742  
AXUS73 KLSX 111910  
DGTLSX  
ILC001-005-009-013-027-051-061-083-117-119-121-133-135-149-157-  
163-189-MOC007-019-027-051-055-071-073-093-099-103-111-113-123-  
127-135-137-139-151-163-173-179-183-186-187-189-205-219-221-510-  
131915-  
 
DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MO  
210 PM CDT THU OCT 11 2018  
   
..HEAVY RAINS BRING DROUGHT IMPROVEMENT
 
 
SYNOPSIS...  
 
MUCH OF THE STATE OF MISSOURI OBSERVED A VERY WET WEEK, WITH  
HIGHEST AMOUNTS ACROSS CENTRAL, NORTHWESTERN, AND NORTHEASTERN  
PORTIONS OF THE STATE. TOTALS IN THE WETTEST AREAS RANGED FROM 4  
TO 10+ INCHES, BRINGING RELIEF TO ONGOING DROUGHT CONDITIONS. MOST  
SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS COMPARED TO LAST WEEK INCLUDE HIGHER  
STOCK WATER SUPPLIES, WETTER SOIL MOISTURE PERCENTILES, AND BETTER  
PASTURE CONDITIONS FOR AREA FARMERS.  
 
SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...  
 
ACCORDING TO THE LATEST UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE,  
SOYBEAN CONDITION WAS RATED 5 PERCENT VERY POOR AND 14 PERCENT  
POOR IN THE STATE OF MISSOURI. PASTURE CONDITION WAS 9 PERCENT  
VERY POOR AND 24 PERCENT POOR.  
 
SUPPLY OF HAY IS 42 PERCENT VERY SHORT AND 31 PERCENT SHORT, WITH  
STOCK WATER SUPPLY 9 PERCENT VERY SHORT AND 24 PERCENT SHORT.  
SHORT SUPPLIES OF HAY AND WATER, IN ADDITION TO GRASS, HAVE LED TO  
PROBLEMS FEEDING AND WATERING AREA LIVESTOCK.  
 
TOPSOIL MOISTURE SUPPLY WAS RATED 4 PERCENT VERY SHORT AND 12  
PERCENT SHORT, WITH SUBSOIL MOISTURE 8 PERCENT VERY SHORT AND 34  
PERCENT SHORT.  
 
CLIMATE SUMMARY...  
 
TEMPERATURES HAVE RUN APPROXIMATELY 3-7 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL  
SINCE THE START OF METEOROLOGICAL SUMMER (JUNE 1ST).  
PRECIPITATION DEPARTURES OVER THAT SAME PERIOD OF TIME ARE ON THE  
ORDER OF 3-7 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI.  
 
PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...  
 
THE OUTLOOK FROM THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER (CPC) FOR THE DAYS  
6-10 PERIOD FAVORS BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW NORMAL  
RAINFALL.  
 
IN THE WEEK 2 TIMEFRAME, THE CPC FAVORS BELOW NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES, ALONG WITH BELOW NORMAL PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE  
MID-MISSISSIPPI VALLEY.  
 
HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK...  
 
AFTER A VERY WET WEEK FOR SOME, 7-DAY STREAMFLOW PERCENTILES WERE  
WELL ABOVE ANY DROUGHT THRESHOLDS, MOSTLY ABOVE THE 80TH PERCENTILE.  
EVEN THE 28-DAY PERCENTILES ACROSS MISSOURI AND ILLINOIS WERE MOSTLY  
WELL ABOVE THE 70TH PERCENTILE.  
 
MOST AREA WELLS HAVE SHOWN IMPROVEMENT OVER THE PAST WEEK. IN  
CENTRAL MISSOURI, NOTABLE EXCEPTIONS WERE FOUND AT CENTRALIA AND AT  
ONONDAGA CAVE, WHERE LEVELS HAD DROPPED TO THEIR LOWEST OF THE  
YEAR.  
 
NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...  
 
THE NEXT DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED ON OR  
BEFORE THURSDAY OCTOBER 25TH, 2018.  
 

 
 
RELATED WEB SITES...  
 
LOCAL WEATHER, CLIMATE, AND WATER INFORMATION:  
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/SAINTLOUIS  
 
MIDWEST CLIMATE CENTER DROUGHT INFORMATION PAGE:  
HTTP://MCC.SWS.UIUC.EDU/CLIWATCH/DROUGHT/DROUGHT.JSP  
 
MISSOURI STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:  
HTTP://CLIMATE.MISSOURI.EDU  
MISSOURI DNR DROUGHT PAGE:  
HTTP://WWW.DNR.MO.GOV/ENV/WRC/DROUGHTUPDATE.HTM  
 
ILLINOIS STATE CLIMATOLOGIST:  
HTTP://WWW.ISWS.ILLINOIS.EDU/ATMOS/STATECLI  
ILLINOIS WATER SURVEY DROUGHT PAGE:  
HTTP://WWW.ISWS.ILLINOIS.EDU/HILITES/DROUGHT/  
 
U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR:  
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/  
 
U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL:  
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV  
 
ADDITIONAL WATER INFORMATION:  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ADVANCED HYDROLOGICAL PREDICTION  
SERVICE (AHPS): HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV  
U.S. GEOLOGICAL SURVEY: HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV  
ARMY CORPS OF ENGINEERS: HTTP://WWW.NWO.USACE.ARMY.MIL/  
 
CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER:  
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/  
 
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...  
 
THE U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR IS A WEEKLY COLLABORATIVE EFFORT BETWEEN  
A NUMBER OF STATE AND FEDERAL AGENCIES INCLUDING THE NATIONAL  
WEATHER SERVICE, THE U.S. DEPARTMENT OF AGRICULTURE, AND THE  
NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION CENTER.  
 
QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...  
 
IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS INFORMATION,  
PLEASE CONTACT:  
 
JAYSON GOSSELIN OR  
MARK BRITT  
CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINTS  
--OR--  
MARK FUCHS  
SENIOR SERVICE HYDROLOGIST  
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAINT LOUIS MISSOURI  
636-441-8467  
W-LSX.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV  
 

 
 
GOSSELIN/FUCHS  
 
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