492  
FNUS73 KPAH 101300  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR ROTHOMEL...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
800 AM CDT TUE SEP 10 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 10.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL DOMINATE THE REGION THROUGH THE  
WEEK. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS MAY OCCUR TODAY, ESPECIALLY  
IN THE MISSOURI OZARKS, BUT MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN DRY. HIGHS IN  
THE LOWER TO MID 90S WILL BE LIKELY THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH HEAT  
INDEX VALUES REACHING THE TRIPLE DIGITS. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL  
BRING A SMALL CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE REGION FRIDAY. BEHIND  
THE FRONT, SLIGHTLY COOLER AND LESS HUMID CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST  
FOR NEXT WEEKEND.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........81 AT IGNITION...MAX 95.  
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 8100 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED  
FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............81 86 89 92 93 95 95 94 92  
RH..............67 58 52 50 45 44 42 43 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 7 8 10 12 13 13 12 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 1.3 3.2 5.4 7.2 8.0 8.1 7.3 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 8  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 4  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 70.  
RH..................MAX 97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE  
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............89 83 78 75 74 72  
RH..............52 65 75 84 89 93  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 7 7 6 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....2300 BLW100 100 100 100 100  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 3 3 3 3 3  
HAINES INDEX....4 5 5 5 4 3  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 94.  
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 17  
MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR  
LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............70 75 86 91 93 94  
RH..............97 84 62 49 42 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 5 7 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 10 14 14  
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100 400 2100 5200 7000 6200  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.3 7 12 15 17 16  
HAINES INDEX....4 4 5 5 4 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...WFO PADUCAH  
REQUESTED BY...JASON ROSE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1915229.0/PAH  
.DELDT 09/10/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL JASON.ROSE@USDA.GOV  
 
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