792  
FNUS73 KPAH 081142  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR LIBO PILE RX 2...NPS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
642 AM CDT THU MAY 8 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 CDT ON MAY 08.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE VERY POOR TODAY DUE TO WEAK TRANSPORT  
WINDS AND LIMITED MIXING. RH'S WILL ALSO BE QUITE HIGH, REMAINING  
ABOVE 70% UNTIL AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY AN  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM ARE EXPECTED THIS MORNING, WITH COVERAGE  
INCREASING BY LATE MORNING INTO THE AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................22 PERCENT INCREASING TO 45 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO 49 PERCENT EARLY IN  
THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 62 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 48 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........59 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.  
RH..................93 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS EAST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY  
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/22300 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
CWR.............20 30 40 40 50 50 60 60 60 50 50  
TEMP............59 62 64 66 67 69 70 70 71 71 71  
RH..............93 87 84 81 78 70 68 68 63 63 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 8 8 9 10 10 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.7 1.0 1.8 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.8 2.7 2.5 2.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E NE E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 6 11 16 20 20 22 21 20 20  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,  
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................46 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.  
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 9 TO 15 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........CHC CHC SCH SCH  
CWR.............50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 68 64 63 61 60 59 58 56 53 52 50  
RH..............66 70 78 81 84 87 87 83 83 89 83 86  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 6 7 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 12 13 15 16 15 15 16 16 16 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 0.7 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.9 1.2  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE E NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 12 14 14 15 15 14 14 14 13  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..11 6 4 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 11 13  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 70.  
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 17 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO FAIR (58400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............49 49 52 56 59 62 65 67 68 70 70 69  
RH..............86 83 77 69 60 54 48 43 42 39 39 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 9 10 9 10 9 9 10 10 10 10 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 15 15 15 14 14 15 14 14 14 12  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.0 2.4 2.8 3.2 3.7 4.0 3.9 2.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE E NE NE N NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 15 15 14 15 15 15 16 16 17 16 14  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..9 16 18 20 26 31 38 45 54 58 54 35  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...POULOS  
REQUESTED BY...ERIC S ANDERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2513478.0/PAH  
.DELDT 05/08/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRANDON_RAMIREZ@NPS.GOV  
 
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