182
FNUS73 KDLH 061036
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH BAY FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
536 AM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON JUNE 06.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
SUNNY SKIES TODAY AS NORTHWEST WINDS REMAIN MAINLY AT OR UNDER 5
MPH, THOUGH A FEW GUSTS TO 8-12 MPH CANNOT BE RULED OUT DURING THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON WITH DAYTIME HEATING. MINIMUM RELATIVE
HUMIDITY DOWN TO AROUND 30% IS FORECAST FOR THIS AFTERNOON. WHILE
NOT CURRENTLY EXPECTING NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR
THE DRY RHS, A FUTURE SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT FOR THOSE DRY
CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON CANNOT BE ENTIRELY RULED OUT IF RH
OVERACHIEVES IF DAYTIME MIXING IS STRONGER THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
EXPECT CALM TO VERY LIGHT WINDS THIS EVENING TO SHIFT
SOUTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE IN SPEED TOWARDS 5-7 MPH LATE THIS
EVENING AND TONIGHT.
BREEZY SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH,
HOT TEMPERATURES IN THE MID-80S, AND DRY RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND
30% ARE FORECAST FOR SUNDAY. THESE CONDITIONS HAVE PROMPTED A
FIRE WEATHER WATCH FOR SUNDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE NEXT
POTENTIAL FOR WETTING RAINFALL (70-90% CHANCE) AT THE FIRE SITE IS
EXPECTED ON MONDAY AS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MOVE INTO THE
NORTHLAND. THE CURRENT FORECAST CALLS FOR BETWEEN 0.1-0.2" OF
RAINFALL MONDAY THROUGH MONDAY EVENING, BUT LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS
UP TO 0.5" CAN'T BE RULED OUT IF THUNDERSTORMS MOVE DIRECTLY
OVERHEAD.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
(40000-55400 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 56 62 67 71 73 75 76 79 81 83 84
RH..............93 86 72 59 51 46 41 39 36 34 32 32
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 4 5 5 5 5 4 3 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 7 9 11 13 14 13 11 8 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.2 3.0 4.0 4.7 5.2 5.5 5.8 6.1 5.8 5.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 9 10 10 12 12 10 10 8 8
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 2 6 24 36 42 52 55 52 55 41 40
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST EARLY IN
THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 7 TO 10
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (17200-26800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(1800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............84 77 66 61 58 55
RH..............32 47 63 75 77 80
20 FT WIND......N 1 NE 1 SE 3 S 4 SE 4 SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 7 11 11 12
MIX HGT (FT)....5400 400 500 400 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..N 6 NE 5 SE 7 S 10 S 10 S 10
SDSPL KT-FT/100027 2 3 4 4 4
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4500-16200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (78900-90200 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 60 65 72 76 79 81 83 84 85 85 84
RH..............80 72 60 51 43 39 35 33 32 31 31 32
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 15 16 18 18 18 18 19 19 19
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.2 1.8 2.6 3.7 4.7 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.3 5.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 15 16 16 16 16 17 17 18 20 18
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 5 16 26 37 52 65 79 83 90 90 85
FORECASTER...CORY
REQUESTED BY...JEB BACKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614806.12/DLH
.DELDT 06/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,JEB.BACKE@USDA.GOV,BENJAMIN_EVANS@FIRENET.GOV
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