334
FNUS53 KAPX 180907
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
507 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
..SCATTERED STORMS EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS NORTHERN MICHIGAN THIS
AFTERNOON, MOST LIKELY BETWEEN NOON AND 7 PM. SEVERE STORMS WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH THE PRIMARY HAZARDS BEING DAMAGING WINDS, HAIL, AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING. WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
THIS MORNING WITH SUSTAINED 20 FT WIND SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 20-30 MPH LATE THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL
GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 30 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE. THESE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
WINDS WILL HELP BRING MORE MOISTURE INTO THE REGION, HELPING TO KEEP
MINIMUM RHS IN THE 50-60 PERCENT RANGE TODAY. RH CONCERNS ARE NOT
ANTICIPATED THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON TUESDAY.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-182015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
507 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 15 DEGREES WARMER
NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (470).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.11 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES WARMER
NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (49).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.06- 0.19 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (837).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.06- 0.17 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...23 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-182015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
507 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT AROUND 71 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 24 DEGREES WARMER
NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (566).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.33 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (53).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.11- 0.27 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...23 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (852).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.03- 0.23 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-182015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
507 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (475).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.03- 0.13 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (64).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.22 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...27 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (752).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.16 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...23 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-182015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
507 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES WARMER
NEAR THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (479).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.13 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (68).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.23 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (745).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.23 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...21 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-182015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
507 AM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (651).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.42 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (64).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.06- 0.29 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...26 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (909).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.04- 0.14 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...26 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
DJC
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