382
FNUS73 KDLH 111018
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR MUELLER FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
518 AM CDT TUE AUG 11 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON AUGUST 11.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
ISOLATED SHOWERS APPEARING ON RADAR EARLY THIS MORNING ARE MOSTLY
NOT REACHING THE SURFACE DUE TO A LAYER OF DRY AIR IN THE LOW
LEVELS. TODAY IS EXPECTED TO SEE HAZY SKIES AS ELEVATED WILDFIRE
SMOKE MOVES OVER THE AREA, WITH MIN RH THIS AFTERNOON DROPPING TO
43%. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE TODAY INTO
TOMORROW WITH SEASONABLE HIGH TEMPS IN THE UPPER 70S. AS HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDS LATE THIS WEEK, MODERATELY DRY MIN RH AS LOW AS
35% MOVES IN FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVES FRIDAY
NIGHT INTO SATURDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1200-15600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD (46000-56900 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 61 64 69 72 74 75 76 76 77 78
RH..............93 87 78 63 57 51 50 46 46 45 43
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W NW W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 3 4 4 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 7 9 11 11 12 12 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.9 2.6 3.7 4.5 5.1 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W NW NW NW NW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 5 5 7 8 10 10 12 10 9 10
SDSPL KT-FT/10001 2 4 16 26 41 46 57 52 46 52
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
5 TO 6 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH OVERNIGHT SHIFTING TO
THE WEST AROUND 6 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (39600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(1800-9700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR PC PC MCR MCR
WEATHER COV..... CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 10 10 10 10
TEMP............76 75 72 66 64 63 61 60 59 57 57 57
RH..............46 48 55 68 70 72 78 81 83 90 90 90
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW W W W SW SW S S
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 5 3 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.9 1.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW W NW NW NE NE SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 6 5 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/100040 10 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE MORNING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5400 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4100 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
6 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO
THE NORTH AROUND 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1900-11800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO FAIR TO
GOOD (29100-42000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING,
THEN INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT
(54200-68800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (59200-91000
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
GOOD (48700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 57 61 64 69 71 72 74 74 74 74 75
RH..............96 96 90 78 66 61 59 55 55 55 55 52
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 7 9 11 12 12 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.6 4.7 5.4 6.3 7.0 6.6 5.9 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.W N W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 9 10 12 13 15 14 12 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 2 5 12 29 42 54 69 91 79 59 49
FORECASTER...LINDA
REQUESTED BY...OWEN JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619232.2/DLH
.DELDT 08/11/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.CROOK@USDA.GOV,OWEN.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV
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