576  
FNUS73 KDLH 182247  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FLANDERS FIRE...MNICS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
547 PM CDT MON MAY 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON MAY 18.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL SPREAD NORTH INTO THE FIRE AREA BETWEEN 6  
AND 7 PM. PRECIPITATION WILL COME IN WAVES AND BECOME MORE STEADY  
LATER THIS EVENING. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE 8 PM.  
THUNDERSTORM CHANCES INCREASE SLIGHTLY BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT.  
WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTH AT 5 TO 12 MPH WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS  
TO 20 MPH. WITH THE RAINFALL HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO AROUND 96  
PERCENT OVERNIGHT. MOST LIKELY RAIN AMOUNT IS BETWEEN A TENTH AND  
HALF AN INCH. RAIN CHANCES TAPER OFF TUESDAY MORNING AND SKIES  
REMAIN CLOUDY. WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON  
AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO AROUND  
53 PERCENT AND HIGH TEMPERATURE WILL BE AROUND 50 DEGREES.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (8200-20500 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.24 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 30 40 60 80 80 80 70 50 40 30 20  
TEMP............56 54 52 50 49 48 47 47 46 46 45 45  
RH..............71 79 82 86 88 92 96 95 95 94 93 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 16 16 18 19 19 20 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 1.8 1.6 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 13 10 13 13 14 16 15 15 15 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/100020 21 19 12 12 12 15 18 17 16 18 19  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.  
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (21200-33800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING  
TO EXCELLENT (62100-86000 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............44 45 45 46 48 49  
RH..............93 80 75 68 60 57  
20 FT WIND......NW 9 NW 10 NW 11 NW 11 NW 12 NW 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 2000 2500 3100 3700 4200  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 16 NW 20 NW 21 NW 22 NW 23 NW 23  
SDSPL KT-FT/100022 34 45 59 76 85  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST  
AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2100 FT AGL IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO 6 TO 12  
MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (42000-83200 KNOT-FT)  
DECREASING TO POOR (2100 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV..... ARS ARS  
WEATHER TYPE.... FST FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 49 49 46 44 43 42 41 40 38 37 36  
RH..............55 54 54 60 64 69 73 77 80 85 89 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 10 9 7 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 19 16 14 12 9 8 6 5 5 5 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 3.9 4.1 3.2 2.1 1.5 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 20 16 15 12 10 9 8 7 6 6 7  
SDSPL KT-FT/100083 67 57 45 27 16 10 6 4 3 2 3  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN  
THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 8 TO  
12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2500-22200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD (51400-58800 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....ARS  
WEATHER TYPE....FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 38 41 45 50 53 55 56 58 60 61 62  
RH..............96 86 76 62 49 42 39 37 34 32 31 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N N N W W SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 2.0 3.2 4.0 4.8 5.5 6.0 6.4 6.6 6.5 5.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W NW NW NW W SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 6 8 8 7 7 7 8 9 9 10 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 3 14 22 24 29 33 42 52 53 59 59  
 
 
FORECASTER...KEVIN  
REQUESTED BY...BENJAMIN EVANS  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613933.0/DLH  
.DELDT 05/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRAVIS.VERDEGAN@STATE.MN.US,BGEVANS@DULUTHMN.GOV,CRAIG.SCHULTZ@STATE.MN.US,JEREMY_FAUSKEE@FIRENET.GOV,TAYLOR.SCHENK@STATE.MN.US,JENNIFER.OLSON@STATE.MN.US,CLAYTON.BARG@CROWWING.GOV  
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