323  
FNUS73 KAPX 281013  
FWSAPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HARE TRAIL SOUTH...MDNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
613 AM EDT THU MAY 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE... CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989)732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RAIN-FREE WEATHER WITH SUNNY SKIES WILL CONTINUE ACROSS THE AREA  
TODAY. LIGHT NORTH-NORTHEAST WINDS WITH 20 FT WIND SPEEDS BETWEEN 3-  
7 MPH ARE ANTICIPATED THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE LAKE BREEZE  
FORMATION IS EXPECTED TO PUSH INLAND THIS AFTERNOON, INFLUENCE FROM  
THE LAKE BREEZE IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE BURN SITE UNTIL THIS  
EVENING -- IF AT ALL. WINDS LOOK TO GO CALM LATER THIS EVENING INTO  
TONIGHT. RHS IN THE 30-40 PERCENT RANGE WILL BE POSSIBLE FROM LATE  
MORNING THROUGH MUCH OF THIS EVENING, INCLUDING A BRIEF WINDOW OF  
POTENTIAL NEAR-CRITICAL RHS (25-30 PERCENT) THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3700 FT AGL.  
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR TO GOOD (222.0-318.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........1 1 1 1 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............61 63 66 70 71 71 73  
RH..............46 42 38 34 31 29 29  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 12 12 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 3.0 3.1 3.4 3.7 3.7 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 9 9 8 7  
VRATE KT-FT.....318 300 313 271 294 262 222  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD FR FR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1500 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (12.0-173.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........2 2 5 9 6 7 21 6 4 13 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 71 69 63 58 55 53 50 49 49 47 47  
RH..............31 32 37 46 55 59 64 68 71 71 76 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE N N N SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 0 0 0 1 1 1 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 3 3 3 6 6 6 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE N N N W W SW SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 3 3 3 3 5 5 6 7 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT.....173 121 46 12 12 12 14 14 17 23 28 32  
VENTRATE CAT....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 24 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 17  
TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500-3700 FT AGL  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (41.0-450.0) INCREASING TO GOOD  
(486.0) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 2 3 2 1 3 2 2 4 20 24 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............48 50 55 60 65 69 72 74 76 76 76 77  
RH..............74 71 61 51 41 36 34 33 32 32 33 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 10 10 10 12 12 12 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 22 22 22 24 24 24 23 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.9 3.0 3.2 3.7 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 16 20 20 21 22 22 17 18 21  
VRATE KT-FT.....41 45 71 178 320 376 450 555 575 486 586 560  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD GD GD  
 
 
FORECASTER...DJC  
REQUESTED BY...6-50  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614561.0/APX  
.DELDT 05/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CREWZ@MICHIGAN.GOV,CORSERJ@MICHIGAN.GOV,DAVISJ32@MICHIGAN.GOV  
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