768
FXUS61 KLWX 111524
AFDLWX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1124 AM EDT SAT APR 11 2026
WHAT HAS CHANGED
NOTHING.
KEY MESSAGES
- TURNING HOTTER MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH LIMITED CHANCES
FOR RAINFALL.
DISCUSSION
KEY MESSAGE 1...TURNING HOTTER MUCH OF NEXT WEEK WITH LIMITED CHANCES
FOR RAINFALL.
KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION...
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL BUILD OVER THE EAST DURING THE FIRST
HALF OF NEXT WEEK LEADING TO A SIGNIFICANT WARMUP WITH HIGH
TEMPERATURES APPROACHING OR EXCEEDING DAILY RECORDS,
PARTICULARLY WEDNESDAY WHEN MORE WIDESPREADY DAILY HI MAX AND
DAILY HI MIN ARE MORE LIKELY. EXPECT CONDITIONS TO REMAIN DRY
MUCH OF NEXT WEEK, EXCEPT PERHAPS FOR AN ISOLD SHOWER OR TWO
ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS.
AVIATION /13Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
NW TO N WINDS WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 KT EXPECTED THIS MORNING,
DIMINISHING DURING THE AFTERNOON. LIGHTER WINDS SUNDAY. STRONGER
SSW OR SW WINDS MONDAY GUSTING 25-30 KT
MARINE
A NORTHERLY SURGE BEHIND A CDFNT THIS MORNING WILL BRING SCA
GUSTS TO THE WATERS THIS MORNING BEFORE WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS SHOULD SUBSIDE BELOW SCA BY THE END OF
THE DAY, IF NOT SOONER.
WINDS STAY BELOW SCA CRITERIA TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY, THEN PICK
UP IN STRENGTH SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY WITH SCA CONDITIONS
EXPECTED. ANOTHER PERIOD OF SCA CONDITIONS IS LIKELY DURING THE
MIDDLE AND SECOND HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
FIRE WEATHER
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING WITH WINDS
SHIFTING FIRST TO NW THEN N. WHILE IT WILL TURN DRY WITH RH'S
DROPPING INTO THE 20S THIS AFTERNOON, THE STRONGEST WINDS WILL
NOT OVERLAP WITH THE LOWEST HUMIDITIES. HENCE, NO SPS WILL BE
NEEDED.
LIGHTER WINDS SUNDAY WILL PRECLUDE ANY ISSUANCE OF SPS OR RFWS.
HOTTER TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK COMBINED WITH GUSTY SSW OR S
WINDS WILL INCREASE THE FIRE WEATHER RISK, PARTICULARLY MONDAY
AND THURSDAY. SPS'S OR RFW'S MAY BE NEEDED. NO RAINFALL IS
EXPECTED UNTIL NEXT WEEKEND.
CLIMATE
HERE ARE SOME DAILY TEMPERATURE RECORDS DURING THE APRIL 14-16,
2026 TIMEFRAME:
A '+' SIGN INDICATES MULTIPLE YEARS CURRENTLY HOLD THAT RECORD.
A '!' SIGN INDICATES THE RECORD IS FORECAST TO BE TIED OR BROKEN.
***TUESDAY, APRIL 14TH, 2026***
LOCATION RECORD HIGH (YEAR) RECORD WARM LOW (YEAR)
WASHINGTON-NATIONAL (DCA) 91F (1960) 65F (2014)!
WASHINGTON-DULLES (IAD) 87F (1960)! 63F (2014)!
BALTIMORE (BWI) 91F (1941) 65F (2018)
BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR (DMH) 90F (1960) 67F (2018)
MARTINSBURG (MRB) 87F (1960) 62F (2014)!
CHARLOTTESVILLE (CHO) 90F (1945)+! 67F (1899)
ANNAPOLIS (NAK) 90F (1941) 65F (1977)
HAGERSTOWN (HGR) 86F (2024)+ 64F (2014)
***WEDNESDAY, APRIL 15TH, 2026***
LOCATION RECORD HIGH (YEAR) RECORD WARM LOW (YEAR)
WASHINGTON-NATIONAL (DCA) 89F (1941)! 65F (2023)!
WASHINGTON-DULLES (IAD) 87F (1967)! 62F (2023)!
BALTIMORE (BWI) 88F (1941)! 65F (1941)!
BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR (DMH) 92F (2024) 67F (1960)!
MARTINSBURG (MRB) 90F (1941) 63F (1967)
CHARLOTTESVILLE (CHO) 92F (2024)! 68F (1941)
ANNAPOLIS (NAK) 91F (1941) 68F (1994)
HAGERSTOWN (HGR) 85F (1960)+! 61F (2023)+!
***THURSDAY, APRIL 16TH, 2026***
LOCATION RECORD HIGH (YEAR) RECORD WARM LOW (YEAR)
WASHINGTON-NATIONAL (DCA) 92F (2002) 65F (2017)+!
WASHINGTON-DULLES (IAD) 91F (2002) 63F (2017)!
BALTIMORE (BWI) 90F (2012)+ 66F (1941)
BALTIMORE INNER HARBOR (DMH) 91F (2012)+ 65F (2012)+
MARTINSBURG (MRB) 90F (2002)+ 63F (2017)+
CHARLOTTESVILLE (CHO) 92F (1976) 67F (1941)
ANNAPOLIS (NAK) 89F (2017) 70F (1994)
HAGERSTOWN (HGR) 88F (2002) 62F (2002)
LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
DC...NONE.
MD...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR MDZ008.
VA...NONE.
WV...NONE.
MARINE...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EDT THIS AFTERNOON FOR
ANZ530>537-539>541-543.
DISCUSSION...LFR/CPB/SRT
AVIATION...LFR/CPB/SRT
MARINE...LFR/CPB/SRT
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