443
FNUS53 KAPX 011808
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
208 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2025
..ISOLATED SHOWER/STORM CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY
DISCUSSION
PRECIPICATION-FREE CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT
WITH OCCASIONALLY BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS SUBSIDING THIS EVENING.
STRONG RH RECOVERY TONIGHT BEFORE FALLING INTO THE 30-40% RANGE ON
WEDNESDAY. DESPITE THOSE LOWER RHS, ISOLATED SHOWERS/STORMS BECOME
POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING. WINDS OUT OF THE WEST-
NORTHWEST WEDNESDAY, AGAIN A TOUCH BREEZY AT TIMES DURING THE
AFTERNOON.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-020815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
208 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (38).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT...EXCEPT 42-47 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (719).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78-83...EXCEPT 67-72 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT...EXCEPT 45-50 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (646).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-020815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
208 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (37).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1062).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (21).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...23 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (735).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-020815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
208 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 65-70 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (39).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85...EXCEPT 63-68 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (626).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT...EXCEPT 85-90 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (15).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT...EXCEPT 45-50 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (509).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-020815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
208 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (36).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-41 PERCENT...EXCEPT 49-54 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 2 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (913).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (16).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...23 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT...EXCEPT 51-56 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (705).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-020815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
208 PM EDT TUE JUL 1 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (31).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1208).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (23).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...21 PERCENT.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1091).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
INDEPENDENCE DAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 80S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
70S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MJG
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