300  
FNUS75 KTFX 161710  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HOOVER CREEK PILE RX...FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
1110 AM MDT MON MAR 16 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0000 MDT ON MARCH 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A BREEZY PERIOD IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS WARMER AIR  
SURGES INTO THE AREA. EXPECT WIND GUSTS TO PICK UP THROUGH THE DAY  
TODAY, AND WINDS WILL LIKELY REMAIN ELEVATED THROUGH THE  
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT, THOUGH SOME OF THE DEEP VALLEYS MAY MANAGE TO  
GET SOME CALM WINDS TONIGHT. WINDS WILL PEAK DURING THE DAY ON  
TUESDAY, WITH GUSTS UP TO 50 MPH, ESPECIALLY IN EXPOSED AREAS ON  
RIDGES AND WEST FACING SLOPES. IN ADDITION TO THE WIND, THERE WILL  
BE AROUND A 20% CHANCE OF SOME PERIODS OF LIGHT RAIN THROUGH  
WEDNESDAY.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN OVERNIGHT.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
MAX HUMIDITY........73-78 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 25 TO 30 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 45 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 35 TO 40 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........45 46 39 52 65 72  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............40 40 40 40 40 40  
RH..............77 73 69 65 63 61  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..25 30 30 30 30 30  
20 FT WIND GUST.40 40 45 45 45 45  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.35 35 40 40 40 35  
   
TUESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 30 TO 35 MPH WITH GUSTS  
TO AROUND 50 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 30 TO 35 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........75 84 86 80 76 79 74 83 87 85 83 79  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............40 40 41 41 41 42 43 44 44 45 45 45  
RH..............59 60 60 61 61 60 59 59 59 60 61 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 20 20 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.40 40 40 45 45 45 40 40 40 35 35 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 1.5 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.0 3.5 2.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 30 30 30 30 35 35 35 35 35 35 30  
   
TUESDAY NIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN IN THE EVENING.  
CWR.................10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.  
MAX HUMIDITY........65-70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO  
AROUND 40 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........78 78 78 78 78 78 73 73 73 76 76 76  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............45 45 44 43 43 43 44 44 44 44 44 44  
RH..............65 66 66 67 68 69 69 69 68 67 65 63  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35 35  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W SW SW SW W W W SW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.30 25 25 25 20 20 25 25 30 30 30 25  
   
WEDNESDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.  
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP  
TO 40 MPH INCREASING TO 45 MPH IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH INCREASING TO WEST 40 TO  
45 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........73 73 73 71 71 71 61 61 61 60 60 60  
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN RN  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............44 44 44 45 46 48 50 50 51 50 50 49  
RH..............60 58 55 52 49 46 44 44 45 46 47 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..SW SW SW SW SW SW W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 20 20 20 20 25 25 25 20 20 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.35 35 35 40 40 40 45 45 45 40 40 40  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.5 1.5 2.0 3.0 4.0 4.5 5.0 4.5 4.0 3.5 3.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 30 30 35 40 40 45 45 45 45 40  
 

 
FORECASTER...LUDWIG  
REQUESTED BY...TRAVIS JOHNSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2605937.0/TFX  
.DELDT 03/16/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL TRAVIS.JOHNSON4@USDA.GOV,ROBERT.J.HANSON@USDA.GOV, TFX.OPS@NOAA.GOV  
 
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