502
FNUS75 KTFX 011503
FWSTFX
SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK SMITH 11B...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
903 AM MDT WED APR 1 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
THERE IS A 30% CHANCE FOR A FEW ISOLATED LIGHT SHOWERS THIS
AFTERNOON. BETTER CHANCES FOR WETTING RAIN DEVELOPS THIS EVENING
INTO THURSDAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE BETWEEN 5 TO 15 MPH
THROUGHOUT THE DAY, THOUGH A FEW 20 MPH WIND GUSTS CAN'T BE RULED
OUT IN THE AFTERNOON. RAIN SWITCHES TO SNOW THURSDAY MORNING
BEHIND A COLD FRONT. BREEZY NORTHWEST WINDS OF UP TO 30 MPH WILL
BE POSSIBLE BEHIND THE FRONT. THERE'S A 60% CHANCE FOR 0.25" OF
RAIN WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
RAIN EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................5 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
TIME (MDT) 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........47 35 41 53 46 65 61 67
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 41 44 46 47 48 48 48
RH..............72 70 64 63 61 60 59 59
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10 15 15 15 20 20 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 3.0 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.0 4.5 4.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN WITH SNOW
LIKELY IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN LIKELY
OVERNIGHT.
CWR.................65 PERCENT DECREASING TO 15 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......VARIABLE SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........86 89 93 87 79 78 81 87 87 69 66 84
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RS RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............70 70 70 70 70 70 20 20 20 20 20 20
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............46 43 42 37 37 36 36 35 35 35 35 34
RH..............64 74 82 91 91 93 92 92 92 89 89 89
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SW S SW S S S S S SW SW SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 0 0 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S SW S S S S S S SW SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN EARLY IN THE
MORNING. SNOW THROUGH THE DAY.
CWR.................90 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
MIN HUMIDITY........81-86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
WEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH
IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99 99
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS RS SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN
TSTM COV........
CWR.............90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90 90
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............35 33 33 34 34 34 34 34 34 34 33 33
RH..............87 92 93 91 90 88 87 87 88 88 87 87
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 20 20 20 30 30 30 30 30 30
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 10 10 10 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20
FORECASTER...WILSON
REQUESTED BY...CASEY HAMILTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2608629.1/TFX
.DELDT 04/01/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CASEY.HAMILTON@USDA.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV
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