297  
FNUS75 KTFX 011103  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR JERICHO CREEK FIRE...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
503 AM MDT MON JUN 1 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JUNE 01.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
EXPECT PERIODS OF RAIN/SNOW THIS MORNING. PRECIPITATION BECOMES  
LIGHTER AND MORE SCATTERED STARTING TONIGHT. SHOWERS ARE LIKELY TO  
CONTINUE ON TUE, WITH SOME DRYING ON WED. THERE WILL BE A GOOD  
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS ON THU. IT LOOKS WARMER BY LATE  
IN THE WEEK, BUT SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN  
THROUGH THE DAY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW LATE IN  
THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE AFTERNOON. MORNING FOG.  
CWR.................35 PERCENT DECREASING TO 15 PERCENT IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...18 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69-74 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........95 97 92 89 86 88 87 84 83 76 75 72  
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RS RS RS RS RS RS RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CWR.............40 40 40 40 40 40 20 20 20 20 20 20  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............36 37 37 39 41 42 42 43 45 47 47 48  
RH..............95 95 99 99 100 99 98 94 90 85 79 74  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...7 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH  
AFTER 3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........69 78 73 77 78 72 67 65 69 75 83 78  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............47 46 44 41 40 39 38 38 38 36 36 36  
RH..............74 75 79 87 92 94 94 93 93 93 95 95  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..15 15 15 20 15 15 15 15 15 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.5 3.0 2.5 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN LATE IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...12 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........78 78 78 85 85 85 91 91 91 91 91 91  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 0 10 10  
TEMP............35 37 38 41 45 48 49 50 52 53 53 54  
RH..............94 90 88 82 80 73 68 67 66 65 63 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 0.5 1.5 2.0 3.0 3.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 10 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...BRUSDA  
REQUESTED BY...JAKE FITZGERALD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613863.15/TFX  
.DELDT 06/01/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JAKE.FITZGERALD@USDA.GOV,SAMUEL.ADAMS2@USDA.GOV,MTHDC@FIRENET.GOV,SCOTT.NELSON@DNR.WA.GOV  
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