848
FNUS75 KTFX 141527
FWSTFX
SPOT FORECAST FOR SKYTOP RX...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
827 AM MST WED JAN 14 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 MST ON JANUARY 14.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
DISCUSSION
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING WILL DOMINATE OVER THE NORTHERN ROCKIES
THROUGH THE DAY TODAY, WITH LIGHT WINDS AND WELL ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED ACROSS CENTRAL MONTANA. BY THIS EVENING A
WEAK DISTURBANCE WILL BEGIN TO CREST THE RIDGE AND DIVE SOUTHEAST
OVER NORTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL MONTANA THROUGH THE DAY ON THURSDAY.
WHILE THIS DISTURBANCE IS NOT EXPECTED TO BRING ANY PRECIPITATION
TO THE INCIDENT AREA ON THURSDAY AN INCREASE IN MID- TO UPPER
LEVEL CLOUDINESS IS LIKELY, ALONG WITH A SHIFT IN SURFACE WINDS
FROM THE WEST TO NORTH DURING THE MID- TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS AS
A WEAK COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
TIME (MST) 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........16 15 14 13 12 3 3 4 3 7
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............39 40 42 46 48 48 48 48 47 44
RH..............56 55 52 47 44 41 39 39 41 44
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20 20 15
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......0 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
TIME (MST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........9 7 7 8 9 7 30 34 18 15 8 9
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............41 40 39 38 38 38 38 37 36 36 34 34
RH..............43 44 44 44 44 43 42 45 46 45 48 49
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W SW SW W W W W W W
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 10 5 5 5 5 5 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH TURNING TO THE NORTHWEST
DURING THE MID- TO LATE AFTERNOON HOURS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 15
TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
TIME (MST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........10 9 10 10 12 13 13 13 16 16 16 33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............34 33 34 36 38 40 41 42 42 40 38 35
RH..............49 50 51 50 49 45 45 45 45 49 54 58
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W NW NW NW NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15 15 15 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 25 30 30 30 25 25 20 15
FORECASTER...MOLDAN
REQUESTED BY...MENNING
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600137.0/TFX
.DELDT 01/14/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL WILLIAM.MENNING@USDA.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV
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