366  
FNUS73 KPAH 301520  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR MCCORMACK LAKE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
1013 AM CDT TUE APR 30 2019  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ITS GOING TO BE A MOIST DAY WITH SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE.  
RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE AS WE HEAD THROUGH THE WEEK.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........75 AT IGNITION...MAX 80.  
RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 5100 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 9 MPH INCREASING TO 21 TO 29 MPH  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN INCREASING TO 26  
TO 32 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
AROUND 17 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.  
 
TIME (CDT) 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY COVER.......MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............0 0 0 0  
TEMP............75 77 79 78  
RH..............76 71 64 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..12 14 14 14  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 20 21 21  
MIX HGT (FT)....3400 5000 4700 3300  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 29 31 17  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE  
EVENING. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE  
NIGHT. SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 77 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 64.  
RH..................MAX 91 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 0 TO 8 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY DEFNTE DEFNTE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............0 30 30 30 80 80  
TEMP............77 74 72 70 67 66  
RH..............64 68 73 78 86 89  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..13 13 14 14 13 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 17 20 20 17 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 1400 1500 1400 1400 1800  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 0 0 0 0 0  
HAINES INDEX....3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCE  
OF SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................77 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 78.  
RH..................MIN 63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 0 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN INCREASING TO AROUND  
22 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO  
SOUTHWEST 32 TO 37 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO AROUND 23 MPH.  
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME  
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY COVER.......CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY  
WEATHER COV.....DEFNTE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC S CHC S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
CWR.............80 50 50 50 0 0  
TEMP............65 66 70 72 74 77  
RH..............92 90 82 80 75 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 12 13 13 12 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 17 17 17 20 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 3300 3300 3800 4100 4000  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.0 0 0 22 37 33  
HAINES INDEX....2 2 3 3 3 3  
 

 
FORECASTER...HOOPER  
REQUESTED BY...ERIC A WIERSMA  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 1907796.0/PAH  
.DELDT 04/30/19  
.FORMATTERVERSION 1.0.26  
.EMAIL EWIERSMA@FS.FED.US  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab KY Page
The Nexlab IL Page
The Nexlab IN Page
The Nexlab MO Page Main Text Page