033
FNUS73 KDLH 251057
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE KNIFE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
557 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE LIKELY TODAY, BEGINNING THIS
MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH THE EVENING. LIGHT TO MODERATE
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN THIS MORNING AROUND 0645 TO 0715, WITH
THUNDERSTORMS NOT ARRIVING UNTIL AROUND 0800 TO 0830 THIS MORNING.
THESE MORNING THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO BE SEVERE,
ALTHOUGH LIGHTNING STRIKES, SMALL HAIL, AND GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND
GUSTS ARE ALL CONCERNS.
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT IS VERY LIKELY (60-75% CHANCE)
LATER THIS AFTERNOON ALONG A COLD FRONT, WITH TIMING BEING BETWEEN
1700 AND 2200. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE WITH
DAMAGING WINDS UP TO 70 MPH, HAIL TO PING PONG BALL SIZE, AND
FREQUENT LIGHTNING BEING PRIMARY HAZARDS. A TORNADO CANNOT BE
RULED OUT AS WELL, ALTHOUGH TORNADOES WILL BE MORE LIKELY FARTHER
SOUTH IN THE ARROWHEAD.
SOUTH WINDS TODAY WILL BE SHIFTING TO THE WEST TONIGHT FOLLOWING
THE COLD FRONT. WINDS BECOME NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY, WITH
AFTERNOON GUSTS TO 20 MPH. EXPECT CLOUDS TO DECREASE SLIGHTLY ON
WEDNESDAY, WITH A CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1300.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4300-20700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR (19200-29600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 50 50 50 50 60 50 30 40 50
TEMP............59 59 63 64 67 68 70 71 72 73 71
RH..............77 80 78 84 81 81 78 79 76 76 79
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.3 1.9 2.0 2.2 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12 12 13 15 16 15 15 15 14 12
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 6 9 15 21 27 30 25 26 27 19
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 5 TO 6 MPH
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 10
TO 12 MPH AFTER 3 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3200-10700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 60 50 40 40 20 10 10 10 10 20
TEMP............70 68 64 63 62 61 60 60 60 60 59 58
RH..............81 87 97 97 97 100 100 100 100 96 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 11 9 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S SW S SW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 10 10 12
SDSPL KT-FT/100011 5 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 6
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 20
TO 21 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5200-25000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (78000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 30 30 30 30 40 40 40 40 40 30
TEMP............58 57 60 61 63 64 66 68 70 71 71 72
RH..............96 100 93 97 97 93 87 84 78 73 73 71
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 14 14 14 15 17 19 20 19 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.9 2.4 2.8 3.3 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 14 13 15 16 17 20 20 20 21 20
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 9 18 16 25 33 42 56 66 70 78 81
FORECASTER...WOODY
REQUESTED BY...OWEN JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620248.2/DLH
.DELDT 08/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL OWEN.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV
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