710  
FNUS73 KPAH 300721  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHASITY FIRE...UNITED STATES FOREST SERVICE LBL  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
221 AM CDT MON MAR 30 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 CDT ON MARCH 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ELEVATED FIRE WEATHER DANGER WILL PERSIST TODAY, AND ESPECIALLY  
TUESDAY DUE TO THE VERY DRY CONDITIONS. MOISTURE RECOVERY WILL BE  
SLOW TO OCCUR, AND EVEN LOCATIONS WITH RH VALUES ABOVE 30% WILL  
HAVE A HIGHER RISK THAN NORMAL. BREEZY CONDITIONS WITH WIND GUSTS  
BETWEEN 25 TO 35 MPH WILL YIELD GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION THROUGH  
TUESDAY. WETTING RAIN CHANCES RETURN WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY AS  
MULTIPLE DISTURBANCES IMPACT THE REGION. BETWEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES OF  
RAINFALL, LOCALLY HIGHER IS EXPECTED BY SUNDAY.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT FORECAST START...MAX 76.  
RH..................69 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MIN 48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT FORECAST  
START...OTHERWISE SOUTH WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /14300 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.  
MAX...VERY GOOD /111400 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 62 66 70 74 76  
RH..............69 70 65 61 53 50  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 12 13 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.17 20 22 26 25 25  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..14 28 51 77 98 111  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD VYGD  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 66.  
RH..................MAX 81 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (60100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE EVENING  
DECREASING TO POOR (8200 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE  
NIGHT.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......PCLDY PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 74 71 70 68 68  
RH..............48 53 59 61 70 73  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 8 8 9 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.22 17 16 17 17 18  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..60 8 11 10 11 11  
VENTRATE CAT....GOOD POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 80.  
RH..................MIN 47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 28  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (13000 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (111500 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO GOOD (79800 KNOT-FT)  
EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO VERY GOOD  
(121900 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 68 71 76 79 80  
RH..............75 78 73 58 50 47  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 12 13 13 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 20 23 28 28 28  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..13 27 47 83 112 116  
VENTRATE CAT....POOR POOR FAIR GOOD VYGD VYGD  
 
 
FORECASTER...WITTEN  
REQUESTED BY...INCIDENT COMMANDER TRAINEE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2608400.0/PAH  
.DELDT 03/30/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL GARRISON.LUPTON@USDA.GOV,TUCKER.WETZEL@USDA.GOV,CODY.CONLEY@USDA.GOV.,CODY.CONLEY@USDA.GOV  
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