265
FXUS63 KPAH 290707
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
207 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- DANGEROUS HEAT AND HUMIDITY WILL BUILD INTO THE REGION AND
REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH AT LEAST FRIDAY. PEAK HEAT INDICES
ARE FORECAST TO REACH 105 TO 110 EACH AFTERNOON. LITTLE RELIEF
IS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT WITH LOWS ONLY FALLING INTO THE MID
70S.
- SMALL CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY ARRIVE AS EARLY AS
THURSDAY AND CONTINUE INTO THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 156 AM CDT MON JUN 29 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WILL CONTINUE TO BUILD ACROSS THE REGION
TODAY WHILE A SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS OFF THE ROCKIES AND EJECTS
INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. UPPER RIDGING WILL REMAIN IN PLACE
THROUGH MOST OF THE EXTENDED PERIOD WITH SOME BROADENING OF THE
RIDGE TOWARDS LATE WEEK AND INTO THE WEEKEND. TODAY BEGINS AN
EXTENDED PERIOD OF TEMPERATURES IN 90S WITH MID TO UPPER 90S
EXPECTED BY TUESDAY. THESE TEMPERATURES COMBINED WITH DEWPOINTS
IN THE UPPER 70S RESULTS IN HEAT INDICES BETWEEN 105 AND 115
DEGREES. LITTLE RELIEF WILL BE FELT AT NIGHT WITH LOW
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID TO UPPER 70S. THE EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING
FOR THE ENTIRE AREA BEGINS AT 17Z AND CONTINUES INTO FRIDAY.
CONVECTION MAY START TO DEVELOP AS EARLY AS THURSDAY BUT AT THIS
TIME LOOKS TO BE ISOLATED WITH MORE SCATTERED ACTIVITY
DEVELOPING OVER THE WEEKEND.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z TUESDAY/
ISSUED AT 542 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2026
SCT-BKN DIURNAL BASES WILL DISSIPATE WITH LOSS OF FUEL, AND THE
SAME WILL HOLD TMRW WITH THE SAME TRENDS AS TODAY, AS HIGH
PRESSURE ASSERTS ITS GRIP UPON OUR WEATHER. SOME TIGHTER
GRADIENT TO OUR WEST MAY YIELD A FEW SOUTHERLY GUSTS DURING PEAK
HEATING AGAIN TMRW, SIMILAR TO TODAY...SO INCLUDED THAT AT
KCGI/KMVN ACCORDINGLY. AND WHILE THE GUIDANCE IS NOT REALLY
HITTING IT, TRENDS SHOULD BE MONITORED WITH CLEARING SKIES/LIGHT
WINDS AND ALL THE RECENT RAINFALL, POTENTIAL FOR VSBYS TO
RESTRICT IN PATCHY FOG CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT, BUT WAS
NOT INCLUDED IN THIS PACKAGE.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...EXTREME HEAT WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT
FRIDAY FOR ILZ075>078-080>094.
MO...EXTREME HEAT WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT
FRIDAY FOR MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114.
IN...EXTREME HEAT WARNING FROM 11 AM CDT /NOON EDT/ THIS MORNING TO
8 PM CDT /9 PM EDT/ FRIDAY FOR INZ081-082-085>088.
KY...EXTREME HEAT WARNING FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 8 PM CDT
FRIDAY FOR KYZ001>022.
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