296
FNUS73 KDLH 191618
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE KNIFE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
1118 AM CDT WED AUG 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 CDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH TEMPERATURES INTO THE MID-40S. RAIN
SHOWER CHANCES BUILD EARLY THURSDAY MORNING AND LAST THROUGH THE
DAY. THIS RAINFALL IS FORECAST TO BE LIGHT TO MODERATE RATES IN
THE MORNING, BECOMING MORE SPOTTY AND INTERMITTENT IN THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. THUNDERSTORM CHANCES BUILD THURSDAY AFTERNOON, WITH CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING BEING THE PRIMARY HAZARD, ALONG WITH ERRATIC GUSTY
OUTFLOW WINDS TO 30 MPH.
SOUTH WINDS DURING THE DAYTIME THURSDAY LAST INTO THE EARLY OVERNIGHT
HOURS BEFORE A COLD FRONT PASSING OVER THE FIRE SITE CAUSES A WIND
SHIFT TO THE NORTH-NORTHWEST. EXPECT LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS BY SUNRISE
FRIDAY MORNING. PATCHY FOG IS ALSO EXPECTED LATE THURSDAY NIGHT INTO
FRIDAY MORNING WITH THE RAINFALL FORECAST THURSDAY DAYTIME.
SPOTTY AND INTERMITTENT DAYTIME RAIN SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY, BUT
A WETTING RAINFALL IS NOT FORECAST CURRENTLY FOR FRIDAY DAYTIME. THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS LAST INTO SATURDAY AS WELL, ALONG WITH ANOTHER
DAY OF VERY SPOTTY AND INTERMITTENT DAYTIME LIGHT RAIN SHOWER CHANCES
(ONLY 10-20%). TEMPERATURES THIS WEEKEND WILL PEAK IN THE LOW-70S AND
DIP TO THE MID-40S.
A WIND SHIFT TO SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OCCURS SUNDAY NIGHT AS TEMPERATURES
WARM SLIGHTLY INTO THE MID-70S. MONDAY IS LIKELY TO BE DRY THOUGH.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 7 TO
13 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2200-18600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR TO GOOD (14400-33100 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.25 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 20 30 30 40 40 40 30 30 20 20 20
TEMP............47 49 54 60 65 66 68 69 69 69 69 68
RH..............100 100 100 87 73 70 65 66 68 68 70 73
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SE SE SE S SE S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 5 6 6 8 9 11 12 12 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.3 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.5 1.6 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S SE SE SE SE S SE S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 8 7 10 10 12 13 12 13 13
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 2 3 6 8 19 23 26 33 25 18 15
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
5 TO 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1700-15500 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY MC CDY
WEATHER COV.....SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............66 65 61 59 58 56 56 55 55 54 54 54
RH..............78 81 90 93 98 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE NE N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.11 9 7 6 6 5 5 5 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE S E E NE N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 10 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 6 5
SDSPL KT-FT/100016 9 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2200-18900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (47300-65000 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20 20 20 20 20
TEMP............53 54 57 60 64 67 70 73 74 75 75 74
RH..............100 100 100 100 87 78 68 59 55 54 54 55
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 3 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 5 5 5 7 8 9 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.9 5.7 5.9 4.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 6 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 12
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 4 6 9 12 19 28 39 54 63 65 48
FORECASTER...NATHAN
REQUESTED BY...USFS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620017.0/DLH
.DELDT 08/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRANDON.REA@USDA.GOV
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