443  
FNUS71 KPHI 210823  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BARRENS WOODLAND...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
423 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
AN AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL TODAY LEADING TO DRY  
CONDITIONS BEFORE SETTLING OFFSHORE INTO TONIGHT. A WEAK LOW PRESSURE  
SYSTEM APPROACHES THE AREA TONIGHT LEADING TO SOME RAIN SHOWERS. BY  
TOMORROW, A WEAK COLD FRONT SETTLES SOUTH OF THE AREA WITH CONTINUED  
POTENTIAL FOR RAIN SHOWERS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........A LIGHT WIND IN THE MORNING TURNS OUT OF THE  
SOUTHWEST AT 10 AM. BY 2 PM, WINDS TURN OUT OF  
THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 12  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (10600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (41500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................16 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 57 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........8 15 27 23 30 19 14 34 49  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 34 39 42 44 46 47 48 49  
RH..............42 36 31 29 28 28 28 30 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..N SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 7 8 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 9 10 12 14 14 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 3.3 3.7 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.1 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N W W W W SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 7 8 9 10 12 10  
ADI.............16 25 33 34 40 46 52 57 50  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 17 22 23 29 34 38 42 36  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
EVENING, THEN INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE EVENING INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT OVERNIGHT  
INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 50  
PERCENT EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........NO WIND SHIFT EXPECTED. WINDS REMAIN OUT OF THE  
SOUTH.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (42900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (3400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................60 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 8 LATE IN  
THE NIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........59 70 70 73 80 82 86 90 82 78 83 77  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 20 30 30 30 50 60 60 50  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 30 30 30 50 60 60 50  
TEMP............47 46 43 42 40 39 39 36 37 37 37 37  
RH..............32 37 47 51 57 59 62 72 72 75 79 82  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 14 15 16 17 18 18 18 18 17  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 1.6 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 12 12 13 14 14 16 16 16 15 15  
ADI.............60 8 8 8 11 12 12 14 14 14 13 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..43 16 3 5 5 6 5 4 6 8 6 6  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................50 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........A SOUTH WIND THROUGH THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
WINDS SHIFT TO BE OUT OF THE WEST AT 4 PM.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6  
TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6600 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................11 TO 19.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........86 90 82 77 76 69  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............50 30 30 30 10 10  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 30 30 10 10  
TEMP............37 38 42 48 53 56  
RH..............85 85 82 74 66 59  
20 FT WIND......S 8 S 8 S 7 S 8 S 8 W 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 10 9 10 10 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 700 1000 1400 1800 1600  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 S 15 S 12 S 8 S 8 NW 6  
ADI.............14 11 13 14 19 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 10 10 10 13 9  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...GUZZO  
REQUESTED BY...PATRICK MCELHENNY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611021.0/PHI  
.DELDT 04/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PMCELHENNY@TNC.ORG  
 
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