246
FNUS75 KMSO 101012
FWSMSO
SPOT FORECAST FOR CONX5 MORNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MISSOULA MT
412 AM MDT FRI APR 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON APRIL 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
DRY CONDITIONS PREVAIL THIS MORNING UNDER PARTLY
CLOUDY SKIES AND SOUTHERLY WINDS. ASSUMING AN IGNITION TIME OF
1100 MDT, WINDS WILL BE BETWEEN SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST 6-12 MPH.
WINDS BECOME MORE WESTERLY GOING INTO THE AFTERNOON, GUSTING 15-20
MPH BY ABOUT 1400 MDT. THERE WILL BE ABOUT A 5-10% CHANCE OF
EXCEEDING 25 MPH AROUND 1500 MDT.
EXPECT INCREASING CLOUDS TONIGHT, ALONG WITH SLIGHT CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS (LESS THAN 10% CHANCE). THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING ERRATIC OUTFLOW WINDS OF ABOUT 30-40 MPH.
MORE WIDESPREAD RAIN STARTS SATURDAY AND WILL CONTINUE FOR MUCH OF
NEXT WEEK. SATURDAY WILL BRING WETTER CONDITIONS AND GUSTY WEST
WINDS. CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON ARE ABOUT
25%. TOTAL LIQUID PRECIPITATION BY SUNDAY EVENING WILL BE 0.15 TO
0.35 INCHES.
REST OF TODAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...0 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....5 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
* MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH 5-12 MPH BECOMING WEST 10-15 MPH WITH
GUSTS TO 20 MPH AFTER NOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.00 INCHES.
TONIGHT
* SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE EVENING.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...20 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....0 PERCENT.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
* MAX HUMIDITY........67-72 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST 8-13 MPH.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO LESS THAN 100 FT
AGL.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 10 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.04 INCHES.
SATURDAY
* SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
MORNING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE AFTERNOON.
* CWR (> 0.10 INCH)...40 PERCENT.
* CHANCE LIGHTNING....25 PERCENT.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
* MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
* WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST 9-17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
* MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL LATE IN
THE MORNING.
* MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 15 MPH.
* PRECIP AMOUNT.......0.09 INCHES.
FORECASTER...MESSINA
REQUESTED BY...SAM SULSER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2609893.0/MSO
.DELDT 04/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL SAMUEL.SULSER@USDA.GOV
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