056  
FNUS53 KGRR 161953  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
253 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2024  
   
..SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
A WAVE OF LOW PRESSURE WILL TRACK  
THROUGH THE GREAT LAKES REGION LATER TONIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY.  
MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL GET DRAWN INTO THIS  
WAVE AS IT TRACKS THROUGH. THUS, SCATTERED SHOWERS  
ARE EXPECTED, BUT OVERALL THE TOTAL AMOUNT OF RAIN THROUGH  
SUNDAY IS PROJECTED TO BE LIGHT. THE UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL  
CONTINUE INTO MUCH OF NEXT WEEK.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-170915-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
253 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2024  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....220-240 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....440-460 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-210 (POOR TO FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-110 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
 
 
 
MIZ040-046-170915-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
253 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2024  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....210 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66-71 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....380-410 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM, THEN  
MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....140-250 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....150-160 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 
 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-170915-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
253 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2024  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
800-1300 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....240-250 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 69-74  
PERCENT INLAND.  
 
 
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....400-410 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-160 (POOR TO FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 53-58  
PERCENT INLAND.  
 
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.  
 
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....90-120 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.  
 
 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-170915-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
253 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2024  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....150-180 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....430-480 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....160-180 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
 
 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-170915-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
253 PM EST SAT NOV 16 2024  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....170 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....410-420 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 1 AM, THEN  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....180-190 (FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM, THEN  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600-2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....110 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.  
 
 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7  
 
   
MONDAY NIGHT  
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST  
WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.    
TUESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.  
SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE  
LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDDAY, THEN  
SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS  
6 TO 11 MPH.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT  
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTH  
WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.    
THURSDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTH  
WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.    
THURSDAY NIGHT  
CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.    
FRIDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER  
40S.    
FRIDAY NIGHT  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. CHANCE OF  
LIGHT FREEZING RAIN OVERNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.    
SATURDAY  
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE  
LOWER 40S.  
 
 
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