888  
FNUS53 KDTX 151950  
FWFDTX  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI  
350 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2018  
   
DISCUSSION
 
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL CONTINUE TO FILTER IN THIS  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY WINDS BEHIND THE DEPARTING COLD FRONT WILL ALSO  
CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY. A REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH  
TUESDAY NIGHT BUT WITH LITTLE TO NO RAINFALL. DRY CONDITIONS WITH  
BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES THEN PREVAIL THROUGH MID WEEK.  
 
MIZ047-048-053-060-061-161215-  
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT  
350 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.  
24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-57 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH  
INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING  
AND AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 35  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1300).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79-85 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH DIMINISHING TO AROUND  
10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO  
NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6340-6840 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST  
AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1920).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ049-054-055-062-161215-  
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER  
350 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.  
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH DIMINISHING TO 10 TO  
15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING  
TO AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3050-3550 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 35  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1240).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS AFTER 2 AM. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION  
40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76-84 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......160-360 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10  
MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS UNTIL 8 AM THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6510-7010 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST  
AROUND 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (2170).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-161215-  
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN  
ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE  
350 PM EDT MON OCT 15 2018  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.  
24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-51 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 20  
TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30  
MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (1040).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-89 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH  
AFTER MIDNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.  
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7140-7640 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 0 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST 25  
TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (2270).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.  
 

 
 
   
FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.  
WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
FRIDAY
 
MOSTLY CLEAR. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.  
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.  
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.    
SUNDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.  
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.    
MONDAY
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
40S.  
 

 
 
JVC  
 
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