318  
FNUS73 KAPX 010704  
FWSAPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 6 MILE PILES...US FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
204 AM EST MON FEB 1 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON FEBRUARY 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989) 732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT  
OF ANY PRECIPITATION TODAY AND TONIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES  
TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........18 AT IGNITION...MAX 29.  
RH..................92 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 600-2200 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........POOR /100 AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD /300/.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........67 80 81 75 68 62 52 41 31 35  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............18 18 21 23 25 27 28 28 29 26  
RH..............92 92 84 77 74 68 66 66 63 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 11 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 12 13 14 15 15 15  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE/100.......1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 17.  
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 18 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD (300).  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........38 42 48 45 44 45 46 46 49 56 59 60  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............25 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 17 17 17 18  
RH..............71 77 81 84 88 88 92 92 92 92 96 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 18  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VRATE/100.......3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 32.  
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 23 MPH.  
VENT RATE...........GOOD TO EXCELLENT (400-800).  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........61 66 64 54 48 43  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............19 24 27 30 32 31  
RH..............92 88 81 72 66 69  
20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 N 7 N 8 N 9 N 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 12 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2500 2800 3200 3300 2900  
TRANSPORT WIND..N 18 N 20 N 21 N 23 N 23 N 22  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3  
VRATE/100.......4 5 6 7 8 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...MONIQUE RUNYAN  
REQUESTED BY...CHUCK BARRON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2101629.0/APX  
.DELDT 02/01/21  
 
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