119  
FNUS73 KDLH 221235  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FIREBIRD LEK RX...MN DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
735 AM CDT FRI MAY 22 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MAY 22.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A LITTLE LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY THIS MORNING, BUT THEN A BREAK  
BEFORE THE MAIN BAND OF RAIN LIGHTLY BRUSHES THIS AREA TONIGHT.  
RAINFALL TONIGHT SHOULD BE AROUND 0.25". TODAY RH'S WILL DROP  
INTO THE LOWER 40S WITH WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH FROM THE EAST.  
EXPECTING THE BURN AREA TO STAY WITHIN THE EFFECTS OF LAKE  
SUPERIOR'S LAKE BREEZE KEEPING RH HIGHER THAN SURROUNDING AREAS  
FURTHER AWAY FROM THE LAKE.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4300 FT AGL LATE IN  
THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 1300 FT AGL  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 23 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (14400-32000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING  
TO EXCELLENT (70300-85500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON DECREASING TO GOOD (45200 KNOT-FT) LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR (19900 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 30 30 30  
TEMP............46 50 54 56 58 59 59 58 59 56  
RH..............64 58 52 49 45 45 45 45 43 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 8 9 11 11 11 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 16 18 19 19 19 18 18 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.6 2.1 3.2 4.0 4.2 4.3 3.5 2.5 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 17 20 22 23 23 23 21 17  
SDSPL KT-FT/100014 23 32 54 75 85 86 70 45 20  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......100 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 10 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6500-13000 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 50 50 50 60 80 90 100 80 70 60 60  
TEMP............54 52 49 47 47 47 48 48 48 46 46 45  
RH..............50 52 61 68 71 76 77 80 77 86 86 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..11 11 11 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 22 22 22 21 21 21 21 20 20 19 19  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 15 15 16 16 17 17 17 16 16 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/100010 13 7 7 11 12 12 13 12 10 9 8  
   
SATURDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND  
15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7900-24800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (39700-67500 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 20 20 10 10 20 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............43 46 48 50 54 56 59 60 62 64 64 64  
RH..............100 89 86 83 74 69 62 60 58 54 54 52  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 18 16 16 16 16 16 16 15 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 1.2 1.6 1.6 2.2 2.7 3.4 4.8 4.6 4.0 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S S S S S SW SW SW SW W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 17 18 17 18 16 15 16 16 15 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 9 19 25 23 36 38 44 68 64 52 40  
 

 
FORECASTER...JONATHAN  
REQUESTED BY...JOSH KOELSCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2614288.0/DLH  
.DELDT 05/22/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOSHUA.KOELSCH@STATE.MN.US  
 
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