294  
FNUS73 KDLH 131139  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SIOUX FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
639 AM CDT MON JUL 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON JULY 13.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
 
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM  
CDT THIS EVENING...  
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH  
TUESDAY EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A MOSTLY SUNNY, HOT, DRY, AND WINDY DAY IS EXPECTED TODAY.  
TEMPERATURES NEAR THE FIRE ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE HIGH 90S  
TO NEAR 100F THIS AFTERNOON, AND IT ISN'T OUT OF THE QUESTION FOR  
TEMPERATURES TO EXCEED 100F IN THIS AREA. SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL  
PICK UP THROUGH THIS MORNING, REACHING A PEAK THROUGH THE  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SUSTAINED WINDS OF 10-15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF  
25-30 MPH ARE FORECAST. THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME GUSTS UP  
TO 35 MPH LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING.  
ADDITIONALLY, IT MAY TAKE UNTIL MIDNIGHT TO SEE WINDS REALLY  
START TO CALM DOWN THIS EVENING. ONCE THOSE WINDS PICK UP, MIXING  
IS EXPECTED TO BE VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY.  
HUMIDITY WILL FALL INTO THE 20-25% RANGE THIS AFTERNOON, WITH  
OVERNIGHT RH STRUGGLING TO GET BACK ABOVE 70%.  
 
TUESDAY, A MOSTLY DRY COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PUSH DOWN FROM  
NORTH TO SOUTH THROUGH THE DAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO A WIND SWITCH  
THROUGH THE DAY, AS WINDS TURN FROM SOUTHWEST TO NORTHWEST BY  
TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WHILE WINDS ARE GENERALLY EXPECTED TO BE  
LIGHTER TOMORROW AS COMPARED TO TODAY, SOME GUSTS OF 15-20 MPH ARE  
NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION ALONG THE FRONT. THERE IS A VERY LOW  
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO FORM ALONG THIS COLD FRONT  
TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. IF THEY DO FORM, THERE WOULD BE A  
THREAT FOR DRY LIGHTNING AS VERY LITTLE RAINFALL WOULD BE  
POSSIBLE. ANOTHER FAIRLY DRY DAY EXPECTED TUESDAY WITH AFTERNOON  
RH AGAIN IN THE 20-25% RANGE AND HIGH TEMPERATURES REACHING INTO  
THE 90S.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 100.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 23 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 24 TO 26 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6900-19100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (106600-119700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 79 89 96 99 98  
RH..............77 63 43 31 26 25  
20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 8 SW 9 SW 10 SW 11 SW 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 20 21 22 22 22  
MIX HGT (FT)....600 1800 2800 4300 5000 5100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 13 W 18 W 20 W 24 W 26 SW 26  
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 28 47 90 115 118  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 12 TO 15  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (90200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(5600-10900 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............97 89 81 79 78 75  
RH..............27 37 52 60 63 69  
20 FT WIND......SW 10 SW 9 SW 7 SW 7 SW 7 W 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 22 19 19 19 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....4300 800 600 600 600 600  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 SW 16 SW 15 SW 15 SW 15 W 13  
SDSPL KT-FT/100090 11 8 8 7 6  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 8 TO  
14 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4300-22000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54700-67300 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............74 85 91  
RH..............70 43 29  
20 FT WIND......W 4G13 NW 4G9 NW 6G13  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 2700 5500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 N 9 N 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 22 55  
 
 
FORECASTER...KETZEL  
REQUESTED BY...AMANDA KILLEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617131.4/DLH  
.DELDT 07/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MNMNCC_OPERATIONS@FIRENET.GOV  
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