041
FNUS73 KPAH 102321
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR ENERGY FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
621 PM CDT FRI APR 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 CDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS WILL PASS
THROUGH THE WILDFIRE SITE AROUND 6:30PM TO 6:45PM THIS EVENING.
WINDS MAY GUST TO OR AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH AS THE BOUNDARY PASSES
THROUGH AND WINDS WILL QUICKLY SHIFT FROM THE SOUTHWEST TO THE
NORTH. AFTER THE BOUNDARY PASSES THROUGH, THE WINDS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT THROUGH THE REST OF THE NIGHT AND MOST OF
THE DAY SATURDAY. WHILE A FEW SHOWERS OR AN ISOLATED STORM MAY
PAST THROUGH THE FIRE SITE, OVERALL RAINFALL TOTALS ARE EXPECTED
TO REMAIN LESS THAN A TENTH OF AN INCH IF THE THE RAIN HOLDS
TOGETHER. RELATIVE HUMIDITY RECOVERIES WILL BE AROUND 87 PERCENT
OVERNIGHT AS TEMPERATURES COOL OFF. RH VALUES WILL DROP BACK DOWN
TO THE 30 TO 40 PERCENT RANGE BY SATURDAY AFTERNOON. WHILE THERE
IS STILL AROUND A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF RAIN SATURDAY, IT IS VERY
LIKELY THAT MOST OF THE AREA WILL REMAIN DRY.
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........77 AT FORECAST START...MIN 60.
RH..................42 PERCENT AT FORECAST START...MAX 87 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT FORECAST
START...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /28900 KNOT-FT/ AT FORECAST START.
MIN...POOR /2200 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............77 74 70 69 66 64 63 63 63 63 62 61
RH..............42 46 55 63 73 81 84 84 84 84 84 87
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W N N NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.17 15 6 9 9 8 8 10 9 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..29 2 2 3 2 2 2 2 3 4 4 4
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2500 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MC MC MC MC MC MC MC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 60 62 64 68 71 74 77 79 80 80 81
RH..............84 87 84 78 70 63 57 52 47 44 44 41
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE E E E E E SE W NW SW SE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.8 5 5 5 5 6 7 7 7 6 6 6
VRATE KT-FT/1K..4 3 3 4 4 5 8 13 12 19 20 10
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SATURDAY NIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 61.
RH..................MAX 70 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1500 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............79 77 75 71 68 66 65 65 64 64 63 62
RH..............44 47 50 57 63 68 68 68 70 67 70 70
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE SE S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 3 3 5 6 6 7 7 8 8 8
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 2
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 86.
RH..................MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND
AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1100 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO GOOD (68900 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (101100
KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
EXCELLENT (178700 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON
LATE IN THE MORNING.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......PC PC PC PC MCR PC PC PC MC MC MC MC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 62 65 70 76 79 82 84 85 86 86 85
RH..............70 67 60 53 45 41 37 34 32 31 30 31
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S SW SW SW S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 3 3 5 6 7 7 7 7 7 7
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 12 14 16 17 18 20 20 20 20 18
VRATE KT-FT/1K..1 4 15 38 69 101 131 152 173 179 159 102
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR GD VGD VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL VGD
FORECASTER...COOLEY
REQUESTED BY...DOUGLAS HUTNICK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2610026.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL DOUGLAS.HUTNICK@USDA.GOV
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