484
FNUS73 KDLH 062256
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH BAY FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
556 PM CDT SAT JUN 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON JUNE 06.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY EVENING...
DISCUSSION
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT TO THE EAST THIS EVENING ALLOWING WINDS
TO TURN SOUTHEASTERLY AT 4 TO 8 MPH. MEANDER RAWS SHOWS THAT RH
VALUES HAVE STARTED TO RECOVER AND THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE
THROUGH THE NIGHT. TOMORROW, WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST
WITH ANOTHER WARM DAY ON TAP. WHILE TEMPERATURES DO WARM, DEW
POINTS WILL ALSO INCREASE A BIT TO HELP REGULATE THE RHS. NOT
EXPECTING TO HIT RED FLAG CRITERIA AT THIS TIME BUT OUR FIRE
WEATHER WATCH MAY NEED TO BE MOVED TO SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
FOR NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS. RAIN CHANCES RETURN
LATE SUNDAY AND PERSIST THROUGH MONDAY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........84 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST 3 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE
EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1800-14700 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............79 78 77 70 66 63 62 60 57 57 55 54
RH..............40 44 48 59 65 72 78 84 83 80 80 83
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E SE SE SE S S S SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 2 3 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 7 9 11 12 12 12 11 11 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 4.4 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE E SE SE S S S S S S SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 3 3 6 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 12
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 13 2 2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4500-24200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (60000-77700 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............56 64 74 79 82 82
RH..............80 63 48 38 37 35
20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 7 SE 9 SE 10 SE 10 SE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 15 15 16 16
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1200 2300 4000 4900 4600
TRANSPORT WIND..S 12 SE 15 S 16 S 17 S 18 S 20
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 15 33 60 78 77
SUNDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (57800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(5700-12400 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
TEMP............81 77 73 70 67 65 64 63 62 61 60 59
RH..............42 50 53 57 59 63 65 70 72 75 81 83
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 18 18 16 16 15 15 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 2.2 1.0 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 17 14 14 14 13 13 13 12 13 13 12
SDSPL KT-FT/100058 33 12 9 7 6 6 7 6 7 7 6
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS
IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6700-25000 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....CHC DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 80 80 80 80 80 80 70 70 70 70 70
TEMP............58 63 65 69 71 72 73 73 74 75 76 76
RH..............87 78 75 66 64 64 62 64 62 60 60 60
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 18 18 18 18 18 18 18 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.2 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 15 16 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 15 21 24 23 25 24 25 25 23 22 19
FORECASTER...BRYAN
REQUESTED BY...JEB BACKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614806.14/DLH
.DELDT 06/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,JEB.BACKE@USDA.GOV,BENJAMIN_EVANS@FIRENET.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page