380
FNUS73 KMQT 261042
FWSMQT
SPOT FORECAST FOR SMITH FARM RX...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
642 AM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
EXPECT GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS TODAY AS THE LAKE SUPERIOR AND LAKE
MICHIGAN LAKE BREEZES MOVE INLAND WITH TIME THIS AFTERNOON. BECAUSE
OF THIS, CONFIDENCE ON THE WIND DIRECTION DURING THE AFTERNOON HOURS
IS LOW AND WILL DEPEND ON WHICH LAKE BREEZE WINS OUT; THE LATEST
RUNS OF SOME OF THE HIGHEST RESOLUTION MODELS DO SHOW THE LAKE
MICHIGAN LAKE BREEZE WINNING OUT AT AROUND 3 OR 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON
(MAKING THE WINDS SOUTHERLY INSTEAD OF NORTHERLY), SO I AM LEANING
MORE TOWARDS THIS SOLUTION OCCURRING AT THE MOMENT. IF THERE IS A
SWITCH IN WIND DIRECTION FROM COMING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A
DIFFERENT LAKE BREEZE, WINDS COULD BECOME GUSTIER FOR AN HOUR OR TWO
UP TO AROUND 10 MPH OR SO; IF NOT, EXPECT THE WINDS TO REMAIN FAIRLY
LIGHT (EITHER FROM THE NORTH OR SOUTH). AS WE HEAD INTO THE EVENING
HOURS TONIGHT, EXPECT THE WINDS TO SLACKEN, BECOMING LIGHT AND
VARIABLE BY THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WHILE MIXING THIS AFTERNOON SHOULD
BRING MIN RHS DOWN INTO THE 30 PERCENTS, DON'T REALLY SEE IT GETTING
MUCH LOWER THAN THAT DUE TO THE MARINE AIR INFLUENCE FROM THE LAKE
BREEZE(S) AND CLOUDIER SKIES HIGH UP THIS AFTERNOON.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.
RH..................53 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............50.
33-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS NORTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1900-2800
FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100-5900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR (96) AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR (290.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......23.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30 34 51 56 56 59 62
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............69 72 75 76 76 77 76
DEWPOINT........51 51 50 50 50 50 50
RH..............53 47 42 40 40 39 40
33 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE N N N
33 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE NE NE N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WIND GUST.......5 7 7 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.8 4.1 4.7 5.8 5.9 4.8
VINDX KT-FT/100.10 17 24 24 29 24 19
CEILING (KFT)...25 25 24 24 24 23 23
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............52 DECREASING TO 48 AFTER 3 AM.
33-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-1200 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO FAIR (14.0-163.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......23.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........62 59 53 52 27 27 44 29 38 38 40 45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............75 74 72 67 63 59 56 55 53 52 51 50
DEWPOINT........52 53 54 54 53 52 51 51 50 49 49 48
RH..............44 48 55 62 71 80 84 86 89 91 92 92
33 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
33 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1
WIND GUST.......7 7 7 5 5 5 5 5 5 2 2 2
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 2.9 1.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4
VINDX KT-FT/100.16 9 5 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 2
CEILING (KFT)...23 23 24 24 24 24 24 24 25 25 23 24
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............49.
33-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 4 MPH EARLY IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400-7200 FT AGL
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BEFORE DECREASING TO
4200-5300 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...POOR TO GOOD (15.0-359.0).
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
CEILING (KFT).......23 DECREASING TO 20 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........44 47 22 14 3 4 2 11 30 24 28 33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 51 55 60 67 72 75 77 79 79 79 80
DEWPOINT........48 48 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 49 50
RH..............93 89 80 67 52 44 40 37 35 35 35 35
33 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE
33 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N NE NE NE E E E SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4
WIND GUST.......2 2 2 5 5 5 7 7 7 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.1 4.1 5.5 6.4 7.2 4.2 5.3
VINDX KT-FT/100.2 2 2 4 6 13 29 33 32 36 30 26
CEILING (KFT)...24 24 24 24 24 24 23 22 20
FORECASTER...TAP
REQUESTED BY...JOSH HAEN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2616252.0/MQT
.DELDT 06/26/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSHUA_HAEN@FWS.GOV
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