924  
FNUS73 KMPX 241339  
FWSMPX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CARPENTER RD PILES...USFWS CONTRACTOR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN  
739 AM CST WED DEC 24 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0815 CST ON DECEMBER 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS WITH  
THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
FOR THE CARPENTER RD PILES RX BURN, TEMPERATURES  
WILL BEGIN IN THE MID-20S AT IGNITION AND WARM TO THE LOW 30S THIS  
AFTERNOON. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL START IN THE 90 PERCENTS  
AND ONLY FALL TO THE MID-70 PERCENTS THIS AFTERNOON. SKIES WILL  
REMAIN MOSTLY CLOUDY FOR A MAJORITY OF TODAY WITH WITH SE WINDS  
BETWEEN 5-10KTS EARLY. A WEAK DISTURBANCE DOES MOVE THROUGH TODAY  
BUT SHOULD KEEP PRECIP CHANCES PINNED TO SOUTHERN MN TODAY.  
HOWEVER WINDS WILL SHIFT TO EASTERLY BY MID-AFTERNOON THEN  
NORTHERLY THIS EVENING.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........24 AT IGNITION...MAX 33.  
RH..................92 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 6 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING BECOMING LIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /5300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/8500 KNOT-FT/.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 3 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 3 TO 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
TEMP............22 24 27 29 32 32 33 33 32 31 29 27  
RH..............88 92 88 88 85 85 85 82 85 85 88 92  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE S S S SE E E NE N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 6 6 5 3 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 12 13 13 12 9 8 7 7 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S SE E NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 14 12 8 6 3 3 5 6 6  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 19.  
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1600 KNOT-FT).  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 6 TO 15 MPH.  
   
CHRISTMAS DAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
VERY LIGHT FREEZING DRIZZLE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF DRIZZLE LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 32.  
RH..................MIN 85 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 21  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (31400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 14 TO 23 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
AROUND 24 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 

 
FORECASTER...DUNLEAVY  
REQUESTED BY...KEEGAN MCCAFFERTY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528014.2/MPX  
.DELDT 12/24/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL K.MCCAFFERTY@NRP.ECO  
 
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