725  
FNUS71 KPHI 181602  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FEMA EXERCISE NJTF1...NJTF1  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
1202 PM EDT SAT APR 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED WELL TO OUR NORTHEAST TODAY WILL EXTEND  
SOUTHWESTWARD INTO OUR AREA INTO TONIGHT. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL  
CROSS OUR REGION LATE TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING. HIGH PRESSURE WILL  
THEN MOVE INTO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING  
OFFSHORE. A WEAK COLD FRONT SHOULD SETTLE SOUTH OF OUR AREA  
WEDNESDAY, THEN IT RETURNS AS A WARM FRONT DURING FRIDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............49.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).EAST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (16200 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................19 TO 24.  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........72 68 72 72 70 67  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 58 58 57 57 56  
DEWPOINT........50 50 50 49 48 48  
RH..............75 75 75 75 72 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 14 13 13 12  
SURFACE WND DIR.E E E E E E  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 8 8 8 8 8  
SURFACE WND GST.13 13 14 13 13 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 12 13 12  
ADI.............24 22 21 22 22 19  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..16 15 14 15 15 13  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............48.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT).  
ADI.................5 TO 17.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........72 84 94 87 94 94 96 96 96 96 95 97  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 20 20  
TEMP............55 53 51 50 50 49 49 49 49 50 50 50  
DEWPOINT........47 47 47 47 48 47 48 48 49 48 50 50  
RH..............74 80 86 89 93 93 96 96 100 93 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 6 6 6 5 3 2 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
SURFACE WND DIR.E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E  
SURFACE WND SPD.8 7 7 6 6 6 5 3 2 3 3 5  
SURFACE WND GST.12 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E SE SE SE S S S S SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 13 15 15 14 14 12 12 10 10 9  
ADI.............17 8 8 10 10 9 9 5 5 5 5 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 11 12 9 8 9 9 6 6 5 5 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE DAY.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
DEWPOINT............51 DECREASING TO 40.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING INCREASING TO 9 TO 16 MPH LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 8 TO  
15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12  
TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING  
TO 22 TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (72900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................4 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 80 IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 94 95 91 91 91 91 91 87 84 81 78  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 90 90 90 90 90 90 70 70 70 70  
TEMP............51 52 54 55 57 58 58 56 54 54 53 52  
DEWPOINT........51 51 52 50 47 45 44 42 41 40 39 38  
RH..............100 96 93 83 69 62 60 59 61 59 59 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 8 13 16 16 16 14 13 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 8 10 15 21 25 26 25 23 22 21 18  
SURFACE WND DIR.SE SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
SURFACE WND SPD.5 5 5 8 13 16 16 16 14 13 10 9  
SURFACE WND GST.9 8 10 15 21 25 26 25 23 22 21 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.4 2.8 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 12 20 26 30 30 30 29 26 24 22  
ADI.............5 4 9 40 56 69 67 68 68 64 80 74  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 2 8 27 55 72 70 71 73 70 67 63  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...KRUZDLO  
REQUESTED BY...PETRA CUSATO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...OTHER  
.TAG 2610668.0/PHI  
.DELDT 04/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PETRA.CUSATO@NJSP.GOV  
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