259
FXUS63 KMPX 032002
AFDMPX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TWIN CITIES/CHANHASSEN MN
302 PM CDT THU APR 3 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER TEMPERATURE THROUGH MONDAY, WITH WARMER ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES MOST OF NEXT WEEK.
- NO SIGNAL FOR ANY LARGE SYSTEMS OVER THE NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 302 PM CDT THU APR 3 2025
COOL AIR ADVECTING IN TODAY BEHIND OUR LAST SYSTEM WILL KEEP US
MOSTLY CLOUDY AND COOL. WITH FORCING MUCH FARTHER AWAY NOW, NO
ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATING PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TODAY. TEMPERATURES
TODAY DEPENDS ON HOW MUCH, IF ANY, SNOW YOU GOT YESTERDAY. AREAS
WITH NEW SNOW ARE COOLER WITH HIGHS AROUND 40. AREAS WITH NO NEW
SNOW OR IF IT ALREADY MELTED ARE WARMER IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. ON
FRIDAY AN ADVANCING COLD FRONT WILL PROVIDE THE LIFT TO GENERATE
SOME RAIN AND SNOW CHANCES. AS THE FRONT MOVES FARTHER EAST THE
MOISTURE SUPPORT WEAKENS. SO WESTERN MINNESOTA WILL SEE BETTER
CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION THAN EASTERN MINNESOTA AND WESTERN
WISCONSIN. STILL THE FRONT IS WEAKENING AS IT APPROACHES SO IT WON'T
HAVE MUCH FRONTOGENESIS WITH IT AND THIS WILL NOT BE A SIGNIFICANT
AMOUNT OF QPF. TOTALS OF LIQUID QPF GENERALLY UNDER 0.1 INCHES, WITH
UP TO A HALF INCH OF SNOW ACCUMULATION POSSIBLE.
HIGHER PRESSURE MOVES IN FOR THE WEEKEND WITH A RETURN ON THE SUN!
IN THE POST FRONTAL AIRMASS TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN COOL AND BELOW
NORMAL WITH HIGHS GENERALLY IN THE 40S. LATE SUNDAY INTO EARLY
MONDAY WILL SEE ANOTHER PERIOD OF THE SYNOPTIC SUPPORT WITH THE LEFT
EXIT OF A JET STREAK AND A SHORTWAVE PASSING OVER EASTERN MINNESOTA
INTO WESTERN WISCONSIN. MOISTURE IS QUESTIONABLE SO MANY MEMBERS IN
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE HAVE NO QPF FOR THIS FEATURE. THOSE THAT DO AMONG
THE GLOBAL ENSEMBLE MEMBERS HAVE LITTLE QPF OF A FEW HUNDREDTHS.
BEHIND THIS SLIGHT PRECIPITATION CHANCE WILL BE ANOTHER PUSH OF COLD
AIR. THIS WILL BE THE COLDEST AIR OF THE WEEK WITH TEMEPRATURES
BOTTOMING OUT IN THE MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. AFTER THIS WARMER AIR
RETURNS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK WITH TEMPERATURES RISING INTO THE
60S.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY/
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT THU APR 3 2025
PERSISTENT MVFR CEILINGS TODAY WITH SOME DROPPING INTO IFR
TONIGHT IN WESTERN MINNESOTA (AXN AND RWF). THESE WESTERN
TERMINALS COULD ALSO SEE SOME RAIN OR SNOW AS WE GET NEAR THE
END OF THE PERIOD FRIDAY AFTERNOON. TOO CLOSE TO THE END OF THE
TAF FOR INCLUSION AT THIS TIME. WINDS WILL CONTINUE FROM THE
WEST/NORTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AROUND 10 KNOTS BEFORE BECOMING
LIGHT AND VARIABLE TONIGHT. LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE INTO FRIDAY
MORNING.
KMSP...NO ADDITIONAL CONCERNS.
/OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/
SAT...VFR. CHC MVFR CIGS EARLY. WIND NW 10-15 KTS.
SUN...VFR. WIND NW 10-15G25 KTS.
MON...VFR. WIND N 10-15 KTS.
MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
MN...NONE.
WI...NONE.
DISCUSSION...NDC
AVIATION...NDC
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