460  
FNUS73 KMPX 251117  
FWSMPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROSCOE RX...OTHER  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
617 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 25.  
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
RAIN THIS MORNING WILL STAY SOUTH OF PAYNESVILLE, BUT THE AREA OF RAIN  
OF RAIN OVER EASTERN SD AT 6AM WILL DRIFT NORTHEAST INTO CENTRAL MN THIS  
AFTERNOON, BRINGING RAIN CHANCES TO THE BURN SITE LATER TODAY. GIVEN  
THE CLOUDS AND RAIN CHANCE, IT WILL BE HARD TO GET RHS BELOW 50%. WITH  
THESE HIGHER RHS, IT WOULD BE HELPFUL TO HAVE SOME WIND TO HELP YOU OUT,  
BUT THOSE WILL BE LIGHT AND GENERALLY OUT OF THE NORTH AT 10 MPH OR LESS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.  
RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 6 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /20200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/20800 KNOT-FT/.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 7  
TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC CDY CDY CDY CDY  
WEATHER COV.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............45 46 47 48 49 49 50 52 50 50 49 47  
RH..............76 71 68 68 66 66 63 61 68 66 66 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW N N NE NE N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 6 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 12 12 13 12 13 13 12 12 12 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.9 2.0 2.3 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.1 1.7 1.0 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW N N N N N NE N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 8 7 8 8 8 8 8 12 12  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AFTER 3 AM.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 42.  
RH..................MAX 93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (13700 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (6600 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 15 MPH.  
   
SUNDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.  
RH..................MIN 55 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST  
9 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (50800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 14  
TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 
 
FORECASTER...GRIESINGER  
REQUESTED BY...BEN CARLSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2611697.0/MPX  
.DELDT 04/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ERIC.CHIEN@TNC.ORG,BENJAMIN.CARLSON@TNC.ORG  
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