988  
FNUS73 KPAH 291346  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOP PILE RX...USWFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
846 AM CDT TUE SEP 29 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH WEDNESDAY WITH TEMPERATURES  
TRENDING WARMER. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE IN THE 20-30%  
RANGE THROUGHOUT THE REGION TODAY, AND AT LEAST OVER THE EASTERN  
HALF OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY. LIGHT WINDS WILL KEEP OVERALL  
SMOKE DISPERSION AT POOR LEVELS TODAY, BUT WITH INCREASING SOUTH  
WINDS AND DEEPER MIXING WEDNESDAY, GOOD DISPERSION IS EXPECTED.  
INCREASING SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BRING A SIGNIFICANT INCREASE IN  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL PASS ON FRIDAY AND  
USHER IN A WET PERIOD INTO THE WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.  
RH..................72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 1 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2400 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/23000 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 71 74 77 80 81 82 83 81  
RH..............72 55 46 37 34 32 31 28 30  
20 FT WIND DIR..N SE S S S S SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 6 6 6 6 6 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.2 2.9 4.2 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.6 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 5 5 5 5 6 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 6 14 17 19 19 20 23 19  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.  
RH..................MAX 67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2400 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC MC MC PC PC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............78 74 70 67 66 65 65 64 63 63 63 62  
RH..............36 46 57 61 63 63 63 63 65 65 62 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE N SE SE SE SE SE SE S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SE SE SE SE SE S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 10 10 10 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 3 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 88.  
RH..................MIN 34 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 12 TO 14 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (61000 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MC MC MC PC PC PC MCR MCR MCR PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............62 61 63 67 74 77 81 85 86 87 88 86  
RH..............65 67 67 63 51 48 42 37 35 34 34 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 10 10 12 13 14 14 14 14 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.9 3.0 4.3 5.1 5.4 5.3 4.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 14 14 13 14 14 13 13 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 5 8 14 23 33 52 61 59 58 54  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD FR FR FR  
 

 
FORECASTER...WITTEN  
REQUESTED BY...BENJAMIN SCHMALL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622752.0/PAH  
.DELDT 09/29/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BENJAMIN_SCHMALL@FWS.GOV  
 
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