387
FXUS63 KPAH 202323
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
523 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY BEHIND A DRY COLD FRONT.
- THE CHRISTMAS WEEK WARMUP ENSUES THEREAFTER, REACHING THE 60S
BY TUESDAY, WHICH CARRIES ON THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
HOLIDAY WEEK.
- THE BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN IS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH EARLY
TUESDAY, WITH SMALLER CHANCES OF RAIN BY THE WEEKEND.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1235 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION THIS AFTERNOON AND
BRING A RETURN TO COOL CONDITIONS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEKEND.
MOISTURE WITH THE FRONT LOOKS MINIMAL AND AS A RESULT DO NOT
EXPECT ANY PRECIPITATION FOR OUR AREA. CLOUD COVER ASSOCIATED
WITH THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OVERNIGHT INTO SUNDAY MORNING.
WINDS TONIGHT WILL VEER TOWARD THE NORTH BEHIND THE FRONT AS
HIGH PRESSURE SETTLES TO THE NORTHWEST. LOW TEMPERATURES WILL
FALL INTO THE UPPER 20S TO LOWER 30S. WE REMAIN IN THE BASE OF
UPPER TROUGHING ON SUNDAY WITH CONTINUED COLD AIR ADVECTION
KEEPING TEMPERATURES COOLER WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S.
AS WE HEAD INTO THE HOLIDAY WEEK, DEEP LAYER RIDGING EXPANDS
ACROSS THE MIDDLE OF THE COUNTRY WITH SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE
ACROSS THE EASTERN US. WINDS RETURN TO THE SOUTH QUICKLY ON
MONDAY BEGINNING OUR WARM UP THAT IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
THROUGH CHRISTMAS. INCREASED MOISTURE MONDAY INTO TUESDAY WILL
BRING CHANCES OF RAIN TO PORTIONS OF THE REGION WITH VERY LIGHT
QPF AMOUNTS. GUIDANCE ISN'T SHOWING MUCH IF ANY SIGNAL FOR
ELEVATED INSTABILITY AS LAPSE RATES REMAIN POOR. CONDITIONS
LARGELY DRY OUT BY WEDNESDAY AS HIGH PRESSURE PUSHES A FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION FROM THE NORTH ALTHOUGH A FEW SHOWERS MAY
STILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE FAR EAST.
THE STRONG SIGNAL FOR ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CONTINUES FOR
THE WEEK. HIGH TEMPERATURES ON MONDAY OF LOW TO MID 50S WILL
QUICKLY WARM INTO THE 60S TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THE WARMEST DAY
OF THE WEEK CONTINUES TO BE CHRISTMAS DAY WITH HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S TO LOWER 70S. CONFIDENCE IN THESE WARM TEMPERATURES
REMAINS HIGH WITH THE NBM INTERQUARTILE RANGES OF ONLY 2-4
DEGREES CHRISTMAS DAY IN PARTICULAR. THE WARMTH CONTINUES INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH A HINT FOR SLIGHT CHANCES OF RAIN POSSIBLE
NEAR THE END OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.
AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY/
ISSUED AT 520 PM CST SAT DEC 20 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.
SATELLITE SHOWING SOME HIGH CIRRUS OVER THE AREA TONIGHT WITH A
LOWER CLOUD DECK MOVING OFF TO THE SOUTHEAST. THE HIGH CIRRUS IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TOMORROW. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE
LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT AND WILL TURN NORTHERLY BY
MIDNIGHT. WINDS PICK UP TO AROUND 5-10 KTS TOMORROW AND WILL
TURN MORE NORTHEASTERLY.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...AD
AVIATION...HICKFORD
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