270  
FNUS73 KMPX 221159  
FWSMPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BURR OAK C...FWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
659 AM CDT THU AUG 22 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON AUGUST 22.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
LIGHT EAST/NORTHEAST WINDS TODAY WITH RH VALUES DIPPING TO  
BETWEEN 40 AND 45 PERCENT THIS AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 74.  
RH..................65 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS EAST AT 4 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 3800-5300  
FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600-6000 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING WINDS........NORTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /22700 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/42200 KNOT-FT/.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM  
TEMP............65 68 70 72 72 73 74 74 74  
RH..............65 57 51 46 46 44 44 46 46  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E NE NE NE NE E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.8 4.5 5.3 6.0 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 6  
MIXING WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NE NE  
MIXING WIND SPD.7 8 8 8 8 7 6 6 6  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
SDSPL KT-FT/100023 32 37 42 42 35 29 28 28  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.  
RH..................MAX 96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND  
5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING LIGHT  
BECOMING EAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-5400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-2100 FT AGL  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING WINDS........EAST 6 TO 9 MPH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM  
TEMP............72 63 56 55 54 52  
RH..............51 70 83 83 86 96  
20 FT WIND......E 5 E 4 E 5 SE 5 SE 4 E 4  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....5400 2100 400 300 300 300  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 8 E 9 E 8 E 7 E 8  
MIXING WIND.....E 6 E 8 E 9 E 8 E 7 E 8  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 76.  
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3000-4700 FT AGL  
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 7 TO 14 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 3  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
TEMP............53 61 69 74 76 76  
RH..............96 78 61 53 52 52  
20 FT WIND......E 6 SE 6 SE 7 SE 9 SE 9 SE 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 11 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 2100 3600 4600 4700 4400  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 12 SE 14 SE 14 SE 12 SE 12 SE 7  
MIXING WIND.....E 12 SE 14 SE 14 SE 12 SE 12 SE 7  
 

 
FORECASTER...SCHMIT  
REQUESTED BY...JARED CULBERTSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1914185.0/MPX  
.EMAIL JARED_CULBERTSON@FWS.GOV  
 
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