694
FNUS53 KDTX 200815
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019
DISCUSSION
THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS COOL TEMPERATURES
SUPPORT HIGH AFTERNOON RH VALUES. A FEW SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE THIS
MORNING AS MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASES OVER LOWER MICHIGAN.
WIDESPREAD RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-201900-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM UNTIL 9 AM. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-62 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING
LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3580-4080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM UNTIL 3 PM. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
3 PM. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-73 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......280-780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (270).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
MIZ049-054-055-062-201900-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST EARLY
IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2530-3030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (190).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........67-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (160).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-201900-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN
ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-61 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST EARLY
IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING WEST
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4140-4640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (350).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2670-3170 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST
AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1070).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
TUESDAY
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S.
SATURDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
50S.
CB
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