547  
FNUS53 KAPX 071800  
FWFAPX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 7 2026  
   
..DRYING OUT ON MONDAY, INCREASING RAIN CHANCES TUESDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS TO THE EAST ON MONDAY, WITH SOUTHEAST WINDS  
MAINLY 5 TO 10 MPH AND GUSTS IN THE MID TEENS, OCCASIONALLY UPPER  
TEENS. MIXING HEIGHTS GRADUALLY INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON TO AROUND 4.0-5.5 KFT, WHICH WILL FOSTER DRY SFC HUMIDITY.  
CURRENTLY EXPECTING 25 TO 35 PERCENT FOR MOST ACROSS THE INTERIOR,  
LOWEST ALONG AND NORTH OF M-72. MOISTURE BEGINS TO INCREASE LATER  
MONDAY, BUT ESPECIALLY TUESDAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAINS  
FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA.  
 
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-080830-  
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY  
COUNTIES-  
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 7 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....51-56...EXCEPT 58-63 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76-81 PERCENT...EXCEPT 60-65 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 29 PERCENT DRIER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (37).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....87-92...EXCEPT 74-79 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (481).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-84 PERCENT...EXCEPT 68-73 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 13 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (43).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS. CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 69-74 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 10 DEGREES COOLER  
NEAR THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (164).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.07- 0.30 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...28 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-080830-  
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-  
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 7 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT...EXCEPT 74-79 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (22).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT...EXCEPT 38-43 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (391).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 2400, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (32).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...6 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY UNTIL 1200RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87...EXCEPT 62-67 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (164).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.05- 0.30 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ020-025>027-080830-  
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-  
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 7 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES WARMER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (44).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....88-93...EXCEPT AROUND 70 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 11 DEGREES WARMER  
NEAR THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 16 PERCENT DRIER ALONG  
THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (492).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....61-66.  
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 18 PERCENT WETTER  
ALONG THE COAST.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (47).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.19 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1200.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86...EXCEPT 61-66 NEAR THE COAST.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 9 DEGREES COOLER NEAR  
THE COAST.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (151).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.02- 0.18 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...31 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ031>033-080830-  
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE  
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-  
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 7 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT...EXCEPT 63-68 PERCENT ALONG THE  
COAST.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (46).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (607).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER...EXCEPT 6 DEGREES WARMER  
NEAR THE COAST.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89-94 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (57).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.01- 0.20 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...13 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 1200, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (178).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.03- 0.17 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...34 PERCENT.  
 
 
 
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-080830-  
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN  
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-  
200 PM EDT SUN JUN 7 2026  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........84-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (28).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........27-32 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (546).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AFTER 2400.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR (36).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN .  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...10 PERCENT.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 1200, THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
UP TO 13 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........FAIR (254).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH.  
PCPN AMOUNT......... 0.10- 0.19 IN.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...32 PERCENT.  
 
 
   
EXTENDED  
 
   
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
PATCHY FOG AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND  
90. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.    
SUNDAY  
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER  
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
 
 
JLD  
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