028
FNUS73 KDLH 252354
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR MARGIE FIRE...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
654 PM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 CDT ON AUGUST 25.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS, A 30% CHANCE FOR SOME QUICK-HITTING
SHOWERS AND ABOUT 20% CHANCE THAT THERE COULD BE EMBEDDED
LIGHTNING. THE LIGHTNING THREAT SHOULD DROP OFF PRETTY QUICKLY IN
THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE LOOKING TO BE
VERY LIGHT, IF ANY RAIN FALLS AT ALL. LOOK FOR WEST TO NORTHWEST
WINDS TONIGHT TO KEEP GUSTING TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH MAYBE A 20%
CHANCE FOR SOME QUICK 20 MPH GUSTS. PLENTY OF LOW CLOUDS ARE
EXPECTED TO PERSIST INTO TONIGHT, SO RH SHOULD BE HOVERING AROUND
100% TONIGHT. WHILE THUNDER CHANCES DROP OFF PRETTY QUICKLY THIS
EVENING, ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT AND
INTO WEDNESDAY THROUGH THE MORNING. DRIER AIR QUICKLY MOVES IN
MIDDAY WEDNESDAY, AND IT LOOKS LIKE A WELL-MIXED LOWER ATMOSPHERE
IN THE MORNING THAT COULD BRING SOME WIND GUSTS JUST OVER 20 MPH.
I WOULDN'T BE SURPRISED IF RH COULD FALL TO NEAR 45 PERCENT, BUT
BETWEEN 45 AND 50 PERCENT IS THE BEST ANALYSIS FOR NOW.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY
IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4500-23000 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 20 20 20 30 30 20 30 30
TEMP............70 64 60 58 57 57 57 57 57 57 57
RH..............78 88 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.18 15 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 13 12 12 12 12 13 14 13 14 15
SDSPL KT-FT/100023 7 5 5 5 5 6 7 6 6 17
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (11500-30200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
TO EXCELLENT (71600-92800 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 20 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............57 58 60 61 64 68 71 72 75 76 76 75
RH..............100 100 100 100 100 84 71 66 57 51 48 51
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 16 18 19 19 19 19 19 19 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.5 3.2 4.0 4.7 5.2 5.5 5.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 14 15 17 18 18 21 21 20 20 18
SDSPL KT-FT/100015 12 15 20 30 39 51 72 85 88 93 90
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (76700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
(3000 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............75 73 67 61 59 58 57 55 54 52 51 51
RH..............54 57 70 84 90 93 93 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..8 7 6 5 4 3 3 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 13 11 8 7 8 8 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 2.2 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NW NW N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 14 9 9 10 10 10 9 9 9 8 8
SDSPL KT-FT/100077 26 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 3
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3000-18300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (55200-73800 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC PC MC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 50 54 59 64 67 69 71 72 73 73 73
RH..............100 100 100 96 75 63 57 51 46 44 44 43
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N NW NW NW N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 7 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 9 11 12 12 13 14 14 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.1 2.0 3.1 4.1 5.0 5.6 6.1 6.2 5.9 5.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 14 14 14 13
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 3 9 18 32 46 55 62 73 74 70 56
FORECASTER...JOSH
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS VERDEGAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620542.0/DLH
.DELDT 08/25/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TRAVIS.VERDEGAN@STATE.MN.US
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page