301  
FNUS75 KTFX 051206  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CROW CREEK...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
506 AM MST THU MAR 5 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 MST ON MARCH 05.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
SNOW ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING PACIFIC WEATHER SYSTEM WILL  
TRANSITION TO SNOW SHOWERS BY THIS AFTERNOON. DRIER CONDITIONS  
MOVE IN TONIGHT INTO FRIDAY, THOUGH ANOTHER WEAK WAVE MAY BRING A  
FEW OVERNIGHT SNOW SHOWERS. GUSTY NORTHWESTERLY WINDS THIS  
AFTERNOON GRADUALLY DIMINISH TONIGHT BEFORE INCREASING TO A LESSER  
DEGREE ON FRIDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW THIS MORNING  
WILL TRANSITION TO SNOW SHOWERS THIS AFTERNOON  
CWR.................80 PERCENT DECREASING TO 30 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....34-39.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH WITH  
GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25  
MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 97 94 90 89 89 90 85 76 78  
WEATHER COV.....DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............60 60 60 60 50 50 50 50 50 50 30  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............33 33 34 34 33 34 34 35 36 35 35  
RH..............82 82 80 76 76 73 70 68 64 64 64  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 25 30 30 30 35 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 15 15 20 20 20 20 25 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS  
IN THE EVENING, THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS  
DURING THE OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................30 PERCENT DECREASING TO 5 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
EVENING.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...2 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30  
MPH IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........74 58 61 57 57 59 58 42 46 38 28 38  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............30 30 30 30 30 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............33 32 33 32 31 31 31 30 29 28 29 28  
RH..............68 68 65 66 66 65 65 65 69 68 68 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW W W NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 25 25 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10 10  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.  
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........38 38 52 52 52 53 53 53 55 55 55 45  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... SN SN SN SN SN SN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
TEMP............28 28 29 32 34 35 36 37 38 38 37 36  
RH..............67 69 66 62 58 54 51 49 48 47 47 48  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20  
 

 
FORECASTER...GREELY  
REQUESTED BY...PHIL KNAUB  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604739.1/TFX  
.DELDT 03/05/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PHILIP.KNAUB@USDA.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV  
 
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