979  
FNUS73 KDLH 050954  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH BAY FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
454 AM CDT FRI JUN 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON JUNE 05.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS INCREASE FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS MORNING  
AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA. A WIND GUST OF 15-18 MPH  
IS POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON. THERE'S A 5-10% CHANCE FOR A STRAY  
AFTERNOON SHOWER OR STORM, BUT MOST OF THE ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN  
SOUTH.  
 
EXPECT QUIET WEATHER WITH LIGHT NORTHWEST WINDS FRIDAY NIGHT INTO  
SATURDAY. VARIABLE WINDS EXPECTED ON SATURDAY, WITH SPEEDS AT OR  
LESS THAN 5MPH. WITH SLIGHTLY DRIER AIR IN PLACE AND TEMPERATURES  
WARMING INTO THE LOW TO MID 80S, MINIMUM RH VALUES SATURDAY  
AFTERNOON WILL BE AROUND 30%. LOOKING AHEAD TO SUNDAY, MINIMUM RHS  
WILL BE SIMILAR, AROUND 30% IN THE AFTERNOON, BUT WINDS WILL  
INCREASE FROM THE SOUTHEAST AT 8-12 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 20-25 MPH.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 6 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2100-13700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54300-68600 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............56 59 63 69 72 75 77 78 78 79 80 79  
RH..............100 100 90 70 64 54 47 43 42 41 39 41  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 7 9 12 13 14 14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.7 4.2 4.9 5.6 5.2 5.3 5.2 5.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 15  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 5 9 14 24 42 54 68 63 64 63 69  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 9 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6  
TO 9 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (50300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (2000  
KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR CLEAR CLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............78 72 64 59 55 52  
RH..............42 53 67 80 86 93  
20 FT WIND......NW 6 NW 4 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3 NW 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 11 9 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....3900 1000 500 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 15 NW 10 NW 9 N 8 N 8 NW 7  
SDSPL KT-FT/100050 9 4 3 3 2  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2400-16400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR TO GOOD (26500-43600 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 56 61 65 72 75 77 78 81 82 83 84  
RH..............100 90 78 65 51 46 42 38 34 32 31 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 8 9 9 11 9 9 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.6 1.6 2.7 3.8 4.3 4.9 5.2 5.6 6.2 6.0 5.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW N NW N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 6 7  
SDSPL KT-FT/10002 3 10 16 27 30 34 36 39 44 30 35  
 
 
FORECASTER...HOLLY  
REQUESTED BY...JEB BACKE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2614806.9/DLH  
.DELDT 06/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BENJAMIN_EVANS@FIRENET.GOV,BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,JEB.BACKE@USDA.GOV  
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