238
FNUS75 KTFX 151150
FWSTFX
SPOT FORECAST FOR QUEEN GULCH...MTHDC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
550 AM MDT SAT AUG 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0700 MDT ON AUGUST 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
TODAY AND TOMORROW THERE WILL BE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THAT
WILL AFFECT THE FIRE. TODAY THE GREATEST RISK FOR A THUNDERSTORM
IS AROUND 1800. ALL THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE FREQUENT LIGHTING
AND GUSTY, ERRATIC WINDS. TODAY IT WILL BE WARMER THAN YESTERDAY
AND SUNDAY IT WILL BE WARMER THAN TODAY. TODAY AND TOMORROW WINDS
WILL BE AROUND 5 MPH. TODAY THERE IS A 40% CHANCE FOR A QUARTER
INCH OF RAIN OVER THE FIRE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH DECREASING TO 0 TO 5 MPH
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........75 51 43 38 40 35 13 35 54 60 80
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30
TEMP............46 47 47 50 52 55 57 58 59 60 58
RH..............79 81 83 78 73 65 63 57 54 54 60
20 FT WIND DIR..W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 10
RIDGE WIND DIR..S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 5 5 5 5 0 0
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.0 4.0 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S S SW SW W W W SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
MAX HUMIDITY........68-73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
RIDGETOP...........SOUTH 0 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
LATE IN THE EVENING SHIFTING TO THE WEST EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........88 96 96 82 72 40 47 45 33 30 32 41
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 30 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).30 30 30 20 20 10 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 57 55 53 52 51 51 51 50 50 49 49
RH..............62 66 71 73 73 73 73 69 70 71 71 70
20 FT WIND DIR..S S SW W NW W W SW W SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 10 10 5 5 5 5 10 10 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 10 10 10 10
RIDGE WIND DIR..S S S S S S S S SW SW SW SW
RIDGE WIND SPD..0 5 10 15 10 10 5 5 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S SW W W S SW SW SW SW SW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 5 10 10 5 5 5 5 10 10 10
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...25 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY
AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST LATE IN
THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP...........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60 60 60 50 50 50 52 52 52 66 66 66
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ CHC CHC CHC
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 30 30 30
TEMP............49 48 50 51 55 57 59 61 62 63 64 62
RH..............68 67 67 67 61 56 50 50 45 43 42 45
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W S S S SW SW SW W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W W W
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 1.5 2.5 4.0 6.0 8.0 10 8.5 6.0 7.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW W W W W W NW W
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 5 5 5 5 5 10 15 15 15 15 15
FORECASTER...GESELL
REQUESTED BY...ZACK
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619429.4/TFX
.DELDT 08/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MTHDC@FIRENET.GOV,CLINT.REICHERT@USDA.GOV,BLAKE.WOJCIK@USDA.GOV,MICHAEL.TUFFELMIRE@USDA.GOV
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