161
FXUS63 KMPX 250357
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
957 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- VERY COLD TEMPERATURES CONTINUE THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. A COLD
WEATHER ADVISORY WILL BE NEEDED SUNDAY NIGHT.
- REMAINING QUIET WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 202 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
IT'S ANOTHER COLD AFTERNOON WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE SINGLE
DIGITS ABOVE ZERO ACROSS SOUTHWEST MN AND BELOW ZERO ELSEWHERE.
WINDS ARE LIGHT, SO WIND CHILLS ARE NEGLIGIBLE. THE UPPER
MIDWEST WILL BE SANDWICHED BETWEEN TWO HIGH PRESSURE SYSTEMS
TONIGHT. WHILE WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE LIGHT ENOUGH TO
FACILITATE EFFICIENT RADIATIONAL COOLING, INCREASING CLOUDS WITH
AN APPROACHING TROUGH WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES FROM FALLING TO
LEVELS SEEN THIS MORNING. LOW LEVEL CLOUD COVER MAY ALSO SHAKE
OUT A FEW FLURRIES, BUT THE PROFILE WILL BE COLDER THAN THE
DGZ AND LITTLE OR NO LIFT WILL BE PRESENT WITHIN THE SATURATED
LAYER TO SUPPORT MORE THAN A FEW FLAKES HERE AND THERE.
ANOTHER HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD SOUTH INTO THE PLAINS SUNDAY
NIGHT. AFTER RISING ABOVE ZERO SUNDAY, A COLD FRONT WILL BRING
ANOTHER SHOT OF ARCTIC AIR IN SUNDAY NIGHT. THE RIDGE AXIS WILL
EXTEND NORTH INTO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND WINDS SHOULD BECOME
LIGHT WITH CLEAR SKIES. THIS WILL LEAD TO IDEAL RADIATIONAL
COOLING CONDITIONS AND THERE SHOULD BE WIDESPREAD -20S NORTH OF
I-94. ENOUGH WIND MAY EXIST TO RESULT IN HAZARDOUS WIND CHILLS
WHICH IS LIKELY TO PROMPT ANOTHER COLD WEATHER ADVISORY INTO
MONDAY MORNING.
A CLIPPER WILL SLIDE SOUTHEAST MONDAY TO THE NORTHERN GREAT
LAKES BY MONDAY NIGHT. THERE IS GOOD MODEL CONSISTENCY IN A HIGH
CONFIDENCE/LOW QPF SITUATION FROM NORTHERN MN TO NORTHERN WI
MONDAY EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS NEAR LADYSMITH SNOW
SATURATION AND MODERATE OMEGA FOR A BRIEF PERIOD. ADDED SLIGHT
CHANCE POPS NORTHEAST OF RICE LAKE AND EAU CLAIRE, BUT WILL
PROBABLY NEED TO INCREASE THEM IN COMING FORECASTS IF MODEL
CONSISTENCY REMAINS GOOD.
NORTHWEST FLOW WILL CONTINUE NEXT WEEK WITH OCCASIONAL BOUTS OF
COLDER AIR. SOME FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE AT TIMES, BUT THE
ATMOSPHERE SHOULD BE TOO DRY FOR ANY ACCUMULATING SNOW. A
MODERATING TREND SHOULD ARRIVE NEXT WEEKEND AS A MILDER PACIFIC
AIRMASS ENGULFS NORTH AMERICA.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 953 PM CST SAT JAN 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE TONIGHT AS MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS
SLOWLY SPREAD EAST ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL MINNESOTA. CEILINGS WILL
GRADUALLY LOWER THROUGHOUT THE DAY TOMORROW, WITH THE POTENTIAL
FOR A 5 TO 10 HOUR PERIOD OF MVFR CONDITIONS. THE BEST POTENTIAL
FOR THIS IS AT AXN, STC, AND RWF BEFORE COVERAGE THINS OUT MORE
OVER EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN WISCONSIN. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT BEFORE INCREASING OUT OF THE
NORTHWEST BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON. OCCASIONAL FLURRIES ARE
POSSIBLE, ESPECIALLY WHERE MVFR CIGS DEVELOP, THOUGH WE DO NOT
EXPECT A NOTABLE IMPACT TO VISIBILITIES.
KMSP...HAVE INTRODUCED A PERIOD OF MVFR CEILINGS FROM 19Z TO
02Z. OCCASIONAL FLURRIES ARE POSSIBLE WHILE LOWER CLOUDS ARE
MOVING OVERHEAD, THOUGH NOT EXPECTED TO MAKE AN IMPACT TO
VISIBILITY.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
MON...VFR. WIND SW 5-10 KTS.
TUE...VFR. WIND NW 5-10 KTS.
WED...VFR, CHC -SN/MVFR. WIND NW 5-10 KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...BORGHOFF
AVIATION...BED
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