315  
FNUS75 KMSO 092130  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR BLACK BEAR  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
330 PM MDT SUN AUG 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MDT ON AUGUST 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
GRADUAL COOLING TREND FOR MAXIMUM DAYTIME  
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITIES NOT AS CRITICALLY DRY OVER THE NEXT  
COUPLE DAYS. OVERNIGHT POOR RECOVERIES REMAIN EXPECTED, AGAIN,  
NOT NEARLY AS BAD AS RECENT, WITH RH LIKELY NEAR 40 PERCENT.  
SMOKE MAY BE DENSE AT TIMES AND WILL PUSH VISIBILITY DOWN TO 3 TO  
6 MILES. AN INCREASE IN AFTERNOON WIND GUSTS IS EXPECTED MONDAY  
AFTERNOON, GUSTING AROUND 16 MPH.  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
* MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
MONDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY. SMOKE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........16-21 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING WEST 5-8 MPH WITH  
GUSTS AROUND 16 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
MONDAY NIGHT
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR. SMOKE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST 5-7 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
VARIABLE 1-3 MPH.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 5 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. SMOKE.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 1-3 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND 5-7  
MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9000 FT AGL.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
 

 
FORECASTER...KITSMILLER  
REQUESTED BY...ZACH LEE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2618935.6/MSO  
.DELDT 08/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL 2026.NORTHFORKLOSTHORSE.PLANS@FIRENET.GOV,ZACHARY.LEE@USDA.GOV,CLINT.MENDENHALL@USDA.GOV,DAVID.HOOD@USDA.GOV  
 
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