239  
FNUS73 KDLH 141047  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FOR028FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
547 AM CDT TUE JUL 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0730 CDT ON JULY 14.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 9 PM CDT THIS  
EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
TODAY WILL FEATURE A GRADUALLY SHIFTING WIND AS A COLD FRONT  
STEADILY WORKS DOWN FROM THE NORTH. SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOME  
WESTERLY THROUGH THIS MORNING, AND THEN SHOULD BE COMING OUT OF  
THE NORTHWEST BY EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. SUSTAINED WINDS 10-12 MPH  
WITH GUSTS OF 15-20MPH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. AS THAT COLD  
FRONT DROPS DOWN, EXPECT A DROP IN DEWPOINTS DURING PEAK HEATING  
THIS AFTERNOON WITH MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY AROUND 25%. IF THE  
DEWPOINTS COME IN LOWER OR THE ALREADY HOT AFTERNOON TEMPERATURES  
IN THE MID 90S NUDGE UPWARDS, RH COULD DROP AS LOW AS 20%.  
OVERNIGHT, NORTHWEST TO NORTH WINDS SHOULD DECREASE BUT NOT  
COMPLETELY GO CALM. HUMIDITY RECOVERY IS EXPECTED TO BE POOR INTO  
WEDNESDAY MORNING, WITH MAXIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY OF 50-60%. WINDS  
STAY NORTHERLY WEDNESDAY WITH SOME AFTERNOON GUSTS UP TO 15MPH  
POSSIBLE. WEDNESDAY WILL BE ANOTHER VERY DRY DAY.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SMOKE EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN AREAS OF SMOKE LATE IN THE  
MORNING. SMOKE LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (9600-21200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (62500-78700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 10 0 0  
TEMP............73 79 86 91 93 93  
RH..............80 67 56 47 33 27  
20 FT WIND......W 7 W 7 W 7 W 7 NW 8 NW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 18 15 15 16 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 2400 3600 4500 5600 5200  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 NW 10 W 14 NW 13 NW 16 NW 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/100010 21 43 50 79 63  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SMOKE.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5  
MPH OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (45400-63900 KNOT-FT)  
DECREASING TO POOR (2600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............92 90 84 79 75 73 71 69 69 67 66 65  
RH..............26 26 32 36 38 42 43 47 47 50 53 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 5 4 3 3 3 4 4 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 13 12 11 8 9 9 12 12 11 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.3 3.8 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 10 8 8 9 8 8 9 8 8 7  
SDSPL KT-FT/100064 45 7 3 3 4 3 3 4 3 3 3  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SMOKE.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN  
BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING  
NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2500-18500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR TO GOOD (22100-36900 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 66 69 71 76 79 79 80 82 83 83 84  
RH..............57 58 51 47 42 37 34 33 32 32 32 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NW N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 4 4 5 4 5 3 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 9 9 8 9 9 9 11 8 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.2 1.6 2.3 3.2 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.5 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 7 7 9 10 10 12 12 8 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 3 6 7 10 19 29 33 37 37 25 22  
 

 
FORECASTER...KETZEL  
REQUESTED BY...OWEN JOHNSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617316.1/DLH  
.DELDT 07/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL OWEN.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV  
 
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