066
FNUS73 KDLH 171039
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR FLANDERS FIRE...MNICS IMT TEAM C
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
539 AM CDT SUN MAY 17 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON MAY 17.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
MOST OF THE DAY WILL BE PRECIPITATION FREE, BUT WE WILL BEGIN TO
SEE DEWPOINTS INCREASE AS WARM, MOIST AIR MOVES NORTH. THEREFORE,
RH IS NOT EXPECTED TO PLUMMET LIKE THE LAST FEW DAYS AND WILL
REMAIN AROUND OR ABOVE 50%. WINDS, HOWEVER, WILL INCREASE OUT OF
THE EAST THROUGHOUT THE MORNING, AND GUSTS UP TO AROUND 25 MPH ARE
EXPECTED IN THE LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. THIS EVENING,
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THE SITE OF THE FIRE. TIMING
IS A LITTLE UNCERTAIN, BUT MOST OF THE PRECIPITATION SHOULD FALL
BETWEEN 6PM AND MIDNIGHT TONIGHT, WITH A QUARTER TO HALF INCH OF
RAIN EXPECTED.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO 23 TO 26 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6500-22800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (31500-67400 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15
TEMP............44 44 47 51 53 53 56 56 56 58 55 54
RH..............67 65 62 55 51 53 52 56 60 59 66 69
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E
20 FT WIND SPD..8 10 11 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.15 21 23 23 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.6 2.9 2.3 1.9 1.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 18 20 22 22 23 24 25 26 25 23 23
SDSPL KT-FT/10007 20 23 33 36 42 53 56 67 53 38 32
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH
AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 12 TO 21 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 9 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (5500-24800 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.55 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 20 30 50 60 60 60 50 50 40 40 30
TEMP............54 51 51 50 50 50 49 50 49 47 49 49
RH..............71 77 80 83 83 86 93 93 96 100 96 96
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE N
20 FT WIND SPD..12 12 12 11 10 8 6 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.25 23 23 22 21 19 15 14 13 13 13 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.2 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E SE E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.21 20 20 18 17 13 12 12 10 9 8 9
SDSPL KT-FT/100025 22 16 15 13 11 8 8 7 7 6 7
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,
THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7400-25200 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR TO GOOD (28400-42600 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CDY CDY CDY MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY MC CDY
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 0 0 10 20 30 30 30 30 30
TEMP............49 49 50 50 50 52 55 56 58 60 59 58
RH..............98 93 88 86 85 79 71 69 64 62 62 64
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 15 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.1 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N N N N N N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 14 14 14 16 16 14 15 14 13 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 8 14 16 18 25 29 28 36 38 34 43
FORECASTER...KRYSTAL
REQUESTED BY...TAYLOR SCHENK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613849.2/DLH
.DELDT 05/17/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CRAIG.SCHULTZ@STATE.MN.US,TAYLOR_SCHENK@FIRENET.GOV,JENNIFER.OLSON@STATE.MN.US,JEREMY_FAUSKEE@FIRENET.GOV,CLAYTON.BARG@CROWWING.GOV
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