023  
FNUS75 KTFX 142009  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH FORK...BLM LEWISTOWN DISPATCH  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
109 PM MST WED JAN 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1300 MST ON JANUARY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH THE DAY  
TODAY WILL BRING OVERALL LIGHT WINDS AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL  
TEMPERATURES TO THE INCIDENT AREA. BY THIS EVENING A WEAK  
DISTURBANCE WILL BEGIN TO CREST THE RIDGE AND DIVE SOUTHEAST OVER  
NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MONTANA THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.  
THIS DISTURBANCE MAY BRING LIGHT PRECIPITATION TO THE ISLAND  
RANGES OF CENTRAL MONTANA THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY, BUT ANY  
PRECIPITATION IS LIKELY TO FALL BELOW A WETTING EVENT. THIS  
BIGGEST IMPACT FROM THE DISTURBANCE AND ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT WILL  
BE INCREASING NORTH WINDS THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY, WITH A  
60-70% CHANCE FOR WIND GUSTS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH DURING THE LATE  
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS ON THURSDAY.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.  
MIN HUMIDITY........17-22 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 30  
MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MST) 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........5 5 6 9 10  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............58 59 58 56 54  
RH..............24 23 22 24 26  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 30 30 20 20  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......BREEZY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING  
TO 20 TO 25 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 35  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING, THEN DECREASING TO  
AROUND 25 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........11 11 10 12 8 10 8 9 14 19 17 16  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............51 49 48 48 48 48 47 47 46 43 40 39  
RH..............28 26 25 24 24 23 24 26 30 37 38 39  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 20 20 20 20 20 20 25 25 20 20 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.25 30 30 30 30 30 30 35 35 30 30 30  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 25 25 25 25 30 30 30 35 30 30 25  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING MOSTLY  
SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) CHANCE OF SNOW EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................0 PERCENT INCREASING TO 10 PERCENT LATE IN THE  
MORNING, THEN DECREASING TO 0 PERCENT LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........30-35 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDY. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING  
TO 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 45 MPH  
LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 40 TO 45  
MPH.  
 
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........21 13 13 17 34 29 51 56 59 59 49 39  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY CHC SCH SCH SCH PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... BDT BDT SN SN SN SN BDT  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............39 35 37 40 42 42 40 41 35 35 32 28  
RH..............39 44 47 39 35 35 36 45 52 44 58 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW W W W NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 15 20 25 25 25 25 30 30 30  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 25 30 30 35 35 35 35 40 40 45  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.1 0.1 0.1 1.0 2.0 3.0 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 20 20 20 30 35 35 40 40 45 40 45  
 

 
 
FORECASTER...MOLDAN  
REQUESTED BY...LEWISTOWN INTERAGENCY DISPATCH  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2528878.2/TFX  
.DELDT 01/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MTLEC@FIRENET.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab MT Page Main Text Page