821  
FNUS73 KPAH 191221  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SUNKLANDS WEST...MDC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
721 AM CDT THU MAR 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON MARCH 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AREAS OF HIGH CLOUDS THIS MORNING WILL GIVE WAY TO MOSTLY SUNNY  
SKIES. RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 30-35% THIS AFTERNOON. MIXING  
HEIGHTS WILL RISE TO AROUND 4900FT THIS AFTERNOON, WITH THE 1700FT  
HEIGHT BEING REACHED BETWEEN 12 AM AND 1 PM.  
 
WINDS AT 20FT WILL BE LIGHT FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING THEN SHIFT TO  
THE WEST THIS AFTERNOON. HOWEVER, THEY WILL LIKELY BECOME VARIABLE AT  
TIMES. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL BE FROM THE WEST THIS MORNING AROUND 5-10  
MPH THEN SHIFT TO THE SOUTH THIS AFTERNOON AND INCREASE TO 7-15 MPH.  
OVERALL CONDITIONS FOR SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE FAIR TO POOR DUE TO  
LIGHT 20FT AND TRANSPORT WINDS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 78.  
RH..................71 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 5 TO 14  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO AROUND  
15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR  
/58500 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 51 59 64 68 73 76 77 78 76  
RH..............71 68 53 48 44 35 32 31 30 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W SW SE SE S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 1 1 3 6 6 8 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 9 9 10 10 12 12 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.6 3.0 3.8 4.5 4.9 4.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W S S S SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 7 6 5 5 7 10 14 14 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 4 6 18 34 54 59 53  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.  
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST AROUND 9  
MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MCR PC PC PC MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 72 66 63 60 59 58 56 55 54 52 51  
RH..............33 43 50 56 62 64 69 74 77 80 86 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SW SW SW W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 8 8 9 8 8 9 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 9 10 12 12 12 13 10 10 9 9 9  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 3 3 4 4 4 5 3 3 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 84.  
RH..................MIN 31 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (83500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 50 52 58 65 71 76 80 83 84 84 82  
RH..............86 89 83 72 60 51 42 36 33 31 31 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 9 10 12 12 13 14 14 14 13  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.3 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.4 3.4 4.5 5.4 5.6 4.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 12 12 13 13 12 12 13 15 16 17 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 3 5 10 15 24 37 57 78 84 53  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD FR  
 
 
FORECASTER...SNYDER  
REQUESTED BY...KEELEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2606516.0/PAH  
.DELDT 03/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MIKE.KEELEY@MDC.MO.GOV  
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