073  
FNUS73 KMPX 171411  
FWSMPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WILDLIFE FESTIVAL...FWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
911 AM CDT MON SEP 17 2018  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
CLOUDS INCREASING WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS MOVING IN MAINLY AFTER 2 PM.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.MAINLY AFTER 2 PM.  
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.  
RH..................61 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 53 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2100-3200  
FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /23200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/37100 KNOT-FT/.  
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE AT IGNITION...MAX 5.  
 
TIME (CDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
TEMP............70 71 73 73 72 71 70  
RH..............61 57 53 53 53 57 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 8 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.1 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.2 2.7 2.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NE N N N N NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 13 14 15 15  
MIXING WIND DIR.N NE N N N N NE  
MIXING WIND SPD.13 12 12 13 14 15 15  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 5 5 5 4  
SDSPL KT-FT/100023 24 29 33 37 33 28  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN  
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40  
PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 56.  
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH AFTER  
MIDNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 7 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6700-23900 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM  
TEMP............69 64 60 58 57 56  
RH..............66 75 84 90 86 86  
20 FT WIND......N 4 NE 4 N 3 N 4 NE 5 NE 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....1800 1700 1400 1200 1000 900  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 15 E 12 NE 8 NE 7 NE 9 E 9  
MIXING WIND.....E 15 E 12 NE 8 NE 7 NE 9 E 9  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/100024 17 12 7 8 7  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS IN  
THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 20 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.  
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-2700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200 FT AGL IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (6100-25600 KNOT-FT).  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
TEMP............56 59 64 68 70 70  
RH..............93 87 73 65 63 63  
20 FT WIND......N 4 N 5 N 5 N 6 NE 6 NE 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.  
MIX HGT (FT)....900 1500 2300 3200 3200 3200  
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 8 NE 9 NE 8 NE 6 NE 6 E 8  
MIXING WIND.....NE 8 NE 9 NE 8 NE 6 NE 6 E 8  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3  
SDSPL KT-FT/10006 12 15 15 17 22  
 

 
FORECASTER...WFO MPX  
REQUESTED BY...KRIS LARSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1815872.0/MPX  
.EMAIL KRIS_LARSON@FWS.GOV  
 
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