366  
FNUS75 KTFX 022305  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CROW CREEK RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
405 PM MST MON MAR 2 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1600 MST ON MARCH 02.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
NORTHERLY WINDS EARLY THIS EVENING WILL WEAKEN OVERNIGHT TONIGHT  
AND WILL RESULT IN DRAINAGE WINDS BECOMING THE PRIMARY WIND  
OVERNIGHT. HOWEVER, WINDS WILL INCREASE OUT OF THE SOUTH TO  
SOUTHWEST DURING THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON ON TUESDAY, WITH  
RIDGETOP WINDS REACHING 20 TO 25 MPH, WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH  
POSSIBLE. RH VALUES WILL ALSO BE QUITE LOW ON TUESDAY, WITH MIN RH  
VALUES LIKELY TO BE AROUND 15-20%. WINDS DECREASE AROUND SUNSET  
AS CLOUDS INCREASE AHEAD OF A COATING TO AN INCH OF SNOW ON  
WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........54 50  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0  
TEMP............50 48  
RH..............26 27  
20 FT WIND DIR..N NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
AROUND 5 MPH AFTER 3 AM.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........56 23 17 12 11 14 21 14 11 13 11 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............45 42 39 38 37 37 37 36 34 34 33 32  
RH..............31 39 41 45 46 46 45 46 50 53 51 53  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW W W W W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW W NW NW W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 15 15 15 10 10 10 10 5 5 5  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.  
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH IN THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON  
INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15  
MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 13 13 10 8 13 16 25 27 33 42 39  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............33 31 34 38 42 45 47 50 52 53 53 54  
RH..............50 50 45 40 35 25 20 18 18 18 20 20  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW W W S S S S S S S S SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST. 10 10 15 20 20 25 30 30 30 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.5 3.0 2.0 1.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W S SW S SW S SW S SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...LUDWIG  
REQUESTED BY...PHILIP KNAUB  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2604428.1/TFX  
.DELDT 03/02/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL PHILIP.KNAUB@USDA.GOV,TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV  
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