950
FNUS53 KDTX 121907
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
307 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2020
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED TONIGHT OVER THE THUMB
REGION AS AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM DIVES OVER LAKE HURON. MONDAY WILL
BE DRY AND A FEW DEGREES COOLER THAN AVERAGE FOR MID JULY. A WARMING
TREND WILL BEGIN ON TUESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES CLIMBING BACK TO THE
MID TO UPPER 80S BY MID WEEK. EXPECT LIGHT WINDS FOR THE BEGINNING
OF THE WEEK WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES IN THE 40S EACH DAY. THE NEXT
GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR LATE WEDNESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY NIGHT.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-131215-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
307 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2020
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7270-7770 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-43 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6940-7440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (600).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ049-054-055-062-131215-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
307 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2020
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL MIDNIGHT, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING AROUND 5 MPH AFTER
MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL NOON. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6950-7450 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (930).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTH IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING, THEN
BECOMING SOUTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6990-7490 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (630).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-131215-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN
ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
307 PM EDT SUN JUL 12 2020
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7180-7680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (800).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-52 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7420-7920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (620).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
THURSDAY
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE MORNING.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
90S.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S.
RBP
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