918
FNUS73 KMPX 221228
FWSMPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR PHALEN LAKESHORE BURN...CITY OF SAINT PAUL PARKS AND RECREATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
728 AM CDT WED APR 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 22.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH
THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
ELEVATED TO NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
TODAY WITH RH FALLING INTO THE UPPER 20S PERCENT AS TEMPERATURES
RISE INTO THE LOW 80S BY THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL FAVOR
SOUTHEASTERLY AT THE SURFACE WITH A SOUTHWARD SHIFT ALOFT BY THE
EARLY AFTERNOON AS SPEEDS INCREASE GRADUALLY TODAY SUSTAINED AT
10-15 GUSTING UP TO 25-30MPH. WINDS AND RH REMAIN JUST ABOVE RED
FLAG CRITERIA, HOWEVER WE MAY END UP REACHING IT FOR AN HOUR OR
TWO THIS AFTERNOON IF GUSTS OVERPERFORM BY JUST A FEW MILES PER
HOUR.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.
RH..................49 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 8 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 16
MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /12600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...EXCELLENT /95100 KNOT-FT/.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4000 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 22 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 25
TO 28 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57 63 68 72 77 79 81 82 81 81 78 76
RH..............49 44 40 35 30 30 28 28 32 32 37 43
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8 10 13 14 15 15 16 16 16 16 16 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 20 21 23 24 26 28 28 28 28 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.2 1.5 2.1 2.8 3.3 3.0 3.8 4.0 3.5 1.3 0.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE S S S S S S S SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 16 17 18 20 22 21 25 28 28 21 18
FORECASTER...HASENSTEIN
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW SCHOONOVER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2611292.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANDREW.SCHOONOVER@CI.STPAUL.MN.US
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