650
FNUS53 KAPX 051906
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
306 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
DISCUSSION
A LESS HUMID AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE
ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN TO START THE WORK WEEK, COURTESY OF WEAK
HIGH PRESSURE. THE HIGH PRESSURE WILL ALSO PROVIDE GENERALLY LIGHT
WINDS AS WELL. HEAT AND HUMIDITY BUILD HEADING INTO MIDWEEK, BRINGING
THE NEXT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO NORTHERN MICHIGAN.
SOME OF THE RAINFALL LATER WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MAY BE LOCALLY
HEAVY.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-060815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
306 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT...EXCEPT 65-70 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 71-76 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (367).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (14).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT...EXCEPT 39-44 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (311).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-060815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
306 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
VENT RATE...........GOOD (324).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT...EXCEPT 37-42 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (288).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-060815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
306 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (367).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 65-70 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 71-76 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (277).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-060815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
306 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (33).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (410).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........82-87 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT...EXCEPT 41-46 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (346).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-060815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
306 PM EDT SUN JUL 5 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (34).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (436).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........26-31 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (332).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND
80. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
PBB
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