592
FNUS53 KAPX 151952
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
352 PM EDT WED APR 15 2026
..ABOVE NORMAL MOISTURE AND LIGHT WINDS
DISCUSSION
ANOTHER WAVE OF RAIN AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS
NORTHERN MI TONIGHT, WITH RAIN CHANCES LINGERING THROUGH THURSDAY
MORNING. ONGOING FLOODING CONCERNS REMAIN THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A
DRIER AIRMASS WILL SEEP IN THURSDAY AFTERNOON AS WINDS TURN
NORTHWEST. OCCASIONAL WIND GUSTS UP TO 10 TO 15 MPH WILL BE SEEN
THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MIN RH VALUES WILL DIP INTO THE 40S AND 50S
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-160815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
352 PM EDT WED APR 15 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (12).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.04- 0.14 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 41-46 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (135).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.07- 0.16 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (12).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (533).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-160815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
352 PM EDT WED APR 15 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED NEAR THE
COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.33 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN PARTLY
SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200.
NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 42-47 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (119).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.09- 0.31 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...16 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES COOLER
NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66...EXCEPT 42-47 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (282).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-160815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
352 PM EDT WED APR 15 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
VENT RATE...........POOR (13).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.04- 0.38 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (117).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.19 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (9).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72...EXCEPT 47-52 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 25 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (562).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-160815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
352 PM EDT WED APR 15 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. NUMEROUS
RAIN SHOWERS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.26- 0.69 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...27 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 48-53 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (173).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.08- 0.24 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (12).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (652).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-160815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
352 PM EDT WED APR 15 2026
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.11- 0.43 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...26 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS
AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (150).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.12- 0.30 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (546).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SATURDAY
SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
TUESDAY
WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
ELD
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