714  
FNUS73 KDLH 200004  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHAPINWOOD...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
704 PM CDT WED AUG 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1900 CDT ON AUGUST 19.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS EXPECTED TONIGHT, WITH LIGHT SURFACE WINDS FROM THE  
NORTHWEST SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST THEN TO THE SOUTH THIS EVENING.  
SPEEDS WILL BE AT OR LESS THAN 5 MPH. CLOUD COVER INCREASES AFTER  
MIDNIGHT, BUT CEILINGS REMAIN ABOVE 5KFT. FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.  
 
FOR THURSDAY, SURFACE WINDS INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH AT 5 TO 7 MPH,  
WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE TOMORROW MORNING,  
WITH CHANCES FOR ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING  
DURING THE AFTERNOON. SOME STORMS MIGHT HAVE LARGE HAIL AND GUSTIER  
WINDS. RAIN CHANCES CONTINUE THURSDAY EVENING, WITH TOTAL RAINFALL  
AMOUNTS OVER THE WILDFIRE AREA APPROACHING 0.75 INCHES. MOST OF THAT  
ACCUMULATION WILL COME WITH STRONGER STORMS DURING THE AFTERNOON.  
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.  
MAX HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............71 66 61 57 54 52 51 51 49 49 49  
RH..............37 44 53 62 69 77 80 77 83 80 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..W S N N SE S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 0 0 1 1 2 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 6 5 5 5 7 8 9 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N E SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 10 10 10  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 18 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3100 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3400-20600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD (32000-46700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO FAIR (13900  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.43 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC LKY  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 20 30 30 50 60 60 40 50 60  
TEMP............47 50 54 59 65 68 69 72 72 73 74 72  
RH..............86 80 83 78 65 59 61 59 64 64 64 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 4 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.11 12 12 12 13 14 16 18 18 18 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.5 2.1 2.5 2.9 3.1 2.9 1.4 1.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 12 12 12 15 16 17 17 13 13  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 3 4 9 15 21 32 40 47 44 16 14  
 

 
FORECASTER...HOLLY  
REQUESTED BY...MIKE SOLARZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2620045.0/DLH  
.DELDT 08/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL STEVEN.RADAJ@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MN Page
The Nexlab WI Page Main Text Page