029  
FNUS71 KPHI 230703  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MEADOWS - PATCH BURN...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
303 AM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON OCTOBER 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A STRONG HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BUILD INTO THE NORTHEAST AND MID-  
ATLANTIC REGIONS TODAY, REMAINING IN PLACE OVER THE WEEKEND BEFORE  
WEAKENING SOME EARLY NEXT WEEK.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (14600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (32300 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................22 TO 46.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........12 12 12 12 12 14 17 25 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 45 48 52 53 54 55 54 53  
RH..............64 53 46 36 32 30 29 31 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 8 7 6 5 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 16 15 13 12 9 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.9 2.4 2.9 3.3 3.6 3.9 3.9 2.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 13 13 10 8 8 7 7  
ADI.............22 33 35 46 42 35 38 32 24  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 23 26 32 30 25 28 23 16  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST  
LATE IN THE EVENING. AREAS OF FROST LATE IN THE  
EVENING, THEN WIDESPREAD FROST AFTER 3 AM.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 28.  
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................2 TO 5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........38 41 42 41 47 54 40 33 40 44 35 35  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY ARS ARS ARS ARS WID WID WID  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST FST FST FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 45 41 39 37 36 34 34 33 32 32 31  
RH..............34 41 46 50 52 56 58 58 61 63 63 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 9 8 8 7 8 8 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE NE NE E E E E E E NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 6 6 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
ADI.............5 4 4 4 5 4 3 3 3 4 3 2  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN PATCHY FROST LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NONE  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTH EARLY IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (18200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................2 TO 26.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........38 27 31 30  
WEATHER COV.....WIDSPD PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....FROST FROST NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............29 38 54 57  
RH..............72 57 36 31  
20 FT WIND......NE 2G5 NE 3G6 SE 1G3 SW 6G10  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 2500 3000  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 3 W 5 SW 3 SW 7  
ADI.............2 5 11 26  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 2 8 18  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...RCM  
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK MCELHENNY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2624400.0/PHI  
.DELDT 10/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PMCELHENNY@TNC.ORG  
 
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