455
FNUS53 KAPX 041943
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
243 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2025
...TURNING RAINY AND WINDY LATE TONIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, ESPECIALLY
NORTH...
DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE MOVES INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY, BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN TO THE REGION THAT WILL
LARGELY CONCENTRATE ITSELF NORTH OF M-72. ALONG WITH THIS ROUND OF
RAIN, WINDS WILL ALSO BE ON THE INCREASE... WITH WINDS TURNING
NWERLY THROUGH THE MORNING, AND GUSTS UP TO 30MPH POSSIBLE LATE
MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON. AS SUCH... WILL BE A LITTLE MIXED ON
FIRE DANGER INTO WEDNESDAY... WHERE RAIN IS PREVAILING, FIRE
DANGER WILL BE LOW... BUT FOR FAR SOUTHERN AREAS (CLOSER TO M-55 /
SAGINAW BAY), DRY CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WINDS MAY PRESENT FIRE
GROWTH CONDITIONS, ALBEIT, LIMITED BY RHS THAT STRUGGLE TO GET
MUCH LOWER THAN 55%.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-051000-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
243 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN UNTIL 2400, THEN RAIN LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43...EXCEPT 45-50 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 38 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (30).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY
UNTIL 1200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (834).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
AROUND 24 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.04- 0.15 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND LIGHT FREEZING RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36...EXCEPT 39-44 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES COOLER
NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (72).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (533).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-051000-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
243 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN PARTLY
SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
1200, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 40-45 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30
MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (754).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
AROUND 27 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.17 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33...EXCEPT 36-41 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 77-82 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (44).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (546).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-051000-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
243 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 78-83 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 28 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN PARTLY
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL
1200, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1063).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
AROUND 27 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35...EXCEPT 39-44 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (131).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (405).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-051000-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
243 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 81-86 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 24 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (29).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN UNTIL 1200, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1124).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES COOLER
NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-051000-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
243 PM EST TUE NOV 4 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
UNTIL 1200, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (985).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST
AROUND 27 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (37).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (471).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
FRIDAY
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY, CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND LIGHT
FREEZING RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
VETERANS DAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AND
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
HAD
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