052
FNUS73 KMPX 161325
FWSMPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR REGAL FLATS SOUTH RX...MN DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
825 AM CDT WED SEP 16 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH
THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
GOOD MORNING, FOR THE REGAL FLATS SOUTH RX BURN. THE MAIN
CHALLENGE WILL BE THE LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS THIS MORNING.
A SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE IS OVERHEAD, WITH NEARLY CALM
CONDITIONS ACROSS THE REGION AS OF 800 AM.
AS WE GET TO MID-MORNING CLOSER TO IGNITION TIME, THE WINDS
WILL START TO TAKE ON A MORE EAST/SOUTHEAST DIRECTION, AND
THIS TREND WILL CONTINUE INTO THE AFTERNOON. CONFIDENCE IN
WIND DIRECTION AND SPEED IS PRETTY HIGH AFTER 1200 PM.
LATER THIS EVENING, CLOUDS WILL INCREASE AND RAIN SHOWERS
SHOULD DEVELOP. THE HIGHEST CHANCE FOR RAIN WILL BE NEAR
AND AFTER SUNSET.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................80 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 5 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9
MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /7600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/33300 KNOT-FT/.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3500 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 13 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
TEMP............59 64 67 69 71 71 71 71 70 67 64 62
RH..............80 68 58 54 52 52 52 50 56 65 74 80
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 7 8 8 8 9 8 8 7 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 13 14 15 15 15 15 14 13 10 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.8 3.0 3.5 3.4 3.2 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S SE SE SE SE SE SE S SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 10 10 10 10 12 13 12 8 8 8 8
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN CHANCE
OF RAIN SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT
CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 55.
RH..................MAX 99 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 75.
RH..................MIN 53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (40300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 6 TO 10
MPH IN THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
FORECASTER...BEITLICH
REQUESTED BY...AREA WILDLIFE MANAGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2621944.0/MPX
.DELDT 09/16/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CORY.NETLAND@STATE.MN.US
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