664
FNUS73 KDLH 160126
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR STEWART TRAIL...MN DNR FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
826 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0500 CDT ON MAY 16.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
RECOVERY OVERNIGHT WILL BE LIMITED WITH MAX RH AROUND 59 PERCENT.
A COLD FRONT WILL PASS SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE SITE SATURDAY
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE COOLER WITH HIGH AROUND 70 DEGREES.
MINIMUM HUMIDITY WILL DIP TO 29 PERCENT LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WINDS START FROM THE WEST SATURDAY MORNING AT 5 TO 10 MPH
INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 25 MPH LATE MORNING
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE
FRONT IN THE AFTERNOON.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0
TEMP............52
RH..............54
20 FT WIND DIR..NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6
20 FT WIND GUST.13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12
SDSPL KT-FT/10005
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........29 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING WEST 6 TO 14 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 21 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 24 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6000-20900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD (34900-53300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING,
THEN INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (60400 KNOT-FT)
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO FAIR TO
GOOD (26800-35900 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............51 52 55 57 60 62 64 65 66 67 67 68
RH..............59 56 53 51 46 43 38 35 33 32 32 29
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 3 5 8 10 11 12 13 13 12 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 16 18 19 21 21 21 21 20 18 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.8 1.4 2.1 2.5 2.1 2.5 2.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 15 17 20 21 23 24 24 22 21 18 16
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 10 21 35 45 41 53 60 36 36 32 27
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST
5 TO 7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
9 TO 18 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT,
THEN SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 16 MPH EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3800-23200 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............66 64 60 54 51 49 47 46 45 43 42 42
RH..............32 34 39 50 56 61 63 65 68 70 73 73
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N N N N NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..11 10 8 4 1 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 11 8 6 6 7 9 12 14 18 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 1.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N NE NE NE NE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 9 9 9 10 10 12 12 15 18 16
SDSPL KT-FT/100023 16 5 5 5 4 4 4 5 7 9 8
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 33 MPH
INCREASING TO 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 17 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 28 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (9300-24800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR (29900 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.54 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 20 20 20 20 20 20 80 80 80 80 80
TEMP............41 42 43 45 46 47 47 47 47 46 46 45
RH..............76 73 73 68 65 63 63 63 65 68 71 73
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 10 11 12 15 16 17 18 18 18
20 FT WIND GUST.22 23 23 26 27 28 29 30 32 32 32 32
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.E NE E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 18 20 22 24 25 25 25 26 28 28 28
SDSPL KT-FT/10009 14 20 25 31 31 31 30 32 33 34 32
FORECASTER...KEVIN
REQUESTED BY...TAYLOR SCHENK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613787.0/DLH
.DELDT 05/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL WARREN.LAPLANTE@CO.LAKE.MN.US,JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,TAYLOR_SCHENK@FIRENET.GOV,BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,CASSANDRA.DEMILLO@STATE.MN.US,RICK.HOGENSON@CO.LAKE.MN.US,CHRISTOPHER.BERGQUIST@STATE.MN.US
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