839  
FNUS53 KGRR 200747  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
347 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019  
   
..QUIET SUNDAY FOLLOWED BY ACTIVE MONDAY AND TUESDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
A CLOUDY START WILL GIVE WAY TO A PLEASANT SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE  
MID 60S AND LIGHT WINDS. A STORM SYSTEM WILL BRING CHANCES FOR  
SHOWERS MONDAY NIGHT AND GUSTY WINDS ALONG THE LAKESHORE LATE MONDAY  
NIGHT THROUGH EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. FORECAST CONFIDENCE DECREASES  
THURSDAY ONWARD.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-202030-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
347 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 46-51  
PERCENT INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 6  
PERCENT WETTER INLAND.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 3400-3900  
FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....44-49.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
UNTIL 1400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.50-0.74 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ040-046-202030-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
347 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400, THEN  
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-400 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
UNTIL 1400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.56 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-202030-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
347 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 52-57  
PERCENT INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 10  
PERCENT WETTER INLAND.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
3700-4200 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 0200, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 9 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.41-0.72 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-202030-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
347 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 8 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
UNTIL 1400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.19-0.58 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-202030-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
347 AM EDT SUN OCT 20 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 8 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
UNTIL 1400, THEN RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 30  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....700-1000 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.47 IN.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN A  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS  
10 TO 15 MPH.    
TUESDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND  
40. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 8 TO  
13 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. WEST WINDS 5 TO  
9 MPH.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND 50.  
WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE EVENING,  
THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE UPPER  
30S.    
FRIDAY
 
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER  
40S.    
FRIDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.    
SATURDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.  
 

 
 
BORCHARDT  
 
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