917
FXUS63 KDLH 301909
AFDDLH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DULUTH MN
209 PM CDT THU APR 30 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- SCATTERED TO ISOLATED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS ARE FORECAST OVER
THE MINNESOTA ARROWHEAD AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST WISCONSIN
TODAY. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN A FEW
HUNDREDTHS OF AN INCH.
- RAIN SHOWER CHANCES RETURN SATURDAY EVENING AND EARLY SUNDAY
MORNING. PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS WILL BE LIGHT.
- A CLIPPER WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS TO THE
NORTHLAND SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT WITH LIGHT
PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 208 PM CDT THU APR 30 2026
TONIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...
COOL AIR ALOFT AND CYCLONIC FLOW OVER THE REGION SUPPORTED
ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS EARLY THIS AFTERNOON
OVER THE ARROWHEAD AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST WISCONSIN. NO
ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FROM THESE SHOWERS DUE TO RELATIVELY
WARM GROUND AND THE SHORT DURATION OF SNOW AT ANY GIVEN
LOCATION. THE SHOWERS WILL DISSIPATE THIS EVENING WITH THE LOSS
OF DAYTIME HEATING. SKIES WILL GRADUALLY CLEAR AND LOW
TEMPERATURES WILL DIP INTO THE LOW TO UPPER 20S.
BROAD HIGH PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE AND DRIER AIR ALOFT WILL
LIMIT CLOUD COVER AND ALLOW FOR SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES
FRIDAY. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE LOW 40S ALONG THE NORTH SHORE
TO THE LOW 50S IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA INTO PINE AND BURNETT
COUNTIES. THERE'S A SMALL CHANCE OF SPRINKLES OR FLURRIES OVER
THE ARROWHEAD DURING THE AFTERNOON.
FAIRLY QUIET CONDITIONS AND WARMER TEMPERATURES ARE FORECAST
SATURDAY. CONDITIONS WILL BE A LITTLE DRIER WITH RH VALUES
DIPPING INTO THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE. WINDS WILL BE BE A
LITTLE STRONGER FROM THE SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP
TO 15 MPH. NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP.
HIGHS WILL BE NEAR-NORMAL AND RANGE FROM THE UPPER 40S ALONG THE
NORTH SHORE TO THE LOW 60S IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA.
SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT WEEK...
A FAST-MOVING CLIPPER WILL BRING A CHANCE OF SCATTERED RAIN
SHOWERS TO THE NORTHLAND SATURDAY NIGHT AND EARLY SUNDAY.
MOISTURE APPEARS LIMITED WITH THAT SYSTEM AND PRECIPITATION
AMOUNTS SHOULD BE LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH. A WEAK COOL
FRONT WILL FOLLOW THE CLIPPER AND TURN WINDS NORTHWESTERLY ON
SUNDAY. RH VALUES WILL BE LOW ONCE AGAIN AND WINDS WILL BE A
LITTLE STRONGER AT 8 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS OF 10 TO 20 MPH.
SUNDAY IS SHAPING UP AS ANOTHER DAY OF NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE
WEATHER CONDITIONS.
A MORE POTENT CLIPPER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION EARLY MONDAY
MORNING THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT. A STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL
ACCOMPANY THAT SYSTEM. RAIN SHOWERS ARE LIKELY FOR MONDAY
POSSIBLY MIXING WITH A FEW SNOWFLAKES MONDAY NIGHT. WINDS WILL
BE GUSTY AND TEMPERATURES WILL TREND COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S NEAR THE CANADIAN BORDER AND THE UPPER 50S SOUTH.
IN THE WAKE OF MONDAY'S SYSTEM A BROAD UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL
SET UP OVER THE WESTERN GREAT LAKES AND UPPER MIDWEST AND
PERSIST THROUGH FRIDAY, KEEPING THE NORTHLAND IN COOL NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT. GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS PERSIST ON TUESDAY WITH HIGHS
IN THE MIDDLE 40S TO MIDDLE 50S. DESPITE THE COOLER
TEMPERATURES, RHS WILL BE LOW DURING THE AFTERNOON AND NEAR-
CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE. CYCLONIC FLOW
ALOFT AND COOL AIR ADVECTION WILL SUPPORT SCATTERED DIURNAL
SHOWERS OVER THE NORTHLAND. TEMPERATURES REMAIN COOL WITH
CHANCES OF SCATTERED SHOWERS WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 101 PM CDT THU APR 30 2026
VFR CEILINGS ARE FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING WITH
SCATTERED TO ISOLATED RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS EXPECTED. BRD WILL SEE
THE LEAST CLOUD COVER AND LIMITED CEILINGS. WINDS BECOME CALM
TONIGHT AND THEN STRENGTHEN FROM THE NORTH FRIDAY. A FEW
ISOLATED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS MAY DEVELOP FRIDAY AFTERNOON IN
THE ARROWHEAD. CHANCES ARE LOWER THAN TODAY SINCE THE ATMOSPHERE
WILL BE DRIER WITH FEWER CLOUDS THAN TODAY.
