147
FNUS73 KDLH 022342
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG LAKE INCIDENT...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
642 PM CDT THU JUL 2 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0000 CDT ON JULY 03.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
EXPECT FAIRLY LIGHT WINDS OVERNIGHT TONIGHT AND THROUGH MOST OF
THE DAY FRIDAY. SOME THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED BETWEEN DULUTH
AND THE IRON RANGE LATE THIS EVENING, AND ARE TRACKING TO THE ENE.
THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE THAT THESE STORMS COULD GET TO THE SITE
OVERNIGHT INTO EARLY FRIDAY MORNING, BUT IT IS MORE LIKELY THAT
THEY STAY JUST TO THE SOUTH. MOST PRECIPITATION CHANCES FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY STAY TO THE WEST AND SOUTH OF THE SITE. EXPECT ANOTHER
HOT DAY FRIDAY WITH HIGHS REACHING INTO THE MID 80S. AN EASTERLY
WIND STRENGTHENS OFF OF LAKE SUPERIOR SATURDAY, BRINGING SLIGHTLY
COOLER CONDITIONS.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 20 20
TEMP............64 62 60 59 58 58
RH..............75 81 87 90 93 93
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 2 2 2 2 2
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 6 TO 9
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1700-16500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR TO GOOD (24200-37100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............56 61 66 70 75 78 80 82 83 83 83 82
RH..............100 93 84 76 64 58 52 51 49 48 48 49
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE N N N N N N NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 0 1 1 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 1.2 1.7 2.4 3.3 4.1 4.5 4.6 4.1 3.8 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N NW NW NW W W W SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 6 6 6 7 8 9 8 8 8
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 3 5 8 12 17 25 31 37 28 27 24
FRIDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 600 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 6
TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2200-16800 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............80 78 73 67 63 62 60 59 58 56 56 54
RH..............51 54 64 75 84 84 87 87 83 86 86 90
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E NE NE E E
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 2 2 2 2 1 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 7 6 6 5 5 5 7 7 8 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 6 7 8
SDSPL KT-FT/100017 11 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 4 3
INDEPENDENCE DAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3000-14200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR TO GOOD (26200-44400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO GOOD (40100-55400
KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR
(29000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............57 59 63 68 71 73 74 75 75 75 74 74
RH..............83 83 78 65 59 55 51 50 48 48 48 48
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 12 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.4 2.3 3.1 3.5 3.9 4.3 4.0 3.7 3.3 2.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 12 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 14 13
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 5 14 26 38 44 50 55 51 46 40 29
FORECASTER...KETZEL
REQUESTED BY...MAGGIE MCINTYRE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2616664.0/DLH
.DELDT 07/02/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MAGGIE.MCINTYRE@USDA.GOV,KELLEY.HARKINS@USDA.GOV
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