738  
FNUS75 KTFX 211308  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR PANAMA...HELENA INTERAGENCY DISPATCH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
708 AM MDT SAT MAR 21 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0800 MDT ON MARCH 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
..COLD FRONT WITH WIND SHIFT ARRIVES LATE THIS AFTERNOON
 
 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
IT WILL NOT BE AS WARM TODAY, BUT STILL MILD. A COLD FRONT WILL  
ARRIVE LATE THIS AFTERNOON, AROUND 4 PM. EXPECT A WIND SHIFT TO  
THE NORTHWEST. NOT MUCH PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED ON YOUR FIRE,  
MAYBE 0.02 TO 0.04 INCHES OF LIQUID. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES  
STILL EXPECTED ALL NEXT WEEK, EVEN AFTER THE COLD FRONT MOVES  
THROUGH, ALONG WITH LITTLE/NO PRECIPITATION.  
   
TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.  
MIN HUMIDITY........23-28 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......BREEZY. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO  
NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. WIND SHIFT LIKELY AFTER  
4 PM.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 40  
TO 45 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN DECREASING  
TO 30 TO 35 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........58 61 63 64 66 68 71 74 67 60  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 48 55 58 60 61 60 57 56 53  
RH..............43 44 37 32 28 29 32 40 39 37  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 15 15 20 25 25 25 25 25  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 20 20 25 30 35 40 35 35 35  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..35 35 40 45 45 40 35 30 25 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 1.5 3.0 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 4.0 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W NW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 15 15 25 30 30 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....27-32.  
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 35 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE WEST EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........53 40 27 14 11 10 3 3 3 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 48 45 43 41 40 37 35 34 32 31 30  
RH..............38 42 46 51 55 56 59 64 63 64 63 65  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..20 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.35 30 25 25 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W NW W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 15 15 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 3.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW N NW N N NW NW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
   
SUNDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30  
MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........2 2 2 2 2 2 5 5 5 22 22 22  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............29 31 31 36 40 44 48 52 55 57 59 60  
RH..............65 64 61 49 38 29 22 18 15 14 13 12  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 20 20 25 25 25 30 30 35  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.5 4.5 5.5 6.5 6.5 7.0 7.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 15 20 20 20 25 25 20  
 

 
FORECASTER...BRUSDA/MCDOWELL  
REQUESTED BY...ALEX GOOSMANN  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2606590.2/TFX  
.DELDT 03/21/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MTHDC@FIRENET.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV  
 
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