961  
FNUS71 KLWX 211101  
FWSLWX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MOODY TRACT...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC  
601 AM EST WED FEB 21 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EST ON FEBRUARY 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH TONIGHT WHICH WILL  
KEEP WINDS ON THE LIGHTER SIDE. A COLD FRONT APPROACHING FROM THE  
WEST SHOULD INCREASE CLOUD COVER ON THURSDAY. THIS WILL BRING A  
SLIGHT CHANCE FOR RAIN SHOWERS, MAINLY BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  
SOUTHERLY WINDS MAY GUST UP TO 15 TO 20 MPH, ACCOMPANIED BY A  
WARMING TREND. THE BETTER CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL COME LATE THURSDAY  
INTO FRIDAY MORNING. THIS BRINGS HUMIDITY LEVELS CLOSER TO 100  
PERCENT. DURING THE SECOND HALF OF FRIDAY, WEST-NORTHWESTERLY  
WINDS WILL INCREASE IN STRENGTH AS THE COLD FRONT EXITS. THIS ALSO  
DRIES CONDITIONS OUT HEADING INTO THE WEEKEND.  
 
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (15700 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........13 11 8 6 5 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............29 29 39 47 51 52  
RH..............85 85 67 51 44 43  
20 FT WIND......S 3 S 3 S 5 S 6 S 6 SE 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 600 1800 2300 2600 2400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 2 SE 6 S 9 S 7 S 6 S 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..0 3 14 14 13 14  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH  
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........5 11 22 32 42 52  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 37 34 31 29 29  
RH..............57 72 78 88 96 96  
20 FT WIND......SE 5 S 5 S 3 S 5 S 5 S 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 5 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 BLW100 200 200 300 200  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 6 SE 6 S 6 S 6 S 6 S 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 0 1 1 1 1  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH, GUSTING UP TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (26000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........62 70 71 80  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RAIN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 10 10 20  
TEMP............30 38 51 57  
RH..............92 79 56 47  
20 FT WIND......S 6G7 S 7G9 S 9G13 S 10G15  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 500 1200 1700  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 6 S 9 S 13 S 17  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 4 13 26  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...RUBIN-OSTER  
REQUESTED BY...COLLETT  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2404217.0/LWX  
.DELDT 02/21/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
 
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