264  
FNUS71 KPHI 261020  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SNOW BOWL WILDFIRE...NJFFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
620 AM EDT FRI APR 26 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 EDT ON APRIL 26.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RH VALUES WILL BE IN THE 25-30% RANGE TODAY. HOWEVER, WITH  
WINDS SO LOW, AROUND 10 MPH OR LESS, THE THREAT FOR THE RAPID  
SPREAD OF WILDFIRE REMAINS LOW. THE MORNING SHIFT WILL TAKE  
ANOTHER LOOK AND COORDINATE WITH PARTNERS TO SEE IF ANY  
STATEMENTS ARE NEEDED.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (48500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................6 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 60 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS UP TO 4 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 4 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........16 14 12 12 13 13 14 17 25 29 24  
WEATHER COV.....WID WID  
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............34 40 45 49 51 53 55 57 58 58 58  
RH..............75 62 53 46 41 38 35 31 30 30 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE E E SE SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 12 12  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N NE E E SE SE SE S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.9 1.7 2.8 4.1 5.4 6.2 6.6 7.0 6.9 6.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E E E SE S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 8 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 8  
ADI.............6 9 13 21 30 38 43 55 52 52 60  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 6 9 14 21 27 31 40 42 42 49  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (38300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (1900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................50 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........16 15 15 13 15 15 16 21 23 25 27 28  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............56 53 49 46 44 43 41 40 39 39 38 36  
RH..............34 38 44 51 55 55 62 62 64 64 67 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SE S S S S SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 9 8 8 7 6 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 14 13 13 12 12 10 9 7 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SE S S S S SW SW SW SW S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 6 5 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.5 1.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 12 10 12 10 12 9 9 9 9 8 7  
ADI.............50 8 7 8 7 8 6 6 4 4 4 3  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..38 17 6 6 4 5 3 3 3 3 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (66100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................3 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 74 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS AROUND 3 MPH INCREASING TO UP TO 7  
MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........29 30 15 27 29 21 36 45 54 60 67 73  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............37 38 42 48 51 53 57 57 58 59 58 58  
RH..............72 70 62 49 42 39 34 35 34 33 34 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 7 8 9 10 10 12 12 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 9 12 13 14 16 17 18 18 18 18  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 7 8 8 10 10 11 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.8 1.9 2.9 3.6 4.1 4.4 4.7 4.5 4.2 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 9 12 14 15 15 16 16 16 16 16  
ADI.............3 7 10 29 50 66 74 61 65 63 61 59  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 7 19 35 47 54 60 66 62 59 55  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD FR FR  
 

 
FORECASTER...RCM  
REQUESTED BY...TOMAS LIOGYS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2412545.0/PHI  
.DELDT 04/26/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TOMAS_LIOGYS@FWS.GOV  
 
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