082  
FNUS73 KFGF 121551  
FWSFGF  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEACHES LAKE FIRE...MN DNR FORESTRY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND  
1051 AM CDT TUE OCT 12 2021  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 12.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CALL THE NWS IN GRAND FORKS AT 701-795-5127 FOR ADDITIONAL  
INFORMATION AND MONITOR OUR WEBSITE (WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FGF) OR NOAA  
ALL-HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SEASONABLY MILD AND DRY TODAY, WITH A FEW AFTERNOON GUSTS AROUND  
20 MPH POSSIBLE (THOUGH RH VALUES SHOULD REMAIN HIGH). A  
WIDESPREAD RAIN EVENT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO FAR NORTHWEST MN  
BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH RAIN CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING.  
THIS DOES EVENTUALLY WEAKEN IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WEDNESDAY  
NIGHT. HEAVIEST RAIN AND BEST CHANCES WILL TEND TO BE IN THE  
AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN THE AREA OF THE SPOT FORECAST,  
WITH RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE EVENT IN THE 0.5 TO 1.5" RANGE  
POSSIBLE. BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE HIGHER END OF THOSE  
TOTALS IS MORE LIKELY FURTHER WEST IN ND. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS  
NOT ANTICIPATED IN THE AREA OF THE SPOT.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY BECOMING SUNNY.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (22100-33800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
SKY (%).........43 51 67 71 62 60 41 12  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............46 48 50 52 53 53 52 51  
RH..............73 68 63 60 59 54 59 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 12 12 12 12 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 18 18 18 18 18 18  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6  
MIXING WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N  
MIXING WIND SPD.16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16  
VRATE KT-FT/100024 24 34 34 34 34 34 34  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-600 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM  
SKY (%).........14 36 49 65 63 71  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............48 44 42 41 41 43  
RH..............65 82 86 92 96 93  
20 FT WIND......N 8 N 8 N 8 NE 11 NE 11 NE 11  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 500 600 600 600  
MIXING WIND.....N 15 N 15 N 15 NE 18 NE 18 NE 18  
VRATE KT-FT/10008 8 8 12 12 12  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN  
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE  
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 37  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1300 FT AGL.  
MIXING WINDS........EAST 25 TO 32 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (13700-42600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........76 91 95 94  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............44 50 53 54  
RH..............96 86 83 83  
20 FT WIND......E 19G32 E 19G32 E 22G37 E 22G37  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 900 1300 1300  
MIXING WIND.....E 25 E 25 E 32 E 32  
VRATE KT-FT/100030 30 43 43  
 

 
FORECASTER...DJR  
REQUESTED BY...JON HANDRICK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2119394.0/FGF  
.DELDT 10/12/21  
.EMAIL JON.HANDRICK@STATE.MN.US  
 
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