575  
FNUS73 KAPX 261830  
FWSAPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAME DUCK FOOT ACCESS...MIDNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI  
230 PM EDT FRI JUL 26 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 27.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE... CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (989)732-9306, IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS  
OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED SATURDAY,  
THOUGH WE COULD CONTINUE TO SEE SOME HAZE AND SMOKE WELL ALOFT.  
LIGHT WINDS TO START THE DAY, WILL BECOME A SOUTHWEST TO SOUTH  
BREEZE IN THE AFTERNOON. SOME GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH ARE EXPECTED AT THE  
BURN SITE.  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5400 FT AGL.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...GOOD TO EXCELLENT (328.0-616.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........3 1 3 3 3 3  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............77 80 82 83 83 83  
RH..............56 52 49 47 47 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 13 13 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 4.7 5.0 5.1 5.4 5.3  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 10 12 12 12  
VRATE KT-FT.....328 487 514 589 616 610  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD GD GD EXL EXL  
   
SATURDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-600 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (27.0-508.0).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........4 4 5 6 7 9 8 8 8 12 17 21  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............84 82 79 76 72 68 65 63 62 60 59 58  
RH..............46 51 52 58 67 76 80 85 87 90 94 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 13 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.4 4.1 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8  
VRATE KT-FT.....508 474 56 39 39 36 39 40 39 35 31 27  
VENTRATE CAT....GD GD PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200-5500 FT AGL.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (9.0-492.0) INCREASING TO GOOD TO  
EXCELLENT (523.0-640.0) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........23 26 24 23 24 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............58 62 71 80 85 87  
RH..............96 90 70 55 47 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 5 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 15 15 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....200 300 2200 3800 4500 5500  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 8 SW 8 SW 10 SW 12 SW 12 SW 12  
VRATE KT-FT.....14 27 227 443 523 640  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD EXNT  
 

 
FORECASTER...JZ  
REQUESTED BY...JEFF VASHER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2419010.0/APX  
.DELDT 07/27/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL VASHERJ@MICHIGAN.GOV  
 
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