816
FNUS53 KAPX 270853
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
453 AM EDT MON JUL 27 2026
..MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF STORMS POSSIBLE TODAY
DISCUSSION
MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHERN
MICHIGAN THIS MORNING INTO THIS EVENING, INCLUDING THE POTENTIAL FOR
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS. WEST TO SOUTHWEST 20 FT WINDS WITH SPEEDS
BETWEEN 5-10 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED TODAY WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH
AT TIMES THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WIND GUSTS WILL BE LOCALLY HIGHER
IN THE VICINITY OF ANY THUNDERSTORMS. TEMPERATURES LOOK TO WARM INTO
THE LOW TO MID 80S FOR MOST AREAS TODAY. A HUMID AIRMASS IN PLACE TO
SUPPORT THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL KEEP RHS WELL ABOVE CRITICAL
THRESHOLDS.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-272015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
453 AM EDT MON JUL 27 2026
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (284).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.33- 0.72 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (38).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.31- 0.91 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 21 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (613).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-272015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
453 AM EDT MON JUL 27 2026
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1200, THEN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (338).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.28- 0.61 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (33).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.28- 0.60 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...36 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81...EXCEPT 68-73 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (564).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-272015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
453 AM EDT MON JUL 27 2026
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (280).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.34- 0.66 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (46).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.13- 0.81 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (578).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-272015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
453 AM EDT MON JUL 27 2026
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). AREAS OF FOG
UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
UNTIL 1200, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (375).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.35- 0.53 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.16- 0.47 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...35 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 19 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (675).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-272015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
453 AM EDT MON JUL 27 2026
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (443).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.33- 0.59 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...29 PERCENT.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400, THEN
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.27- 0.78 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...36 PERCENT.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (667).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
DJC
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