765
FNUS53 KDTX 160749
FWFDTX
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
349 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019
DISCUSSION
LOW PRESSURE WILL SLOWLY LIFT INTO SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
TODAY AND TONIGHT. THIS SYSTEM WILL PROVIDE A GOOD CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION WITHIN A VERY
HUMID ENVIRONMENT. THIS SYSTEM WILL EXIT EAST BY THURSDAY AS A WARM
FRONT PUSHES INTO THE REGION FROM THE WEST. THIS FRONT WILL MARK THE
ARRIVAL OF HOT AND CONTINUED HUMID CONDITIONS WHICH WILL IMPACT THE
AREA LATE IN THE WORK WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND.
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-161915-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
349 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 AM. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-69 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3420-3920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4790-5290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (390).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.
MIZ049-054-055-062-161915-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
349 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 9 AM. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3760-4260 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-73 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING
NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3130-3630 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-161915-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN
ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
349 AM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM UNTIL
9 AM, THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80-85.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3180-3680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (910).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
UNTIL 3 PM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AFTER 3 PM. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60
PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-87.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-69 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4530-5030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING
NORTHEAST EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (420).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 90. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
FRIDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS
IN THE MID 70S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
SUNDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 70S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
80S.
MONDAY
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S.
DRK
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