230
FNUS73 KPAH 010943
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR CROP BURNS...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
443 AM CDT WED APR 1 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RH VALUES WILL CONTINUE TO IMPROVE TODAY AS A COLD FRONT SAGS
SOUTHWARD TOWARDS THE REGION. A FEW SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE
POSSIBLE MAINLY NEAR I-64. GOOD MIXING AND SMOKE DISPERSION IS
EXPECTED BOTH TODAY AND THURSDAY. MORE WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN
CHANCES ARRIVES THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT
APPROACHES. TOTAL RAINFALL BETWEEN 1-2 INCHES IS EXPECTED ON
AVERAGE BEFORE MORE SEASONABLE AND DRY CONDITIONS RETURN TO END
THE WEEKEND ON SUNDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........70 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.
RH..................84 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5200 FT
AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 17 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /21900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/98700 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC PC MC PC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............70 73 74 77 79 80 80 80 80
RH..............84 76 74 67 60 56 54 54 54
20 FT WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 8 8 9 9 9 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 1.9 2.6 3.4 4.5 5.0 5.2 4.5 2.6
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 20 20 20 21 22 20 17
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 30 45 58 77 90 99 76 39
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 67.
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (4600 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW
TSTM COV........SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............79 77 74 73 72 71 71 70 70 69 68 69
RH..............56 60 66 68 71 73 73 76 78 78 81 81
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.16 13 12 12 13 14 15 16 15 16 17 18
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.17 13 13 13 13 14 16 17 18 17 18 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..22 7 5 6 6 8 10 9 11 10 11 11
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 32 MPH.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 18 TO 26 MPH INCREASING TO 28 TO 36 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (12600 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (103100 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO GOOD (90000 KNOT-FT)
EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
(151100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............68 68 70 72 73 75 76 78 79 79 80 80
RH..............81 81 78 73 71 66 64 58 54 52 49 47
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 8 8 10 13 13 14 13 13 13 12
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 21 22 26 30 31 32 31 30 30 28
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.8 0.8 1.3 2.3 2.9 3.4 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.1 4.8 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S SW SW SW S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.18 18 24 26 32 35 36 36 35 33 31 28
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 13 28 54 82 103 125 141 151 149 130 90
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR GD VGD VGD VGD EXL VGD VGD GD
FORECASTER...WITTEN
REQUESTED BY...CODY CONLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608762.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/01/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CODY.CONLEY@USDA.GOV,CODY.CONLEY@USDA.GOV
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