713
FNUS73 KPAH 061050
FWSPAH
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOOTENANNY...USFS SHAWNEE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
550 AM CDT MON APR 6 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL DROP TO AROUND 30% BY LATE AFTERNOON.
STRONG, DEEP MIXING IS EXPECTED THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. TRANSPORT
WINDS WILL PICK UP IN THE AFTERNOON, AS WELL, LEADING TO A WINDOW
OF GOOD SMOKE DISPERSION FROM 1-4 PM WITH AN HOUR OF FAIR
DISPERSION ON EITHER SIDE. WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT BY SUNSET AND
RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL RECOVER TO AROUND 65% OVERNIGHT. LESSER
MIXING AND WEAKER WINDS WILL LEAD TO FAIR SMOKE DISPERSION AT BEST
ON TUESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........53 AT IGNITION...MAX 67.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 30 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS WEST AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL AT IGNITION...MAX 5400 FT AGL
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 18 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR /15100 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
/91500 KNOT-FT/.
TIME (CDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............53 59 63 65 66 67 66 67
RH..............59 45 40 39 36 34 32 31
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..6 7 7 7 7 8 8 7
20 FT WIND GUST.12 15 15 16 17 17 17 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.6 2.6 3.7 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.0 4.2
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW NW NW NW N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 13 15 16 17 18 17 16
VRATE KT-FT/1K..15 29 48 64 76 92 78 59
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR FR GD GD GD GD FR
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 43.
RH..................MAX 62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (2000 KNOT-FT).
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY COVER.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR MCR PC MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............65 62 58 54 53 51 50 49 48 47 45 45
RH..............35 44 49 54 54 59 58 58 60 60 62 60
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
20 FT WIND GUST.12 7 7 7 7 8 8 9 9 10 12 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N NE NE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 9 9 9 9 10 10 12 13 13 14 15
VRATE KT-FT/1K..12 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 6
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
TUESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 60.
RH..................MIN 37 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 12 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (7300 KNOT-FT) EARLY IN THE MORNING
INCREASING TO FAIR (43700 KNOT-FT) IN THE
AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY COVER.......MCR PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............44 43 45 47 50 52 54 56 58 59 59 59
RH..............62 62 61 57 51 46 45 42 39 39 39 39
20 FT WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.14 14 14 14 15 15 15 15 15 14 14 13
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.6 0.5 1.3 1.9 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.4 2.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE E E E E E E E E
TRANSP WIND SPD.16 16 20 20 20 16 15 14 14 13 13 12
VRATE KT-FT/1K..8 7 23 34 44 41 40 41 42 41 38 25
VENTRATE CAT....PR PR PR PR FR FR FR FR FR FR PR PR
FORECASTER...SPAETH
REQUESTED BY...SHAWNEE NF
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2609022.0/PAH
.DELDT 04/06/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL WHITNEY.JITER@USDA.GOV
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