780  
FXUS63 KPAH 231712  
AFDPAH  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY  
1212 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2026  
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- DAILY RAIN CHANCES WILL YIELD 1 TO 2 INCH TOTAL RAINFALL OVER  
THE NEXT 7 DAYS; LOCALIZED HIGHER TOTALS COULD RESULT IN MINOR  
FLOOD ISSUES.  
 
- TEMPERATURES WILL SPEND THE BULK OF THE 7 DAY PERIOD IN THE  
60S AND 70S, THOUGH OFFICIAL HIGHS MAY TOUCH THE LOWER 80S.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 1212 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2026  
 
TODAY'S RELATIVE PAUSE IN PRECIPITATING ACTION WILL BE FOLLOWED  
BY A RESUMPTION OF WHAT WILL BECOME DAILY ROUNDS OF SHOWERS  
WITH POTENTIAL FOR ANY TIME THUNDERSTORMS. NO PARTICULAR DAY OR  
ROUND OF STORMS LOOKS ANYTHING BEYOND GENERAL RISK AS OUTLOOKED  
BY SPC, THOUGH EACH WILL BE CAPABLE OF LOCALLY HEAVY DOWNPOURS.  
7 DAY EXPECTED TOTAL QPF WILL AVERAGE IN THE 1-2" RANGE, BUT  
LOCALIZED HIGHER AMOUNTS COULD PRODUCE SPOTTY FLOOD ISSUES. AS A  
RESULT OF THE ABOVE NORMAL/WET PATTERN, MORE CLOUDS/POPS MEANS  
TEMPERATURES WILL SPEND THE BULK OF THE 7 DAY PERIOD IN THE 60S  
AND 70S, THOUGH HIGHS MIGHT OFFICIALLY TOUCH THE LOWER 80S. IF  
MODEL FLIRTATIONS WITH A DEVELOPING REX BLOCKING PATTERN COME TO  
BETTER FRUITION WRT OUR AREA, WE MIGHT BE LOOKING AT A BREAK IN  
THE WETTER PATTERN BY THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND.  
 
 
   
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/  
 
ISSUED AT 1212 PM CDT SAT MAY 23 2026  
 
THE IMPROVING TRANSITION FROM IFR TO MVFR/VFR BASES IS ONGOING  
AND WILL CONTINUE INTO EARLY EVENING; DETERIORATING CONDITIONS  
ARE ANTICIPATED THEREAFTER, WITH A RESUMPTION OF PREVAILING  
RESTRICTIONS FOR LOW BASES AND VSBYS AS SHOWER/STORM CHANCES  
ONSET/GROW LATE TONIGHT INTO TMRW MORNING, CONTINUING THRU THE  
PLANNING PHASE HOURS OF THE FORECAST.  
 
 
   
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
IL...NONE.  
MO...NONE.  
IN...NONE.  
KY...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
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