601
FXUS63 KMPX 300955
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
355 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- REMNANT LIGHT SNOW ENDS FROM WEST TO EAST THIS MORNING.
- WEAK CLIPPER SYSTEM PROVIDES A POTENTIAL FOR SNOW SHOWERS
WEDNESDAY.
- COLDER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE FIRST WEEK OF
DECEMBER, WITH THE FIRST WIDESPREAD SUB-ZERO MORNING OF THE SEASON
LOOKING LIKELY THURSDAY.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 354 AM CST SUN NOV 30 2025
LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS THIS MORNING SHOWS LOW PRESSURE ENTERING THE
CHICAGOLAND REGION OF ILLINOIS AND CONTINUING NORTHEAST. THE WESTERN
EDGE OF THAT SYSTEM (WHICH BROUGHT US THIS SNOWFALL), IS SEEN WELL
ON NIGHTTIME MICROPHYSICS. STRATUS COUPLED WITH LIGHT SNOW IS
STILL WORKING ON CLEARING OUT OF THE EASTERN HALF OF MINNESOTA
AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. SNOW SHOULD CONTINUE TO TAPER OFF FROM
WEST TO EAST THROUGH THIS MORNING AND ALL SHOULD BE SNOW-FREE
AROUND NOON IF NOT SOONER. STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL AMOUNTS AS OF 12
AM FOR OUR CLIMATE SITES WERE: NWS TWIN CITIES WERE 6.5 INCHES,
MSP INT'L AIRPORT AT 3.9 INCHES, AND EAU 4.0 INCHES. MORE
MEASUREMENTS ACROSS THE AREA SHOULD BEGIN TO FILTER IN BY MID-
MORNING. AS ALWAYS, FEEL FREE TO PROVIDE YOUR SNOW TOTAL
MEASUREMENT VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OR EMAILING OUR OFFICE AS ITS
GREATLY APPRECIATED!
NOW THAT THIS LOW HAS PASSED, THE "FUN" PART OF THIS WINTER STORM
ARRIVES, I.E. COLD TEMPERATURES. COLDER AIR IS BEING CHANNELED
BETWEEN THE AFOREMENTIONED LOW TO OUR SE AND BUILDING HIGH PRESSURE
TO THE WEST. ACROSS MUCH OF MN, BREEZY NNW'LY GUSTS ARE BEING
REPORTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 20-25MPH. THESE WINDS COULD CREATE A FEW
AREAS OF BLOWING SNOW OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE
DECREASING THIS MORNING. OVERCAST SKIES SHOULD TRANSITION TO
PARTIAL SUNSHINE BY THIS AFTERNOON. FORECAST HIGHS TODAY WILL
DEPEND ON YOUR LOCATION. AREAS ACROSS WESTERN MN AND CLOSER TO
THE REGION OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL SEE HIGHS IN THE TEENS. AREAS
EAST OF THE ST. CROIX RIVER VALLEY WILL REACH REACH THE LOW 20S.
LOWS AREA WIDE TONIGHT WILL BE NEAR 0 DEGREES.
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES MOVING SE'WARD INTO IOWA AND
REACHING ITS PEAK STRENGTH ~1036MB MONDAY. FORECAST HIGH TEMPERATURE
DISTRIBUTION APPEARS UNIFORM NEAR THE 20 DEGREE MARK. SKIES FOR MOST
FOLKS WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY ALTHOUGH SOME SUN MIGHT TRY AND BREAK
THROUGH THE CLOUDS ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN MN. LOWS MONDAY NIGHT WILL
RANGE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. BY TUESDAY, TEMPERATURES WARM UP
SLIGHTLY INTO LOWER 20S.
BY WEDNESDAY, UPPER-LEVEL TROUGHING SINKS SOUTHWARD OVER THE HUDSON
BAY BELOW IN THE MID-LEVELS, A CLIPPER SYSTEM DEVELOPS OVER
SASKATCHEWAN AND HEADS ESE ACROSS THE INT'L BORDER. FORECAST
GUIDANCE CURRENTLY FAVORS A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS DURING THE
DAYTIME HOURS. AS OF NOW, SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS LOOK TO BE ONLY
MINOR FEATURING A TRACE UP TO A HALF-INCH POSSIBLE. STRONGEST
CHANCES FOR ANY SNOW TO FALL ARE UP NEAR LAKE SUPERIOR WHICH IS
OUTLINED WELL BY THE LATEST NBM. TEMPERATURES ONCE AGAIN WILL BE
KICKED DOWN POST-FROPA. HIGHS WILL RETURN TO THE TEENS AND LOWS
NEARING THE DOUBLE DIGITS BELOW ZERO FOR EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1044 PM CST SAT NOV 29 2025
SNOW HAS BEGAN TO TAPER OFF IN WESTERN MN AND THE ENDING OF
PRECIP WILL SPREAD EAST TONIGHT, WITH SNOW ENDING AREA-WIDE BY
DAYBREAK. LIFR TO IFR VISIBILITIES ARE STILL EXPECTED FOR
SOUTHERN/EASTERN MN AND WI FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE
SNOWFALL LESSENS/STOPS. MVFR CIGS ARE EXPECTED FOR MOST OF
SUNDAY MORNING. HOWEVER, A BRIEF REDUCTION TO IFR LOOKS LIKELY
FOR WESTERN MN (AXN, RWF) NEAR SUNRISE. MEANWHILE, STC AND MSP
LOOK TO SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF VFR SUNDAY MORNING AS STRATO-
CUMULUS LIFTS JUST ENOUGH TO EXCEED 3000 FEET. HOWEVER, LOW-
LEVEL MOISTENING COULD RESULT IN BRIEF PERIODS OF MVFR DURING
THE AFTERNOON. VFR EXPECTED FOR MOST TERMINALS SUNDAY EVENING,
BUT RWF AND MKT LOOK TO SEE MVFR AS STRATUS ARRIVES FROM THE
SOUTHWEST. NORTH-NORTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL GUST TO 20-25 KNOTS
THROUGH THIS MORNING BEFORE SLOWING TO UNDER 5 KNOTS AND
TURNING WESTERLY SUNDAY EVENING.
KMSP...VISIBILITIES OF 1 1/2SM EXPECTED UNTIL ABOUT 08Z BEFORE
SNOW ENDS. A MULTI-HOUR PERIOD OF VFR LOOKS LIKELY FROM 13-17Z
SUNDAY AS STRATO-CU LIFTS ABOVE 3000 FEET. HOWEVER, CIGS SHOULD
SINK BACK TO MVFR FOR THE AFTERNOON BEFORE RETURNING TO VFR
SUNDAY EVENING/NIGHT.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
MON...MVFR CHC IFR CIGS LATE. WIND SW 5-10KTS.
TUE...MVFR CHC IFR CIGS. CHC -SN OVERNIGHT. WIND SW 5-10KTS.
WED...MVFR CIGS LIKELY. CHC -SN EARLY. WIND NW 10-15KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
GOODHUE.
WI...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 6 AM CST EARLY THIS MORNING FOR
CHIPPEWA-DUNN-EAU CLAIRE-PEPIN-PIERCE-ST. CROIX.
DISCUSSION...DUNLEAVY
AVIATION...CTG
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