102
FNUS73 KDLH 112223
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR JULY LIGHTNING EVENT...MNICS TYPE 3 INCIDENT MANAGEMENT TEAM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
523 PM CDT SAT JUL 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON JULY 11.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
QUIET CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY
WINDS STREAMING ACROSS THE REGION. A SHORTWAVE IS MOVING ACROSS
THE DAKOTAS AND LOOKS TO ARRIVE AFTER MIDNIGHT. SOME OF THE
LATEST GUIDANCE WANTS TO SPAWN A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WITH THIS
FEATURE AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOW CONFIDENCE IN THIS COMING TO FRUITION
AT THIS TIME, BUT IF STORMS DO MANAGE TO FORM THEY HAVE A FAIR BIT
OF GOOD INGREDIENTS TO UTILIZE AND BECOME STRONG. ANY STRONGER
STORMS THAT DO FORM WOULD HAVE POTENTIAL TO DROP 0.25-0.50" OF
RAIN.
TOMORROW WILL BE HOT WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 90S AND SOUTHWESTERLY
WIND GUSTS OF AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MIN RHS WILL FALL
INTO THE UPPER 20S.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 700 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (46400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (4400
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 0
TEMP............90 88 87 81 77 75 75 74 73 71 71 70
RH..............43 46 50 67 76 82 84 84 87 90 90 90
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 13 14 14 14 14 15 15 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.0 4.6 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 10 12 12 12 12 12 13 13
SDSPL KT-FT/100050 46 7 5 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 6
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 99.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13
TO 21 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5600-24700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (99600-132000 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............69 75 86 91 97 98
RH..............93 79 55 42 34 28
20 FT WIND......SW 5 SW 4 SW 5 SW 6 SW 7 W 9
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 14 16 20
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1400 2200 3200 5400 7300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 SW 14 W 13 W 13 W 15 W 21
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 16 25 35 70 132
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (85900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(4600 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0
TEMP............96 84 78 74
RH..............30 51 67 74
20 FT WIND......W 8G20 SW 5G18 SW 4G15 SW 4G15
MIX HGT (FT)....5400 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..W 18 W 13 W 14 SW 12
SDSPL KT-FT/100086 6 6 5
FORECASTER...LEE
REQUESTED BY...TAYLOR SCHENK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617211.1/DLH
.DELDT 07/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BENJAMIN_EVANS@FIRENET.GOV,BENJAMIN_EVANS@FIRENET.GOV.,TAYLOR_SCHENK@FIRENET.GOV
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