747  
FNUS75 KTFX 151139  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR DOUBLE FALLS TRACT PILES...USDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
539 AM MDT THU OCT 15 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 MDT ON OCTOBER 15.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
...HIGH WIND WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH  
SATURDAY EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
UPPER LEVEL RIDGING IN PLACE WILL ALLOW FOR A BENIGN DAY WITH  
LIGHT WINDS TODAY. WINDS INCREASE TO AROUND 15-20 MPH OUT OF THE  
WEST LATE TONIGHT AND PERSIST THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY AHEAD OF AN  
EVEN GUSTIER DAY SATURDAY AS THE UPPER LEVEL RIDGE IS BROKEN DOWN.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62-67 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......UP SLOPE/VALLEY AROUND 3-5 MPH, BECOMING EAST  
AROUND 5 MPH BY EARLY AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....VARIABLE AROUND 5-10 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........44 35 26 8 8 4 3 2 3 7 8 4  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............27 26 26 27 31 33 36 39 40 42 42 42  
RH..............86 83 85 86 81 77 75 75 73 71 72 72  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S SW S E E E E E NE N  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5 0 0 0 0  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 5 5 5 5 10 10 5  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E SE E NE E N N S SW S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 10 10 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT, THEN INCREASING TO  
AROUND 15-20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH AFTER  
3 AM.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 25 MPH  
OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........5 9 18 22 28 40 17 19 18 10 11 17  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............40 37 34 32 31 31 31 31 32 32 33 33  
RH..............76 76 76 76 76 76 76 71 68 65 62 60  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW N W W W W W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..0 0 0 5 5 5 5 10 10 10 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 5 5 10 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W SW W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.10 5 10 10 10 10 10 10 15 15 20 15  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.  
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 35 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........33 33 33 17 17 17 14 14 14 27 27 27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............32 34 34 36 43 48 53 54 55 56 54 54  
RH..............58 55 54 52 49 45 42 41 39 38 41 44  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 30 30 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.0 2.0 1.5 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 15 20 20 20 20 20 15 20 25 20 15  
 
 
FORECASTER...MCDOWELL  
REQUESTED BY...BRAD PASKEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2623807.0/TFX  
.DELDT 10/15/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRAD.PASKEY@USDA.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV  
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