690  
FNUS73 KDLH 191830  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST BURNTSIDE LAKE...SLC EM  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
130 PM CDT SUN JUL 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1400 CDT ON JULY 19.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM CDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
WARM TODAY WITH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH OUT OF THE WEST-SOUTHWEST.  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ONLY FALLING TO AROUND 40 PERCENT THIS  
AFTERNOON. A VERY LOW CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED STORM BUT BASED ON  
STORMS SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON, THE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD REMAIN TO  
THE EAST OF THIS INCIDENT LOCATION AND CONTINUE TRACKING EAST AND  
SOUTHEAST. OVERNIGHT TONIGHT SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS  
ARE EXPECTED IN THE 1 AM TO 5 AM TIMEFRAME WITH GUSTY WINDS AND  
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AROUND A TENTH TO QUARTER INCH ON AVERAGE.  
 
ON MONDAY THERE WILL BE STRONG WEST WINDS DEVELOPING AHEAD OF A  
COLD FRONT. WIND GUSTS TO 30 TO 35 MPH ARE POSSIBLE. A ROUND OF  
ISOLATED AFTERNOON STORMS ARE POSSIBLE, WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
VALUES FALLING TO 40 TO 45 PERCENT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (58100-74500 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10  
TEMP............82 83 84 86  
RH..............47 44 40 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.6 5.6 5.3 6.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 13 14  
SDSPL KT-FT/100067 62 58 75  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY  
AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 22 MPH  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (65400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR TO  
FAIR (4300-23700 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.15 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 50  
TEMP............86 84 82 76 74 72 73 72 69 67 66 66  
RH..............42 44 53 62 74 76 73 76 81 87 90 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW S SW S SW SW SW SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 4 4 5 6 7 7 7 8 8 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 13 13 14 15 18 18 18 19 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.5 2.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 12 10 10 12 13 14 14 15 14 14 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/100065 24 5 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 5  
   
MONDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON. PATCHY SMOKE EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTS UP  
TO 29 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 21  
TO 26 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4600-15000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
FAIR TO GOOD (25700-32800 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO GOOD (55800  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (92500-132200 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO EXCELLENT (145900  
KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO EXCELLENT (99400  
KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.07 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC PC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 10 10 0 10 10 10 20 30 40 40  
TEMP............65 66 67 70 74 77 81 82 82 83 82 81  
RH..............97 97 100 90 79 69 56 51 47 44 44 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 10 10 10 10 11 11 12 13 15 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.19 18 19 20 20 20 21 23 25 25 26 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.1 1.6 2.2 3.1 4.6 5.8 6.0 6.3 4.7 4.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 14 16 18 17 21 23 24 25 26 24 26  
SDSPL KT-FT/10005 8 15 26 33 56 93 123 132 146 99 101  
 
 
FORECASTER...JOE  
REQUESTED BY...JOSH BRINKMAN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617755.0/DLH  
.DELDT 07/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,NWSDULUTH-SLCRS@NOAA.GOV  
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