795  
FNUS73 KMPX 301154  
FWSMPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SALISBURY HILL...MN DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
654 AM CDT WED OCT 30 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 CDT ON OCTOBER 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
TEMPERATURES WILL DROP THROUGH THE DAY WITH HIGH RH  
LIKELY TO CONTINUE. WNW WINDS WILL GRADUALLY SHIFT MORE NORTHERLY  
THROUGHOUT THE MORNING, PERSISTING OUT OF THE NORTH BY NOON.  
SCATTERED SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING AND AFTERNOON,  
BECOMING MORE WIDESPREAD LATER TONIGHT.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT FORECAST START...MAX 58.  
RH..................82 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 5 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 10 TO 12 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /5900 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.  
MAX...GOOD /32300 KNOT-FT/.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL AT FORECAST START...OTHERWISE 2400  
FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 14 TO  
17 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT FORECAST START...MAX  
2.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............59 58 58 57 57 56 56 54 54 53 52 51  
RH..............82 81 80 77 75 74 72 74 74 74 77 77  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 8 10 12 10 10 10 10 12 10 12 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 18 20 20 21 20 21 20 22 21 22 23  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.3 1.5 1.8 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.2 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 14 16 17 16 16 15 14 15 14 17 17  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS  
IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.  
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 12 TO 16 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (37900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO FAIR (28300 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 17 TO 23 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW IN THE  
MORNING, THEN RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 42.  
RH..................MIN 73 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 31  
MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33600 KNOT-FT).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 17  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
 
FORECASTER...DETTMANN  
REQUESTED BY...JIM WILSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2425295.0/MPX  
.DELDT 10/30/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JIM.WILSON@STATE.MN.US  
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