067
FNUS73 KDTX 221131
FWSDTX
SPOT FORECAST FOR FULLER RX BURN...NATURAL AREA PRESERVATION - CITY OF ANN ARBOR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
731 AM EDT MON APR 22 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AFTER A COLD START, TEMPERATURES MONDAY WILL RISE TO
AROUND 60 DEGREES WITH MINIMUM RH IN THE LOWER 30S PERCENT RANGE.
SOUTHWEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH DURING THE AFTERNOON. SHOWERS ARRIVE
TUESDAY WITH SOUTHWEST WINDS TURNING GUSTIER. DRY AND COOLER WEATHER
RETURN WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 10 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 15 MPH...INCREASING TO 17 TO 23
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL....EXCELLENT (MAX...629)...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(MAX...1283) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........9 6 6 5 19 34 48 52 57 61
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............35 41 46 51 55 58 60 61 62 63
RH..............77 67 58 51 44 39 36 35 35 35
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 4 6 6 7 8 10 10 10
EYE LVL WND GST. 5 6 7 8 10 11 12 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.9 1.4 2.3 5.6 7.1 7.7 7.8 7.7 7.4
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
SMOKE DISPER....26 71 122 227 724 10651306141214641476
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT)BECOMING PARTLY
CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT)BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY
(70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3
AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 23 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL....EXCELLENT (MIN...734)...DECREASING TO POOR
(MIN...64) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........62 45 61 71 76 87
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR
TEMP............62 58 53 50 49 49
RH..............35 40 52 59 62 64
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.10 8 8 10 10 11
EYE LVL WND GST.13 13 14 14 17 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...7000 700 600 700 1000 1100
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 4 4
SMOKE DISPER....1394 97 74 112 176 197
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS,
THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 23 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL....GOOD (MAX...577).
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY (%).........92 88 89 92
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............47 50 55 58
RH..............67 67 66 64
EYE LEVEL WIND..SW 12 SW 14 SW 14 SW 13
EYE LEVEL WIND..20 22 23 21
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 2100 2700 2900
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3
SMOKE DISPER....217 538 664 622
FORECASTER...GURNEY
REQUESTED BY...STEWARDSHIP SUPERVISOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411693.0/DTX
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL RMARANTO@A2GOV.ORG
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