46 45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).M M M M 0 0
TEMP............24 21 20 18 16 14
RH..............81 84 84 84 88 92
20 FT WIND......NE 6 N 5 N 5 N 6 N 6 N 7
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 7 7 8
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 BLW100 100 100 100 BLW100
TRANSPORT WIND..N 7 N 8 N 9 N 10 N 9 N 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 0 1 1 1 0
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........38 19 10 14
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............13 15 22 28
RH..............87 84 68 53
20 FT WIND......N 8G9 N 9G10 N 8G9 N 6G7
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 200 1200 1400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 10 N 9 N 9 N 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 2 9 10
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...RODRIGUEZ
REQUESTED BY...LANE GIBBONS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2601524.1/LWX
.DELDT 02/04/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL LANE_GIBBONS@NPS.GOV
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