174
FNUS73 KAPX 271617
FWSAPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR CARPENTER CREEK RX...MIDNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
1217 PM EDT TUE MAY 27 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1300 EDT ON MAY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE... CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989)732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
CLOUD COVERAGE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGH TONIGHT LEADING
TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES FOR WEDNESDAY. EAST WINDS WILL GAIN A
SLIGHT NORTHERLY COMPONENT (ENE) AND INCREASE IN MAGNITUDE THROUGH
THE DAY WITH SUSTAINED WINDS AT ABOUT 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO
10-15 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH POSSIBLE. RH VALUES
WILL DECREASE THROUGH THE DAY AND LOWER TO AROUND 35 PERCENT IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN REBOUND INTO THE UPPER 30/40 PERCENT RANGE BY
THE EVENING. MIXING HEIGHTS LOOK TO RISE UP TO 4,500 TO 5,500 FEET
BY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON, THEN LOWER TO ABOUT 2,500 TO 3,000 FEET
BY THE EVENING.
SHOWER POTENTIAL INCREASES ON WEDNESDAY, BUT LATEST GUIDANCE
SUGGESTS THAT MUCH OF THE STEADIER RAINFALL SHOULD REMAIN TO THE
SOUTH.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........37 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300-5500 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD TO EXCELLENT (470.0-792.0).
TIME (EDT) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........86 88 89 90 85
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............71 71 71 70 69
RH..............38 38 37 38 38
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 17 17 17
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 5.3 5.0 4.3 5.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 17 15 13 16
VRATE KT-FT.....791 792 648 470 720
VENTRATE CAT....EXL EXL EXL GD EXL
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3
TO 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-2300 FT AGL.
VENTILATION INDEX...FAIR TO GOOD (277.0-560.0) DECREASING TO POOR
(15.0) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........80 83 86 87 87 88 85 83 80 79 79 78
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............69 67 65 60 58 55 54 53 52 51 50 50
RH..............40 45 55 65 73 80 84 85 86 89 91 93
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 16 12 12 12 8 8 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 2.3 0.8 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E NE NE N N N N N N NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 5
VRATE KT-FT.....560 277 53 26 18 18 16 15 16 17 19 21
VENTRATE CAT....GD FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...8 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4800 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (16.0-515.0) INCREASING TO GOOD
(516.0) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........76 73 71 67 62 58 52 46 40 35 31 26
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0
TEMP............50 50 51 53 56 59 61 63 65 67 68 68
RH..............95 95 93 87 80 72 64 56 50 46 43 42
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 14 14 14 18 18 18 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.2 2.9 3.5 4.1 4.6 4.8 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 8 10 12 13 13 13 13 12
VRATE KT-FT.....17 16 25 60 129 226 332 438 515 580 587 516
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD
FORECASTER...NSC
REQUESTED BY...650
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2514764.0/APX
.DELDT 05/27/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CORSERJ@MICHIGAN.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page