729  
FNUS75 KTFX 151049  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMERON CREEK RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
449 AM MDT WED APR 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MDT ON APRIL 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
BREEZY AND GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL PRECEDE THE PASSAGE OF A  
COLD FRONT, WITH WINDS SWITCHING TO THE NORTHWEST UPON THE PASSAGE  
OF THE AFOREMENTIONED FRONT BETWEEN 2000 AND 2400 LOCAL TIME THIS  
EVENING. NORTHWEST WINDS MAY BE LIGHT AFTER THE INITIAL PASSAGE OF  
THE COLD FRONT, BUT WILL BEGIN TO STRENGTHEN AND BECOME GUSTY  
BEYOND 0300 LOCAL TIME THURSDAY AS COLD AIR SURGES SOUTH ACROSS  
THE NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MONTANA. THERE IS A 100% CHANCE THAT  
GUSTS EXCEED 25 MPH BY THE LATE MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS,  
WITH A 55% CHANCE THAT GUSTS EXCEED 40 MPH. THERE IS A 99% CHANCE  
THAT GUSTS EXCEED 35 MPH ON THURSDAY AND A 65% CHANCE THAT GUSTS  
EXCEED 45 MPH. SHOWERS WILL BEGIN TO DEVELOP AND MOVE NEAR THE  
INCIDENT AREA BY THE MID-AFTERNOON HOURS TODAY, WITH STEADIER  
RAIN CHANGING TO SNOW OCCURRING BY THE EVENING HOURS TONIGHT AND  
PERSISTING INTO THE MORNING HOURS ON THURSDAY.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY  
SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF RAIN LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...11 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH, WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 15 MPH IN THE EARLY MORNING; INCREASING  
TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........94 96 94 89 91 87 86 82 82 81 64  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10  
TEMP............39 40 43 47 49 50 52 52 52 53 52  
RH..............52 49 46 42 37 35 35 37 37 38 42  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 30 30 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 2.0 3.5 4.0 5.0 5.5 5.5 5.0 5.0 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN AND SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. SNOW  
THROUGH THE NIGHT.  
CWR.................60 PERCENT DECREASING TO 25 PERCENT OVERNIGHT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...17 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.  
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 10 TO  
20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH LATE IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING,  
THEN INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........73 86 91 96 100 100 100 100 91 80 77 73  
WEATHER COV.....CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RS RS RS SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............60 60 60 60 60 60 30 30 30 30 30 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).20 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............51 49 45 42 40 38 37 36 33 33 32 31  
RH..............47 52 62 69 72 75 75 75 76 74 72 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 20 20 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 20 20 20 20 20 20 25 30 30 35 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 3.0 0.5 0.1 1.0 0.5 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 0.1 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW SW W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 15 15 20 20 20 25 30 30 30 35  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). PATCHY BLOWING  
SNOW IN THE MORNING. SNOW LIKELY IN THE  
MORNING, THEN CHANCE OF SNOW IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
MIN HUMIDITY........44-49 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 35 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 30 TO 35 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........78 78 78 81 81 81 75 75 75 77 77 77  
WEATHER COV.....LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............28 28 27 26 28 29 31 32 33 33 33 32  
RH..............69 70 67 61 57 54 51 49 48 49 49 51  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 35 30 30 30 30 30 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.5 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.35 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30 30  
 
 
 
FORECASTER...MOLDAN  
REQUESTED BY...LWT INTERAGENCY DISPATCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2610136.5/TFX  
.DELDT 04/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MTLEC@FIRENET.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV  
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