318
FNUS73 KAPX 010704
FWSAPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR 6 MILE PILES...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
204 AM EST MON FEB 1 2021
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON FEBRUARY 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989) 732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRECLUDE THE DEVELOPMENT
OF ANY PRECIPITATION TODAY AND TONIGHT. EXPECT PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES
TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE 20S.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........18 AT IGNITION...MAX 29.
RH..................92 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 600-2200 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.
VENT RATE...........POOR /100 AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD /300/.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
TIME (EST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........67 80 81 75 68 62 52 41 31 35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............18 18 21 23 25 27 28 28 29 26
RH..............92 92 84 77 74 68 66 66 63 71
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 11 12 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.1 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 12 13 14 15 15 15
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE/100.......1 1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 17.
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 16 TO 18 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (300).
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........38 42 48 45 44 45 46 46 49 56 59 60
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............25 23 22 21 20 19 18 17 17 17 17 18
RH..............71 77 81 84 88 88 92 92 92 92 96 96
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 11 11 11 10 10 10 10 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.3 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 16 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 17 18
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
VRATE/100.......3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 32.
RH..................MIN 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400-3400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 18 TO 23 MPH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD TO EXCELLENT (400-800).
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........61 66 64 54 48 43
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............19 24 27 30 32 31
RH..............92 88 81 72 66 69
20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 N 7 N 8 N 9 N 9
20 FT WIND GUST.8 12 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 2500 2800 3200 3300 2900
TRANSPORT WIND..N 18 N 20 N 21 N 23 N 23 N 22
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3
VRATE/100.......4 5 6 7 8 6
FORECASTER...MONIQUE RUNYAN
REQUESTED BY...CHUCK BARRON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2101629.0/APX
.DELDT 02/01/21
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