533
FNUS74 KLIX 211311
FWSLIX
SPOT FORECAST FOR TURKEY CREEK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
811 AM CDT WED OCT 21 2026
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
WE CAN BE REACHED AT (985) 649-0357 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR CONCERNS
WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE WEEK WITH NEAR ZERO RAIN
CHANCES THROUGH THE ENTIRE FORECAST PERIOD. A GRADUAL DAYTIME
WARMING TREND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEKEND, BUT DEWPOINTS
WILL NOT SEE MUCH RECOVERY. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO RESULT IN A
GENERAL DOWNWARD TREND IN AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
THROUGH THE WORKWEEK. EXPECT RELATIVE HUMIDITY TO FALL TO BELOW
30 PERCENT ACROSS MUCH OF THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA WITH THE
LOW VALUES SPREADING ACROSS EVEN MOST SOUTHERN AREAS BY THURSDAY
OR FRIDAY. THOUGH LIGHTER WINDS WILL KEEP US BELOW RED FLAG
WARNING CRITERIA, THERE WILL STILL BE AT LEAST SOME POTENTIAL FOR
FAST FIRE DEVELOPMENT OWING TO THE LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY AND
DRIER THAN NORMAL FUELS ACROSS MOST OF THE AREA. A FIRE DANGER
STATEMENT (SPS) MAY BE ISSUED LATER TO HIGHLIGHT THIS CONCERN.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............45.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...80.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-1524 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............2.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (CDT) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........13 8 5 2 3 3 6 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 66 72 76 79 80 81 81 79
DEWPOINT........46 47 47 45 44 45 44 44 45
RH..............64 50 41 33 29 29 27 27 30
APARNT TMP (F)..58 66 72 76 79 79 80 80 79
20 FT WIND DIR..ENE ENE ENE ENE NE NE NE NE NNE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 3 3 3 5 5 5 5 3
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 8 9 9 9 7
EYE LVL WND DIR.ENE ENE ENE ENE NE NE NE NE NNE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 2
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 4
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.5 1.5 1.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 5 7 7 7 7 7 7 7
TRANS WIND DIR..ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE ENE NE NE NE
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
LVORI...........3 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........83 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............47.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...76.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...122-244 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 2 TO 3 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............4.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TIME (CDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........2 3 12 6 4 2 1 3 2 2 2 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............76 70 64 61 59 57 56 55 53 51 51 50
DEWPOINT........47 47 49 48 47 47 46 46 46 45 45 45
RH..............36 44 58 62 64 69 69 72 77 80 80 83
APARNT TMP (F)..76 70 64 61 59 57 56 55 53 51 51 50
20 FT WIND DIR..NNE NNE NNE ENE ENE ENE ENE N N N NE ENE
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 6 5 6 5 3 3 3 3 5 5
EYE LVL WND DIR.NNE NNE NNE ENE ENE ENE ENE N N N NE ENE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 1 1 0 0 0 1 1
EYE LVL WND GST.4 4 4 3 4 3 2 2 2 2 3 3
MIX HGT (KM)....0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE ENE ENE ENE NE ENE NE NE NE
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE ENE ENE ENE NE ENE NE NE NE
TRANS SPD (M/S).3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
LVORI...........2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 5
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........26 PERCENT.
DEWPOINT............46 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 45 LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MAX APPARENT TEMP...81.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (M)...91-1707 METERS AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS M/S.NORTHEAST 2 TO 4 METERS/SECOND.
LVORI...............4 IN THE MORNING.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.00 INCHES.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH UP TO 4 MPH.
TIME (CDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 4 2 1 2
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............49 49 52 59 69 75 79 82 83 83 83 81
DEWPOINT........45 45 47 50 51 50 49 48 47 46 45 46
RH..............86 86 83 72 53 41 35 31 28 27 26 29
APARNT TMP (F)..49 49 52 59 69 75 79 81 81 81 81 80
20 FT WIND DIR..E ENE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
20 FT WIND SPD..1 1 1 1 1 3 5 5 5 6 6 5
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 5 5 6 8 9 10 10 10 9
EYE LVL WND DIR.E ENE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
EYE LVL WND SPD.1 1 1 1 1 2 3 3 3 4 4 3
EYE LVL WND GST.3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 5
MIX HGT (KM)....0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.6 0.9
TRANSP WIND DIR.NE NE NE NE NE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 6 7 8 8 7 8 9 7
TRANS WIND DIR..NE NE NE NE NE NE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE NNE
TRANS SPD (M/S).2 2 2 2 3 3 4 4 3 4 4 3
LVORI...........5 5 5 3 2 M M M M M M M
FORECASTER...FRYE
REQUESTED BY...CHARLES BOLT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2624235.0/LIX
.DELDT 10/21/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KYLE.OLSEN@USDA.GOV,CHARLES.BOLT@USDA.GOV
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page