531
FNUS53 KAPX 261846
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
246 PM EDT FRI JUL 26 2024
..PRECIPITATION FREE CHANCES CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES ALONG WITH
PRECIPITATION-FREE CHANCES TONIGHT THROUGH THE WEEKEND. HIGHS IN THE
MID TO UPPER 80S CAN BE EXPECTED SATURDAY WITH LIGHT WINDS FROM THE
SOUTGHWEST. AFTERNOON LAKE BREEZE PROCESSES ARE LIKELY TO PIVOT
WINDS ALONG THE HURON SHORELINES FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO
SOUTHEASTERLY/EASTERLY FLOW. RH'S ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE
CRITCAL THREASHOLDS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-270815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
246 PM EDT FRI JUL 26 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (18).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (541).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 71-76 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (24).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT AROUND 80 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT...EXCEPT 48-53 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (538).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-270815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
246 PM EDT FRI JUL 26 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (35).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 71-76 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (542).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT WETTER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (37).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 73-78 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (523).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ020-025>027-270815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
246 PM EDT FRI JUL 26 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59...EXCEPT 64-69 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT...EXCEPT 82-87 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (17).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 70-75 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (584).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63...EXCEPT 66-71 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (34).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90...EXCEPT 72-77 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (556).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ031>033-270815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
246 PM EDT FRI JUL 26 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (19).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT...EXCEPT 44-49 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (592).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN PARTLY
CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (34).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89...EXCEPT 77-82 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT...EXCEPT 53-58 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (595).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-270815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
246 PM EDT FRI JUL 26 2024
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (593).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (32).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....84-89.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH .
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (653).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
EXTENDED
MONDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SJC
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