MARINE /FOR NEARSHORE WATERS OF WESTERN LAKE SUPERIOR/
ISSUED AT 208 PM CDT THU APR 30 2026
WINDS WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVER THE WATERS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AT 5 TO 10 KNOTS WITH A STRAY GUST TO 15 KNOTS. A
FEW RAIN OR SNOW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE AND WILL TAPER OFF THIS
EVENING. FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ARE SHAPING UP FAIRLY QUIET WITH
VARIABLE WINDS UP TO 10 KNOTS AND A FEW GUSTS TO 15 KNOTS. A
WEAK LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL PASS BY TO THE NORTH SATURDAY
NIGHT AND WILL BRING A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS. A COLD FRONT WILL
TURN WINDS WESTERLY ON SUNDAY WITH SLIGHTLY STRONGER WINDS OF 5
TO 15 KNOTS WITH GUSTS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS. WINDS TURN
SOUTHWESTERLY BY EARLY MONDAY MORNING AND STRENGTHEN AS A
STRONGER LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM PASSES TO THE NORTH. SUSTAINED
WINDS OF 10 TO 20 KNOTS ARE FORECAST WITH GUSTS OF 20 TO 30
KNOTS. THOSE CONDITIONS WILL BE HAZARDOUS TO SMALLER VESSELS.
THERE IS A 20% CHANCE OF GALES OVER THE WATERS OF THE NORTH
SHORE MONDAY.
FOR THE OPEN WATER DISCUSSION, REFER TO THE NWS MARQUETTE AREA
FORECAST DISCUSSION AT WEATHER.GOV/MQT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 101 PM CDT THU APR 30 2026
WEAK LOW PRESSURE NEAR THE GROUND AND A RELAXED PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL PROVIDE WINDS GENERALLY FROM THE NORTH AT 5 TO 12
MPH THROUGH EARLY EVENING. FRIDAY WILL BE SIMILAR WITH HIGH
PRESSURE NEARBY AND LIGHT NORTHERLY WINDS. RH VALUES WILL FALL
INTO THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT, A LITTLE DRIER THAN TODAY. HIGHS WILL
BE BELOW NORMAL, THOUGH A FEW DEGREES WARMER THAN TODAY. HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE LOW 40S TO LOW 50S. A LITTLE WARMER SATURDAY AS
WEAK LOW PRESSURE PASSES OVER NORTHWEST ONTARIO. HIGHS WILL BE
IN THE UPPER 40S ALONG THE NORTH SHORE TO THE LOW 60S IN CENTRAL
MINNESOTA. WINDS WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY AND SHOULD STILL BE
RELATIVELY LIGHT. RH VALUES WILL BOTTOM OUT BETWEEN 25 AND 35
PERCENT. SUNDAY IS SHAPING UP WARMER WITH LOW 50S TO MIDDLE 60S.
WINDS WILL TURN NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND A "COOL" FRONT OVERNIGHT.
WIND SPEEDS AND GUSTS WILL BE A LITTLE STRONGER 8 TO 15 MPH
SUSTAINED WITH GUSTS OF 12 TO 20 MPH. AFTERNOON RH VALUES WILL
BE IN THE 25 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE. BOTH SATURDAY AND SUNDAY HAVE
THE POTENTIAL FOR NEAR-CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS OVER THE
NORTHEAST QUARTER OF MINNESOTA.
SEE THE FIRE WEATHER FORECAST PRODUCT FOR A MORE THOROUGH
BREAKDOWN OF FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS.
DLH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.
DISCUSSION...HUYCK
AVIATION...HUYCK
MARINE...HUYCK
FIRE WEATHER...HUYCK
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