354
FNUS73 KDLH 131412
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR LISA UNIT 2...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
912 AM CDT WED MAY 13 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON MAY 14.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY WITH STRONG
SOUTHERLY WINDS SUSTAINED AT 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 27 MPH.
EXPECT A HIGH TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 60S WITH AFTERNOON MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 31 PERCENT. THERE IS A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1700, INCREASING TO A 40-60 PERCENT CHANCE AFTER
1900 THURSDAY EVENING. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE, 10-20 PERCENT, FOR A
THUNDERSTORM.
ON FRIDAY, DRY, WARM AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED. HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE LOW TO MID 70S, WITH WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS
GUSTING TO 28 MPH WITH AN AFTERNOON MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY NEAR 25
PERCENT. A FIRE WEATHER WATCH MAY BE NEEDED FOR FRIDAY FOR CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 23 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 36 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO
AROUND 26 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (46100-61800 KNOT-FT)
INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (126000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 20
TEMP............56 60 62 63 64 65 66 64
RH..............45 39 35 34 33 31 32 35
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..10 11 12 12 13 15 15 13
20 FT WIND GUST.21 22 22 24 25 27 27 26
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.3 2.9 3.5 3.7 4.1 4.3 4.1 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 24 26 28 29 29 36 26
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 46 62 80 89 103 106 126 100
THURSDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
26 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 22 TO 28 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (30800-39600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
TO FAIR (8500-21900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY CHANCE S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 60 50 20 10 0
TEMP............63 55 53 52 51 50
RH..............38 59 71 80 86 86
20 FT WIND......S 12 S 11 S 11 S 12 S 11 S 10
20 FT WIND GUST.26 23 23 22 21 20
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 400 700 700 700 700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 26 S 22 S 26 S 28 S 25 S 22
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 31 9 16 17 16 13
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 32 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 33
TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (32500-44300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (145400-184600 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0
TEMP............51 64 71
RH..............86 43 28
20 FT WIND......S 9G19 SW 10G22 SW 13G28
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 4500 5300
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 SW 28 SW 32
SDSPL KT-FT/1000 33 107 151
FORECASTER...PATRICK
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS DURKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613543.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/13/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL TRAVIS.DURKIN@USDA.GOV,JEB.BACKE@USDA.GOV
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