464  
FNUS73 KDLH 150021  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE ONE...SLCRS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
721 PM CDT THU MAY 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 CDT ON MAY 14.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT FRIDAY  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS ARE FORECAST THIS EVENING. WINDS APPEAR TO  
DIMINISH DURING THE SHOWERS TO AROUND 10 MPH. LOW-LEVEL WIND SHEAR  
AT 1600 FT AGL OF 200@45KT IS FORECAST FROM 7 PM UNTIL AROUND 4  
AM. WINDS ALOFT WILL STRENGTHEN BY 11 PM WITH 2000 FT AGL WINDS  
FROM 210@50KT. THE CORE OF THE LOW-LEVEL JET WILL BE AROUND 3200  
FT AGL WHERE WINDS FROM 220@60KT ARE FORECAST. THE WINDS ALOFT  
WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN BETWEEN 2 AM AND 4 AM. EXPECT CEILINGS  
HIGHER THAN 5000 FT AGL. A FEW SPORADIC INTRA-CLOUD AND CLOUD-TO-  
GROUND LIGHTNING STRIKES CANNOT BE RULED OUT BETWEEN 8 PM AND  
MIDNIGHT. RAIN AMOUNT OF LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH IS FORECAST.  
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE FROM THE SOUTH AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO 30 MPH. WINDS WILL TURN SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AFTER 9 PM WITH WIND  
SPEEDS AND GUSTS WEAKENING TO AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.  
LOW TEMPERATURE TONIGHT WILL BE AROUND 50 DEGREES.  
 
FRIDAY WILL BE DRY AND WINDY. WEST WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MPH WITH  
GUSTS OF 25 TO 35 MPH ARE FORECAST DURING THE MORNING WITH GUSTS  
INCREASING TO 30 TO 40 MPH DURING THE LATE MORNING THROUGH  
AFTERNOON. HIGH TEMPERATURE WILL BE AROUND 75 DEGREES.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...9 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).SOUTH WINDS 11 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
31 MPH.  
CEILING (KFT).......8.3 DECREASING TO 6.4 IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT, THEN INCREASING TO 9.6 OVERNIGHT  
INCREASING TO 15 AFTER 3 AM INCREASING TO 19.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 40 30 30 30 20 10 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 55 54 53 54 54 54 53 52 53  
RH..............49 59 69 74 77 83 80 80 80 77  
SURFACE WND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S  
SURFACE WND SPD.14 13 13 14 14 14 13 12 12 11  
SURFACE WND GST.31 29 25 25 26 28 28 28 28 26  
CEILING (KFT)...8.3 6.6 6.4 6.6 7.1 6.8 9.6 10 15 19  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.  
SURFACE WINDS (MPH).WEST WINDS 11 TO 21 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 29 MPH  
INCREASING TO 37 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CEILING (KFT).......23.  
VISIBILITY (SM).....10.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 60 66 70 73 75  
RH..............77 60 40 30 24 21  
SURFACE WIND....SW 11 SW 11 SW 13 W 19 W 21 W 20  
SURFACE WND GST.25 24 25 36 37 35  
CEILING (KFT)...24 25 25 25 25 25  
VISIBILITY (SM).10 10 10 10 10 10  
 
 
FORECASTER...KEVIN  
REQUESTED BY...JUSTIN LEBLANC  
TYPE OF REQUEST...SAR  
.TAG 2613685.0/DLH  
.DELDT 05/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL NWSDULUTH-SLCRS@NOAA.GOV  
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