715
FNUS73 KAPX 240920
FWSAPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE BLUE STEM RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
520 AM EDT WED JUN 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE... CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989)732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL TO START THE DAY TODAY.
CLOUDY SKIES ARE EXPECTED, BUT AMPLE DRY AIR IN THE LOW LEVELS OF
THE ATMOSPHERE WILL ALLOWS FOR RHS TO DIP INTO THE LOW 50S,
PERHAPS EVEN UPPER 40S EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. EVENTUALLY,
ANTICIPATING SHOWERS AND STORMS TO MATERIALIZE AT THE BURN SITE
LATER TODAY, AND ESPECIALLY IN THE EVENING. COUPLED WITH
INCREASING MOISTURE, THIS SHOULD LEAD TO A RISE IN RHS THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. WINDS OF 5 TO 10MPH OUT OF THE S TO SSW MAY GUST AS
HIGH AS 15 TO 20MPH AT TIMES, BUT OVERALL ANTICIPATED TO REMAIN ON
THE LIGHTER SIDE. WINDS MAY SHIFT IN THE EVENT A LAKE BREEZE CAN
PENETRATE FAR ENOUGH INLAND, WHICH WOULD BE A SHIFT TO MORE
EASTERLY FLOW. ANY SHOWER OR THUNDER DEVELOPMENT MAY ALSO LEAD TO
ERRATIC WIND PATTERNS, BUT THIS WILL LIKELY REMAIN SUPPRESSED
UNTIL LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL RISE QUICKLY
THROUGH THE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON, PEAKING AT ROUGHLY 4.5 TO
5KFT BEFORE LOWERING LATER IN THE AFTERNOON WITH THE INFLUENCE OF
HIGHER MOISTURE AND SHOWER / STORM POTENTIAL... THEN TRENDING
QUITE POOR OVERNIGHT (2KFT OR LESS, MORE LIKELY BELOW 1KFT). RAIN
AND THUNDER BECOMES MUCH MORE PREVALENT TONIGHT AT THE BURN SITE,
CARRYING THROUGH THURSDAY. NOT ANTICIPATING A COMPLETE WASHOUT AS
DRIER CONDITION MAY PERSIST SOME THURSDAY MORNING BEFORE MORE
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BUILD IN THE AFTERNOON. AS SUCH, FIRE
GROWTH CONDITIONS WILL BE QUITE POOR STARTING TONIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...22 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3600-4900 FT AGL
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO
2700-2900 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (74.0-535.0).
TIME (EDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........80 74 76 83 87 89 86 90 84
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20
TEMP............64 67 69 70 71 70 68 66 65
RH..............63 56 53 51 52 55 61 65 68
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 13 13 13 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 2.6 3.6 4.4 4.9 4.1 3.6 2.9 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 13 13 13 14 15 15 14
VRATE KT-FT.....74 235 393 479 535 493 473 378 319
VENTRATE CAT....PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH THE NIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...24 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1900 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (23.0-213.0).
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........86 89 93 90 80 95 98 98 98 96 95 84
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 10
TEMP............64 64 63 62 60 59 58 58 58 57 57 57
RH..............73 74 75 82 87 90 93 97 96 95 93 92
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 10 10 10 9 9 9 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.6 1.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 9 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 6 6
VRATE KT-FT.....213 162 83 39 33 33 31 27 30 30 25 23
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...32 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 9
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (22.0-178.0).
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........94 94 90 73 72 78 81 67 77 64 48 43
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 30 30 30 20
TEMP............58 59 60 61 62 63 65 67 68 68 68 67
RH..............83 90 90 93 93 89 87 82 78 77 78 75
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 7 7 9 9 9 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW S S SW SW SW W W NW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 6 7 6 7 7 9 8 9
VRATE KT-FT.....22 23 33 62 76 117 113 134 130 166 150 178
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR
FORECASTER...HAD
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS WILTSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2616105.0/APX
.DELDT 06/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TRAVIS.A.WILTSE@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page