190
FXUS63 KPAH 021115
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
615 AM CDT FRI JUN 2 2023
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT FRI JUN 2 2023
UPDATED THE AVIATION SECTION FOR THE 12Z TAF ISSUANCE.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 143 AM CDT FRI JUN 2 2023
06Z DEW POINTS RANGE FROM THE LOW-MID 60S ACROSS THE FA. DRIER 50S
ARE NOT FAR AWAY TO THE NORTHEAST, WITH 40S A LITTLE FARTHER
NORTHEAST. THIS IS THE AIR THAT WILL BE INCOMING LATER TODAY AND
THRU THE WEEKEND. IT WILL OFFSET HIGHS THAT WILL RUN 10 DEGREES OR
SO ABOVE CLIMO NORMS, RANGING INTO THE LOWER HALF OF THE 90S. A
NICE NORTHEAST BREEZE WILL FURTHER BUOY SOME HEAT RELIEF. IT WILL
ALSO HELP SUPPRESS PCPN CHANCES, THOUGH AN ISOLATED HEAT OF DAY
STORM CANNOT BE COMPLETELY RULED OUT.
LONG TERM
(MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)
ISSUED AT 143 AM CDT FRI JUN 2 2023
THE OMEGA BLOCKING PATTERN HOLDS STRONG NEXT WEEK, DESPITE HINTS
AT A TEMPORARY METAMORPHOSIS TO A REX BLOCK. THE NET EFFECT HERE
IS THE SAME...AS SOME NORTHERLY COMPONENT IS MAINTAINED IN THE LOW
LEVEL FLOW THRU THE PERIOD. THIS HOLDS DEW POINTS IN THE 50S
EARLY IN THE WEEK, AND THEN 40S ARE OFFERED LATER IN THE WEEK AS
THE TEMPORARY METAMORPHOSIS EVOLVES BACK TO A PURER OMEGA BLOCK
AND A MORE HEARTY NORTHERLY FLOW REINFORCES OUR DRY AIR WITH SOME
COOLER AIR TO BOOT. WE'LL SEE THIS MANIFEST AS LOWER 90S MONDAY
TUMBLE INTO/THRU THE 80S THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK, CLOSER TO
SEASONAL NORMS. ISOLATED HEAT OF DAY STORM CHANCES REMAIN A
POSSIBILITY, MAINLY EARLY IN THE WEEK, WITH SAID CHANCES FADING
AS THE WEEK WEARS ON.
AVIATION
ISSUED AT 615 AM CDT FRI JUN 2 2023
PATCHY FOG MAY LINGER THE FIRST HOUR OF THE TAF AT WESTERN SITES.
AFTERWARDS, SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLEAR TODAY WITH GREATER MID-
LEVEL CLOUD COVERAGE OVER THE OZARK FOOTHILLS. WINDS WILL BE A
MERE 6-8 KTS OUT OF THE NORTHEAST TODAY. A SHOWER OR STORM CANNOT
BE RULED OUT FOR THIS AFTERNOON IN THE WEST BUT HAS BEEN LEFT OUT
OF THE TAF DUE TO LOW PROBABILITY.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
UPDATE...ATL
AVIATION...ATL
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