993  
FNUS53 KGRR 190734  
FWFGRR  
 
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI  
334 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019  
   
..GUSTY WINDS INTO SATURDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NORTHERLY WINDS WILL STRENGHTEN TODAY AND STAY STRONG INTO  
SATURDAY AS A DEEP LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM IMPACTS THE REGION.  
THERE WILL ALSO BE SOME RAIN DURING THIS TIME PRIMARILY FOR THE  
REGION TO THE SOUTHWEST OF MUSKEGON TO HOLLAND.  
 
MIZ037>039-043>045-192015-  
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF LUDINGTON, BALDWIN, REED CITY, HART,  
FREMONT, AND BIG RAPIDS  
334 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN  
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS UNTIL 1400.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT UNTIL MIDDAY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......46 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
29 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300-2800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
5000-5500 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1100-1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........77-82 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 1700-2200  
FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-400 (POOR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56 NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND AROUND 59 INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 6  
DEGREES WARMER INLAND.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 26-31  
PERCENT INLAND.  
24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 16  
PERCENT DRIER INLAND.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
28 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN, 2000-2500 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT....... INLAND, 2700-3200 FT AGL INCREASING TO  
4800-5300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800-1100 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.  
 

 
 
MIZ040-046-192015-  
CLARE-ISABELLA-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF CLARE AND MOUNT PLEASANT  
334 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN PARTLY  
SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 29 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700-5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1100-1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH AND GUSTY.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....600 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 100 (POOR)  
OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32-37 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 33 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100-3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....700 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.14 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ050-056-064-071-192015-  
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF MUSKEGON, GRAND HAVEN, JENISON, HOLLAND,  
AND SOUTH HAVEN  
334 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) UNTIL 1700, THEN PARTLY  
SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
29 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND  
5000-5500 FT AGL INLAND.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1100-1500 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.11 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......23 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH AND GUSTY.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100 (POOR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31-36 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
32 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN, 3200-3700 FT AGL.  
MIXING HEIGHT....... INLAND, 2800-3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO  
4800-5300 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND  
10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....800-1200 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.29 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ051-052-057>059-192015-  
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF GREENVILLE, ALMA, GRAND RAPIDS, IONIA,  
AND ST. JOHNS  
334 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 1100, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 31 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 25 TO 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....1100 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1600 (EXCELLENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.19 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 28 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.12 IN.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 36 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....700-800 (EXCELLENT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.41 IN.  
 

 
 
MIZ065>067-072>074-192015-  
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-  
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF HASTINGS, CHARLOTTE, LANSING, KALAMAZOO,  
BATTLE CREEK, AND JACKSON  
334 AM EDT FRI APR 19 2019  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL  
1400, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.  
24 HR TREND......18 DEGREES COOLER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 32 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200-4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 25 TO 30 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....700 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1300 (EXCELLENT)  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.44 IN.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 32 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH  
AROUND 30 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....300-400 (GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.27 IN.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
UNTIL 1400, THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.  
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.  
24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
35 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.50 IN.  
 

 
   
FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7
 
 
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. NORTHWEST  
WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.    
SUNDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO  
9 MPH.    
SUNDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO  
9 MPH.    
MONDAY
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. HIGHS  
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.    
MONDAY NIGHT
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID  
40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 12 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.    
TUESDAY
 
COOLER. PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS  
8 TO 13 MPH.    
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.    
WEDNESDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.    
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
 
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40.    
THURSDAY
 
MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S.  
 

 
 
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