346
FNUS73 KDLH 241034
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR LONG LAKE FIRE...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
534 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0742 CDT ON JULY 24.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL GRADUALLY BECOME GUSTY THIS MORNING AND
REMAIN SO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. A STRAY LIGHT SHOWER CAN'T BE
RULED OUT LATE MORNING, BUT ONLY 5% CHANCE. A BETTER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARRIVES LATE AFTERNOON INTO THIS
EVENING. A STRONG TO SEVERE STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO
PING PONG BALL SIZE AND WIND GUSTS TO 60 MPH CAN'T BE RULED OUT.
EXPECT AN INVERSION TO BE IN PLACE PRETTY MUCH ALL DAY, THOUGH IT
WILL MIX OUT TO AROUND 5 KFT LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN AND
STORM CHANCES PERSIST INTO TONIGHT, THEN A COLD FRONT WILL PASS
THROUGH ON SATURDAY, CAUSING A WIND SHIFT TO NORTHWESTERLY AND
CLEARING SKIES.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 26 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 22 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 25
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6300-23000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (68200-106100 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 5 0 0 0 10 10 20 30
TEMP............64 66 69 74 77 80 80 81 83 83 83
RH..............77 75 70 62 58 54 56 54 51 51 51
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 11
20 FT WIND GUST.16 20 20 21 21 21 22 23 23 23 23
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.2 1.5 2.4 3.6 4.5 4.9 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 17 17 21 22 24 23 22 23 24 25
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 18 23 44 68 94 98 93 91 90 106
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE NIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100 FT AGL EARLY IN
THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (82600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR TO
FAIR (4300-18000 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.36 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 40 50 50 50 40 40 30 30 30 20 10
TEMP............83 81 80 74 70 68 67 66 66 65 64 64
RH..............53 54 58 76 87 93 97 97 97 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 8 7 7 7 6 6 5 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.23 23 23 23 22 21 20 18 15 14 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 3.1 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.24 22 18 17 15 13 14 15 14 13 10 10
SDSPL KT-FT/100083 59 18 7 6 5 6 7 6 5 5 4
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3900-15600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (51700-69500 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............63 66 68 71 76 79 81 82 84 85 84 85
RH..............100 100 97 87 71 60 54 47 43 41 40 39
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 3 3 4 4 5 6 6 6 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 9 9 11 12 13 13 14 13 13 11
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.9 3.2 4.3 5.1 5.3 5.3 5.2 4.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W NW NW NW NW NW W W NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 9 9 9 12 13 14 15 14 12 13
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 5 8 10 16 32 47 61 70 64 52 52
FORECASTER...JOSH
REQUESTED BY...MIKE HANOWSKI
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2617866.3/DLH
.DELDT 07/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.HANOWSKI@STATE.MN.US
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