929  
FNUS75 KTFX 150014  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRUCE...MTHDC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
614 PM MDT THU MAY 14 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 1800 MDT ON MAY 14.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WESTERLY FLOW CONTINUES ACROSS THE NORTHERN ROCKIES THROUGH  
FRIDAY, MAINTAINING BREEZY AND DRY CONDITIONS. WEST WINDS WILL  
GRADUALLY DECREASE THIS EVENING WITH GUSTY CONDITIONS CONTINUING  
OVER EXPOSED RIDGETOPS WHILE LESS EXPOSED AREAS SEE WINDS DECREASE  
TO LESS THAN 15 MPH BY MIDNIGHT. WEST WINDS INCREASE AGAIN ON  
FRIDAY, PEAKING IN THE LATE MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON BEFORE  
DECREASING AGAIN BY FRIDAY EVENING WITH LIGHTER WINDS DEVELOPING  
FRIDAY NIGHT. CLOUDS INCREASE FRIDAY NIGHT AHEAD OF WEATHER SYSTEM  
MOVING INTO THE REGION THIS WEEKEND. TEMPERATURES REMAIN SOMEWHAT  
BELOW SEASONAL AVERAGES THROUGH FRIDAY WITH ADDITIONAL COOLING  
AND CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION (INCLUDING HIGHER ELEVATION SNOW)  
DEVELOPING THIS WEEKEND.  
 
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...1 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.  
MAX HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25  
MPH THROUGH 2100, DECREASING TO WEST AROUND 10 MPH  
WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 15 TO 20 MPH. GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH IN THE  
EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........33 36 29 34 24 17 11 17 13 16 17 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............53 52 49 45 43 41 41 41 40 39 38 37  
RH..............24 27 32 37 41 45 48 47 50 52 53 55  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 20 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 30 30 30 30  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 5.5 4.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 30 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 25 25 20  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.  
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 20  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 20 TO 25 MPH WITH A FEW AFTERNOON GUSTS TO  
30 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH INCREASING TO 30 TO 35 MPH  
EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........22 28 14 9 22 23 13 12 25 24 20 25  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............37 36 40 42 46 47 48 50 51 52 53 53  
RH..............57 53 47 42 37 33 30 27 25 24 22 22  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..10 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 20 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 35 35 35 30 30 30 30 30 30  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..40 40 40 40 40 40 40 40 45 40 40 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 2.0 3.0 3.5 4.0 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 6.5 7.0 7.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 25 30 30 30 30 30 35 30 30 30 30  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING CLOUDS (40-50 PERCENT BECOMING  
75-85 PERCENT).  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.  
MAX HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND  
20 MPH IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST AROUND 20 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 25 TO 30 MPH DECREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........47 47 47 69 69 69 82 82 82 88 88 88  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............52 51 48 45 42 39 38 37 37 37 36 36  
RH..............23 25 32 37 43 48 55 53 55 57 57 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 20 20 20 5 5 5 5 5 5  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W W  
RIDGE WIND SPD..35 30 30 30 25 20 20 15 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 6.0 4.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W SW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 30 25 15 15 10 10 5 5 5 5 10  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS  
BECOMING LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.  
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
RIDGETOP...........WEST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST  
AROUND 15 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 5 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........100 100 100 90 90 90 85 85 85 76 76 76  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY  
WEATHER TYPE....SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN SN RS RS RS  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............36 34 36 39 41 41 42 43 43 43 43 42  
RH..............61 62 61 58 56 55 54 54 54 54 52 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 5 5 5 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15 15 20 20 20  
RIDGE WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W NW NW  
RIDGE WIND SPD..10 10 10 5 10 15 15 15 15 15 15 15  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.5 2.5 3.0 4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.0 6.5 7.0 7.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W NW W SW SW W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.5 10 10 10 10 15 15 20 20 20 20 20  
 
 
FORECASTER...HOENISCH  
REQUESTED BY...ZACK  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2613681.0/TFX  
.DELDT 05/14/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRENNAN.WILLIAMS@USDA.GOV,MTHDC@FIRENET.GOV,PER.FRISK@USDA.GOV  
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