320  
FNUS73 KPAH 171617  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DONGOLA HOLLOW...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
1017 AM CST MON NOV 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1100 CST ON NOVEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
AFTERNOON HUMIDITY WILL DROP INTO THE 20-30% RANGE TODAY WITH  
MIXING HEIGHTS OF 2000-2500 FEET AND POOR DISPERSION. SHOWERS AND  
SOME THUNDERSTORMS WILL SPREAD ACROSS THE REGION TONIGHT AND  
CONTINUE INTO TUESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........57 AT FORECAST START...MAX 63.  
RH..................26 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 7 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /20500 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.  
MAX...POOR /24800 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 61 63 58  
RH..............26 27 27 33  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 14 16 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..21 23 25 6  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE NIGHT. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY  
OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 50.  
RH..................MAX 80 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 7 MPH AFTER 3 AM. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY  
IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING  
AND OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (5500 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 54 54 53 53 54  
RH..............38 43 41 45 48 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 8 9 8 9 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 15 14 15 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..6 8 8 8 8 8  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS  
LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................66 PERCENT DECREASING TO 9 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.  
RH..................MIN 52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CWR.............70 30 20 0 0 0  
TEMP............57 58 65 70 73 73  
RH..............66 80 73 76 76 71  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 12 12 12 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 20 21 21 20 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 13 31 33 28 9  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
 
 
FORECASTER...WITTEN  
REQUESTED BY...BRICKNER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2526127.0/PAH  
.DELDT 11/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.BRICKNER@USDA.GOV  
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