477
FNUS73 KPAH 271901
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR INAGHEH...USFS SHAWNEE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
201 PM CDT TUE OCT 27 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON OCTOBER 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS, WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY POSSIBLY DOWN TO 30% ARE
EXPECTED. DESPITE MIXING HEIGHTS OVER 4KFT AGL, LIGHT SOUTH WINDS
WILL RESULT IN POOR SMOKE DISPERSION ALL DAY. MIXING HEIGHTS WILL
NOT CLIMB ABOVE 1700' AGL UNTIL AROUND 11 AM, SO IT WOULD BE GOOD
TO DELAY IGNITION TIL THEN. GIVEN THE LOCATION IN THE RIVER
BOTTOM, THE SITE MAY KEEP MORE OF A SOUTH WINDS OVERNIGHT WHICH
COULD LIMIT RECOVERY A BIT OVERNIGHT. THURSDAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY
WARMER, LIKELY WITH SIMILAR HUMIDITY AND PERHAPS SLIGHTLY STRONGER
SOUTH WINDS. A COLD FRONT WILL BE OOZING SOUTHEAST TO THE
NORTHWEST OF THE AREA AND IS NOT EXPECTED TO REACH THE SITE, BUT
ITS PROXIMITY COULD LEAD TO BETTER MIXING, DRIER AIR, AND STRONGER
WINDS THAN CURRENTLY FORECAST.
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........55 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.
RH..................96 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 2 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /1900 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/35200 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............55 64 70 74 76 78 79 78 76
RH..............96 73 57 46 42 37 34 32 39
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 8
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.9 1.8 3.1 3.8 4.1 4.1 3.9 1.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 8 9 9 9 9 10 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 5 13 25 30 32 33 35 14
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 8 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2800 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............74 70 64 63 61 60 59 58 56 55 54 54
RH..............44 57 70 72 75 78 80 80 83 83 86 83
20 FT WIND DIR..S SE SE S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 8 8 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 3
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3500 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY COVER.......CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 53 65 75 81 81
RH..............86 86 65 46 39 41
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 5 6 6 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 9 10 12 12 9
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.5 1.1 2.6 3.9 3.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 13 12 10 9
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 12 27 34 31
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR
FORECASTER...SPAETH
REQUESTED BY...BRICKNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2624684.0/PAH
.DELDT 10/27/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BRICKNER@USDA.GOV
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