154  
FNUS73 KPAH 251300  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BSB UNIT 5 GRASSLAND...MDC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
800 AM CDT TUE AUG 25 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON AUGUST 25.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL LIKELY REMAIN ABOVE 50% THIS AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE WELL OVER 4000' AGL, BUT WITH VERY LIGHT  
EAST WINDS, DISPERSION WILL BE POOR ALL DAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY  
WILL RECOVER TO 90% OR MORE TONIGHT. LIGHT WINDS WILL CONTINUE  
WEDNESDAY, BUT MIXING WILL BE MUCH DEEPER, WHICH WILL PROVIDE A  
WINDOW OF FAIR DISPERSION IN THE MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON. ON THE  
DOWNSIDE WEDNESDAY, THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON AND THE RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL STRUGGLE TO DROP  
BELOW 60%.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 85.  
RH..................73 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4400 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /8200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/19000 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC PC PC MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............73 76 78 80 83 84 85 85  
RH..............73 69 67 65 61 59 59 57  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.4 2.1 2.8 3.5 4.0 4.2 4.4 3.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 5 5 5 5 5 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 11 11 14 16 17 18 19  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 66.  
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MC PC PC MC PC MCR PC MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............83 82 79 75 73 72 71 71 70 70 68 68  
RH..............59 65 69 76 79 81 81 81 84 81 87 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E SE SE SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 5 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E SE SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 6 7 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..10 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 3 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 89.  
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING,  
THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (50100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............68 69 78 83 87 89  
RH..............87 87 71 67 61 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE S S SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 6 6 6 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.5 3.5 5.8 5.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S NE S SW S W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 7 7 9 8  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 9 21 46 37  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR POOR POOR FAIR POOR  
 

 
FORECASTER...SPAETH  
REQUESTED BY...KYLE LORENZ  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2620481.0/PAH  
.DELDT 08/25/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KYLE.LORENZ@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
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