200  
FNUS73 KDLH 222017  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOSE LAKE RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
317 PM CDT FRI MAY 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 CDT ON MAY 22.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RAIN:  
EXPECT A STEADY LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN FOR THE NEXT HOUR OR  
SO. THERE MAY BE OCCASIONAL BREAKS IN RAINFALL INTENSITY, BUT  
STEADY RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR MOST OF TONIGHT. A FEW  
RUMBLES OF THUNDER CAN'T BE RULED OUT, THOUGH IT IS EXPECTED TO BE  
INFREQUENT. SHOWERS WILL END SATURDAY MORNING BRIEFLY, THEN  
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND PERHAPS A FEW RUMBLES OF THUNDER ARE  
POSSIBLE MIDDAY SATURDAY THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.  
 
WINDS:  
EXPECT BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT. AS LOW PRESSURE  
PASSES THROUGH, WINDS WILL SWITCH TO SOUTHWESTERLY AND DECREASE IN  
SPEED A BIT SATURDAY MORNING AND REMAIN SOUTHWESTERLY THROUGH THE  
DAY.  
 
SMOKE DISPERSAL:  
AN INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO BE IN PLACE THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING,  
RESULTING IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL CONDITIONS. A BIT OF MIXING IS  
EXPECTED BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON, RESULTING IN A BIT OF IMPROVEMENT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (25700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80  
TEMP............57 54  
RH..............59 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20  
SDSPL KT-FT/100028 26  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 27 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 17 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (9300-21200 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 70 80 80 40 30  
TEMP............52 51 48 49 49 50  
RH..............71 74 77 80 89 93  
20 FT WIND......E 11 E 11 E 11 SE 11 SE 11 SE 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 26 26 25  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 1100 700 700 900 900  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 20 E 18 SE 17 SE 17 SE 21 SE 20  
SDSPL KT-FT/100021 17 11 11 16 16  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3300 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 15  
TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (12400-31200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING  
TO GOOD (34300-45800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 0 0  
TEMP............50 55 60 64  
RH..............93 80 62 54  
20 FT WIND......SE 9G22 S 7G15 SW 8G16 SW 7G15  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1600 2500 3100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 16 S 16 SW 16 W 16  
SDSPL KT-FT/100012 23 34 44  
 
 
FORECASTER...JOSH  
REQUESTED BY...AMOS LEE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614258.2/DLH  
.DELDT 05/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ROBERT.FOCHT@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.KLICK@USDA.GOV,AMOS.LEE@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.MACKEY@USDA.GOV  
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