011  
FNUS73 KDLH 092032  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH BAY FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
332 PM CDT TUE JUN 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1600 CDT ON JUNE 09.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
STORMS THIS AFTERNOON LOOK LESS AND LESS LIKELY TO HIT THE BURN  
LOCATION WITH MOST FORMING NORTH OF THE INTERNATIONAL BORDER. NEXT  
CHANCE FOR STORMS IS EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AND THEN A SECOND  
ROUND WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. THE MORNING STORMS COULD BE SEVERE, BUT  
MORE SO THE AFTERNOON/EVENING STORMS. SO PLENTY OF STORM ACTIVITY  
TO CONTEND WITH, THE GOOD NEWS IS IT WILL BRING RAIN, BUT ALSO  
LIGHTNING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 88.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (40300 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10  
TEMP............84 86  
RH..............52 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.5 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/100040 43  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
AFTER 3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23 MPH  
IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER  
3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (22900-35100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING  
TO POOR (5400 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.08 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 30  
TEMP............87 81 71 66 64 63  
RH..............45 56 73 84 90 93  
20 FT WIND......S 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 SE 9 SE 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 15 18 20 21 21  
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 1000 500 500 500 600  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 12 S 12 S 13 S 13 SE 13  
SDSPL KT-FT/100035 10 5 6 6 6  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN SHOWERS WITH THUNDERSTORMS  
LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 23  
MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 21 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (8700-23400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD (36500-56300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING,  
THEN DECREASING TO GOOD (31700 KNOT-FT) LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.42 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY DEF LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 40 30 20 30 40 50 70 70 80 70  
TEMP............63 66 68 71 72 74 75 75 76 78 77 76  
RH..............93 90 84 79 76 74 74 74 71 69 71 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S SE SE S SE S S S SE S  
20 FT WIND SPD..9 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 21 20 20 20 21 21 21 20 21 20 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.4 2.8 3.1 3.1 2.3 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S S S S S SE S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 17 17 17 20 18 18 21 21 21 20  
SDSPL KT-FT/10009 15 19 21 23 37 39 44 55 56 41 32  
 

 
FORECASTER...JONATHAN  
REQUESTED BY...MARY WACHUTA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2614806.20/DLH  
.DELDT 06/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MASON.VANCE@USDA.GOV,MARY.WACHUTA@USDA.GOV,JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV  
 
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