585  
FNUS73 KAPX 111257  
FWSAPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOPKINS CREEK UNIT 1...MIDNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
857 AM EDT MON MAY 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE... CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989)732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS ANTICIPATED TODAY WITH RHS  
NEARING 30, PERHAPS DIPPING INTO THE 20S THIS AFTERNOON. AS SUCH,  
MIXING HEIGHTS ANTICIPATED TO RISE ABOVE 5KFT INTO THE AFTERNOON  
WITH EXCELLENT VENTILATION OWING TO EFFICIENT MIXING. COOL TODAY  
WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 50S. AS SUCH, EFFICIENT BURNING CONDITIONS  
ANTICIPATED TODAY. CALMING WINDS TONIGHT WITH RISING RHS AND  
PLUMMETING MIXING HEIGHTS AND VENTILATION. LOOKING AHEAD TO  
TUESDAY, ANTICIPATING ANOTHER SYSTEM TO PASS THROUGH THE REGION,  
BUT WITH A WINDOW OF DRY WEATHER TO START THE DAY. AS SUCH, THERE  
COULD BE A WINDOW OF REDUCED RHS OVERLAPPING WITH BREEZY SOUTHERLY  
WINDS AND INCREASINGLY EFFICIENT MIXING AND VENTILATION. RAIN  
SHOWERS ARE SET TO MOVE IN LATE IN THE MORNING INTO EARLY  
AFTERNOON, WHICH WILL RISE RHS, AND IN TURN, HAMPER ANY EFFICIENT  
MIXING OR VENTILATION.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500-5900 FT AGL.  
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD TO EXCELLENT (384.0-634.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........7 8 6 4 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 50 51 51 51  
RH..............33 33 32 30 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.8 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 9 9 8  
VRATE KT-FT.....634 587 457 454 384  
VENTRATE CAT....EXL GD GD GD GD  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD FROST  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND  
5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000-4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2200 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (14.0-341.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........2 2 1 2 3 4 7 11 14 20 26 32  
WEATHER COV..... WID WID WID  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............50 49 47 43 39 35 33 32 31 31 31 32  
RH..............32 33 35 41 48 56 61 63 69 72 75 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 5 5 5 3 3 3 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 4.0 2.2 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N NE E SE SE S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 7 6 5 6 7 9 10 12 13  
VRATE KT-FT.....341 281 157 29 19 14 18 21 26 33 38 43  
VENTRATE CAT....GD FR FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 26 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (45.0-464.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........45 58 71 78 85 93 94 95 96 96 96 96  
WEATHER COV..... CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............32 34 36 41 45 49 50 49 48 49 51 52  
RH..............78 72 69 59 53 50 52 61 68 71 68 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 10 10 10 14 14 14 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 24 24 24 29 29 29 31 31 31  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.4 1.8 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.4 2.2 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 14 16 20 21 21 23 24 23 24 26  
VRATE KT-FT.....45 54 67 197 313 351 320 340 361 289 453 464  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD FR GD GD  
 

 
FORECASTER...HAD  
REQUESTED BY...650  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613319.0/APX  
.DELDT 05/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BAKERB7@MICHIGAN.GOV  
 
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