103
FNUS75 KMSO 221354
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR LOST CREEK 155_559
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
754 AM MDT THU OCT 22 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MDT ON OCTOBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TODAY WILL TREND A FEW DEGREES COOLER WITH AN
INCREASE IN RHS AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING WEATHER SYSTEM. WINDS WILL
GENERALLY REMAIN LIGHT AND SOUTHEASTERLY, BUT TREND SOUTHERLY AND
INCREASE SLIGHTLY LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO THIS EVENING. A COLD
FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH LATE TONIGHT, KEEPING WINDS ELEVATED AND
SWITCHING THE WIND DIRECTION TO MORE NORTHWESTERLY. WIND WILL
REMAIN FROM THE WEST-NORTHWEST THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW, LIKELY
GUSTING TO NEAR 25 MPH AT TIMES. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY FALL
THROUGH THE DAY TOMORROW. PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TONIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY FRIDAY. THE MOST
LIKELY RANGE OF PRECIPITATION TOTALS (10TH TO 90TH PERCENTILE) IS
0.20" TO 0.60" BY 6PM FRIDAY EVENING.
REST OF TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
* MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 2-4 MPH BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
3-6 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 12 MPH IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4000 FT AGL LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING CLOUDY. RAIN
LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN OVERNIGHT.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...70 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....UP TO 10 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
* MAX HUMIDITY........92-97 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE 2-5 MPH BECOMING WEST-NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.08-0.13 INCHES.
FRIDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN IN THE MORNING, THEN RAIN LIKELY
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...80 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
* MIN HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........WEST-NORTHWEST 6-9 MPH. GUSTS TO 25 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 15 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.14-0.19 INCHES.
FORECASTER...JENNK
REQUESTED BY...DAN CAMPBELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2623732.9/MSO
.DELDT 10/22/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL JOHN.DIGIANDO@USDA.GOV,DANIEL.CAMPBELL@USDA.GOV
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