684  
FNUS75 KTFX 241124  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JERICHO CREEK FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
524 AM MDT SUN MAY 24 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON MAY 24.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
TODAY IT WILL BE WARM AND DRY. TODAY THERE WILL BE WINDS OF 5 TO  
10 MPH IN THE MORNING WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. THIS AFTERNOON  
WINDS WILL BE 10 TO 15 MPH WITH WIND GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH. TONIGHT  
THERE WILL BE POOR HUMIDITY RECOVERY WITH WINDS AROUND 5 TO 10  
MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. ON MONDAY IT WILL BE HOT WITH  
ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EFFECTING THE FIRE. ANY  
THUNDERSTORM WILL PRODUCE GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS AND FREQUENT  
LIGHTNING. ON MONDAY WINDS WILL BE AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH WITH WIND  
GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. -IG  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-74.  
MIN HUMIDITY........12-17 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 20 TO 25 MPH BECOMING AROUND 25 MPH LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......8500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........77 83 80 38 16 5 3 12 31 30 35 33  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............41 44 47 55 59 63 65 67 69 69 70 71  
RH..............60 54 49 41 35 30 27 25 24 22 20 19  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 10 10 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 25 25  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..25 20 20 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 4.5 5.0 6.0 6.5 7.5 8.0 8.5 8.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 25 20  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.  
MAX HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........28 31 27 20 20 29 22 23 18 17 23 15  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............69 66 61 53 50 48 47 46 46 44 43 43  
RH..............19 22 30 37 41 43 46 45 46 47 50 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W NW W W W W SW SW SW SW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..25 25 20 20 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...7.5 5.5 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 15 15 10 10 10 5 10 10 10 10 10  
   
MEMORIAL DAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......9500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11500 FT AGL IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 21 21 22 22 22 28 28 28 53 53 53  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............42 45 49 56 63 68 71 73 74 74 74 75  
RH..............54 48 42 33 29 23 21 20 20 20 21 22  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW S S S  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 20 20 20  
RIDGE WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 2.5 5.0 7.5 9.5 11 12 12 11 11  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...GESELL  
REQUESTED BY...WILL MENNING  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613863.7/TFX  
.DELDT 05/24/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MTHDC@FIRENET.GOV,SCOTT.NELSON@DNR.WA.GOV,AASHDALE@LCCOUNTYMT.GOV,MEGAN.NOLTE@USDA.GOV,WILLIAM.MENNING@USDA.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV  
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