699  
FNUS73 KDLH 162229  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR NW SANDS BLOCK A RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
529 PM CDT SAT MAY 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1800 CDT ON MAY 16.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
EXPECT LOWER RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS TO  
PERSIST ANOTHER HOUR OR TWO, THEN EXPECT IMPROVEMENT RIGHT AROUND  
SUNSET AS WINDS START TO CALM DOWN AND HUMIDITY STARTS TO RISE.  
WINDS MAY CALM DOWN PRETTY QUICKLY WITHIN AN HOUR OR SO OF SUNSET.  
WINDS BECOME LIGHT LATE THIS EVENING AND EARLY TONIGHT AT LESS  
THAN 10 MPH AS THEY VEER FROM NORTHERLY TO EASTERLY.  
 
EXPECT RH RECOVERY TO 75-80% TONIGHT WITH NO PRECIPITATION  
EXPECTED. WIND SPEEDS WILL INCREASE DRAMATICALLY OUT OF THE EAST  
OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY, INCREASING TO 10-13 MPH SUSTAINED AND GUSTS  
OF 20 TO 25 MPH FOR MOST OF DAYTIME SUNDAY INTO EARLY SUNDAY  
EVENING. SUNDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH FLOW FROM LAKE SUPERIOR AND  
INCREASING CLOUDS AS HIGH TEMPERATURES TOP OUT NEAR 53F WITH MIN  
RH OF 50-55% AROUND MIDDAY. SCATTERED SHOWERS MOVE IN STARTING  
AROUND MIDDAY, WITH AN LOW CHANCE FOR AN EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORM OR  
TWO IN THE LATE AFTERNOON THROUGH EARLY EVENING. SHOWER AND  
THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL AND COVERAGE INCREASES LATER SUNDAY  
EVENING AND NIGHT, WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR A FEW STRONG TO SEVERE  
STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 60 MPH ALONG WITH  
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AT TIMES.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE  
IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING EAST 5 TO 8 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND  
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST 9 TO 15  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (82200 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(3000-9300 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............66 60 57 51 47 46 44 43 41 41 40 39  
RH..............33 42 47 56 65 63 65 65 70 70 79 79  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N NE NE NE NE E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 7 5 4 3 3 3 4 5 6 7 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 14 12 9 7 8 8 9 11 14 15 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.3 2.5 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N N NE NE NE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 16 13 10 8 9 9 9 9 12 14 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/100082 35 9 4 3 4 4 4 3 4 6 7  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 23  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6800-26200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR (18200-28100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 20 30 50 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............39 41 45 47 49 49 51 49 48 50 46 46  
RH..............76 73 60 56 56 52 52 56 58 63 68 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 10 10 10 11 11 12 11 11 11 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.19 19 20 20 21 22 22 23 23 23 23 22  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.7 1.5 1.5 1.2 1.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 17 18 18 17 18 18 20 21 21 18  
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 16 22 24 26 26 28 27 25 27 21 18  
   
SUNDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 18 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 8 MPH  
OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 7  
MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1700-15900 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.69 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 50 60 60 80 80 80 90 90 90 90 90  
TEMP............47 45 46 45 45 46 46 47 48 48 50 49  
RH..............76 79 86 89 93 96 100 100 96 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E NE E E E NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 9 9 8 7 7 7 6 5 5 5 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.21 20 19 18 14 15 15 14 13 12 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.9 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E S SE SE SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 15 14 12 10 10 9 8 7 7 6 5  
SDSPL KT-FT/100016 12 7 5 6 5 5 4 5 3 2 2  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING, THEN  
RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 8  
TO 14 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2300-15400 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.23 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY MC CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 70 70 70 70 70 70 60 60 60 60 60  
TEMP............48 50 51 52 52 52 52 51 51 51 50 49  
RH..............100 100 100 96 96 96 93 93 89 86 86 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N NE NE N NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 11 11 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S E S E NE NE NE NE NE E E NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 8 9 12 13 14 14 14 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 2 3 4 5 7 9 12 14 15 15 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...CORY  
REQUESTED BY...WISCONSIN INTERAGENCY DISPATCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2613833.0/DLH  
.DELDT 05/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL WICNNF4.DISPATCH@USDA.GOV  
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
The Nexlab MN Page
The Nexlab WI Page
Main Text Page