694  
FNUS53 KDTX 200815  
FWFDTX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI  
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019  
   
DISCUSSION
 
THERE ARE NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS COOL TEMPERATURES  
SUPPORT HIGH AFTERNOON RH VALUES. A FEW SPRINKLES ARE POSSIBLE THIS  
MORNING AS MOISTURE TRANSPORT INCREASES OVER LOWER MICHIGAN.  
WIDESPREAD RAIN CAN BE EXPECTED LATE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT.  
 
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-201900-  
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT  
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM UNTIL 9 AM. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-62 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3580-4080 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (290).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING EAST IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM UNTIL 3 PM. CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. RAIN SHOWERS AFTER  
3 PM. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66-73 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......280-780 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (270).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ049-054-055-062-201900-  
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER  
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST EARLY  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2530-3030 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (190).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........92-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........67-74 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (160).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-201900-  
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN  
ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE  
415 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-61 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST EARLY  
IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON BECOMING WEST  
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4140-4640 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING WEST IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (350).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93-99 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER NOON. CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2670-3170 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1070).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.  
 

 
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
TUESDAY
 
SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
40S.    
SATURDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
50S.  
 

 
 
CB  
 
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