159  
FNUS73 KDTX 161142  
FWSDTX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HURON HILLS GOLF COURSE RX BURN...CITY OF ANN ARBOR NATURAL AREA PRESERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI  
742 AM EDT THU MAY 16 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON MAY 16.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
WARMER AND DRY TODAY WITH RH VALUES IN THE 40S TO UPPER  
30S. SCATTERED SHOWERS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT WITH ADDITIONAL SHOWERS  
AND STORMS POSSIBLE DAYTIME FRIDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH UP TO 6 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL....GOOD (MAX...366).  
 
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........26 30 30 36 40 41 47  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TEMP............67 70 72 74 76 76 76  
RH..............63 56 52 48 46 47 47  
EYE LVL WND DIR.S S S S S S S  
EYE LVL WND SPD.2 2 2 4 5 6 6  
EYE LVL WND GST.5 5 6 6 6 7 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 3.4 4.3 5.1 5.9 6.0 5.1  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
SMOKE DISPER....138 138 214 257 351 421 357  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 6 MPH IN THE  
EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 12 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL....POOR (MIN...26).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........55 64 68 78 86 89  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TEMP............75 70 63 59 57 57  
RH..............50 59 75 85 92 93  
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE  
EYE LVL WND SPD.6 6 4 4 2 2  
EYE LVL WND GST.10 11 10 8 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3600 800 600 500 500 400  
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 3 3 3  
SMOKE DISPER....360 73 50 38 38 31  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.  
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST UP TO 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH...BECOMING WEST 7 TO 10 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL....FAIR (MAX...279).  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY (%).........91 88 78 63  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TEMP............57 63 71 76  
RH..............98 86 68 59  
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 2 S 2 S 4 SW 5  
EYE LEVEL WIND..6 6 7 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 2300 3600  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3  
SMOKE DISPER....25 66 214 294  
 

 
FORECASTER...CONSIDINE  
REQUESTED BY...BECKY HAND  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2414373.0/DTX  
.DELDT 05/16/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BHAND@A2GOV.ORG  
 
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