854
FNUS73 KDLH 151032
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE KNIFE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
532 AM CDT SAT AUG 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY
AS LOW PRESSURE AND AN ASSOCIATED COLD/OCCLUDED FRONT MOVES
THROUGH THE LITTLE KNIFE FIRE. RADAR ECHOES EARLY THIS MORNING
WILL INITIALLY FALL AS VIRGA DUE TO LOW-LEVEL DRY AIR. HOWEVER,
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN REACHING THE SURFACE BY 1300. WETTING
RAINS OF 0.25" OR GREATER ARE LIKELY (55-70% CHANCE), WITH MOST OF
THIS RAINFALL OCCURRING IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL BE AROUND 5-8 MPH, WITH PEAK AFTERNOON GUSTS
TO 20 MPH. EXPECT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS AROUND ANY ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. WINDS GRADUALLY SHIFT TO NORTHWEST TONIGHT,
REMAINING NORTHWEST ON SUNDAY FOLLOWING THE COLD FRONT. MIN RH
TRENDS DRIER ON SUNDAY, ALBEIT ONLY TO THE MID 40% RANGE, WITH
DECREASING CLOUD COVER.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4500-21500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR (15700-25800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.36 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY MC CDY CDY
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF LKY CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 30 30 40 50 50 70 80 80 60 50
TEMP............62 61 61 64 66 67 67 68 68 67 68 67
RH..............73 76 78 73 68 67 68 69 70 75 75 78
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 14 14 15 16 16 18 16 16 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.0 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.3 1.6 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE S S S S SE SE SE SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 14 14 14 15 14 16 18 15 16 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 6 13 15 18 21 19 22 26 17 22 16
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT. PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO
6 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 13
TO 14 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2600-12700 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RNF
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 60 40 50 50 30 20 10 10 0 10 0
TEMP............67 65 63 62 62 61 61 61 62 60 60 59
RH..............78 81 90 90 92 97 97 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S SW SW SW W W NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 11 9 8 7 7 7 9 11 13 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S SW W W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 10 9 9 8 7 7 9 10 12 13 14
SDSPL KT-FT/100013 9 7 4 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 7
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (10500-28800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
TO EXCELLENT (72700-79900 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 59 60 62 64 66 69 71 73 73 74 75
RH..............100 100 100 100 92 82 70 63 56 50 46 47
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 16 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.3 5.0 4.8 5.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 16 17 17 18 18 18 18 17 18 17 17
SDSPL KT-FT/100011 19 29 31 40 50 57 63 66 80 73 79
FORECASTER...WOODY
REQUESTED BY...KELLEY HARKINS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619048.11/DLH
.DELDT 08/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KELLEY.HARKINS@USDA.GOV
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