284  
FNUS73 KPAH 231543  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BASSPONDS...USFWS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
943 AM CST MON FEB 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NORTHWEST WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE  
SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AND INCREASING LATE TONIGHT AND TUESDAY. RH  
VALUES WILL RANGE FROM AROUND 30 TO 40 PERCENT TODAY AND TUESDAY  
WITH OVERNIGHT RH RECOVERIES AROUND 65-75 PERCENT. FAIR TO GOOD  
SMOKE DISPERSAL IS EXPECTED AT THE BURN SITE. THE NEXT CHANCE OF  
RAIN AT THE BURN SITE WILL BE WEDNESDAY NIGHT INTO THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........23 AT IGNITION...MAX 34.  
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHWEST AT 13 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10  
MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4100 FT  
AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /54000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD  
/69200 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CST) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............23 26 29 31 32 33 34 33  
RH..............50 44 40 37 37 36 35 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 9 9 8 7 6 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 18 18 18 17 17 14 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 3.4 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.0 3.6 3.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 20 18 17 15  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..54 58 66 67 69 65 55 41  
VENTRATE CAT....FR FR GD GD GD GD FR FR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 22.  
RH..................MAX 71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 3 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST  
3 TO 9 MPH OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1200 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............30 29 26 25 24 23 22 23 23 22 22 22  
RH..............49 53 60 62 65 68 71 71 65 68 68 68  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW N N N SW S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 5 3 2 2 2 3 5 6 8 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N NW NW NW NW W W SW SW S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 7 6 5 3 5 3 5 6 9 10  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..5 5 3 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 4 5  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 49.  
RH..................MIN 39 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 29  
MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 33 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 13 TO 18 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 30  
TO 37 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6900 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING  
INCREASING TO GOOD (92400 KNOT-FT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (CST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR PC PC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC MC  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............23 25 27 31 34 38 42 44 46 47 48 49  
RH..............62 62 60 53 49 44 39 40 40 42 42 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 12 12 14 15 16 16 17 16 16 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 17 23 25 28 29 31 32 32 33 31 29  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.4 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 18 23 25 29 31 32 35 37 37 35 30  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..7 14 30 41 53 63 71 83 92 92 73 49  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR FR FR GD GD GD GD GD GD FR  
 

 
FORECASTER...COOLEY  
REQUESTED BY...DAVID JONES  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2603602.0/PAH  
.DELDT 02/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL DAVID_JONES@FWS.GOV  
 
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