426
FNUS53 KAPX 121830
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
230 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2020
..GRADUALLY TURNING WARMER EARLY THIS WEEK
DISCUSSION
COOL CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT WITH ANY
AFTERNOON/EVENING CLOUDINESS GIVING WAY TO MAINLY CLEAR SKIES
OVERNIGHT. STILL REMAINS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF A FEW SHOWERS ACROSS
NORTHEAST LOWER, BUT COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN VERY LOW. OCCASIONALLY
GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS DIMINISH TONIGHT AS HIGHER PRESSURE SETTLES
INTO THE REGION, WHICH WILL ALLOW FOR GRADUALLY WARMING
TEMPERATURES EARLY THIS WEEK AS HIGH TEMPS CLIMB BACK TO ABOVE
NORMAL READINGS BY TUESDAY. NO HUMIDITY CONCERNS IN THE FORESEEABLE
FUTURE.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-130815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
230 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2020
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT...EXCEPT 41-46 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-130815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
230 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2020
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (820).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (520).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ020-025>027-130815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
230 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2020
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58...EXCEPT 66-71 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (490).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ031>033-130815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
230 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2020
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56...EXCEPT 58-63 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT...EXCEPT 48-53 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (460).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT...EXCEPT 46-51 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-130815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
230 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2020
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (680).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (670).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MG
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