743
FNUS73 KDLH 241114
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE KNIFE FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
614 AM CDT MON AUG 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
CLOUD COVER WILL BE INCREASING TODAY AS LOW PRESSURE APPROACHES,
WHICH WILL BE BRINGING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS TO THE AREA THIS
EVENING INTO WEDNESDAY. A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS, POTENTIALLY AN
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM, ARRIVE LATE TONIGHT AROUND 0300. ADDITIONAL
ROUNDS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE ON AND OFF
THROUGH THE DAY TUESDAY. A FEW STORMS MAY BECOME STRONG TO SEVERE
ON TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING, MOST LIKELY IN THE 1500 TO 2100
TIME FRAME. POTENTIAL SEVERE HAZARDS INCLUDE GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS TO 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL TO 1" IN DIAMETER. A TORNADO ALSO
CANNOT BE RULED OUT.
TOTAL PRECIPITATION IS FORECAST TO BE 0.4" OVER LITTLE KNIFE
TONIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY. IF ONE OF THE SEVERE STORMS MOVES
DIRECTLY OVER THE FIRE AREA, HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 2+" WILL
CERTAINLY BE POSSIBLE. EXPECT SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY AND TOMORROW
TO SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY AFTER A COLD FRONT SWEEPS
THROUGH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 3
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
NORTH LATE IN THE MORNING SHIFTING TO THE WEST
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1100-20300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR (21600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....ARS
WEATHER TYPE....FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10
TEMP............47 52 56 62 65 69 71 72 73 74 72
RH..............100 100 90 70 58 47 41 38 35 34 39
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N W SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 1
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.9 2.3 3.4 3.6 3.9 4.2 4.2 4.1 3.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S W N N NW W SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5 6 7
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 1 3 7 10 11 12 13 17 20 22
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
AFTER 3 AM.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2200-13300 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 50
TEMP............72 68 64 60 59 57 57 57 57 56 56 55
RH..............44 57 67 78 78 80 77 77 75 77 77 80
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.7 0.8 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 8 8 8 9 10 12 12 10
SDSPL KT-FT/100013 4 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 4
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING
AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20 INCHES.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3600-15800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR TO GOOD (23600-41200 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH CHC LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 50 40 30 40 30 30 20 20 50 70
TEMP............54 56 59 61 65 67 70 72 74 74 75 73
RH..............86 86 83 84 78 78 76 73 71 71 71 73
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 11 12 13 14 14 14 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 0.7 1.3 1.7 2.0 2.6 2.9 2.9 2.6 2.9 2.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 14 16 16 16 16 15 14 13 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 4 7 16 24 27 37 41 37 31 32 28
FORECASTER...WOODY
REQUESTED BY...OWEN JOHNSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620248.1/DLH
.DELDT 08/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL OWEN.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV
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