285  
FNUS73 KDLH 161246  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CUBA HILL IMPOUNDMENT RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
746 AM CDT THU APR 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON APRIL 16.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
EXPECT A MORNING INVERSION TO RETAIN HIGHER HUMIDITY FOR A COUPLE  
HOURS THIS MORNING, BUT THE INVERSION IS EXPECTED TO MIX OUT  
AROUND 10 AM WITH HUMIDITY EXPECTED TO FALL FAIRLY QUICKLY AND  
WIND SPEEDS INCREASING MID-DAY INTO THE AFTERNOON. SMOKE DISPERSAL  
CONDITIONS WILL IMPROVE DRAMATICALLY BY MID-DAY. EXPECT HIGH-END  
NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS TO DEVELOP IN THE EARLY  
AFTERNOON AND PERSIST THROUGH EARLY EVENING WITH RH FALLING TO  
AROUND 25 PERCENT AND WIND GUSTS APPROACHING 25 MPH. EXPECT A COLD  
FRONT WITH A LITTLE RAIN TO PASS THROUGH TONIGHT WITH A FAIRLY  
ABRUPT WIND SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY FOLLOWING THAT INTO FRIDAY. A  
RUMBLE OR TWO OF THUNDER CAN'T BE RULED OUT TONIGHT. MORE SHOWERS  
ARE POSSIBLE FRIDAY, POSSIBLY MIXED WITH SLEET/SNOW.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 23 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 29 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400-12900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD  
(45900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (89800-115500 KNOT-FT)  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT  
(132100 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (81000 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC MCR PC MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 50 55 60 66 69 72 73 73 73  
RH..............86 69 57 46 36 30 27 26 25 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 7 9 10 11 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 7 9 14 15 19 21 22 23 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.2 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.9 4.5 5.3 5.0 5.3 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 12 18 23 25 26 29 25  
SDSPL KT-FT/10001 2 4 13 46 90 116 115 132 81  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN LATE  
IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23  
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 16 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO  
THE NORTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (61300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(3100-12900 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 20 30 30 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............73 71 67 64 61 58 55 52 51 47 44 43  
RH..............26 29 33 40 46 51 57 66 66 76 81 81  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SE SE E N NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 10 9 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.23 22 20 16 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 1.3 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.9 0.9 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S W W N N NW N NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 21 16 15 15 12 12 8 9 13 14 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/100061 24 9 6 6 5 5 3 4 10 11 13  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SNOW IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN THROUGH THE  
DAY. CHANCE OF SNOW AND LIGHT SLEET IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 26  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (16500-31700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING  
TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (56600-65500 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............40 41 39 38 41 40 43 39 40 38 36 34  
RH..............89 82 85 88 77 73 60 64 60 61 63 66  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 15 16 18 19 20 21 22 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.6 2.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 15 16 18 20 22 23 24 24 25 26  
SDSPL KT-FT/100021 17 17 21 28 32 37 40 45 49 57 66  
 

 
FORECASTER...JOSH  
REQUESTED BY...JOE KAUFMANN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2610460.0/DLH  
.DELDT 04/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSEPH.KAUFMANN@USDA.GOV  
 
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