323
FXUS63 KPAH 140514
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1114 PM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- BREEZY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THE EXCEPTION
OF THURSDAY. THERE IS A 50-80% CHANCE FOR GUSTS OVER 25 MPH
TOMORROW.
- WITH THE SHIFT TO A COLDER AND BREEZIER PATTERN, WIND CHILLS
WILL BE A CONCERN SEVERAL NIGHTS. THERE IS A 30-70% CHANCE OF
WIND CHILLS LESS THAN 20 FRIDAY MORNING. THERE IS A 30-60%
CHANCE OF WIND CHILLS LESS THAN 5 SATURDAY NIGHT/SUNDAY
MORNING.
- SEVERAL REINFORCING SHORTWAVES ALOFT BRING CHANCES FOR A LIGHT
DUSTING OF SNOW A FEW NIGHTS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 200 PM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
ENJOY TODAY'S WARMER TEMPERATURES BECAUSE A PATTERN SHIFT IS IN
STORE FOR TONIGHT AND COLDER WEATHER WILL BE HERE THROUGH EARLY NEXT
WEEK. BROAD AND DEEP UPPER LEVEL TROUGHING WILL SET UP OVER THE
EASTERN CONUS WHICH WILL BRING A COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATE
TONIGHT/EARLY TOMORROW AS THE DEEPER TROF AXIS SWINGS THROUGH THE
GREAT LAKES AND MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. A BAND OF SHOWERS WILL LIKELY
SWING THROUGH AHEAD OF THE FRONT (30-70% CHANCE) FROM NORTHWEST TO
SOUTHEAST TONIGHT AND WILL TAPER OFF IN THE SOUTHEAST TOMORROW
MORNING. WINDS WILL ALSO PICK UP BEHIND THE FRONT WITH A 50-80%
CHANCE OF GUSTS OVER 25 MPH. BREEZY AND WINDY CONDITIONS WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH THE EXCEPTION OF THURSDAY AS SFC
HIGH PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH.
THURSDAY WILL BE A CHILLY DAY WITH HIGHS ONLY IN THE LOWER 30S (MID
30S IN SEMO). AS SFC HIGH PRESSURE MOVES THROUGH WINDS WILL TURN TO
THE SOUTH THURSDAY EVENING. THURSDAY NIGHT AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE SWINGS THROUGH BRINGING A 20-30% CHANCE OF LIGHT SNOW TO
NORTHERN AREAS OF THE CWA. SOME ENSEMBLES SHOW ABOUT A 20-30% CHANCE
OF SEEING A DUSTING (0.1-0.2"). WIND THEN BEGIN TO PICK UP AGAIN
FRIDAY WITH MORNING WIND CHILLS IN THE TEENS (30-70% CHANCE OF WIND
CHILLS LESS THAN 20 DEGREES). FRIDAY HIGHS REBOUND TO AROUND NORMAL
BRIEFLY BEFORE ANOTHER FRONT COMES THROUGH.
FRIDAY NIGHT ANOTHER SHORTWAVE ALOFT ROLLS THROUGH, REINFORCING THE
COLD AND BRINGS A ROUGHLY 15-20% CHANCE OF ANOTHER LIGHT DUSTING.
THIS PARADE OF REINFORCING SHORTWAVES CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
THE COLDEST TEMPERATURES ARE CURRENTLY SATURDAY NIGHT WITH LOWS IN
THE TEENS (GREATER THAN 70% CHANCE OF LOWS LESS THAN 20 DEGREES).
SATURDAY NIGHT WIND CHILLS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS
SOUTH TO NEAR 0 NORTH (30-60% CHANCE OF WIND CHILLS LESS THAN 5
DEGREES). THE COLD CONTINUES THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH NIGHTLY
LOWS IN THE TEENS.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/
ISSUED AT 1114 PM CST TUE JAN 13 2026
A COLD FRONT IS WORKING ACROSS THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST
THIS EVENING. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT
WITH LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN. THE OUTLOOK ON CEILINGS IS
IMPROVING, BUT SOME MVFR REMAINS POSSIBLE. GUSTY NORTH TO
NORTHWEST WINDS ARE FORECAST TOMORROW AT 20 TO 25 KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...JGG
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