738
FNUS73 KDLH 232109
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR RACEK PRESCRIBED FIRE...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
409 PM CDT THU APR 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1700 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
ACTIVE WEATHER FOR TODAY WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS MOVING IN LATE
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING AND LINGER ON A MORE
ISOLATED/SCATTERED BASIS TONIGHT INTO 8-9 AM FRIDAY. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THUNDERSTORMS, ESPECIALLY LATER
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING, BUT STORMS SHOULD BE FAIRLY
PROGRESSIVE. CURRENT FORECAST RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE 0.20-0.40
INCHES, BUT MAY BE LOCALLY HIGHER DUE TO THUNDERSTORMS. THE
PROBABILITIES FOR EXCEEDING DIFFERENT LEVELS OF PRECIPITATION ARE
STILL AS FOLLOWS: >0.1" = 70%, >0.2" = 50%, >0.3" = 30%.
REASONABLE HIGH-END SCENARIO (10% CHANCE) REMAINS 0.5-0.75" IF
SEVERAL THUNDERSTORMS MOVE DIRECTLY OVERHEAD.
DRIER AIR RETURNS ON FRIDAY WITH CLEARING SKIES BY MID TO LATE
MORNING. MIN RHS FALL TO AROUND 30%, LOWEST IN THE 3 PM - 7 PM
TIMEFRAME WITH GOOD SMOKE DISPERSAL AND MIXING HEIGHTS OF UP TO
4000-4500 FT IN THE AFTERNOON. LOOK FOR A HIGH TEMPERATURE AROUND
57F. WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE OUT OF THE NORTHWEST WITH GUSTS
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. MORNING NW WINDS OF 8-11 MPH GUST
TO 16-20 MPH DURING THE FIRST HALF OF THE MORNING DECREASE AND
BECOME WESTERLY IN THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH AND
SUSTAINED 20 FT WINDS OF 6-9 MPH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY AND CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
AROUND 22 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (16500 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY
WEATHER COV.....LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RN
TSTM COV........CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).70
TEMP............62
RH..............78
20 FT WIND DIR..SE
20 FT WIND SPD..10
20 FT WIND GUST.22
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17
SDSPL KT-FT/100017
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN LIKELY AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN
CHANCE OF RAIN AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 7 TO 9 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 16
TO 17 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4000-14600 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 40 40 30 20 40
TEMP............61 58 56 54 49 46
RH..............81 84 85 79 67 68
20 FT WIND......SE 9 SE 7 SE 6 W 7 W 8 NW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.20 16 14 14 15 16
MIX HGT (FT)....1000 500 500 500 1000 800
TRANSPORT WIND..S 16 SE 13 S 12 SW 10 NW 17 NW 16
SDSPL KT-FT/100014 6 5 5 15 11
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........31 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 13 TO 21 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (12900-25400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
TO GOOD (38700-51100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RAIN NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 40 45 50 54 57
RH..............76 70 58 48 43 35
20 FT WIND......NW 9 NW 9 NW 11 NW 10 NW 9 W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.19 19 18 16 14 14
MIX HGT (FT)....900 2200 2700 3000 3900 4400
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 16 NW 21 NW 21 NW 17 NW 14 NW 13
SDSPL KT-FT/100013 39 49 46 47 48
FORECASTER...CORY
REQUESTED BY...JOSHUA KOELSCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2611490.1/DLH
.DELDT 04/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOSHUA.KOELSCH@STATE.MN.US
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