084
FNUS73 KDLH 080047
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR BIRCH BAY FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
747 PM CDT SUN JUN 7 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2000 CDT ON JUNE 07.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS TONIGHT AND CHANCES (~20%) FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS BY EARLY MORNING. CHANCES INCREASE TO AROUND 60
TO 70% THROUGH MONDAY. WHILE MOST STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN
SUB-SEVERE, A STRAY STRONG TO SEVERE STORM CAN'T BE TOTALLY RULED
OUT. WHILE RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE EXPECTED TO LARGELY REMAIN AT OR A
IT LESS THAN 0.25" THROUGH MONDAY EVENING, SLIGHTLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS MAY BE POSSIBLE IF THERE HAPPEN TO BE SOME REPEAT
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE SITE (AMOUNTS TO AROUND 0.50" TO 0.75").
WINDS WILL ONCE AGAIN BE BLUSTERY FROM THE SOUTH ON MONDAY, BUT
WITH COOLER TEMPERATURES AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY DUE TO THE
CLOUDS, SHOWERS, AND STORMS EXPECTED.
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO LARGELY END MONDAY AFTERNOON, BUT THERE ARE
SOME HINTS THAT THERE COULD BE SOME RESIDUAL SHOWERS INTO MONDAY NIGHT,
SO WE WILL HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE ON THAT POSSIBILITY. OTHERWISE,
EXPECT CLEARING SKIES INTO TUESDAY WITH WINDS REMAINING OUT OF THE
SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 13 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6100-15700 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 20
TEMP............71 69 66 65 65 65 63 63 63 61
RH..............57 61 65 65 65 65 70 72 72 78
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S SE
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 8 8 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.19 19 19 18 16 16 15 15 15 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.2 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 14 14 14 13 13 13 13 13 13
SDSPL KT-FT/100016 7 7 7 6 7 7 7 7 7
MONDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (7700-22000 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
FAIR (16900-27800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.17 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 70 70 60 40 30
TEMP............62 65 66 67 68 69
RH..............75 78 78 78 78 78
20 FT WIND......SE 7 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 8 S 7
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 18 18 18 16
MIX HGT (FT)....700 1300 1300 1500 1400 1700
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 S 15 S 16 S 17 S 15 S 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10008 18 19 22 18 21
MONDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2200-13700 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 10 0 0
TEMP............70 70 69 67 65 64 64 64 63 62 62 62
RH..............78 76 78 87 90 97 93 90 90 93 93 90
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 4 4 4 3 3 3 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 12 12 11 11 9 8 7 6 6 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 9 9 8 9 8 8 8 8 7 6
SDSPL KT-FT/100014 10 10 6 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 2
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4600 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (2100-14800 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD (47900-55800 KNOT-FT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............61 65 67 71 75 78 80 82 84 85 86 86
RH..............90 90 87 79 71 64 58 55 49 46 45 45
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SE SE SE SE SE S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 1 2 3 3 4 5 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 6 8 11 12 13 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.1 2.8 3.4 4.1 4.6 4.6 4.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW S S S S S SE S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 7 7 7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14
SDSPL KT-FT/10003 2 6 8 9 15 22 31 41 51 56 48
FORECASTER...JOSH
REQUESTED BY...MARY WACHUTA
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2614806.16/DLH
.DELDT 06/07/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MASON.VANCE@USDA.GOV,JAYEA@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV,MARY.WACHUTA@USDA.GOV,BRINKMANJ@STLOUISCOUNTYMN.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page