082
FNUS73 KFGF 121551
FWSFGF
SPOT FORECAST FOR BEACHES LAKE FIRE...MN DNR FORESTRY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS ND
1051 AM CDT TUE OCT 12 2021
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 CDT ON OCTOBER 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.
PLEASE CALL THE NWS IN GRAND FORKS AT 701-795-5127 FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION AND MONITOR OUR WEBSITE (WWW.WEATHER.GOV/FGF) OR NOAA
ALL-HAZARDS RADIO FOR THE LATEST UPDATES.
DISCUSSION
SEASONABLY MILD AND DRY TODAY, WITH A FEW AFTERNOON GUSTS AROUND
20 MPH POSSIBLE (THOUGH RH VALUES SHOULD REMAIN HIGH). A
WIDESPREAD RAIN EVENT IS EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO FAR NORTHWEST MN
BY LATE WEDNESDAY MORNING WITH RAIN CONTINUING INTO THE EVENING.
THIS DOES EVENTUALLY WEAKEN IN COVERAGE AND INTENSITY WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. HEAVIEST RAIN AND BEST CHANCES WILL TEND TO BE IN THE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EARLY EVENING IN THE AREA OF THE SPOT FORECAST,
WITH RAINFALL TOTALS FOR THE EVENT IN THE 0.5 TO 1.5" RANGE
POSSIBLE. BASED ON THE CURRENT TRACK THE HIGHER END OF THOSE
TOTALS IS MORE LIKELY FURTHER WEST IN ND. THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY IS
NOT ANTICIPATED IN THE AREA OF THE SPOT.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY BECOMING SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (22100-33800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........43 51 67 71 62 60 41 12
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............46 48 50 52 53 53 52 51
RH..............73 68 63 60 59 54 59 61
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 12 12 12 12 12 12
20 FT WIND GUST.13 13 18 18 18 18 18 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.6
MIXING WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N
MIXING WIND SPD.16 16 16 16 16 16 16 16
VRATE KT-FT/100024 24 34 34 34 34 34 34
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 15 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6400 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM
SKY (%).........14 36 49 65 63 71
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............48 44 42 41 41 43
RH..............65 82 86 92 96 93
20 FT WIND......N 8 N 8 N 8 NE 11 NE 11 NE 11
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 16 16 16
MIX HGT (FT)....500 500 500 600 600 600
MIXING WIND.....N 15 N 15 N 15 NE 18 NE 18 NE 18
VRATE KT-FT/10008 8 8 12 12 12
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 17 TO 22 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 37
MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 25 TO 32 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (13700-42600 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 10 AM 1 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........76 91 95 94
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............44 50 53 54
RH..............96 86 83 83
20 FT WIND......E 19G32 E 19G32 E 22G37 E 22G37
MIX HGT (FT)....900 900 1300 1300
MIXING WIND.....E 25 E 25 E 32 E 32
VRATE KT-FT/100030 30 43 43
FORECASTER...DJR
REQUESTED BY...JON HANDRICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2119394.0/FGF
.DELDT 10/12/21
.EMAIL JON.HANDRICK@STATE.MN.US
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