531  
FNUS73 KDLH 132127  
FWSDLH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR FOR028FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN  
427 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1700 CDT ON JULY 13.  
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF  
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.  
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM CDT THIS EVENING
 
   
..RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM NOON TO 9 PM CDT TUESDAY
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS CONTINUE THIS  
AFTERNOON, WITH A RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 2200. WEST  
WINDS WILL BE GUSTING AS HIGH AS 30 MPH BEFORE THE NOCTURNAL  
INVERSION STARTS TO DEVELOP AT 2000 THIS EVENING. WEST WINDS  
REMAIN BREEZY THROUGH TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT,  
WITH RH RECOVERY TO 73%.  
 
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO PASS THROUGH ON TUESDAY, WHICH WILL BE  
BRINGING A WIND SHIFT FROM WEST TO NORTHWEST. TIMING FOR THIS WIND  
SHIFT IS MOST LIKELY TO OCCUR AT 0900 ON TUESDAY MORNING. THIS  
COLD FRONT WILL MOST LIKELY PASS THROUGH DRY, WITH VERY LOW  
CONFIDENCE IN SCATTERED SHOWERS OR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
OCCURRING ALONG THE FRONT (5-10% CHANCE). WINDS TOMORROW WILL  
TREND LIGHTER COMPARED TO TODAY, WITH GUSTS TO 16 MPH. HOWEVER, A  
RED FLAG WARNING IS IN EFFECT TUESDAY AFTERNOON DUE TO CRITICALLY  
DRY MIN RH TO 25 PERCENT. DRY CONDITIONS PERSIST ON WEDNESDAY,  
WITH NORTHWEST WINDS CONTINUING AND SPEEDS/GUSTS TRENDING LOWER.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 24 MPH IN  
THE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 14 TO 23 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 12 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (41100-58700 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR  
(4900-10600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............95 94 89 84 81 80 78 76 77 75 75 74  
RH..............30 31 38 44 51 54 60 64 64 69 69 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W SW SW SW W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 11 10 10 9 9 8 8 7 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.29 25 22 21 20 20 19 19 18 18 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 2.4 0.8 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.23 20 16 14 15 15 16 15 15 14 14 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/100059 41 11 8 7 8 7 7 6 6 6 5  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (4400-20500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
EXCELLENT (75600-83400 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR PC MCR MCR MCR PC MCR MCR MCR PC MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............73 75 78 80 85 88 91 94 95 95 97 95  
RH..............73 71 67 62 51 45 40 34 30 28 26 25  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 13 14 14 14 15 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.7 1.7 2.3 2.9 3.4 4.2 5.2 5.5 5.7 5.8 6.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 12 10 10 10 12 13 14 16 15 16  
SDSPL KT-FT/10004 6 17 21 26 31 42 57 67 79 76 83  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 7 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (50400 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (2600  
KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC MC MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............94 92 86 81 77 74 72 70 69 67 65 65  
RH..............25 25 29 34 39 44 46 51 53 56 60 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 14 13 9 8 8 6 5 5 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.2 2.6 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW N N NW NW N NW N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 13 10 9 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7  
SDSPL KT-FT/100050 29 9 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 89.  
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2100-15000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO  
GOOD (35600-49300 KNOT-FT).  
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 66 69 73 78 81 84 86 87 88 87 86  
RH..............65 65 59 51 42 37 32 29 27 26 27 28  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 11 11 11  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.4 1.3 2.0 2.5 3.3 4.0 4.6 4.9 4.9 4.5 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 7 8 9 10 12 12 12 12  
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 2 7 10 15 23 32 41 49 49 46 36  
 

 
FORECASTER...WOODY  
REQUESTED BY...OWEN JOHNSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2617316.0/DLH  
.DELDT 07/13/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL OWEN.JOHNSON@USDA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MN Page
The Nexlab WI Page Main Text Page