206
FNUS73 KPAH 160712
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR VANCE BARNETT RX...NATIONAL PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
112 AM CST TUE DEC 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 CST ON DECEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
A TEMPERATURE INVERSION ASSOCIATED WITH A WARM LAYER ABOVE THE
SURFACE WILL LIMIT MIXING TODAY. SMOKE DISPERSION REMAINS POOR
INTO WEDNESDAY AS THE MIXING HEIGHTS REMAIN LOW. NUMEROUS SHOWERS
WITH EMBEDDED RUMBLES OF THUNDER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY NIGHT
THROUGH THURSDAY, FOLLOWED BY A RETURN TO BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY BEHIND A COLD FRONT. WIND
GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE FRONT DURING THE
DAY THURSDAY WITH WIDESPREAD WETTING RAINS.
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........34 AT IGNITION...MAX 53.
RH..................51 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 12
TO 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /3500 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR
/32300 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............34 33 34 38 43 50 51 53 53 52 50 47
RH..............51 53 54 50 47 39 41 43 44 48 50 53
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 3 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 12 13 14 14 15 15 15 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 1.0 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 8 9 12 13 14 16 16 17 13 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 4 7 13 16 22 29 30 32 12 7
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 32.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO
9 MPH OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3700 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............43 41 40 39 38 38 37 36 35 34 33 34
RH..............60 62 64 67 70 73 79 82 85 89 92 92
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 5 3 5 5 5 5 3 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 15 14 13 10 10 9 8 7 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W SW W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 12 12 10 9 9 9 9 9 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 7 7 7 6 5 5 5 5 5 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 57.
RH..................MIN 59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 9 TO
14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3100 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............33 32 34 39 45 50 54 56 57 57 55 51
RH..............100 100 100 89 79 68 61 59 59 59 64 71
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 9 12 13 14 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.0 1.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W SW SW SW SW S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 8 7 6 7 9 10 12 13 14 14
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 3 3 3 6 10 16 22 27 28 23 15
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
FORECASTER...WITTEN
REQUESTED BY...KRYSTEN BAUER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2527665.2/PAH
.DELDT 12/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ANDREW_DOCKINS@NPS.GOV,KRYSTEN_BAUER@NPS.GOV
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