119
FNUS73 KDLH 181248
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST TORCH PILES...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
648 AM CST THU DEC 18 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON DECEMBER 18.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
CLOUDY SKIES WITH DRIZZLE AND LIGHT RAIN THIS MORNING. COLD FRONT
ARRIVES EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND WILL TURN WINDS WESTERLY AND
THEN NORTHWESTERLY. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO CHANGE TO SNOW AS
TEMPERATURES COOL BEHIND THE COLD FRONT. WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS
WILL INCREASE RAPIDLY BEHIND THE FRONT. SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL BE
FAIR TODAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). DRIZZLE LIKELY LATE IN
THE MORNING. SNOW LIKELY THROUGH THE DAY.
CHANCE OF LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF DRIZZLE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
MIN HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST AROUND 12 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS
UP TO 31 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13000-28100 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....DZL SN SN SN SN FZD SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 60 50 40 40 50 60 60 70
TEMP............35 34 34 34 33 31 29 27 23
RH..............100 100 100 96 96 96 92 88 96
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW W W W NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 10 10 10 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.22 20 20 20 22 25 28 28 27
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.8 1.7 1.7 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 18 17 17 18 18 16 15
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 15 24 21 23 28 27 24 13
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY IN THE
EVENING, THEN CHANCE OF FLURRIES OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND ZERO.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 29 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1700 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 21 TO 29 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 18 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41500-57600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD
TO EXCELLENT (44600-71500 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO FAIR TO GOOD
(18500-35200 KNOT-FT) OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....SNOW SNOW SNOW SNOW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 70 30 20
TEMP............20 10 4 2
RH..............92 87 83 83
20 FT WIND......NW 11G26 NW 13G28 NW 13G27 NW 11G23
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 2900 900 1600
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 23 N 29 N 24 NW 22
SDSPL KT-FT/100042 72 19 31
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SNOW LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 17.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
19 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 17 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 7 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH
5 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO
AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3700-22500 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CST) 6 AM 9 AM NOON 3 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV..... S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE SNOW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20
TEMP............0 1 9 13
RH..............83 87 69 67
20 FT WIND......NW 8G19 NW 5G13 W 4G8 S 6G13
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 1400 1300 1300
TRANSPORT WIND..N 17 N 12 S 5 S 10
SDSPL KT-FT/100023 14 5 11
FORECASTER...KEVIN
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL SCHARENBROCK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527870.1/DLH
.DELDT 12/18/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSEPH.F.EUCOLONO@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.SCHARENBROCK@USDA.GOV
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