114
FNUS73 KDLH 232147
FWSDLH
SPOT FORECAST FOR WALKER PRAIRIE PERMANENT OPENING...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
447 PM CDT TUE APR 23 2024
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 24.
IF THERE ARE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST, OR IF
CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE IN DULUTH AT 218-729-0653.
DISCUSSION
NO RAINFALL IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY UNDER MOSTLY
SUNNY SKIES AND NEAR-NORMAL TEMPERATURES. LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS
IN THE MORNING BECOME MORE SOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY BY MID-AFTERNOON
WEDNESDAY. THERE IS A 40% CHANCE OF A LIGHT LAKE BREEZE OFF OF LEECH
LAKE BY LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING TOMORROW CREATING A WIND
SHIFT TO EAST-NORTHEASTERLY, BUT CURRENT THINKING WILL BE WINDS
REMAINING SOUTHERLY AT LEAST THROUGH MID-AFTERNOON, IF NOT THE ENTIRE
OPERATIONAL PERIOD (60% CHANCE).
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON
POSSIBLY (40% CHANCE) BECOMING EAST-NORTHEAST
BY EARLY EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (12000-23100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING
TO GOOD (51700 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............39 43 46 48 50 51 53 54 54
RH..............70 62 55 46 38 31 28 33 37
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW ENE ENE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 7 7 7 7 7 5 4
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 10 10 11 11 12 7 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.6 3.7 4.5 5.1 5.5 6.0 6.0 5.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 10 9 10 10 10 10
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
SDSPL KT-FT/100012 23 33 40 41 49 54 54 52
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........67 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6800-25300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO
POOR (4200 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............54 51 45 44 40 39
RH..............37 41 54 58 63 67
20 FT WIND......S 7 S 6 S 6 S 8 S 9 S 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12 9 9 14 14 14
MIX HGT (FT)....3200 800 400 400 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 9 S 10 S 12 S 14 S 14 S 14
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4
SDSPL KT-FT/100025 7 4 5 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 16 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 23 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 24 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6100-20100 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
GOOD TO EXCELLENT (48600-60800 KNOT-FT).
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.00 INCHES.
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1
TEMP............39 43 51 57 60 61
RH..............65 60 54 51 49 49
20 FT WIND......S 8 S 9 S 11 S 12 S 15 S 16
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 16 19 21 23
MIX HGT (FT)....500 900 1700 2700 3000 2500
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 16 S 20 S 22 S 22 S 23
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 13 29 50 58 50
FORECASTER...NATHAN
REQUESTED BY...MIKE KLICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411633.1/DLH
.DELDT 04/23/24
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.KLICK@USDA.GOV
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