815
FNUS73 KMPX 021038
FWSMPX
SPOT FORECAST FOR STRANDNESS SOUTH...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
538 AM CDT FRI JUN 2 2023
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON JUNE 02.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH
THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
IT WILL BE ANOTHER WARM DAY TODAY, WITH AFTERNOON HIGHS EXPECTED TO
TOP OUT NEAR 90. HOWEVER, A MOIST AIRMASS IS IN PLACE, SO AFTERNOON
HUMIDITIES ARE NOT EXPECTED TO DROP BELOW THE 40S. ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON, THOUGH STORM
CHANCES LOOK BETTER EAST AND SOUTH OF GLENWOOD.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........78 AT IGNITION...MAX 88.
RH..................60 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /29200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION.
MAX...EXCELLENT /97100 KNOT-FT/.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 6500 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 14 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT ISO ISO
TEMP............78 81 83 86 86 87 86 85 83 81 79 76
RH..............60 54 49 45 44 42 42 43 48 51 55 61
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE
20 FT WIND SPD..12 13 14 15 15 14 13 12 10 9 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.16 17 18 21 21 20 17 17 15 14 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 3.7 4.7 5.7 6.5 6.1 6.2 4.8 4.3 1.4 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S SE SE
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 16 17 17 17 16 15 15 12 12 10
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 65.
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (56500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING
DECREASING TO POOR (3400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE
NIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 89.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (51300 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER
REQUESTED BY...ERIC HOFF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2314395.0/MPX
.DELDT 06/02/23
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL EHOFF@TNC.ORG
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