693  
FNUS73 KDLH 042002  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR RILEY WMA...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
302 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MAY 05.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WEST-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS OF 7-10 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH  
CONTINUE THROUGHOUT TUESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON, STRONGEST IN  
THE 10 AM TO 4 PM TIMEFRAME. MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES TO START THE  
MORNING BECOME A MIX OF CLOUDS AND SUN TO MOSTLY CLOUDY DURING THE  
AFTERNOON AS DIURNAL CUMULUS CLOUD FIELDS DEVELOP WITH DAYTIME  
HEATING/MIXING. THE HIGH TEMPERATURE IS FORECAST TO REACH AROUND  
49F, WITH MINIMUM AFTERNOON RH DROPPING TO AROUND 30 PERCENT FOR  
THE AFTERNOON INTO VERY EARLY EVENING (1-6 PM). MIXING HEIGHT  
PEAKS AROUND 7100 FT IN THE MID-AFTERNOON, AND IS FORECAST TO BE  
GREATER THAN 6000 FT THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON HOURS. WINDS TURN  
NORTHWESTERLY IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT HOURS, BECOMING LIGHT  
OVERNIGHT. RH RECOVERS TO 70-75 PERCENT TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A LOW  
TEMPERATURE AROUND 27F.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7100 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 22 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (50800-69500 KNOT-FT)  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (116900-127500  
KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............34 37 40 42 44 45 47 48 48 49  
RH..............61 50 44 39 36 33 31 31 31 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 18 18 19 18 18 18 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.9 4.5 5.5 6.0 6.4 6.8 7.1 6.8 6.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 21 20 22 22 21 21 21 21 20  
SDSPL KT-FT/100051 70 77 104 115 116 122 128 122 117  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 27.  
MAX HUMIDITY........75 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 10  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (78400-113300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO  
POOR (3700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 46 43 40 37 35 33 31 29 28 28 27  
RH..............31 34 39 44 48 52 58 63 69 71 71 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 13 11 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.7 5.2 2.4 1.4 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 17 14 13 12 10 9 8 7 7 7 8  
SDSPL KT-FT/1000113 78 28 15 15 11 8 6 4 4 4 6  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (8800-27100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (70800-100500 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............28 29 33 36 40 42 44 45 46 46 47 47  
RH..............75 72 61 54 46 43 40 38 37 37 35 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.7 2.7 3.9 5.1 5.9 6.5 6.9 7.2 7.2 6.8 6.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 16 16 16 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/10009 15 27 43 61 71 85 90 101 100 96 80  
 
 
FORECASTER...CORY  
REQUESTED BY...J. LAWRENCE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2612655.0/DLH  
.DELDT 05/04/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOAN.LAWRENCE@USDA.GOV  
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