840  
FNUS75 KTFX 061006  
FWSTFX  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR TREASURE MTN RX...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT  
406 AM MDT WED MAY 6 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 MDT ON MAY 06.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
UPPER LEVEL HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS ACROSS THE REGION TODAY FOR  
SUNNY, DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT WINDS  
THIS MORNING MAY BECOME UP-SLOPE/UP-DRAINAGE FOR A PERIOD AROUND  
MID-DAY BEFORE BREEZY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS DEVELOP THIS  
AFTERNOON. A WEATHER DISTURBANCE MOVING IN FROM THE NORTHWEST  
BRINGS INCREASING CLOUDS THIS EVENING WITH AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR  
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE, MAINLY BETWEEN 1900 AND 2200. BETTER  
CHANCES FOR SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS EVENING WILL  
EXIST EAST OF THE CONTINENTAL DIVIDE. WINDS DECREASE SOME  
OVERNIGHT WITH SOMEWHAT BREEZY WEST TO NORTHWEST WINDS  
REDEVELOPING THURSDAY AFTERNOON. TEMPERATURES COOL SLIGHTLY ON  
THURSDAY WITH A SMALL RISK FOR ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CWR.................0 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...3 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.  
MIN HUMIDITY........25-30 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST LATE IN THE MORNING,  
THEN INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH, BECOMING NORTHWEST 20 TO 25  
MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
 
TIME (MDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........12 7 7 14 11 20  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............46 48 52 54 56 58  
RH..............34 34 34 34 33 32  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..8 10 12 15 18 20  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 25 25 25 30  
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.0 4.5 5.0 5.5 6.5 6.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W NW NW  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 25 25 25  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-80 PERCENT). AN SHOWER OR  
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE, MAINLY IN  
THE EVENING.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...15 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.  
MAX HUMIDITY........71-76 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST AND DECREASING OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS POSSIBLE NEAR ISOLATED EVENING  
SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH DECREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH IN  
THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........32 43 50 84 85 81 83 69 47 34 35 55  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0  
CHC OF THDR (%).10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............58 56 53 49 48 46 45 44 42 42 42 40  
RH..............33 38 47 55 58 62 65 66 69 71 74 75  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W W W SW  
20 FT WIND SPD..20 20 15 15 13 11 10 10 10 10 10 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.30 25 25 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20  
MIX HGT (KFT)...6.0 4.5 2.5 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.25 25 20 15 15 15 15 15 20 20 20 20  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CWR.................5 PERCENT.  
CHANCE OF THUNDER...14 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.  
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........  
SLOPE/VALLEY.......WEST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.  
 
TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........57 57 57 28 28 28 30 30 30 40 40 40  
WEATHER COV..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10  
CHC OF THDR (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............41 42 43 47 50 53 54 55 55 55 56 57  
RH..............76 71 65 58 51 45 41 40 40 40 40 40  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W W W W W NW NW NW  
20 FT WIND SPD..15 15 15 20 20 20 15 15 15 15 15 15  
20 FT WIND GUST.20 20 20 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.0 2.5 3.5 4.0 5.0 5.5 6.5 7.5 6.5 7.0 7.5  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W W NW NW W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.20 20 20 20 25 25 20 20 20 20 20 20  
 
 
FORECASTER...HOENISCH  
REQUESTED BY...KYLE MILLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2612651.2/TFX  
.DELDT 05/06/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL KYLE.A.MILLER@USDA.GOV,LEWIS.TAFELMEYER@USDA.GOV,KENNETH.ANDERSEN@USDA.GOV  
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