727
FNUS53 KAPX 042004
FWFAPX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
404 PM EDT THU SEP 4 2025
..WET AND COOL THROUGH THE WEEKEND
DISCUSSION
LAKE INDUCED RAIN SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT, PARTICULARLY ACROSS EASTERN UPPER AND THE TIP OF THE
MITT. MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN SHOWERS TRACK INTO THE REGION LATE
TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY. WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWEST BY
THIS EVENING, GAINING A MORE SOUTHERLY COMPONENT TONIGHT, BEFORE
INCREASING AND TURNING WEST-SOUTHWEST FRIDAY WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE. FRIDAY WILL ALSO BE QUITE GUSTY, WITH GUSTS UP TO 40
MPH POSSIBLE. NO RH CONCERNS.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-050815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
404 PM EDT THU SEP 4 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 2400RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 36 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (69).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.22 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.36 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 36 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (138).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (475).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-050815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
404 PM EDT THU SEP 4 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (43).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 45 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1502).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.18 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48...EXCEPT AROUND 51 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (104).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64...EXCEPT 51-56 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 3 DEGREES COOLER NEAR
THE COAST.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (708).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIZ020-025>027-050815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
404 PM EDT THU SEP 4 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 54-59 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 41 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.06- 0.27 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 10 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 41 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.07- 0.23 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...21 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50...EXCEPT 53-58 NEAR THE COAST.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT...EXCEPT 72-77 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 17 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (235).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...5 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 9 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.
MIZ031>033-050815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
404 PM EDT THU SEP 4 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED...EXCEPT 7 PERCENT WETTER ALONG THE
COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS
UP TO 32 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (53).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 18 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.04- 0.23 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1200. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 8 PERCENT WETTER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 36 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1274).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.04- 0.17 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
COAST.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 20 PERCENT DRIER
ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (133).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (634).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-050815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
404 PM EDT THU SEP 4 2025
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL
GUSTS UP TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (43).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
AROUND 15 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1296).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 27 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.16 IN.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 27 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (106).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...4 PERCENT.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP
TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (766).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN .
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
EXTENDED
SUNDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
TUESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS AROUND 70.
SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
NSC
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page