030  
FNUS73 KDLH 122213  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JULY LIGHTNING EVENT...MNICS TYPE 3 INCIDENT MANAGEMENT TEAM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
513 PM CDT SUN JUL 12 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON JULY 12.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
 
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH  
MONDAY EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HOTTER AND WINDIER TOMORROW. HIGHS WILL BE IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS  
AND WINDS WILL BE GUSTING TO AROUND 25 MPH OUT OF THE WEST TO  
SOUTHWEST. STILL EXPECTING A WIND SHIFT TUESDAY MORNING WITH WINDS  
VEERING TO OUT OF THE NORTH AS A BOUNDARY MOVES IN FROM CANADA.  
NO RAIN CHANCES WITH THIS BOUNDARY, NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN IS  
THURSDAY (20-30%).  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (96600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(4900 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............96 94 93 84 80 79 79 77 76 74 74 73  
RH..............36 37 37 53 62 64 67 71 71 74 71 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 8 8 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 19 18 16 16 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.1 2.0 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W SW SW SW W SW W W SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.22 17 15 14 13 14 13 13 13 13 13 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/100097 30 8 6 5 6 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
MONDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 102.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 28 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5400-22400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (113800-137800 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............73 79 90 97 100 102  
RH..............71 62 42 32 26 23  
20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 7 SW 10 SW 11 SW 11 SW 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 18 22 23 23 23  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 1200 2100 3600 5500 5700  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 17 W 21 W 23 W 25 SW 28  
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 18 38 72 121 138  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.  
MAX HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH  
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9  
TO 13 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (92700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(3900-10400 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............99 86 80 76  
RH..............26 45 58 64  
20 FT WIND......SW 11G23 SW 9G21 SW 8G19 SW 6G18  
MIX HGT (FT)....4400 600 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 24 SW 15 W 15 W 13  
SDSPL KT-FT/100093 8 7 5  
 

 
FORECASTER...LEE  
REQUESTED BY...TAYLOR SCHENK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617211.5/DLH  
.DELDT 07/12/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TAYLOR_SCHENK@FIRENET.GOV,BENJAMIN_EVANS@FIRENET.GOV  
 
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