555  
FNUS75 KMSO 091506  
FWSMSO  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HORSE RIDGE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT  
906 AM MDT FRI OCT 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON OCTOBER 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
HIGH CLOUDS WILL PASS THROUGH OTHERWISE EXPECT A DRY  
AND MILD DAY, SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY (THURSDAY). WINDS ARE EXPECTED  
TO START SOUTHERLY THEN INCREASE AROUND 1-2PM BECOMING SOUTHWEST  
TO WEST, GUSTING AROUND 30 MPH. DECENT MIXING AND TRANSPORT WINDS  
SHOULD ACCOMPANY THIS INCREASE IN WINDS.  
 
SHOWER CHANCES INCREASE THIS EVENING AND CONTINUE ON SATURDAY WITH  
OCCASIONAL SHOWER CHANCES INTO SUNDAY. WETTING RAIN CHANCES  
REMAIN MODEST AT 20-30% TONIGHT AND SATURDAY WITH A GENERAL  
EXPECTATION OF 0.10 INCH OR LESS. TOTAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS  
TONIGHT THROUGH THE ENTIRE WEEKEND RANGE FROM 0.05 TO 0.30 INCH  
WITH A MEAN VALUE AROUND 0.15 INCH BUT THERE IS LOW CONFIDENCE ON  
THE ADDITIONAL PRECIPITATION AMOUNTS SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY.  
OTHERWISE, WINDS DIMINISH THIS EVENING WITH A EXCELLENT RH  
RECOVERY. SATURDAY WILL BE MUCH COOLER WITH A PUSH OF NORTHEAST  
WINDS BY MID AFTERNOON.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (HIGH CLOUDS).  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS 15 MPH BECOMING  
SOUTHWEST TO WEST 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH  
BEGINNING AROUND 1-2PM.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN  
EARLY/MID AFTERNOON.  
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25 MPH BY EARLY/MID AFTERNOON.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.  
   
TONIGHT  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE EVENING, THEN  
CHANCE OF RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...20 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
* MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........WEST 10-16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH  
DECREASING TO 5-7 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH JUST AFTER  
SUNSET.  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL EARLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
* MIXING WINDS........WEST 15 MPH.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00-0.10 INCHES.  
   
SATURDAY  
 
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW IN THE  
MORNING, THEN SNOW LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...30 PERCENT.  
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.  
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.  
* MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
* WIND (20 FT)........NORTH AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST  
10-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON (2-3PM).  
* MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
* MIXING WINDS........NORTH 10 MPH THEN NORTHEAST 15 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00-0.12 INCHES.  
 
 
FORECASTER...BOOTH  
REQUESTED BY...MATT GLENN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623334.2/MSO  
.DELDT 10/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAMES.FLINT@USDA.GOV,JASON.MONROE@USDA.GOV,SCOTT.REID@USDA.GOV,MATTHEW.GLENN@USDA.GOV,TRISTAN.REID@USDA.GOV  
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