531  
FNUS73 KPAH 281317  
FWSPAH  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR OXBOW PILES...USWFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
817 AM CDT MON SEP 28 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CDT ON SEPTEMBER 28.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
DRY CONDITIONS AND STRONG, DEEP MIXING ARE FORECAST THROUGH AT  
LEAST WEDNESDAY, AS TEMPERATURES TREND MUCH WARMER. MINIMUM  
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BE IN THE 25-35% RANGE THROUGHOUT THE  
REGION TODAY AND TUESDAY, AND OVER THE EASTERN HALF OF THE REGION  
WEDNESDAY. LIGHT WINDS WILL KEEP OVERALL SMOKE DISPERSION AT POOR  
LEVELS THROUGH TUESDAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE ON WEDNESDAY,  
LEADING TO SOMEWHAT BETTER DISPERSION. HUMIDITY WILL INCREASE  
THROUGHOUT THE REGION THURSDAY, AS RAIN CHANCES RETURN TO THE  
FORECAST.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 79.  
RH..................68 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 29 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS NORTHEAST AT 2 MPH AT  
IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 4600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /2200 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...POOR  
/23200 KNOT-FT/.  
 
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......PC MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 66 69 72 76 77 78 79 77  
RH..............68 58 51 43 36 33 31 29 31  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE N N N N NE  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.2 2.1 3.5 4.1 4.5 4.6 4.6 3.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 5 11 17 20 22 23 23 20  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 53.  
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 6 TO  
7 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 71 67 64 62 61 60 59 58 57 55 55  
RH..............34 44 54 60 65 67 69 69 72 75 80 80  
20 FT WIND DIR..NE N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE E E E E E E E SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 6 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 82.  
RH..................MIN 33 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 7 MPH.  
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (1700 KNOT-FT).  
 
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY COVER.......MCR MCR CLR MCR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR CLR  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............54 53 57 62 70 74 77 79 81 82 82 81  
RH..............83 86 83 75 59 48 42 38 35 33 33 35  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N SE SE SE S S S S S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.2 2 3 3 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.5 3.1 4.2 4.9 5.5 5.6 5.3 4.3  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE S S S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 6 7  
VRATE KT-FT/1K..2 2 2 4 8 16 21 25 33 34 26 26  
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR  
 

 
FORECASTER...WITTEN  
REQUESTED BY...BEN SCHMALL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2622652.0/PAH  
.DELDT 09/28/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BENJAMIN_SCHMALL@FWS.GOV  
 
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