666
FNUS73 KPAH 190912
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRCA_IVEY_UNIT...MISSOURI DEPT CONSERVATION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
412 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MARCH 19.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AREAS OF HIGH CLOUDS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES. RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 30-35% THIS AFTERNOON. MIXING
HEIGHTS WILL RISE TO AROUND 4500FT THIS AFTERNOON, WITH THE 1700FT
HEIGHT BEING REACHED BETWEEN 12 AND 1 PM.
WINDS AT 20FT WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE SOUTH, BUT WILL LIKELY BECOME
VARIABLE AT TIMES. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE FROM LIGHT FROM THE WEST
THIS MORNING THEN SHIFT TO THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON, AROUND 5-10 MPH.
OVERALL CONDITIONS FOR SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE POOR DUE TO LIGHT
20FT AND TRANSPORT WINDS.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........45 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................79 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 2 MPH AT
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
5 TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 9
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2300 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/31600 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............45 49 57 63 68 70 72 74 74 75
RH..............79 77 57 48 42 39 37 35 35 36
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 2 3 3 5 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 6 8 8 9 8 9 9 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.6 2.9 3.6 4.3 4.5 3.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W SW SW S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 5 5 3 5 6 8 8 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 4 5 12 18 30 32 32
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR PC PC MCR PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............73 69 66 61 59 57 56 55 54 54 51 51
RH..............40 49 54 62 67 72 74 80 80 83 93 93
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 7 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 10 10 12 12 13 12 12 12 10 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 5 5 5 5 5 6 5 6 6 5 5
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82.
RH..................MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO
17 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (89000 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............50 49 51 56 63 69 73 77 80 81 82 81
RH..............96 100 93 83 70 59 49 43 39 37 35 38
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 8 9 10 12 13 13 13 12
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.2 1.7 2.4 3.3 4.6 5.7 5.9 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 9 12 10 9 9 10 13 16 17 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 4 5 10 11 14 20 30 51 77 89 60
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD FR
FORECASTER...SNYDER
REQUESTED BY...JONATHAN NOTCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2606035.0/PAH
.DELDT 03/19/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JONATHAN.NOTCH@MDC.MO.GOV
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