896
FNUS53 KGRR 191927
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
327 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2018
..SHOWERY
DISCUSSION
A WARM FRONT WILL DEVELOP OVER THE REGION TONIGHT AND LIFT
NORTH OF THE AREA ON THURSDAY. THIS COULD LEAD TO SOME
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AT TIMES. A COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OR EARLY FRIDAY. THIS SHOULD
DRY THE WEATHER OUT BEHIND THE FRONT AND CAUSE GUSTY WINDS.
MIZ037>039-043>045-200815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS
327 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2018
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0100 UNTIL 0400, THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 6 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.27-0.74 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN PARTLY
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.41-0.64 IN.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
MIZ040-046-200815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT
327 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2018
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200 UNTIL 0500, THEN
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17-0.54 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.41-0.66 IN.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1100-1400 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
MIZ050-056-064-071-200815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,
AND SOUTH HAVEN
327 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2018
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0100.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.61 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....81-86.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
3300-3800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.59 IN.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1100-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
MIZ051-052-057>059-200815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,
AND ST. JOHNS
327 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2018
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200 UNTIL
0500, THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.56 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....77-82.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....500 (GOOD) INCREASING TO 1000 (EXCELLENT) IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.41-0.61 IN.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST
AROUND 20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-66 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1200-1300 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
MIZ065>067-072>074-200815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON
327 PM EDT WED SEP 19 2018
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300, THEN
PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.23 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....79-84.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........63-68 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400-5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.50 IN.
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH WINDS 7 TO
12 MPH.
SATURDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 6 MPH.
SUNDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
MONDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO
12 MPH.
MONDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 50S.
TUESDAY
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDDAY, THEN
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
TUESDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
WEDNESDAY
PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
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