810
FNUS53 KAPX 181841
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
241 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2025
..BETTER CHANCES FOR WIDESPREAD SHOWERS SUNDAY
DISCUSSION
CLOUD COVER REMAINS MOST CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF
THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH MORE SUN/ WARMTH OBSERVED SOUTH--
FAVORING CONVECTIVE PROCESSES THIS AFTERNOON/ EVENING, WITH
THE HIGHEST CHANCES NEARING SAGINAW BAY. EXPECTING ANY LINGERING
LOW- LEVEL CLOUDS FROM TONIGHT TO EVENTUALLY LIFT FRIDAY MORNING/
EARLY AFTERNOON, LEADING TO INCREASING SUNSHINE WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES. A FEW ADDITIONAL POP UP SHOWERS/ STORMS COULD BE
POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON/ EVENING, PRIMARILY NORTHWEST LOWER.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-190815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
241 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (42).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (282).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 55-60 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (56).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 3 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (521).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-190815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
241 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57...EXCEPT AROUND 60 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (58).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 1200, THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
VENT RATE...........FAIR (267).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 55-60 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (41).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (444).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-190815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
241 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 1 DEGREE COOLER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (288).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53...EXCEPT 57-62 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (71).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....73-78...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (454).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.30 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-190815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
241 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (38).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.16 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 2 DEGREES WARMER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 6 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (307).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (91).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT...EXCEPT 55-60 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 1 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (536).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-190815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
241 PM EDT THU SEP 18 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2400. PATCHY
FOG AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
VENT RATE...........POOR (47).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...20 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 13 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (293).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (56).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (502).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NSC
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