461
FNUS73 KDLH 181106
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR FLANDERS FIRE...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
606 AM CDT MON MAY 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON MAY 18.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
MINIMAL PRECIPITATION OCCURRED OVERNIGHT AS MOST OF THE RAIN
SHOWER AND STORM ACTIVITY REMAINED SOUTHEAST OF THE FIRE AREA.
LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS EARLY THIS MORNING BECOME 5-7 MPH WITH GUSTS
OF 11-14 MPH FROM MID-MORNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. EXPECT
CLOUDY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY SKIES TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A HIGH
TEMPERATURE AROUND 60 DEGREES. MINIMUM RH DIPS INTO THE 70S (%)
EARLY THIS AFTERNOON AND BOTTOMS OUT AT 60-65% LATE THIS
AFTERNOON. EXPECT A BREAK IN PRECIPITATION UNTIL THIS EVENING AND
TONIGHT, WITH THE BEST POTENTIAL AFTER SUNSET THROUGH THE EARLY
OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE HEAVIEST RAIN POTENTIAL ONCE AGAIN REMAINS
SOUTHEAST OF THE FIRE AREA, BUT AN ADDITIONAL 0.20-0.5 INCHES ARE
FORECAST FOR THE FIRE AREA, WITH THE HIGHER END OF THAT RANGE
OCCURRING IF ANY STORMS MOVE OVER THE FIRE AREA. RH RECOVERS
ABOVE 90% TONIGHT.
WINDS TURN NORTHWESTERLY ON TUESDAY AT 10-12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
AROUND 20 MPH WITH SKIES BEING MOSTLY CLOUDY. SOME AFTERNOON
MIXING COULD LEAD TO A 10% CHANCE FOR ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS, BUT
LITTLE TO NO ACCUMULATIONS ARE EXPECTED. MIN RH DIPS INTO THE 50S
(%) DURING THE EARLY AFTERNOON AND BOTTOMS OUT AROUND 50% IN THE
LATE AFTERNOON.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7400-29900 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20
TEMP............45 46 48 48 49 51 53 54 56 57 57 60
RH..............99 98 96 93 91 85 80 77 73 73 68 63
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 11 11 12 12 12 12 12 11 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 9 9 10 12 10 10 10 10 13
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 8 8 10 11 17 22 22 24 26 26 30
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (12100-21500 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.21 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 40 60 70 90 80 80 80 60 50 30 20
TEMP............58 57 55 56 54 52 50 49 48 47 46 45
RH..............68 73 76 74 76 80 86 89 89 93 95 93
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 16 16 16 16 16 18 19 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 1.9 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.3 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 13 13 14 14 15 15 16 18 17
SDSPL KT-FT/100022 21 13 12 13 15 15 17 17 19 21 20
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 21 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 16 TO 24 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (20700-37600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
TO EXCELLENT (70400-96400 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 43 44 43 45 46 46 47 49 49 49 51
RH..............95 93 86 86 76 71 68 65 59 56 56 50
20 FT WIND DIR..N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.19 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 21 21 21 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.7 2.2 2.6 3.1 3.3 3.5 4.0 3.9 4.0 4.6 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 17 20 22 23 23 23 23 21 21 24 21
SDSPL KT-FT/100021 26 38 50 62 68 74 80 71 73 96 75
FORECASTER...CORY
REQUESTED BY...TAYLOR SCHENK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613849.5/DLH
.DELDT 05/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL BGEVANS@DULUTHMN.GOV,JENNIFER.OLSON@STATE.MN.US,CRAIG.SCHULTZ@STATE.MN.US,TAYLOR_SCHENK@FIRENET.GOV,CLAYTON.BARG@CROWWING.GOV,JEREMY_FAUSKEE@FIRENET.GOV
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