104
FNUS53 KGRR 161938
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
338 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019
..WET WEATHER DIMINISHING THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST
FOR A FEW HOURS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THEN SLOWLY DIMINISH
THIS EVENING. A MOSTLY DRY DAY IS ON TAP FOR WEDNESDAY WITH
WARM TEMPERATURES EXPECTED. THE HEAT AND HUMIDITY BUILD AGAIN
FOR THURSDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. STORMS WILL BE AROUND AT
TIMES DURING THAT PERIOD.
MIZ037>039-043>045-170815-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS
338 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....64-69.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN, 0-500 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT....... INLAND, 1900-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
0900.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-88.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
6500-7000 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1200-1700
FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.15 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN, 100-600 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT....... INLAND, 1200-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO
3500-4000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200 (FAIR) INCREASING TO 900 (EXCELLENT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.24 IN.
MIZ040-046-170815-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT
338 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
0300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-300 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-300 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY
BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) UNTIL 0500, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.15 IN.
MIZ050-056-064-071-170815-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,
AND SOUTH HAVEN
338 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300. CHANCE OF SHOWERS
UNTIL 0500. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0300.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 0 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
5100-5600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....69-74.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN, 0-400 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT....... INLAND, 2200-2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200
FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1400, THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....89-94.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 26 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
4300-4800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....900-1200 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.18 IN.
MIZ051-052-057>059-170815-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,
AND ST. JOHNS
338 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2300, THEN
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2300. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. PATCHY FOG AFTER 0300 UNTIL 0700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-90.
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1100 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.13 IN.
MIZ065>067-072>074-170815-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON
338 PM EDT TUE JUL 16 2019
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
PATCHY FOG AFTER 0400.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.19 IN.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG UNTIL
0900. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-500 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.66 IN.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-200 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-4800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800-1100 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
THURSDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
FRIDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO
13 MPH.
FRIDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
SATURDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 90S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
SATURDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS
5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
SUNDAY
PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
SUNDAY NIGHT
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S.
MONDAY
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MONDAY NIGHT
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
TUESDAY
SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80.
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