292  
FNUS73 KDLH 062131  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STEVE CREEK RX...WI DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
431 PM CDT WED MAY 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON MAY 07.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MOSTLY CLEAR TO PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES START THE DAY WHICH WILL  
QUICKLY GIVE WAY TO PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY CONDITIONS. SCATTERED  
RAIN SHOWERS WILL LIKELY DEVELOP BY LATE MORNING WITH A 30 TO 40  
PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN AT THE SITE. RAIN AMOUNTS LESS THAN TWO  
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH ARE LIKELY, THOUGH THERE IS A 5% CHANCE OF  
UP TO 0.10 INCHES OF RAIN. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL START OUT FAIR AND  
IMPROVE TO EXCELLENT AS THE MIXED LAYER DEEPENS DURING THE DAY.  
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL BE FROM THE WEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH A FEW  
GUSTS IN THE AFTERNOON TO 15 MPH.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (27300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(83500-111400 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 20 30 20 40  
TEMP............40 45 46 47 49 51 51 52 53  
RH..............62 49 47 45 44 41 39 38 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 6 6 6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 4.3 5.6 5.6 5.9 6.6 6.7 6.6 6.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 17 18 18 18 20 18  
SDSPL KT-FT/100027 47 67 84 94 106 107 111 102  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 29.  
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
6 TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (87600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(1700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 51 49 44 41 39 36 34 33 32 32 31  
RH..............36 39 42 49 55 59 64 69 72 72 72 78  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 4 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 8 6 5 3 3 5 5 3 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.5 2.3 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW W S S SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 13 9 8 7 6 6 6 7 7 7 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/100088 26 6 4 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 6800 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5100 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 14  
TO 17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400-10400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD  
(31600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO GOOD (57800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (78600-101800  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (93500-119300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (61600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC MC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 33 37 43 50 54 57 59 61 62 62 62  
RH..............81 75 70 57 44 38 34 32 31 31 32 34  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N SW W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 2 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 8 12 14 14 15 16 16 15 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.3 2.9 4.4 5.6 6.8 8.0 7.7 7.4 7.2 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 9 13 15 16 17 17 17 16 15 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 2 10 32 58 79 102 119 116 104 94 62  
 
 
FORECASTER...KEVIN  
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN NICHOLLS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2612961.0/DLH  
.DELDT 05/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NATHAN.NICHOLLS@WISCONSIN.GOV  
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