975  
FNUS73 KDLH 161257  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR 614...MN DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
757 AM CDT THU JUL 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 CDT ON JULY 16.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MOSTLY CLOUDY TODAY WITH SOME SCATTERED RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE  
DAY. RAIN ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE MINIMAL WITH TOTALS GENERALLY  
LESS THAN 0.03" EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE OUT OF THE EAST AND  
GRADUALLY INCREASE IN SPEED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH A FEW  
GUSTS IN THE TEENS. MIN RHS WILL BOTTOM OUT AROUND 40%. OVERNIGHT,  
WINDS WILL SHIFT TO OUT OF THE SE WITH PRECIPITATION CHANCES  
INCREASING AFTER MIDNIGHT. HIGH RES GUIDANCE SUGGESTS THAT SOME  
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS MAY DEVELOP. THERE IS CURRENTLY A MARGINAL  
RISK (LEVEL 1/5) FOR SEVERE STORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2400-18800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR (22900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 30 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............68 71 75 77 80 81 81 82 81 81  
RH..............72 62 54 48 44 42 42 41 44 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NE E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 8 9 11 11 12 12 12 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.9 1.7 3.0 3.1 3.3 3.8 3.8 3.0 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE SE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 8 9 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 5 9 15 16 17 19 27 24 23  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SMOKE THROUGH  
THE NIGHT. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN  
THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT, THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3600-19300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 20 20 10 10 20 20 20 30 40 50  
TEMP............81 80 78 74 71 69 67 66 65 64 63 63  
RH..............46 47 50 57 64 66 68 70 73 75 81 84  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E SE E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 13 13 13 13 12 13 12 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 10 12 9 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/100019 9 5 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 4 4  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SMOKE EARLY IN  
THE MORNING. SMOKE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 15 TO 17  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3800-14100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (45900-61800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC PC PC PC MC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC LKY DEF SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK RW RW RW RW RW RW SMK RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 50 30 20 20 20 30 70 60 20 20  
TEMP............63 65 68 72 76 79 81 83 84 85 84 84  
RH..............87 87 87 81 74 67 65 61 59 55 57 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 11 12 13 14 14 15 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.2 2.9 3.5 4.0 4.1 4.5 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE S S S S S S SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 10 12 10 13 15 15 17 17 15 17  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 9 13 14 24 38 46 60 62 58 60  
 
 
FORECASTER...LEE  
REQUESTED BY...MIKE HANOWSKI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617469.0/DLH  
.DELDT 07/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL.HANOWSKI@STATE.MN.US  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab MN Page
The Nexlab WI Page
Main Text Page