038  
FNUS73 KDLH 190033  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STEWART TRAIL FIRE...MNICS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
733 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 19.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
BASED ON FEEDBACK FROM YOUR EMAIL, THIS FORECAST STARTS TUESDAY  
MORNING AND INCLUDES WEDNESDAY.  
 
NORTHERLY WINDS ACCELERATE OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES COOL. AFTER  
A NIGHT WHERE RAINFALL AMOUNTS COULD BE UP TO 1/2 OF AN INCH OR  
MORE. THE RAIN PULLS EAST NEAR SUNRISE TUESDAY WITH SOME SHOWER  
ACTIVITY TUESDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS SLOWLY TURN TO THE NORTHWEST  
TUESDAY MORNING. RELATIVE HUMIDITIES REMAIN ABOVE 40 PERCENT  
TUESDAY. COULD SEE SOME TEMPERATURES BELOW FREEZING TUESDAY NIGHT  
INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS WEDNESDAY WITH  
SUNNY SKIES AS RH'S FALL INTO THE 30S.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 21  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6400-24100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR TO GOOD (28800-37300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 10 10 0 0 10 0 0 10 10  
TEMP............41 44 46 48 48 48 48 49 48 48 48  
RH..............100 89 79 74 71 68 68 63 60 60 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW W W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 5 6 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 13 15 16 18 18 18 18 19 19 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 1.0 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.4 1.4 1.8 1.7 1.6 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 14 14 16 18 20 20 21 21 21  
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 10 16 17 22 23 24 31 31 29 37  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL AFTER 3  
AM.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 7 TO 9 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (23100-39800 KNOT-FT) DECREASING  
TO POOR (3100-9500 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV..... ARS ARS ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 46 46 43 41 40 39 38 37 36 35 35  
RH..............58 58 58 65 70 73 76 79 82 82 85 85  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 7 6 5 4 4 4 3 3 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 16 14 13 12 12 11 11 9 8 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.4 1.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 18 15 12 9 9 9 7 9 9 8 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/100040 38 23 10 6 7 6 4 5 4 3 4  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO  
1700 FT AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 8  
TO 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING AROUND  
8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4400-16900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
POOR TO FAIR (11900-29800 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 36 40 43 47 49 51 52 53 54 54 55  
RH..............82 82 70 62 53 50 46 44 43 40 40 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N N W S S S SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.3 1.9 2.8 3.6 3.7 3.4 3.0 2.8 2.6 2.2 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW W SW S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 8 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 9 9 8  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 9 17 25 29 30 24 21 20 21 18 12  
 

 
FORECASTER...JONATHAN  
REQUESTED BY...CASSANDRA DEMILLO  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613845.6/DLH  
.DELDT 05/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.BERGQUIST@STATE.MN.US,CASSANDRA.DEMILLO@STATE.MN.US  
 
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