472  
FNUS73 KPAH 021214  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR APPLE CREEK RXB...MISSOURI DEPARTMENT OF CONSERVATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
714 AM CDT WED SEP 2 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
VERY HOT TEMPERATURES AND DEEP MIXING IS ANTICIPATED TODAY.  
WINDS WILL BEGIN TO INCREASE IN THE LATE MORNING TO  
EARLY AFTERNOON LEADING TO GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION.  
MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 40 PERCENT.  
 
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........89 AT IGNITION...MAX 98.  
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH  
AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 7000 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 9 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /14600 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/64500 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............89 93 96 96 97 98 96 96  
RH..............57 51 45 45 43 42 45 43  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 3 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 9 9 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 3.7 5.4 6.4 7.0 6.8 6.4 5.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 10 10 12 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 30 43 51 63 62 65 46  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR FR GD GD GD FR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 75.  
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 9 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2600 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............95 92 89 85 84 83 82 80 80 79 78 77  
RH..............45 49 56 61 63 65 67 72 72 74 76 76  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 7 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 3  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.9 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S S SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..24 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 98.  
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (68800 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 75 78 83 89 93 95 96 96 98 96 96  
RH..............79 82 76 67 57 51 46 45 45 42 45 45  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 5 6 8 9 10 10 10 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.1 2.6 5.5 6.6 7.4 8.6 8.2 6.8 3.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 9 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 3 7 16 33 47 52 69 66 55 33  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR GD GD FR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...GIBBS  
REQUESTED BY...CASSIDY MORRISON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2621084.0/PAH  
.DELDT 09/02/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CASSIDY.MORRISON@MDC.MO.GOV  
 
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