984  
FNUS53 KAPX 231757  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
157 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ANOTHER MOIST NIGHT, WITH FOGGY CONDITIONS. SOUTHERLY WINDS 5 TO 15  
MPH ON SATURDAY, WITH MIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY IN THE 50 TO 60 PERCENT  
RANGE MOST LOCATIONS. PRECIPITATION FREE WEATHER REMAINS. A FEW  
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT, BUT LOOKING  
LIKE THE EASTERN UP HAS THE BEST POTENTIAL. MIXING HEIGHTS RANGE  
FROM 2.0 TO 3.5 KFT ON SATURDAY TO 1.0 TO 2.5 KFT ON SUNDAY.  
SEASONABLY MILD DAYTIME HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH  
THE WEEKEND.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-240815-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
157 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER...EXCEPT 10 DEGREES WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (270).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 7 DEGREES WARMER  
NEAR THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (47).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT...EXCEPT 58-63 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (296).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-240815-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
157 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 43-48 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (206).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.  
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (39).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT AROUND 61 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (251).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-240815-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
157 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47...EXCEPT 52-57 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (291).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54...EXCEPT 56-61 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (49).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (285).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-240815-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
157 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-69.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT UNCHANGED NEAR THE  
COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (313).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (43).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT...EXCEPT 59-64 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (290).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-240815-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
157 PM EDT FRI OCT 23 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (25).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (202).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (39).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (272).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
MONDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
JLD  
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