788
FXUS63 KPAH 091700
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1200 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PROLONGED DURATION HEAT WITH DAILY
HI'S THRU WEDNESDAY AROUND/IN EXCESS OF 100 DEGREES.
- A STORMIER PATTERN EMERGES OVER THE BACK HALF OF THE WEEK,
WITH THURSDAY OFFERING BEST PRECIPITATION AND STRENGTH OF
STORM CHANCES.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
THE SYNOPTIC PATTERN SET-UP OF HIGH PRESSURE ALOFT BUILDING OVER
THE SOUTH, WHILE SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE TO THE EAST KEEPS A PUMP
OF WARM/MOIST RETURN FLOW HERE, TRANSLATES TO DANGEROUSLY
HOT/HUMID CONDITIONS FOR US THE FIRST HALF OF THIS NEW WEEK.
HI'S PEAK DAILY AROUND/IN EXCESS OF 100 DEGREES, AND MAY CLIMB
UPWARDS LOCALLY TO NEAR 110 DEGREES ON THE HOTTEST DAYS,
MONDAY-TUESDAY.
STORM CHANCES RETURN OVER THE BACK HALF OF THE WEEK. THE BEST
AND MOST WIDESPREAD CHANCE, INCLUDING STRONG STORM CHANCES, IS
THURSDAY, WHEN A SHARP, POSITIVELY-TILTED TROF TRACKS FROM THE
GREAT LAKES TO THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY. BEST SEVERE AND HEAVY RAIN
CHANCES DO APPEAR TO BE CLOSER TO THE SYNOPTIC CENTER OF THE
SYSTEM, WHICH WOULD KEEP SUCH CHANCES MOSTLY FOCUSED TO OUR
NORTH AND EAST.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 1200 PM CDT SUN AUG 9 2026
TIME/HEIGHT CROSS SECTIONS SHOW A PREDOMINANT HIGH PRESSURE
ORIENTED FORECAST WITH FEW-SCT DIURNAL CU BASES AND SCT-BKN MID
OR HIGH LEVEL BASE POTENTIAL IN AN OTHERWISE VISUAL FLIGHT
RULES FORECAST. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WOULD BE THE POTENTIAL FOR
RESTRICTED VSBYS IN PATCHY LATE NIGHT/EARLY MORNING FOG.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114.
IN...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ WEDNESDAY FOR INZ081-
082-085>088.
KY...HEAT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM CDT WEDNESDAY FOR KYZ001>022.
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page