572
FXUS63 KPAH 130432
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1032 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMER TOMORROW WITH A 50-80% CHANCE OF EXCEEDING 60 DEGREES
IN SEMO.
- BREEZY, COLD WINDS ON WEDNESDAY WITH A 50-70% CHANCE OF GUSTS
EXCEEDING 25 MPH. WITH THE EXCEPTION OF FRIDAY, COLD CONTINUES
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.
- CHANCE FOR RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT (30-50%) INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING
(30- 60%). ACCUMULATIONS LESS THAN 0.25".
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 156 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
WITH HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTHEAST, SOUTHWEST WINDS RETURN TO THE
AREA TODAY AND TOMORROW. THIS BRINGS HIGHS UP TODAY INTO THE UPPER
40S TO LOWER 50S. TOMORROW'S HIGHS WILL BE EVEN WARMER IN THE UPPER
50S AND EVEN SOME LOWER 60S OUT WEST. THERE'S A 50-80% CHANCE OF
EXCEEDING 60 DEGREES IN SEMO.
THE WARMTH IS SHORT LIVED THOUGH AS THE PATTERN SHIFTS MID WEEK WITH
DEEP, BROAD TROUGHING ALOFT. A STRONG COLD FRONT SWINGS THROUGH LATE
TUESDAY NIGHT/EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. WINDS TURN BACK TO THE
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT AND ARE BREEZY WEDNESDAY WITH A 50-70%
CHANCE OF GUSTS EXCEEDING 25 MPH IN SEMO AND SOUTHERN IL WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON. WEDNESDAY NIGHT TEMPERATURES DROP INTO THE TEENS WITH
WIND CHILLS MAINLY IN THE SINGLE DIGITS. WITH THE FRONT COMES THE
CHANCE FOR RAIN TUESDAY NIGHT (30-50% CHANCE) INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING
(30-60% CHANCE) IN WESTERN KY. ACCUMULATIONS WILL BE LESS THAN
0.25". THURSDAY HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE FREEZING MOST
PLACES WITH THE EXCEPTION OF SEMO. ELSEWHERE IT'S LESS THAN A 60%
CHANCE OF GETTING ABOVE FREEZING.
TEMPERATURES MODERATE BRIEFLY ON FRIDAY BEFORE A SECOND, DEEP TROF
SWINGS THROUGH AND REINFORCES THE COLD AIR. COULD BE SOME LIGHT SNOW
OVER SWIN THURSDAY NIGHT (15-20% CHANCE) AND FRIDAY NIGHT OVER SWIN
AND PORTIONS OF THE KY PENNYRILE (20-30% CHANCE). TEMPERATURES
SATURDAY WILL BE GENERALLY IN THE 30S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE
TEENS. CHANCES FOR TEMPERATURES LESS THAN 20 IS GREATER THAN 50%.
WIND CHILLS WILL BE IN THE SINGLE DIGITS FURTHER SOUTH AND BELOW
ZERO FURTHER NORTH. SUNDAY HIGHS WILL STRUGGLE TO GET ABOVE FREEZING
WITH ONLY A 40-50% CHANCE IN SEMO AND LESS THAN A 40% CHANCE
ELSEWHERE.
AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z WEDNESDAY/
ISSUED AT 1032 PM CST MON JAN 12 2026
VFR CONDITIONS REMAIN FORECAST OVERNIGHT WITH RELATIVELY LIGHT
WINDS. GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS PICK UP BY MID MORNING TUESDAY
EASING AFTER SUNSET AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MARCHES IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST. IMPACTS FROM THIS FRONT MAY BE A FACTOR LATE IN THE
NEW TAF PERIOD (04-06Z OR SO) BUT KEPT THINGS A LITTLE SLOWER AT
ALL BUT MVN FOR NOW.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...HICKFORD
AVIATION...JGG
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