941  
FNUS73 KPAH 101449  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PRESCRIBED BURN...MISSOURI DNR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
849 AM CST THU JAN 10 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
THERE WILL BE AN INVERSION AROUND 2K FEET. SO ANY PARTICULATES  
OR SMOKE WILL NOT RISE ABOVE THAT ALTITUDE. THIS INVERSION WILL  
LOWER AS THE SUN SETS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........27 AT IGNITION...MAX 43.  
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2600 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 1 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.  
 
TIME (CST) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............27 34 40 42 38  
RH..............59 45 34 33 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..N E E SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 3 3 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 2000 2600 2400 800  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N NE E SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 6 2 1 5  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 5  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 25.  
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0-500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 5 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL  
FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............35 31 29 27 26 26  
RH..............47 58 63 71 74 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 7 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....100 BLW100 100 100 200 400  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 9 9 9 9 9  
HAINES INDEX....5 5 5 4 5 5  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SNOW WITH RAIN LIKELY IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 87 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 35.  
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-1700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 16  
TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE SNOW RNSN RNSN SNOW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 90 90 90  
TEMP............26 27 31 35 34 33  
RH..............74 74 66 59 66 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 7 6 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 700 1200 1700 1100 700  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 13 13 18 18  
HAINES INDEX....4 3 3 2 2 2  
 

 
FORECASTER...HOOPER  
REQUESTED BY...CONNIE WEBER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1900185.0/PAH  
.DELDT 01/10/19  
.EMAIL CONNIE.WEBER@DNR.MO.GOV  
 
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