380
FXUS64 KLIX 251833
AFDLIX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1233 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
UPDATED AT 1220 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
- WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG IS LIKELY AGAIN TONIGHT. COMMUTERS AND
HOLIDAY TRAVELERS ARE URGED TO ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO THEIR
DESTINATIONS. THE ENVIRONMENT IS VERY CONDUCIVE TO SUPER FOG
FORMATION NEAR AND DOWNWIND OF FIRES.
- ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES CONTINUE WITH DAYTIME HIGHS IN THE
70S AND QUITE POSSIBLY REACHING THE LOW 80S WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS
AROUND 60 DEGREES.
- NEXT COLD FRONT AND CHANCE OF RAIN WILL BE DUE INTO THE REGION
EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A COOL DOWN EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT.
SHORT TERM
(THIS EVENING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY, CONDITIONS WILL BE FAIRLY DRY OVERALL AS
HIGH PRESSURE PERSISTS OVER THE AREA. SOUTHERLY ONSHORE FLOW WILL
CONTINUE TO ADVECT HUMID AND WARM AIR INTO THE REGION. NO RAIN IS
EXPECTED IN THE SHORT RANGE FORECAST. HOWEVER, DENSE FOG WILL
STILL BE A LARGE CONCERN FRIDAY AND SATURDAY MORNINGS AT LEAST AND
LIKELY INTO SUNDAY MORNING AS WELL. VISIBILITIES OF ONE QUARTER
MILE OR LESS WILL BE EXPECTED ACROSS THE REGION, ESPECIALLY NEAR
WATER BODIES. THIS WILL START UP AROUND 10PM AGAIN TONIGHT AND
OCCUR THROUGH MID MORNING TOMORROW WITH A SIMILAR TIMEFRAME FOR
FOG DEVELOPMENT ON FRIDAY NIGHT/SATURDAY MORNING. TEMPERATURES
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MILD WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S AND LOWS IN
THE MID 50S. MSW
LONG TERM
(SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
A WEAK FRONTAL SYSTEM WILL MOVE THROUGH THE AREA SUNDAY NIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY MORNING, ENHANCING RAIN CHANCES FOR THE REGION.
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS WILL LIKELY BE THE MAIN CONCERNS AS IT
MOVES THROUGH. AT LOT CAN CHANGE IN THE NEXT FEW DAYS, AND IT IS
STILL A FEW DAYS OUT. BUT GENERALLY, NOT EXPECTING SEVERE WEATHER
OR FLASH FLOODING FROM THIS SYSTEM AT THIS TIME. WE WILL KEEP
MONITORING AS WE GET CLOSER TO THE END OF THE WEEKEND.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE QUITE COLD FOR LOWS ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE
FRONTAL SYSTEM TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY MORNINGS. THE COLDEST
MORNING OF THE WEEK WILL LIKELY BE WEDNESDAY. LOW TEMPERATURES
WILL BE APPROACHING FREEZING FOR MOST LOCATIONS ON TUESDAY WITH
LOCATIONS IN SOUTHERN MS LIKELY TO SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER
20S. WEDNESDAY, LOWS WILL BE IN THE UPPER 20S FOR MOST LOCATIONS,
EXCEPT THE SOUTHSHORE, WHICH COULD SEE TEMPERATURES IN THE LOW
30S. THURSDAY, LOWS ARE FORECAST TO BE APPROACHING FREEZING FOR
MOST LOCATIONS OUTSIDE OF THE SOUTHSHORE. SO, PREPARE FOR SOME
RAIN ON MONDAY FOLLOWED BY ANOTHER COLD SNAP AS WE HEAD TOWARD THE
NEW YEAR! MSW
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL AT ALL AREA AIRPORTS. DENSE FOG WILL BE
EXPECTED AGAIN LATE TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING, WHICH WILL
LOWER ALL AIRPORT VISIBILITIES AND CEILINGS TO IFR AND LIFR
CONDITIONS. CONDITIONS SHOULD RETURN TO VFR CONDITIONS AROUND MID
DAY TOMORROW. MSW
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1220 PM CST THU DEC 25 2025
FOG WILL REMAIN THROUGH MUCH OF EACH DAY AND WIDESPREAD OVERNIGHT
INTO THE END OF THE WEEK WHICH WILL LIKELY BRING ADDITIONAL MARINE
DENSE FOG ADVISORIES, ESPECIALLY RIGHT ALONG THE COAST. THIS FOG MAY
NOT LIFT IN MANY AREAS NEAR THE COAST, BUT AS LAND HEATING GETS
GOING, WE SHOULD SEE SOME EROSION OVER WATER BODIES THAT CAN MOVE
THIS AIR OVER THE WATER. THE NEXT FRONT IS DUE INTO THE REGION EARLY
NEXT WEEK. THIS WILL DEFINITELY MOVE THE FOG ISSUE AWAY. LOOK FOR
WINDS TO BE ON THE INCREASE VERY LATE IN THE PERIOD WITH THIS
FEATURE AS WELL WHICH SHOULD PRODUCE HEADLINES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
MCB 59 75 61 77 / 0 0 10 0
BTR 60 78 61 79 / 0 0 10 0
ASD 56 75 58 77 / 0 0 0 0
MSY 60 78 62 78 / 0 0 0 0
GPT 57 72 59 73 / 0 0 0 10
PQL 54 72 57 75 / 0 0 0 10
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
LA...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST FRIDAY
FOR LAZ034>037-039-046>048-056>060-064>071-076>090.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM CST SATURDAY FOR
LAZ034>037-039-046>048-056>060-064>071-076>090.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ530-532-
534-536-538.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY
FOR GMZ530-532-534-536-538-555.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR
GMZ530-532-534-536-538-555.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST FRIDAY
FOR GMZ550-552.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM CST SATURDAY FOR
GMZ550-552-557-570-572-575-577.
MS...DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST FRIDAY
FOR MSZ068>071-077-083>088.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM CST SATURDAY FOR
MSZ068>071-077-083>088.
GM...DENSE FOG ADVISORY UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING FOR GMZ532-534-
536-538.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 6 PM CST FRIDAY
FOR GMZ532-534-536-538-555.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 6 PM CST SATURDAY FOR
GMZ532-534-536-538-555.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 AM CST FRIDAY
FOR GMZ552.
DENSE FOG ADVISORY FROM 10 PM FRIDAY TO 10 AM CST SATURDAY FOR
GMZ552-557-570-572-575-577.
SHORT TERM...MSW
LONG TERM....MSW
AVIATION...MSW
MARINE...MSW
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