317  
FNUS73 KDLH 190949  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SE CORE...WI DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
449 AM CDT WED AUG 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CDT ON AUGUST 19.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP SKIES MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH TODAY WITH  
NORTHWEST WINDS INCREASING TO 5 TO 8 MPH THIS AFTERNOON WITH PEAK  
GUSTS TO AROUND 13 MPH. DUE TO THE FULL EXPOSURE AND SANDY SOILS  
OF PINE BARRENS, MIN RH IS EXPECTED TO LOWER TO THE MID 20% RANGE  
THIS AFTERNOON BY 1600. WHILE THE FORECAST SHOWS A MIN RH OF 26%  
THIS AFTERNOON, THERE IS A 3 IN 10 CHANCE THAT CRITICALLY DRY MIN  
RH OF 25% OR LESS OCCURS IN THE BURN UNIT TODAY.  
 
EXPECT CLOUD COVER TO INCREASE TONIGHT WITH MODERATELY FAVORABLE  
RH RECOVERY TO 86%. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVE TOMORROW  
ALONG A WARM FRONT, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR AN ISOLATED STRONG TO  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. PRIMARY HAZARDS  
INCLUDE LARGE HAIL TO 1" IN DIAMETER AS WELL AS GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS. WETTING RAINS ARE LIKELY, WITH TOTAL RAINFALL BY FRIDAY  
MORNING BEING AROUND 0.3".  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(79700-99700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR PC MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 47 53 58 66 69 71 73 74 75 75 76  
RH..............89 86 74 64 50 44 38 33 31 29 26 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3 4 5 5 7 8 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 7 9 12 13 13 13 12 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 4.6 6.6 7.4 7.9 8.3 7.9 8.5 8.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 12 14 15 14 14 13 13 13  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 2 2 7 46 80 96 95 100 87 94 88  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5  
TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (61500 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(1300 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 69 60 56 54 53  
RH..............31 39 53 66 74 77  
20 FT WIND......NW 3 NW 2 N 2 SE 2 S 3 S 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 5 5 5 6 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....6200 400 500 500 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 12 NW 3 NW 3 S 5 S 6 S 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/100062 1 1 2 2 4  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4100 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 3200 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3000-14100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR TO GOOD (24200-34700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO GOOD (44700  
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
FAIR (14400-29000 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 40 50 40 40  
TEMP............51 57 66 70 72 71  
RH..............86 77 68 63 64 71  
20 FT WIND......S 3 S 4 W 5 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 11 13 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 500 1600 3200 4100 3200  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 SW 8 SW 10 SW 13 SW 13 SW 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 4 14 35 45 29  
 

 
FORECASTER...WOODY  
REQUESTED BY...KARA OIKARINEN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2619959.0/DLH  
.DELDT 08/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MARK.GUENTHER@WISCONSIN.GOV,KARA.OIKARINEN@WISCONSIN.GOV  
 
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