213  
FXUS64 KLIX 222020  
AFDLIX  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA  
320 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2024  
   
..NEW SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE
 
 
   
SHORT TERM
 
 
(THIS EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 320 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2024  
 
RIDGING CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE AREA FOR THE MOST PART WITH DRY  
CONDITIONS EXPECT. THE ONLY EXCEPTION TO THIS WILL BE TONIGHT IN  
THE NORTHWESTERN PART OF THE FORECAST AREA DUE SOME WEAKENING OF  
THE RIDGE POSSIBLE BECAUSE OF A WEAK DEVELOPING SHORTWAVE PUSHING  
THROUGH OK INTO AR THEN WEST MS/NORTH LA BRINGING A POTENTIAL  
THREAT OF SHOWERS/STORMS. THERE IS ALREADY CONVECTION ONGOING IN  
SOUTHEAST OK SO EXPECT IT TO MOVE EAST/SOUTHEAST LATER TONIGHT BUT  
CONFIDENCE OF IT ACTUALLY REACHING OUR AREA ISN'T AS HIGH IN  
TERMS OF IT REACHING THE SW MS COUNTIES OF THE CWA SINCE THE  
ENVIRONMENTAL SUPPORT IS NOT GREAT OVER OUR AREA WITH PLENTY OF  
CAPPING. ANY CHANCES OF SHOWERS/STORMS SHOULD BE OVER BY THE TIME  
WE GET INTO LATE HOURS TONIGHT. OTHER THAN THIS, DRY AND QUIET  
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED.  
 

 
   
LONG TERM
 
 
(FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)  
ISSUED AT 320 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2024  
THE AREA WILL STILL UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF A SLOW BUILDING RIDGE  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND MEMORIAL DAY, WITH HIGH TEMPERATURES  
REACHING INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S THROUGH MONDAY. WHEN INCLUDING  
THE HUMIDITY, WE COULD SEE HEAT INDEX VALUES AT THE PEAK OF THE  
DAY ON THE LONG WEEKEND IN THE UPPER 90S/LOW 100S.  
MOST AREAS WILL BE ANOMALOUS WARM WITH A FEW SPOTS THREATENING  
THE RECORDS, PARTICULARLY NEW ORLEANS.  
 
HERE ARE A FEW REMINDERS FOR HEAT SAFETY THIS WEEKEND:  
-TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS INSIDE WITH A/C OR IN SHADE IF THE FORMER IS  
NOT AVAILABLE  
-STAY HYDRATED, DRINK PLENTY OF FLUIDS  
-DRESS WITH LIGHT COLORED AND LOOSE CLOTHING  
-DON'T LEAVE CHILDREN OR PETS IN THE CAR  
-AVOID ACTIVITIES ESPECIALLY IN THE HEAT OF MID DAY  
-KNOW THE SIGNS OF HEAT ILLNESS  
 
STARTING TUESDAY, WE HAVE A NEARBY FRONT THAT WILL APPROACH FROM  
THE NORTH, SO BUILDING CLOUDS OFF OF THAT ON TOP OF SOME LOW RAIN  
CHANCES (20-30%ISH) THAT WILL HELP DAMPEN THE HEAT SLIGHTLY AND  
BRING OUR NEXT CHANCES OF RAIN. WE'LL BE IN A MORE ZONAL FLOW  
PATTERN FOR THE FIRST PART OF THE WEEK. -BL  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 1253 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2024  
 
MOST OF THE TERMINALS ARE VFR WITH A FEW AT JUST BARELY MVFR DUE  
TO SOME LOWER A SCATTERED CLOUD DECK. MCB MAY BRIEFLY EXPERIENCE  
SOME LOWER VIS DUE TO LIGHT PATCHY FOG, BUT OTHER THAN THAT, THE  
FORECAST IS BENIGN WITH LIGHT SOUTHERLY/SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS. -BL  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
ISSUED AT 320 PM CDT WED MAY 22 2024  
FAIRLY BENIGN WEATHER CONTINUES FOR THE COASTAL WATERS. WINDS AND  
WAVES WILL REMAIN FAIRLY LIGHT ONSHORE FLOW WITH THE EXCEPTION OF  
PARTS OF SUNDAY AND MONDAY MAY SEE SOME WINDS AT AROUND 15 TO 20  
KNOTS SO SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION HEADLINE MAY BE NEEDED THEN.  
AFTER THIS, THE WINDS WILL BECOME LIGHT AGAIN FOR THE REST OF  
NEXT WEEK. -BL  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
MCB 68 88 70 91 / 10 10 0 0  
BTR 74 92 75 94 / 10 10 0 0  
ASD 71 90 73 93 / 0 0 0 0  
MSY 74 90 76 92 / 0 0 0 0  
GPT 71 87 74 88 / 0 0 0 0  
PQL 69 88 72 90 / 0 0 0 0  
 

 
   
LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
LA...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  
MS...NONE.  
GM...NONE.  

 
 

 
 
SHORT TERM...BL  
LONG TERM....BL  
AVIATION...BL  
MARINE...BL  
 
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