827
FNUS73 KDLH 201149
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR LITTLE KNIFE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
649 AM CDT THU AUG 20 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
SHOWERS WITH EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS ARE MOVING IN THIS MORNING,
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON AND OFF THROUGH THE DAY. STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN WELL SOUTH OF THE LITTLE
KNIFE FIRE, BUT THERE WILL STILL BE THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS AS WELL AS LIGHTNING STRIKES AROUND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. SHOWERS WILL BE TAPERING OFF AROUND 2000 THIS
EVENING WITH PATCHY FOG DEVELOPING TONIGHT. TOTAL RAINFALL IS
FORECAST TO BE AT LEAST 0.3", WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR UP TO 1" OVER
LITTLE KNIFE IF THUNDERSTORMS ARE ABLE TO MOVE OVER THE FIRE.
SOUTHERLY WINDS TODAY INTO TONIGHT SHIFT TO THE NORTH TONIGHT AS A
COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH. EXPECT WINDS TOMORROW TO BE FROM THE
NORTHWEST WITH MIN RH BEING DRIER THAN TODAY AT 56% UNDER PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES. A STRAY SHOWER CAN'T BE RULED OUT ON FRIDAY EVENING,
ARRIVING AROUND 1800-2000.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.
MIN HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2600-22600 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.67 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).60 70 80 80 80 80 80 80 80 90 70
TEMP............56 56 57 60 61 63 63 65 65 65 66
RH..............92 95 98 90 89 81 84 81 81 83 81
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S S S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 4 4 5 5 5 5 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5 7 11 12 13 14 14 14 14 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 1.5 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.7 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 12 12 15 15 14 13 12 12 10
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 6 9 11 19 22 23 20 19 18 15
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AROUND 6 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2200-9100 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.12 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY MC CDY CDY
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH PTY PTY PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW FOG FOG FOG FOG
TSTM COV........SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 30 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 64 61 58 58 57 56 56 56 54 54 54
RH..............86 86 92 100 98 98 100 100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE E E NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..4 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.11 11 8 7 7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE E E NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 7 7 7 8 7 7 6 6 6 6
SDSPL KT-FT/10009 6 3 3 3 7 3 3 3 3 3 4
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 6 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 13
TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (3100-17600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (77600 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC MCR
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 0 10
TEMP............53 54 57 59 63 65 67 70 71 72 73 73
RH..............100 100 100 100 92 84 75 68 64 59 56 56
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 11 12 12 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.5 3.4 4.2 5.4 5.9 5.3 6.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE N N N N N N N NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 6 7 7 8 8 9 12 13 13 15
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 3 5 7 10 18 25 34 55 66 59 78
FORECASTER...WOODY
REQUESTED BY...USFS
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2620073.0/DLH
.DELDT 08/20/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SAMUEL.WESTLIN@USDA.GOV,BRANDON.REA@USDA.GOV
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