487  
FNUS53 KAPX 170656  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
256 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2026  
   
..LIMITED FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS CONTINUE
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
ANY LIGHT SHOWERS WILL COME TO AND END THIS MORNING,  
LEAVING BEHIND RAIN-FREE WEATHER AND INCREASING AMOUNTS OF SUNSHINE  
FOR THIS AFTERNOON. RAIN-FREE WEATHER CONTINUES TONIGHT THROUGH MUCH  
OF FRIDAY, WITH CHANCES FOR SHOWERS RETURNING LATE IN THE DAY  
FRIDAY...AND ESPECIALLY FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY. RAIN-FREE  
WEATHER RETURNS FOR SUNDAY. LIGHT WINDS TODAY AND TONIGHT, WITH  
LOCAL LAKE BREEZE DEVELOPMENT OF THE GREAT LAKES THIS AFTERNOON.  
NORTHEAST WINDS FRIDAY TURN EAST TO SOUTHEAST ON SATURDAY. WINDS DO  
INCREASE SOME DURING THE PERIOD, WITH A FEW GUSTS LIKELY NEARING OR  
EVEN EXCEEDING CRITICAL LEVELS BY SATURDAY. WINDS TURN NORTHEAST AND  
REMAIN GUSTY FOR SUNDAY. WHILE RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN  
WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS THROUGH THIS WEEKEND, AFTERNOON VALUES DO  
DIP BELOW 50 PERCENT TODAY AND AGAIN ON FRIDAY.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-172230-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
256 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (217).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 83-88 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (256).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-172230-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
256 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74...EXCEPT 60-65 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (153).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52...EXCEPT 55-60 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (316).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ020-025>027-172230-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
256 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200, THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (163).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT 59-64 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (222).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ031>033-172230-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
256 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER  
1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (145).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE  
COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (262).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-172230-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
256 AM EDT THU SEP 17 2026  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (160).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (305).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
 

 
   
EXTENDED
 
 
   
SATURDAY
 
RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE  
UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 

 
 
MSB  
 
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