069
FXUS63 KPAH 031743
AFDPAH
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1243 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
KEY MESSAGES
- A GRADUAL WARMING TREND IN TEMPERATURES IS FORECAST THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS.
- TEMPERATURES WILL RISE FROM NEAR NORMAL VALUES SUNDAY THROUGH
TUESDAY TO AROUND 5 TO 10 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE SECOND
HALF OF THE WEEK.
- NO SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS FORECAST FOR AT LEAST THE NEXT
SEVEN DAYS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 1242 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
FOLLOWING THE PASSAGE OF FRIDAY'S COLD FRONT, DRY AND SEASONABLE
MILD CONDITIONS ARE FORECAST TO OPEN THE NEW WEEK. A WEAK/DRY
SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL PASS THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING,
BUT THIS WILL ONLY BRING A BRIEF INCREASE IN HIGH CLOUD COVER.
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE GREAT PLAINS WILL RETROGRADE
INTO THE AREA BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK, BRINGING A GRADUAL
TEMPERATURE WARM UP.
TEMPERATURES THROUGH TUESDAY WILL BE FAIRLY CLOSE TO NORMAL
VALUES FOR EARLY OCTOBER. HOWEVER, AS THE AREA OF HIGH PRESSURE
AND H5 RIDGING INCREASE, TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO AROUND 5-10
ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK. THIS PATTERN WILL
ALSO RESULT IN DRY CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT WEEK AT LEAST, WITH
ENSEMBLE GUIDANCE SUGGESTION THE REGION COULD REMAIN DRY FOR THE
NEXT 10 DAYS OR SO.
AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SUNDAY/
ISSUED AT 1216 PM CDT SAT OCT 3 2026
AS THE COLD FRONT THAT BROUGHT FRIDAY'S RAIN EXITS THE REGION TO
THE SOUTH, ONGOING LOW STRATUS NEAR THE KY/TN AND MO/AR BORDERS
WILL DIMINISH. SOME ADDITIONAL LIGHT FOG AND FEW-SCT LOW STRATUS
BASES ARE POSSIBLE AROUND DAYBREAK SUNDAY AT CGI AND PAH BEFORE
LIFTING AROUND 13Z.
WINDS WILL BE STEADY FROM THE NE AROUND 9-12 KTS THIS AFTERNOON,
RELAXING TO AROUND 3-5 KTS OVERNIGHT. A WEAK/DRY FRONTAL
BOUNDARY WILL PASS THROUGH THE REGION EARLY SUNDAY MORNING,
BRINGING A SHIFT TO N WINDS AROUND 4-7 KTS.
PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
IN...NONE.
KY...NONE.
DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DWS
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