102
FNUS71 KPHI 100255
FWSPHI
SPOT FORECAST FOR BUZBY BOGS WILDFIRE...NEW JERSEY FOREST FIRE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ
1055 PM EDT FRI JUN 9 2023
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2300 EDT ON JUNE 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN TONIGHT AND REMAIN FOR SATURDAY WITH
FAIR/DRY WEATHER AND LIGHT WINDS. LOW PRESSURE ARRIVES SUNDAY WITH
AN INCREASED CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. UNSETTLED, SHOWERY WEATHER REMAINS
INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................20 PERCENT DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2900 KNOT-FT).
ADI.................4 TO 8.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS AROUND 3 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........42 34 26 18 18 18 18
WEATHER COV.....ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............20 20 10 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 10 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............61 58 57 56 56 55 53
RH..............67 76 82 83 82 88 93
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 8 8 8 8 8
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W W W W W W
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 3 3 3 3 3 3
EYE LVL WND GST.5 4 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W NW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 9 9 8 8 9
ADI.............8 6 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 5 4 4 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (82900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (86100
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
ADI.................5 EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 143 IN THE
AFTERNOON.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS UP TO 7 MPH.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........18 18 18 16 14 12 26 33 30 38 35 35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............53 55 60 65 69 72 74 75 77 78 79 80
RH..............93 90 79 66 57 51 46 43 40 38 38 37
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 8 10 10 12 12 12 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 9 10 13 15 16 16 17 16 16 15
EYE LVL WND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.3 4 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6
EYE LVL WND GST.5 6 5 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 10 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.5 2.8 3.9 5.2 6.6 7.5 7.9 8.5 7.8 6.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 14 17 18 20 20 20 18 17 16
ADI.............5 10 23 48 81 110 140 95 98 94 143 121
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 6 16 34 59 83 112 128 136 138 121 98
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR GD VGD VGD VGD VGD VGD GD
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND SHIFT..........
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO
9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (75800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
ADI.................98 EARLY IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 4 LATE IN
THE NIGHT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH UP
TO 4 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN INCREASING
TO SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........39 46 48 53 53 42 45 43 35 60 59 58
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............79 78 75 71 67 66 65 64 63 62 62 61
RH..............38 41 46 52 61 63 65 67 71 74 77 80
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 5 6 5 5 5 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 9 6 7 7 6 6 7 8 8 7 6
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW NW W S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5 4 3 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3 3
EYE LVL WND GST.7 5 4 4 4 4 5 5 4 4
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.7 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W S S S S SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 12 8 8 7 6 7 8 9 9 8 8
ADI.............98 8 5 5 5 4 5 5 4 6 6 5
VRATE KT-FT/1K..76 20 5 5 3 2 2 3 4 3 3 3
VENTRATE CAT....GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...O'HARA
REQUESTED BY...JOSEPH BATTERSBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2315026.0/PHI
.DELDT 06/09/23
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSEPH.BATTERSBY@DEP.NJ.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page