931  
FNUS73 KDLH 231139  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR STEWART TRAIL FIRE...MNDNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
639 AM CDT SAT MAY 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 23.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CLOUDY SKIES TODAY WITH RAIN SHOWERS THIS MORNING. ADDITIONAL  
RAINFALL OF AROUND A TENTH OF AN INCH EXPECTED. WINDS WILL BE FROM  
THE EAST OR NORTHEAST TURNING SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH. OCCASIONAL  
GUSTS TO 15 MPH ARE FORECAST. HIGH TEMPERATURE TODAY IN THE LOW TO  
MIDDLE 50S.  
 
TONIGHT WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY. 20% CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. LOW  
TEMPERATURE AROUND 42 PERCENT. MAXIMUM RH WILL BE AROUND 100  
PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.  
 
INCREASING SUNSHINE AND A LITTLE WARMER SUNDAY WITH HIGHS IN THE  
LOW 70S. AFTERNOON HUMIDITY BOTTOMS OUT AROUND 40 PERCENT. WINDS  
LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH. A LAKE BREEZE WILL MOVE  
INLAND DURING THE AFTERNOON AND WILL TURN WINDS SOUTHEASTERLY.  
THERE IS A 20% CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS DURING THE  
AFTERNOON. EXPECT GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR SHOWERS AND STORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF LKY CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).80 80 80 60 50 30 20 10 10 20 20  
TEMP............43 45 47 46 47 48 50 51 53 53 53  
RH..............83 79 76 79 79 80 74 74 69 71 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 15 15 14 13 12 10 9 9 9  
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 8 7 7 6 5 5 4 4 4 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE  
IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1400 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 52 52 49 48 47 46 46 45 44 44 43  
RH..............69 71 71 80 83 89 93 93 93 96 96 100  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE E E SE N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 6 5 3 2 3 3 2 3 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE SW W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 7 6 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 8 7  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 3 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 2 2 2  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1900-19600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR (16400-27400 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC PC PC PC PC MCR PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............44 46 50 55 59 62 65 67 70 71 71 72  
RH..............96 96 86 74 64 58 54 50 46 44 44 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 8 9 9 9 9 8 8 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.7 2.2 2.3 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW W SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7 10 10 10 10 10 12 13 8 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 2 4 10 14 18 20 22 27 24 16 20  
 

 
FORECASTER...KEVIN  
REQUESTED BY...CHRISTOPHER BERGQUIST  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2614043.4/DLH  
.DELDT 05/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JONAH.LEWIS@STATE.MN.US,JASON.BUSHMAKER@STATE.MN.US,MIKE.YOUNG@STATE.MN.US,CHRISTOPHER.BERGQUIST@STATE.MN.US  
 
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