863  
FNUS71 KPHI 171708  
FWSPHI  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RANGE 7 - FIRE...JOINT BASE MDL FIRE DEPARTMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ  
108 PM EDT FRI APR 17 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 EDT ON APRIL 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL SHIFT OFFSHORE EARLY THIS MORNING. A BACK  
DOOR COLD FRONT THEN SLIDES ACROSS OUR AREA ON SATURDAY. A STRONG  
COLD FRONT CROSSES OUR REGION SUNDAY MORNING, FOLLOWED BY HIGH  
PRESSURE WHICH BUILDS IN LATER MONDAY INTO TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING  
TO OUR SOUTH AND EAST BY WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER FRONT MAY THEN MOVE  
THROUGH ON THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 30 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (45600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................62 TO 85.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 4 MPH.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........35 56 60 70  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH  
CWR.............20 20 30 30  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 30  
TEMP............78 78 77 77  
RH..............45 45 44 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 10 9  
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW NW N  
EYE LVL WND SPD.4 4 4 4  
EYE LVL WND GST.7 7 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.2 6.1 5.2 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 10 13  
ADI.............78 85 67 62  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..56 61 47 46  
VENTRATE CAT....FR GD FR FR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10  
TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (24100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (2800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
ADI.................3 TO 36.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS AROUND 3 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND 3 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........45 41 46 45 43 57 64 72 78 73 73 70  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH  
CWR.............20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............74 72 70 67 65 62 60 58 56 55 55 54  
RH..............50 55 63 66 75 81 83 90 86 90 90 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 3 2 3 3 5 3 3 3 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6  
EYE LVL WND DIR.N NE NE E E E E E E E E E  
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 2 1 2 2 3 2 2 2 1 1 1  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 0.9 0.5 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 0.8 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE NE NE E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 7 7 8 10 16 17 15 15 15 13 12  
ADI.............36 3 3 4 5 11 8 7 7 7 6 5  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..24 5 3 5 6 17 19 16 16 16 9 12  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND SHIFT..........  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (26000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
ADI.................6 TO 36.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST UP TO 5 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........61 65 66 54 54 58 57 55 44 33 21 35  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 55 55 58 61 63 65 66 67 66 64 63  
RH..............89 86 86 80 72 72 70 70 67 65 62 62  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 8 10 12 13 14 14 14 14  
EYE LVL WND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5  
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 4 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.2 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.2 2.1 2.1 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 14 13 13 13 12 13 12 12 13  
ADI.............6 20 20 27 30 34 34 34 36 31 30 30  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 14 13 18 21 25 25 26 25 21 21 20  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 
 
FORECASTER...MPS  
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW WEEKLY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2610617.0/PHI  
.DELDT 04/17/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.WEEKLY.1@US.AF.MIL,MATTHEW.WEEKLY1@GMAIL.COM  
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