989  
FNUS73 KPAH 111941  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CRAUSE BURN...E&G CONSULTATION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
241 PM CDT SUN OCT 11 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 CDT ON OCTOBER 11.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
SUNNY SKIES AND LIGHT SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE EXPECTED THE REST OF THIS  
AFTERNOON. RH VALUES WILL FALL TO AROUND 38% BY 5 PM. MIXING WILL BE  
LIMITED, AND COMBINED WITH THE LIGHT SURFACE WINDS, CONDITIONS FOR  
SMOKE DISPERSION WILL BE POOR.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........83 AT IGNITION...MAX 83.  
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SW AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE  
LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2800 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 2900 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /16800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/17400 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0  
TEMP............83 83 82  
RH..............40 39 38  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.8 2.9 2.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..17 17 16  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 62.  
RH..................MAX 90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2300 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............78 75 70 68 67 66 66 65 65 65 64 64  
RH..............54 62 76 81 87 87 87 90 87 87 87 87  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 6 7 8 9 9 9 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 7 8 9 9 9 10 12 12 12 12 12  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
COLUMBUS DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 90.  
RH..................MIN 38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 20  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3800 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (97100 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC PC MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............64 62 65 68 76 81 86 88 88 90 89 88  
RH..............84 90 84 81 62 54 45 42 42 38 39 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 7 8 9 9 9 9 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 18 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.3 4.0 5.3 5.6 5.7 5.5 3.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W W W W W SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 12 10 12 14 16 17 18 18 20 20 16  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 4 4 7 14 32 60 84 90 97 93 51  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR  
 
 
FORECASTER...SNYDER  
REQUESTED BY...MICHAEL LUCARELLI  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623586.0/PAH  
.DELDT 10/11/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MICHAEL0624@AMERITECH.NET  
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