971  
FNUS73 KDLH 211907  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHACK RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
207 PM CDT MON SEP 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 22.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
EASTERLY TRANSPORT AND 20-FOOT WINDS PREVAIL THIS FORECAST PERIOD  
AT THE FIRE SITE. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY DROPS TO AROUND 50%  
EACH DAY AND RECOVERS TO 100% EACH NIGHT WITH EARLY MORNING FROST  
LIKELY. EXPECT SEASONABLY COOL TEMPERATURES EACH DAY AND NO RAIN  
OR SNOW SHOWER CHANCES.  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3900-22500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR TO GOOD (25200-33200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
MORNING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FST  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............36 40 44 49 51 54 55 55 56 55 54  
RH..............100 100 93 77 66 57 55 53 51 53 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 12 14 15 15 15 15 15 15 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.2 1.9 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E SE SE E E SE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 12 14 15 15 15 15 15 16 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 5 12 23 30 32 32 32 32 33 25  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3100-17500 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 47 45 44 44 44 44 44 44 43 42 42  
RH..............61 79 86 89 93 96 93 96 96 96 100 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 4 4 4 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 15 15 15 15 14 14 12 11 9 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 12 12 12 13 13 13 12 9 10 12 8  
SDSPL KT-FT/100018 7 5 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 3  
   
WEDNESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3000-14900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR TO GOOD (19200-35700 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC PC MC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 40 43 47 50 53 55 56 56 56 56 54  
RH..............96 100 100 89 77 69 61 59 59 57 57 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 4 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 12 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 0.7 1.4 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 1.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 10 10 13 15 16 17 17 17 16 15 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 4 6 15 28 31 34 36 34 31 27 19  
 
 
FORECASTER...NATHAN  
REQUESTED BY...SAMUEL WESTLIN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622155.0/DLH  
.DELDT 09/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL SAMUEL.WESTLIN@USDA.GOV  
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